Posts

Stat of the Day, 6th October 2018

Friday's Pick was...

7.45 Wolverhampton : Barnaby Brook @ 10/3 BOG 8th at 20/1 (Tracked leaders, ridden over 2f out, weakened over 1f out) - something clearly amiss here, this was never a stone last 20/1 shot.

Saturday's pick runs in the...

2.50 Fontwell :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Notnow Seamus @ 10/3 BOG  

In a 7-runner, Class 2, Handicap Hurdle for 3yo+ over 2m3f on Good ground, worth £9495 to the winner... 

Why?

This 7 yr old gelding has finished 11121 in his last 5 runs, all in handicap hurdle contests (1121 under today's jockey Harry Skelton) and whilst this is a tougher assignment, he's in imperious form as demonstrated by his win LTO at Uttoxeter 24 days ago, when he cruised home by 18 lengths, unchallenged and unextended.

The Dan/Harry Skelton angle is a well worn path that continues to bear fruit and I've mentioned it often enough that you're probably sick of seeing the numbers. So, I'll take it on trust that you're happy to proceed with my repeating the figures and we'll find some other angles to back up our selection.

Let's start with the sire, Notnowcato, as his offspring are 34/166 (20.5% SR) over hurdles since the start of 2015 and backed blindly to a £10 stake have generated £1081.10 profit at Betfair SP after an assumed 5% commission at an ROI of 65.1%. This alone is an excellent starting point, any blind approach that pays well is good!

Amongst those 166 runners of relevance today...

  • males are 31/154 (201.1%) for 103.1pts (+66.9%)
  • over trips of 2m5f and shorter : 31/126 (24.6%) for 122.7pts (+97.4%)
  • 11-45 days since last run : 18/98 (18.4%) for 83.1pts (+84.8%)
  • on Good ground : 19/60 (31.7%) for 63.4pts (+105.6%)
  • during the final third of the year (Sept-Dec) : 17/58 (29.3%) for 105.8pts (+182.4%)
  • in 2018 so far : 11/34 (32.4%) for 35.2pts (+103.5%)
  • 7/8 yr olds are 6/26 (23.1%) for 8.85pts (+34%)
  • and those rated (OR) 140 to 149 are 8 from 9 (88.9%) for 23.24pts (+258.2%)

The horse is also of interest to me because I do like to back runners who won pretty comfortably last out and Notnow Seamus was flagged up as a qualifier for a microsystem of mine that looks far more complicated in print than it is in application! Basically it revolves around 5-11 yr olds who won a handicap hurdle LTO by more than 4 lengths.

Such runners are 192 from 597 (32.1% SR) for 181.3pts (+30.4% ROI) since the start of 2013 when the following (and here's where it gets a little more complex!) conditions have been met...UK hcp hurdle race / trip of 3m or shorter / Class 2 to 5 / an OR increased by 0 to 14lbs from LTO / same class or up by 1 from LTO / same trip or down by 0.5 to 2 furlongs from LTO... And with today's race in mind, those 597 qualifiers are...

  • Up by 1 class : 59/251 (23.5%) for 33.2pts (+13.2%)
  • Won by 10 to 20 lengths LTO : 48/130 (36.9%) for 62.8pts (+48.3%)
  • Those dropping back in trip by 1f are 28/86 (32.6%) for 25.9pts (+30.2%)
  • at Class 2 : 16/55 (29.1%) for 22.1pts (+40.2%)
  • at this 2m3f trip : 9/33 (27.3%) for 9.64pts (+29.2%)
  • and those with a mark (OR) raised 12lbs from LTO are 10/29 (34.5%) for 25.2pts (+87%)

...giving us... a 1pt win bet on Notnow Seamus @ 10/3 BOG, a price offered by Betfair, Paddy Power & SkyBet at 5.55pm on Friday evening and still readily available at 10.00am on Saturday. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting...

...click here for the betting on the 2.50 Fontwell

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Placepot Pointers – Saturday 16th June

SANDOWN – JUNE 16

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2017: £378.20 (6 favourites: 3 winners - 1 placed - 2 unplaced)

 

Breakdown of the percentage of successful units in each Placepot race last year and the prices of the horses which finished in the frame – favourites which finished out of the Placepot positions are offered in brackets:

Race 1: 40.2% units went through – 5/2* - 20/1 – 16/1

Race 2: 32.3% of the remaining units when through – 11/1 – 25/1 – 7/2*

Race 3: 17.6% of the remaining units went through – 20/1 & 10/3 (5/4)

Race 4: 64.2% of the remaining units went through – 13/8* - 4/1 – 33/1

Race 5: 17.1% of the remaining units went through – 15/2 – 13/2 7/1 (5/2)

Race 6: 76.9% of the units secured the dividend – Evens* - 8/1 – 11/2

 

  • Speculative subscribers might have hoped for a bigger dividend last year, given that the ‘Pot was worth £291.88 after five legs. Unfortunately for those that opposed the even money favourite (Bristol Missile) in the Placepot finale, the market leader accounted for 61.9% of the remaining units which in Placepot terms meant that the jolly was an 8/13 chance to finish in the frame - before going on to score.

 

Saturday's Placepot permutation at Sandown: 

Leg 1 (2.05): 4 (Mokaatil), 1 (Sound Of Silence) & 3 (Koditime)

Leg 2 (2.35): 5 (Shamshon), 3 (Rio Ronaldo) & 11 (Island Of Life)

Leg 3 (3.15): 7 (Chiefofchiefs), 1 (Silver Line) & 6 (Graphite Storm)

Leg 4 (3.50): 2 (Flavius Titus) & 6 (Zalshah)

Leg 5 (4.25): 3 (Ibraz), 1 (Deyaarna) & 9 (Simply Breathless)

Leg 6 (5.00): 6 (Marechal Ney) & 5 (Jamih)

Suggested stake: 324 bets to 10p stakes

 

2.05: The ‘Scurry Stakes’ has the look of a race which is designed to relieve punters of as much cash as possible before they have a chance of biting back at Royal Ascot. That argument has lost momentum in recent times however as the biggest priced winner was returned at just 11/1 during the last thirteen years.  Nine of the last thirteen winners have scored at odds of 4/1 or less for good measure.  The terms and conditions of this Listed event appears to favour MOKAATIL and SOUND AND SILENCE, whilst the chance of KODITIME is also respected. There are bits and pieces of support for Rock On Baileys at the time of around at around 14/1 which makes for interesting reading

Favourite factor: Seven market leaders have been successful via thirteen renewals, though three of the other six market leaders finished out of the frame.

