Tag Archive for: wincanton horse racing tips and trends

Saturday TV Trends: 19th Feb 2022

Another jam-packed Saturday of racing for the ITV horse racing team as they head to Ascot, Haydock and Wincanton to take in seven races across the three venues.

So, to help narrow down the fields, and point you in the direction of a few winners, then we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle – we hope they help!

 

ASCOT HORSE RACING TRENDS (ATR/ITV)

1.50 - Bateaux London Reynoldstown Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Cl1 2m7f180y ITV4

19/19 – Priced 17/2 or shorter in the betting
17/19 – Had run within the last 7 weeks
16/19 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
16/19 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences previously
15/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/19 – Won last time out
12/19 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
11/19 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s RSA Chase (2 winners)
10/19 – Irish bred
9/19 – Winners that went onto finish 5th or better in the RSA Chase
9/19 – Placed favourites
7/19 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/19 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/19 - Won by the Pipe Stable (2 of the last 7)
3/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/19 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/19 – Trained by Rebecca Curtis (2 of last 8)
2/19 – Trained by Colin Tizzard (2 of the last 3)

Note: The 2005 & 2006 - Run at Lingfield Park

 

2.25 – GreatBritishStallionShowcase.co,uk Swinley Chase (A Limited Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m7f180y ITV4

11/11 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
10/11 – Aged 8 or older
9/11 – Finished 5th or better last time out
8/11 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
7/11 – Won 1 or 2 chase races previously
7/11 – Raced at either Ascot (3) or Cheltenham (4) last time out
7/11 – Had raced at Ascot (fences) before
7/11 – Aged in double-figures
6/11 – Irish bred
5/11 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
4/11 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
4/11 – Winning distance head or shorter
2/11 – Won last time out
2/11 – Winning Favourites
2/11 – Trained by Venetia Williams
6 of the last 9 winners carried 11-0 or more
Ballyoptic (8/1) won the race in 2020
Regal Encore won the race in 2018, was third in 2019 and second in 2021

 

3.00 – Dingley’s Promise Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (GBB Race) (4yo+) 2m3 1/2f ITV4

15/16 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
14/16 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
10/16 – Winning distance – 1 1/2 or less
10/16 – Had won over 2m4f or further before
10/16 – Carried 10-12 or less
10/16 - Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/16 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
9/16 – Placed favourites
8/16 – Winners that went onto race at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
8/16 – Priced 8/1 or bigger
8/16 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
6/16 – Irish bred
6/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/16 – Had run at Ascot over hurdles before
3/16 – Winning favourite (1 joint)
3/16 – Raced at Sandown last time out
2/16 – Trained by Dr Richard Newland
2/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls

 

3.35 - Betfair Ascot Chase Grade 1 Cl1 2m5f110y ITV4

19/19 – Won over at least 2m4f (fences) previously
18/19– Priced at 15/2 or shorter in the market
17/19 – Winners from the top 3 in the market
16/19 – Winners that didn’t win their next start
16/19 – Ran within the last 7 weeks
15/19 – Officially rated 157 or higher
14/19 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
13/19 – Favourites placed
12/19 – Winning favourites
11/19 – Priced 2/1 or shorter in the market
10/19 – Won between 1-4 times over fences previously
8/19 – Won over fences at Ascot previously
8/19 – Won their last race
7/19 – Unplaced in their latest race
7/19 – Raced at Kempton (King George) last time out
5/19 – Winners that ran in that season’s Ryanair Chase (1 winner, Cue Card) later that year
3/19 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/19 – Trained by Alan King
2/19 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
10 of the last 15 winners returned 2/1 or shorter in the betting
Note: The 2005 & 2006 - Run at Lingfield Park
Waiting Patiently won this race in 2018
Dashel Drasher won the race in 2021
Riders On the Storm won the race in 2020

 

HAYDOCK HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV)

2.05 – William Hill Rendlesham Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m6f177y ITV4

18/19 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting
15/19 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
13/19 – Had won over at least 3m (hurdles) previously
13/19 – Rated 145 or higher
13/19 – Placed favourites
12/19 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or more
12/19 – Aged 8 or younger
12/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/19 – Had won at least 4 times over hurdles before
10/19 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
10/19 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
9/19 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s World Hurdle (no winners)
8/19– Had run at Haydock before
6/19 – French-bred
6/19 – Placed favourites
4/19 – Ran at Ascot last time out
3/19 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
2/19 – Winning favourites
1/19 – Winners that went onto win the Coral Cup at the Cheltenham Festival
Third Wind (9/2) won the race in 2021
Emitom (7/4 fav) won the race in 2020
Donna’s Diamond (7/1) won the race in 2018
Note: The 2003, 2004, 2005 - Run at Kempton Park

