2026 ebor handicap trends

Here at GeeGeez we are on hand for at this week’s York Ebor Meeting as we give you all the key stats ahead of the LIVE ITV races each day.

As the York Ebor Festival moves into it's final day, it's the Sky Bet Ebor Handicap that is the feature contest of the day - the most valuable flat handicap run in Europe.

A race that's seen 18 of the last 24 winners carry 9-5 or less in weight and 19 of the last 24 drawn in double-figures.

York Day One Trends (Weds 19th Aug)
York Day Two Trends (Thurs 20th Aug)
York Day Three Trends (Fri 21st Aug)

Saturday 22nd August 2026

YORK HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RacingTV)

1.50 – Sky Bet Strensall Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m208y ITV

22/23 – Had between 2 and 4 runs already that season
21/23 – Had won over at least a mile before
21/23 – Had won at least twice in the their career
17/23 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
17/23 – Had won over a mile before
9/23 – Winning favourites (1 joint) (5 in the last 11)
8/23 – Won by Godolphin
5/23 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
4/23 – Had won at York before
3/23 – Trained by David O’Meara (3 of last 12)
2/23 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
9 of the last 12 winners drawn 5 or lower
King Of Cities (11/1) won the race in 2025
See The Fire (3/1 fav) won the race in 2024

Note: The 2009 running was a dead-heat

2.25 – Sky Bet Melrose Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m6f ITV

21/23 – Never raced at York before
19/23 – Had a top 5 finish last time out
18/23 – Had 4 or more runs that season
18/23 – Returned 12/1 or shorter
17/23 – Had won over 1m4f or further
15/23 – Won carrying 9-0 or less
13/23 - Drawn in stall 8 or lower
6/23 – Winning favourites (1 co, 1 joint)
3/23 – Trained by William Haggas
2/23 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/23 – Ridden by William Buick (2 of the last 10)
2/23 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy (2 of the last 6)
2/23 – Trained by Charlie Appleby (2 of last 8)
3/23 – Trained by Andrew Balding (3 of last 6)
The last 8 winners carried 9-3 or less
Tarriance (5/1) won the race in 2025
Tabletalk (12/1) won the race in 2024

3.00 – Sky Bet City Of York Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 7f ITV

20/23 – Failed to win last time out
20/23 – Aged 5 or younger
19/23 – Priced 7/1 or shorter
17/23 – Drawn in stalls 4 to 8 (inc)
17/23 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
16/23 – Never run at York before
14/23 – Winning distance 1 length or less
13/23 – Had 4 or more runs that season
9/23 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/23 – Won by trainer Andrew Balding
3/23 – Placed horses from stall 1
8 of the last 11 winners drawn 3+
John Quinn yard have won 2 of the last 6
Ralph Beckett has won 2 of the last 4
Never So Brave (7/2) won the race in 2025
Breege (33/1) won the race in 2024

3.35 – Sky Bet Ebor (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m6f ITV

23/24 – Aged 6 or younger
20/24 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
18/24 – Carried 9-5 or less
19/24 – Won from a double-figure stall
16/24 – Winning Distance - 1 length or less
16/24 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
16/24 – Had 3 or more runs already that season
13/24 – Unplaced favourites
12/24 – Carried 9-1 or less
11/24 – Had run at York before
9/24 – Irish-trained winners (9 of the last 17)
8/24 – Won last time out
7/24 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/24 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
4/24 – Ran at Galway last time out
4/24 – Winning favourites
3/24- Trained by Willie Mullins (3 of the last 17)
3/24 – Placed horses from stall 1 (winner 2023, third 2011, third 2013)
2/24 – Trained by Johnny Murtagh (2 of last 12)
2/24 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/24 – Trained by John Gosden (2 of the last 8)
All of the last 14 winners carried 9-0 to 9-9
7 of the last 8 winners carried 9-5 or more
Just four winning favourites since 1999
Since 1980 only one winner aged 7 or older
9 of the last 12 winners were aged 5 or 6 years-old

4:10 Constantine Handicap (Heritage Handicap) (Class 2) 6f ITV

Just 5 past runnings
Northern Ticker (12/1) won the race in 2025
Elmonjed (7/2 fav) won the race in 2024
Albasheer won the race in 2023
Summerghand won the race in 2023 and 2022
Jockey Daniel Tudhope rode the winner in 2022, 2023 & 2025
2 of the last 5 winning favourites
2 winners trained by David O’Meara
2 of the 5 winners from stall 2
4 of the last 5 winners priced 15/2 or shorter
4 of the 5 winners carried 9-0 or more in weight
2 of the 5 winners came from stalls 13+
Note: The 2023 running was a dead-heat

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Run over 1m6f the Skybet-sponsored Ebor Handicap is open to horses aged 3 or older and is run at York racecourse in August at their 4-day Ebor Festival Meeting. We’ve only seen three winning favourites land the prize since 1999, so be wary of the market leaders, while with 21 of the last 22 winners were aged 6 or younger then you might want to avoid any older horses in the race.

We look back at past winners and give you the key trends ahead of Europe’s most valuable flat handicap race - this year run on Saturday 23rd August, 2025

Key Ebor Handicap Betting Trends

Past Ebor Winners

2025 - Ethical Diamond (5/1 fav)
2024 - Magical Zoe (11/2)
2023 - Absurde (7/1)
2022 - Trawlerman (9/1)
2021 – Sonnyboyliston (10/1)
2020 – Fujaira Prince (11/2 fav)
2019 – Mustajeer (16/1)
2018 – Muntahaa (11/1)
2017 – Nakeeta (12/1)
2016 – Heartbreak City (15/2)
2015 – Litigant (33/1)
2014 – Mutual Regard (20/1)
2013 – Tiger Cliff (5/1)
2012 – Willing Foe (12/1)
2011 – Moyenne Corniche (25/1)
2010 – Dirar (14/1)
2009 – Sesenta (25/1)
2008 – All The Good (25/1)
2007 – Purple Moon (7/2 fav)
2006 – Mudawin (100/1)
2005 – Sergeant Cecil (11/1)
2004 – Mephisto (6/1)
2003 – Saint Alebe (20/1)
2002 – Hugs Dancer (25/1)

Note: 2008 renewal at Newbury over 1m3f