Tag Archive for: cheltenham horse racing tips and trends

Cheltenham TV Trends on New Year’s Day (Monday, 1st Jan 2024)

A massive day of action at Cheltenham this New Year’s Day as we begin 2024 with the ITV cameras taking in five races at the home of National Hunt racing, three of which we've got the key trends for.

As always, here at Geegeez we are on hand with a look at all the televised races from Prestbury Park from a trends angle – use these stats to help find the best winning profile of past winners of the race.

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (1st Jan 2024)

2.05 – Paddy Power New Year’s Day Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 2m4f166y ITV

20/20 – Had run over fences at Cheltenham before
19/20 – Raced within the last 2 months
17/20 – Had won at least twice over fences before
17/20 – Had won over 2m4f or further (fences) before
16/20 – Either French (6) or Irish (10) bred
16/20 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
16/20 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting
15/20 – Rated 138 or higher
14/20 – Aged 8 or older
14/20 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
13/20 – Carried 11-0 or less
12/20 – Had won over fences at Cheltenham before
11/20 – Unplaced last time out
11/20 – Unplaced favourites
11/20 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
10/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
5/20 – Winning favourites
4/20 – Won by the Nigel Twiston-Davies yard (4 of the last 9)
1/20 – Went onto win the Ryanair Chase at the Cheltenham Festival

 

2.40 – Paddy Power Handicap Hurdle Cl2 3m ITV

17/19 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
15/19 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
15/19 – Had won a hurdles race over at least 2m4f before
14/19– Had raced at Cheltenham before
14/19 – Had won at least twice over hurdles in the UK before
13/19 – Rated 130 or higher
12/19 – Unplaced last time out
11/19 – Carried 10-9 or more
11/19 – Went onto run in a race at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
11/19 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
9/19 – Unplaced favourites
9/19 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
8/19 – Had won over at least 3m (hurdles) before
8/19 – French bred
5/19 – Had won over hurdles at Cheltenham before
5/19 – Won last time out
4/19 – Winning favourites
2/19 – Won by the Pipe stable
1/19 – Won by a mare
1/19 – Went onto win the Stayers’ Hurdle later that season (Big Buck’s, 2009)

3.15 – Dornan Engineering Relkeel Hurdle Cl2 2m4f110y ITV

18/19 – Aged 8 or younger
17/19 – Won by either a French (6) or Irish (11) bred
16/19 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
16/19 – Went on run in a race at the Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
15/19 – Had raced at Cheltenham before (note, 2021 running was at Kempton)
13/19 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting
13/19 – Had won at least 4 times over hurdles before
13/19 – Had won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
12/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/19 – Had won at Cheltenham before
9/19 – Went onto run in the Stayers’ Hurdle later that season
7/19 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
7/19 – Winning favourites
7/19 – Won last time out
5/19 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/19 – Trained by the Pipe stable
Marie’s Rock (11/2) won the race in 2022

Note: The 2021 running was staged at Kempton

 

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Saturday TV Trends Sat TV Trends: 16th Dec 2023

A MASSIVE day up at Prestbury Park as the Cheltenham December Meeting continues this Saturday (16th Dec), plus the ITV cameras also head to Doncaster for three races - as always, here at Geegeez, we are on hand with all the big-race trends and stats…..

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.15 Quintessentially Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m 1/2f ITV

8/9 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
8/9  - Had run at Cheltenham before (fences) (3 won)
8/9 – 2+ past chase wins
7/9 – Top 5 finish last time out
6/9 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
6/9 – Irish bred
6/9 – Favourites placed in the first two
5/9 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
3/9 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/9 – Ridden by Brendan Powell
2/9 – Winning favourites

1.50 – Virgin Bet December Gold Cup (Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m5f ITV

