Chester May Meeting Trends: Weds 6th May 2026
Here at GeeGeez we've got all the stats that matter for the LIVE ITV races ahead of the opening day of the three-day Chester May Meeting this Wednesday (6th May 2026).
You can use these stats to put history on your side and whittle down the runners to find the best horses that fit the winning profile of past winners.
Chester Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV4)
1:30 – CAA Stellar Group Lily Agnes Conditions Stakes (GBB/IRE Incentive Race) Cl2 5f16y ITV4
23/23 – Had a recent run already that season
21/23 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
18/23 - Had won over 5f before
18/23 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting
17/23 – Favourites that finished 1st or 2nd
16/23 – Won last time out
13/23 – Came from stalls 1-3
12/23 – Horses from stall 2 finished in the top 3
9/23 – Winning favourites
6/23 - Came from stall 1 (3 of the last 5)
3/23 – Trained by the Johnston yard (3 of the last 11 years)
2/23 – Trained by David Evans
The horse from stall 5 has won 5 of the last 18 runnings
8 of the last 11 winners were fillies (mares)
5 of the last 11 winners were March foaled fillies
9 of the last 11 winners were foaled in Feb or March
9 of the last 10 winners came from stall 5 or lower
2:05 – Join Ladbrokes Bet 5 Get 30 Earl Grosvenor Handicap Cl2 7f122y ITV4
20/23 - Had a previous run that season
19/23 - Didn’t win their last race
18/23 - Had won over this trip before (or further)
18/23 - Carried 8-9 or more
17/23 - Finished unplaced last time out
17/23 - Had run before at Chester
16/23 - Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
15/23 - Favourites placed
11/23 - Horses placed from stall 1
10/23 - Won by a 4 year-old
6/23 - Won by the favourite (1 in last 9)
5/23 – Winning horses from stall 1
3/23 – Trained by Andrew Balding (3 of the last 11)
2/23 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/23 – Trained by Tom Dascombe (2 of the last 8)
2/23 – Ridden by David Probert (won two of the last 5)
10 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
3 of the last 11 winners were ridden by claimer
Percy’s Lad won the race in 2024
2:35 – Weatherbys Cheshire Oaks (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 1m3f79y ITV4
19/23 - Had not won over this trip (or further) before
19/23 – Had a previous run that season
19/23 - Favourites that finished in the top three
17/23 - Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
14/23 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
14/23 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
12/23 – Won their last race
9/23 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (6 of the last 10)
7/23 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (6 of the last 10)
5/23 – Winners from stall 4
3/23 – Trained by John Gosden
3/23 – Winners that went onto win the Epsom Oaks (Minnie Hauk, 2025)
4 of the last 8 winners came from stalls (1) or (3)
None of the last 23 winners had run at Chester before
3:05 – Boodles Chester Vase Stakes (Group 3) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 (3yo) 1m4 1/4f ITV4
22/23 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
20/23 – Finished third or better last time out
19/23 – Had a previous run that season
16/23 - Went onto finish 8th or better in the Epsom Derby
16/23 – Favourites that finished 1st or 2nd in this race
12/23 – Didn’t win their previous race
11/23 – Came from stalls 1 or 2
11/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (8 of last 12 winners)
10/23 – Winning favourites
9/23 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (7 of last 11 winners)
7 of the last 11 winners from stalls 3 or lower
Ryan Moore and Aidan O’Brien have won 6 of the last 11
Just two winners in the last 23 years went onto win the Epsom Derby winner (2025, Lambourn 2013 and Ruler Of The World)
3:40 – American Holidays Handicap Cl3 (3yo 0-95) 6f ITV4
12/14 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
11/14 – Won between 1-2 times before
11/14 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
10/14 – Winners from stalls 4 or higher
10/14 – Placed favourites
8/14 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
9/14 – Had won over 6f before
6/14 – Rated between 78-80
6/14 – Had run at the track before
3/14 – Winning favourites
1/14 – Winners from stall 1
Trainer David Evans has won 2 of the last 6
Trainer Richard Fahey has won 2 of the last 7 (including in 2024)
2.05– Ladbrokes Best Odds Guaranteed On Racing Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 5f ITV4
23/22 – Winners from stall 7 or lower
20/22 - Had won before over this trip
16/22 - Winners came from stalls 1-4
15/22 - Had run before that season
15/22 - Carried 8-12 or less
13/22 - Favourites that finished in the top three
9/22 - Returned a double-figure price
7/22 - Had won before at Chester
5/22 – Won their last race
5/22 – Winning favourites
2/22 - Trained by Tim Easterby
5 of the last 8 winners came from stalls 2-4 (inc)
9 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The last 16 winners returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
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