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York Ebor Festival Trends: DAY FOUR (Sat 25th Aug 2018)

The York Ebor Festival concludes on Saturday 25th August 2018, as the four-day meeting heads into it's final day.

Four more LIVE ITV races to take in, including the Group Three Strensall Stakes, but the final day is always spearheaded by the Ebor Handicap - Europe's most valuable handicap - did you know that ALL of the last 16 Ebor Handicap winners carried 9-4 or less in weight, while 13 of the last 16 winners came from a double-figure stall?

As always, we'll be on-hand throughout the whole meeting to take you through the key trends for each day’s LIVE ITV races.

 

DAY FOUR - Saturday 25th August 2018

 

1.50 – Sky Bet Strensall Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m208y ITV

15/15 – Had won over at least a mile before
15/15 – Had won at least twice in the their career
14/15 – Had between 2 and 4 runs already that season
12/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/15 – Had won over a mile before
7/15 – Won by Godolphin
6/15 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/15 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
4/15 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
4/15 – Had won at York before
Mustashry (5/2 fav) won the race in 2017
Note: The 2009 running was a dead-heat

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2.25 – Sky Bet Melrose Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m6f ITV

13/15 – Not raced at York before
13/15 – Had 4 or more runs that season
11/15 – Won carrying 9-0 or less
11/15 – Had won over 1m4f or further
11/15 – Returned 9/1 or shorter
11/15 – Had a top 5 finish last time out
9/15 - Drawn in stall 8 or lower
4/15 – Winning favourites (1 co)
2/15 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
Secret Advisor (5/1 fav) won the race in 2017

 

3.00 – Sky Bet City Of York Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 7f ITV

14/15 – Failed to win last time out
14/15 – Aged 5 or younger
13/15 – Drawn in stalls 4 to 8 (inc)
12/15 – Priced 7/1 or shorter
11/15 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
11/15 – Never run at York before
11/15 – Winning distance 1 length or less
10/15 – Had 4 or more runs that season
6/15 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/15 – Won by Andrew Balding
2/15 – Won by Sir Michael Stoute
1/15 – Placed horses from stall 1
Talaayeb (9/1) won the race in 2017

 

3.40 – Sky Bet Ebor (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m6f ITV

16/16 – Carried 9-4 or less
15/16 – Aged 6 or younger
13/16 – Won from a double-figure stall
13/16 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
12/16 – Carried 9-1 or less
11/16 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
11/16 – Winning Distance - 1 length or less
9/16 – Had 3 or more runs already that season
8/16 – Unplaced favourites
7/16 – Had run at York before
5/16 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Irish-trained winners (4 of the last 9)
4/16 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
3/16 – Ran at Galway last time out
2/16 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/16 – Trained by Luca Cumani
2/16 – Placed horses from stall 1 (third 2011, third 2013)
1/16 – Winning favourites
Just one winning favourite since 1999
Trainer Luca Cumani won the race in 1999, 2004 & 2007
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 1980, 1991 & 1996
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 22/1

 

 

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York Ebor Festival Trends: DAY THREE (Fri 24th Aug 2018)

The York Ebor Festival continues on Friday 24th August 2018, as the four-day meeting heads into it's third day.

Four more LIVE ITV races to take in, including the Group Two Lonsdale Cup, but day three is all about the Group One Nunthorpe Stakes as we get a chance to see some of the best sprinters on the planet doing battle again - did you know 14 of the last 16 Nunthorpe winners came from stall 11 or lower, plus finished in the top 5 last time out?

As always, we'll be on-hand throughout the whole meeting to take you through the key trends for each day’s LIVE ITV races.

 

DAY THREE - Friday 24th August 2018

1.55 – Sky Bet Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m4f ITV

14/15 – Aged 5 or younger
14/15 – Had won over at least 1m2f before (6 over 1m4f)
13/15 – Had 3 or more runs already that season
13/15 – Had won at least twice on the flat before
11/15 – Carried 9-5 or less in weight
11/15 – Won from stall 8 or higher
11/15 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/15 – Ran at either Goodwood (4) or Newmarket (4) last time out
5/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (3) or Mark Johnston (2)
3/15 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
Fidaawy (11/1) won the race in 2017

 

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2.25 – Weatherbys Hamilton Lonsdale Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 2) Cl1 2m88y ITV