 

2.40 – William Hill Grand National Trial (Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m5f ITV4

19/19 – UK-based trained winners
19/19 – Had won between 2-4 times over fences (rules) before
17/19 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
15/19 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences (rules) before
15/19 – Aged 10 or younger
15/19 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
15/19 – Rated 135 or higher
14/19 – Finished in the top three last time out
13/19 – Aged 9 or younger
13/19 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
12/19 – Finished in the top two last time out
11/19 – Carried 11-0 or less
10/19 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
9/19 – Unplaced favourites
8/19 – Won last time out
8/19 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Grand National (all unplaced)
7/19 – Irish-bred winners
5/19 – Ran in the Welsh Grand National last time out
4/19 – Winners that won by exactly 15 lengths
3/19 – Won with 11-12 in weight
3/19 – Finished 1st or 2nd in the Welsh Grand National last time out
3/19 – Trained by Lucinda Russell
2/19 – Winning favourites
2/19 – Trained by Venetia Williams
5 of the last 7 winners returned 8/1 in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 18 runnings is 11/1

 

WINCANTON HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV4)

 

3.20 - Wincanton Matchbook Betting Exchange Kingwell Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 1m7f65y ITV4

18/18 – Raced within the last 8 weeks
17/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
16/18 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
16/18 – Favourites to finish in the top 3
16/18 – Had won at least 3 times over hurdles before
13/18 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
13/18 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Champion Hurdle (1 winner Katchit)
12/18 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
10/18 – Rated 155 or higher
8/18 – Winning favourites
8/18 – Won last time out
7/18 – Raced at Sandown last time out
4/18 – Trained by Alan King
3/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
1/18 – Winners that went onto win the World Hurdle (Inglis Drever)
Goshen (10/3) won this race in 2021

 

Saturday TV Trends Sat TV Trends: 8th Jan 2022

Another big day for the ITV4 horse racing cameras as they move to Wincanton and Sandown for more LIVE coverage, with the day’s feature race the Unibet Tolworth Hurdle.

Did you know? 14 of the last 17 Tolworth Hurdle winners came from the top three in the market.

Like every Saturday, here at GEEGEEZ we take you through all the key trends and stats to help you whittle down the runners and hopefully find a few winners.

 

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV4)

 

1.50 – Unibet Horserace Betting Operator Of The Year Handicap Chase Cl2 2m ITV4

15/15 – Won over at least 2m (chase) previously
14/15 – Ran within the last 2 months
14/15 – Priced 17/2 or shorter
12/15 – From the top 3 in the betting
12/15 – Won between 1-4 times over fences in the UK previously
11/15 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
11/15 – Officially rated 134 or higher
11/15 – Favourites placed
10/15 – Never raced at Sandown
10/15 – Carried 11-0 or more in weight
9/15 – Aged either 8 or 9 years-old
8/15 – Irish bred
8/15 – Winning Favourites
7/15 – Unplaced last time out
4/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/15 – Went onto win a race at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (Champion Chase, Grand Annual)
4/15 – Won their last race
4/15 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
Trainer Philip Hobbs has won 2 of the last 6 runnings
Ibleo won the race in 2021
Locker Room Talk won the race in 2020
Darebin won the race in 2019 and was 4th in 2020

 

2.25 – Unibet Tolworth Novices´ Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m110y ITV4

16/17 – Won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
16/17 – Placed 1st or 2nd in their last race
16/17 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
15/17 – Priced  5/1 or shorter
15/17 – Won by a horse aged either 5 or 6 years-old
14/17 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles previously
14/17 – Came from the top three in the market
13/17 – Won last time out
12/17 – Placed favourites
11/17 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
11/17 – Won by an Irish bred horse
9/17 – Won by a horse aged 5 years-old
9/17 – Winning Favourites
5/17 – Ran at either Sandown (3) or Newbury (2) last time out
4/17 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable
3/17 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable
3/17 – Ran at Sandown before
2/17 – Won by the Jonjo O’Neill stable
2/17 – Won the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle later that season (Summerville Boy, 2018 & Noland, 2006)
1/17 - Won the Neptune Investment Hurdle later that season (Yorkhill 2016)
5 or 6 years-old have won 23 of the last 29 runnings
Since 1988 ALL winners have been aged 7 or younger
The average winning SP in the last 18 runnings is 3/1

 

3.00 - Unibet Veterans´ Handicap Chase Final (The Final of The 2021 Veterans´ Chase Series) Cl2 3m37y ITV4

