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Chester TV Trends: Weds 10th May 2017

The three-day Chester May Meeting kicks-off on Wednesday 10th May with four LIVE races on ITV - We've got the main contests - including the Chester Cup - covered with all the key trends and stats.

1.50 - Stellar Group Lily Agnes Conditions Stakes (Plus 10 Race) Cl2 5f16y ITV

15/15 – Had a recent run that season
14/15 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/15 – Favourites that finished 1st or 2nd
11/15 - Had won over 5f before
11/15 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting
10/15 - From stall 2 finished in the top 3
9/15 – Won last time out
8/15 – Came from stalls 1-3
5/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 - Came from stall 1 (but none in the last 10 years)
2/15 – Trained by Tom Dascombe (2 of last 7 years)
The horse from stall 5 has won 4 of the last 11 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/2


2.25 - Arkle Finance Cheshire Oaks (for the Robert Sangster Memorial Cup) (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 1m3f79y ITV

13/15 - Had not won over this trip (or further) before
12/15 - Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
13/15 – Had a previous run that season
12/15 - Favourites that finished in the top three
9/15 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
9/15 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
8/15 – Won their last race
5/15 – Winners from stall 4
5/15 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
1/15 – Winners (Light Shift) that went onto win the Epsom Oaks
None of the last 15 winners had run at Chester before
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1


3.00 - Boodles Diamond Handicap Cl2 5f16y ITV

15/15 – Winners from stall 7 or lower
14/15 - Had won before over this trip
12/15 – Aged 5 or older
12/15 - Carried 8-11 or less
12/15 - Winners came from stalls 1-4
11/15 – Returned 13/2 or bigger in the betting
9/15 - Had run before that season
9/15 - Favourites that finished in the top three
7/15 - Returned a double-figure price
6/15 - Had won before at Chester
2/15 – Trained by Eric Alston
2/15 – Won their last race
1/15 – Winning favourites
The average SP in the last 10 years is 9/1


3.35 - Betway Chester Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m2f147y ITV

14/15 – Aged 7 years-old or younger
14/15 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
12/15 – Officially rated between 93-99
11/15 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-olds
11/15 – Carried 9-2 or less
11/15 – Had raced within the last 2 months
10/15 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Finished unplaced last time out
10/15 – Had won previously over at least 2m on the flat
10/15 – Won from stall 7 or lower
8/15 – Placed favourites
7/15 – Irish bred
7/15 – Favourites were unplaced
3/15 – Had won at the track before
3/15 – Ran at Aintree over hurdles last time out
3/15 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/15 – Won by owner Dr Marwan Koukash
2/15 – Trained by Donald McCain
2/15 – Won by the favourite
2/15 – Won their previous race

The race has seen repeat winners three times since 1997
Since 1975 we’ve only seen 4 winning favourites
The Hills yard took the race in 1980, 1999, 2001 and 2009
Since 1975 all winners have been aged 8 or younger
Since 1975 there have only been three winners aged 8 years-old
Since 1981 only 6 winners have carried more than 9-2 to victory
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 12/1
4 of the last 7 winners came from NH yards
3 of the last 5 winners returned 10/1
Dr Marwan Koukash has owned 3 of the last 9 winners

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Chester TV Trends: Thurs 11th May 2017

The three-day Chester May Meeting continues on Thursday 11th May with four more LIVE races on ITV - We've got the main contests - including the Chester Vase and Huxley Stakes - covered with all the key trends and stats.

1.50 – Gateley PLC Changing The Legal Landscape Handicap Cl2 1m2f75y ITV

12/12 – Carried 9-1 or less
10/12 - Won over at least 1m2f in the past
9/12 – Carried 8-11 or less
9/12 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/12 – Came from stall 5 or higher
8/12 – Placed favourites
7/12 – Unplaced last time out (not in top 3)
4/12 – Aged 5 years-old
3/12 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/12 - Had won at Chester before
2/12 – Winning favourites
The last three winners had raced at Epsom last time out (2 won there)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/1

2.25 – Sportingbet Huxley Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f75y ITV

14/15 – Aged either a 4 or 5 year-old
13/15 – Had won over 1m2f before
12/15 – Favourites that finished 1st or 2nd in this race
11/15 – Had a previous race that season
11/15 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
9/15 – Winners from between stalls 1-4
8/15 – Winning favourites
8/15 – Failed to win their previous race
5/15 – Returned 11/8 or shorter in the betting
5/15 – Ran in the John Porter at Newbury before winning this
5/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
5/15 – Had raced at Chester before
4/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/2

3.00 - Boodles Diamond Handicap Cl2 7f122y ITV

14/15 – Hadn’t raced at Chester before
13/15 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Had a previous run that season
11/15 – Came from stalls 2-7
10/15 – Carried 9-0 or less
9/15 – Finished third or better last time out
8/15 – Placed favourites
5/15 – Ran at Newbury last time out
4/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 – Placed horses from stall 1
2/15 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/15 – Trained by Andrew Balding
2/15 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 6/1

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3.35 – MBNA Chester Vase (Group 3) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 1m4f66y ITV

14/15 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
13/15 – Finished third or better last time out
12/15 – Favourites that finished 1st or 2nd in this race
12/15 – Had a previous run that season
11/15 - Went onto finish 7th or better in the Epsom Derby
9/15 – Didn’t win their previous race
8/15 – Came from stalls 1 or 2
7/15 – Winning favourites
7/15 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
6/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
Just one winner in the last 14 years went onto win the Epsom Derby winner (2013 – Ruler Of The World)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/1
None of the last 15 winners had won before over 1m4f

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