12/14 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
12/14 – Had 4 or more career wins
12/14 – Didn’t win last time out
11/14 – Had won over 1m6f or further before
10/14 – Raced 3 or more times that season
10/14 – Favourites placed
10/14 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/14 – Won a Listed or better class race before
8/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/14 – Had run at York before (6 won)
3/14 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
0/14 – Winners from stall 1
Montaly (16/1) won the race in 2017
Note: The 2008 renewal was run at Newbury

 

3.00 – Al Basti Equiworld Gimcrack Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 6f ITV

15/15 – Won just 1-2 times before
15/15 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
12/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
10/15 – Won just once before
10/15 – Foaled in March or later
10/15 – Had won over 6f before
9/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
3/15 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
3/15 – Trained by William Haggas
2/15 – Winning favourites
Sands Of Mali (14/1) won the race in 2017

 

3.35 - Coolmore Nunthorpe Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 5f ITV

14/16 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
14/16 – Had won over 5f before
14/16 – Came from stall 11 or lower
13/16 – Had an official rating of 108 or more
12/16 – Favourites to finish in the top 4
12/16 – Had run at the course before
11/16 – Were previous Group race winners
7/16 – Ran at Goodwood last time out (inc 6 of last 8)
4/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Ran at Sandown last time out
2/16 – Placed horses from stall 1 (3rd in 2003 & 2012)
6 of the last 7 renewals were won by fillies/mares
Marsha (8/1) won the race in 2017

 

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York Ebor Festival Trends: DAY TWO (Thurs 23rd Aug 2018)

The York Ebor Festival continues on Thursday 23rd August 2018, as the four-day meeting heads into it's second day.

Four more LIVE ITV races to take in, including the Group Two Lowther Stakes, plus the Group One Darley Yorkshire Oaks - did you know that ALL of the last 17 Yorkshire Oaks were aged 3 or 4 years-old, while 16 of the last 17 winners came from stalls 4 or higher

As always, we'll be on-hand throughout the whole meeting to take you through the key trends for each day’s LIVE ITV races.

 

DAY TWO - Thursday 23rd August 2018

 

1.55 - Skybet Lowther Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies) Cl1 6f ITV

15/16 – Had won over 5 or 6f before
15/16 – Had won at least once before
14/16 – Had 2 or more previous runs that season
14/16 – Had not run at York before
14/16 – Won by a Jan, Feb or March foal
13/16 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
12/16  - Drawn in stall 4 or higher
12/16 – Won last time out
6/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
2/16 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/16 – Trained by William Haggas
Threading (9/2) won the race in 2017
Note: 2008 renewal was run at Newmarket

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2.25 - Goffs Premier Yearling Stakes (CLASS 2) (2yo) 6f ITV

16/16 – Had 2 or more career runs
16/16 – Winning distance 2 lengths or less
16/16 – Had 1 or 2 career wins to their name
15/16 – Foaled in Feb or later
11/16 – Won from stall 10 or higher
11/16 – Placed favourites
11/16 – Foaled in Feb or March
6/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Trained by Brian Meehan
3/16 – Trained by William Haggas (inc 3 of last 5 winners)
2/16 – Trained by Tim Easterby
2/16 – Trained by Richard Hannon (last two)
2/16 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
2/16 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
0/16 – Placed horses from stall 1
Tangled (15/2) won the race in 2017
Note: 2008 renewal was run at Newmarket
2002, 2003, 2004, 2005 renewals were run at Doncaster

 

3.00 - Clipper Logistics Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV

14/15 – Had won 2 or more times before
13/15 -  Winning distance of 2 lengths or less
12/15 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/15 – Returned 15/2 or bigger in the betting
11/15 – Ran at either Ascot (4), Sandown (2), Goodwood (3) or Newmarket (2) last time out
11/15 – Won from stall 12 or lower
10/15 – Carried 9-0 or less
10/15 – Had 4 or more runs already that season
10/15 – Unplaced last time out
2/15 – Won by the Hills (Barry/Charlie) stable
1/15 – Winning favourites
Flaming Spear (10/1) won the race in 2017

 

3.35 - Darley Yorkshire Oaks (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) ITV

