Tag Archive for: cheltenham horse racing tips and trends

Cheltenham TV Trends on New Year’s Day (Wednesday, 1st Jan 2025)

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A massive day of action at Cheltenham this New Year’s Day as we begin 2025 with the ITV cameras taking in four races at the home of National Hunt racing, of which we've got the key trends for.

As always, here at Geegeez we are on hand with a look at all the televised races from Prestbury Park from a trends angle – use these stats to help find the best winning profile of past winners of the race.

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (1st Jan 2025)

1.30 – Betfair Handicap Chase (GBB Race) (Class 2) (5yo+ 0-150) 3m 1 1/2f

9/9 – Didn’t win last time out
8/9 – Finished unplaced last time out
8/9 – Carried 11st 1lb or more
8/9 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
8/9 – Irish (4) or French (4) bred winners
8/9 – Won over 3m (or further) before
7/9 – Wore headgear
7/9 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
7/9 – Won between 1-2 times before
7/9- Aged 9 or younger
6/9 – Raced at Cheltenham before
5/9 – Placed favourites
5/9 – Wore 1st time headgear
5/9 – Aged 9 years-old
2/9 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/9 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 12/1

2.05 – Betfair Exchange Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Cl1 2m4f166y ITV

21/21 – Had run over fences at Cheltenham before
20/21 – Raced within the last 2 months
18/21 – Had won at least twice over fences before
18/21 – Had won over 2m4f or further (fences) before
17/21 – Either French (6) or Irish (11) bred
17/21 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
17/21 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting
16/21 – Rated 138 or higher
15/21 – Aged 8 or older
15/21 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
14/21 – Carried 11-0 or less
12/21 – Had won over fences at Cheltenham before
12/21 – Unplaced last time out
12/21 – Unplaced favourites
11/21 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
11/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
5/21 – Winning favourites (3 of the last 9)
4/21 – Won by the Nigel Twiston-Davies yard (4 of the last 10)
2/21 – Trained by Dan Skelton (2 of the last 4)
2/21 – Ridden by Harry Skelton (2 of the last 4)
1/21 – Went onto win the Ryanair Chase at the Cheltenham Festival
8 or the last 9 winners aged between 7-9
Midnight River won the race in 2023

2.40 – Paddy Power Handicap Hurdle Cl2 3m ITV

17/20 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
16/20 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
16/20 – Had won a hurdles race over at least 2m4f before
15/20– Had raced at Cheltenham before
15/20 – Had won at least twice over hurdles in the UK before
14/20 – Rated 130 or higher
12/20 – Unplaced last time out
12/20 – Carried 10-9 or more
11/20 – Went onto run in a race at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
11/20 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
10/20 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
9/20 – Unplaced favourites
8/20 – Had won over at least 3m (hurdles) before
8/20 – French bred
6/20 – Had won over hurdles at Cheltenham before
6/20 – Won last time out
4/20 – Winning favourites
2/20 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/20 – Won by the Olly Murphy yard (2 of the last 4)
1/20 – Won by a mare
1/20 – Went onto win the Stayers’ Hurdle later that season (Big Buck’s, 2009)
3 of the last 9 winners ridden by a claiming jockey

3.15 – Dornan Engineering Relkeel Hurdle Cl2 2m4f110y ITV

18/20 – Aged 8 or younger
18/20 – Won by either a French (6) or Irish (12) bred
17/20 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
16/20 – Went on run in a race at the Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
16/20 – Had raced at Cheltenham before (note, 2021 running was at Kempton)
14/20 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting
14/20 – Had won at least 4 times over hurdles before
14/20 – Had won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
13/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/20 – Had won at Cheltenham before
9/20 – Went onto run in the Stayers’ Hurdle later that season
8/20 – Winning favourites
8/20 – Won last time out
7/20 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
5/20 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2 of the last 3 winners were Irish trained
Bob Olinger (6/4) won the race in 2024
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1

Note: The 2021 running was staged at Kempton

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Saturday TV Trends Sat TV Trends: 14th Dec 2024

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A MASSIVE day up at Prestbury Park as the Cheltenham December Meeting continues this Saturday (14th Dec), plus the ITV cameras also head to Doncaster for three races - as always, here at Geegeez, we are on hand with all the big-race trends and stats…..

With the December Gold Cup at 1:50pm the feature - a race trainer Paul Nicholls has won five times.

