2025 Welsh Grand National Trends
Run, this year (2024) on Saturday December 27th, the Welsh Grand National has always been a big highlight over the festive period.
With 3m 5 ½f to cover at Chepstow racecourse then stamina is a ‘must-have’ requirement when it comes to finding the winner, while if you like your trends you might want to know that 20 of the 23 winners have been aged 9 or younger - plus, 18 of the last 23 winners carried 11-0 or less.
Val Dancer took the race 12 months ago in 2024.
Here at Geegeez, we look back at the recent winners and give you all the key trends - use these to help find the best profiles of past winners and apply these to the 2025 Welsh Grand National. This year the race will be run on Saturday 27th December.
Recent Welsh National Winners
2024 – VAL DANCER (8/1)
2023 - NASSALAM (9/2 jfav)
2022 - THE TWO AMIGOS (16/1)
2021 – IWILLDOIT (13/2)
2020 - SECRET REPRIEVE (5/2 fav)
2019 – POTTERS CORNER (8/1)
2018 – ELEGANT ESCAPE (3/1 fav)
2017 – RAZ DE MAREE (16/1)
2016 – NATIVE RIVER (11/4 fav)
2015 – MOUNTAINOUS (9/1)
2014 – EMPEROR’S CHOICE (9/1)
2013 - MOUNTAINOUS (20/1)
2012 – MONBEG DUDE (10/1)
2011 – LE BEAU BAI (10/1)
2010 – SYNCHRONISED (5/1)
2009 – DREAM ALLIANCE (20/1)
2008 – NOTRE PERE (16/1)
2007 – MIKO de BEAUCHENE (13/2)
2006 – HALCON GENELARDAIS (7/1)
2005 – L’AVENTURE (14/1)
2004 – SILVER BIRCH (10/3 fav)
2003 – BINDAREE (10/1)
2002 – MINI SENSATION (8/1)
Welsh National Betting Trends
23/23 – Had won between 1-5 chase races before
23/23 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
23/23 – Had won over at least 3m before (fences)
21/23 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
20/23 – Aged 9 or younger
18/23 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
17/23 – Aged 8 or younger
16/23 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
15/23– Carried 10-8 or less in weight
13/23 – Had won just 2 or 3 times before over fences
13/23 – Irish bred
12/23 – Had won over fences at Chepstow before
10/23 – Won last time out
8/23 – Unplaced favourites
8/23 – Ran at Chepstow last time out
7/23 – Had run in the Welsh National before
7/23 – French bred
5/23 – Winning favourites
2/23 – Trained by the Tizzard yard
2/23 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/23 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
11/18 – Aged 7 or 8
Trainers Venetia Williams and Nigel Twiston-Davies have won the Welsh Grand National twice each
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 9/1
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