Just 6 previous runnings
Trainers Anthony Honeyball, Venetia Williams, Evan Williams, Charlie Longsdon, David Pipe and Sandy Thomson are past winners
6/6 – Ran in last 4 weeks
5/6 – 4+ wins over fences
5/6 – Unplaced last time out
5/6 – Carried 11-3 or less in weight
4/6 – Winners aged 11 or 12 years-old
4/6 – Unplaced favourites
4/6 – Officially rated between 135-145
2/6 – Winning favourite (joint)
Seeyouatmidnight won the race in 2021
Jepeck won the race in 2020

 

3.35 – Unibet Casino Deposit £10 Get £40 Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m110y ITV4

 

14/16 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles in the UK before
13/16 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
13/16 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
11/16 – Unplaced last time out
10/16 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
9/16 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
8/16 – Went onto finish unplaced in a Cheltenham Festival race that season
7/16 – Priced a double-figure price in the betting
7/16 – Raced at either Ascot (3) or Cheltenham (4) last time out
7/16 – From the top 3 in the betting
7/16 – Officially rated between 127 and 132
5/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
5/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Irish bred
2/16 – Trained by Oliver Sherwood
2/16 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/16 – Trained by Venetia Williams
2/16 – Winning favourites
4 of the last 8 winners were ridden by a claiming jockey
Guard Your Dreams won this race in 2021

 

 

Wincanton Horse Racing Betting Trends (RacingTV/ITV4)

 

1.30 - Stalbridge Handicap Hurdle Cl5 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m7f ITV4

Only 3 previous runnings
3/3 - Aged 7 or 8 years-old
2/3 - Returned a double-figure price
2/3 - Carried 11-8 or more in weight
0/3 - Winning favourites
Trainers Ben Pauling, Chris Gordon and Ron Harris have won this race before

 

2.05 - Hatherleigh Handicap Chase Cl3 (5yo+ 0-130) 1m 7 1/2f ITV4

Only 2 previous runnings
2/2 - Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
2/2 - Carried 10-10 or more in weight
2/2 - Aged 9 or younger
Trainers Milton Harris and Colin Tizzard have won this race before
Trainer Sam Thomas has a 75% record at the track with his chasers
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 26% record at the track with his chasers
Trainer Tom George is just 1 from 44 (2%) with his chasers at the track

 

2.40 - Montague Handicap Hurdle Cl3 (4yo+ 0-125) 2m 5 1/2f ITV4

5/5 - Ran in the last 6 weeks
4/5 - Returned 8/1 or shorter
4/5 - Aged between 5-7 years-old
4/5 - Won just once over hurdles before
3/5 - Finished in the top 3 last time out
3/5 - Unplaced favourites
3/5 - Had won over 2m4f (or further) over hurdles
2/5 - Winning favourites
2/5 - Had won a NH Flat race before

 

3.15 - Kingwell Lodge Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (5yo+ 0-150) 2m4f ITV4

10/10 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
8/10 – Finished in the top 6 last time out
8/10 – Aged between 7-9 years-old
8/10 – Won between 1-2 times over fences before
8/10 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Carried 11-5 or less in weight
7/10 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
5/10 – French bred
2/10 – Ran at Exeter last time out
2/10 – Trained by Tom George
2/10 - Trained by Philip Hobbs
1/10 – Winning favourite
1/10 – Won last time out

Saturday TV Trends Sat TV Trends: 6th Nov 2021

This Saturday the ITV cameras head to Wincanton with the Badger Beer Handicap Chase, their feature, plus they are also at Doncaster for the ultra-competitive November Handicap and also take in two Aintree contests as always, here at GeeGeez we've got all the trends and stats for the LIVE races….. 

 

Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

1.25 – Virgin Bet Handicap Cl2 7f ITV4

9/11– Had run at least 6 times before that season
9/11 – Won over at least 7f before
8/11 – Carried 9-1 or less
8/11 – Had run at Doncaster before
8/11 – Won at least 3 times in their career
8/11 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
7/11 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
7/11 – Officially rated between 88 and 93
6/11 – Carried 8-13 or less
5/11 – Unplaced last time out
4/11 – Returned a double-figure price
3/11 – Winning favourite
2/11 – Winning mares/fillies
 

2.05 – Betfair Wentworth Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV4

15/17 – Had at least 6 previous runs that season
15/17 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Had won over 6f before
14/17 – Won from stall 12 or lower
14/17 – Rated 99 or higher
14/17 – Aged 4 or older
12/17 – Had won at least 5 times before in their career
9/17 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
8/17 – Had won at Doncaster before
8/17 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
5/17 – Ran at York (3) or Newmarket (2) last time out
5/17 – Won last time out
2/17 – Trained by Richard Hannon
3/17 – Winning favourites
2/17 – Winning mare/filly
Dakota Gold (4/1) won the race in 2020
Note: The 2006 renewal was run at Windsor

