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2020 Glorious Goodwood Trends – Day Four (Fri 31st July)

It's panama hats, pimms, plus strawberries and cream galore at the start of August with the 5-day Glorious Goodwood Meeting (Tues 28th to Sat 1st Aug). As always, the West Sussex track can expect monster crowds throughout the week with a whole host of top-notch contests each day for punters to get stuck into.

So we'll be on-hand throughout the whole meeting to take you through the key trends for each day’s LIVE ITV races.

We continue on Day FOUR with four LIVE ITV races, including the Betfred Mile, plus the Group Two King George Stakes.

DAY FOUR - Friday 31st July 2020

 

1.45 – Saint Clair Oak Tree Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 7f

11/11 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/11 – Didn’t win last time out
11/11 – Won between 2-4 times before
10/11 – Won over at least 7f before
9/11 – Officially rated 100+
8/11 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/11 – Returned 7/1 or bigger in the betting
7/11 – Irish-bred
4/11 – Ran at Ascot last time out
3/11 – French-trained winners (3 of the last 5)
4/11 – Had won at the track before
2/11 – Winning favourites
2019 Winner: Billesdon Brook (12/1)

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2.15 – Bonhams Thoroughbred Stakes (Group 3) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m ITV

17/18 – Had won over 7f or 1m before
15/18 – Had 2 or more previous runs that season
14/18 – Had not won a Group 3 or better before
13/18 – Had won at least twice during their career
13/18 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
12/18 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/18 – Ran at either Newbury (2), Goodwood (2) or Newmarket (5) last time out
6/18 – Had run at Goodwood before
6/18 – Won last time out
6/18 – Winning favourites
3/18 – Trained by Richard Hannon
3/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/18 – Trained by Brian Meehan
2/18 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2019 Winner: Duke Of Hazzard (3/1 fav)
6 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 1-3 (inc)

Note: 2012 was a dead-heat

 


2.45 –
Unibet Golden Mile (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV

17/18 – Aged 6 or younger
16/18 – Had won over at least 1m before
16/18 – Had raced 3 or more times that season
15/18 – Had won 3 or more races during their career
11/18 – Never raced at Goodwood before
11/18 –Priced 7/1 or shorter
11/18 – Carried 8-13 or less
10/18 – Aged  4 or 5 years-old
9/18 – Unplaced favourites
9/18 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
6/18 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/18 – Winning favourites
5/18 – Won their last race
3/18 – Trained by Mark Johnston
13 of the last 15 winners were drawn 9 or lower
12 of the last 15 runnings saw the first two both drawn in 11 or lower
2019 Winner: Beat Le Bon (17/2)

 

 

3.15 - King George Qatar Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 5f ITV –

18/18 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
17/18 – Had won over 5f before
15/18 – Didn’t win last time out
14/18 – Had won 4 or more times in their careers
13/18 – Ran at York, Ascot or Newmarket last time out
12/18 – Placed favourites
12/18 – Had 3 or more runs already that season
11/18 – Aged 4, 5 or 6 years-old
8/18 – Had run at Goodwood before
7/18 – Winning favourites
6/18 – Had only won at Listed Class before
4/18 – Trained by the Hills yard
2/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/18 – Trained by William Haggas
2/18 – Trained by Bryan Smart
Battaash won the race in 2018 and 2019
10 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 8 or lower
Horses from stall 4 and 8 have won 4 of the last 13 runnings

 

3.15 - L'Ormarins Queen's Plate Glorious Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m4f ITV

10/10 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
10/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Didn’t win last time out
9/10 – Rated between 110-114
9/10 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/10 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
8/10 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
7/10 – Had run at the track before
7/10 – Placed favourites
7/10 – Drawn between 3-8 (inc)
6/10 – Irish bred
4/10 – Winning favourites
3/10 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3/10 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Desert Encounter (15/2) won this race 12 months ago

 

 

Sat TV Trends: 25th July 2020

It’s King George Day at Ascot Racecourse this Saturday as some of the best middle-distance horses in the world line-up for this lucrative Group One. We’ve four LIVE ITV races to take in at the Berkshire track, while there’s also four races at York Racecourse that are headlined by the Group Two Sky Bet York Stakes.

As always, here at GeeGeez.co.uk we’ve got all the key trends for LIVE ITV Races this Saturday (25th July 2020) – use these stats to find the best profiles of past winners and narrow down the runners.

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends

 

1.50 – Betfred TV Pat Eddery Stakes (Listed Race) (Formerly The Winkfield Stakes) Cl1 (2yo) 7f ITV

10/10 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
10/10 – Had run in the last 7 weeks
8/10 – Drawn in stalls 2, 3 or 4
8/10 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Won just once before
8/10 – Had no more than 2 previous runs
8/10 – Irish bred
7/10 – Won last time out
7/10 – Had run in the last 5 weeks
6/10 – Had won over 7f before
6/10 – Placed favourites
4/10 – Winning favourirtes
2/10 – Won by the Hannon yard
2/10 – Won by the Mark Johnston yard
0/10 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

 

2.25 - Moet & Chandon International Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (3yo+) 7f ITV

