Staged at Fairyhouse racecourse the 2026 Irish Grand National is run over a trip of 3m5f with 24 fences to be jumped.
The gruelling contest is always staged on Easter Monday, which this year falls on 6th April 2025. While several Irish Grand National winners have also won the Aintree Grand National, but none in the same season – I Am Maximus, Bobbyjo and Numbersixvalverde are recent examples of this.
But this year the Irish National comes BEFORE the Aintree Grand National, which is on 11th April.
Regarding the stats - did you know?
The 19 of the last 22 winners carried 10-13 or less in weight, while 16 of the last 22 successful horses were Irish-bred.
We’ve also seen just three winning favourites in the last 22 renewals, while in 2021 we saw a 150/1 winner of the race - FREEWHEELIN DYLAN - and 11 of the last 22 returned 20/1+.
To prove any horse really can win this National.
I Am Maximus (2023) gave Willie Mullins just his second win in the race but also provided Paul Townend with his first. As mentioned he went onto win the Aintree Grand National the following season.
In 2024 Intense Raffles won the Irish National, but despite being well-fancied for the Aintree National was pulled up.
While last year (2025) the Rebecca Curtis-trained Haiti Couleurs raided Ireland to win the Irish Grand National - he went onto win the Welsh National the following season (2025/26)
Recent Irish Grand National Winners
2025 - HAITI COULEURS (13/2)
2024 - INTENSE RAFFLES (13/2)
2023 – I AM MAXIMUS (8/1)
2022 – LORD LARIAT (40/1)
2021 - FREEWHEELIN DYLAN (150/1)
2020 - No Race (Covid)
2019 – BURROWS SAINT (6/1 fav)
2018 - GENERAL PRINCIPLE (20/1)
2017 – OUR DUKE (9/2 fav)
2016 – ROGUE ANGEL (16/1)
2015 – THUNDER AND ROSES (20/1)
2014 – SHUTTHEFRONTDOOR (8/1 fav)
2013 – LIBERTY COUNSEL (50/1)
2012 – LION NA BEARNAI (33/1)
2011 – ORGANISEDCONFUSION (12/1)
2010 – BLUESEA CRACKER (25/1)
2009 – NICHE MARKET (33/1)
2008 – HEAR THE ECHO (33/1)
2007 – BUTLER’S CABIN (14/1)
2006 – POINT BARROW (20/1)
2005 – NUMBERSIXVALVERDE (9/1)
2004 – GRANIT D’ESTRUVAL (33/1)
2003 – TIMBERA (11/1)
Irish Grand National Betting Trends
20/22 – Won over at least 3m previously
20/22 – Winning distance – 5 lengths or less
19/22 – Carried 10-13 or LESS
19/22 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
19/22 – Aged 9 or younger
17/22 – Won by an Irish-based trainer
16/22 – Irish bred
16/22 – Carried 10-8 or LESS
16/22 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
15/22 – Returned a double-figure (or triple-figure) price
14/22 – Had raced at Fairyhouse previously
13/22 – Carried 10-6 or LESS
13/22 – Unplaced favourites
13/22 – Finished fourth or better last time out
11/22 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
11/22 – Rated between 130-137
5/22 – Won by an English-based trainer
5/22 – Won last time out
3/22 – Ran at Navan last time out
3/22 – Winning favourites (3 in the last 11)
2/22 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill (2007 & 2014)
2/22 – Trained by Thomas Gibney (2 in last 13)
Trainer Dermot A McLoughlin has trained 2 of the last 5
Trainer Willie Mullins has trained 2 of the last 6
Trainer Gordon Elliott has only won the race once (2018, General Principle)
Only 5 winners since 1996 have carried 11st 1lb+ (but 2 of the last 3 carried 11-1+)
11 of the last 22 winners returned 20/1 +
The average winning SP in the last 22 years is 25/1
Only 4 British-trained winners since 2005
Only 4 horses since 2000 to win with more than 11-0, Intense Raffles (2024), I Am Maximus (2023), Our Duke (2017) & Commanche Court (2000)
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The ITV horse racing cameras are at Haydock and Musselburgh this Saturday to take in SEVEN LIVE races across the two venues.
At Haydock the Challenger Two Mile Hurdle Series Final Handicap at 2:05pm is one of the features.
While at Musselburgh there are four LIVE ITV races - that include the Queen's Cup Handicap over 1m6f - a race Wise Eagle won in 2023 and is back for more in 2026.
As always, we've got all the key trends and stats for each of the LIVE ITV Racing contests.
HAYDOCK Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)
2:12 – Pertemps Network Challenger Stayers Hurdle Series Final Handicap Hurdle Cl2 1m7f144y ITV
9 previous runnings
Trainers Harry Derham (2), Gary Moore, Neil King, Dan Skelton, Jonjo O’Neill, Donald McCain, Tom George and Nigel Twiston-Davies have won the race before
7/9 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
7/9 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
6/9 – Winners carried 10-13 or less in weight (last two 12st)
5/9 – Carried 10-8 or less
6/9 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
4/9 – Winners returned between 8/1 and 11/1
4/9 – Rated between 115-119
4/9 – Irish Bred
3/9 – Ridden by a claiming jockey
2/9 – Winning favourites
2/9 – Ridden by Paul O’Brien
5 of the last 6 winners aged 5 or 6
Trainer Chris Gordon has a 43% SR with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Jamie Snowden has a 25% SR with his hurdlers at the track
2:46 – Challenger Stayers Hurdle Series Final Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 3m 1/2f ITV
9/9 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
8/9 – Won at least twice over hurdles before
7/9 – Finished in the top three last time out
6/9 – Carried 11-3 or more in weight
5/9 – Had run at the track before
5/9 – Rated between 121-126
4/9 – Unplaced favourites
3/9 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
3/9 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/9 – Ridden by Jonjo O’Neill Jr
Secret Trix (11/1) won the race in 2024
2 of the last 6 winners ridden by a claimer
Trainer Chris Gordon has a 43% SR with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Jamie Snowden has a 25% SR with his hurdlers at the track
2 previous renewals
Both winners aged 10
The Flier Begley (5/1) won this in 2025
Numitor (100/30 fav) won this in 2024
Trainer Dan Skelton has a 26% SR with his chasers at the track
3 previous runnings
3/3 – Returned 5/1 or shorter
Trainer Ewan Whillans, Sam England and Ryan Potter have won the race before
MUSSELBURGH Horse Racing Trends (Racing TV/ITV)
1:25 – Virgin Bet A Good Bet Royal Mile Handicap (Class 3) (3yo) 1m ITV
3 previous runnings
Trainers Charlie Johnston, Karl Burke and Richard Fahey have won the race in the past
3/3 - winners came between stalls 6-8
3/3 - winners carried 9-7 or more
3/3 - winners returned 4/1 or shorter
Trainer William Haggas has an 44% strike-rate with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Karl Burke has an 28% strike-rate with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer David O’Meara is only 2-24 (8%) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Danny Tudhope has a 31% strike-rate riding 3 year-olds at the track
10/11 – Didn’t win last time out
9/11 – Drawn 4 or lower
9/11 – Winning distance 2 lengths or less
9/11 – Had won over 7f before
9/11 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
8/11 – Returned 6/1 or shorter
8/11 – Placed favourites
8/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
7/11 – Finished in the top 4 last time out (1 win)
7/11 – Aged 4 or 5 years old
6/11 – Run at Musselburgh before (5 won)
6/11 – Winners stalls 1 or 2
3/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Won by trainers David & Nicola Barron (2 of the last 3)
Persuasion (18/1) won this race in 2025
Gweedore was 2nd in 2025
Last 9 winners from stall 5 or lower
8 of the last 9 winners stalls 1, 2 or 4
2:30 – Virgin Bet Goliath Cup Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m6f ITV
No past winners
Trainer Karl Burke has a 33% (4-12) SR with is 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer James Owen has a 60% (3-5) SR with his 4+yolds at the track
3:05 – Virgin Bet Daily Price Boost Queen's Cup Handicap (Class 2) (4yo+) 1m6f ITV
7/9 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
8/9 – Carried 8-11 or more in weight
7/9 – Didn’t win last time out
7/9 – Unplaced favourites
6/9 – Had run at Musselburgh before
5/9 – Returned a double-figure price
2/9 – Won by the Johnston yard
2/9 – Ridden by Danny Tudhope (2 of last 3)
1/9 – Winning favourites
5 of the last 7 winners aged 5 or 6
Wise Eagle (9/1) won the race in 2023
Trainer Adam Nicol is 5 from 14 with his 4 year-olds at the track (36%) (and won the race in 2023)
Trainer Karl Burke has a 33% SR with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer James Owen has a 60% SR with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainers Mark Johnston (2), Adrian Paul Keatley, Adam Nichol, Archie Watson, Ian Williams, JP Shanahan, Brian Ellison and Jim Goldie have won the race before
3:42 – Virgin Bet Scottish Sprint Cup Handicap (Class 2) (3yo+) 5f ITV
12/13 – Won over 5f before
10/13 – Drawn 8 or higher
9/13 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/13 – Rated between 92 and 99
8/13 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
8/13– Aged 5 or 6 years-old
7/13 – Irish bred
7/13 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
6/13 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
6/13 – Ran at the track before
6/13 – Unplaced favourites
4/13 – Drawn in stalls 15 (2) or 16 (2)
4/13 – Winning favourites
3/13 – Won last time out
3/13 – Trained by Mick Appleby
3/13 – Ridden by a claimer (3 of the last 10)
8 of the last 9 winners came from stalls 8+
7 of the last 10 winners aged 6 or younger
Trainer Kevin Ryan has a 33% SR with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Michael & David Easterby are just 2-32 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
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This Saturday the ITV Racing cameras head to Doncaster and Kempton to take in EIGHT races across the two venues – with flat racing all the way.
At Doncaster, it’s the start of the flat turf season with the traditional curtain-raiser – the William Hill Lincoln Handicap at 3:35pm – a race trainer William Haggas has won FIVE times.
While at Kempton there are three ITV races too – that include the Listed Snowdrop Fillies’ Stakes – where every winner since 2015 has returned 9/2 or shorter.
As always, here at Geegeez we’ve got all the key trends and stats to help you whittle down the runners and put history on your side.
