Tag Archive for: wincanton horse racing tips and trends

Saturday TV Trends Sat TV Trends: 3rd Jan 2026

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Another big day for the ITV horse racing cameras as they move to Sandown and Wincanton for more LIVE coverage - with six races across the two venues.

Like every Saturday, here at GEEGEEZ we take you through all the key trends and stats to help you whittle down the runners and hopefully find a few winners.

**NOTE** - Both Sandown and Wincanton meetings below were called OFF in 2025 (last year) due to frozen tracks.

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1:50 – Unibet Middle Distance Veteran’s Handicap Chase Cl3 (9yo+ 0-135) 2m4f

No previous runnings
Trainer Dan Skelton has an 18% SR with his chasers at the track
Trainer Evan Williams is just 1-14 (7%) with his chasers at the track
Jockey Ben Jones has a 27% SR riding over fences at the track
Jockey Harry Skelton has a 20% SR riding over fences at the track
Jockey Brendan Powell has a 20% SR riding over fences at the track

2:25 - Unibet Mares’ Hurdle (Listed Race) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV

9/9 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
8/9 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
8/9 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
8/9 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
7/9 – Favourites placed in the top 3
7/9 – Won between 2-4 times before
5/9 – Winning favourites
5/9 – Had run at Sandown before
4/9 – Won last time out
2/9 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/9 – Trained by Harry Fry (2 of the last 3)
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 7/4
The last 5 winners aged 6 or 7

3:05 - Unibet Veterans´ Handicap Chase Final (2024 Veterans´ Chase Series Final) Cl2 3m37y ITV

Just 8 previous runnings
Trainers Anthony Honeyball, Venetia Williams, Evan Williams (2), Charlie Longsdon, David Pipe, Sandy Thomson and Mel Rowley are past winners
8/8 – Ran in last 5 weeks
8/8 – Aged 10-13
7/8 – Unplaced last time out
6/8 – Carried 11-3 or less in weight
6/8 – 4+ wins over fences
5/8 – Winners aged 11 or 12 years-old
5/8 – Priced in double-figures
4/8 – Unplaced favourites
5/8 – Officially rated between 135-145
2/8 – Winning favourite (joint)
Evan Williams has won 2 of the last 6 runnings
Two of the last 4 winners ridden by claimers
Sam Brown won the race in 2024

3:35 – Read Nicky Henderson’s Unibet Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m110y ITV

16/18 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles in the UK before
15/18 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
15/18 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
12/18 – Unplaced last time out
12/18 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
9/18 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
8/18 – Went onto finish unplaced in a Cheltenham Festival race that season
8/18 – Priced a double-figure price in the betting
8/18 – From the top 3 in the betting
7/18 – Raced at either Ascot (3) or Cheltenham (4) last time out
7/18 – Officially rated between 127 and 132
5/18 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (3 of the last 7)
5/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – Irish bred
2/18 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/18 – Trained by Venetia Williams
2/18 – Winning favourites (2 of the last 6)
4 of the last 10 winners were ridden by a claiming jockey
7 of the last 10 winners returned 10/1 or shorter
Hardy Du Seuil won this in 2023

Wincanton Horse Racing Betting Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1:30 – Bet £10 Get £40 BetMGM Handicap Chase (Challenger Staying Chase Series Qualifier) Cl3 (5yo+ 0-130) 3m1f ITV

No previous runnings
Trainer Emma Lavelle has a 26% SR with his chasers at the track
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 25% SR with his chasers at the track
Trainer David Pipe has a 19% SR with his chasers at the track
Trainer Venetia Williams is only 1-25 (4%) with her chasers at the track
Jockey Jack Tudor is 7-28 (25%) riding over fences at the track
Jockey Charlie Hammond is 2-4 (50%) riding over fences at the track

2:05 – Gamble Responsibley at BetMGM Handicap Hurdle (Gbb Race) Cl4 (4yo+ 0-110) 1m7f ITV