Your first 30 days for just £1

Record of the two course winners in the opening race:

1/2—Haddaf (good)

1/3—Spoof (good)

 

2.35: This was known as ‘Timeform Day’ down the years though I have long since regarded it as a bookmaker’s extravaganza, designed to get as much money into the hod before Royal Ascot as the layers can muster.  The trio that should give us a decent shout for our respective monies are SHAMSHON, RIO RONALDO and ISLAND OF LIFE.

Favourite factor: Seven of the last twelve favourites have finished in the frame, including two successful market leaders which were both returned at 5/2.

Record of the five course winners in the second event:

1/1—Rio Ronaldo (good to firm)

1/4—Shamshon (good to firm)

1/2—Babyfact (good to firm)

1/3—Desert Ace (good to soft)

1/1—Jashma (good)

 

3.15: Four-year-olds have secured nine of the eighteen available Placepot positions thus far, statistics which include four of the six winners at 11/1-5/1-9/2*-11/4*. Four-year-old raiders SILVER LINE and GRAPHITE STORM are not discounted from each way and Placepot perspective, though it is five-year-old CHIEFOFCHIEFS which might upset the vintage trends on this occasion.  As a self-confessed stats anorak, I can’t dismiss the fact that James Doyle is only having his third ride for trainer Charlie Fellowes (50% strike rate thus far), whilst Charlie won with his only other runner at the Esher circuit this season.

Favourite factor: All three market leaders had missed out on Placepot positions, before the subsequent trio of favourites evened up the score by winning their respective events.

Record of the three course winners in the field: 

1/4—Manson (good to firm)

1/1—Chiefofchiefs (good)

1/4—Almoreb (good to soft)

 

3.50: Seven of the last twelve winners during the last decade have carried a minimum burden of 9-2, stats which bring FLAVIUS TITUS strongly into the equation.  Roger Varian’s colt looks something of a Placepot banker, whilst there are couple of ‘mistakes’ in the trade press this morning that need reporting, especially with a £2.90 price tag relating to the printed word!  The lads/lasses in the office have ‘priced up’ ZALSHAH at 16/1 which looks well wide of the mark, whilst the reporter on the race offered the following words to round up their comment by literally finishing a sentence about one of the contenders “he was earlier promising”!  Now I can’t talk about ‘typos’ by other people without the term stones/glasshouses being thrown in my direction, but this is printed matter for goodness sake; at £2.90 a copy!  My subscription page today will carry umpteen thousands of words/numerals but I’m hoping not to have many errors thrown in like that one!

Favourite factor: Twelve of the thirteen favourites have been beaten, with favourites claiming only five Placepot position between them to date. The biggest priced winner was returned at 25/1 two years ago before a 20/1 chance reared its ugly head twelve months later.  Twenty of the 37 horses (54%) to have claimed Placepot positions have started at odds of 13/2 or less.

Record of the course winner in the fourth contest on the card: 

1/1—Rum Runner (good to soft)

 

4.25: Ten of the last fourteen winners carried a minimum burden of 8-13, whilst top trainers tend to secure this prize in no uncertain terms. The weight stats dilute interest in SIMPLY BREATHLESS to a fashion, though I still cannot bring myself to discard Clive Cox’s raider from a Placepot perspective.  There are no ‘trend worries’ (apart from favourite issues reported below) relating to IBRAZ and DEYAARNA fortunately.

Favourite factor: Just one favourite has won during the last eighteen years, whilst just eight of the twenty one market leaders have claimed Placepot positions.

Record of the course winner in the fifth race: 

1/3—Bathsheba Bay (good to soft)

 

5.00: There was money overnight for MARECHAL NEY and the 11/4 on offer by three firms at the time of writing might not last too long this morning regarding John Gosden’s Frankel colt.  Indeed, connections of Robert Havlin’s mount might have most to fear from stable companion JAMIH.  I cannot entertain the possibility of both inmates finishing out of the frame.

Favourite factor: The Placepot finale is a new race on the card.

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Placepot Pointers – Tuesday 5th June

FONTWELL – JUNE 5

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2017: £22.60 (6 favourites – 4 winners – 1 placed – 1 unplaced)

 

Breakdown of the percentage of successful units in each Placepot race last year and the prices of the horses which finished in the frame – favourites which finished out of the Placepot positions are offered in brackets:

Race 1: 53.6% units went through – 7/2 & 11/4*

Race 2: 73.4% of the remaining units when through – 2/9* (Win only)

Race 3: 94.5% of the remaining units went through – 8/13* & 15/8

Race 4: 51.1% of the remaining units went through – 15/8* & 5/1

Race 5: 27.2% of the remaining units went through – 20/1 & 9/2 (2/1)

Race 6: 62.2% of the units secured the dividend – 4/7* (Win only)

 

Tuesday's Placepot permutation at Fontwell: 

Leg 1 (2.15): 3 (Westerbee) & 2 (Carraigin Aonair)

Leg 2 (2.45): 3 (Diakali) & 1 (Our Three Sons)

Leg 3 (3.15): 2 (Peculiar Places), 1 (Double Treasure) & 3 (Pontresina)

Leg 4 (3.45): 4 (Innocent Girl) & 7 (Brown Bear)

Leg 5 (4.15): 3 (Bagging Turf), 9 (Roparta Avenue) & 1 (Mogestic)

Leg 6 (4.45): 6 (Mason Dixon), 1 (Chantra Rose) & 7 (Findusatgorcombe)

Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes

 

2.15: It is not usual to find (respectfully) the name of Seamus Mullins featured in the top ten NH trainers list in terms of the number of winners this season (eight in total), but that is a fact as we contemplate a disappointing day of sport this morning.  Only the race planners will know why we have three NH cards on offer today and none on the flat (turf racing).  Just two horses have been declared in the first race at Bangor and I wonder how many would be entered in a flat (turf) race at Sandown on semi frozen ground in January?  It beggars belief with the bowl out as they say oop north!  Back to Seamus at Fontwell by suggesting this his entry WESTERBEE can go close in a race which should not prove difficult to win.  The ‘dark horse’ in the race is CARRAIGIN AONAIR from the shrewd Olly Murphy yard which knows how to place its horses to winning effect – and then some!