19/20 – Aged 8 or younger
18/20 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
16/20 – Had won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
15/20 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
15/20 - Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival later that season (2 winners, Frodon – Ryanair Chase and Coole Cody – Plate)
15/20 – Had won between 2-4 times over fences before
14/20 – Had raced at Cheltenham (fences) before (6 won)
13/20 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
13/20 – Officially rated 141 or higher
12/20 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
12/20 – Unplaced favourites
11/20 – French bred
9/20 – Carried 10-12 or more
9/20 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
9/20 – Ran in the Paddy Power (Nov) Gold Cup last time out (1 won)
6/20 – Finished in the top 5 in the Paddy Power Gold Cup last time out
5/20 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
5/20 – Won last time out
3/20 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/20 – Went to an Irish-trained horse
2/20 – Trained by David Pipe
2/20 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
1/20 – Winning favourites
9 of the last 11 winners carried 10-12 or less
The average winning SP in the last 20 runnings is 10/1

2.25 Favourite From The Sun Now Daily Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 3m2f ITV

8/9 – Aged 8+
8/9  - Had run at Cheltenham in the past (4 won)
8/9 – Won between 1-3 times over fences
7/9 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
7/9 – Had won over at least 3m (chase) before
7/9 – Carried 11st 1lb or less
6/9 – Rated between 133 and 139
6/9 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
6/9 – Unplaced favourites
6/9 - Aged 9+
4/9 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
4/9 – Irish bred
2/9 – Won by trainer Venetia Williams
2/9 – Won by trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/ 9- Won by the Tizzard yard
2/9 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
2/9 – Ridden by Charlie Deutsch
0/9 – Winning favourites

3.00 - Albert Bartlett Novices´ Hurdle (Registered as The Bristol Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m ITV4

18/18 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
17/18 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
16/18 – Had won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
16/18 – Aged 6 or younger
15/18 – Winning distance 1 ¼ lengths or more
14/18 – Placed favourites
14/18 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Went on run in the Albert Bartlett (3 won) at the Cheltenham Festival
11/18 – Winning favourite (1 co, 1 joint)
11/18 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
11/18 – Won last time out
11/18 – Irish bred
10/18 – Returned 2/1 or shorter in the betting
9/18 – Went onto finish in the top 4 in a Cheltenham Festival race that season
9/18 – Had won at Cheltenham before
8/18 – Won over 3m (hurdles) before
3/18 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/18 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
10 of the last 13 winners returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
9 of the last 11 winners were aged 5 years-old

3.35 – Virgin Bet Every Saturday Money Back Mares’ Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 2m4 1/2f ITV

Just 7 previous runnings
All 7 winners returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
6/7 - Winners carried 10-11 or more
5/7 - Aged 7 or younger
5/7 - Aged 5 or 6 years-old
2/7 – Winning favourites
Trainers, Lucy Wadham (2), Nicky Henderson, Dan Skelton, Noel Williams (2), Anthony Honeyball

Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (ITV/Sky Sports Racing)

2:05 - bet365 Novices' Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl3 (4yo+ 0-135) 2m3f ITV

No previous runnings
Trainer Jedd O’Keefe has a 50% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Trainer Tom Lacey has a 25% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Trainer Nicky Richards has a 17% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Trainer Ben Pauling has is just 1 from 16 with his chasers at the track
Trainer Sue Smith has is just 1 from 16 with her chasers at the track

2:40 - bet365 Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (3yo+) 2m½f ITV

8/9 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
8/9 – Carried 11st or more
8/9 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles
7/9 – Returned 4/1 or shorter
6/9 – Irish bred
3/9 – Winning favourites
2/9 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
Tommy’s Oscar won the race in 2021

3:15 - bet365 Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+ 0-150) 3m ITV

9/9 – Aged 7 or older
8/9 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
8/9 – Returned 17/2 or shorter in the betting
8/9 – Won over at least 3m
7/9 – Aged 8 or 9
7/9  - Irish bred
7/9 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
7/9 – Favourites finished in top 2
6/9 – Won between 2-4 times over fences
6/9 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
6/9 – Unplaced last time out
4/9 – Had run at Doncaster before
3/9 – Winning favourites
2/9 – Trained by Kim Bailey
2/9 – Ridden by David Bass

 

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Cheltenham TV Trends: Friday 15th December 2023

The tapes go up for the opening day of the 2023 Cheltenham December Meeting this Friday (15th December) with FIVE LIVE ITV races from Prestbury Park - including the Crystal Cup Cross Country race.

Here at GeeGeez we are on hand with our quick-fire trends ahead of the LIVE races......