DONCASTER Horse Racing Trends
1:20 – William Hill Top Price Guarantee EBF Brocklesby Stakes (GBB Race) Cl2 (2yo) 5f ITV
16/18 – Won this on their debut runs
14/18 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/18 – Foaled in Feb or March
10/18 – Placed favourites
8/18 – Irish bred
5/18 – Horses from stall 2 that finished 1st or 2nd
5/18 – Ridden by a claimer
5/18 – Winning favourites (co & joint)
4/18 – Trained by Bill Turner (6 in total: 1996, 2002, 2006, 2008, 2011 & 2013)
3/18 – Winners from stall 2
3/18 – Winners from stall 10
2/18 – Ridden by Charles Bishop (2 of the last 7)
0/18 – Winners from stall 1
Trainer Richard Hannon has won 2 of the last 4
Trainer Richard Fahey has won 2 of the last 8 runnings (4 wins in total)
Trainer Dylan Cunha won the race in 2024
5 of the last 7 winners from stalls 5-9 (inc)
7 of the last 8 winners between stalls 5-11 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 11/2
Note: 2006 running was staged at Redcar, 2007 running was staged at Newcastle
1:50 – William Hill Price Boost Every Day Cammidge Trophy (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV
20/21 – Aged 7 or younger
19/21 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
18/21 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
18/21 – Had won no more than 5 times before
16/21 – Had won over 6f before
14/21 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
14/21 – Rated 101+
13/21 – Last ran 4 months or longer ago
13/201 – Had raced at Doncaster before
12/21 – Raced at Doncaster, Ascot, Lingfield or Windsor last time out
11/21 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
10/21 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/21 – Unplaced favourites
4/21 – Had won at Doncaster before
4/21 – Won last time out
3/21 – Winning favourites (or joint) (just 1 on the last 10)
7 of the last 10 winners aged 4 or 5
No winners from stalls 1 or 2 in the last 16 runnings
The last 8 winners between stalls 3-9
4 of the last 8 winners from stalls 4 or 5 (2 each)
The last 5 winners came between stalls 3-6 (inc)
7 of the last 16 winners came between stalls 9-16 (inc)
Montassib won the race in 2024
Spycatcher won the race in 2025
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 13/2
2:25 – William Hill Epic Price Boosts Spring Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV
20/23 – Carried 8-13 or more
18/23 – Finished fourth or worse last time out
17/23 – Aged 4 years-old
16/23 – Won over a mile before
15/223 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
13/23 – Won from a single-figure draw
5/23 – Winners from stalls 3-7 (inclusive)
3/23 – Winning favourites (none in the last 11 runnings)
3/23 – Won last time out
3/23 – Won a race at Doncaster before
Richard Fahey has trained the winner in 2010 & 2014
Just 1 winner older than 6 in the last 23 years
7 of the last 10 winners aged 4
ALL of the last 10 winners aged 4 or 5
Two of the last 3 winners ridden by a claiming jockey
Two 50/1 winners in the last 7 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 19/1
2:57 – William Hill Doncaster Mile Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m ITV
12/2 – Last ran 4+ months ago
11/12 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/12 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – Rated 106+
10/12 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
7/12 – Had won over at least 1m before
7/12 – Winning favourites
6/12 – Winners from stalls 2 or 4
5/12 – Ran at Ascot last time out
4/12 – Had won 6+ times before
4/12 – Trained by Roger Varian (4 of last 9)
3/12 – Won last time out
2/12 – Trained by Richard Hannon (2 of the last 8)
7 of the last 10 winners from stalls 5 or lower
4 of the last 10 winners from stall 2
ALL of the last 10 winners aged 4 or 5
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 3/1
3.32 – William Hill Lincoln (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV
21/22 – Aged 6 or younger
20/22 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
19/22 – Had won over at least 1m before
18/22 – Had won between 2-4 times before
17/22 – Having their first run of the flat season
15/22 – Drawn in stall 9 or higher
15/22 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
15/22 – Unplaced favourites
13/22 – Returned a double figure price in the betting
11/22 – Aged 4 years-old
10/22 – Officially rated between 95-100
10/22 – Placed first or second last time out
9/22 – Had raced at Doncaster before
8/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/22 – Won last time out
8/22 – Raced at either Newmarket or Lingfield last time out
6/22 – Placed horses from stall 12 (2 winners)
6/22 - Placed horses from stall 16 (1 winner)
4/22 – Winning favourites (1 in the last 11 runnings)
4/22 – Trained by William Haggas (5 in total)
2/22 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/22 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
2/22 – Trained by John Quinn
2/22 - Trained by John Gosden
2/22 - Ridden by Benoit De La Sayette (2 of last 4)
2/22 – Ridden by James Doyle (2 of last 5)
1/22 - Irish-trained winners
11 of the last 15 winners carried between 9-0 and 9-4 in weight
Just 1 winner has carried 9-10 in the last 39 runnings
9 of the last 11 winners aged 4 or 5
Since 1988 only 2 winners aged 7+
The average winning SP in the last 22 runnings is 14/1
Just two 'back-to-back' winners in the past (Ob, 1906/07 & Babur 1957/58)
KEMPTON HORSE RACING TRENDS (RacingTV/ITV)
2:08 Virgin Bet Queen's Prize Handicap (London Stayers' Series Qualifier) Cl2 (4yo+ 0-100) 2m ITV
13/14 - Won no more than 5 times
13/14 - Aged between 4-6 years-old
12/14 - Had won over 1m6f or further
11/14 - Didn’t win last time out
11/14 - Had run at Kempton before
11/14 - Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
9/14 - Rated between 82-90
9/14 - Had won at Kempton in the past
7/14 - Only won between 1-3 times before
6/14 - Favourites that finished 2nd
2/14 - Trained by Roger Charlton
2/14 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
2/14 – Ridden by Kieran Shoemark
1/14 - Winning favourites
7 of the last 11 winners from stalls 1-5 (inc)
2:42 Virgin Bet A Good Bet Rosebery Handicap (London Middle Distance Series Qualifier) Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m3f ITV
19/21 – Had won over at least 1m1f before
16/21 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
16/21 – Had won between 2-4 times before
15/21 – Rated between 89 and 100
14/21 – Carried 8-13 or more in weight
13/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/21 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/21 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
11/21 – Aged 4 years-old
11/21 – Unplaced favourites
9/21 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
6/21 – Won last time out
4/21 – Ran at Lingfield last time out
4/21 – Winning favourites
2/21– Trained by the Johnston yard (Mark/Charlie)
The last 3 winners all came from stall 6
Last 5 winners carried 9-1 or more
3 of the last 12 winners ridden by a claiming jockey
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 8/1
19/21 – Had won between 2-4 times before
19/21 – Came from the top three in the betting
19/21 – Priced 7/1 or shorter in the betting
17/21 – Won by a 4 year-old
17/21 – Had won over at least 1m before
16/21 – Last raced 4 ½ months or more ago
15/21 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
14/21 – Rated between 90-102
14/21 – Placed favourites
10/21 – Unplaced in their last race
9/21 – Winning favourites
8/21 – Had run at Kempton before
6/21 – Rated 96 or lower
5/21 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
3/21 – Won last time out
7 of the last 16 favourites have won
The last 12 winners returned 9/2 or shorter
Trainer Marco Botti has won 3 of the last 11
Trainer John Gosden has won 2 of the last 5
Ryan Moore has ridden 2 of the last 9
William Buick has ridden the last 2 winners
3 of the last 10 winners from stall 5
7 of the last 10 winners from stalls 3-6
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 3/1
https://www.geegeez.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2016/01/stt.png320830Andy Newtonhttps://www.geegeez.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/geegeez_banner_new_170x78.pngAndy Newton2026-03-27 13:01:352026-03-27 07:31:25Sat TV Trends: 28th March 2026
Billed as the feature race on the first Saturday of the new British flat racing turf season, the Lincoln Handicap is run over a distance of 1m at Doncaster racecourse.
In recent years, the race has been dominated by horses aged 4 years-old, winning 11 of the last 22 renewals, while with FOUR wins in the last 17 runnings trainer William Haggas is one of the men to look out for.
Weight-carried has been a big trend in recent years with 20 of the last 22 winners carrying 9-4 or less, while 10 of the last 22 (45%) were officially rated between 95-100.
Despite, being a competitive handicap the favourites in the betting don’t have too bad a record either with 4 of the last 22 (18%) winning, but also note that 15 of the last 22 favourites were also unplaced - including the 2025 jolly Midnight Gun.
The 2026 Lincoln Handicap will be run on Saturday 28th March at 3:35pm.
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Lincoln Handicap Betting Trends
21/22 – Aged 6 or younger
20/22 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
19/22 – Had won over at least 1m before
18/22 – Had won between 2-4 times before
17/22 – Having their first run of the flat season
15/22 – Drawn in stall 9 or higher
15/22 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
15/22 – Unplaced favourites
13/22 – Returned a double figure price in the betting
11/22 – Aged 4 years-old
10/22 – Officially rated between 95-100
10/22 – Placed first or second last time out
9/22 – Had raced at Doncaster before
8/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/22 – Won last time out
8/22 – Raced at either Newmarket or Lingfield last time out
6/22 – Placed horses from stall 12 (2 winners)
6/22 - Placed horses from stall 16 (1 winner)
4/22 – Winning favourites (1 in the last 11 runnings)
4/22 – Trained by William Haggas (5 in total)
2/22 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/22 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
2/22 – Trained by John Quinn
2/22 - Trained by John Gosden
2/22 - Ridden by Benoit De La Sayette (2 of last 4)
2/22 – Ridden by James Doyle (2 of last 5)
1/22 - Irish-trained winners
11 of the last 15 winners carried between 9-0 and 9-4 in weight
Just 1 winner has carried 9-10 in the last 39 runnings
9 of the last 11 winners aged 4 or 5
Since 1988 only 2 winners aged 7+
The average winning SP in the last 22 runnings is 14/1
Just two 'back-to-back' winners in the past (Ob, 1906/07 & Babur 1957/58)
It's now over 20 years ago since horse-loving and mega-rich HH Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum had the dream to build a new and exciting race tracks in the heart of Dubai and attract the world’s best thoroughbreds to race for the Dubai World Cup.
Millions of dollars of prize money provided the carrot for trainers around the globe and with the prize now upped to a whopping $10million, from $6 million, for the main race this year’s event is set to be the best yet. 2010 saw the start of a new era with the entire carnival being run for the first time at the newly built Meydan Racecourse, having previously been staged at Nad Al Sheba.
The new futuristic track has cost an estimated $2billion to build and will easily accommodate a bumper 60,000 crowd. 10,000 car park spaces make things easier for visitors, while the track has been built on 76m Sq feet and includes a 12f turf track and an 8.75 Tapeta (AW) course.
This year’s race will be run on Saturday 28th March, the final day of the Dubai Racing Carnival that runs from January and consists of around 10 meetings.
Last year we saw the hot favourite from Japan Forever Young only third, but he's back for more on 2026 - trying to go two places better.
Dubai World Cup Trends (Since run at Meydan 2010)
15/15 - Ran in the last 8 weeks
14/15 - Previous Group/Grade 1 or 2 winners
12/15 - Finished 1st or 2nd in last race
12/15 - Raced in the last 4 weeks
11/15 - Won over 1m2f
9/15 - Favourites unplaced
9/15 - Previous Group/Grade 1 winners
9/15 - Officially rated between 119-123
9/15 - Failed to win last race
9/15 - Aged 5 or older
8/15 - Won at the track
7/15 - Returned a double-figure price
7/15 - From stalls 5-8 (inclusive)
5/15 - Owned by Godolphin (9 wins in total)
4/15 - Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor (9 wins in total)
4/15 - Favourites (1 joint)
2/15 - Ridden by Christophe Soumillon
Bob Baffert has won the race 4 times
11 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 6+
The last 9 winners were aged between 4-6
Trained Dubai World Cup Winners………..
15/29 – Trained in USA (52%)
11/29 – Trained in GB (38%)
2/29 – Trained in Japan (7%)
1/29 – Trained in France (3%)
0/29 - Trained in Ireland (0%)
Previous Dubai World Cup Winners
2025 Hit Show (USA) (5): Florent Geroux / Brad H Cox 66/1
2024 Laurel River (USA) (6): Tadhg O'Shea / Bhupat Seemar 17/2
2023 - Ushba Tesoro (JPN) (6): Yuga Kawada / Noboru Takagi - 10/1
2022 - Country Grammer (USA) (5): Frankie Dettori / Bob Baffert - 15/2
2021 - Mystic Guide (USA) (4): Luis Saez / Mike Stidham - 6/4 (fav)
2020 - No race (Covid)
2019 – Thunder Snow (UAE) (5): Christophe Soumillon / Saeed Bin Suroor – 4/1
2018 – Thunder Snow (UAE) (4): Christophe Soumillon / Saeed Bin Suroor – 8/1
2017 - Arrogate (USA) (4) : Mike E Smith / Bob Baffert - 1/3 (fav)
2016 – California Chrome (USA) (5) : Victor Espinoza / Art Sherman – 15/8 (jfav)
2015 – Prince Bishop (UAE) (8) : William Buick / Saeed Bin Suroor – 14/1
2014 – African Story (UAE) (7) : Silvestre de Sousa / Saeed Bin Suroor – 12/1
2013 – Animal Kingdom (USA) (5) : Joel Rosario/ Graham Motion – 11/2
2012 – Monterosso (UAE) (5): Mickael Barzalona/M Al Zarooni – 20/1
2011 - Victoire Pisa (JPN (4): Mirco Demuro/Katsuhiko Sumii – 12/1
2010 - Gloria de Campeao (FRA) (6): T. J. Pereira/Pascal Bary – 16/1
2009 - Well Armed (USA) (6): Aaron Gryder/Eoin G. Harty – 10/1
2008 – Curlin (USA) (4): Robby Albarado/Steve Asmussen – 4/11 (fav)
2007 – Invasor (USA) (5): Fernando Jara/K McLaughlin – 5/4 (fav)
2006 – Electrocutionist (UAE) (5): Frankie Dettori/Saeed bin Suroor – 5/4 (fav)
2005 - Roses in May (USA) (5): John Velazquez/Dale Romans – 11/8 (fav)
2004 - Pleasantly Perfect (USA) (6): Alex Solis/Richard Mandella – 5/2
2003 - Moon Ballad (UAE) (4): Frankie Dettori/Saeed bin Suroor – 11/4
2002 - Street Cry (UAE) (4): Jerry Bailey/Saeed bin Suroor – 9/2
2001 - Captain Steve (USA) (4): Jerry Bailey/Bob Baffert – 7/4 (jfav)
2000 - Dubai Millennium (UAE) (4): Frankie Dettori/Saeed bin Suroor -
1999 – Almutawakel (UAE) (4): Richard Hills/Saeed bin Suroor -
1998 - Silver Charm (USA) (4): Gary Stevens/Bob Baffert -
1997 – Singspiel (GB) (5): Jerry Bailey/Michael Stoute -
1996 – Cigar (USA) (6): Jerry Bailey/Bill Mott -
https://www.geegeez.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/ushbatesoro_DWC_2023.png319830Andy Newtonhttps://www.geegeez.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/geegeez_banner_new_170x78.pngAndy Newton2026-03-26 13:56:222026-03-27 07:30:542026 Dubai World Cup Trends
This Saturday the ITV Racing action comes from Kelso, Newbury and Bangor – with jumping all the way.
There are TEN live ITV races spread out over the three venues – where you can use our key trends and stats to help whittle down the runners.