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.50 – Nyetimber December Gold Cup (Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m5f ITV

20/21 – Aged 8 or younger
19/21 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
17/21 – Had won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
16/21 – Had won between 2-4 times over fences before
15/21 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
15/20 - Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival later that season (2 winners, Frodon – Ryanair Chase and Coole Cody – Plate)
15/21 – Had raced at Cheltenham (fences) before (6 won)
14/21 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
14/21 – Officially rated 141 or higher
13/21 – Unplaced favourites
12/21 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
12/21 – French bred
10/21 – Carried 10-12 or more
10/21 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
10/21 – Ran in the Paddy Power (Nov) Gold Cup last time out (1 won)
7/21 – Finished in the top 5 in the Paddy Power Gold Cup last time out
5/21 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
5/21 – Won last time out
3/21 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/21 – Went to an Irish-trained horse
2/21 – Trained by David Pipe
2/21 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
1/21 – Winning favourites
9 of the last 12 winners carried 10-12 or less
The average winning SP in the last 21 runnings is 10/1

2.25 BetMGM Handicap Chase (GBB Race) (Class 2) (4yo+) 2m 1/2f

13/13 – Had run in the last 6 weeks
12/13 – Had run at Cheltenham before
10/13 – Returned 15/2 or shorter
10/13 – Won between 1-3 times over fences
10/13 – Aged 7 or older
10/13 – Placed favourites
9/13 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
8/13 – Irish bred
8/13 – Carried 10-12 or more
8/13 – Returned 5/1 or shorter
5/13 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/13 – Won last time out
3/13 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/13 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/13 – Ridden by Brendan Powell
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 17/2

3.00 - Albert Bartlett Novices´ Hurdle (Registered as The Bristol Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m ITV

19/19 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
18/19 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
17/19 – Had won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
17/19 – Aged 6 or younger
16/19 – Winning distance 1 ¼ lengths or more
15/19 – Placed favourites
15/19 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
13/19 – Went on run in the Albert Bartlett (3 won) at the Cheltenham Festival
12/19 – Winning favourite (1 co, 1 joint)
12/19 – Won last time out
12/19 – Irish bred
11/19 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
11/19 – Returned 2/1 or shorter in the betting
9/19 – Went onto finish in the top 4 in a Cheltenham Festival race that season
9/19 – Had won at Cheltenham before
8/18 – Won over 3m (hurdles) before
3/19 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies (3 of the last 9)
2/19 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
11 of the last 14 winners returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
10 of the last 12 winners were aged 5 years-old
The Tizzard yard have won 2 of the last 6 renewals
The Irish have won 2 of the last 3 runnings

3.35 – BetMGM Mares’ Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 2m4 1/2f ITV

Just 8 previous runnings
All 8 winners returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
7/8 - Winners carried 10-10 or more
6/8 - Aged 7 or younger
6/8 - Aged 5 or 6 years-old
5/8 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
2/8 – Winning favourites
Trainers, Lucy Wadham (2), Nicky Henderson, Dan Skelton (2), Noel Williams (2), Anthony Honeyball

Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (ITV/Sky Sports Racing)

2.05 - bet365 Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+ 0-150) 3m ITV

10/10 – Aged 7 or older
9/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
9/10 – Returned 17/2 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Won over at least 3m
8/10 - Irish bred
7/10 – Aged 8 or 9
7/10 – Favourites finished in top 2
7/10 – Won between 2-4 times over fences
6/10 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
6/9 – Unplaced last time out
4/9 – Had run at Doncaster before
3/9 – Winning favourites
2/9 – Trained by Kim Bailey (2 of the last 3)
2/9 – Ridden by David Bass
Forward Plan won the race in 2023

2.40– bet365 Doncaster Mares’ Hurdle (Listed Race) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 3m 1/2f ITV

No past runnings
Trainer Adrian Paul Keatley is 2 from 3 over hurdles at the track

3.15 - bet365 Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (3yo+) 2m½f ITV

8/10 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
8/10 – Carried 11st or more
8/10 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles
7/10 – Returned 4/1 or shorter
6/10 – Irish bred
3/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of the last 7)
3 of the last 7 winners won by a claiming jockey
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 23% strike-rate at the track with his hurdlers
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 22% strike-rate at the track with his hurdlers

 

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Cheltenham TV Trends: Friday 13th December 2024

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The tapes go up for the opening day of the 2024 Cheltenham December Meeting this Friday (13th December) with FOUR LIVE ITV races from Prestbury Park - including the Crystal Cup Cross Country race.

