A MASSIVE day up at Prestbury Park as the Cheltenham December Meeting continues this Saturday (13th Dec), plus the ITV cameras also head to Doncaster for three races - as always, here at Geegeez, we are on hand with all the big-race trends and stats…..
With the December Gold Cup at 1:50pm the feature - a race trainer Paul Nicholls has won five times.
Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)
1:15 – Quintessentially Mares’ Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl3 (4yo+) 2m 4 1/2f ITV
10/11 - Had run at Cheltenham before (fences) (4 won)
9/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
9/11 – Top 5 finish last time out
8/11 – 2+ past chase wins
8/11 – Irish bred
7/11 – Favourites placed in the first two
6/11 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
5/11 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
3/11 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/11 – Ridden by Brendan Powell
3/11 – Winning favourites
2 of the last 7 winners Irish-trained
7 of the last 9 winners aged 6 or 8
1:50 – Support The Hunt Family Fund December Gold Cup (Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m5f ITV
21/22 – Aged 8 or younger
20/22 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
18/22 – Had won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
17/22 – Had won between 2-4 times over fences before
16/22 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
16/22 - Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival later that season (2 winners, Frodon – Ryanair Chase and Coole Cody – Plate)
16/22 – Had raced at Cheltenham (fences) before (6 won)
15/22 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
14/22 – Officially rated 141 or higher
13/22 – Unplaced favourites
13/22 – French bred
12/22 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
10/22 – Carried 10-12 or more
10/22 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
10/22 – Ran in the Paddy Power (Nov) Gold Cup last time out (1 won)
7/22 – Finished in the top 5 in the Paddy Power Gold Cup last time out
6/22 – Won last time out
5/22 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/22 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/22 – Went to an Irish-trained horse
2/22 – Trained by David Pipe
2/22 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
1/22 – Winning favourites
10 of the last 13 winners carried 10-12 or less
The average winning SP in the last 22 runnings is 10/1
2:25 – Read Meg Nicholls’ Blog At betmgm.co.uk Handicap Chase (GBB Race) (Class 2) (4yo+) 2m 1/2f
13/14 – Had run in the last 6 weeks
13/14 – Had run at Cheltenham before
11/14 – Returned 15/2 or shorter
11/14 – Won between 1-3 times over fences
11/14 – Aged 7 or older
11/14 – Placed favourites
9/14 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
9/14 – Carried 10-12 or more
9/14 – Returned 5/1 or shorter
8/14 – Irish bred
5/14 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/14 – Ridden by Brendan Powell
2/14 – Ridden by Harry Cobden (last 2)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 17/2
3:00 - Albert Bartlett Novices´ Hurdle (Registered as The Bristol Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m ITV
20/20 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
19/20 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
18/20 – Had won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
18/20 – Aged 6 or younger
17/20 – Winning distance 1 ¼ lengths or more
16/20 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
15/20 – Placed favourites
14/20 – Went on run in the Albert Bartlett (3 won) at the Cheltenham Festival
12/20 – Winning favourite (1 co, 1 joint)
12/20 – Won last time out
12/20 – Irish bred
11/20 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
11/20 – Returned 2/1 or shorter in the betting
9/20 – Went onto finish in the top 4 in a Cheltenham Festival race that season
9/20 – Had won at Cheltenham before
8/20 – Won over 3m (hurdles) before
3/20 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies (3 of the last 10)
2/20 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
11 of the last 15 winners returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
11 of the last 13 winners were aged 5 years-old
The Tizzard yard have won 2 of the last 7 renewals
The Irish have won 2 of the last 4 runnings
3:35 – Downlaod The BetMGM App Mares’ Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 2m4 1/2f ITV
Just 9 previous runnings
All 9 winners returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
8/9 - Winners carried 10-10 or more
7/9 - Aged 7 or younger
6/9 - Aged 5 or 6 years-old
5/9 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
2/9 – Winning favourites
Trainers, Lucy Wadham (2), Nicky Henderson, Dan Skelton (2), Noel Williams (2), Anthony Honeyball and Gordon Elliott have won the race before
Woodhooh won this race last year
Nurse Susan won this in 2023
Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (ITV/Sky Sports Racing)
2:05 - bet365 Pennine Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+ 0-150) 3m ITV
11/11 – Aged 7 or older
10/11 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
10/11 – Returned 17/2 or shorter in the betting
10/11 – Won over at least 3m
8/11 - Irish bred
8/11 – Aged 8 or 9
8/11 – Won between 2-4 times over fences
7/11 – Favourites finished in top 2
7/11 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
6/11 – Unplaced last time out
4/11 – Had run at Doncaster before
3/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Trained by Kim Bailey (2 of the last 4)
2/11 – Ridden by David Bass (2 of the last 4)
The last 9 winners all aged 7-9
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 13/2
2:40– bet365 Doncaster Mares’ Hurdle (Listed Race) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 3m 1/2f ITV
Just one past running
3:17 – Each Way Extra At bet365 Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (3yo+) 2m½f ITV
9/11 – Carried 11st or more
8/11 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
8/11 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles
7/11 – Returned 4/1 or shorter
6/11 – Irish bred
3/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of the last 8)
3 of the last 8 winners won by a claiming jockey
Brian Hughes has ridden 2 of the last 3
Trainer Donald McCain has won the last 2 runnings.
Trainer Harry Derham has a 26% strike-rate at the track with his hurdlers
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