NEWBURY Horse Racing Trends
1:15 – Castle Windows Newbury Anniversary Novices’ Hurdle
(GBB Race) Cl3 (4yo+) 2m 1/2f ITV4
8/9 – Aged 5 or 6
6/9 – Finished in the top 3 last time
6/9 – Won just once over hurdles
5/9 - Irish bred
5/9 – Winning favourites
Chris Gordon has trained 2 of the last 5 winners
3 of the last 4 winners ridden by a claiming jockey
5 previous runs
5/5 – Aged between 4-6
4/5 – Carried 10-10+
4/5 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
2/5 – Won with exactly 11-11
1/5 – Winning favourite
Tim Vaughan won the race in 2025
Trainer SRB Crawford won the race in 2024
Trainer Tom Lacey won the race in 2023
Trainer Sam Thomas won the race in 2022
Trainer Paul Nicholls won the race in 2021
Trainer Philips Hobbs & Johnson White have a 24% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Neil King has a 25% record with his hurdlers at the track
11/11 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/11 – Aged 7 or older
10/11 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/11 – Favourites finished first or second
8/11 – Carried 11-1 or more in weight
8/11 - Won no more than 3 times over fences
7/11 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
6/11 – Had run over fences at Newbury before
6/11 – Aged 9 or 10 years-old
4/11 – Winning favourites
3/11 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of the last 8)
2/11 – Trained by Dan Skelton (2 of the last 3)
Harry Sketon has won 2 of the last 3 runnings
Heltenham won the race in 2024 and 2023
11/13 - Carried 11-3 or less in weight
11/13- Won 1-2 times before
10/13 - Aged 5 or 6 years-old
10/13 - Finished in the top 3 last time out
9/13 – Returned 7/1 or bigger
9/13 - Had not run at Newbury before
9/13 - Ran in the last 6 weeks
8/13 - Had won over 2m4f or further before
7/13 - Placed favourites
7/13 - Irish bred winners
6/13 - Aged 5 years-old
6/13 - Ran at Doncaster (4) or Exeter (2) last time out
5/13 - Won last time out
5/13 - winning favourites
2/13 - Trained by Charlie Longsdon
2/13 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
Note: 2013 running was staged at Kempton
3:35 – Goffs Hundred Grand Bumper (An Open National Hunt Flat Race) (GBB Race) Cl2 (4-5 yo) 2m 1/2f ITV4
6/6 – Aged 4 or 5
6/6 – Returned 17/2 or shorter
5/6 – Carried 11st or more
3/6 – Trained by Harry Fry
3/6 – Winning favourites
Trainer Anthony Honeyball has a 21% SR with his NH Flat runners here and also won this race in 2023
Just 1 previous running
2025: Lavida Adiva (Ruth Jefferson)
Trainer Nicky Richards is 14-70 (20%) hurdlers at the track
1:30 – BetWright Handicap Hurdle (Go North Cab On Target Series Final) (GBB Race) (Cl2) (4yo+) 2m5f ITV4
Just 3 past runnings
No winning favourite
Trainers Lucinda Russell, Susan Corbett and Sue Smith have won this race before
All 3 winners carried 10-5 to 10-13
All 3 winners aged 6-8
2 of the last 3 winners aged 8
2/3 winners ridden by a conditional jockey
Starlyte won the race in 2025
Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero have a 44% SR with their hurdlers at Kelso
2:10 – BetWright Herring Queen Series Final Mares’ Novices’ Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m ITV4
3 previous running
Trainer Fergal O’Brien won the race in 2023 and 2024
Trainer Nicky Henderson won the race in 2022
2 of the last 3 winning favourites
All 3 winners aged between 5-6 years-old
2 of the last 3 winners ridden by a claiming jockey
All 3 winners carried 10-10+
Trainer Jonjo O’Neill and AJ O’Neill are 3-9 (33%) with their hurdlers at the track
Trainer Fergal O’Brien has a 29% record with his hurdlers at the track
2:40 – BetWright Novices’ Handicap Chase (Go North Forgive ‘N Forget Series Final) (GBB Race) Cl2 (5yo+) 2m 5 1/2f ITV4
No past runnings
Trainer Dan Skelton has a 40% SR with this chasers at the track
Trainer Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore have a 24% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Ewan Whillans is only 1-28 (4%) with his chasers at the track
Jockey Tristan Durrell is 3-6 (50%) over fence at this track
Just 3 past runnings
All 3 winners aged 7
All 3 winners carried 10-13 to 11-3
All 3 winners 9/2 or shorter
2/3 winners fav (or joint fav)
The Four Sixes won this race last season
Both winners carried between 10-13 and 11-3
Trainer Olly Murphy won the race in 2025
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies won the race in 2024
Trainer Donald McCain won the race in 2023
Trainer Olly Murphy has a 25% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Nigel and Willie Twiston-Davies have a 67% record with his hurdlers at the track
https://www.geegeez.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2016/01/stt.png320830Andy Newtonhttps://www.geegeez.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/geegeez_banner_new_170x78.pngAndy Newton2026-03-20 13:00:272026-03-19 09:54:14Sat TV Trends: 21st March 2026
• 24 of the last 32 winners won last time out
• 9 of the last 17 winners were unbeaten over hurdles
• Irish have won 10 of the last 13 runnings
• French-breds have filled 16 of the last 27 places (last 11 runnings)
• 15 of the last 21 came from the top 4 in the betting
• 14 of the last 18 winners returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
• Respect Nicky Henderson (7 winners), Willie Mullins (6 winners), Paul Nicholls, Philip Hobbs and Alan King-trained runners
• The Spring Juvenile Hurdle is a good guide (2022 winner Vauban won that race and 2023 winner Lossiemouth was runner-up in it, 2024 winner Majborough was 3rd in it)
• JP McManus has owned 3 of the last 10 winners
• 2 of the last 6 winners were fillies
• 9 of the last 14 winners ran in the Spring Hurdle (3 winners)
• 10 of the last 14 winners had raced by Christmas time
• 8 of the last 11 winners began their careers in France
• Nicky Henderson has trained 7 winners of the race
• Gordon Elliott has had 2 wins and 3 seconds in the last 12 years
• Willie Mullins has won 5 of the last 6 runnings (2 with Rich Ricci-owned horses)
Negatives….
• Take on horses that have won at 2m2f or further in the past
• Avoid horses that last ran 56 days or longer ago
• Avoid horses that had run 3 or more times over hurdles
• Just 3 of the last 21 winner returned bigger than 12/1 – last year’s winner 100/1
• Be careful of horses rated 138 or lower – no winner in the last 16
• Last 8 Adonis Hurdles winners (to have run in the race) have all lost (all unplaced too)
2:00 – William Hill County Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) 2m 179y ITV
• The Irish have won 13 of the last 19 runnings
• 10 of the last 11 winners were trained by Willie Mullins (6) or Dan Skelton (4)
• Willie Mullins has won 8 of the last 16 runnings
• 20 of the last 25 winners were novices or second season hurdlers
• 15 of the last 20 winners were rated in the 130’s
• 9 of the last 18 winners returned 20/1 or bigger
• 8 of the last 17 winners had run in 6 or less hurdles races
• 20 of the last 27 winners were aged 5 or 6 years-old
• 13 of the last 27 winners aged 5
• 8 of the last 12 winners had run at Cheltenham before
• 13 of the last 19 winners Irish-trained
• 11 of the last 18 winners started their careers in France
• 15 of the last 20 winners were priced in double-figures
• 14 of the last 22 winners began their careers on the flat
• Look for Mullins, Skelton, AJ Martins & Nicholls-trained runners
• Respect the Imperial Cup (Sandown Park) winner
• 10 winners since 2002 ran in the Ladbrokes or Betfair Hurdles that season
• 13 of the last 25 winners came from the top 5 in the betting
• 14 of the last 19 winners DIDN’T win last time out
• 5 of the last 10 winners hadn’t raced in the last 72 days
• Paul Nicholls is 4 from 33 (+14pts) since 2004-2014
• Willie Mullins is 6 from 61 (+42.25pts) – he’s won 8 of the last 16
• Trainer Dan Skelton has trained 4 of the last 10 winners
• 14 of the last 22 winners were ex-flat horses
• No back-to-back winners ever since first run in 1920
Negatives….
• Strangely, previous course winners have a bad record
• Only 2 winners since 2000 winning with a mark of 150+
• Gordon Elliott has a poor record (0-from-27) since 2011
• Nicky Henderson has a poor record (0-35) this century
• Horses aged 9+ are 0-from 40 in last 18 runnings
• Since 1960 only 6 winners carried more than 11st 2lb
• Since 1961, only 11 winners had run at the Festival before
• Since 2005, just 2 winners rated 146 this season
• Avoid runners that hadn’t raced at least 4 times that season
• Avoid horses making their handicap debuts, although last 4 winners have defied this stat
• Just 3 winning outright favourites in last 24
• Just 4 of the last 18 winners returned a single-figure price
• Only 5 previous runnings
• Willie Mullins trained 3 winners
• Willie Mullins has a good record in ‘mares’ only’ races at the Festival
• 4 of the last 5 winners have been 2nd favourite
• All 5 winners won last time out
• 4 of the 5 winners rated 150+
• 4 of the 5 winners owned by JP McManus (past 4)
• All 5 winners aged 7-8
• All 5 winners Irish-trained
• 4 of the 5 winners had run well at the Cheltenham Festival before
• Just one winning favourite (2025)
Negatives….
• UK-trained runners are 0-16
• 9+ year-olds are 0-12
• Gordon Elliott is 0-6
================================================
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2025 Winner: JASMIN DE VAUX (6/1) Trainer – Willie Mullins Jockey – Paul Townend UK/Irish: Irish
Pluses….
• 11 of the last 21 winners had run at Cheltenham over hurdles before
• 18 of the last 21 winners contested a Graded Hurdle last time out
• 3 of the last 5 ran in the Golden Cygnet Novice Hurdle (Nat Lacy) DRF
• 17 of the last 21 winners won or placed in a Graded Novice before
• 7 of the last 21 winners had run in the Hyde, Bristol or Classic earlier that season
• 10 of the last 14 winners had won a Point
• Horses rated 152+ are 3-5
• 9 of the last 12 winners trained in Ireland
• 10 of the last 17 winners had won at least twice over hurdles
• 11 of the last 15 winners had won or been placed in a bumper
• 10 of the last 21 came from the top 5 in the betting
• 10 of the last 21 winner ran 47 days (or more) ago
• 16 of the last 21 had run in a race over 3m
• 18 of the last 20 winners were aged 6 (11) or 7 (7) years-old
• 15 of the last 21 winners were 1st or 2nd last time out
• 17 of the last 21 winners finished in the top 3 last time out
• 13 of the last 21 winners had 4+ runs over hurdles
• 16 of the last 20 winners finished in the top 3 last time out
• 4 of the last 20 favourites won
• Respect Jonjo O’Neill runners (2 wins, from 3 runners!)
• Trainer Willie Mullins has won 4 of the last 9 runnings
• No winning fav in the last 11 runnings
Negatives….
• Horses that ran in the last 23 days haven’t fared well
• Challow Hurdle winners have poor Festival record
• Avoid horses that DIDN’T finish 1st or 2nd last time out
• Be wary of horses that have raced less than 3 times over hurdles
• Gordon Elliott is 1-from-16
• Be wary of ex flat horses (1 from 21)
• Nicky Henderson is 0-from-15 in the last 13 years
• 5 year-olds have a poor record (1 from 20)
• Only 4 of the last 20 winners hadn’t raced that calendar year
• 21 of the last 26 winners ran in the Savills Chase or King George that season
• 21 of the last 25 finished 1st or 2nd last time out
• 21 of the last 26 winners were 2nd or 3rd season chasers
• 13 of the last 20 winners had run 9 or less times over fences
• 25 of the last 26 winners were Grade 1 winners
• Every winner since 2000 only had one season hurdling
• 21 of the last 25 had won or placed at the Festival before
• 21 of the last 25 winners hailed from the top 3 in the betting
• 23 of the last 26 winners had raced no more than 12 times over fences
• 16 of the last 18 winners ran 3 or less times that season
• 18 of the last 29 winners were bred in Ireland
• 18 of the last 25 winners won last time out
• 12 of the last 23 winners were favourites (52%)
• 14 of the last 21 winners yet to win beyond 3m 1/2f
• ALL of the last 26 winners were aged 9 or younger
• 25 of the last 26 winners aged between 7-9 years-old (12 of last 13 aged 7 or 8)
• 23 of the last 26 winners were in their first three seasons over fences
• Horses placed in a previous Supreme Novices’ Hurdle have a good record
• 5 of the last 15 winners ran in the Brown Advisory Novices’ Chase the previous season
• Trainer Willie Mullins and jockey Paul Townend have won 4 of the last 7 runnings
• Willie Mullins and Henry De Bromhead have won 6 of the last 7 between them
• The last 7 winners Irish trained (9 of the last 10 Irish-trained too)
Negatives….
• Non-Grade One winners have a poor record
• No winner older than 10 years-old since 1969 (0 from 79)
• Just one winning 6 year-old since 1964
• Just one past winner for Gordon Elliott (Don Cossack)
• Horses rated 166 or less are only 7 from last 59 – but last year’s winner rated 160
• Avoid horses that had run on ‘heavy’ ground that season
• Horses wearing headgear have a bad recent record
• Only 3 winners since 2000 returned 9/1 or bigger
• Just 2 of the last 17 winners had raced more than 3 times that season
• Horses that were beaten in their first Gold Cup don’t fare well
• Only 2 winners since 2000 had previously been beaten in the race
• Just 3 of the last 25 winners placed in the race before
• No winner since 2000 ran in that season’s Cotswold Chase
4:40 - Princess Royal Challenge Cup Open Hunters’ Chase 3m 2f 70y ITV
2025 Winner: WONDERWALL (28/1) Trainer – S Curling Jockey – Mr R James UK/Irish: Irish
Pluses…..