Your first 30 days for just £1

Favourite factor: The opening race is a new contest on the Fontwell card.

 

2.45: This is not a bad turnout at all, though whether a winner will emerge as Black Corton did last year before setting out a grand sequence of efforts we will have to wait and see.  If that scenario evolves, it would likely stem from a success for DIAKALI who represents ‘local’ trainer Gary Moore.  Richard Johnson takes the ride which is only the fifth time that the champion jockey has ridden for Gary (without a winner) during the last five years.  That said, the partnership has teamed up to winning effect nine times down the years and the booking takes the eye today.  OUR THREE SONS has less to prove and appears to be the main threat.

Favourite factor: Five of the six market leaders have claimed Placepot positions having won their respective events.

 

3.15: Jamie Snowden saddles Our Three Sons in the previous race on the card and the trainer has definite claims here as well, having declared DOUBLE TREASURE to contest a race over timber for the first time in the thick end of two years.  Jamie’s seven-year-old inmate was running of an official mark of 108 in those days which gives him something to find here against the likes of PONTRESINA and (to a fashion) Present Destiny.  That said, Gavin Sheehan’s mount has subsequently improved a great deal though with PECULIAR PLACES having attracted overnight support, we can take nothing for granted in an interesting heat.

Favourite factor: All three (8/13, 4/6 & 15/8) favourites have prevailed thus far.

 

3.45: Seven-year-olds have won three of the last six renewals and lone vintage representative BROWN BEAR brings plenty of fast ground form into the race, whereby Nick Gifford’s local raider looks sure to be there or thereabouts turning for home on the final circuit at this unique venue.  The figure of eight course (steeplechases) is the only track like it in the country, since Windsor ceased its interest in NH racing – wait for it – twenty years ago!  I have a wonderful ‘obituary’ article about the day that Windsor closed its doors on the jump racing scene if you would like to contact me via a direct message on my Twitter page – it is well worth a read. Back to this event by suggesting that INNOCENT GIRL is the threat to the seven-year-old record in the contest.

Favourite factor: Six of the last eight favourites have obliged, though the other two (even money & 2/1) market leaders finished out of the frame during the period.

Record of the two course winners in the fourth contest on the card:

1/1—Innocent Girl (good)

3/9—Brown Bear (2 x good & good to firm)

 

4.15: Seamus Mullins was mentioned positively in despatches earlier and the trainer has another chance on the card with MOGESTIC, though Gary Moore has a potential ‘springer’ in the contest having declared BAGGING TURF with claims on the best of his form from yesteryear.  ROPARTA AVENUE has his ground (his only two victories have been recorded on good going) and can rarely be left out of the equation in this grade/company.

Favourite factor: Three of the five favourites (via four renewals) have secured Placepot positions though that said, three of the four gold medallists were returned at odds of 20/1, 12/1 & 8/1 alongside a successful 5/2 market leader.

Record of the course winner in the field:

1/6—Roparta Avenue (good)

 

4.45: MASON DIXON looks a typical ‘rerouted’ Tim Vaughan raider ready to pounce to winning effect, especially with Richard Johnson having been booked to ride.  There are worse outsiders on the card than FINDUSATGORCOMBE on this ground, whilst CHANTARA ROSE is a definite player with Peter Bowen having saddled four of this last five runners to winning effect.  Peter’s nine-year-old-mate is his only runner until Friday (earliest) this week.

Favourite factor: Six of the eight winners have been sent off at a top price of 7/2, statistics which include four successful market leaders.

Record of the three course winners in the Placepot finale:

2/4—Champagne George (good to soft & soft)

2/7—Lee Side Lady (soft & heavy)

1/1—Findusatgorcombe (good to firm)

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Placepot Pointers – Sunday 27th May

FONTWELL – MAY 27

 

Last year's corresponding Placepot dividend:

2017: £33.30 (6 favourites - 1 winner - 2 placed - 2 unplaced – 1 Non runner)

 

Unfortunately - the Tote’s computer blew a gasket (or something similar I guess) whereby the race to race details that I offer on a daily basis are not available.

 

Sunday's Placepot permutation at Fontwell: 

Leg 1 (2.15): 1 (Don Lami) & 2 (Rothman)

Leg 2 (2.50): 6 (Code Of Law), 3 (Spiritofchartwell) & 8 (Two Hoots)

Leg 3 (3.25): 3 (Ringa Ding Ding) & 5 (Shillingsworth)

Leg 4 (4.00): 1 (Kings Lad), 4 (Bugsy Malone) & 5 (Shady Glen)

Leg 5 (4.35): 3 (Soulsaver), 10 (Zoltan Varga) & 8 (Cappielow Park)

Leg 6 (5.10): 2 (Kilmurvy) & 4 (Quick N’ Easy)

Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes

 

  • Thunderstorms are expected to hit many parts of the south, west and the midlands during the course of Sunday & Monday, so ensure that you keep your eyes on the non-runner board this Bank Holiday weekend.

 

2.15: Anthony Honeyball enjoyed a great season which finished a few weeks ago and DON LAMI took little time in getting the trainer off the mark in quick time when scoring earlier this month.  Anthony’s five-year-old is the youngest horse in the field and probably possesses plenty of untapped potential which could be realised this term.  Connections have most to fear from ROTHMAN I’ll wager but if Aidan Coleman’s mount (Don Lami) can repeat the effort from the last day, there should only be one winner.

Favourite factor: The first two market leaders snared gold and bronze medals alongside Placepot positions before last year’s 2/1 favourite finished out with the washing in a ‘short field’ event.  New readers might want to know that the term short field relates to 5/6/7 runner races in which only the first two horses home qualify from Placepot and each way perspectives.

Record of the two course winners in the opening race:

2/2—Don Lami (2 x good)

Your first 30 days for just £1

1/6—Rothman (soft)

 

2.50: Five of the eight winners thus far have carried a minimum burden of eleven stones which eliminates the bottom three horses in the handicap if we take the stats seriously.  The pick of the relevant trio from my viewpoint is Two Hoots which could scramble into the frame I guess.  Horses towards the top of the list to home in on will hopefully prove to be CODE OF LAW and SPIRITOFCHARTWELL.  Neil Mulholland sends out the first named raider with trainer boasting a 19% record here at Fontwell down the years.  The ratio isn’t anything out of the ordinary, though a level stake loss of less than nine points via 268 runners at the track is no mean feat.