No previous runnings
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 27% SR with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Syd Hosie is only 1-34 (3%) with their hurdlers at the track
Trainer Seamus Mullins is only 2-39 (3%) with their hurdlers at the track

2:40 – Play Golden Goals At BetMGM Handicap Hurdle Cl3 (4yo+ 0-125) 2m 5 1/2f ITV

7/7 – Carried 10-12 or more
7/7 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
7/7 – Didn’t win last time out
6/7 – Won between 1-2 times hurdles
5/7 – Priced 15/2 or shorter
5/7 – Carried 11-7 or more
5/7 – Won over 2m4f+ before
4/7 – Unplaced favourites
4/7 – Placed 2nd or 3rd last time out
2/7 – Winning favourites
2/7 – Ridden by a claiming jockey

 

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Saturday TV Trends Sat TV Trends: 8th Nov 2025

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A busy one this Saturday as the ITV cameras head to Wincanton with the Badger Beer Handicap Chase, their feature, plus they are also at Doncaster for the ultra-competitive November Handicap and also take in three Aintree contests – as always, here at GeeGeez we've got all the trends and stats for the LIVE ITV races….. 

Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (ITV/SkyRacing)

1:25 – Virgin Bet Supports Safe Gambling Wentworth Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV4

19/21 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
19/21 – Had won over 6f before
18/21 – Had at least 6 previous runs that season
18/21 – Won from stall 12 or lower
17/21 – Rated 99 or higher
16/21 – Aged 4 or older
13/21 – Had won at least 5 times before in their career
11/21 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
11/21 – Had won at Doncaster before
6/21 – Ran at York (4) or Newmarket (2) last time out
5/21 – Won last time out
4/21 – Winning favourites (4 of last 12)
3/21 – Winning mare/filly
3/21 – Trained by Richard Hannon
Trainer Andrew Balding has won 2 of the last 6 runnings
7 of the last 9 winners from stall 7 or lower
ALL of the last 9 winners aged 6 or younger
The last 11 winners returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting

3:10 – Virgin Bet A Good Bet Irish EBF Gillies Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV4

18/20 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
16/20 – Had 3 or more runs that season
15/20 – Had won at least twice before
14/20 – Had never raced at Doncaster before
13/20 – Unplaced last time out
11/20 – Returned 8/1 or bigger in the betting
11/20 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
11/20 – Unplaced favourites
11/20 – Had won over 1m2f before
11/20 – Ran at either Lingfield (3), Goodwood (4) or Newmarket (4) last time out
8/20 – Won by an Irish-bred filly
4/20 – Trained by Ralph Beckett (2 of last 5)
3/20 – Ridden by Jim Crowley
2/20 – Winning favourites (1 co)
2/20 – Won last time out
2/20 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of last 12)
2/20 - Ridden by David Probert
7 of the last 8 winners aged 3 or 4
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1

3.45 – Virgin Bet November Handicap Cl2 1m4f ITV4

18/21 – Won between 2 and 4 races before
18/21 – Winners that came from draw 8 or higher
17/21 – Favourites that were unplaced
17/21 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or less
15/21 – Had raced at least 5 times that season
14/21 – Placed last time out
15/21 – Won carrying 9-0 or less in weight
13/21 – Had raced at Doncaster before (6 had won)
13/21 – Had won over 1m4f before
13/21 – Won by a horse aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/21 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
6/21 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/21 – Won last time out
3/21 -Trained by John Gosden (won it 6 times in all)
2/21 – Favourites that won
The average winning SP in the last 21 years is 12/1
Just 2 winning favourites since 1996
Just one winner aged 7+ since 1960
21/25 aged 5 or younger
3 of the last 8 winners ridden by a claiming jockey
Lord Melbourne (14/1) won the race in 2024
Metier won this race in 2022