• 31 of the last 35 winners were aged under 11 years-old
• 29 of the last 40 won last time out
• 9 of the last 11 winners aged 10 or 11
• 15 of the last 18 winners ran in February
• 21 of the last 23 winners Irish or French bred
• The last 19 winners were yet to win over this trip (rules)
• 8 of the last 16 winners finished in the top 5 in the race last year
• 10 of the last 17 winners came from the first 4 in the betting
• 29 of the last 37 started out in Points or Hunter Chases
• 15 of the last 20 winners ran 34 days or less ago
• Respect the Irish runners (won 10 of last 15)
• 15 of the last 20 winners were aged 8-10 years-old
• 9 of the last 11 winners aged 10-11
• 10 of the last 17 winners returned 8/1 or shorter
• 16 of the last 18 winners finished in the top 3 last time out
• 11 of the last 16 winners rated 134 or higher (7 of last 13, rated 138+)
• 3 back-to-back winners in the last 14
• 4 of the last 19 winners owned by JP McManus
• Trainer Paul Nicholls has won the race 4 times
Negatives….
• Horses that ran in a handicap race that season haven’t got a good record
• Avoid horses that hadn’t won a race under rules
• Just 2 winners in the last 49 years aged 12 or older
• 30 of the last 39 horses aged 11+ (priced in single figures) have lost – but the 2019 winner – Hazel Hill – defied this trend
• Just one 6 year-old winner in the last 38 runnings
• Only 2 winners aged 7 since 2000
• Avoid ex-handicappers rated 140+ in their careers
• Avoid horses that raced 35 days or longer ago
• British bred horses are 1-90 (last 23 runnings) (Sine Nomine, 2024)
• Just 2 winners since 2000 hadn’t run within the last 53 days
• Horses aged 11+ are just 5 from 276 since 1990
• Just 4 winners since 2000 didn’t finish in the top 3 last time out
• Gordon Elliott has never won the race
5:20 - Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle (0-145) 2m 4f 56y RTV
2025 Winner: WODHOOH (9/2) Trainer – Gordon Elliott Jockey – Danny Gilligan UK/Irish: Irish
Pluses….
• 15 of the last 17 winners were 2nd season-hurdlers
• 12 of the last 15 winners placed in the top 3 last time
• All of the last 17 winners carried 11-1 or more
• 3 of the last 8 winners had top-weight
• 7 of the last 10 winners carried 11-7 to 11-10
• All 17 winners aged 7 or younger (5-7)
• 14 of the last 17 winners aged 5 or 6
• 11 or the last 14 winners rated 138+
• 15 of the last 17 winners had 8 or less runs over hurdles
• 7 of the last 12 winners were Irish-based Novices
• Irish have won 10 of the last 15 (7 making handicap debuts)
• Look for Henderson, Nicholls, Mullins, Elliot-trained horses
• 14 of the 17 winners were placed in the top 4 last time out
• 9 of the 17 winners won last time out
• 7 of the last 12 winners had run over a longer trip that season
• 9 of the 17 winners were rated 133-139
• 9 of the 17 winners returned at a double-figure price (13 of the last 17 were 16/1 or less)
• 5 and 6 year-olds have won 15 of last 17 runnings
• Look for jockeys that have ridden 20+ winners
• Willie Mullins is 4 from 31 runners in the race (won 4 of the last 15 runnings)
• Respect any Gigginstown House Stud-owned runners (4 winners, 5 places)
• Paul Nicholls has won the race twice in the last 13 years
• Gordon Elliott has won 4 of the last 9 runnings
• Trainer Joseph O’Brien has won 2 of the last 7
• Nicholls, Elliott, Mullins and O’Brien have won 11 of the last 13 between them
• JP McManus has owned 2 of the last 7
Negatives….
• Despite being named after his father the David Pipe stable has a poor record so far (0 from 23, inc 3 favs)
• Horses aged 8+ are 0-from 77
• Only one winner in last 14 rated 136 or lower (since become 0-145)
• Just 1 winning fav in the 17-year history (9-15 returned in double-figures)
• Only 4 winners have previous Festival experience
• Horses with 11st or less are currently 0-from-121
https://www.geegeez.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2018/02/sizingjohn_2017goldcup.jpg320830Andy Newtonhttps://www.geegeez.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/geegeez_banner_new_170x78.pngAndy Newton2026-03-13 05:00:272026-03-13 09:43:502026 Cheltenham Festival Trends: DAY FOUR (Fri 13th March 2026)
Staged at Uttoxeter racecourse the Midlands Grand National is run over 4m1f. First run back in 1969 the gruelling contest has been won by the David Pipe stable in four of the last 15 seasons, while 5 of the last 13 winners were ridden by a conditional jockey.
Here at GEEGEEZ we look back at recent winners and is on hand with all the key stats ahead of the 2026 renewal, this year staged on March 14th 2026.
Recent Midlands Grand National Winners
2025 - MR VANGO (11/1)
2024 - BEAUPORT (18/1)
2023 – MAJOR DUNDEE (12/1)
2022 – SCREAMING COLOURS (12/1)
2021 – TIME TO GET UP (3/1 fav)
2020 – TRUCKERS LODGE (6/1)
2019 - POTTERS CROSS (20/1)
2018 - REGAL FLOW (16/1)
2017 – CHASE THE SPUD (11/1)
2016 – FIREBIRD FLYER (16/1)
2015 – GOONYELLA (6/1)
2014 – GOULANES (13/2 fav)
2013 – BIG OCCASION (6/1)
2012 – MASTER OVERSEER (11/1)
2011 – MINELLA FOUR STAR (25/1)
2010 – SYCHRONISED (15/2)
2009 – RUSSIAN TRIGGER (8/1)
2008 – HIMALAYAN TRAIL (16/1)
2007 – BARON WINDRUSH (12/1)
2006 – G V A IRELAND (5/1 fav)
2005 – PHILSON RUN (14/1)
2004 – no race
2003 - INTELLIGENT (6/1)
Midlands Grand National Betting Trends
20/22– Aged 9 or younger
20/22 – Had won between 1-4 times over fences before
19/22 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
18/22 – Carried 10-12 or less
18/22 – Won by an Irish bred horse
17/22 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
15/22 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
15/22 – Unplaced favourites
14/22 – Had never run at Uttoxeter before
14/22 – Carried 10-10 or less
13/22 – Returned a double-figure-price in the betting
12/22 – Officially rated 135 or less
12/22 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
10/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/22 – Won last time out
4/22 – Trained by David Pipe
3/22 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
3/22 – Winning favourites
2/22 - Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
12 of the last 15 winners aged 8 or 9
The average winning SP in the last 20 runnings is 11/1
5 of the last 12 winners were ridden by a conditional jockey
https://www.geegeez.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2018/01/welshnationalpreview_chasethespud.jpg319830Andy Newtonhttps://www.geegeez.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/geegeez_banner_new_170x78.pngAndy Newton2026-03-13 01:00:252026-03-13 10:30:512026 Midlands Grand National Trends
So, that’s Cheltenham over come the weekend, but this Saturday there is still plenty of racing action as the ITV cameras head to Uttoxeterfor the Midlands National, plus they are also at Kempton for a jumps fixture.
As always, we’ve got all the trends and stats for all the LIVE ITV races – we hope they help pin-point a few winners.
Only 3 past runnings
Dan Skelton (twice) and Peter Bowen have won the race before
1 winning favourite
Dan Skelton has won the last two runnings
All winners carried between 11-2 and 11-10
All winners aged between 7-9 years-old
All winners priced 8/1 or shorter
Trainer James Owen has a 29% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Joe Tizzard has a 29% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Jockey Jack Tudor is just 2 from 56 over hurdles at the track
Only 3 previous runnings
Red Risk won the race last season
Paul Nicholls, Dan Skelton and Kim Bailey have won the race before
No winning favourite yet
Two of the 3 winners carried between 10-6 and 10-11
Two of the 3 winners aged 6-7
Trainer Olly Murphy has a 21% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Joe Tizzard has a 27% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Emma Lavelle is just 1-34 (3%) with her hurdlers at the track
Jockey Jack Tudor is just 2 from 56 over hurdles at the track
3:00 – Jenningsbet Midlands Grand National Chase Handicap (Listed Race) Cl1 4m1f110y ITV4
20/22– Aged 9 or younger
20/22 – Had won between 1-4 times over fences before
19/22 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
18/22 – Carried 10-12 or less
18/22 – Won by an Irish bred horse
17/22 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
15/22 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
15/22 – Unplaced favourites
14/22 – Had never run at Uttoxeter before
14/22 – Carried 10-10 or less
12/22 – Officially rated 135 or less
13/22 – Returned a double-figure-price in the betting
12/22 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
10/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/22 – Won last time out
4/22 – Trained by David Pipe
3/22 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
3/22 – Winning favourites
2/22 - Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
12 of the last 15 winners aged 8 or 9
The average winning SP in the last 20 runnings is 11/1
5 of the last 12 winners were ridden by a conditional jockey
19/22 – Aged 8 or younger
18/22 – Carried 10-9 or more
15/22 – Returned 7/1 or less
14/22 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
14/22 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences before
13/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/22 – Never raced at Uttoxeter before
13/22 – Had won over at least 3m (chases) before
13/22 – Placed last time out
12/22 – Aged 7 years-old
10/22 – Unplaced favourites
6/22 – Won last time out
4/22 – Trained by Harry Fry (4 of last 11 runnings)
3/22 – Winning favourites
3 previous runnings
Trainers Harry Derham, Nicky Henderson and L J Morgan have won the race before
No winning favourite yet
All winners carried between 11-6 and 11-8
All winners 5/1 or shorter
All winners aged between 6-8
Jockey Tom Bellamy is 7-32 (22%) riding over fences at the track
2:40 – Virgin Bet A Good Bet Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m5f ITV4
2 past runnings
Dan Skelton and Nicky Henderson have won the race before
Both winners aged 6-7
Both winners carried 11-2 to 11-4
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 28% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Martin Keighley has a 40% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Gary/Josh Moore are just 1 from 28 with his hurdlers at the track
Jockey Tom Bellamy is just 1-36 riding over hurdles at the track
Jockey Toby McCain-Mitchell is 2-3 (67%) riding over hurdles at the track
5 previous runnings
Teddy Blue won on this card 12 months ago
4 of the last 5 winners aged 7 (1) or 8 (3)
All 5 winners carried between 11-1 and 11-6
Paul Nicholls has trained 2 of the last 3 winners
Harry Cobden has ridden 2 of the last 3 winners
3 of the last 5 winners aged 8
The last 3 favourites have won
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 21% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Trainer Fergal O’Brien has a 22% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
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https://www.geegeez.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2016/01/stt.png320830Andy Newtonhttps://www.geegeez.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/geegeez_banner_new_170x78.pngAndy Newton2026-03-12 12:30:042026-03-13 10:06:29Sat TV Trends: 14th March 2026
2025 Winner: Kopek Des Bordes Trainer – Willie Mullins Jockey – Paul Townend UK/Irish: Irish
Pluses…..
• 25 of the last 29 winners won their last race
• 14 of the last 16 winners came from the first 4 in the market
• 13 of the last 14 winners had won a graded Novice Hurdle before
• 14 of the last 22 winners had raced in at least 4 hurdles races before
• 23 of the last 31 winners ran in the last 45 days
• Irish-trained horses have won 20 of the last 34 runnings
• 5 & 6 year-olds have the best record – winning 19 of the last 21 runnings
• Willie Mullins has won the race 8 times in total and for 6 of the last 13 years
• 9 of the last 13 winners were either Mullins (6) or Henderson-trained (3)
• 28 of the last 31 winners had raced that same calendar year
• Owner Rich Ricci & trainer Willie Mullins have won 3 of the last 13 runnings
• 7 of the last 12 winners had been rated 153 or more
• 12 of the last 13 winners returned a single-figure price
• 12 of the last 17 winners were previous bumper winners
• Nicky Henderson has won the race 5 times
Negatives…..
• Horses that FAILED to win last time out before coming here are just 4 from the last 29. In other words, look for horses that won last time out!
• Since 1992 43 horses (44) wearing head-gear have been beaten – but Kopek Des Bordes won with a first-time hood in 2025
• We’ve seen just two ex-flat horses win since 2008
• Just 5 of the last 23 winners came here unbeaten
• Just 2 of the last 23 winners aged 7 or older
• Just 3 outright winning favourites in the last 21 runnings
• 4 year-olds are 0-15 since 2000
• Betfair Hurdle winners are 0-from-8 in the last decade
2025 Winner: JANGO BAIE (5/1) Trainer – Nicky Henderson Jockey – Nico de Boinville UK/Irish: UK
Pluses….
• 16 of the last 21 winners had won (or been placed) at Cheltenham before
• 19 of the last 26 winners had won a Grade 1 or 2 chase before
• 14 of the last 16 winners won last time out (plus 18 of the last 24)
• 24 of the last 26 winners returned 9/1 or shorter
• 15 of the last 20 winners had won at least twice over fences before
• 17 of the last 19 winners were aged 6 or 7 years-old
• 16 of the last 23 winners had run 3 or 4 times over fences
• 15 of the last 22 winners had run at the previous year’s Cheltenham Festival
• 9 of the last 14 winners were unbeaten over fences
• Nicky Henderson has won the race 8 times
• Willie Mullins has won 6 of the last 11 runnings
• 11 of the last 14 winners trained by Willie Mullins (6) or Nicky Henderson (5)
• 10 of the last 14 favourites have won
Negatives…..
