Tag Archive for: wincanton horse racing tips and trends

Saturday TV Trends: 17th Feb 2024

Another jam-packed Saturday of racing for the ITV horse racing team as they head to Ascot, Haydock and Wincanton to take in seven races across the three venues.

So, to help narrow down the fields, and point you in the direction of a few winners, then we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle – we hope they help!

ASCOT HORSE RACING TRENDS (SkySportsRacing/ITV)

1.50 – Sodexo Live! Reynoldstown Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Cl1 3m ITV

21/21 – Priced 17/2 or shorter in the betting
18/21 – Had run within the last 7 weeks
17/21 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
17/21 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences previously
17/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/21 – Won last time out
13/21 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
11/21 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Brown Advisory Novices’ Chase (2 winners)
11/21 – Irish bred
9/21 – Winners that went onto finish 5th or better in the Brown Advisory Novices’ Chase
9/21 – Placed favourites
7/21 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/21 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/20 – Trained by the Tizzard yard (3 of the last 5)
3/21 - Won by the Pipe Stable (2 of the last 9)
3/21 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/21 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/21 – Trained by Rebecca Curtis (2 of last 10)

2.25 – Thoroughbred Industry Employee Awards Handicap Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (GBB Race) (4yo+) 2m3 1/2f ITV

16/18 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
15/18 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
12/18 – Carried 10-13 or less
12/18 - Finished in the top 4 last time out
11/18 – Winning distance – 2 or less
11/18 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
11/18 – Placed favourites
10/18 – Had won over 2m4f or further before
9/18 – Winners that went onto race at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
8/18 – Priced 8/1 or bigger
8/18 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
6/18 – Irish bred
6/18 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
6/18 – Had run at Ascot over hurdles before
5/18 – Winning favourite (1 joint)
3/18 – Raced at Sandown last time out
3/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of the last 5)
2/18 – Trained by Dr Richard Newland
Irish Hill won the race in 2023

3.00 – Injured Jockey Fund Ambassadors Programme Swinley Handicap Chase (A Limited Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 3m 80y ITV

13/13 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
12/13 – Aged 8 or older
11/13 – Finished 5th or better last time out
10/13 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
8/13 – Had raced at Ascot (fences) before
8/13 – Aged in double-figures
7/13 – Won 1 or 2 chase races previously
7/13 – Raced at either Ascot (3) or Cheltenham (4) last time out
7/13 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
6/13 – Irish bred
4/13 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
4/13 – Winning distance head or shorter
2/13 – Won last time out
2/13 – Winning Favourites
2/13 – Trained by Venetia Williams
6 of the last 11 winners carried 11-0 or more
Cap Du Nord won the race in 2023

3.35 - Betfair Ascot Chase Grade 1 Cl1 2m5f110y ITV

20/21 – Won over at least 2m4f (fences) previously
20/21– Priced at 15/2 or shorter in the market
19/21 – Winners from the top 3 in the market
17/21 – Ran within the last 7 weeks
17/21 – Officially rated 157 or higher
17/21 – Winners that didn’t win their next start
16/21 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
14/21 – Favourites placed
13/21 – Winning favourites
13/21 – Priced 2/1 or shorter in the market
11/21 – Won between 1-4 times over fences previously
9/21 – Won over fences at Ascot previously
8/21 – Won their last race
8/21 – Unplaced in their latest race
7/21 – Raced at Kempton (King George) last time out
6/20 – Winners that ran in that season’s Ryanair Chase (2 winners, Cue Card & Riverside Theatre) later that year
3/21 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/21 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of the last 8)
3/21 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/21 – Trained by Alan King
12 of the last 17 winners returned 2/1 or shorter in the betting
Note: The 2005 & 2006 - Run at Lingfield Park
Fakir D’oudairies (won this race in 2022)

HAYDOCK HORSE RACING TRENDS (RacingTV/ITV)

2.40 – Virgin Bet Rendlesham Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m6f177y ITV

19/21 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting
16/21  – Raced within the last 5 weeks
15/21 – Had won over at least 3m+ (hurdles) previously
13/21 – Rated 145 or higher
13/21 – Placed favourites
13/21 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or more
13/21 – Aged 8 or younger
13/21 – Had won at least 4 times over hurdles before
12/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/21 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
11/21 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
9/21 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Stayers’ Hurdle (no winners)
9/21– Had run at Haydock before
7/21 – French-bred
6/21 – Placed favourites
4/21 – Ran at Ascot last time out
3/21 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
2/21 – Winning favourites
1/21 – Winners that went onto win the Coral Cup at the Cheltenham Festival