Note: The 2023 November Handicap was run on the AW at Newcastle

Wincanton Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1:45 – BetMGM Paul & Richard Barber Memorial Mares’ Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m 5 ½f ITV4

17/18 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
16/18 – Didn’t win last time out
16/18 – Aged 7 or younger
14/18 – Had won over at least 2m4f before (hurdles)
13/18 – Had won at least twice before (hurdles)
13/18 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
11/18 – Rated between 119-129
10/18 – Finished 2nd, 3rd or 4th last time out
10/18 – Aged 6 years-old
9/18 – Irish bred
8/18 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
8/18 – Had run at the track before
5/18 – Raced at Chepstow last time out
4/18 – Winning favourites (or joint)
2/18 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
3/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (3 of the last 14)
2/18 – Trained by Harry Fry (2 of the last 12)
2/18 – Trained by Alan King (2 of the last 4)
2/18 – Ridden by Tom Cannon (2 of the last 4)
8 of the last 11 winners aged 6 or 7

2:23 – Boodles Rising Stars Novices’ Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV4

17/18 – Had won no more than twice over fences
17/18 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
15/18 – Irish (10) or French (5) bred
14/18 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
14/18 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
14/18 – Had won over 2m3f or further (Chase)
12/18 – Favourites placed
11/18 – Aged 6 or younger
9/18 – Won last time out
9/18 – Winning favourites
7/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
13 of the last 16 winners were aged between 5-7

2:55 - BetMGM Elite Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV4

19/21 – Aged 7 or younger
19/21 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
18/21 – Came from the top three in the betting
16/21 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
15/21 – Won between 2-5 times before (hurdles)
13/21 – Rated 150 or lower
10/21 – Unplaced last time out
9/21 – Having first run of the season
9/21 – Won last time out
7/21 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (last 3)
5/21 – Ran at Aintree last time out
3/21 - Trained by Alan King (3 of the last 9)
2/21 – Trained by John Quinn
Nicky Henderson trained the winner in 2018 and 2019
Harry Cobden has ridden the last three winners
Rubaud won the race in 2023 and 2024
Knappers Hill won the race in 2022

3:30 – 64th Badger Beer Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) Cl1 3m1f110y ITV4

20/22 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
19/22 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
18/22 – Won a 3m or further chase race previously
18/22 – Won at least two chase races previously
17/22 – Won by a horse aged between 7 and 9 years-old
17/22 – Placed in the top four in their last race
16/22 – Raced at the course previously (over fences)
16/22 – Won between 2 and 5 times over fences before
16/22 – Favourites placed
13/22 – Carried 11-1 or more in weight
12/22 – Irish-bred horse
12/22 – Raced at either Sandown (5), Wincanton (3) or Cheltenham (4) last time out
11/22 – Raced already that season
10/22 – Priced at double-figures
9/22 – Won their latest race
9/22 – Carried 10-7 or less in weight
8/22 – Favourites that won (1 joint, 1 Co)
8/22 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
7/22 – Ridden by a claiming conditional jockey (including 7 of the last 13 years)
4/22 – Won by the Pipe stable
7 of the last 10 aged 7 or 8

Aintree Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

12:55– Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Pertemps Hurdle Series Qualifier) Cl2 (4yo+) 3m 1/2f ITV4

13/13 – Didn’t win last time out
11/13 – Irish (8) or French (3) bred winners
11/13 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Carried 11-2 or less in weight
10/13 – Had won at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
9/13 – Unplaced last time out
9/13 – Aged between 5-8 years-old
9/13 – Placed favourites
9/13 – Had run at Aintree before (1 winner)
4/13 – Ridden by a claiming jockey
4/13 – Ran at Aintree last time out
3/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Trained by Charlie Longsdon

1:30 – Watch On Racing TV Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl3 (4yo+) 3m1f ITV4

Only 2 previous runnings
2/2 – Favourites
2/2 – Carried 11-1 or more
2/2 – Aged 6 or 7
Trainers Rebecca Curtis and Lucinda Russell have won this race before
Trainer Rebecca Curtis is 2-5 (40%) with her chasers at the track