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (RTV/ITV4)

1.15 - Catesby Estates Handicap Hurdle Cl3 (3yo+ 0-140) 2m1f ITV4

10/10 – Top 4 finish last time
9/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
9/10 – Aged 6 or younger
9/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
8/10 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
7/10 – French or Irish bred
7/10 – Won between 2-4 times (hurdles)
7/10 – Rated between 121 - 129
6/10 – Carried 10-12 or more
5/10 – Won last time out
4/10 – Had run at the track before
4/10 – Ridden by a claiming jockey
1/10 – Winning favourites

1:50 – Cheltenham Racecourse Food Bank Collection Mares’ Handicap Chase Cl3 2m5f ITV4

Seven previous runs
7/7 - Between 0-1 chase wins before
7/7 - Ran in the last 6 weeks
6/7 - Finished in the top 5 last time out
6/7 - Aged between 6-8 years-old
5/7 – Returned 13/2 or bigger in the betting
5/7 - Irish bred
4/7 – Aged 6 years-old
4/7 - Yet to race at Cheltenham
4/7 - Unplaced favourites
4/7 - Winners carried 11-3 or more in weight
2/7 – Winning favourites

2.25 – Unibet Middle Distance Chase Series Veterans’ Handicap Chase (Cl2) (9yo+ 0-150) 2m 4 1/2f ITV4

Just 1 previous running
Magic Dancer (7/2) won the race in 2022
Trainer Kerry Lee has a 27% record with her chasers at the track
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 18% record with her chasers at the track
Trainer David Pipe is just 2-from-32 with his chasers at the track
Jockey Jonathan Burke is just 1-from-32 riding over fences at the track

3.00 – Glenfarclas Crystal Cup Cross Country Handicap Chase Cl2 3m7f ITV4

17/18 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
16/18 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (4 won)
15/18 – Had run over the Cheltenham Cross Country course before
14/18 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
14/18– Placed 1st, 2nd or 3rd last time out
11/18 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
10/18 – Aged 9 or older
10/18 – Placed favourites
8/18 – Aged in double-figures
8/18 – Had won over the Cheltenham Cross Country course before
8/18 – French bred
7/18 – Trained by Enda Bolger
6/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – Carried 11-12
Diesel D’Allier (6/1) won this race in 202

3.35 – Citipost Handicap Hurdle Cl2 3m ITV4

17/20 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
16/20 – Carried 11-2 or less
16/20 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
15/20 – Irish bred
15/20 – Aged 7 or younger
15/20 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
12/20 – Unplaced favourites
12/20 – Rated between 127 and 137
10/20 - Priced 15/2 or bigger in the betting
10/20 – Winners that went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (one winner)
9/20 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
9/20 – Had won over at least 3m (hurdles) before
6/20 – Won last time out
3/20 – Winning favourites
3/20 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/20 - Trained by Jonjo O'Neill
Captain Morgs (7/2) won the race in 2022
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2024 Paddy Power Gold Cup Trends

Run over 2m 4 ½ furlongs the Paddy Power Gold Cup is the feature contest at the three-day Cheltenham Open Meeting, held each year in the middle of November each year.

The ‘Pond House’ Pipe stable are the leading yard with nine wins in the race, with Celestial Gold, Our Vic and Great Endeavour, who won the contest in 2011, their most-recent winners.

In 2017, the Paddy Power Gold Cup was won by the Nigel Twiston-Davies-trained Splash Of Ginge – a win that gave the yard their third success in the race since 2008 and their four overall.

In 2023 we saw the Paul Nicholls-trained Stage Star win the race with jockey Harry Cobden surviving a last-fence blunder to give the yard their third Paddy Power.

We take a look at the 2024 Paddy Power Gold Cup renewal from a stats angle.

