Tag Archive for: thirsk racing trends

Sat TV Trends: 30th April 2022

It’s Guineas Weekend at Newmarket this Saturday, while the ITV cameras are heading to Goodwood & Thirsk. As always, we’ve all the LIVE ITV races covered from a trends and stats angle.

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.50 - My Odds Boost On Betfair Handicap Cl2 (4yo+) 6f ITV

8/9 - Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/9 - Won 3+ times before
8/9 - Had won over 6f before
7/9 - Ran in the last 4 weeks
7/9 - Carried 9-3 or more in weight
7/9 - Didn’t win last time out
6/9 - Rated 100+
6/9 - Finished in the top 4 last time out
6/9 - Ran at Newmarket before (Rowley)
6/9 - Returned 8/1 or bigger
5/9 - Unplaced favourites
3/9 - Winning favourites
2/9 - Richard Fahey
0/9 - Winners from stalls 1 or 2
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 10/1

2.25 – Betfair Daily Rewards Suffolk Handicap Cl2 1m1f ITV

15/16 – Had won at least twice before
15/16 – Had won over at least a mile before
14/16 – Priced 12/1 or shorter
14/16 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
13/16 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
13/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/16 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
10/16 – Returned between 9/1 and 12/1 in the betting
10/16 – Rated between 90 and 96
9/16 – Aged 4 years-old
8/16 – Having their first run of the season
6/16 – Won last time out
5/16 – Irish bred
3/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/16 - Winning favourites
Just 1 winner from stalls 1 or 2 in the last 13 runnings

3.00 – Betfair Palace House Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 5f ITV

17/19 – Had won over 5f before
17/19 – Won 3 or more times before
16/19 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
16/19 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
16/19 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
15/19 – Had run at Newmarket before
14/19 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
14/19 – Aged 5 or younger
13/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/19 – Placed favourites
12/19 – Rated between 108 and 114
10/19 – Won last time out
7/19 – Winning favourites
5/19 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/19 – Trained by Bryan Smart
Just 2 placed horses from stall 1 in the last 14 runnings
8 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 2-7 (inc)

 

3.40 – Qipco 2000 Guineas Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 1m ITV

20/20 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
18/20 – Had won over at least 7f before
18/20 – Had won a Group race before
18/20 – Had won between 2-5 times before
16/20 – Drawn in stall 12 or lower
16/20 – Won last time out
15/20 – Winning distance – less than 2 lengths
14/20 – Having their first run of the season
13/20 – Had won just 2 or 3 times in their career before
12/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/20 – Placed favourites
12/20 – Won by an Irish-based yard
11/20 – Irish bred
9/20 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (10 wins in total)
8/20 – Had won over a mile before
7/20 – Drawn in stalls 1 or 3
6/20 – Winning favourites
5/20 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley) before
5/20 – Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (2 winners)
4/20 – Won the Dewhurst Stakes the previous season
3/20 – Ran at the Curragh last time out
7 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 20 years is 10/1

Other 2,000 Guineas Facts

- Aidan O’Brien has won the race in 1998, 2002, 2005, 2006, 2008, 2012, 2015, 2017, 2018 & 2019
- Frankie Dettori rode the winner in 1996, 1999 & 2016

Goodwood Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.40 – William Hill Conqueror Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m ITV

10/10 – Didn’t win last time out
9/10 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/10 – Yet to race at the track
8/10 – Won 2 or more times before
7/10 – Winners from stalls 1 or 5
8/10 – Horse from stall 1 placed in the top 3
7/10 – Favourites placed in the top 3
7/10 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Horse from stall 5 placed in the top 3
6/10 – Aged 4 years-old
7/10 – Unplaced last time out
5/10 – Horse from stall 7 placed in the top 3
5/10 – Won over a mile before
4/10 – Winners from stall 1
3/10 – Ran a Newmarket last time out
2/10 – Winning favourites

 

Thirsk Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.05 – Fitzdares Thirsk Hunt Cup Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m ITV

10/10 – Aged 6 or younger
10/10 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
9/10 – Drawn in stalls 7 or higher
9/10 – Won at least twice before
9/10 – Didn’t win last time out
9/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
9/10 – Won over at least 1m before
8/10 – Rated between 87-94 (inc)
8/10 – Unplaced last time out
7/10 – Won between 2-4 times
6/10 – Winners from a double-figure draw
5/10 – Had run at the track before (3 won)
2/10 – Winning favourites

Note: The 2018 running was staged at Wetherby

 

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