2:40 – Grand Sefton Handicap Chase Cl2 2m5f110y ITV4

18/20 – Had between 1-4 previous chase wins
18/20 – Rated 124 or more
16/20 – Aged 8 or older
16/20 – Had won (chase) over at least 2m4f before
14/20 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
13/20 – Had run at Aintree before (6 over the GN style fences)
12/20 – Carried 10-12 or more
10/20 – Irish bred
10/20 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/20 – Returned a double-figure price
5/20 – Winning favourites
3/20 – Went onto run in that season’s Grand National
3/20 – Won last time out
2/20 – Ridden by Sean Bowen
14 of the last 19 winners were aged 8 or 9 years-old
The last 7 winners aged 9 or younger
Trainer Paul Nicholls has won 3 of the last 12 runnings
King Turgeon won this race in 2024

 

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Saturday TV Trends: 15th Feb 2025

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Another jam-packed Saturday of racing for the ITV horse racing team as they head to Ascot, Haydock and Wincanton to take in eight races across the three venues.

So, to help narrow down the fields, and point you in the direction of a few winners, then we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle – we hope they help!

ASCOT HORSE RACING TRENDS (SkySportsRacing/ITV)

1.50 – Ebony Horse Club Reynoldstown Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Cl1 3m ITV

22/22 – Priced 17/2 or shorter in the betting
19/22 – Had run within the last 7 weeks
18/22 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
18/22 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences previously
17/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/22 – Won last time out
13/22 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
11/22 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Brown Advisory Novices’ Chase (2 winners)
12/22 – Irish bred
9/22 – Winners that went onto finish 5th or better in the Brown Advisory Novices’ Chase
9/22 – Placed favourites
7/22 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/22 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/22 – Trained by the Tizzard yard (3 of the last 6)
3/22 - Won by the Pipe Stable (2 of the last 10)
3/22 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/22 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/22 – Trained by Rebecca Curtis (2 of last 11)
Henry’s Choice (13/2) won the race in 2024

2.25 – Betfair Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (GBB Race) (4yo+) 2m3 1/2f ITV

17/19 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
15/19 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
13/19 – Carried 10-13 or less
12/19 - Finished in the top 4 last time out
12/19 – Winning distance – 2 or less
12/19 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
12/19 – Placed favourites
11/19 – Had won over 2m4f or further before
9/19 – Winners that went onto race at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
9/19 – Priced 8/1 or bigger
9/19 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
7/19 – Irish bred
7/19 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
6/19 – Had run at Ascot over hurdles before
5/19 – Winning favourite (1 joint)
3/19 – Raced at Sandown last time out
3/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of the last 6)
2/19 – Trained by Dr Richard Newland
Mothill (18/1) won the race in 2024

3.00 – Betfair Swinley Handicap Chase (A Limited Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 3m 80y ITV

14/14 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
13/14 – Aged 8 or older
12/14 – Finished 5th or better last time out
11/14 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
8/14 – Had raced at Ascot (fences) before
8/14 – Aged in double-figures
8/14 – Raced at either Ascot (3) or Cheltenham (5) last time out
7/14 – Won just 1 or 2 chase races previously
7/14 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
7/14 – Irish bred
4/14 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
4/14 – Winning distance head or shorter
2/14 – Won last time out
2/14 – Winning Favourites
2/14 – Trained by Venetia Williams
7 of the last 12 winners carried 11-0 or more
Threeunderthrufive won the race in 2024