Recent Paddy Power Gold Cup Winners

2023 - Stage Star (4/1 fav)
2022 - GA Law (5/1)
2021 – Midnight Shadow (9/1)
2020 - Coole Cody (10/1)
2019 - Happy Diva (14/1)
2018 - Baron Alco (8/1)
2017 - Splash Of Ginge (25/1)
2016 - Taquin Du Seuill (8/1)
2015 – Annacotty (12/1)
2014 – Caid Du Berlais (10/1)
2013 – Johns Spirit (7/1)
2012 – Al Ferof (8/1)
2011 – Great Endeavour (8/1)
2010 – Little Josh (20/1)
2009 – Tranquil Sea (11/2 fav)
2008 – Imperial Commander (13/2)
2007 – L’Antartique (13/2)
2006 – Exotic Dancer (16/1)
2005 – Our Vic (9/2 fav)
2004 – Celestial Gold (12/1)
2003 – Fondmort (3/1 fav)
2002 – Cyfor Malta (16/1)

Paddy Power Gold Cup Betting Trends

21/22 – Had run at Cheltenham before
21/22 – Had won over at least 2m4f over fences before
21/22 – Won by a UK-based trainer
18/22 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
15/22 – Carried 11st or less
15/22 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
15/22 – Had won at Cheltenham before
14/22 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
13/22 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences before
12/22 – Trained by Pipe (3), Jonjo O’Neill (3), Nicholls (3) or Twiston-Davies (3)
11/22 – Placed favourites
11/22 – Won by a horse in the first 3 in the betting
10/22 – Aged 7 years-old
9/22 – Won this on their seasonal reappearance
5/22 – Won their last race
5/22 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
4/22 – Trained by the Pipe stable
4/22 – Winning favourites
3/22 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
3/22 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
3/22 – Ran at Carlisle last time out
2/22 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
1/22 – Irish-trained winners
The last winner aged in double-figures was in 1975
Paul Nicholls has saddled 13 placed horses (three winners, Stage Star, Al Ferof & Caid Du Berlais) from his last 47 runners
The average winning SP in the last 22 years is 10/1

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Sat TV Trends: 28th Oct 2023

Loads going on this Saturday as the ITV cameras are at Doncaster, Newbury and Cheltenham.

Yes, jump racing is back at the home of the National Hunt - Cheltenham - with a cracking card of which the first four races are LIVE on ITV. Then at Newbury, we’ve two decent Group Three contests to look forward too, while the LIVE ITV action concludes with three races from Doncaster that are spearheaded by the Group One Kameko Futurity Trophy Stakes - a prize that top Irish handler - Aidan O’Brien - has won a massive 11 times!

Like all big race days, here at GeeGeez we’ve got the LIVE races covered with key trends and stats – use these to whittle down the runners and find the best profile of past winners.

Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (ITV/SkySports Racing)

2.10 – Kameko Futurity Trophy (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) (CLASS 1) (2yo) ITV 1m

19/21 – Had won either 1 or 2 races before
18/21 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
18/21 – Placed favourites
17/21 - Foaled in February or later
17/21 – Finished in the top two last time out
16/21 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
15/21 – Had raced at least twice previously
14/21 – Winning favourites
13/21 – Foaled in either Feb or March
13/21 – Ran at either the Curragh or Newmarket last time out
13/21 – Won their last race
12/21 – Had won over a mile in the past
10/21 – Won by an Irish-based yard
8/21 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (11 wins in total)
4/21 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni (won 4 of the last 10)
Aidan O’Brien has won the race 11 times – 1997, 1999, 2001, 2002, 2009, 2011, 2012, 2017, 2018, 2021 & 2022
6 horses winners went onto win the Derby the following season: Reference Point (1986); High Chaparral (2001); Motivator (2004); Authorized (2006); Camelot (2011); Auguste Rodin (2022)
The average SP in the last 21 runnings is 6/1

2.45 – William Hill Prospect Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV

14/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
14/15 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
14/15 – Drawn in stall 9 or lower
14/15 – Foaled in February or later
13/15 – Won between 1-2 times before
13/15 – Had won over 6f before
12/15 – Favourites placed in the top 3
11/15 – Won last time out
11/15 – Carried 9-1 in weight
11/15 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
10/15 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
9/15 – Raced at York, Nottingham or Kempton last time out
7/15 – March-born foals
7/15 – Irish bred
5/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
2/15 – Trained by Brian Meehan
Trainer Marco Botti has won 2 of the last 7 runnings

3.20 – William Hill Farewell Flat Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 5f ITV