17/17 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
17/17 – Had raced at Ascot previously
15/17 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
14/17 – Won over 7f previously
13/17 – Favourites unplaced
13/17 – Carried 8-9 or more in weight
12/17 – Won between 2-4 times previously
11/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
11/17 – Winners that came from outside the top three in the market
11/17 – Winning distance – 3/4 length or less
10/17 – Aged 4 years-old
7/17 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/17 – Won their last race
5/17 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/17 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/17 – Trained by Clive Cox
2/17 – Ridden by Jimmy Quinn
1/17 – Winning favourites
Trainer Richard Fahey has won the race three times in the last 10 years
11 of the last 13 winners ran at either Ascot, Newmarket or Haydock last time out
10 of the last 13 winners came from a double-figure stall
9 of the last 13 winners finished in the top 5 last time out
Raising Sand (7/1) won the race in 2019

Note: The 2005 running was staged at Newbury

 

3:00 – Betfred ‘Nifty Fifthy’ Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 1m ITV

8/9 – Carried 8-8 or more
6/9 – Winners between stalls 9-15
5/9 – Had won just once before
5/9 – Unplaced favourites
4/9 – Raced at Ascot last time out
4/9 – Irish bred
3/9 – Returned 10/1 or bigger in the betting
3/9 – Won last time out
3/9 – Winning favourite
2/9 – Ridden by William Buick
Flashcard (3/1 fav) won the race 12 months ago
Trainer Andrew Balding won the race in 2019
Trainer Clive Cox won this race in 2018
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 2016
Trainer William Haggas won the race in 2014
Trainer Hughie Morrison won the race in 2012

 

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3:35 - King George VI And Queen Elizabeth Qipco Stakes (Group 1) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m4f ITV

 

18/18 – Previous Group 1 or 2 winners
16/18 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
16/18 – Had 2 or more runs already that season
16/18 – Had won over 1m4f before
15/18 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
15/18 – Placed last time out
14/18 – Previous Group 1 winner
12/18 – aged 4 years-old
11/18 – Had run Ascot before
11/18 – Won their previous race
9/18 – Favourites that won
8/18 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
7/18 – Won at Ascot before
4/18 – Trained by John Gosden
4/18 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3/18 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
Frankie Dettori has ridden the winner in 1995, 1998, 1999, 2004, 2017 and 2019
2 of the last 6 winners were that season’s Epsom Oaks winner
Galileo (2001) was the last horse to do the Derby/King George double
Trainer John Gosden won the race in 2011, 2014, 2017 and 2019
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 1981, 1983, 2002, 2009, 2010 & 2018
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor won the race in 1995, 1997, 1998, 1999 & 2004
Trainer Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2001, 2007, 2008 & 2016
The average winning SP in the last 18 runnings is 10/3

 

 

4:10 – Betfred.com Handicap Cl3 (3yo+ 0-90) 1m4f ITV

Only three past runs
3/3 – Carried 9-1 or more in weight
3/3 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
3/3 – Placed favourites
3/3 – Won over at least 1m3f in the past
3/3 – Aged between 3-5 years-old
2/3 – Had run at Ascot in the past
2/3 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
1/3 – Winning favourites
2/3 – Drawn in stall 8
Western Duke won this race 12 months ago
Trainers  Ian Williams, Mick Channon and Charlie Appleby have won the race before

 

York Horse Racing Trends

 

2:05 – Skybet Britain’s Most Popular Online Bookmaker EBF Stallions Fillies' Handicap Cl3 (3yo+ 0-90) 1m2½f ITV

10/10 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
10/10 – Aged between 3-5 years-old
9/10 – Finished in the top 6 last time out
9/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
8/10 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
8/10 – Carried between 8-12 and 9-5
7/10 – Placed favourites
7/10 – Rated between 81 and 88
7/10 – Won over 1m2f or further
7/10 – Won just 1 or 2 races before
5/10  - Winning favourites
4/10 – Won last time out
2/10 – Trained by Tim Easterby
2/10 – Ridden by David Allen
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1

 

2:40 - Sky Bet York Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2½f ITV

13/14 – Aged 6 or younger
13/14 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
12/14 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
11/14 – Had won over 1m2f before
11/14 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
11/14 – Had won at least 4 times before
9/14 – Rated between 111 and 117
8/14 – Horses from stall one that finished in the top two
8/14 – Had run at York before
7/14 – Ran at Sandown last time out
6/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 – Aged 6 years-old
2/14 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
Elarqam (7/1) won the race 12 months ago

 

 

3:15 – Sky Bet Club Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 1m ITV

8/8 – Aged between 3-6 years-old
8/8 – Returned 17/2 or shorter in the betting
8/8 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
7/8 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
7/8 – Had run at York before
6/8 – Won over at least 1m before
6/8 – Irish bred
6/8 – Winners from stalls 3-6
6/8 – Rated between 81 and 91
6/8 – Won between 1-2 times in the past
4/8 – Ridden by Danny Tudhope
4/8 – Aged 4 years-old
4/8 – Trained by David O’Meara
2/8 – Winning favourites
0/8 – Winners from stall 1

 

3:50 – Sky Bet Most Extra Place Races Handicap Cl4 (4yo+) 6f ITV

No past runnings
Trainer Richard Fahey is only 12 from 237 (5%) with this 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Nigel Tinkler is only 2 from 51 (4%) with this 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Michael Appleby is only 2 from 6 (3%) with this 4+ year-olds at the track

 

 

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