Favourite factor: Four of the seven favourites have finished in the frame, statistics which include three winners.  Last year’s 10/11 favourite was withdrawn at the start before a new market could be formed.  Thankfully for ‘Potters’ who had invested in the jolly, the second favourite sneaked into the frame.  In case you are a new reader who is just learning the (Placepot) ropes, any units on a market leader which becomes a non-runner automatically transfers onto the second favourite.  In the case of joint or co favourites, the transfer applies to the horse with the lowest number on the race card i.e. horse number seven as opposed to number twelve.

Record of the two course winners in the field:

3/9—Spiritofchartwell (good – good to soft – soft)

1/5—Code Of Law (good to firm)

 

3.25: Five-year-olds lead the six-year-olds 4-3 thus far, with just one contest having escaped their clutches to date.  Paul Nicholls has long since taken note of such ‘edges’ and RINGA DING DING can be fancied to become winner number 155 at Fontwell during Paul’s outstanding career, with the trainer boasting a 33% strike rate at this venue down the years.  Paul will not be losing any sleep over these rivals, the pick of which will probably prove to be fellow five-year-old SHILLINGSWORTH.

Favourite factor: Favourites have won six of the last seven renewals, whilst seven market leaders have finished in the frame via eight contests.  The only 'jolly' to miss out was a Paul Nicholls favourite which was sent off at the shortest price of all the favourites at 4/11.

 

4.00: Even though only five runners have been declared, this could arguably be considered the toughest race on the card, especially from a Placepot perspective given the nature of its ‘short field’ status.  All five runners have won within the last forty days to add interest to proceedings and my trio against the field consists of KINGS LAD, BUGSY MALONE and SHADY GLEN.  Confidence would grow for Kings Lad if plenty of rain fell at the West Sussex venue.  Although I have covered 60% of the field, I’m not overly confident about the outcome, a thought which would be extended should a non-runner rear its ugly head, turning the contest into a ‘win only’ event from a Placepot perspective.

Favourite factor: Only three of the six favourites have gained Placepot positions via one gold medal and two of the silver variety. That said, ten of the twelve available Placepot positions have been claimed by horses sent off at a top price of 7/1.

Fontwell record of the two course winners in the fourth event on the card:

1/3—Kings Lad (heavy)

3/9—Antony (2 x good & soft)

 

4.35: SOULSAVER is the second (and last) runner on the card for Anthony Honeyball who was mentioned earlier in despatches.  Anthony has saddled far more winners at Fontwell (35 in total) than at any other venue in the land and both of his runners here on Sunday boast obvious claims.  Offering a 50% strike rate at the track, SOULSAVER would not want the ground to become too soft but that said, his stamina would come into play which might negate the issue.  Others for consideration include ZOLTAN VARGA and CAPPIELOW PARK on the best of his form.

Favourite factor: Three of the four market leaders have claimed Placepot positions, statistics which include one successful (9/2**) favourite.

Fontwell record of the course winner in the fifth leg of our favourite wager:

2/4—Soulsaver (good & good to soft)

 

5.10: I’m banking on the some of the forecast rain to fall in selecting KILMURVY as one of my two ‘selections’ in the last leg, opting for QUICK N’EASY as my back-up horse with just two horses to offer, given that I used up plenty of Placepot positions in my permutation earlier on the card.  Never Learn is chosen as the reserve nomination.  If the ‘Almighty’ is not too busy ‘moving his furniture around’ on Sunday, s/he might insist on all of the ‘dead eight’ declarations taking part in what could otherwise become a nightmare finale.

Favourite factor: The inaugural 5/2 favourite snared a Placepot position behind the 16/1 winner, before last year’s 2/1 market leader failed to follow suit.

Fontwell record of the two course winners in the Placepot finale:

1/6—Roparta Avenue (good)

1/4—Hard To Rock (good to firm)

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

 

Placepot Pointers – Thursday 17th May

YORK – MAY 17

 

Corresponding toteplacepot dividends for the last seven years:

2017: £10.865.10 (6 favourites – No winners – 2 placed – 4 unplaced)

2016: £349.40 (10 favourites – 2 winners – 2 placed – 6 unplaced)

2015: £354.20 (6 favourite: 1 winner - 1 placed - 3 unplaced)

2014: £1,473.10 (6 favourite: No winners - 2 placed - 4 unplaced)

2013: £938.30 (6 favourite: 2 winners - 1 placed - 3 unplaced)

2012: £50.10 (9 favourite: 2 winners - 2 placed - 5 unplaced)

2011: £20.40 (6 favourite: 3 winners - 2 placed - 1 unplaced)

Average dividend: £2,007.23 - Favourite stats: 49 in total - 10 winners - 13 placed - 26 unplaced

 

Breakdown of the percentage of successful units in each Placepot race last year and the prices of the horses which finished in the frame – favourites which finished out of the Placepot positions are offered in brackets:

Race 1: 25.4% units went through – 13/2 – 12/1 – 10/1 (6/1)

Race 2: 6.1% of the remaining units when through – 11/1 (Win only – 11/8)

Race 3: 43.5% of the remaining units went through – 10/1 – 4/1* - 8/1

Race 4: 40.4% of the remaining units went through – 10/1 – 11/2* - 8/1 – 11/1

Race 5: 6.6% of the remaining units went through – 20/1 & 9/1 (5/6)

Race 6: 37.2% of the units secured the dividend – 5/1 – 10/1 – 9/2 (7/2)

 

Thursday's Placepot permutation at York: 

Leg 1 (2.20): 9 (East Street Revue), 17 (Royal Brave), 5 (Copper Knight) & 3 (Edward Lewis)

Leg 2 (2.55): 2 (Coronet) & 5 (Mori)

Leg 3 (3.30): 6 (Roaring Lion), 1 (Cross Baton) & 4 (Mildenburger)

Leg 4 (4.05): 5 (Original Choice) & 3 (Cape Byron)

Leg 5 (4.35): 8 (Roussel), 3 (Declarationofpeace) & 9 (Main Desire)

Leg 6 (5.05): 10 (True Belief) & 5 (Kessaar)

Suggested stake: 288 bets to 10p stakes

 

2.20: Eight of the ten winners have scored at 33/1-25/1-16/1-14/1-11/1-10/1-10/1-10/1 and if the trend of percentages (prices) is to be extended, we can expect a winner returned around the 10/1 mark.  The ‘official marks’ of the winners to date were 103-87-89-95-89-96-92-100-104-90 (average of 94).  Eight of the ten winners have carried a maximum burden of 9-3, whilst four of the last eight contests have been secured by seven-year-olds.  Putting all the stats and facts together produces a short list of EAST STREET REVUE (only horse running off 94 today), ROYAL BRAVE (pick of the two seven-year-olds) and COPPER KNIGHT.  The reserve nomination is awarded to EDWARD LEWIS.