19/19 – Ran 5 or more times that season
18/19 – Had won over 5f before
16/19 – Aged 5 or younger
14/19 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
12/19 – Had run at Doncaster before (5 won)
11/19 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
11/19 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/19 - Carried 8-9 or less
11/19 – Unplaced favourites
7/19 – Won last time out
5/19 – Ran at Pontefract (3) or Ayr (2) last time out
5/19 – Winning favourites
2/19 – Winners from stall 1
2/19 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of last 9)
2/19 – Winning mare/filly
10 of the last 16 winners came from a double-figure stall
Note: The 2021 running was a dead-heat

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

12.55 – BetVictor Horris Hill Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 7f ITV

18/19 – Foaled in Feb or later
16/19 – Won just 1 or 2 races before
15/19 – Priced 15/2 or shorter in the betting
14/19 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
13/19 – Never raced at Newbury
12/19 – Had at least 3 previous career runs
12/19 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
12/19 – Favourites unplaced
10/19 – Won over 7f before
10/19 – Won their last race
7/19 – Foaled in February
7/19 – Winning distance – ¾ lengths or less
5/19 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
4/19 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
1/19 – Winning favourites

1.30 – BetVictor St Simon Stakes (Registered As The St Simon) (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f5y ITV

19/20 – Aged 5 or younger
18/20 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
18/20 – Had won at least twice before
17/20 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
17/20 – Had at least 4 runs that season
14/20 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
13/20 – Rated 106 or higher
13/20 – Placed favourites
12/20 – Had run at Newbury before (6 won)
12/20 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
11/20 – Placed horses from stall 6
8/20 – Winners from stalls 6 or 8
6/20 – Won by a filly or mare
6/20 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/20 – Winning favourites
4/20 – Won last time out
3/20 – Trained by William Haggas (3 of last 11)
3/20 – Trained by Andrew Balding
1/20 – Winners from stall 1
Max Vega won the race in 2022
Note: 2018 running was a dead-heat

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends ITV/RacingTV)

1.15 – Epic Value at William Hill Handicap Chase (Gbb Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m ITV

Only 8 previous runnings
8/8 - Aged between 6 or 8 years-old
8/8 - Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
7/8 - Last raced 6 months or more ago
7/8 - Had run at the track before
7/8 - Won between 2-4 times over fences
6/8 - Favourites placed (top three)
5/8 - Carried 11-1 or more
5/8 - Placed in the top 3 last time out
4/8 - Ran at Cheltenham last time out
4/8 - Rated between 140-147
3/8 - French bred
3/8 - Winning favourites
3/8 - Won last time out
Before Midnight won the race in 2021

 

1.50 - Masterson Holdings Hurdle Cl2 2m110y ITV

10/14 – Having their first run of the new jumps season
10/14 - Had won 2 or less times over hurdles
8/14 – Placed in their last race
8/14 – Returned 10/3 or shorter in the betting
7/14 – Carried 10-12 in weight
6/14 – Favourites placed
5/14 – Irish bred winners
4/14 – Irish-trained winners
4/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
Gordon Elliott has won the race twice since 2014
Just 1 winning favourite in last 9 runnings

2.25 – Epic Jumps Season At William Hill Handicap Chase Cl2 3m1f ITV

15/16 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting market
14/16 – Won over at least 3m previously
12/16 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or less
11/16 – First run of the season
11/16 – Irish bred winners
11/16 – Favourites unplaced
10/16 – Rated 134 or higher
10/16 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
8/16 – Had won at Cheltenham previously
8/16 – Unplaced in their last race
7/16 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
5/16 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
1/16 – Winning Favourites
Lord Accord (15/2) won the race in 2022

3.00 - Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Series Qualifier) Cl2 2m7f208y ITV

10/14 – Priced 17/2 or bigger in the betting
10/14 – Had run at Cheltenham before (4 winners)
10/14 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
9/14 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
8/14 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/14 – Last ran 6 month+ ago
8/14 – Unplaced favourites
7/14 – Irish Bred
5/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Mare winners
2/14 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/14 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies

 

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2022 December Gold Cup Trendsri

The December Gold Cup (formerly the Caspian Caviar Gold Cup) is run over 2m5f  at Cheltenham’s December Meeting each season around the middle of the month.