Here at GeeGeez we are on hand with our quick-fire trends ahead of the LIVE races at this week's Cheltenham Christmas Meeting.

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (RTV/ITV)

1.15 - Catesby Estates Handicap Hurdle Cl3 (3yo+ 0-140) 2m1f RTV

10/11 – Top 4 finish last time
10/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
10/11 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
9/11 – Aged 6 or younger
8/11 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
8/11 – Won between 2-4 times (hurdles)
8/11 – Rated between 121 – 129
7/11 – French or Irish bred
7/11 – Carried 10-12 or more
5/11 – Won last time out
5/11 – Had run at the track before
4/11 – Ridden by a claiming jockey
2/11 – Winning favourites

1:50 – Sonic The Hedgehog 3 Coming Soon Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 3m2f ITV

18/21 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
18/21 – Had run over fences at Cheltenham before (8 won)
17/21 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
16/21 – Had won at least 3 times over fences before
15/21 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
13/21 – Aged 8 or younger
12/21 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
11/21 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (none won)
11/21 – Irish bred
10/21 – Placed favourites
9/21 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
8/21 – Won last time out
5/21 – Won by the Pipe stable
5/21 – Winning favourites
2/21 - Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies (2 of the last 5 runnings)
2/21 – Trained by the Tizzard yard (2 of last 7 runnings)
8 of the last 10 winners carried 11-1 or less
Sam Twiston-Daves has ridden 3 of the last 5 winners
Charlie Deutsch has ridden 2 of the last 8 winners

2.25 – Unibet Middle Distance Chase Series Veterans’ Handicap Chase (Cl2) (9yo+ 0-150) 2m 4 1/2f ITV

No previous runnings
Trainer David Pipe is just 1-from-24 with his chasers at the track
Jockey Jack Tudor is 0-from-16 riding over fences at the track

3.00 – Glenfarclas Cross Crystal Cup Country Handicap Chase Cl2 3m7f ITV

18/19 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
16/19 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (4 won)
16/19 – Had run over the Cheltenham Cross Country course before
15/19 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
15/19– Placed 1st, 2nd or 3rd last time out
11/19 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
11/19 – Aged 9 or older
11/19 – Placed favourites
9/19 – Aged in double-figures
8/19 – Had won over the Cheltenham Cross Country course before
8/19 – French bred
7/19 – Trained by Enda Bolger
6/19 – Won last time out
5/19 – Carried 11-12
4 of the last 8 winners Irish-trained
Latenightpass (3/1 fav) won this race in 2023

3.35 – Citipost Handicap Hurdle Cl2 3m ITV4

18/21 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
17/21 – Carried 11-2 or less
16/21 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
16/21 – Irish bred
16/21 – Aged 7 or younger
16/21 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
12/21 – Unplaced favourites
12/21 – Rated between 127 and 137
10/21 - Priced 15/2 or bigger in the betting
10/21 – Winners that went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (one winner)
10/21 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
9/21 – Had won over at least 3m (hurdles) before
6/21 – Won last time out
4/21 – Winning favourites
3/21 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/21 - Trained by Jonjo O'Neill
3 of the last 7 winners ridden by a claimer

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2024 Paddy Power Gold Cup Trends

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Run over 2m 4 ½ furlongs the Paddy Power Gold Cup is the feature contest at the three-day Cheltenham Open Meeting, held each year in the middle of November each year.

The ‘Pond House’ Pipe stable are the leading yard with nine wins in the race, with Celestial Gold, Our Vic and Great Endeavour, who won the contest in 2011, their most-recent winners.

In 2017, the Paddy Power Gold Cup was won by the Nigel Twiston-Davies-trained Splash Of Ginge – a win that gave the yard their third success in the race since 2008 and their four overall.

In 2023 we saw the Paul Nicholls-trained Stage Star win the race with jockey Harry Cobden surviving a last-fence blunder to give the yard their third Paddy Power.

We take a look at the 2024 Paddy Power Gold Cup renewal from a stats angle - this year run on Saturday 16th November.