17/17 – Aged 3 (11) or 4 (6) years-old
16/17 – Drawn in stall 4 or higher
16/17 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
15/17 – Had at least 3 previous wins to their name
14/17 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
14/17 – Placed favourites
13/17 – Priced 7/2 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Had 3 or more runs already that season
12/17 – Previous Group 1 winners
11/17 – Had won over 1m4f before
7/17 – Winning favourites
7/17 – Had run in that season’s Epsom Oaks (2 winners)
4/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (Won it 8 times in all)
2/17  - Trained by Jim Bolger
Enable (1/4) won the race in 2017
Note: 2008 renewal was run at Newmarket

 

 

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York TV Trends: Thurs 17th May 2018

We’ve got all the trends that matter ahead of the LIVE ITV races from the second day (Thurs) of the York Dante Meeting, with Dante Stakes, a respected Epsom Derby Trial, the feature contest today - 4 of the last 16 Dante winners went onto win the Epsom Derby.

 

 

YORK HORSE RACING TRENDS (RUK/ITV)


2.20 – Betfred ‘Supports Jack Berry House’ Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 5f ITV

10/10 – Had raced at York before
9/10 – Returned a double-figure price
9/10 – Came from a single-figure draw
9/10 – Failed to win last time out
9/10 – Had won at least 4 times before
8/10 – Had run in the last 5 weeks
8/10 – Winning distance 3/4 length or shorter
8/10 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
8/10 – Aged 6 or older
6/10 – Returned between 10/1 and 16/1
6/10 – Favourites placed
5/10 – Rated between 87-92
5/10 – Carried 8-10 or less in weight
2/10 – Trained by Michael Easterby
0/10 – Winning favourites
Duke Of Firenze won the race in 2016 and 2017
Out Do won the race in 2015


2.55 – Betfred Middleton Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m2f88y ITV

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14/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/14 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
11/14 – Won over 1m2f before
10/14 – Priced 7/2 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Favourites placed
9/14 – Had won at least 4 times before
9/14 – Having first run of the season
7/14 – Wining favourites (including 5 of last 10)
7/14 – Had raced at York before
4/14 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/14 – Winners from stall 4
3/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Had won at York before
2/14 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/14 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
1/14 – Irish trained winners
1/14 – French trained winners
0/14 – Winners from stall 1


3.30 – Betfred Dante Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m2f88y ITV

14/16 – Winners that went onto run in the Epsom Derby (4 won)
13/16 – Finished third or better last time out
10/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Won their previous race
10/16 – Had a previous race that season
8/16 – Went onto be placed in the Epsom Derby
4/16 – Went onto win the Epsom Derby
3/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (won it 4 times in all)
3/16 - Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute (won it 6 times in all)
3/16 – Won by jockey Ryan Moore
3/16 – Had won over 1m2f before
2/16 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/16 – Ridden by William Buick
2/16 – Trained by John Gosden (two of last 3 runnings)
1/16 – Had run at York before
0/16 – Winners from stall 2
Just 1 winning favourite in the last 11 runnings
Golden Horn (2015) was the last Dante winner to go onto win the Epsom Derby
The average winning SP in the last 11 years is 9/1

 

 

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York TV Trends: Weds 16th May 2018

We’ve got all the trends that matter ahead of the LIVE ITV races from the opening day (Weds) of the York Dante Meeting – with the Duke Of York Clipper Stakes and the Musidora Stakes the two main events today.

 

 

YORK HORSE RACING TRENDS (RUK/ITV)

2.20 – Sky Bet First Race Special Jorvik Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m4f ITV

14/14 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
13/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/14 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
10/14 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
10/14 – Rated between 80 and 93
10/14 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
9/14 – Had won at least 3 times before
9/14 – Winners from stall 6 or higher
9/14 – Had won over 1m4f before
8/14 – Had run at York before
7/14 – Aged 5 years-old
6/14 – Unplaced last time out
5/14 – Winning favourites
4/14 – Won last time out
2/14 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/14 – Ridden by Tom Queally
2/14 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
0/14 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 13/2

 

2.55 - Infinity Tyres Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

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15/16 – Aged 6 or younger
14/16 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
13/16 – Had run at York before (5 won at the track before)
12/16 – Had won over this trip before
11/16 – Carried 8-12 or MORE
9/16 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
9/16 – Finished unplaced last time out
7/16 – Returned either 6/1 or 7/1 in the betting
8/16 – Won by a 4 year-old
4/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/16 – Won their previous race
1/16 – Winning outright favourite
Trainer Michael Easterby won the race in 2011 & 2014
Trainer David O’Meara wont he race in 2018 and 2015
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/1