Favourite factor: Six of the thirteen favourites have finished in the frame though we still await the first successful market leader.

Draw factor (five furlongs – most recent renewal listed first):

11-16-8 (12 ran-soft)

4-15-10-3 (17 ran-good to firm)

5-3-10 (15 ran-good)

4-12-10-11 (19 ran-good to soft)

5-15-6 (15 ran-good)

5-15-14-2 (16 ran-good)

9-8-16-11 (18 ran-good)

4-8-16-1 (16 ran-good to firm)

3-1-12 (15 ran-good)

1-3-10 (11 ran-good to firm)

York record of the eleven course winners in the opening race:

1/4—Gracious John (good)

1/3—Major Jumbo (good to soft)

1/3—Copper Knight (good)

1/1—Holmeswood (good)

1/8—Desert Law (good to soft)

2/6—East Street Revbue (2 x good)

1/13—Line Of Reason (good to firm)

1/4—George Dryden (good)

1/5—Excessable (good to firm)

1/5—Carlton Frankie (good)

1/5—Rosina (good to firm)

Your first 30 days for just £1

 

2.55: Four-year-olds have won 14 of the last 20 renewals of this contest, with five-year-olds having won the other six contests. The pair of six-year-olds (Chain Of Daisies and Smart Call) are passed over accordingly, hopefully leaving CORNET and MORI to dominate proceedings at the business end of the contest.  Horseplay is booked for the bronze medal from my viewpoint.

Favourite factor: 12 of the 21 favourites have secured Placepot positions during the study period, statistics which include eight winners.

York record of the course winner in the second event:

1/1—Chain Of Daisies (good to firm)

 

3.30: Four of the last 14 winners of the ‘Dante’ have gone on to win the Epsom Derby notwithstanding 33/1 winner Libertarian (2013) which finished second to Leader Of The Word at Epsom.  Throw in The Grey Gatsby (won the French Derby in 2014) and we can see why the 'Dante' remains a true Derby trial.  John Gosden has won the last two renewals of this event when represented and the popular trainer would surely have been coming to the gig on a four timer on this occasion but for Cracksman having been withdrawn twelve months ago because of the prevailing soft ground. John has declared ROARING LION (fifth in the 2000 Guineas recently) and CROSSED BATON, winner of his last three races, the last of which was the Epsom ‘trial’.  MILDENBURGER is a typical Mark Johnston terrier who will not go down without a fight, though WELLS FARHH GO might have needed softer conditions to slow down the opposition.  I’m not sure that James Cook will be good enough, despite this looking to be a slightly sub-standard field.

Favourite factor:  Five of the last 19 market leaders have obliged, whilst eleven of the 20 jollies have reached the frame during the study period.

York record of the course winner in the Dante Stakes:

2/2—Wells Farhh Go (2 x good to soft)

 

4.05: Four-year-olds have won ten of the last seventeen renewals, whilst eight of the last nine winners have carried a minimum burden of nine stones.  William Haggas snared a 21/1 double on yesterday’s card and the trainer boasts definite claims here with ORIGINAL CHOICE possessing ticks on both of the trend boxes.  CAPE BYRON appears to be the main threat, whilst ISOMER has an each way chance on the best of his form.

Favourite factor: 16 of the 25 market leaders have claimed Placepot positions (six winners).

Draw factor (eight furlongs):

12-1-9-13 (17 ran-soft)

16-8-5-11 (19 ran-good to firm)

1-6-17-7 (18 run-good)

1-4-3 (11 ran-good to soft)

16-14-11 (15 ran-good)

3-4-2 (11 ran-good)

8-7-6-2 (18 ran-good)

4-13-12 (10 ran-good to firm)

4-5-8 (15 ran-good)

3-4 (6 ran-good to firm)

4-11-7 (12 ran-good to soft)

8-4-6 (13 ran-soft)

12-5-11-17 (17 ran-good to soft)

11-8-1 (11 ran-good to firm)

1-8-7 (10 ran-good to firm)

10-1-6 (13 ran-good to firm)

7-2-4 (13 ran-firm)

6-9-1 (10 ran-soft)

York record of the course winner in the fourth contest on the card:

1/5—Custom Cut (good)

 

4.35: DECLARATIONOFPEACE looks to be the likeliest winner on the card for Aidan O’Brien having won two of his last three races to close out a decent juvenile season.  That said, we have least two home contenders with chances of keeping the prize this side of the Irish Sea, namely the ultra-consistent Charlie Appleby trained ROUSSEL and Michael Bel’s MAIN DESIRE, who could yet be anything following just two juvenile assignments.

Favourite factor: Four of the ten favourites (via nine renewals) have finished in the money to date, statistics which include three (10/3-4/6-4/5) winners.

Draw factor (five furlongs):

3-1 (5 ran-good to soft)

4-10-1 (9 ran-good to firm)

11-5-8 (10 ran-good)

2-6 (6 ran-good)

2-8 (5 ran-good to soft)

5-2 (6 ran-good)

1-7-8 (8 ran-good)

3-4-6 (9 ran-good to firm)

3-7-1 (8 ran-good)

York record of three course winners in the fifth contest:

1/1—Sound And Silence (good)

1/2—Hey Jonesy (good to soft)

1/1—Main Desire (soft)

 

5.05: The two runners currently at the head of the market look set to complete my Placepot permutation of the middle day for the meeting. There appears to be plenty of confidence in both TRUE BELIEF (Charlie Appleby) and KESSAAR (John Gosden) and unless jungle drums have been beating about any of the other contenders when I have had my headphones on (which I might have missed accordingly), I’ll settle for this pair against the remaining eight entries.