Recent Paddy Power Gold Cup Winners

2023 - Stage Star (4/1 fav)
2022 - GA Law (5/1)
2021 – Midnight Shadow (9/1)
2020 - Coole Cody (10/1)
2019 - Happy Diva (14/1)
2018 - Baron Alco (8/1)
2017 - Splash Of Ginge (25/1)
2016 - Taquin Du Seuill (8/1)
2015 – Annacotty (12/1)
2014 – Caid Du Berlais (10/1)
2013 – Johns Spirit (7/1)
2012 – Al Ferof (8/1)
2011 – Great Endeavour (8/1)
2010 – Little Josh (20/1)
2009 – Tranquil Sea (11/2 fav)
2008 – Imperial Commander (13/2)
2007 – L’Antartique (13/2)
2006 – Exotic Dancer (16/1)
2005 – Our Vic (9/2 fav)
2004 – Celestial Gold (12/1)
2003 – Fondmort (3/1 fav)
2002 – Cyfor Malta (16/1)

Paddy Power Gold Cup Betting Trends

21/22 – Had run at Cheltenham before
21/22 – Had won over at least 2m4f over fences before
21/22 – Won by a UK-based trainer
18/22 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
15/22 – Carried 11st or less
15/22 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
15/22 – Had won at Cheltenham before
14/22 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
13/22 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences before
12/22 – Trained by Pipe (3), Jonjo O’Neill (3), Nicholls (3) or Twiston-Davies (3)
11/22 – Placed favourites
11/22 – Won by a horse in the first 3 in the betting
10/22 – Aged 7 years-old
9/22 – Won this on their seasonal reappearance
5/22 – Won their last race
5/22 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
4/22 – Trained by the Pipe stable
4/22 – Winning favourites
3/22 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
3/22 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
3/22 – Ran at Carlisle last time out
2/22 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
1/22 – Irish-trained winners
Only 4 winning 8 year-olds since 1998
24 of the last 25 winners aged between 6-9
The last winner aged in double-figures was in 1975
Paul Nicholls has saddled 13 placed horses (three winners, Stage Star, Al Ferof & Caid Du Berlais) from his last 47 runners
The average winning SP in the last 22 years is 10/1

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Sat TV Trends: 26th Oct 2024

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Loads going on this Saturday as the ITV cameras are at Doncaster, Newbury and Cheltenham.

Yes, jump racing is back at the home of the National Hunt - Cheltenham - with a cracking card of which the first four races are LIVE on ITV. Then at Newbury, we’ve two decent Group Three contests to look forward too, while the LIVE ITV action concludes with three races from Doncaster that are spearheaded by the Group One Kameko Futurity Trophy Stakes - a prize that top Irish handler - Aidan O’Brien - has won a massive 11 times!

Like all big race days, here at GeeGeez we’ve got the LIVE races covered with key trends and stats – use these to whittle down the runners and find the best profile of past winners.

Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (ITV/SkySports Racing)

1.30 – William Hill Prospect Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV

15/16 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
15/16 – Drawn in stall 9 or lower
15/16 – Foaled in February or later
14/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
14/16 – Won between 1-2 times before
14/16 – Had won over 6f before
13/16 – Favourites placed in the top 3
12/16 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
11/16 – Won last time out
11/16 – Carried 9-1 in weight
11/16 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
9/16 – Raced at York, Nottingham or Kempton last time out
8/16 – Irish bred
7/16 – March-born foals
6/16 – Winning favourites (3 of the last 8)
2/16 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
2/16 – Trained by Brian Meehan
Trainer Marco Botti has won 2 of the last 8 runnings
The last 4 winners came from stalls 2 (2) or 4 (2)
7 of the last 9 winners from stalls 5 or lower

2.05 – Join Century Racing Club Today Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 5f ITV

20/20 – Ran 5 or more times that season
19/20 – Had won over 5f before
16/20 – Aged 5 or younger
14/20 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
13/20 – Had run at Doncaster before (5 won)
11/20 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
11/20 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/20 - Carried 8-9 or less
11/20 – Unplaced favourites
7/20 – Won last time out
6/20 – Ran at Pontefract (3) or Ayr (3) last time out
6/20 – Winning favourites
2/20 – Winners from stall 1
2/20 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of last 10)
2/20 – Winning mare/filly
10 of the last 17 winners came from a double-figure stall
Aberama Gold won the race in 2023
3 of the last 8 winners from stall 17
Note: The 2021 running was a dead-heat

2.40 – William Hill Futurity Trophy (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 1m ITV

19/22 – Had won either 1 or 2 races before
19/22 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
19/22 – Placed favourites
18/22 - Foaled in February or later
18/22 – Finished in the top two last time out
17/22 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
16/22 – Had raced at least twice previously
15/22 – Winning favourites
14/22 – Ran at either the Curragh or Newmarket last time out
14/22 – Won their last race
13/22 – Foaled in either Feb or March
13/22 – Had won over a mile in the past
10/22 – Won by an Irish-based yard
8/22 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (11 wins in total)
3/22 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (3 of the last 7)
Trainer John Gosden have NEVER won this race
Aidan O’Brien has won the race 11 times – 1997, 1999, 2001, 2002, 2009, 2011, 2012, 2017, 2018, 2021 & 2022
The average SP in the last 22 runnings is 11/2
6 horses won the Derby the following season: Reference Point (1986); High Chaparral (2001); Motivator (2004); Authorized (2006); Camelot (2011); Auguste Rodin (2022).