3.37 - Betfair Ascot Chase Grade 1 Cl1 2m5f110y ITV

21/22 – Won over at least 2m4f (fences) previously
21/22– Priced at 15/2 or shorter in the market
20/22 – Winners from the top 3 in the market
18/22 – Ran within the last 7 weeks
18/22 – Officially rated 157 or higher
17/21 – Winners that didn’t win their next start
17/22 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
14/22 – Favourites placed
13/22 – Winning favourites
14/22 – Priced 2/1 or shorter in the market
11/22 – Won between 1-4 times over fences previously
10/22 – Won over fences at Ascot previously
8/22 – Won their last race
8/22 – Unplaced in their latest race
7/22 – Raced at Kempton (King George) last time out
6/20 – Winners that ran in that season’s Ryanair Chase (2 winners, Cue Card & Riverside Theatre) later that year
4/22– Trained by Paul Nicholls (3 of the last 9)
3/22 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/22 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/22 – Trained by Alan King
13 of the last 18 winners returned 2/1 or shorter in the betting
Note: The 2005 & 2006 - Run at Lingfield Park

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HAYDOCK HORSE RACING TRENDS (RacingTV/ITV)

2:05 Unibet Middle Distance Chase Series Veterans’ Handicap Chase Cl3 (10yo+ 0-135) 2m4f ITV

No previous runnings
Trainer Tom Lacey has a 50% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Trainer Dan Skelton has a 29% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Trainer Richard Hobson has a 27% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Trainer Neil Alexander is just 1-from-16 with their chasers at the track
Jockey Ryan Mania is just 1-18 riding over fences at the track

2.40 – WKD Rendlesham Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m6f177y ITV

20/22 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting
17/22  – Raced within the last 5 weeks
16/22 – Had won over at least 3m+ (hurdles) previously
14/22 – Rated 145 or higher
14/22 – Placed favourites
14/22 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or more
14/22 – Aged 8 or younger
14/22 – Had won at least 4 times over hurdles before
13/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/22 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
11/22 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
10/22– Had run at Haydock before
9/22 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Stayers’ Hurdle (no winners)
8/22 – French-bred
4/22 – Ran at Ascot last time out
4/22 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
2/22 – Winning favourites
1/22 – Winners that went onto win the Coral Cup at the Cheltenham Festival
Botox Has (5/2) won the race in 2024

Note: The 2003, 2004, 2005 - Run at Kempton Park

3.15 – Oddschecker Grand National Trial (Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m5f ITV

21/22 – UK-based trained winners
20/22 – Had won between 2-4 times over fences (rules) before
19/22– Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
18/22 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
17/22 – Rated 135 or higher
17/22 – Aged 10 or younger
16/22 – Finished in the top three last time out
15/22 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
15/22 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences (rules) before
14/22 – Aged 9 or younger
13/22 – Finished in the top two last time out
12/22 – Carried 11-0 or less
11/22 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
11/22 – Unplaced favourites
8/22 – Won last time out
8/20 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Grand National (all unplaced)
8/22 – Irish-bred winners
6/22 – Ran in the Welsh Grand National last time out
4/22 – Won with 11-12 in weight
3/22 – Finished 1st or 2nd in the Welsh Grand National last time out
3/22 – Trained by Lucinda Russell
3/22 – Trained by Venetia Williams
3/22 – Winning favourites
8 of the last 10 winners returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
16 of the last 17 winners were aged between 8-11 years-old

WINCANTON HORSE RACING TRENDS (RACINGTV/ITV)

1:36 - Kingwell Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 1m7f65y ITV

21/21 – Raced within the last 8 weeks
20/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
19/21 – Aged 7 or younger
19/21 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
19/21 – Favourites to finish in the top 3
19/21 – Had won at least 3 times over hurdles before
15/21 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
14/21 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Champion Hurdle (1 winner Katchit)
14/21 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
11/21 – Rated 155 or higher
10/21 – Winning favourites
9/21 – Won last time out
8/21– Raced at Sandown last time out
4/21 – Trained by Alan King
3/21 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
1/21 – Winners that went onto win the Stayers’ Hurdle (Inglis Drever)
Nemean Lion (6/5 fav) won the race in 2024
Goshen (10/3) won this race in 2021 and 2022
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