Note: The 2003, 2004, 2005 - Run at Kempton Park

3.15 – Virgin Bet Grand National Trial (Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m5f ITV

21/21 – UK-based trained winners
20/21 – Had won between 2-4 times over fences (rules) before
19/21 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
17/21 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
17/21 – Rated 135 or higher
16/21 – Aged 10 or younger
15/21 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
15/21 – Finished in the top three last time out
15/21 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences (rules) before
13/21 – Aged 9 or younger
12/21 – Finished in the top two last time out
11/21 – Carried 11-0 or less
11/21 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
11/21 – Unplaced favourites
8/21 – Won last time out
8/20 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Grand National (all unplaced)
7/21 – Irish-bred winners
6/21 – Ran in the Welsh Grand National last time out
4/21 – Won with 11-12 in weight
3/21 – Finished 1st or 2nd in the Welsh Grand National last time out
3/21 – Trained by Lucinda Russell
3/21 – Trained by Venetia Williams
2/21 – Winning favourites
5 of the last 9 winners returned 8/1 in the betting
The last 16 winners were aged between 8-11 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 21 runnings is 11/1

WINCANTON HORSE RACING TRENDS (RACINGTV/ITV)

3.42- Wincanton Matchbook Jennings Bet Kingwell Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 1m7f65y ITV

20/20 – Raced within the last 8 weeks
19/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
18/20 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
18/20 – Favourites to finish in the top 3
18/20 – Had won at least 3 times over hurdles before
14/20 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
14/20 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Champion Hurdle (1 winner Katchit)
14/20 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
11/20 – Rated 155 or higher
9/20 – Winning favourites
9/20 – Won last time out
8/20– Raced at Sandown last time out
4/20 – Trained by Alan King
3/20 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
1/20 – Winners that went onto win the Stayers’ Hurdle (Inglis Drever)
Goshen (10/3) won this race in 2021 and 2022

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Saturday TV Trends Sat TV Trends: 6th Jan 2024

Another big day for the ITV horse racing cameras as they move to Wincanton for more LIVE coverage. But unfortunately Sandown is OFF due to heavy rain in the Esher area on Friday.

Like every Saturday, here at GEEGEEZ we take you through all the key trends and stats to help you whittle down the runners and hopefully find a few winners.

Wincanton Horse Racing Betting Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1.30 Virgin Bet Daily Extra Places Handicap Chase Cl3 (5yo+ 0-125) 1m 7 1/2f ITV4

Just 4 past runnings
4/4 - Aged between 7-9
4/4 - Returned 7/1 or shorter
3/4 - Carried 11-2 or more
1/4 - Winning favourites
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 25% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Trainer Robert Walford has a 19% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Trainer Dan Skelton is 0-from-17 with his chasers at the track
Jockey Harry Cobden has a 23% record riding over fences at the track

2.05 Virgin Bet Every Saturday Money Back Handicap Hurdle Cl5 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m 7f ITV4

Just 5 past runnings
No winning favourites
4/5 – Priced 13/2 or bigger
4/5 – Aged 7 or 8
3/5 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
2/5 – Ridden by a claiming jockey
Trainer Jamie Snowden has a 21% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Nigel Hawke has a 5% (2-from-40) strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Jockey Paul O'Brien has a 19% riding over hurdles at the track
Jockey Sean Houlihan has just a 4% riding over hurdles at the track
Jockey Harry Reed has just a 3% riding over hurdles at the track

2.40 – Virgin Bet Best Odds Daily Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl3 (5yo+ 0-130) 2m4f ITV4

No past runnings
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 25% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Trainer Gary Moore has a 19% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Trainer Venetia Williams is just 1-from-24 with her chasers at the track
Trainer Dan Skelton is 0-from-17 with his chasers at the track
Jockey Freddie Gingell has a 21% strike-race riding over fences at the track

3.15 – Virgin Bet Daily Price Boosts Handicap Hurdle Cl3 (4yo+ 0-125) 2m 5 1/2f ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 30% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Sue Gardener is just 1-from-19 with her hurdlers at the track
Trainer Polly Gundry is just 0-from-19 with her hurdlers at the track
Jockey Harry Reed has just a 3% riding over hurdles at the track

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV4) - **Abandoned (Heavy Rain)**

1.50 – Read Nicky Henderson’s Unibet Blog Handicap Chase Cl3 2m4f ITV4

9/9 – Carried 11-0 or more
8/9 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
6/9 – Aged 8 or younger
6/9 – Carried 11-8 or more
3/9 – Aged 6 years-old
2/9 – Winning favourites

