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Sat TV Trends: 4th Sept 2021

This Saturday the ITV cameras head to Haydock, Kempton and Ascot to take in races across the three venues. The Group One Sprint Cup is the clear highlight of the weekend from Haydock - Did you know that 15 of the last 19 Sprint Cup winners were aged 5 or younger, while 14 of the last 19 came from stalls 5 or higher?

Here at GeeGeez we are on hand with all the key trends and stats - use these to help find the best winning profiles of past winners.

 

Saturday 4th September 2021

 

HAYDOCK Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1.45 – Betfair Double Daily Rewards Superior Mile (Group 3) Cl1 1m ITV

15/17 – Won over 1m or further before
15/17 – Won 3 or more times before
14/17 – Winning distance 1 length or more
13/17 – Had won a Listed or better race before
13/17 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
12/17 – Had 3 or more runs that season
10/17 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/17 – Placed favourites
8/17 – Ran at either York or Ascot last time out
6/17 – Winning favourites
4/17 – Won last time out
4/17 – Had won at Haydock before
3/17 – Trained by Roger Charlton
3/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/17 – Trained by Brian Ellison
Top Rank (11/2) won the race in 2020
7 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 1 or 4

 

2.20 – “My Odds Boost” On Betfair Handicap Cl2 1m6f ITV

11/12 – Came from stalls 3-10 (inc)
11/12 – Had run in the last 4 weeks
10/12 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
10/12 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
9/12 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
9/12 – Rated between 81-89 (inc)
6/12 – Came from stalls 6-10 (inc)
6/12 – Irish Bred
6/12 – Placed favourites
5/12 – Won last time out
6/12 – Ran at either York (4) or Newbury (2) last time out
4/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Trained by Andrew Balding
Favourite Moon (9/4) won the race in 2020

 

2.55 – Betfair Exchange Old Borough Cup Handicap Cl2 1m6f ITV

17/18 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
17/18 – Had won at least twice before
16/18 – Had run 4 or more times that season
15/18 – Aged 3, 4 or 5 years-old
14/18 – Finished 4th or better last time out
14/18 – Rated 90 to 101
13/18 – Drawn in stall 7 or higher
10/18 – Winning distance ¾ lengths or less
10/18 – Had run over 1m6f before
9/18 – Carried 9-0 or more
9/18 – Ran at Haydock before
7/18 – Ran at York last time out
6/18 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/18 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/18 – Ridden by Joe Fanning
2/18 – Trained by Iain Jardine
2/18 – Trained by Ian Williams
Euchen Glen (14/1) won this race in 2020
Reshoun (6/1) won this race in 2018

 

3.30 – Betfair Sprint Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 6f ITV

17/19 – Unplaced horses from stall 1
16/19 – Rated 111 or higher
16/19 – Had won over 6f before
15/19 – Had 4 or more career wins to their name
15/19 - Aged 5 or younger
15/19 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
14/19 – Didn’t win their previous race
14/19 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
13/19 – Winning distance 1 length or less
13/19 – Had won a Group race before
12/19 –Had 4 or more runs that season
10/19 – Had run at Haydock before (4 had won)
9/19 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
9/19 – Ran at Deauville (4) or York (5) last time out
8/19 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
7/19 – Had won a Group 1 before
7/19 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 19 years is 8/1

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

3.10 - Lavazza Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m4f ITV

9/11 – Rated between 84-95
9/11 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
7/11 – Had won just once before
6/11 – Horses placed from stall 10
6/11 – Carried 9-0 or more
6/11 – Had run at Ascot before (4 won)
5/11 – Returned a double-figure price
5/11 – Horses placed from stall 8
5/11 – Won last time out
4/11 – Ran at Ascot last time out
4/11 – Winning favourites (1 co, 1 joint)
3/11 – Trained by Roger Varian
2/11 – Won by trainer Saeed Bin Suroor
Note: the 2015 running was a dead-heat

3.45 - Careys Foundation Supporting The Lighthouse Club Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 7f ITV

Only 9 previous runnings
10/10 – Had won over 7f before
10/10 – Winning distance 1 ¼ lengths or less
9/10 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
9/10 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Had run at the course before
8/10 – Didn’t win last time out
7/10 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
6/10 – Irish bred
6/10 – Unplaced last time out
5/10 – Won by a claiming jockey (5 of the last 7)
5/10 – Had between 4-7 wins already
4/10 – Rated between 95-97
3/10 – Aged 5 years-old
2/10 – Winners from stall 12
0/10 – Winning favourites
Documenting (14/1) won the race in 2020
Salute The Soldier (10/1) won the race in 2019
Ripp Orf (7/1) won the race in 2018 and was second in 2019

 

 

 

Kempton Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

 

2.40 – Unibet September Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f ITV

14/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
11/15 – Placed favourites
11/15 – Had won over 1m4f before
11/15 – Winning distance – 1 ¼l or more
10/15 – Didn’t win last time out
10/15 – Had won between 4-7 times before
9/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/15 – Horses from stall 2 that finished in the top 3
9/15 – Had run at Kempton before
6/15 – Winning favourites
5/15 – Ran at York (3) or Windsor (2) last time out
5/15 – Aged 4 years-old
4/15 – Godolphin-owned runners
4/15 – Trained by John Gosden (4 of the last 6)
3/15 – Winners from stall 2
3/15 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
1/15 – Winners from stall 1
Enable won the race in 2018 and 2020

 

3.15 - Unibet London Mile Series Final Handicap Cl2(3yo+) 1m ITV

14/14 – Had run at Kempton before
12/14 – Had won over a mile before
11/14 – Won between 3-7 times before
11/14 – Unplaced favourites
10/14 – Aged 4 years-old
9/14 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
7/14 – Returned 20/1 or bigger in the betting
5/14 – Rated between 77-85
5/14 – Horses from stall 9 that finished in the top 3
5/14 – Ran at Kempton last time out
5/14 – Won last time out
2/14 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/14 – Winning favourites
5 of the last 8 winners came from stalls 14 (3) or 16 (2)

 

 

 

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