• Only 3 of the last 39 winners failed to win or finish second last time out
• Just 3 of the last 35 winners started 11/1 or bigger in the betting
• Only 4 of the last 34 winners were older than 7 years-old
• The last horse aged 9 (or older) to win was in 1988
• Ex-flat horses have a poor record
• Only 2 winners since 2000 won with headgear
• 5 year-olds are 0-17 since 2007
• Shishkin (2021), Douvan (2016) and Altior (2017) were the first Supreme Hurdle winners (previous season) that have followed-up in this race since 1965
• Trainer Paul Nicholls has had 12 unplaced from his last 13 runners
2025 Winner: PUTURHANDSTOGETHER (17/2) Trainer – Joseph O’Brien Jockey – Mark Walsh UK/Irish: Irish
Pluses….
• 12 of the last 21 winners had run exactly 3 times over hurdles before
• French bred horses have a good record
• 10 of the last 21 winners started their careers in France
• Respect Fillies
• 14 of the last 21 winners carried 11st+
• 9 of the last 21 winners won last time out
• 10 of the last 15 winners all came from the bottom half of the weights/handicap
• 11 of the last 21 had run in the last 25 days
• David Pipe, Paul Nicholls, Gordon Elliot (4 of last 13), Joseph O’Brien (3 of the last 7) and Alan King-trained horses often do well
• 6 of the last 14 winners returned between 25/1 and 40/1 (7 of the last 14 priced 25/1+)
• 13 of the last 21 winners returned a double-figure price
• Respect horses wearing headgear
• Joseph O’Brien has trained 3 of the last 7 (including last 2)
• 15 of the last 21 winners were rated between 124-134
• 8 of the last 18 winners were British-trained
• Irish have trained the last 8 winners
• Trainer Paul Nicholls has won 3 of the last 16 runnings
• 16 of the last 21 winners had won no more than once over hurdles
Negatives….
• Just 3 recent winners had last raced in January or further back
• Trainers Willie Mullins, Philip Hobbs and Venetia Williams are 0 from 45 between them
• Only 2 of the last 12 winners carried less than 11st
• Just 3 of the last 21 winners rated 135+
• Horses bred in Britain are 0-73 (last 17 years)
• Willie Mullins runners are 0 from 24 (just 4 placed in top 5 too)
• Willie Mullins has never won this race
• Only 3 winners had run in a handicap hurdle before
• No winner had raced at Cheltenham before
• Horses with 2+ wins over hurdles are just 2 from 20
================================================
The 2026 Weatherbys Cheltenham Festival Betting Guide
£4 Discount With Promo Code: RTCFBG26
Written by Paul Ferguson and Guest Authors, is the complete guide to The Festival, with every fact, stat and trend covered to help you make the most informed bets throughout the best week of the year.
Discount (£4) applies to both print and digital bundle.
2025 Winner: MYRETOWN Trainer – Lucinda Russel Jockey – Patrick Wadge UK/Irish: UK
Pluses….
• 20 of the last 26 winners were officially rated 143 or less
• 18 of the last 25 came from the top 4 in the betting
• 21 of the last 25 winners returned 11/1 or shorter
• 19 of the last 25 were novices or second season chasers
• 10 of the last 18 winners were rated between 142-146 (8 between 142-145)
• Horses rated 140+ have won 16 of the last 25 runnings
• 10 of the last 23 won last time out
• Horses that have run well in the race before have a good record
• 10 of the last 14 winners wore headgear
• 10 of the last 16 winners had run at Cheltenham that season
• Jonjo O’Neill, Lucinda Russell, Alan King, Nicky Henderson, Tony Martin & David Pipe are trainers to note
• All winners since 2000 had won over 3m+ before
• 5 of the last 11 winners ran at Cheltenham’s January meeting
• 5 of the last 12 winners ran in the Coral Gold Cup (Hennessy) that season
• 13 of the last 17 winners had run at the Festival before
• Northern-based runners have a good record
Negatives….
• Be a bit wary of horses carrying 11-04 or more in weight – 13 of the last 21 carried 10-12 or less, although the 2017 winner carried 11-12 & the 2019 winner won with 11-8 and Chianti Classico in 2024 carried 11st 4bs)
• Horses aged 11 or older are just 4 from 59 to even get placed
• Be wary of Paul Nicholls-trained horses – he’s currently 0 from 26
• Only 4 winners in the last 17 hadn’t raced at a previous Festival
• Only 5 winners since 2000 have returned bigger than 11/1
• The Irish have won just 2 of the last 57 runnings (since 1967)
• Irish-trained runners are 0-51 in the last 19 runnings
• Willie Mullins has never won this race
2025 Winner: GOLDEN ACE (25/1) Trainer – Jeremy Scott Jockey – Lorcan Williams UK/Irish: UK
Pluses….
• 36 of the last 42 won last time out
• 11 of the last 16 winners had run no more than 10 times over hurdles
• Horses unbeaten that season often do well (12 of last 15)
• The Irish and Nicky Henderson have won 22 of the last 27 runnings between them
• 11 of the last 17 winners came from the Henderson or Willie Mullins yards
• The Irish have won 16 of the last 27 runnings
• Owner JP McManus has won 6 of the last 16 (9 in total)
• Trainer Willie Mullins has won 4 of the last 14 runnings (5 in total)
• 30 of the last 36 winners were aged 6 or 7 years-old (13 of last 18)
• 17 of the last 27 winners had won at the Festival before
• 28 of the last 41 winners were placed in the first 4 at the previous season’s festival
• The Fighting Fifth Hurdle is a good guide (5 winners, 6 places in last 18 runnings)
• 14 of the last 30 winners started as flat horses
• 10 of the last 11 winners were unbeaten that season
• Look for horses that have raced at least once that calendar year
• Trainer Nicky Henderson has won the race 9 times, including 4 of the last 9 years
• 7 of the last 17 winners contested the Christmas Hurdle (Kempton)
• Mares are currently 5 from 12 during last 10 runnings
• 9 of the last 13 favourites won
• 21 of the last 25 winners had run within the last 60 days
Negatives….
• Avoid horses that failed to finish in the top three last time out
• 5 year-olds are just 2 from 114 since 1985, but the 2019 winner was a 5 year-old
• Since 1927 we’ve only seen 2 winners aged 10 or older (0-32 in the last 43 runnings)
• Just 2 of the last 19 winners had raced more than 12 times over hurdles
• Just 2 horses have regained the race since 1975
• International Hurdle winners are 0-from-14 (last 22 years)
• Only 2 of the last 27 winners hadn’t raced at the Festival before
• The last Supreme Novice’ Hurdle winner to win the Champion Hurdle the following season was Constitution Hill (2023), but before that was 53 years ago (Bula)
4:40 – Sun Racing Plate Handicap Chase (Grade 3) 2m 4f 166y ITV
2025 Winner: JAGWAR (3/1 fav) Trainer – Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero Jockey – Jonjo O’Neill Jnr UK/Irish: UK
Pluses….
• 29 of the last 38 winners were officially rated 140 or less
• 13 of the last 17 winners carried under 11-0
• Respect French-breds
• 15 of the last 21 winners had run from 25th Jan onwards
• 11 of the last 22 winners had won a race in Feb or March
• Venetia Williams & Pipe-trained runners should be noted
• The Pipe yard have won 7 of the last 28 runnings
• 18 of the last 25 winners returned at double-figure odds
• 24 of the last 34 winners had run at the Festival before (but 9 of last 14 were having Festival debut)
• 25 of the last 26 winners had run in no more than 16 chases
• 10 of the last 16 winners had 9 or less chase runs
• 19 of the last 26 winners came from outside the top 4 in the market
• 8 of the last 10 winners were novices or second season chasers
• 20 of the last 22 winners had raced that calendar year
• Respect Gigginstown House Stud horses
• 7 of the last 10 winners won last time out
• The last 7 winners had won at Cheltenham that season
• 3 of the last 7 ridden by a claiming jockey
Negatives….
• Avoid horses that are yet to win at Class 3 or better
• The Irish have only sent out 5 winners since 1982, but this could be turning with these all coming since 2016
• Willie Mullins has never won this race
• Only 4 of the last 22 winners had run more than 12 times (fences)
• Just 5 winning favourites in the last 20 years, but one in 2025 (Jagwar)
• Only 6 of last 31 winners won with 11st+
• Just 3 winners older than 9 in the last 13 years
• Only 2 of the last 22 winners hadn’t run that calendar year
5:20 – Princess Royal National Hunt Challenge Cup Novices’ Handicap Chase (Grade 2) 3m 5f 201y RTV
2025 Winner: HAITI COULEURS Trainer – Rebecca Curtis Jockey – Ben Jones UK/Irish: UK
**NOTE** The race conditions were changed in 2025 - run as a Novices' Handicap Chase - making a lot of the past trends pointless.
Pluses…..
• 13 of the last 24 winners finished 1st or 2nd last time out
• 15 of the last 20 winners were aged 7 or 8 years-old (26 of the last 35)
• 10 of the last 16 winners had run 5+ times over fences
• 12 of the last 15 winners had run in a Graded Novice chase
• 8 of the last 15 winners had run in a Grade One Novice Chase that season
• 9 of the last 19 had run in a chase at Cheltenham before that season
• 11 of the last 16 winners had run at a previous Cheltenham Festival
• 12 of the last 15 winners returned a single-figure price
• Respect horses wearing headgear (Corbetts Cross 1st-time hood in 2024)
• 10 of the last 15 winners Irish-trained
• 11 of the last 15 winners were rated 145 (or more)
• Look out for JP McManus-owned runners (7 winners)
• Jonjo O’Neill has trained 6 winners in the race (5-from-23)
• Jockey Derek O’Connor has 3 wins / 5 places (from 18 rides)
• Derek O’Connor & Patrick Mullins have won 7 of the last 15 (4 P Mullins, 3 O’Connor)
• Willie Mullins has won 4 of the last 14 runnings
• Gordon Elliott has won the race 4 times from just 17 runners
• 3 of the last 8 winners owned by Ronnie Bartlett
• Favourites have won 5 of the last 16 runnings (31%)
Negatives….
• 5 and 6 year-olds are just 2 from 84 since 1989
• Just 5 of the last 14 winners were top-rated
• Favourites have won 5 of the last 16 runnings
• Just 2 of the last 34 winners were aged 6 years-old
• Trainer Paul Nicholls has NEVER won this race - he’s currently 0 from 19
• Trainer Nicky Henderson has NEVER won this race
• Horses with less than 3 chase starts often don’t fare well
• Horses rated in the 130’s have a poor record (2 from 18), but Haiti Couleurs won in 2025 rated 135
• Just 2 winners in the last 17 returned bigger than 12/1
https://www.geegeez.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/01/ConstitutionHill_TolworthHurdle.jpg320830Andy Newtonhttps://www.geegeez.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/geegeez_banner_new_170x78.pngAndy Newton2026-03-08 07:00:082026-03-08 09:49:032026 Cheltenham Festival Trends: DAY ONE (Tues 10th March 2026)
2025 Winner: THE NEW LION (3/1)
Trainer – Dan Skelton
Jockey – Harry Skelton
UK/Irish: UK
Pluses….
• 19 of the last 21 winners came from the top 4 in the betting
• 8 of the last 12 winners were unbeaten over hurdles
• 13 of the last 17 winners came from the top two-rated on BHA ratings
• 21 of the last 25 winners returned 17/2 or shorter
• 25 of the last 31 winners won last time out
• 30 of the last 31 winners finished 1st or 2nd last time out
• The Irish have won 15 of the last 23 (10 of last 12)
• Horses rated 150+ do well
• 14 of the last 17 winners had won a Graded Novice Hurdle
• 26 of the last 31 winners (including last 14) had won at least one bumper race
• 19 of the last 20 winners were aged 5 or 6 years-old
• 12 of the last 15 winners were aged 6
• In the last 14 runnings Irish-trained horses have filled 29 of the 42 top 3 places
• 25 of the last 27 were NH bred
• Look for past Irish point-to-point winners (9 of the last 15 had won an Irish Point)
• Respect Willie Mullins – 7 winners in last 18 years (5 of the last 12)
• Gordon Elliott has won 2 of the last 8 runnings
• Nigel Twiston-Davies has won the race 3 times (1993, 2004, 2013)
Negatives….