In recent years, trainer Paul Nicholls’ has won the prize five times, the most recent being Frodon in 2018. Nicky Henderson is another trainer to look out for - having won the race three times since 2002 – while in 2020, the race was won by the Michael Winters-trained Chatham Street Lad, who was only the third Irish-trained winner of the race in last 20 runnings.

It's also interesting that 24 of the last 25 winners were aged 8 or younger.

It’s generally, been a good contest for the bookmakers with just one winning favourite in the last 20 runnings (last winning market leader was in 2009), but that’s not to say those at the head of the market don’t do well as 12 of the last 20 winners returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting – while three of the last 9 Racing Post Gold Cup winners returned 7/1.

We look back at recent winners and give you all the trends that matter ahead of the 2022 renewal – this year run on Saturday December 10th.

Recent December Gold Cup Winners

2021 – Coole Cody (12/1)
2020 - Chatham Street Lad (16/1)
2019 – Warthog (7/1)
2018 – Frodon (7/1)
2017 – Guitar Pete (9/1)
2016 – Frodon (14/1)
2015 – Villiage Vic (8/1)
2014 – Niceonefrankie (16/1)
2013 – Double Ross (7/1)
2012 – Unioniste (15/2)
2011 – Quantitativeeasing (6/1)
2010 – Poquelin (16/1)
2009 – Poquelin (7/2 fav)
2008 – Abandoned
2007 – Tamarinbleu (22/1)
2006 – Exotic Dancer (8/1)
2005 – Sir Oj (16/1)
2004 – Monkerhostin (4/1)
2003 – Iris Royal (7/1)
2002 – Fondmort (5/1)
2001 – Abandoned
2000 – Go Roger Go (7/1)

December Gold Cup Betting Trends

19/20 – Aged 8 or younger
18/20 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
16/20 – Had won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
15/20 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
15/20 - Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival later that season (2 winners, Frodon – Ryanair Chase and Coole Cody – Plate)
15/20 – Had won between 2-4 times over fences before
14/20 – Had raced at Cheltenham (fences) before (6 won)
13/20 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
13/20 – Officially rated 141 or higher
12/20 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
12/20 – Unplaced favourites
11/20 – French bred
9/20 – Carried 10-12 or more
9/20 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
9/20 – Ran in the Paddy Power (Nov) Gold Cup last time out (1 won)
6/20 – Finished in the top 5 in the Paddy Power Gold Cup last time out
5/20 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
5/20 – Won last time out
3/20 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/20 – Went to an Irish-trained horse
2/20 – Trained by David Pipe
2/20 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
1/20 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 20 runnings is 10/1

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Cheltenham TV Trends (Sun 14th Nov 21)

Another big day ahead for the ITV racing team this Sunday (14th Nov) as they take in four races from Cheltenham on the final day of their three-day November Meeting.

Like all big race days, here at GeeGeez we're on hand with all the LIVE ITV race trends and stats………..

 

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

 

1.45 – Jewson Click And Collect Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 3m3 1/2f ITV

17/19 – Had won a 3m+ race over fences before
17/19 – Had run at Cheltenham before
16/19 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
14/19 – Aged 8 or younger
12/19 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
12/19  – Had won between 3 and 5 times over fences before
12/19 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
10/19 – Irish bred
10/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/19 – Officially rated between 135 and 146
8/19 – Had won over fences at Cheltenham before
8/19 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
8/19  – Ran at either Cheltenham (6) or Sandown (2) last time out
7/19 – French bred
3/19 – Won last time out
3/19 – Winning favourites (1 co)
3/19 – Trained by Colin Tizzard (2 of the last 5 years)
3/19 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/19 – Trained by Fergal O’Brien (2 of last 10 years)
Ramses De Teillee (11/2) won the race in 2020
West Approach (11/4 fav) won the race in 2019
Rock The Kasbah (9/1) won the race in 2018

 

2.20 – Shloer Chase (Registered As The Cheltenham Chase) (Grade 2) (BGG Race) Cl1 2m ITV

