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2025 Melbourne Cup Trends

Run each year on the first Tuesday in November the Melbourne Cup is dubbed as ‘the race that stops a nation’ and run over 2 miles it’s the richest handicap run over that distance in the world.

The 2025 race will be staged on Tuesday 4th November and in 2025 we saw the Knight's Choice win as the shock 90/1 winner.

Staged at Flemington racecourse in Melbourne (Australia), the race always attracts runners from all corners of the globe, but there are also many key pointers and trends to help you find the winner of the Melbourne Cup.

Recent Melbourne Cup Winners

2024 - KNIGHT'S CHOICE (90/1)
2023 -
WITHOUT A FIGHT (7/1)
2022 -
GOLD TRIP (20/1)
2021 –
VERRY ELLEEGANT (17/1)

2020 - TWILIGHT PAYMENT (25/1)
2019 –
VOW AND DECLARE (10/1)
2018 –
CROSS COUNTER (8/1)
2017 –
REKINDLING (14/1)
2016 –
ALMANDIN (10/1)
2015 –
PRINCE OF PENZANCE (100/1)
2014 –
PROTECTIONIST (7/1)
2013 –
FIORENTE (6/1 fav)
2012 – GREEN MOON (19/1)
2011 – DUNADEN (15/2)
2010 – AMERICAIN (12/1)
2009 – SHOCKING (9/1)
2008 – VIEWED (40/1)
2007 – EFFICIENT (16/1)
2006 – DELTA BLUES (17/1)
2005 – MAKYBE DIVA (17/5 fav)
2004 – MAKYBE DIVA (13/5 fav)

Key Melbourne Cup Betting Trends and Stats

21/21 – Had won a Group class race before
19/21 – Winners from stall 5 or higher
18/21 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
17/21 – Won 8 or fewer races before
17/21 – Raced at Geelong (2), Flemington (4), Caulfield (5) or Moonee Valley (6) last time
16/21 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
16/21 – Aged 5 or older
15/21 – Had raced at Flemington Park before (8 won there)
14/21 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
14/21 – Had raced within the last 2 weeks
14/21 – Drawn in stall 9 or higher
14/21 – Won by a AUS-based horse
12/21 – Aged 6 or older
11/21 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
11/21 – Horses from stall 10 or 11 placed
10/21 – Won by a 6 year-old
9/21 – Had won over 1m7f or further before
9/21 – Placed favourites
6/21 - Winners trained in Europe (2 Irish, 1 UK, 1 German, 2 France)
6/21 – Had won just once before
5/21 – Won last time out
5/21 – Had raced in a previous Melbourne Cup
3/21 – Winning favourites
3/21 – English/Irish winners
2/21 – French-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 20 runnings is 21/1
6 of the last 11 winners carried 8-5 or less
All of the last 11 winners carried 9-1 or less
4 of the last 5 winners carried between 8-10 and 9-1

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