 

3.30 - Duke of York Clipper Logistics Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 6f ITV

15/16 – Came from stall 9 or lower
14/16 – Previous Listed or Group Three winners
14/16 – Had won over 6f before
12/16 – Had run at York before
11/16 – Came from stall 7 or lower
12/16 – Had a previous race that season
11/16 – Won by either a 4 or 5 year-old
10/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/16 – Unplaced last time out
6/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/16 – Won by the favourite
4/16 – Won their last race
4/16 – Had won a Group One race previously in their career
2/16 – Ridden by Jim Crowley
Tasleet won the race in 2017
Magical Memory won the race in 2016 and was second in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 14/1

 

4.05 - Tattersalls Musidora Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 1m2f88y ITV

15/16 – Had won a race before
14/16 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Came from stalls 1-4 (inc)
12/16 – Had a previous run that season
12/16 – Finished 4th or better last time
10/16 – Went onto run in the Epsom Oaks
8/16 – Won by the favourite
8/16 – Won their previous race
5/16 – Previous distance winners over 1m2f
5/16 – Trained by John Gosden (5 of the last 7)
4/16 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (last 3)
3/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/16 – Ridden by William Buick
1/16 – Went onto win the Epsom Oaks (Sariska 2009)
0/16 – Had run at York before
10 of the last 12 winners returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/2
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has never won the race

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 26th Aug 2017

Another jam-packed Saturday of horse racing action as we’ve the final day of the York Ebor Festival, plus the ITV cameras are also at Goodwood – as always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered with key trends and stats.

 

Saturday 26th August 2017

 

York Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.55 - Betfred Mobile Strensall Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m208y ITV

14/14 – Had won over at least a mile before
14/14 – Had won at least twice in the their career
13/14 – Had between 2 and 4 runs already that season
11/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/14 – Had won over a mile before
9/14 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
9/14 – Favourites to finish in the top three
8/14 – Placed horses from stall 2
7/14 – Unplaced last time out
7/14 – Won by Godolphin
7/14 – Previous Group race winners
6/14 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
5/14 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/14 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
4/14 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
4/14 – Had won at York before
Scottish (5/1) won the race in 2016
Note: The 2009 running was a dead-heat

2.25 - Betfred Melrose Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m6f ITV

12/14 – Not raced at York before
12/14 – Had 4 or more runs that season
11/14 – Won carrying 9-0 or less
11/14 – Had won over 1m4f or further
10/14 – Returned 9/1 or shorter
10/14 – Had a top 5 finish last time out
9/14 - Drawn in stall 8 or lower
7/14 – Winning distance 1 length or less
6/14 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
5/14 – Won their previous race
3/14 – Winning favourites (1 co)
2/14 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
Wall Of Fire (16/1) won the race in 2016

 

3.00 – Al Basti Equiworld Gimcrack Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 6f ITV

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14/14 – Won just 1-2 times before
14/14 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
12/14 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
9/14 – Won just once before
9/14 – Foaled in March or later
9/14 – Had won over 6f before
9/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/14 – Unplaced favourites
6/14 – Won by a March foal
5/14 – Won last time out
4/14 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
3/14 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
3/14 – Trained by William Haggas
2/14 – Ridden by Jimmy Fortune
2/14 – Winning favourites
Blue Point (11/8 fav) won the race in 2016

3.35 - Betfred Ebor (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m6f ITV

15/15 – Carried 9-4 or less
14/15 – Aged 6 or younger
12/15 – Won from a double-figure stall
12/15 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
11/15 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
11/15 – Carried 9-1 or less
10/15 – Winning Distance - 1 length or less
9/15 – Had 3 or more runs already that season
8/15 – Unplaced favourites
6/15 – Had run at York before
5/15 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/15 – Won last time out
4/15 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
3/15 – Ran at Galway last time out
2/15 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/15 – Trained by Luca Cumani
2/15 – Placed horses from stall 1 (third 2011, third 2013)
1/15 – Winning favourites
Just one winning favourite since 1999
Luca Cumani has won the race in 1999, 2004 & 2007
Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 1980, 1991 & 1996
Heartbreak City (15/2) won the race in 2016
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 22/1