11/12 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
11/12 – Officially rated 150+
10/12 – Won on seasonal reappearance
10/12 – Had won over fences at Cheltenham before
9/12 – Favourites that finished 1st or 2nd
9/12 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
9/12 – Went onto run in the Champion Chase (2 winners, Put The Kettle On (2021), Sprinter Sacre 2015)
7/12 – Failed to win last time out
7/12 – Aged 7 or older
6/12 – Favourites that won
5/12 – Carried 11-0 to win
5/12 – Won by a horse aged 8 or older
5/12 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/12 – German bred
3/12 – Raced at Aintree last time out
Put The Kettle On won the race in 2020
Defi Du Seuil won the race in 2019
Sceau Royal won the race in 2018

 

2.55 – Unibet Greatwood Hurdle (A Handicap) (Grade 3) (GBB Race) Cl1 2m110y ITV

17/19 – Had won a 2m1f (or further) hurdles race before
17/19 – Had won no more than 4 times before over hurdles
14/19 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
14/19 – Had a recent run (within the last 6 weeks)
12/19 – Officially rated 140 or higher
12/19 – Finished in the top two last time out
12/19 – Had run at Cheltenham before
12/19 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
11/19 –  Winning distance – 2 lengths or further
10/19 – Had run 6 or less times over hurdles
9/19 – Placed favourites
8/19 – Carried 11-4 or more
8/19 – Came from the first three in the betting
7/19 – Won their previous race
7/19 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
4/19 – Winners that carried 11-12
4/19 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
3/19 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
3/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/19 – Winning favourites
2/19 – Trained by Alan King (2 of the last 4)
2/19 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
The average winning SP in the last 19 years is 10/1
6 of the last 12 winners contested the previous season’s Supreme Novices’ or Triumph Hurdle

 

3.30 – Sky Bet Supreme Trial Novices´ Hurdle (Registered as The Sharp Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Cl1 2m110y ITV

16/17 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
14/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
13/17 – Won last time out
13/17 – Had won between 1-2 times over hurdles
13/17 – Favourites that finished in the top three
11/17 – Winning distance 2 lengths or less
10/17 – Aged 5 years-old
9/17 – Had won a NH Flat race before
9/17 – Went onto run in that season’s Supreme Novices’ Hurdle (1 winner, Altior)
9/17 – Irish bred
8/17 – Carried 11-7 in weight
6/17 – Aged 4 years-old
4/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/17 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/17 – Won by the Nicholls stable
For Pleasure (14/1) won the race in 2020

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 24th Oct 2020

Bundles going on this Saturday as the ITV cameras are at Doncaster, Newbury and Cheltenham – As always we got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle…….Can leading Irish handler Aidan O’Brien land his tenth Vertum Futurity Trophy?

Use these key trends to help narrow down the runners and highlight the best profiles of past winners.

Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)


1.45 –Doncaster Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV

12/12 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
11/12 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
11/12 – Drawn in stall 9 or lower
11/12 – Foaled in February or later
11/12 – Had won over 6f before
11/12 – Won between 1-2 times before
10/12 – Won last time out
9/12 – Carried 9-1 in weight
9/12 – Favourites placed in the top 3
8/12 – Raced at York, Nottingham or Kempton last time out
8/12 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
8/12 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
6/12 – March-born foals
6/12 – Irish bred
5/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
2/12 – Trained by Brian Meehan
Trainer Marco Botti has won 2 of the last 4 runnings

2.20 – Vertum Very Different Stockbrokers Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 5f ITV4

15/15 – Ran 5 or more times that season
14/15 – Had won over 5f before
14/15 – Aged 5 or younger
12/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/15 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
10/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/15 – Carried 8-10 or less
9/15 – Unplaced favourites
9/15 – Had run at Doncaster before (4 won)
5/15 – Ran at Pontefract (3) or Ayr (2) last time out
5/15 – Won last time out
4/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Winners from stall 1
2/15 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy
2/15 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of last 6)
1/15 – Winning mare/filly
Tarboosh (8/1 jfav) won the race in 2018
9 of the last 12 winners came from a double-figure stall

 

2.55 – Vertem Futurity Trophy (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) (CLASS 1) (2yo) ITV 1m

 