 

 

2.40 – Virgin Bet November Handicap Cl2 1m4f ITV4

14/17 – Won between 2 and 4 races before
14/17 – Winners that came from draw 9 or higher
14/17 – Favourites that were unplaced
13/17 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or less
13/17 – Had raced at Doncaster before (6 had won)
12/17 – Had won over 1m4f before
12/17 – Had raced at least 5 times that season
12/17 – Placed last time out
11/17 – Won by a horse aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/17 – Won carrying 8-13 or less in weight
10/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/17 – Won last time out
3/17 -Trained by John Gosden (won it 6 times in all)
2/17 – Ridden by jockey Martin Dwyer
1/17 – Favourites that won
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 11/1
Just 1 winning favourite since 1995

 

Wincanton Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.50 - John Romans Park Homes ‘Rising Stars’ Novices Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV4

14/14 – Had won no more than twice over fences
13/14 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
12/14 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
11/14 – Irish (6) or French (5) bred
11/14 – Favourites placed
10/14 – Had won over 2m3f or further (Chase)
10/14 – Aged 6 or younger
9/14 – Won last time out
8/14 – Winning favourites
7/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/14 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
10 of the last 12 winners were aged between 5-7

 

2.25 – Richard Barber Memorial Mares’ Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 2m5f ITV4

14/14 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Didn’t win last time out
12/14 – Aged 7 or younger
10/14 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Had won over at least 2m4f before (hurdles)
10/14 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
10/14 – Had won at least twice before (hurdles)
9/14 – Rated between 119-129
8/14 – Finished 2nd, 3rd or 4th last time out
8/14 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
8/14 – Irish bred
8/14 – Aged 6 years-old
6/14 – Had run at the track before
5/14 – Raced at Chepstow last time out
3/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of the last 10)
2/14 – Trained by Harry Fry (2 of the last 8)
2/14 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan

 

3.00 - 60th Badger Beer Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 3m1f110y ITV4

18/18 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
16/18 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
16/18 – Won a 3m or further chase race previously
15/18 – Won by a horse aged between 7 and 9 years-old
15/18  – Placed in the top four in their last race
15/18 – Won at least two chase races previously
14/18 – Won between 2 and 5 times over fences before
14/18 –  Raced at the course previously (over fences)
12/18 – Favourites placed
11/18 – Irish-bred horse
11/18 – Raced already that season
11/18 – Carried 11-1 or more in weight
10/18 – Raced at either Sandown (4), Wincanton (3) or Cheltenham (3) last time out
8/18 – Priced at double-figures
8/18 – Won their latest race
7/18 – Carried 10-5 or less in weight
7/18 – Favourites that won (1 joint, 1 Co)
7/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
5/18 – Ridden by a claiming conditional jockey (including 5 of the last 10 years)
4/18 – Won by the Pipe stable
El Presente (11/1) won the race in 2020

 

3.35 - Unibet Elite Hurdle (A Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV4

16/17 – Aged 7 or younger
15/17 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Came from the top three in the betting
13/17 – Won between 2-5 times before (hurdles)
12/17 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
10/17 – Unplaced last time out
10/17 – Rated 150 or lower
9/17 – Having first run of the season
5/17 – Ran at Aintree last time out
5/17 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
5/17 – Won last time out
4/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/17 – Trained by John Quinn
2/17 - Trained by Alan King
Sceau Royal won this race in 2016 and 2020

 

 

Aintree Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.15 – Betway Grand Sefton Handicap Chase Cl2 2m5f110y ITV

15/16 – Had between 1-4 previous chase wins
14/16 – Aged 8 or older
14/16 – Rated 124 or more
12/16 – Had run at Aintree before (5 over the GN style fences)
12/16 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
12/16 – Had won (chase) over at least 2m4f before
10/16 – Irish bred
9/16 – Carried 10-12 or more
8/16 – Returned a double-figure price
6/16 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Went onto run in that season’s Grand National
2/16 – Ridden by Sean Bowen
1/16 – Won last time out
Beau Bay (20/1) won the race in 2020
Hogan’s Height (16/1) won the race in 2019
12 of the last 15 winners were aged 8 or 9 years-old

 

3.20 – Betway Hurdle (Class 2) (4yo) 2m4f

6 previous runnings
5/6 - Aged 9 or younger
5/6 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
4/6 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
3/6 – Winning favourites
2/6 – Owned by Simon Munir and Isaac Souede
2/6 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/6 – Ridden by Nico de Boinville
Summerville Boy won the race in 2020