Favourite factor: 17 of the last 20 winners have been returned at odds of 8/1 or less, whilst eight favourites have obliged.  13 of the last 19 market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions.

Draw factor (six furlongs):

6-10-9 (8 ran-good to soft)

1-3-9 (9 ran-good to firm)

13-3-7 (12 ran-good)

1-6-8 (8 ran-good)

10-13-1 (14 ran-good to soft)

4-5-2 (13 ran-good)

5-2-12 (11 ran-good)

6-12-1 (16 ran-good to firm)

3-1-4 (10 ran-good)

6-3-5 (13 ran-good to soft)

4-1 (7 ran-soft)

6-3-10 (11 ran-soft)

6-5-11 (11 ran-good to soft)

6-2 (5 ran-good to firm)

7-8-6 (10-good to firm)

2-3-11 (15 ran-good to firm)

1-9-6 (13 ran-firm)

9-10-3 (9 ran-soft)

7-6 (7 ran-good)

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

 

 

 

Placepot Pointers – Wednesday 9th May

CHESTER – MAY 9 

 

Seven year Placepot details on day one of the Chester May meeting:

2017: £25.70 (6 favourites – 2 winners – 2 placed – 2 unplaced

2016: £31.30 (8 favourites – 3 winners – 2 placed – 3 unplaced)

2015: £16.30 (7 favourites: 2 winners - 3 placed - 2 unplaced)

2014: £68.70 (6 favourites: 1 winner - 2 placed - 3 unplaced)

2013: £1,492.00 (8 favourites: 1 winner - 1 placed - 6 unplaced)

2012: £110.00 (8 favourites: 2 winners - 3 placed - 3 unplaced)

2011: £69.60 (7 favourites: 3 winners - 1 placed - 3 unplaced)

Average dividend: £259.09 - 50 favourites - 14 winners - 14 placed - 22unplaced

 

Breakdown of the percentage of successful units in each Placepot race last year and the prices of the horses which finished in the frame – favourites which finished out of the Placepot positions are offered in brackets:

Race 1: 29.5% units went through – 4/1 – 12/1 – 11/2 (2/1)

Race 2: 84.6% of the remaining units when through – 2/1 & Evens*

Race 3: 65.8% of the remaining units went through – 2/1* - 4/1 – 10/1

Race 4: 29.6% of the remaining units went through – 16/1 – 9/1 – 25/1 – 5/1 (4/1) – This race was the Chester Cup which is being contested on Friday this year

Race 5: 62.7% of the remaining units went through – 15/2 – Evens* - 12/1

Race 6: 91.9% of the units secured the dividend – 2/1* - 9/2 – 11/4

 

Wednesday's Placepot permutation at Chester: 

Leg 1 (1.50): 6 (Linou), 8 (Sir Prancealot) & 5 (Kinks)

Leg 2 (2.25): 7 (Magic Wand) & 1 (Award Winning)

Leg 3 (3.00): 1 (Spoof), 2 (Looks A Million) & 8 (Showmethedough)

Leg 4 (3.35): 4 (Hunting Horn) & 5 (Ispolini)

Leg 5 (4.05): 1 (Argentello) & 2 (Baritone)

Leg 6 (4.35): 7 (Last Page), 5 (Requinto Dawn), 4 (Mr Top Hat) & 6 (Ginbar)

Suggested stake: 288 bets to 10p stakes

 

1.50 ('Lily Agnes'): Potentially, this is the second largest field for the ‘Lily Agnes’ during the last twenty years whereby the draw (heavily favouring low numbers) could well play an important role.  That said (explaining why bookmakers make vast profits year on year) the 2013 result of horses drawn 8-9-10 filling the frame in a twelve runner field defied belief at the time.  The following year, the winner was boxed 10/10 so don’t get too carried away with what media ‘experts’ will be telling you today!  SIR PRANCEALOT is drawn out in stall eight but there has been money for the David Evans trained raider, whilst it’s worth noting that no handler has bettered his score of saddling two winners in the race during the last decade.  That all said, her stable companion LIHOU looks the more obvious winner on paper and there was plenty of (realistic) money in the positive queue on the exchanges at the time of writing.  If David and his team is to be denied this time around, KINKS could prove to be the joker in the pack, despite being housed out in the card park.  I see no value in No Lippy who is a top price of just 2/1 as dawn breaks.  Trap four is a superior position to break from, though only if you have enough pace to bag the rail, especially with Mark Johnston only having scored with one of his last eighteen runners.  No Lippy won well at Doncaster at the first time of asking but at 13/8 in places, those layers are suggesting that Mark’s February foal has a 38% chance of winning.  That scenario looks far too tight for my liking.

Favourite factor: 14 of the 22 market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions (eight winners) during the last nineteen years.  Seventeen of the last nineteen winners have scored at 9/1 or less.

Draw factor' (five furlongs – most recent results at the top):

3-4-8 (10 ran-good)

5-4 (7 ran-good to soft)

2-1-3 (9 ran-good to soft)

10-9-3 (10 ran-good)

8-9-10 (12 ran-good to firm)

4-2-8 (8 ran-soft)

2-7-3 (9 ran-good to firm)

5-3 (7 ran--good)

5-7-2 (8 ran--good to firm)

2-5 (6 ran--good)

3-1 (7 ran-good to firm)

5-2 (7 ran-good to firm)

1-2-6 (10 ran-good to soft)

1-2-3 (9 ran-good to soft)

1-7 (7 ran-good)

3-2-4 (9 ran-good to firm)

8-1-2 (9 ran-good to firm)

2-5 (7 ran-good)

5-1-3 (9 ran-good to firm)

2-1 (7 ran-good)

 

2.25 ('Cheshire Oaks'): Aidan O’Brien has won this event five times during the last decade, though the trainer adds confusion into the scenario on this occasion having declared three runners. Not all of Aidan’s winners have looked at ease around the twists and turns of the Roodee but that said, most of them have done what was asked of them and it will come as no surprise if the trainer lands his third victory in the last four years.  MAGIC WAND and TOGETHER FOREVER are expected to represent the Irish maestro to best effect here, though John Godsen stopped the bandwagon in is tracks last year with Enabled, whereby the chance of AWARD WINNING is respected.  I’m not suggesting for a moment that John’s Dubawi filly will live up to her stable companion by any means but that said, there was a lot to like about her successful raid at Wetherby at the second time of asking recently.  Shailene could outrun her 14/1 quote if you’re looking for a big priced individual to give you a decent run from a win and place perspective.