16/18 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
16/18 – Had won either 1 or 2 races before
15/18 – Placed favourites
15/18 - Foaled in February or later
15/18 – Finished in the top two last time out
15/18 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
13/18 – Had raced at least twice previously
12/18 – Winning favourites
11/18 – Won their last race
11/18 – Foaled in either Feb or March
11/18 – Ran at either the Curragh (3) or Newmarket (7) last time out
10/18 – Had won over a mile in the past
7/18 – Won by an Irish-based yard
6/18 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/18 – Won by a Montjeu-bred colt
4/18 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni (won 4 of the last 7)
4/18 – Went onto win the 2,000 Guineas (inc the last 3 winners)
3/18 – Went onto win the Epsom Derby
1/18 – Went onto win the St Leger
Five winners have gone onto win the following season’s Epsom Derby
Aidan O’Brien has won the race 9 times – 1997, 1999, 2001, 2002, 2009, 2011, 2012, 2017 & 2018
The average SP in the last 18 runnings is 13/2

Note: The 2006 renewal was staged at Newbury
Note: The 2019 renewal was staged at Newcastle

 

 

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 


3.35 – Cancom Stakes Stakes (Registered As The Horris Hill Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 7f ITV

15/16 – Foaled in Feb or later
13/16 – Priced 15/2 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Won just 1 or 2 races before
11/16 – Never raced at Newbury
12/16 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
11/16 – Had at least 3 previous career runs
10/16 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
9/16 – Favourites unplaced
8/16 – Won over 7f before
8/16 – Won their last race
7/16 – Foaled in February
7/16 – Winning distance – ¾ lengths or less
4/16 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
4/16 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
1/16 – Winning favourites

 

4.10 – Teddington RBL Poppy Appeal Stakes (Registered As The St Simon) (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f5y ITV

17/17 – Aged 5 or younger
15/17 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
15/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Had won at least twice before
14/17 – Had at least 4 runs that season
13/17 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/17 – Placed favourites
11/17 – Rated 107 or higher
10/17 – Had run at Newbury before (4 won)
10/17 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
10/17 – Placed horses from stall 6
7/17 – Winners from stalls 6 or 8
6/17 – Won by a filly or mare
6/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Won last time out
3/17 – Trained by Andrew Balding
1/17 – Winners from stall 1
Morando (8/1) won the race in 2018
Young Rascal (Evs) won this race in 2017

 

 

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 

2.05 - Masterson Holdings Hurdle Cl2 2m110y ITV

8/11 – Having their first run of the new jumps season
6/11 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
6/11 – Carried 10-12 in weight
6/11 – Placed in their last race
5/11 – Irish bred winners
4/11 – Favourites placed
4/11 – Won 3 times over hurdles previously
3/11 – Winning favourites
3/11 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
Quel Destin (1st 7/2) won the race in 2019
 

2.40 – Best Odds At Matchbook Novices’ Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV4

10/10 – Won no more than 3 times over fences
9/10 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
9/10 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Had run at Cheltenham before
7/10 – Unplaced favourites
7/10 – Had run over hurdles at Cheltenham in the past (3 won)
7/10 – Won between 0-1 times over fences
6/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
5/10 – Won over at least 2m4f (fences)
3/10 – Won last time out
3/10 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/10 – Trained by Gordon Elliott
2/10 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
1/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/3

 

 

3.15 - Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Series Qualifier) Cl2 2m7f208y ITV

8/11 – Priced 17/2 or bigger in the betting
8/11 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/11 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
8/11 – Had run at Cheltenham before (4 winners)
7/11 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
7/11 – Last ran 6 month+ ago
6/11 – Unplaced favourites
5/11 – Won last time out
4/11 – Irish Bred
2/11 – Mare winners
2/11 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/11 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/11 – Winning favourites
Tobefair (8/1) won this race in 2019



3.50 – Matchbook Betting Exchange Handicap Chase Cl2 3m1f ITV

12/13 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting market
12/13 – Won over at least 3m previously
10/13 – First run of the season
10/13 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or less
9/13 – Rated 134 or higher
9/13 – Irish bred winners
8/13 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
8/13 – Favourites unplaced
7/13 – Had won at Cheltenham previously
6/13 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
6/13 – Unplaced in their last race
5/13 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
5/13 – Ridden by jockey Richard Johnson
1/13 – Winning Favourites
The Conditional (14/1) won the race in 2019
Cogry (13/2) won the race in 2017
Cogry was 2nd in the race last year
Relentless Dreamer (16/1) won the race in 2018

 

 

 

 

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