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 

3.10 – BetVictor Horris Hill Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 7f ITV

18/19 – Foaled in Feb or later
16/19 – Won just 1 or 2 races before
15/19 – Priced 15/2 or shorter in the betting
14/19 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
13/19 – Never raced at Newbury
12/19 – Had at least 3 previous career runs
12/19 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
12/19 – Favourites unplaced
10/19 – Won over 7f before
10/19 – Won their last race
7/19 – Foaled in February
7/19 – Winning distance – ¾ lengths or less
5/19 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
4/19 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
1/19 – Winning favourites

3.45 – BetVictor St Simon Stakes (Registered As The St Simon) (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f5y ITV

19/20 – Aged 5 or younger
18/20 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
18/20 – Had won at least twice before
17/20 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
17/20 – Had at least 4 runs that season
14/20 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
13/20 – Rated 106 or higher
13/20 – Placed favourites
12/20 – Had run at Newbury before (6 won)
12/20 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
11/20 – Placed horses from stall 6
8/20 – Winners from stalls 6 or 8
6/20 – Won by a filly or mare
6/20 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/20 – Winning favourites
4/20 – Won last time out
3/20 – Trained by William Haggas (3 of last 11)
3/20 – Trained by Andrew Balding
1/20 – Winners from stall 1
Max Vega won the race in 2022
Note: 2018 running was a dead-heat

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends ITV/RacingTV)

1.10 – William Hill Top Price Guarantee Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl3 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV

Just 3 previous runnings
Trainers Nigel Twiston-Davies, Martin Keighley and Chris Gordon have won this race before
3/3 – Carried 10-13 or more
3/3 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting
3/3 – Aged between 5-7
No winning favourite
Trainer Gavin Cromwell has a 25% SR with his chasers at the track
Trainer Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero has a 25% SR with his chasers at the track
Jockey Sean Bowen is just 3-41 riding over fences at Cheltenham

1.45 – William Hill Betting Done Properly Novices’ Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo) 3m ITV

9/9 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
9/9 – Favourites finished in the top 2
8/9 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
8/9 – Top 3 finish last time out
7/9 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
7/9 – Had won over 3m hurdles before
7/9 – French or Irish bred
6/9 – Won last time out
5/9 – Winning favourites
3/9 – Won at Warwick last time out
2/9 – Won at Perth last time out
2/9 – Trained by John C McConnell
2/9 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 2/1

2.20 –William Hill Committed To Top Priced Handicap Chase Cl2 3m1f ITV

15/17 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting market
15/17 – Won over at least 3m previously
13/17 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or less
12/17 – First run of the season
12/17 – Irish bred winners
11/17 – Favourites unplaced
10/17 – Rated 134 or higher
10/17 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
8/17 - Had won at Cheltenham previously
8/17 – Unplaced in their last race
7/17 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
5/17 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
1/17 – Winning Favourites (none in the last 10)
2 of the last 3 winners Irish trained
Whacker Clan (12/1) won the race in 2023

2.55 - Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Series Qualifier) Cl2 2m7f208y ITV

11/15 – Priced 17/2 or bigger in the betting
10/15 – Had run at Cheltenham before (4 winners)
10/15 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
10/15 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
9/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/15 – Unplaced favourites
8/15 – Last ran 6 month+ ago
7/15 – Irish Bred
6/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Winning favourites (2 of the last 7)
2/15 – Mare winners
2/15 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/15 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
4 of the last 9 winners ridden by a claimer
7 of the last 10 winners carried 10-10 or more
Nicky Henderson has trained the winner in 2023 and 2017 (both Nico de Boinvile-ridden)

3.30 - Masterson Holdings Hurdle Cl2 2m110y ITV

11/15 – Having their first run of the new jumps season
11/15 - Had won 2 or less times over hurdles
9/15 – Placed in their last race
9/15 – Returned 10/3 or shorter in the betting
6/15 – Favourites placed
5/15 – Irish bred winners
4/15 – Irish-trained winners
4/15 – Winning favourites (just 1 in the last 10)
4/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of the last 5 and both ridden by Harry Cobden)
Gordon Elliott has won the race twice since 2014
Just 1 winning favourite in last 10 runnings
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2022 December Gold Cup Trendsri

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The December Gold Cup (formerly the Caspian Caviar Gold Cup) is run over 2m5f  at Cheltenham’s December Meeting each season around the middle of the month.