2.25 Unibet Try Unibet’s New Acca Boosts Mares’ Hurdle (Listed Race) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV4

9/9 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
8/9 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
8/9 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
8/9 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
7/9 – Favourites placed in the top 3
7/9 – Won between 2-4 times before
5/9 – Winning favourites
5/9 – Had run at Sandown before
4/9 – Won last time out
2/9 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/9 – Trained by Harry Fry (2 of the last 3)


3.00 - Unibet Veterans´ Handicap Chase Final (The Final of The 2021 Veterans´ Chase Series) Cl2 3m37y ITV4

Just 8 previous runnings
Trainers Anthony Honeyball, Venetia Williams, Evan Williams (2), Charlie Longsdon, David Pipe, Sandy Thomson and Mel Rowley are past winners
8/8 – Ran in last 5 weeks
7/8 – Unplaced last time out
6/8 – Carried 11-3 or less in weight
6/8 – 4+ wins over fences
5/8 – Winners aged 11 or 12 years-old
5/8 – Officially rated between 135-145
4/8 – Unplaced favourites
2/8 – Winning favourite (joint)

3.37 – Unibet New and Improved Bet Builder Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m110y ITV4

16/18 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles in the UK before
15/18 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
15/18 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
12/18 – Unplaced last time out
12/18 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
9/18 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
8/18 – Went onto finish unplaced in a Cheltenham Festival race that season
8/18 – Priced a double-figure price in the betting
8/18 – From the top 3 in the betting
7/18 – Raced at either Ascot (3) or Cheltenham (4) last time out
7/18 – Officially rated between 127 and 132
5/18 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
5/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – Irish bred
2/18 – Trained by Oliver Sherwood
2/18 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/18 – Trained by Venetia Williams
2/18 – Winning favourites
4 of the last 10 winners were ridden by a claiming jockey

 

 

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Saturday TV Trends Sat TV Trends: 11th Nov 2023

A busy one this Saturday as the ITV cameras head to Wincanton with the Badger Beer Handicap Chase, their feature, plus they are also at Newcastle for the ultra-competitive November Handicap and also take in three Aintree contests as always, here at GeeGeez we've got all the trends and stats for the LIVE ITV races….. 

Newcastle Horse Racing Trends (ITV/SkyRacing)

1.30 – Virgin Bet Daily Extra Places Irish EBF Gillies Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV4

16/18 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
15/18 – Had won at least twice before
15/18 – Had 3 or more runs that season
12/18 – Had never raced at Doncaster before
11/18 – Unplaced last time out
11/18 – Returned 8/1 or bigger in the betting
11/18 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
10/18 – Had won over 1m2f before
10/18 – Unplaced favourites
9/18 – Ran at either Lingfield (3), Goodwood (3) or Newmarket (3) last time out
7/18 – Won by an Irish-bred filly
4/18 – Trained by Ralph Beckett (2 of last 3)
2/18 – Ridden by Jim Crowley
2/18 – Winning favourites (1 co)
2/18 – Won last time out
2/18 – Trained by Andrew Balding  (2 of last 10)
2/18  - Ridden by David Probert
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/1

2.05 – Virgin Bet Every Saturday Money Back Wentworth Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV4

17/19 – Had at least 6 previous runs that season
17/19 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
17/19 – Had won over 6f before
16/19 – Won from stall 12 or lower
15/19 – Rated 99 or higher
15/19 – Aged 4 or older
13/19 – Had won at least 5 times before in their career
10/19 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
10/19 – Had won at Doncaster before
9/19 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
5/19 – Ran at York (3) or Newmarket (2) last time out
5/19 – Won last time out
4/19 – Winning favourites (4 of last 10)
3/19 – Winning mare/filly
2/19 – Trained by Richard Hannon
8 of the last 9 winners carried 9-0 or more
Trainer Andrew Balding has won 2 of the last 4 runnings

3.45 – Virgin Bet November Handicap Cl2 1m4f ITV4

16/19 – Won between 2 and 4 races before
16/19 – Winners that came from draw 9 or higher
15/19 – Favourites that were unplaced
15/19 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or less
13/19 – Had raced at Doncaster before (6 had won)
13/19 – Had raced at least 5 times that season
13/19 – Placed last time out
12/19 – Had won over 1m4f before
12/19 – Won by a horse aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/19 – Won carrying 8-13 or less in weight
10/19 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
6/19 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/19 – Won last time out
3/19 -Trained by John Gosden (won it 6 times in all)
2/19 – Ridden by jockey Martin Dwyer
2/19 – Favourites that won
The average winning SP in the last 18 years is 11/1
Just 2 winning favourites since 1995