• Only 2 winners aged older than 6 has won since 1974
• Avoid 4 year-olds too – just one winner since 1991
• Horses aged 7 or older are 1 from 60 (since 1988)
• Only two of the last 39 winners came from outside the top 5 in the betting
• 21 of the last 22 Challow Hurdle winners have all been beaten – The New Lion (2025) bucked the trend
• Avoid ex-flat horses (since 2005 all have been beaten 0 from 31 in the last 19 years)
• The last 24 winners had run in a Graded Novice Chase
• 18 of the last 19 winners finished 1st or 2nd in a G1/G2 over fences
• 27 of the last 31 winners had only one previous season over hurdles
• Respect 7 year-olds – won 16 of the last 19 (21 of last 26)
• 14 of the last 20 winners won last time out
• 8 of the last 16 winners were beaten on their chase debut
• 9 of the last 18 winners had won a bumper before
• 9 of the last 19 favourites won
• 16 of the last 19 winners aged 7
• The last 11 winners were rated 150+
• 12 of the last 14 winners returned single-figures in the betting
• 22 of the last 25 winners had run between 3-5 times over fences
• Every winner since 1997 had their chase debut the previous year
• Irish bred horses are 23 from the last 29
• 13 of the last 19 winners had won a Grade 1 or 2 Chase
• 9 of the last 17 winners were trained in Ireland
• Trainers Nicky Henderson, Willie Mullins (7 wins) and Paul Nicholls often do well in the race (12 of the last 21 between them)
• Willie Mullins has trained 3 of the last 5 winners
• 27 of the last 33 were novice hurdling last season
• 7 of the last 16 winners ran in the Albert Bartlett the previous season
• Look for horses that ran that same calendar year (57 of the last 59 winners had)
• 14 of the last 19 winners had raced at the Festival the previous year
• 9 of the last 11 winners came from the top 3 in the betting market
Negatives….
• No winner aged 9 or older since 1992
• Just 4 winners younger than 7 since 1978
• Avoid horses that had 2 full seasons over hurdles prior
• Just 4 of the last 26 winners had run less than 3 times over fences
• No winners of the Kauto Star Novices’ Chase (Feltham, Kempton 26th Dec) have won gone onto win this race
• French bred horses are 2-from-46 (last 18 years, but the 2022 winner L’Homme Presse and 2024 winner Fact To File were French-breds)
• The Tizzard yard are 0-from-10 over the last 14 years
• Avoid unbeaten horses (only 3 of the last 26 winners)
• Mares are currently 0-from-12 in the race (last 28 runnings)
• Horses in headgear have a poor record
• Drinmore Novice Chase winners are 0-10
• Gordon Elliott runners are 0-11 since 2011
2025 Winner: JIMMY DU SEUIL (16/1) Trainer – Willie Mullins Jockey – Danny Mullins UK/Irish: Irish
Pluses….
• 13 of the last 21 were 2nd season hurdlers
• 19 of the last 25 winners raced less than 10 times over hurdles
• 13 of the last 16 winners had run at the Festival before (11 had top 4 finish)
• 12 of the last 16 winners hailed from the top 8 horses in the weights
• 12 of the last 17 winners were rated in the 140’s
• 16 of the last 26 winners aged 6 or 7
• 12 of the last 16 winners DIDN’T win last time out
• 15 of the last 20 winners hailed form the top 7 in the betting
• 21 of the last 31 winners won earlier that season
• Respect JP McManus-owned runners
• Respect trainers Dan Skelton (2 of last 3), Nicky Henderson & Gordon Elliott (9 wins in last 16 years)
• 11 of the last 24 winners were French-Bred
• 15 of the last 32 won last time out
• Respect Irish-trained runners (8 of the last 17)
• Look for horses that had raced 4 or less times that season (15 of last 17 winners)
• 18 of the last 21 winners had run 32 days or longer ago (look for horses that have had a small break)
• Trainer Gordon Elliott was won 3 of the last 15 runnings
• Trainer Nicky Henderson has won 3 of the last 12 (4 in total)
• 5 year-olds do well from the small % that have run (win and place)
• 4 of the last 7 winners wore headgear
• The last 29 winners aged 9 or younger
• The last 10 year-old winner in 1995
Negatives….
• Just one winning favourite in the last 22 years (2020)
• Only 6 winners since 2000 had run in 10+ hurdles races
• Horses aged 10+ are just 3 from 313 to even place since 1999
• Just 6 winners since 2000 aged 8+
• Horses rated 150+ don’t have an overall great record, although the 2019 winner was rated 151 and 2020 winner was 152
• Willie Mullins won the race in 2018 & 2025, plus had the second in 2019, but overall has an average record – 56 runners – just two placed inside the top 2 (2 wins Jimmy Du Seuil 2025 & Bleu Berry, 2018)
3:20 - Glenfarclas Cross Country Chase 3m 6f 37y ITV
Note: From 2025 this race was run back as a handicap after 8 years run as a conditions race
Pluses….
• The Irish have won 17 of the last 20 runnings
• Respect Enda Bolger-trained runners (won the race 5 times)
• 17 of the last 20 winners returned 7/1 or shorter
• 23 of the last 27 winners came from the top three in the betting
• 11 of the last 20 ran in the December Cross Country race at Cheltenham
• 14 of the last 20 ran in either the Nov or Dec Cross Country races
• 16 of the last 20 winners had run on the course before
• Respect jockey Keith Donoghue (5 wins in total)
• 16 or the last 20 winners were aged 10 or younger
• 9 of the last 14 winners were aged 8 or 9
• Trainer Philip Hobbs is 2 from 13 (5 placed in the top 5 too)
• Trainer Gordon Elliott has won 5 of the last 8 runnings
• 7 winners since 2005 owned by JP McManus
• 10 of the last 20 winners had run in the NH Chase before
• 6 of the last 10 winners were owned by the Gigginstown Stud House
• 7 of the last 9 winners wore headgear
• 9 of the last 12 winners wore a tongue-tie
Negatives….
• Debutants over these fences/course have a poor record, but the 2022 winner Delta Work was running for the first time over the X-Country course
• Just 4 of the last 15 winners won their last race
• Horses aged 7 or younger are only 3 from 101, but the 2020 winner was aged 6
• Trainer Willie Mullins is 0 from 17
• Trainer Paul Nicholls is 0 from 13
2025 Winner: MARINE NATIONALE (5/1) Trainer – Barry Connell Jockey – Sean Flanagan UK/Irish: Irish
Pluses….
• 13 of the last 25 winners ran in the Tingle Creek Chase that season
• 4 of the last 13 winners won the Clarence House Chase (Ascot) that season
• 26 of the last 41 had won at the Festival before
• Paul Nicholls & Nicky Henderson have won 11 of the last 26 between them
• The last 5 winners were trained in Ireland
• Nicky Henderson has won 5 of the last 14
• 31 of the last 39 winners aged between 7-9
• 50% of the last 12 winners ran in the Shloer Chase (Cheltenham)
• 14 of the last 24 winners won last time out
• 15 of the last 20 winners had run in no more than 16 chases
• 20 of the last 23 winners had run that calendar year
• 42 of the last 44 winners returned 10/1 or shorter
• 18 of the last 26 winners returned 5/1 or shorter
• 9 of the last 19 winners were French-bred
• 13 of the last 23 winners were second season chasers
• 18 of the last 20 winners had run 2 or 3 times that season
• 23 of the last 27 winners came from the top 3 in the betting
• 18 of the last 26 winners ran in the previous season’s Arkle or Champion Chase
• 7 of the last 14 Arkle winners (previous season) to run have won
• Past champions do well – 14 horses have won the CC more than once
Negatives….
• Only two winners priced 11/1 or bigger in the last 40 years
• Just 1 winner in last 21 had run 4+ times that season
• Horses that didn’t run in that calendar year have a bad record
• Top Irish trainer, Willie Mullins, has just 2 wins in the race (Energumene 2022 & 2023)
• Just 3 of the last 24 winners hadn’t won a Grade 1 Chase before
• Be wary of horses older than 10 – just 2 winners since 1977
• Dublin Chase winners are currently 0-from-6 (last 2 winners beaten in that DRF race)
• Only 3 winners aged 6 or younger in the last 50 years
• Just one 11 year-old winner in the last 46 years
• 7 of the last 8 odds-on favourites have lost (over the last 10 years)
• Just one mare has ever won the race (Put The Kettle On, 2021)
================================================
The 2026 Weatherbys Cheltenham Festival Betting Guide
£4 Discount With Promo Code: RTCFBG26
Written by Paul Ferguson and Guest Authors, is the complete guide to The Festival, with every fact, stat and trend covered to help you make the most informed bets throughout the best week of the year.
Discount (£4) applies to both print and digital bundle.
• 8 of the last 12 winners carried 11st or more
• 18 of the last 22 winners had run at the Festival before
• 8 of the last 22 winners ran in the previous year’s renewal
• Irish have won 6 of the last 13 runnings
• 11 of the last 16 winners came from outside the top 5 in the betting
• 13 of the last 17 winners were novices or second season chasers
• 13 of the last 20 winners aged between 6-8
• 14 of the last 22 winners were aged 8 or older
• Henderson, Nicholls, King-trained horses are respected
• Paul Nicholls has won 4 of the last 22
• Respect JP McManus-owned horses (4 winners, 12 placed)
• 13 of the last 15 winners were rated at least 138
• 5 year-olds have a good record (from few runners of that age that have run)
• Novices have won 7 of the last 17 runnings
• 5 of the last 11 winners won after a 91+ day break
• 12 of the last 14 winners were rated between 135-147
• 12 of the last 15 winners rated between 138-150
• 8 of the last 12 winners carried 11st or more in weight
• 22 of the last 26 winners had run no more than 12 times over fences
• Course form is often a big plus
Negatives….
• Horses aged 10+ are just 3 wins from the last 33 runnings, but the 2022 winner was a 10 year-old
• Trainer Willie Mullins has never won this race
• Last time out winners are just 1 from last 18
• Horses aged 6 or younger (from top 3 in the market) are just 2 from 37 since 2005 – but last year’s winner Jazzy Matty was 6 and returned 15/2
• Only 2 of the last 21 winners were favourites
• Just 3 winners since 2000 had run in more than 12 chases
• Horses that won a handicap chase that season have a bad recent record
5:30 - Weatherbys Champion Bumper (Grade 1) 2m 87y RTV
• 31 of the last 33 had won last time out (all of last 22)
• 26 of the last 33 winners trained in Ireland
• Respect Irish-trained runners (26 from 42)
• 24 of the last 33 came from the top 6 in the betting
• 25 of the last 33 were Irish-bred
• 13 of the last 25 winners were second season horses
• 19 of the last 20 winners were aged 5 or 6 years-old
• 22 of the last 33 winners aged 5 years-old
• 22 of the last 24 had their debut runs in Ireland
• 12 of the last 23 had been beaten in a race before
• 6 of the last 16 winners returned between 14/1 and 40/1
• Respect Willie Mullins (14 winners) – 5 of the last 6
• The Irish lead the British 27-7 in the race history
• Trainer Gordon Elliott has won 2 of the last 9 runnings
• 14 of the last 23 winners came from the top 3 in the betting
• Mares are 4-23 in the last 20 runnings (Total Enjoyment, Fayonagh, Relegate, Bambino Fever)
• 8 of the last 10 winners had run in February
• 3 of the last 7 winners owned by Cheveley Park Stud
Negatives….
• Avoid horses with 4 or more NH Flat runs
• Just 2 winners failed to win last time out
• Just 2 of the last 15 winners hadn’t run that calendar year
• Only 4 of the last 15 winners were won by UK-based trainers
• 4 year-olds are 1 from 71 since 2000 (Cue Card)
• Gigginstown, Paul Nicholls & Nicky Henderson don’t often focus on the race
https://www.geegeez.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/PremierMagic_CheltenhamFestival2023.png319830Andy Newtonhttps://www.geegeez.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/geegeez_banner_new_170x78.pngAndy Newton2026-03-08 06:00:282026-03-08 09:49:112026 Cheltenham Festival Trends: DAY TWO (Weds 11th March 2026)
Each day of the 2026 Cheltenham Festival our horse racing trends experts will give you all the quick-fire positive and negative stats for EVERY race. Apply these to the final cards and you will build up a picture and a profile of which horses have historically done the best in recent renewals.
We hope they help narrow down the fields and also help pin-point plenty of winners at the 2026 Cheltenham Festival for you!
Day Three at the Cheltenham Festival features the Grade One Ryanair Chase - a contest that 17 of the last 21 winners had won at Cheltenham before.
While we've also got the Grade One Paddy Power Stayers' Hurdle - a prize that Teahupoo won in 2024 and is a red-hot favourite to win back his crown.
You can also see the all the other daily Cheltenham trends 2026 below.
2025 Winner: AIR OF ENTITLEMENT (16/1) Trainer – Henry de Bromhead Jockey – Rachael Blackmore UK/Irish: Irish
Pluses….
• A new race (Just 10 renewals)
• All 10 winners aged 5 or 6
• 7 of the last 10 winners trained in Ireland, but 3 of last 4 UK trained
• Favourites have won 3 of the 10 runnings
• 7 of the last 10 winners won last time out
• 8 of the 10 winners had won over 2m2f or further
• 4 of the 10 winners were French-bred
• 5 of the last 10 winners were top or 2nd top rated
• 5 of the last 10 winners returned 5/1 or shorter
• 5 of the last 10 past winners started their careers in France
• 6 of the last 10 winners had run at least 4 times over hurdles
• 6 of the 10 winners were unbeaten that season
• 4 of the 10 winners have been aged 5 years-old
• 6 of the last 10 winners aged 6 (LAST 6)
• Willie Mullins won the race in 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019 and 2020
• Owner Mrs Susannah Ricci has won 2 of the last 10 runnings
Negatives….
