Here at GeeGeez we give you all the key trends and stats from the LIVE ITV races on the final day of the Chester May Meeting this Friday 9th May 2025 – with the meetings feature – The Chester Cup – run on this day too.  

Use these Chester horse racing trends to find the best profiles based on past winners of the race - putting history on your side.

Chester May Festival Trends 2025

1:30 – Caa Stellar Sports Earl Grosvenor Handicap Cl2 7f122y ITV4

19/22 - Didn’t win their last race
19/22 - Had a previous run that season
17/22 - Had won over this trip before (or further)
17/22 - Carried 8-9 or more
16/22 - Finished unplaced last time out
16/22 - Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
16/22 - Had run before at Chester
14/22 - Favourites placed
10/22 - Horses placed from stall 1
10/22 - Won by a 4 year-old
5/22 - Won by the favourite (none in last 9)
4/22 – Winning horses from stall 1
3/22 – Trained by Andrew Balding (3 of the last 10)
2/22 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/22 – Trained by Tom Dascombe (2 of the last 7)
2/22 – Ridden by David Probert (won two of the last 4)
9 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
3 of the last 10 winners were ridden by claimer
Jockey Richard Kingscote has won 2 of the last 8

2:05 Boodles Darley EBF Maiden Stakes (Cl2 (3yo) 1m 4 1/2f ITV4

No previous runnings
Jockey Ryan Moore has a 55% record riding 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Oisin Murphy is just 1-21 riding 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer William Haggas has a 27% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Andrew Balding has a 21% record with his 3 year-olds at the track

2:35 – Ire-Incentive, It Pays To Buy Irish Huxley Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f75y ITV4

20/22 – Aged either a 4 or 5 year-old
19/22 – Had won over 1m2f before
17/22 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
16/22 – Had a previous race that season
15/22 – Favourites that finished 1st or 2nd in this race
14/22 – Winners from between stalls 1-4
12/22 – Failed to win their previous race
11/22 – Winning favourites
9/22 – Returned 7/4 or shorter in the betting
8/22 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (5 of the last 8)
6/22 – Had raced at Chester before
5/22 – Ran in the John Porter at Newbury before winning this
4/22 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
Aidan O’Brien and Ryan Moore have won 3 of the last 7
Trainer Richard Fahey has won 2 of the last 6

3:05 – Ladbrokes Chester Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m2f147y ITV4

20/22 – Aged 7 years-old or younger
19/22 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
15/22 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-olds
15/22 – Officially rated between 93-99
15/22 – Finished unplaced last time out
15/22 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
15/22 – Carried 9-2 or less
14/22 – Had raced within the last 2 months
13/22 – Had won previously over at least 2m on the flat
13/22 – Won from stall 7 or lower
11/22 – Favourites were unplaced
11/22 – Irish bred
4/22 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/22 – Had won at the track before
3/22 – Ran at Aintree over hurdles last time out
3/22 – Won their previous race
2/22 – Trained by Donald McCain
2/22– Trained by Richard Fahey
2/22 – Trained by Ian Williams
2/22 – Won by the favourite
2/22 - Irish-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 22 years is 11/1

Chester Cup Stats

The race has seen repeat winners three times since 1997
Since 1975 we’ve only seen 4 winning favourites
13 of the last 17 winners carried between 8-11 and 9-4
The Hills yard took the race in 1980, 1999, 2001 and 2009
Since 1890 all winners have been aged 8 or younger
Since 1975 there have only been 4 winners aged 8 years-old
Since 1981 only 8 winners have carried more than 9-2 to victory (but 6 of the last 7 have won with 9st +)
4 of the last 14 winners came from NH yards
8 of the last 11 winners carried 9st or more
3 of the last 12 winners returned 10/1
Ryan Moore, Jim Crowley and Jamie Spencer have won the race twice each since 2008

3:40 – Precision Facades Handicap Cl2 1m2 1/2f ITV4

15/15 – Won at least twice before
14/15 – Had won over 1m2f (or further) before
14/15 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
13/15 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Placed favourites
11/15 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
11/15 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
10/15 – Rated between 90-95
9/15 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
5/15 – Won last time out
4/15 – Winning favourites
Trainer Andrew Balding has won 2 of the last 9
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