2025 Lincoln Handicap Trends geegeez.co.uk

Billed as the feature race on the first Saturday of the new British flat racing turf season, the Lincoln Handicap is run over a distance of 1m at Doncaster racecourse.

In recent years, the race has been dominated by horses aged 4 years-old, winning 11 of the last 21 renewals, while with three wins in the last 16 runnings trainer William Haggas is one of the men to look out for.

Weight-carried has been a big trend in recent years with 19 of the last 21 winners carrying 9-4 or less, while 10 of the last 21 (48%) were officially rated between 95-100.

Despite, being a competitive handicap the favourites in the betting don’t have too bad a record either with 4 of the last 21 (19%) winning, but also note that 14 of the last 21 favourites were also unplaced - including the 2024 jolly Chazzesmee.

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Lincoln Handicap Betting Trends

20/21 – Aged 6 or younger
19/21 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
18/21 – Had won over at least 1m before
17/21 – Had won between 2-4 times before
16/21 – Having their first run of the flat season
15/21 – Drawn in stall 9 or higher
15/21 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
14/21 – Unplaced favourites
13/21 – Returned a double figure price in the betting
11/21 – Aged 4 years-old
10/21 – Officially rated between 95-100
10/21 – Placed first or second last time out
9/21 – Had raced at Doncaster before
8/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/21 – Won last time out
8/21 – Raced at either Newmarket or Lingfield last time out
6/21 – Placed horses from stall 12 (2 winners)
5/21 - Placed horses from stall 16 (1 winner)
4/21 – Winning favourites (1 in the last 10 runnings)
3/21 – Trained by William Haggas
2/21 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/21 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
2/21 – Trained by John Quinn
2/21 - Trained by John Gosden
2/21 - Ridden by Benoit De La Sayette (2 of last 3)
2/21 – Ridden by James Doyle (2 of last 4)
10 of the last 14 winners carried between 9-0 and 9-4 in weight
Just 1 winner has carried 9-10 in the last 38 runnings
8 of the last 10 winners aged 4 or 5
The average winning SP in the last 21 runnings is 14.5/1
Just two back-to-back winners in the past (Ob, 1906/07 & Babur 1957/58)
Migration (18/1) won the race in 2023
Johan (28/1) won the race in 2022

Lincoln Handicap Recent Winners

2024 - MR PROFESSOR (33/1)
2023 – MIGRATION (18/1)
2022 – JOHAN (28/1)
2021 - HAQEEQY (9/2)
2020 - No Race (Covid)
2019 – AUXERRE (5/2 fav)
2018 – ADDEYBB (5/1)
2017 – BRAVERY (20/1)
2016 – SECRET BRIEF (12/1)
2015 – GABRIAL (12/1)
2014 – OCEAN TEMPEST (33/1)
2013 – LEVITATE (20/1)
2012 – BRAE HILL (25/1)
2011 – SWEET LIGHTNING (16/1)
2010 – PENITENT (3/1 fav)
2009 – EXPRESSO STAR (10/3 fav)
2008 – SMOKEY OAKEY (10/1)
2007 – VERY WISE (9/1)
2006 – BLYTHE KNIGHT (22/1)
2005 – STREAM OF GOLD (5/1 fav)
2004 – BABODANA (20/1)
2003 - PABLO (5/1)