Saturday TV Trends Sat TV Trends: 14th Dec 2024
A MASSIVE day up at Prestbury Park as the Cheltenham December Meeting continues this Saturday (14th Dec), plus the ITV cameras also head to Doncaster for three races - as always, here at Geegeez, we are on hand with all the big-race trends and stats…..
With the December Gold Cup at 1:50pm the feature - a race trainer Paul Nicholls has won five times.
Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)
1.50 – Nyetimber December Gold Cup (Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m5f ITV
20/21 – Aged 8 or younger
19/21 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
17/21 – Had won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
16/21 – Had won between 2-4 times over fences before
15/21 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
15/20 - Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival later that season (2 winners, Frodon – Ryanair Chase and Coole Cody – Plate)
15/21 – Had raced at Cheltenham (fences) before (6 won)
14/21 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
14/21 – Officially rated 141 or higher
13/21 – Unplaced favourites
12/21 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
12/21 – French bred
10/21 – Carried 10-12 or more
10/21 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
10/21 – Ran in the Paddy Power (Nov) Gold Cup last time out (1 won)
7/21 – Finished in the top 5 in the Paddy Power Gold Cup last time out
5/21 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
5/21 – Won last time out
3/21 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/21 – Went to an Irish-trained horse
2/21 – Trained by David Pipe
2/21 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
1/21 – Winning favourites
9 of the last 12 winners carried 10-12 or less
The average winning SP in the last 21 runnings is 10/1
2.25 BetMGM Handicap Chase (GBB Race) (Class 2) (4yo+) 2m 1/2f
13/13 – Had run in the last 6 weeks
12/13 – Had run at Cheltenham before
10/13 – Returned 15/2 or shorter
10/13 – Won between 1-3 times over fences
10/13 – Aged 7 or older
10/13 – Placed favourites
9/13 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
8/13 – Irish bred
8/13 – Carried 10-12 or more
8/13 – Returned 5/1 or shorter
5/13 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/13 – Won last time out
3/13 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/13 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/13 – Ridden by Brendan Powell
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 17/2
3.00 - Albert Bartlett Novices´ Hurdle (Registered as The Bristol Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m ITV
19/19 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
18/19 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
17/19 – Had won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
17/19 – Aged 6 or younger
16/19 – Winning distance 1 ¼ lengths or more
15/19 – Placed favourites
15/19 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
13/19 – Went on run in the Albert Bartlett (3 won) at the Cheltenham Festival
12/19 – Winning favourite (1 co, 1 joint)
12/19 – Won last time out
12/19 – Irish bred
11/19 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
11/19 – Returned 2/1 or shorter in the betting
9/19 – Went onto finish in the top 4 in a Cheltenham Festival race that season
9/19 – Had won at Cheltenham before
8/18 – Won over 3m (hurdles) before
3/19 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies (3 of the last 9)
2/19 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
11 of the last 14 winners returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
10 of the last 12 winners were aged 5 years-old
The Tizzard yard have won 2 of the last 6 renewals
The Irish have won 2 of the last 3 runnings
3.35 – BetMGM Mares’ Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 2m4 1/2f ITV
Just 8 previous runnings
All 8 winners returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
7/8 - Winners carried 10-10 or more
6/8 - Aged 7 or younger
6/8 - Aged 5 or 6 years-old
5/8 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
2/8 – Winning favourites
Trainers, Lucy Wadham (2), Nicky Henderson, Dan Skelton (2), Noel Williams (2), Anthony Honeyball
Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (ITV/Sky Sports Racing)
2.05 - bet365 Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+ 0-150) 3m ITV
10/10 – Aged 7 or older
9/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
9/10 – Returned 17/2 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Won over at least 3m
8/10 - Irish bred
7/10 – Aged 8 or 9
7/10 – Favourites finished in top 2
7/10 – Won between 2-4 times over fences
6/10 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
6/9 – Unplaced last time out
4/9 – Had run at Doncaster before
3/9 – Winning favourites
2/9 – Trained by Kim Bailey (2 of the last 3)
2/9 – Ridden by David Bass
Forward Plan won the race in 2023
2.40– bet365 Doncaster Mares’ Hurdle (Listed Race) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 3m 1/2f ITV
No past runnings
Trainer Adrian Paul Keatley is 2 from 3 over hurdles at the track
3.15 - bet365 Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (3yo+) 2m½f ITV
8/10 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
8/10 – Carried 11st or more
8/10 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles
7/10 – Returned 4/1 or shorter
6/10 – Irish bred
3/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of the last 7)
3 of the last 7 winners won by a claiming jockey
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 23% strike-rate at the track with his hurdlers
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 22% strike-rate at the track with his hurdlers
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