Goodwood Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.10 – Prestige Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV

11/12 – Finished in the top three last time out
12/12 – Had won over 6 or 7f before
11/12 – Winning distance 1 ¼ lengths or less
10/12 – Had no more than 2 previous runs
9/12 – Placed favourites
9/12 – Had won just once before
9/12 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
8/12 – Won by either a Feb or March foal
8/12 – Won last time out
6/12 – Won over 7f before
5/12 – Winning favourites
5/12 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/12 – Trained by John Gosden
Kilmah (5/1) won the race in 2016

 

2.45 – Grosvenor Sport Handicap Cl2 7f ITV

11/12 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
11/12 – Had 3 or more runs that season
10/12 – Had won 3 or more times before
10/12 – Had won over 7f before
10/12 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
10/12 – Placed favourites
10/12 – Aged 4 or older
10/12 – Finished 5th or better last time out
8/12 – Carried 9-0 or more
7/12 – Had run at Goodwood before
4/12 – Previous course and distance winners
5/12 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
3/12 – Won last time out
Certificate (7/2 fav) won the race in 2016

3.20 - Grosvenor Sport Celebration Mile (Group 2) Cl1 1m ITV

11/12 – Winning distance 1 ½ lengths or shorter
10/12 – Had won a Listed or better class race before
10/12 – Aged 5 or younger
10/12 – Had won over a mile before
9/12 – Had won 4 or more times before
9/12 – Priced 7/1 or less
8/12 – Had 3 or more runs that season
7/12 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
7/12 – Previous Group winners
7/12 – Had run at Goodwood before (3 CD winners)
6/12 – Ran at either Goodwood (3) or Newbury (3) last time out
4/12 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3/12 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/12 – Won by a mare
2/12 – Won last time out
Lightning Spear (4/1) won the race in 2017

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 29th July 2017

Another big Saturday of horse racing action with the ITV cameras heading to Ascot for four races that include the Group One King George VI And Queen Elizabeth Stakes, while they are also at York to take in three more contests that include the Skybet Dash.

As always, we’ve got is all covered with all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle.

 

 

Saturday 29th July 2017

 

ASCOT Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

1.50 – Princess Margaret Juddmonte Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 6f ITV

12/14 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/14 – Had won just once before
11/14 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
11/14 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
10/14 – Foaled in either Feb or March
9/14 – Won over 6f before
8/14 – Winning favourite
5/14 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/14 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/14 – Won last time out
2/14 – Won by the Hannon yard
2/14 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
5 of the last 11 winners were Irish bred
7 of the last 11 horses from stall 1 were placed
4 of the last 6 winners came from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/2
Fair Eva (4/6 fav) won the race 12 months ago
Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newbury

 2.25 – Porsche Handicap Cl2 1m ITV

Only 6 previous runnings
5/6 – Carried 8-8 or more
5/6 – Winners between stalls 9-15
5/6 – Had won just once before
3/6 – Won last time out
4/6 – Unplaced favourites
3/6 – Returned 10/1 or bigger in the betting
3/6 – Raced at Ascot last time out
2/6 – Irish bred
1/6 – Winning favourite
Mustashry (8/1) won the race 12 months ago
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute won the race 12 months ago
Trainer William Haggas won the race in 2014
Trainer Hughie Morrison won the race in 2012

 3.00 – Gigaset International Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV

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14/14 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
14/14 – Had raced at Ascot previously
14/14 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
11/14 – Won over 7f previously
11/14 – Favourites unplaced
11/14 – Carried 8-9 or more in weight
10/14 – Won between 2-4 times previously
9/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
9/14 – Winners that came from outside the top three in the market
9/14 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
9/14 – Aged 4 years-old
5/14 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
4/14 – Won their last race
4/14 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/14 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/14 – Trained by Clive Cox
2/14 – Ridden by Jimmy Quinn
1/14 – Favourites
Librisa Bereeze (4/1 fav) won the race 12 months ago
8 of the last 10 winners ran at either Ascot, Newmarket or Haydock last time out
7 of the last 10 winners came from a double-figure stall
7 of the last 10 winners finished in the top 5 last time out
Heavens Guest won the race in 2015
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 21/1
Note: The 2005 running was staged at Newbury