Favourite factor: 17 of the 23 favourites have claimed toteplacepot positions (ten winners) during the study period.

Draw factor: (twelve furlongs):

3-2 (7 ran-good)

6-3-4 (8 ran-good)

2-7-3 (10 ran-good to soft)

2-4-9 (9 ran-good)

7-9-6 (10 ran-good to firm)

6-2-1 (9 ran-soft)

8-1-3 (9 ran-good to firm)

6-4 (7 ran--good)

2-6 (7 ran--good to firm)

4-1-2 (9 ran--good)

4-6-11 (11 ran-good to firm)

1-10-2 (12 ran-good to firm)

Your first 30 days for just £1

4-3 (6 ran-good to soft)

1-2-4 (9 ran-good to soft)

6-7-4 (9 ran-good to firm)

4-1 (5 ran-good to firm)

3-1 (7 ran-good to firm)

1-4 (5 ran-good)

7-6-9 (9 ran-good to firm)

6-2-8 (8 ran-good)

 

3.00: Although this is a new race for reasons stated in the ‘favourite factor’ below, the draw stats are worth perusing. Only on four occasions during the last 20 years has a runner emerging from either trap one or stall number two failed to gain a Placepot position in this event. Even though that scenario occurred for the fourth time in 2013, the next stall (three) housed the 12/1 winner.  The haul of just four gold medals in the process is nothing to write home about but the Placepot stat is impressive given that an average of 13 horses have contested the race during the study period. Whether the fact that the ages of the horses will make a great deal of difference relating to the draw or not, my trio against the field consists of SPOOF (trap three), LOOKS A MILLION (1) and SHOWMETHEDOUGH (4)

Favourite factor: This is classed as a new race because having been open to horses of all ages in the past, the contest is now confined to three-year-olds.

I have left the following draw factor in however, just to give you a feel of the handicap scenario over the minimum trip.

Draw factor: (five furlongs):

1-2-6 (9 ran-good)

3-1-6 (14 ran-good)

4-8-2 (11 ran-good to soft)

4-1-7 (12 ran-good)

3-5-8 (13 ran-good to firm)

2-7-9 (14 ran-soft)

7-9-13 (13 ran-good to firm)

3-7-5 (13 ran--good)

4-1-6 (12 ran--good to firm)

7-2-8 (14 ran--good)

6-7-4 (13 ran-good)

2-4-8 (15 ran-good to firm)

6-1-4 (14 ran-good to soft)

4-2-1 (14 ran-good to soft)

1-5-6 (14 ran-good to firm)

3-1-5-13 (16 ran-good to firm)

8-2-5 (12 ran-good to firm)

6-4-1 (12 ran-good)

6-1-2 (10 ran-good to firm)

4-2-3 (8 ran-good to firm)

Chester record of the two course winners in the third event:

1/1—Billy Dillon (good to soft)

1/1—Porchy Party (heavy)

 

3.35 (Chester Vase): Aidan O’Brien has won eight of the last eleven renewals and the trainer obviously intends to snare the swag here being responsible for three of the ten declarations.  I invariably question the thoughts of the trainer in such circumstances because I have to believe that Aidan is not convinced that he has a definite winner within the quartet, having paid the expenses for the others to travel over from Ireland.  That said, Aidan comes to the gig on a six-timer whereby HUNTING HORN demands to be included in the Placepot mix from my viewpoint.  Plenty of interesting horses take the Irish raiders on however, with ISPOLINI slightly preferred to Young Rascal as the main hope to prize the swag away from Aidan on behalf of the home team.

Favourite factor: 12 of the 20 market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions during the last 16 years, statistics which include seven (3/1-7/4- 6/4-11/8-10/11-4/9) winners.

 

4.05: Well fancied runners have (aside from the 2015 result) performed well in this event and we appear to have a two horse race to consider, with ARGENTELLO and BARITONE having been declared.  Hailing from the powerful respective stables of John Gosden and Sir Michael Stoute, I cannot believe that both horses will finish out of the frame.  If you fancy that an upset could be on the cards, Soldier To Follow could be worth an each way interest.

Favourite factor: 14 of the last 18 winners have scored at 3/1 or less. Favourites have won ten of the last thirteen contests, whilst 17 of the last 21 jollies have secured Placepot positions.  Those stats include the 1/6 (Aidan O'Brien trained) favourite in 2015, though the market leader could only finished second behind an 8/1 winner!

Draw factor' (ten furlongs):

3-4-5 (9 ran-good)

4-2 (5 ran-good)

3-8 (7 ran-good to soft)

8-1-4 (11 ran-good)

7-11-6 (12 ran-good to firm)

11-7-2 (13 ran-soft)

6-3-8-9 (9 ran-good to firm)

2-8 (7 ran--good)

10-1-7 (11 ran--good to firm)

2-4-5 (9 ran--good)

4-10-1 (11 ran-good)

7-3-8 (9 ran-good to firm)

6-1 (6 ran-good to soft)

3-1-2 (8 ran-good to soft)

6 (4 ran-good to firm)

7-4 (7 ran-good to firm)

1-5 (6 ran-good to firm)

4-1 (5 ran-good)

2-3-1 (8 ran-good to firm)

5-8-3 (10 ran-good)

 

4.35: 14 of the last 19 winners have carried weights of nine stones or less and LAST PAGE could create a first and last Placepot double for David Evans.  REQUINTO DAWN was the beaten favourite in the ‘Lily Agnes’ twelve months ago and Richard Fahey’s representative comes here with and place claims in this grade/company.  MR TOP HAT and GINBAR make up my short list against the field.  Rain is scheduled to arrive at around three o’clock according to the radar I have just spied and softening ground could give GINBAR a realistic chance of going well at around the 20/1 mark, despite his stall 12 positon.

Favourite factor: 13 of the 23 favourites have claimed toteplacepot positions (six winners) during the study period.