In recent years, trainer Paul Nicholls’ has won the prize five times, the most recent being Frodon in 2018. Nicky Henderson is another trainer to look out for - having won the race three times since 2002 – while in 2020, the race was won by the Michael Winters-trained Chatham Street Lad, who was only the third Irish-trained winner of the race in last 20 runnings.

It's also interesting that 24 of the last 25 winners were aged 8 or younger.

It’s generally, been a good contest for the bookmakers with just one winning favourite in the last 20 runnings (last winning market leader was in 2009), but that’s not to say those at the head of the market don’t do well as 12 of the last 20 winners returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting – while three of the last 9 Racing Post Gold Cup winners returned 7/1.

We look back at recent winners and give you all the trends that matter ahead of the 2022 renewal – this year run on Saturday December 10th.

Recent December Gold Cup Winners

2021 – Coole Cody (12/1)
2020 - Chatham Street Lad (16/1)
2019 – Warthog (7/1)
2018 – Frodon (7/1)
2017 – Guitar Pete (9/1)
2016 – Frodon (14/1)
2015 – Villiage Vic (8/1)
2014 – Niceonefrankie (16/1)
2013 – Double Ross (7/1)
2012 – Unioniste (15/2)
2011 – Quantitativeeasing (6/1)
2010 – Poquelin (16/1)
2009 – Poquelin (7/2 fav)
2008 – Abandoned
2007 – Tamarinbleu (22/1)
2006 – Exotic Dancer (8/1)
2005 – Sir Oj (16/1)
2004 – Monkerhostin (4/1)
2003 – Iris Royal (7/1)
2002 – Fondmort (5/1)
2001 – Abandoned
2000 – Go Roger Go (7/1)

December Gold Cup Betting Trends

19/20 – Aged 8 or younger
18/20 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
16/20 – Had won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
15/20 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
15/20 - Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival later that season (2 winners, Frodon – Ryanair Chase and Coole Cody – Plate)
15/20 – Had won between 2-4 times over fences before
14/20 – Had raced at Cheltenham (fences) before (6 won)
13/20 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
13/20 – Officially rated 141 or higher
12/20 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
12/20 – Unplaced favourites
11/20 – French bred
9/20 – Carried 10-12 or more
9/20 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
9/20 – Ran in the Paddy Power (Nov) Gold Cup last time out (1 won)
6/20 – Finished in the top 5 in the Paddy Power Gold Cup last time out
5/20 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
5/20 – Won last time out
3/20 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/20 – Went to an Irish-trained horse
2/20 – Trained by David Pipe
2/20 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
1/20 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 20 runnings is 10/1

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Cheltenham TV Trends (Sun 14th Nov 21)

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Another big day ahead for the ITV racing team this Sunday (14th Nov) as they take in four races from Cheltenham on the final day of their three-day November Meeting.

Like all big race days, here at GeeGeez we're on hand with all the LIVE ITV race trends and stats………..

 

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

 

1.45 – Jewson Click And Collect Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 3m3 1/2f ITV

17/19 – Had won a 3m+ race over fences before
17/19 – Had run at Cheltenham before
16/19 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
14/19 – Aged 8 or younger
12/19 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
12/19  – Had won between 3 and 5 times over fences before
12/19 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
10/19 – Irish bred
10/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/19 – Officially rated between 135 and 146
8/19 – Had won over fences at Cheltenham before
8/19 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
8/19  – Ran at either Cheltenham (6) or Sandown (2) last time out
7/19 – French bred
3/19 – Won last time out
3/19 – Winning favourites (1 co)
3/19 – Trained by Colin Tizzard (2 of the last 5 years)
3/19 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/19 – Trained by Fergal O’Brien (2 of last 10 years)
Ramses De Teillee (11/2) won the race in 2020
West Approach (11/4 fav) won the race in 2019
Rock The Kasbah (9/1) won the race in 2018

 