 

3.35 – King George VI And Queen Elizabeth Stakes (Sponsored By Qipco British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m4f ITV

15/15 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
15/15 – Previous Group 1 or 2 winners
14/15 – Had 2 or more runs already that season
13/15 – Had won over 1m4f before
12/15 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Placed last time out
11/15 – Previous Group 1 winner
9/15 – Had run Ascot before
8/15 – Won their previous race
7/15 – Favourites that won
7/15 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
5/15 – Won at Ascot before
3/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 1981, 1983, 2002, 2009 & 2010
Saeed Bin Suroor won the race in 1995, 1997, 1998, 1999 & 2004
Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2001, 2007, 2008 & 2016
The average winning SP in the last 15 runnings is 7/2

YORK Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.05 – Win £10,000 for Free At sportinglife.com/pick7 Now Handicap Cl2 7f ITV

9/9 – Carried 9-3 or more
8/9 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
8/9 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
7/9 – Had won over 7f before
7/9 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
5/9 – Had won at York before
4/9 – Rated between 73 and 80
4/9 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
3/9 – Returned 4/1 in the betting
2/9 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/9 – Won by the David O’Meara yard
1/9 – Won last time out
Get Knotted (11/2) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 6/1

 

2.40 – Sky Bet Dash (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

13/13 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
12/13 – Carried 8-12 or more
12/13 – Had won between 2-6 times before
12/13 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/13 – Aged 5 or younger
10/13 – Drawn in stall 10 or lower
9/13 – Placed favourites
8/13 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
8/13 – Raced at either Hamilton, York, Newmarket or Ascot last time
7/13 – Had run at York before
6/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/13 – Won last time out
8 of the last 11 winners carried 9-0 or more
Kimberella (9/2 fav) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

3.15 – Sky Bet York Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m2f88y ITV

10/11 – Aged 6 or younger
10/11 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
9/11 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
8/11 – Horses from stall one that finished in the top two
8/11 – Had won over 1m2f before
8/11 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
8/11 – Had won at least 4 times before
7/11 – Rated between 112 and 117
6/11 – Ran at Sandown last time out
6/11 – Had run at York before
5/11 – Winning favourites
3/11 – Aged 6 years-old
2/11 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
Time Test (1/2 fav) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 17th June 2017

More LIVE ITV action this Saturday as the cameras head to Sandown, York and Musselburgh this and as always we've got all the key trends & stats to help you narrow down the fields, and hopefully point you in the direction of a few winners.

 

Saturday 17th June 2017

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

2.40 – Randox Health Scurry Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f6y ITV4

12/12 – Returned 10/1 or shorter
10/12 – Had won over 5f before
10/12 – Placed favourites
10/12 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/12 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
8/12 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
8/12 – Had won at least 3 times before
7/12 – Came from stall 7 or higher
7/12 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
7/12 – Winning favourites
7/12 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
7/12 – Irish bred
6/12 – Had won a Listed or Group 3 race before
5/12 – Ran at either Haydock (3) or Beverley (2) last time out
2/12 – Trained by Michael Bell
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 3/1
Trainer William Haggas has 31% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer John Gosden has 21% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Charles Hills has just 2 from 40 with his 3 year-olds at the track
Ryan Moore has a 26% record riding 3 year-olds at the track

York Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

1.50 – Queen Mother´s Cup (Lady Amateur Riders) (Handicap) Cl3 1m4f ITV4

13/14 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
12/14 – Carried 9-11 or more
12/14 – Aged 6 or younger
12/14 – Had run over 1m4f or further previously
11/14 – Had at least 2 previous runs already that season (flat)
11/14 – Rated between 80-89
11/14 – Had won over 1m4f or further before
10/14 – Won from a single-figure stall
9/14 – Favourites placed in the top four
9/14 – Had run at York before
9/14 – Winning distance – 3/4 length or less
8/14 – Had won at least 3 times before (flat)
7/14 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
7/14 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
6/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
4/14 – Winners that came from stalls 3 or 4
4/14 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/14 – Won by trainer Tim Easterby (including last year)
3/14 – Won last time out
2/14 – Won by trainer Luca Cumani
2/14 – Ridden by Miss J Coward
0/14 – Placed horses from stall 2
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 10/1