• British trained runners are 3-from-71
• Nicky Henderson is currently 0-from-12
• Gordon Elliott is 0-9
• JP McManus owned are 0-from-12
• 7 year-olds or older are 0-from-26
• 4 year-olds are 0-9
2025 Winner: CALDWELL POTTER (7/1) Trainer – Paul Nicholls Jockey – Harry Cobden UK/Irish: UK
Pluses….
• 13 of the last 17 winners aged 6 or 7
• 14 of the last 17 winners finished in the top 2 last time
• 11 of the last 17 winners were a single-figure price
• 9 of the last 15 winners were previous bumper or point winners
• 4 of the last 9 winners ran in the Timeform Novices' Handicap Chase on Trials Day
• 12 of the last 13 winners British-trained
• 6 of the last 17 winners ran over hurdles at last year’s Festival
• 15 of the last 17 winners finished in the top 3 last time out
• 11 of the last 12 winners rated 137+
• 10 of the last 17 winners had only won once over fences
• 7 of the last 10 winners carried 11-7 or more
• Brian Hughes has a good record (2 wins from just 5 rides)
• 10 of the last 11 winners returned 12/1 or shorter
• The last 11 winners carried 11-2 or more
• Trainer Paul Nicholls has won the race twice
Negatives….
• Just 2 of the last 17 winners didn't finish in the top 3 last time out
• Just 1 on the last 17 winners had won more than two chase races
• Only 2 of the last 17 winners aged 8 or older
• Just 2 of the last 17 winners aged 5
• Only 2 of the last 17 winners Irish-trained
• Follow Irish-trained mares (15 of last 18)
• The favourite (or 2nd fav) has won 14 of the last 18 runnings
• 11 of the last 18 favourites have won
• 14 of the last 18 winners aged between 5-7 years-old
• 16 of the last 18 winners had won over at least 2m4f
• Willie Mullins has trained 11 of the last 18 winners
• Look for Willie Mullins, Nicky Henderson, Paul Nolan & Alan King runners
• 11 of the last 18 winners had won or placed at a previous Festival
• Novices generally do well
• 13 of the last 18 winners had won a Grade 1 or 2 before
• 6 of the last 14 winners had won over 2m6f+ before
• Horses that began their careers in bumpers have done well
• Respect French-bred mares – won 11 renewals
• 14 of the last 18 winners returned 6/1 or shorter
• 16 of the last 18 winners had won (or placed) in a graded race against the males
• 13 of the last 18 won last time out
• Rich Ricci mares are 4-10 in the last 11 runnings
Negatives….
• Avoid front-runners
• Winners of the previous season Dawn Run Mares’ Novice Hurdle (0-5)
• British-bred mares are currently 3-90
• Just 3 outright favourites in the last 11 runnings
• Just one winner from last 34 runners wearing headgear have won
• Be wary of Paul Nicholls, Philip Hobbs and Noel Meade runners
• Benie De Deaux is the only ex-flat horse to win the race
• Just 2 winners aged 8+ (Quevega & Honeysuckle)
2025 Winner: BOB OLINGER (8/1) Trainer – Gordon Elliott Jockey – Rachael Blackmore UK/Irish: Irish
Pluses….
• 15 of the last 21 won last time out
• 7 of the last 12 winners were second season hurdlers
• 22 of the last 26 winners finished 1st or 2nd last time out
• 31 of the last 36 winners aged between 6-8 years-old
• 19 of the last 25 winners came from the top 4 in the betting
• 19 winners since 2000 returned in single-figures in the betting
• 10 of the last 24 were French Bred
• Respect the Cleeve Hurdle and Long Walk Hurdle form
• 8 of the last 19 winners ran in the Cleeve Hurdle last time out
• 21 of the last 26 winners finished 1st or 2nd in all their hurdling runs that season
• 17 of the last 29 winners won or placed at the Festival before
• 16 of the last 21 winners started 10/1 or less in the betting
• Respect past winners of the race
• 19 of the last 29 winners had won 7 or less times over hurdles
• 3 of the last 8 winners ran in the Albert Bartlett the previous season
• Since 1987 all winners bar Bob Olinger (10) and Sire Du Berlais (11) aged 9 or younger
Negatives….
• Avoid horses that didn’t finish either 1st or 2nd last time out
• A 5 year-old is yet to win the race
• Horses that have lost previously in the race don’t fare well
• Trainer Willie Mullins has only won the race twice (Nicholls Canyon 2017 and Penhill 2016)
• The Irish have won the race just 8 times since 1995 (but have won the last 5)
• Just 3 winners aged 9 in the last 36 runnings
• Horses aged 10 or older have just one win since1986 (1 from 70) - 2023 year’s winner Sire Du Berlais (11)
================================================
The 2026 Weatherbys Cheltenham Festival Betting Guide
£4 Discount With Promo Code: RTCFBG26
Written by Paul Ferguson and Guest Authors, is the complete guide to The Festival, with every fact, stat and trend covered to help you make the most informed bets throughout the best week of the year.
Discount (£4) applies to both print and digital bundle.
2025 Winner: FACT TO FILE (6/4 fav) Trainer – Willie Mullins Jockey – Mark Walsh UK/Irish: UK
Pluses….
• 17 of the 21 winners had won at Cheltenham before
• 8 of the last 13 winners were 2nd season chasers
• All 18 winners (since getting G1 status) had won over 2m4f
• 14 of the last 18 winners had won a Grade 1 Chase before
• 15 of the last 18 had won or placed at the Festival before
• The King George VI Chase is often a good guide (8 from 32)
• The previous year’s renewal is often a good guide
• 17 of the last 21 winners returned 13/2 or shorter
• 10 of the last 14 winners were aged 7 or 8 years-old
• 16 of the last 17 aged 7-9 years-old
• 17 of the last 18 winners were rated 161+
• Horse rated 170+ are 4-6
• 4 of the last 21 winners were placed in the top 3 in the Ascot Chase last time out
• 15 of last 21 winners were fav or 2nd fav
• 11 of the last 18 winners finished 1st or 2nd last time out
• 18 of the last 21 winners came from the top 3 in the betting
• 10 of the last 14 winners had 11 (or less) runs over fences
• Trainers Willie Mullins, Jonjo O’Neill, Paul Nicholls, Henry de Bromhead, David Pipe & Nicky Henderson are respected
• Respect first time headgear (3 from 13)
• 12 of the last 18 winners DIDN’T win last time out
• Last 12 winners were French-bred
• All winners ran 5 or less times that season
• 6 of the last 10 winners trained by Willie Mullins
• Last 14 winners aged 9 or younger
• The Irish have won 8 of the last 10 runnings
• Since upgraded, the last 18 winners ALL ran at the previous season’s Festival (2008)
• All 18 winners (since becoming Grade 1) won over minimum of 2m4f
Negatives….
• Avoid horses priced 7/1 or bigger
• No winner aged 11 or older
• Only 1 of the last 17 winners aged 10
• Just one winner rated 160 or below
• Just 6 of the last 18 won last time out
• Gordon Elliott runners 0-8
• No winner was having their Festival debut
2025 Winner: DODDIETHEGREAT (25/1) Trainer – Nicky Henderson Jockey – Brian Hughes UK/Irish: UK
Pluses….
• Irish have won the last 7 of last 10 runnings
• 13 of the last 14 winners aged 8 or younger
• Last 14 winners carried 10st-9lbs+ - with 12 10st 11lbs
• 10 of the last 18 winners placed in their last race (5 won)
• 13 of the last 25 winners were from outside the top 5 in the betting
• 13 of the last 15 winners were rated 138 or higher
• 14 of the last 19 winners were rated between 131-142 (inc)
• 12 of the last 15 winners were rated between 138-148
• 12 of the last 21 winners had won over at least 2m7f
• 9 of the last 14 winners had run 10 or less times over hurdles before
• 6 of the last 13 winners ran 7 or less times over hurdles
• 9 of the last 12 winners returned 14/1 or shorter
• 8 of the last 25 winners won their last race
• 6 of the last 10 winners ran at Leopardstown last time out
• 3 of the last 17 winners finished in the first 5 in the Betfair Hurdle
• Look for Nicky Henderson, Jonjo O’Neill, Twiston-Davies and Pipe-trained runners
• Respect JP McManus-owned horses – won it again in 2019 and 2020
• Trainer Gordon Elliott has won 3 of the last 8 runnings
• Nicky Henderson has won 2 of the last 11 runnings (had 1st & 2nd last year)
• Respect horses with headgear (10 since 2000) and 9 of the last 10
• 9 of the last 10 winners wore a tongue-tie
• 7 of the last 10 winners Irish-trained
• 6 of the last 10 ran in the Leopardstown Qualifier (Christmas)
Negatives….
• Avoid horses with less than 6 runs over hurdles
• Horses that have won 3+ times that season have a poor recent record
• Since 2000 only 1 winner didn’t have a run that calendar year
• 5 year-olds have won just twice since 1973
• Just 1 horse rated 150+ since 2000 has finished in the top 2
• Only 2 winning favourites in last 20 years
• Just 1 winner in the last 42 years aged 10+
• Willie Mullins has never won this race
• Paul Nicholls is currently 1 from 21 (One winner, One third and two 2nds in the last 12 runnings)
• Horses aged 7 or younger and priced in single-figures are just 3 from 59
5:30 - Rosconn Group Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Amateur Riders' Handicap Chase 3m 2f RTV
2025 Winner: DAILY PRESENT (12/1) Trainer – Paul Nolan Jockey – Mr B T Stone UK/Irish: Irish
Pluses….
• Respect horses aged between 7-9 year-olds
• 10 of the last 13 winners aged 7-8
• 13 of the last 18 winners failed to win earlier that season
• 11 of the last 18 winners ran off a mark of 137 or more
• 10 of the last 14 winners rated between 137-143
• 6 of the last 7 winners were novices
• 10 of the last 16 winners returned 9/1 or shorter (top three in the betting)
• 14 of the last 17 winners carried 11st 4lbs+
• 12 of the last 17 winners ran in February
• Look for Elliott, McCain, Pipe and Henderson-trained runners
• Look for horses in the top half of the handicap
• 20 of the last 26 winners ran over at least three miles in their last race
• Look for non-claiming amateur riders
• 9 of the last 15 winners wore headgear
• 5 of the last 11 winners wore a tongue-strap
• 14 of the last 17 winners came from the top 6 in the market
• Jockey Derek O’Connor 2nd 3 times and 1st in 2019 and 2024
• Owner JP McManus often does well in the race (4 of the last 14)
• 21 of the last 23 winners DIDN’T win last time out
Negatives….
• Just 8 Irish winners in last 42 years (but have won 8 of the last 12)
• Horses that fell or unseated that season have a poor record
• Avoid Paul Nicholls-trained horses – he’s just 1 placed horse from his last 25
• Trainer Willie Mullins has a poor record in the race (never won it)
• Horses carrying less than 10-10 have a poor record – but last year’s winner 10-7
• Just on winning 6yold since 1971
• French breds are 1 from 95 since 2005
• Just 2 of the last 21 winners aged 10+
• Avoid claiming jockeys – 4 from 119 since 2009
• Just 2 of the last 23 winners won last time out
• Patrick Mullins has never ridden the winner
https://www.geegeez.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/PaisleyPark_Cleeve_830x320.jpg320830Andy Newtonhttps://www.geegeez.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/geegeez_banner_new_170x78.pngAndy Newton2026-03-08 05:00:522026-03-08 09:49:432026 Cheltenham Festival Trends: DAY THREE (Thurs 12th March 2026)
The excitement is building for the week before the Cheltenham Festival, but before that, this Saturday the ITV cameras head to Sandown, with the Imperial Cup their feature race, plus they are also at Wolverhampton for two races that include the Lincoln Handicap Trial.
Don't forget there is also a £100k Imperial Cup bonus, should the winner go onto land any race at the Cheltenham Festival.
