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Irish Derby Trends

The Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby is a Group One contest run over 1m4f at the Curragh racecourse.

In recent years, the race has been dominated by one trainer – Aidan O’Brien, who has landed the lucrative pot a staggering 14 times since 1997, including 11 of the last 13 renewals, and you can expect the Ballydoyle handler to be mob-handed once again. He also won the race in 2019 with 33/1 shot Sovereign, so don’t be afraid to back any of O’Brien’s bigger-priced runners.

We take a look back at past winners, plus give you all the key stats ahead of the 2021 renewal, this year run on Saturday 26th June.

Recent Irish Derby Winners

2020 – SANTIAGO (2/1 fav)
2019 – SOVEREIGN (33/1)
2018 – LATROBE (14/1)
2017 – CAPRI (6/1)
2016 – HARZAND (4/6 fav)
2015 – JACK HOBBS (10/11 fav)
2014 – AUSTRALIA (1/8 fav)
2013 – TRADING LEATHER (6/1)
2012 - CAMELOT  (1/5 fav)
2011 – TREASURE BEACH (7/2)
2010 – CAPE BLANCO (7/2)
2009 – FAME AND GLORY (8/11 fav)
2008 – FROZEN FIRE (16/1)
2007 – SOLDIER OF FORTUNE (5/1)
2006 – DYLAN THOMAS (9/2 fav)
2005 – HURRICANE RUN (4/5 fav)
2004 – GREY SWALLOW (10/1)
2003 – ALAMSHAR (4/1)

Key Irish Derby Betting Trends and Stats

18/18 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
16/18 – Won by an Irish-based yard
16/18 – Favourites that were placed in the top 4
14/18 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
14/18 – Won a Group race before
14/18 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
13/18 – Had 3 or more wins in their career
13/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/18 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/18 – Failed to win their last race
12/18 – Ran in the Epsom Derby last time out
12/18 – Had never raced at the Curragh before
11/18 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (won the race 14 times in total)
7/18 – Placed in the Epsom Derby (3 winners, Harzand, Australia & Camelot)
4/18 – Previous Group 1 winners
4/18 – Ridden by Seamie Heffernan
Ryan Moore has NEVER won the Irish Derby
The average winning SP in the last 18 years is 6/1

 

 

 

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2020 Phoenix Stakes Trends

Run on Saturday 9th Aug 20120 at the Curragh racecourse, Ireland, the Phoenix Stakes is a Group One contest run over 6f and in recent times has been dominated by a certain Aidan O’Brien, who’s landed the prize a staggering 16 times since 1998!

We look back at past winners and highlight the key trends to apply to the race.

Recent Phoenix Stakes Winners

2019 - Siskin (10/11 fav)
2018 – Advertise (11/10 fav)
2017 – Sioux Nation (2/1)
2016 – Caravaggio (1/8 fav)
2015 – Air Force Blue (9/4)
2014 – Dick Whittington (6/1)
2013 – Sudirman (4/1)
2012 – Pedro The Great (10/1)
2011 – La Collina (33/1)
2010 – Zoffany (3/1)
2009 – Alfred Nobel (5/4 fav)
2008 – Mastercraftsman (4/1)
2007 – Saoirse Abu (25/1)
2006 – Holy Roman Emperor (13/8 jfav)
2005 – George Washington (8/13 fav)
2004 – Damson (8/11 fav)
2003 – One Cool Cat (11/8)
2002 – Spartacus (16/1)


Phoenix Stakes Key Trends

18/18 – Had won over 6 or 7f before
17/18 – Had run in a Group race before
17/18 – Won by Irish-based trainers
16/18 – Finished in the top two last time out
16/18 – Previous winners over 6f
14/18 – Had won at least two races before
14/18 – Placed favourites
13/18 – Had 3 or more previous runs that season
13/18 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
12/18 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
12/18 – Had won a Group 2 or 3 before
12/18 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
11/18 – Had won at the Curragh before
10/18 – Won by either a March or April foal
10/18 – Ran at the Curragh last time out
7/18 – Winning favourites
7/18 – Won by a March foal
4/18 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/18 – Ran Leopardstown last time out
The average winning SP in the last 18 runnings is 13/2

 

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