2.20 – JCB Handicap Cl2 7f ITV4

Only 2 previous runnings
Both winners were aged 4 years-old
Both winners came from single-figure stalls
No winning favourites
Trainer Charles Hills won the race in 2015
Trainer Charles Hills has a 17% record with his older horses at the track
Trainer Richard Fahey is just 12 from 254 (5%) with his older horses at the track
Trainer Mark Johnston is just 3 from 57 (5%) with his older horses at the track
Trainer John Quinn is just 2 from 54 (4%) with his older horses at the track
Trainer Michael Easterby is just 5 from 140 (4%) with his older horses at the track

2.55 – Best Western Hotels Ganton Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m ITV4

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Only 5 previous runnings
5/5 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
5/5 – Aged 5 or younger
4/5 – Irish bred
4/5 – Placed favourites
4/5 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
3/5 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
3/5 – Had won a Listed (or better) race before
3/5 – Winning favourites
2/5 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
The average winning SP in the last 5 runnings is 3/1

3.30 – Catherine Kinlocj Paver Memorial Macmillan Sprint (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV4

11/12 – Rated between 87-97
10/12 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
10/12 – Had won over 6f before
9/12 – Unplaced favourites
9/12 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
8/12 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
8/12 – Had won between 1-2 times before
6/12 – Irish bred
6/12 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
4/12 – Won last time out
2/14 – Won by Tim Easterby (inc 2 of the last 4 runnings)
0/14 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 11/1
Trainer Hugo Palmer is 4 from 12 (33%) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Clive Cox is 2 from 9 (22%) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Fahey is only 5 from 127 (4%) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Andrea Atzeni is 7 from 33 (21%) riding 3 year-olds at the track
Paul Hanagan is only 1 from 46 riding 3 year-olds at the track

Musselburgh Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

2.05 - William Hill Tartan Trophy (A Consolation For Scottish Sprint Cup) (Handicap) Cl3 5f ITV4

Only 3 previous runnings
Meadway won the race 12 months ago
3/3 - Aged 4 or 5 years-old
3/3 - Carried 9-5 or more
2/3 - Came from double-figure stalls
Trainer David Baron is just 2 from 35 with his older horses at the track
Trainer Richard Fahey has a 17% record with this older horses at the track

3.10 – William Hill Scottish Sprint Cup (A Heritage Handicap) Cl2 5f ITV4

12/13 – Won over 5f before
11/13 – Favourites that finished in the top 5
10/13 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
10/13 -  Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/13 – Carried 9-1 or less
9/13 – Had won between 2-5 times before
9/13 – Came from a double-figure stall
8/13 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
8/13 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
8/13 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
6/13 – Won last time out
4/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Trained by Bryan Smart
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 16/1

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 8th Oct 2016

Sat TV Trends: 8th Oct 2016 - More LIVE C4 action this Saturday for day two of the Newmarket Cesarewitch Meeting. Plenty to get stuck into again with the ultra-competitive Betfred Cesarewitch Handicap one of the key betting races of the flat turf season, while the race is supported by the Autumn & Dewhurst Stakes.

The C4 cameras are also at York to take in four races, with the feature being the Coral Sprint Trophy.  As always we’ll have all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle, plus our verdicts on each race.

 

tvtrends-300x73
 

 

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (RUK/C4)

 

2.20 - Dubai Business Internships´ Fund Fillies´ Nursery Handicap Cl2 7f CH4

Just 2 previous runnings
Trainer Karl Burke won the race in 2014
Trainer Charlie Appleby has a 23% record with his 2 year-olds at the track
Trainer Karl Burke has a 20% record with his 2 year-olds at the track
Trainer Andrew Balding is just 1 from 41 (2%) with his 2 year-olds at the track
Trainer Michael Bell is just 2 from 38 (5%) with his 2 year-olds at the track
Jockey Jamie Spencer is only 1 from 49 (2%) riding 2 year-olds at the track

 

2.55 - Dubai 100 Autumn Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m CH4

11/11 – Had won over at least 7f before
11/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
10/11 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
10/11 – Had raced at least twice before
9/11 – Placed favourites
8/11 – Foaled in Feb or March
8/11 – Won between 1-2 times before
8/11 – Won last time out
8/11 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
6/11 – Irish bred
4/11 – Winning favourites
1/11 – Irish-trained winners