Sandown Horse Racing Trends (ITV3)
1.50 – European Breeders´ Fund Betfair "National Hunt" Novices´ Handicap Hurdle Final (Grade 3) Cl1 2m4fy ITV3
22/22 – Had won no more than twice over hurdles before
21/22 – Aged 6 or younger
21/22 – Carried 10-11 or more
18/22 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
18/22 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
18/22 – Rated 129 or less
17/22 – Unplaced favourites
15/22 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
15/22 – Returned 9/1 or less in the betting
14/22 – Irish bred
14/22 – Aged 6 years-old
12/22 – Had won over this trip before
8/22 – Won last time out
3/22 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls (2 of the last 11)
2/22 – Won by the Fergal O’Brien yard (2 of the last 10)
2/22 – Won by trainer Nicky Henderson
2/22 – Won by the Pipe yard
1/22 – Winning favourites
1/22 – Winners that went onto run at Cheltenham (3rd Martin Pipe)
The last 12 winners were aged 5 or 6
19/22 – Had won no more than twice over hurdles before
19/22 – Had won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
20/22 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
19/22 – Rated 124 or higher
17/22 – Carried 10-13 or less
16/22 – Aged 6 or younger
15/22 – Had won over at least 2m1f (hurdles) before
13/22 – Carried 10-8 or less
12/22 – Winners that went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival (1 winner, Gaspara - Fred Winter)
12/22 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or more
11/22 – Finished in the top two last time out
10/22 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/22 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
7/22 – Raced at either Cheltenham (2), Sandown (2) or Ascot (2) last time out
7/22 – French bred
7/22 – Had raced at Sandown (hurdles) before – 3 had won there before
6/22 – Winning favourites
6/22 – Won last time out
5/22 – Won by the Pipe stable (have won it 9 times in all)
2/22 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of the last 6)
2/22 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies (2 of last 9)
2/22 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
2/22 – Ridden by Harry Cobden (2 of the last 6)
Go Dante (Olly Murphy/Sean Bowen) has won the last 2 runnings
Olympian (1993), Blowing Wind (1998) and Gaspara (2007) landed the Imperial Cup bonus (won a race at the Cheltenham Festival)
The average winning SP in the last 22 years is 11/1
3:00 – British Stallion Studs EBF Mares´ Standard Open National Hunt Flat Race (Listed) Cl1 2m110y ITV3
20/21 – Had won at least one NH Flat race before
20/21 – 1ST or 2ND last time out
19/21 – Returned 17/2 or shorter in the betting
15/21 – Had won just once before (NH Flat race)
14/21– Won last time out
13/21 – Aged 5 years-old
12/21 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
3/21 – Winning favourites (3 of the last 6)
14 of the last 16 winners were aged 5 or 6 years-old
3:35 – Best Odds On The Betfair Exchange Handicap Chase (Challenger Staying Chase Series Qual’) Cl3 (5yo+ 0-135) 3m37y ITV3
19/21 – Carried 11-0 or more
19/21 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
18/21 – Had won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
18/21 - Rated between 125-134
17/21 – Had won between 1-4 times over fences
16/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/21 – Aged 8 or older
13/21 – Irish bred
13/21 – Placed favourites
12/21 – Unplaced last time out
11/21 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
10/21 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
4/21 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/21 – Won last time out
4/21 – Winning favourites (1 joint) (3 of the last 8)
The last 10 winners returned 9/1 or less
8 of the last 10 winners carried 11st or more
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 9/2
Wolverhampton Horse Racing Trends (SkySports/ITV)
2:42 – BetMGM Sports Lincoln Trial Handicap Cl2 1m141y ITV3
21/23 – Aged 6 or younger
20/23 – Won over a mile (or further) before
19/23 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
19/23 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
18/23– Won at least three times before
12/23 – Placed favourites
12/23 – Came from stall 8 or higher
11/23 – Ran at Lingfield last time out
11/23 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
10/23 – Had won at Wolverhampton before
9/23 – Won last time out
8/23 – Aged 5 years-old
6/23 – Winning favourites
4/23 – Ridden by Jim Crowley (2) or David Probert (2)
2/23 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
2/23 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2 of the last 7 winners were trained by Andrew Balding
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1
3:15– BetMGM Lady Wulfruna Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 7f32y ITV3
16/19 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
15/19 – Placed favourites
15/19 – Had won over 7f before
12/19 – Rated 104 or higher
12/19 – Had raced within the last 3 weeks
11/19 – Had won at least 4 times before
10/19 – Raced at Lingfield last time out
9/19 – Unplaced last time out
8/19 – Had won at Wolverhampton before
7/19 – Winning favourite
6/19 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
3/19 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (3 of the last 8)
2/19 – Trained by Marco Botti
2/19 – Trained by Richard Hannon (2 of last 6)
10 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
9/10 – Aged 4 or 5 (7 aged 4)
https://www.geegeez.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2016/01/stt.png320830Andy Newtonhttps://www.geegeez.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/geegeez_banner_new_170x78.pngAndy Newton2026-03-06 13:00:422026-03-04 19:06:11Sat TV Trends: 7th March 2026
Staged at Sandown racecourse the Betfair Imperial Cup in a hurdle race run over 2m 1/2f.
Run just days before the start of the Cheltenham Festival - with the race always getting added interest with a £100k bonus should the winner land any Cheltenham Festival race the following week.
In recent years that incentive has seen powerful stables like Henderson and Hobbs target the race, but it’s the Pipe yard that hold the best recent record – winning the race four times in the last 22 years and 9 times in all.
The last horses to win the Imperial Cup and then go onto land a Festival race the following week are Olympian (1993), Blowing Wind (1998) and Gaspara (2007). While the 2016 winner – Flying Angel – only just failed to land the bonus after running second in the Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys' race.
Five of the last eight winners – Go Dante, Iceo, Malaya, London Prize and Mr Antolini – didn’t go onto run at the Cheltenham Festival, but the 2021 winner - Langer Dan - was another that only just failed to land the bonus when second in the Martin Pipe Conditional Hurdle race six days later.
The Olly Murphy runner Go Dante has won the last two runnings and will be looking for a famous three-timer in the Sandown race.
Here at GEEGEEZ we take a look back at recent winners and give you all the key stats to take into the 2026 renewal – this year run on Saturday 7th March.
20/22 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
19/22 – Had won no more than twice over hurdles before
19/22 – Had won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
19/22 – Rated 124 or higher
17/22 – Carried 10-13 or less 16/22 – Aged 6 or younger
15/22 – Had won over at least 2m1f (hurdles) before
13/22 – Carried 10-8 or less
12/22 – Winners that went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival (1 winner, Gaspara - Fred Winter)
12/22 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or more
11/22 – Finished in the top two last time out
10/22 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/22 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
7/22 – Raced at either Cheltenham (2), Sandown (2) or Ascot (2) last time out
7/22 – French bred
7/22 – Had raced at Sandown (hurdles) before – 3 had won there before
6/22 – Winning favourites
6/22 – Won last time out
5/22 – Won by the Pipe stable (have won it 9 times in all)
2/22 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of the last 6)
2/22 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies (2 of last 9)
2/22 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
2/22 – Ridden by Harry Cobden (2 of the last 6)
Go Dante (Olly Murphy/Sean Bowen) has won the last 2 runnings
Olympian (1993), Blowing Wind (1998) and Gaspara (2007) landed the Imperial Cup bonus (won a race at the Cheltenham Festival)
The average winning SP in the last 22 years is 11/1
Only 2 back-to-back winners since 1949 (Secret Service, Go Dante)
We’ve had better LIVE Saturday ITV race days, but with the Cheltenham Festivalon the horizon then it’s no surprise the quality is slightly down – Newbury, Kelso and Doncaster provide the LIVE ITV action this week, and, as always, here at GEEGEEZ we've got all the races covered from a trends and stats angle.
14/15 – Returned 10/1 or shorter
13/15 – Won over at least 3m (chase)
10/15 – Favourites unplaced
8/15 – Aged 10 years-old
8/15 – Carried 11-4 or more in weight
7/15 – Finished in the top 3 in their last race
3/15 – Won their last race
1/15 – Winning favourites (none in the last 9)
6 of the last 10 winners carried 11st or less
Trainer David Dennis won the race in 2022 and 2023
Trainer David Pipe won the race in 2015 and 2016
Trainer Paul Nicholls won the race in 2013 and 2017
Sam Brown (100/30) won this race in 2025
The average winning SP in the last 8 renewals is 15/2
19/21 – Carried 11-5 or less in weight
18/21 – Won by a horse aged 8 or younger
18/21 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
18/21 – Had won between 1-4 times over fences previously
17/21 – Won over this trip (2m4f) previously (or further)
16/21 – Raced at Newbury (hurdles or fences) previously
15/21 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
14/21 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
13/21 – Officially rated 139 or higher
12/21 – Favourites placed
9/21 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable (8 of the last 16)
9/21 – Winners that came from the top 3 in the market
9/21 – Won by a French-bred horse
8/21 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
8/21 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
6/21 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
5/21 – Favourites to win (1 joint)
3/21 – Won by the Pipe yard
2/21 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
2/21 – Won their last race
Heltenham won this race in 2024
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 8/1
No winning favourite in the last 8 runnings
15 of the last 17 winners aged between 6-8
12 of the last 16 winners aged 7 or 8 (6 of the last 8)
Note: The 2006 renewal was a dead-heat
DONCASTER HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RacingTV)
1:25 – Virgin Bet A Good Bet Mares’ Novices’ Hurdle (Listed Race) (GBB Race) (Class 1) (5yo+) 3m 1/2f ITV
11/12 – Ran in the last 7 weeks
10/12 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
10/12- Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
8/12– Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
8/12 – Favourites placed in the top 2
8/12 – Irish bred
5/12 - Won by the favourite (1 co-fav)
6 of the last 10 winners aged 6 (4 of last 5)
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 10/1
14/14 – Priced 15/2 or shorter
10/14 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
8/14 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
4/14 – Raced at Musselburgh last time out
3/14 - Ridding by a claiming jockey
3/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/14 – Trained by Brian Ellison
10 of the last 13 winners carried 10st 11lbs or more
The last 10 winners returned 11/2 or shorter
7 of the last 9 winners aged 6-9
Just one winning favourite (joint) in the last 9
Brookie (11/2) won this in 2025
Homme Public (3/1) won the race in 2024
Calico (11/4 jfav) won the race in 2023
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 4/1
2:35 – Virgin Bet Grimthorpe Chase (A Handicap Chase) Cl2 3m2f ITV
20/21 – Aged 8 or older
20/21 – Won over at least 3m (fences) before
17/21 – Won no more than 4 times over fences
17/21 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
16/21 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
16/21 – Aged 9 or older
14/21 – Rated 132 or less
12/21 – From the top 3 in the betting
12/21 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting
12/21 – Irish bred
10/21 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/21 – Raced over fences at Doncaster before (4 winners)
7/21 – Won their last race
4/21 – Went onto run in that season’s Grand National (no winners)
2/21 – Winning Favourites
Moroder won the race in 2023 and 2025 (Both ridden by James Best)
Trainer Kim Bailey has won the race 3 times (2 since 2016)
The average wining SP in the last 9 runnings is 12/1
Trainer Seamus Mullins is 3-4 (75%) with his chasers at the track – plus has won 2 of the last 3
Jockeys Ben Godfrey and Charlie Maggs both have 50% SR’s at the track over fences
================================================
The 2026 Weatherbys Cheltenham Festival Betting Guide
£4 Discount With Promo Code: RTCFBG26
Written by Paul Ferguson and Guest Authors, is the complete guide to The Festival, with every fact, stat and trend covered to help you make the most informed bets throughout the best week of the year.
Discount (£4) applies to both print and digital bundle.
Just 2 previous runnings
Trainers Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero have a 29% SR with their chasers at the track
Trainers Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore have a 27% SR with their chasers at the track
Jockey Brian Hughes has a 24% SR riding over fences at Kelso
11/12 – Didn’t win last time out
10/12 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
10/12 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – Favourites placed 1st or 2nd
9/12 – Won between 1-3 times over fences
8/12 – Had run at the course before
8/12 – Aged 9 or older
8/12 – Irish bred
8/12 – Won over 3m plus in the past
7/12 – Placed 4th or better last time out
5/12 – Rated between 132-141 (inc)
4/12 – Won by jockey Brian Hughes (4 of the last 10)
4/12 – Winning favourites
3/12 – Ran at Haydock last time out
2/12 – Trained by Sandy Thomson
7 of the last 9 winners aged 8 or 9
Trainer Dan Skelton has a 36% SR with his chasers at the track
Trainers Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero have a 29% SR with their chasers at the track
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 11/2
16/17 – Aged 7 or younger
16/17 – Favourites placed in the top three
15/17 – Raced in the last 7 weeks
15/17 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
11/17 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
10/17 – Had won at least twice over hurdles before
10/17 – Won last time out
8/17 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
8/17 – Irish bred
7/17 – Had raced at Kelso
4/17 – Winning favourite
3/17– Ran at Musselburgh last time out
3/17 – Trained by Lucinda Russell
8 of the last 10 winners aged 5 or 6 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 11/2
Trainer Fergal O’Brien has a 33% record with their hurdlers at the track
14/14 – Had run in the last 3 months
12/14 – Won at least twice over hurdles before
10/14 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
9/14 – Never run at the track before
8/14 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
8/14 – Irish bred
6/14 – Rated between 138-146
6/14 – Won last time out
5/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/14– Ridden by Brian Hughes
2/14 – Trained by Nicky Richards
2/14 – Trained by Ewan Whillans
Cracking Rhapsody has won the last 2 runnings (9/1 and 12/1)
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 5/1
Just 5 previous runnings
5/5 – Aged 6-8
4/5 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
4/5 – Carried 10-4 or less (3 of last 4)
3/5 – Ridden by a claiming jockey
3/5 – Aged 6 years-old
2/5 – Winning favourites
Bold Light (17/2) won this race in 2025
Serious Operator (7/2) won the race in 2024
Lucinda Russell has trained the last 2 winners
Paul Nicholls trained the winner in 2021 (Flash Collonges)
Nicky Richards trained the winner in 2022 (Famous Bridge)
Dan Skelton trained the winner in 2023 (Santos Blue)
Trainer Fergal O’Brien has a 33% record with their hurdlers at the track
Trainers Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero have a 38% SR with their chasers at the track
https://www.geegeez.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2016/01/stt.png320830Andy Newtonhttps://www.geegeez.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/geegeez_banner_new_170x78.pngAndy Newton2026-02-28 04:00:542026-02-28 11:46:28Sat TV Trends: 28th February 2026
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