2.20 – Shloer Chase (Registered As The Cheltenham Chase) (Grade 2) (BGG Race) Cl1 2m ITV

11/12 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
11/12 – Officially rated 150+
10/12 – Won on seasonal reappearance
10/12 – Had won over fences at Cheltenham before
9/12 – Favourites that finished 1st or 2nd
9/12 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
9/12 – Went onto run in the Champion Chase (2 winners, Put The Kettle On (2021), Sprinter Sacre 2015)
7/12 – Failed to win last time out
7/12 – Aged 7 or older
6/12 – Favourites that won
5/12 – Carried 11-0 to win
5/12 – Won by a horse aged 8 or older
5/12 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/12 – German bred
3/12 – Raced at Aintree last time out
Put The Kettle On won the race in 2020
Defi Du Seuil won the race in 2019
Sceau Royal won the race in 2018

 

2.55 – Unibet Greatwood Hurdle (A Handicap) (Grade 3) (GBB Race) Cl1 2m110y ITV

17/19 – Had won a 2m1f (or further) hurdles race before
17/19 – Had won no more than 4 times before over hurdles
14/19 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
14/19 – Had a recent run (within the last 6 weeks)
12/19 – Officially rated 140 or higher
12/19 – Finished in the top two last time out
12/19 – Had run at Cheltenham before
12/19 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
11/19 –  Winning distance – 2 lengths or further
10/19 – Had run 6 or less times over hurdles
9/19 – Placed favourites
8/19 – Carried 11-4 or more
8/19 – Came from the first three in the betting
7/19 – Won their previous race
7/19 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
4/19 – Winners that carried 11-12
4/19 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
3/19 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
3/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/19 – Winning favourites
2/19 – Trained by Alan King (2 of the last 4)
2/19 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
The average winning SP in the last 19 years is 10/1
6 of the last 12 winners contested the previous season’s Supreme Novices’ or Triumph Hurdle

 

3.30 – Sky Bet Supreme Trial Novices´ Hurdle (Registered as The Sharp Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Cl1 2m110y ITV

16/17 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
14/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
13/17 – Won last time out
13/17 – Had won between 1-2 times over hurdles
13/17 – Favourites that finished in the top three
11/17 – Winning distance 2 lengths or less
10/17 – Aged 5 years-old
9/17 – Had won a NH Flat race before
9/17 – Went onto run in that season’s Supreme Novices’ Hurdle (1 winner, Altior)
9/17 – Irish bred
8/17 – Carried 11-7 in weight
6/17 – Aged 4 years-old
4/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/17 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/17 – Won by the Nicholls stable
For Pleasure (14/1) won the race in 2020

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 24th Oct 2020

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Bundles going on this Saturday as the ITV cameras are at Doncaster, Newbury and Cheltenham – As always we got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle…….Can leading Irish handler Aidan O’Brien land his tenth Vertum Futurity Trophy?

Use these key trends to help narrow down the runners and highlight the best profiles of past winners.

Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)


1.45 –Doncaster Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV

12/12 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
11/12 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
11/12 – Drawn in stall 9 or lower
11/12 – Foaled in February or later
11/12 – Had won over 6f before
11/12 – Won between 1-2 times before
10/12 – Won last time out
9/12 – Carried 9-1 in weight
9/12 – Favourites placed in the top 3
8/12 – Raced at York, Nottingham or Kempton last time out
8/12 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
8/12 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
6/12 – March-born foals
6/12 – Irish bred
5/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
2/12 – Trained by Brian Meehan
Trainer Marco Botti has won 2 of the last 4 runnings

2.20 – Vertum Very Different Stockbrokers Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 5f ITV4

15/15 – Ran 5 or more times that season
14/15 – Had won over 5f before
14/15 – Aged 5 or younger
12/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/15 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
10/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/15 – Carried 8-10 or less
9/15 – Unplaced favourites
9/15 – Had run at Doncaster before (4 won)
5/15 – Ran at Pontefract (3) or Ayr (2) last time out
5/15 – Won last time out
4/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Winners from stall 1
2/15 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy
2/15 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of last 6)
1/15 – Winning mare/filly
Tarboosh (8/1 jfav) won the race in 2018
9 of the last 12 winners came from a double-figure stall

 

2.55 – Vertem Futurity Trophy (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) (CLASS 1) (2yo) ITV 1m

 