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Note: From 2009 back the race was staged at ASCOT, while the 2005 running was at Salisbury

 

3.30 - Dubai Dewhurst Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 7f CH4

13/14 – Raced at least 3 times that season
13/14 – Yet to race at Newmarket (Rowley)
12/14 – Placed in their last race
11/14 – Won over 7f previously
10/14 – Favourites placed
9/14 – Raced at either Goodwood (2), Longchamp (2) or the Curragh (5) last time out
9/14 – Won at least 3 times previously
9/14 – Won their last race
9/14 – Won a Group race previously
8/14 – Foaled in either  Feb or March
8/14 – Won by an Irish-based stable
6/14 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
6/14 – Favourites that won
5/14 – Returned 20/1 or bigger
5/14 – Placed horses that came from stall 2
5/14 – Trained by Jim Bolger
5/14 – Ridden by Kevin Manning
4/14 – Finished in the top 2 in the 2000 Guineas the following season
2/14 – Won the Epsom Derby the following season
0/14 – Winners that came from stall 1
The Irish have won 8 of the last 10 runnings

 

4.10 – Betfred Cesarewitch (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m2f CH4

13/14 – Aged 4 or older
12/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
11/14 – Had won over at least 1m6f on the flat before
11/14 – Had run within the last 2 months
11/14 – Carried 9-1 or less
10/14 – Had 3 or more previous flat runs that season
10/14 – Finished 4th or better last time out
10/14 – Aged 5 or older
9/14 – Drawn in stall 12 or lower
9/14 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
8/14 – Had run at the track before
8/14 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
8/14 – Had won 4 or more times on the flat before
7/14 – Placed favourites
7/14 – Ran at either Ascot, Chester or Doncaster last time out
7/14 – The first three home returned a double-figure price
7/14 – Won by a NH trainer
3/14 – Winning mares
3/14 – Winners from stall 1
2/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/14 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 14 years is 25/1
Just 2 winning favourites since 1993

 

York Horse Racing Trends (RUK/C4)

 

2.35 - Download The Coral App Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m2f88y CH4

Just three previous running
Trainer Luca Cumani won the race in 2013
Trainer Charlie Appleby won the race in 2014
Trainer David O’Meara won the race in 2015
Chancery won the race in 2015
2 of the last 3 winners were 3 year-olds
Sir Michael Stoute has a 22% record with his 3 year-olds here
Richard Fahey is just 7 from 130 (5%) with his 3 year-olds here
Ed Dunlop is just 1 from 27 (5%) with his 4+year-olds here
No winning favourite yet

 

3.10 – coral.co.uk Rockingham Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f CH4

13/13– Had raced within the last month
12/13 – Foaled in March or later
12/13 – Had won between 1 and 3 times before
11/13 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Had won over 6f before
10/13 – Had 4 or more runs that season
10/13 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
10/13 – Had never raced at York before
8/13 – Placed favourites
6/13 – Unplaced last time out
6/13 – Ran at either Redcar (4) or Newbury (2) last time out
5/13 – Won last time out
5/13 – Winning favourites
4/13 – Winners from stall 2
3/13 – Filly winners
3/13 – Placed horses from stall 1
2/13 – Trained by Tim Easterby


3.45 – Coral Sprint Trophy (Handicap) Cl2 6f CH4

13/13 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
13/13 – Had won at least 3 races before
12/13 – Had raced 6 or more times that season
12/13 – Had run at York before
12/13 – Had won a race over 6f before
9/13 – Carried 9-1 or less
9/13 – Aged 5 or younger
8/13 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/13 – Rated between 92 and 98
8/13 – Unplaced favourites
7/13 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
7/13 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
7/13 – Winning distance – ¾ lengths or less
4/13 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/13 – Won last time out
2/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/13 – Trained by Michael Dods
1/13 – Filly or mare winners

 

 

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"Check Em Tuesday ran well last time out but this looks quite competitive with the favourite (Ice Alert) winning very easily a week ago. We think he will be difficult to beat, but if our filly handles this surface (she is trying it for the first time) then she would have a small each way chance at a decent price."
Mark Loughnane

04/10/16 1st 8/1

 

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