Wincanton Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.15 – West Country Weekend Conditional Jockeys’ Handicap Chase Cl3 (4yo+ 0-125) 2m4f ITV4

7/7 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
6/7 – Ridden by a claiming conditional jockey
6/7 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
6/7 – French or Irish bred
6/7 – Favourites placed in the top two
6/7 – Returned 5/1 or shorter
6/7 – Had won over 2m4f (fences)
6/7 – Carried 11-2 or more
5/7 – Didn’t win last time out
5/7 – Rated between 120-127
5/7 – Carried 11-5 or more
4/7 – Had run at Wincanton before
3/7 – Winning favourites
3/7 – Trained by Paul Nicholls

1.50 – Boodles ‘Rising Stars’ Novices Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV4

15/16 – Had won no more than twice over fences
15/16 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
13/16 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Irish (8) or French (5) bred
12/16 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/16 – Had won over 2m3f or further (Chase)
11/16 – Favourites placed
11/16 – Aged 6 or younger
9/16 – Won last time out
8/16 – Winning favourites
7/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/16 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
11 of the last 14 winners were aged between 5-7

2.25- West Country Elite Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV4

17/19 – Aged 7 or younger
17/19 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
16/19 – Came from the top three in the betting
14/19 – Won between 2-5 times before (hurdles)
14/19 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
11/19 – Rated 150 or lower
10/19 – Unplaced last time out
9/19 – Having first run of the season
7/19 – Won last time out
6/19 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
5/19 – Ran at Aintree last time out
5/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/19 – Trained by John Quinn
3/19 - Trained by Alan King (3 of the last 7)

3.00 – 62nd Badger Beer Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) Cl1 3m1f110y ITV4

19/20 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
18/20 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
17/20 – Won a 3m or further chase race previously
16/20 – Won by a horse aged between 7 and 9 years-old
16/20  – Placed in the top four in their last race
16/20 – Won at least two chase races previously
15/20 –  Raced at the course previously (over fences)
14/20 – Won between 2 and 5 times over fences before
14/20 – Favourites placed
12/20 – Irish-bred horse
12/20 – Carried 11-1 or more in weight
11/20 – Raced already that season
11/20 – Raced at either Sandown (4), Wincanton (3) or Cheltenham (4) last time out
9/20 – Priced at double-figures
8/20 – Won their latest race
8/20 – Carried 10-7 or less in weight
8/20 – Favourites that won (1 joint, 1 Co)
8/20 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
6/20 – Ridden by a claiming conditional jockey (including 6 of the last 11 years)
4/20 – Won by the Pipe stable
Frodon (9/4) won the race in 2022

3.32 – Richard Barber Memorial Mares’ Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 2m5f ITV4

16/16 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Didn’t win last time out
14/16 – Aged 7 or younger
12/16 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Had won over at least 2m4f before (hurdles)
12/16 – Had won at least twice before (hurdles)
11/16 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
11/16 – Rated between 119-129
10/16 – Finished 2nd, 3rd or 4th last time out
9/16 – Aged 6 years-old
8/16 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
8/16 – Irish bred
7/16 – Had run at the track before
5/16 – Raced at Chepstow last time out
3/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of the last 12)
2/16 – Trained by Harry Fry (2 of the last 10)
2/16 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
2/16 – Trained by Alan King (last 2)
2/16 – Ridden by Tom Cannon (last 2)

Aintree Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.45 – Boylesports Grand Sefton Handicap Chase Cl2 2m5f110y ITV4

17/18 – Had between 1-4 previous chase wins
16/18 – Aged 8 or older
16/18 – Rated 124 or more
14/18 – Had won (chase) over at least 2m4f before
13/18 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
12/18 – Had run at Aintree before (5 over the GN style fences)
11/18 – Carried 10-12 or more
10/18 – Irish bred
9/18 – Returned a double-figure price
8/18 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
4/18 – Winning favourites
3/18 – Went onto run in that season’s Grand National
2/18 – Ridden by Sean Bowen
1/18 – Won last time out
14 of the last 17 winners were aged 8 or 9 years-old
Trainer Paul Nicholls has won 3 of the last 10 runnings

3.20 – Boylesports Acca Boost On Horse Racing Hurdle (Class 2) (4yo) 2m4f ITV4

8 previous runnings
7/8 - Aged 9 or younger
7/8 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
5/8 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
3/8 – Winning favourites
2/8 – Owned by Simon Munir and Isaac Souede
2/8 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/8 – Ridden by Nico de Boinville
Brewin’upastorm won the race in 2021

 

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