16/18 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
16/18 – Had won either 1 or 2 races before
15/18 – Placed favourites
15/18 - Foaled in February or later
15/18 – Finished in the top two last time out
15/18 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
13/18 – Had raced at least twice previously
12/18 – Winning favourites
11/18 – Won their last race
11/18 – Foaled in either Feb or March
11/18 – Ran at either the Curragh (3) or Newmarket (7) last time out
10/18 – Had won over a mile in the past
7/18 – Won by an Irish-based yard
6/18 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/18 – Won by a Montjeu-bred colt
4/18 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni (won 4 of the last 7)
4/18 – Went onto win the 2,000 Guineas (inc the last 3 winners)
3/18 – Went onto win the Epsom Derby
1/18 – Went onto win the St Leger
Five winners have gone onto win the following season’s Epsom Derby
Aidan O’Brien has won the race 9 times – 1997, 1999, 2001, 2002, 2009, 2011, 2012, 2017 & 2018
The average SP in the last 18 runnings is 13/2

Note: The 2006 renewal was staged at Newbury
Note: The 2019 renewal was staged at Newcastle

 

 

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 


3.35 – Cancom Stakes Stakes (Registered As The Horris Hill Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 7f ITV

15/16 – Foaled in Feb or later
13/16 – Priced 15/2 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Won just 1 or 2 races before
11/16 – Never raced at Newbury
12/16 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
11/16 – Had at least 3 previous career runs
10/16 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
9/16 – Favourites unplaced
8/16 – Won over 7f before
8/16 – Won their last race
7/16 – Foaled in February
7/16 – Winning distance – ¾ lengths or less
4/16 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
4/16 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
1/16 – Winning favourites

 

4.10 – Teddington RBL Poppy Appeal Stakes (Registered As The St Simon) (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f5y ITV

17/17 – Aged 5 or younger
15/17 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
15/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Had won at least twice before
14/17 – Had at least 4 runs that season
13/17 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/17 – Placed favourites
11/17 – Rated 107 or higher
10/17 – Had run at Newbury before (4 won)
10/17 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
10/17 – Placed horses from stall 6
7/17 – Winners from stalls 6 or 8
6/17 – Won by a filly or mare
6/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Won last time out
3/17 – Trained by Andrew Balding
1/17 – Winners from stall 1
Morando (8/1) won the race in 2018
Young Rascal (Evs) won this race in 2017

 

 

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 

2.05 - Masterson Holdings Hurdle Cl2 2m110y ITV

8/11 – Having their first run of the new jumps season
6/11 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
6/11 – Carried 10-12 in weight
6/11 – Placed in their last race
5/11 – Irish bred winners
4/11 – Favourites placed
4/11 – Won 3 times over hurdles previously
3/11 – Winning favourites
3/11 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
Quel Destin (1st 7/2) won the race in 2019
 

2.40 – Best Odds At Matchbook Novices’ Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV4

10/10 – Won no more than 3 times over fences
9/10 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
9/10 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Had run at Cheltenham before
7/10 – Unplaced favourites
7/10 – Had run over hurdles at Cheltenham in the past (3 won)
7/10 – Won between 0-1 times over fences
6/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
5/10 – Won over at least 2m4f (fences)
3/10 – Won last time out
3/10 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/10 – Trained by Gordon Elliott
2/10 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
1/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/3

 

 

3.15 - Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Series Qualifier) Cl2 2m7f208y ITV

8/11 – Priced 17/2 or bigger in the betting
8/11 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/11 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
8/11 – Had run at Cheltenham before (4 winners)
7/11 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
7/11 – Last ran 6 month+ ago
6/11 – Unplaced favourites
5/11 – Won last time out
4/11 – Irish Bred
2/11 – Mare winners
2/11 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/11 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/11 – Winning favourites
Tobefair (8/1) won this race in 2019



3.50 – Matchbook Betting Exchange Handicap Chase Cl2 3m1f ITV

12/13 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting market
12/13 – Won over at least 3m previously
10/13 – First run of the season
10/13 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or less
9/13 – Rated 134 or higher
9/13 – Irish bred winners
8/13 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
8/13 – Favourites unplaced
7/13 – Had won at Cheltenham previously
6/13 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
6/13 – Unplaced in their last race
5/13 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
5/13 – Ridden by jockey Richard Johnson
1/13 – Winning Favourites
The Conditional (14/1) won the race in 2019
Cogry (13/2) won the race in 2017
Cogry was 2nd in the race last year
Relentless Dreamer (16/1) won the race in 2018

 

 

 

 

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