Draw factor' (six furlongs):

1-2-4 (10 ran-good)

5-6-7 (11 ran-good)

9-2-6 (12 ran-soft)

9-7-1 (12 ran-soft)

2-5-3 (12 ran-good to soft)

8-9-7 (11 ran-soft)

6-10-9 (13 ran-good to firm)

6-2-11 (11 ran-good to soft)

1-2-5 (11 ran--good to firm)

2-11-3 (12 ran--good to firm)

6-8-1 (10 ran-good)

9-4-6 (10 ran-good to firm)

12-13-7 (14 ran-good to soft)

1-5-6 (14 ran-soft)

1-4-6 (14 ran-good to firm)

2-6-8 (15 ran-good to firm)

12-9-16-15 (16 ran-good to firm)

6-1-5-12 (16 ran-good)

9-11-3 (15 ran-good to firm)

1-12-8-6 (16 ran-good)

Chester record of the course winner in the Placepot finale:

1/2—Finbar (heavy)

 

Record of the six course winners in the 7th (non Placepot) race scheduled for 5.05:

1/2—Roaring Forties (good)

1/2—Kenstone (good)

1/13—Intransigent (good to soft)

1/3—Right Touch (soft)

1/1—Roll On Rory (soft)

1/16—Alejandro (good to firm)

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Placepot Pointers – Friday 20th April

NEWBURY – APRIL 20

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2017: £79.90 (7 favourites – 3 winners – 2 placed – 2 unplaced)

 

Breakdown of the percentage of successful units in each Placepot race last year and the prices of the horses which finished in the frame – favourites which finished out of the Placepot positions are offered in brackets:

Race 1: 61.8% units went through – 10/3* - 7/1 – 5/1

Race 2: 77.3% of the remaining units when through – 11/4** - 5/1 – 11/4**

Race 3: 71.8% of the remaining units went through – 5/4* & 7/2

Race 4: 16.2% of the remaining units went through – 4/1 – 28/1 – 10/1 (9/4)

Race 5: 55.5% of the remaining units went through – 25/1 – 7/4* - 14/1

Race 6: 29.6% of the units secured the dividend – 11/2 & 4/1 (15/8)

 

Friday's Placepot permutation at Newbury: 

Leg 1 (1.50): 2 (Dave Dexter), 9 (Well Done Fox) & 1 (Azor Ahai)

Leg 2 (2.25): 6 (Qaysar), 11 (Tallow) & 8 (Rogue)

Leg 3 (3.00): 10 (Lah Ti Dah) & 1 (Arcadian Cat)

Leg 4 (3.35): 6 (A Monetofmadness), 2 (Just Glamorous) & 7 (Blue De Vega)

Leg 5 (4.05): 2 (Jukebox Jive), 9 (Champagne Champ) & 6 (Injam)

Leg 6 (4.35): 6 (Tigre Du Terre) & 4 (Bombyx)

Suggested stake: 324 bets to 10p stakes

 

Your first 30 days for just £1

1.50: Ralph Beckett cannot do a great deal wrong at present (recent ratio of 6/16) though his first time out runners in the juvenile sector during the last five years offer a strike rate of just 11% via five winners.  That said, this does not appear to be the strongest of two-year-old contests by Newbury standards whereby Ralph’s Stimulation colt DAVE DEXTER is included in the Placepot mix.  The money (what there was of it overnight) was for WELL DONE FOX, whilst AZOR AHAI completes my trio against the remaining seven runners.

Favourite factor: Two favourites have prevailed during the last nine contests, whilst seven of the last eight gold medallists have been returned in single figures and at 10/1, the other winner during the ‘recent’ period could hardly have been classed as an extreme outsider.

 

2.25: With Richard Hannon having struck form of late and holding a decent chance in the opener with Well Done Fox, the trainer will be fancying his chances of extending the good run here, having declared both QAYSAR (dual winner from just three starts) and ROGUE who is the lone course winner in the line up.   The latter named raider looks a tad overpriced at 20/1 in a few places at the time of writing, albeit Richard’s Choisir colt QAYSAR deserves his place at the head of the market at the time of writing.  Arguably, I should not eliminate stable companion Oliver Reed from my list but I fancy the afore mentioned pair today.  TALLOW is the only horse from the current market front runners to have won on turf which is obviously a positive pointer towards the William Haggas raider.

Favourite factor: Four of the last seven winners have scored at a top price of 5/1, though those stats only include one successful market leader.  Indeed, the last two gold medallists scored at 25/1 and 14/1, whilst just four of the last eleven favourites have secured Placepot positions.

Record of the course winner in the second event on the card:

1/3—Rogue (good)

 

3.00: Markets like this can prove volatile and whispers emerge almost as soon as the gates open at a venue such as Newbury.  That said, there has to be some significance in the declaration of John Gosden’s Dubawi filly LAH TI DAH who is on offer at 33/1 for the Epsom Oaks as I pen this column.  John has enjoyed tremendous success at this meeting in recent years, yet Frankie’s mount is the only stable representative on the card this afternoon.  The experience already gained by ARCADIAN CAT could take Ralph Beckett’s Kittens Joy filly into the frame again.

Favourite factor: Although only two market leaders have prevailed via ten renewals during the last eleven years, nine gold medallists have scored at a top price of 7/1 during the study period.  Six renewals have slipped by without a successful favourite being recorded, whilst only one of the last four jollies has reached the frame.

 

3.35: Five-year-olds have won five of the last eight renewals and three of the five relevant entries today make appeal in one way or another, namely A MOMENTOFMADNESS, JUST GLAMOROUS and BLUE DE VEGA.  The trio is listed in order of preference at the time of writing.  That said, the each way 9/1 price of JUST GLAMOROUS is ‘winning the day’ as I consider a bet in this event aside from our favourite wager which covers the first six races on the card.  Most unusually, Ron Harris runs nine horses on the day, though only Just Glamorous has been directed towards Newbury, the other eight contenders all plying their trade at Bath this evening.  For the record, Ron has saddled three of his last nine runners to winning effect.

Favourite factor: The last six winners have been returned at a top price of 6/1, statistics which include two winning favourites. That said, the other four recent market leaders all finished out with the washing.

 

4.05: Three each way types grab my attention in this event who are listed in order of preference as JUKEBOX JIVE, CHAMPAGNE CHAMP and INJAM.  Anthony Honeyball’s first named raider has the assistance of John Egan in the saddle and this underrated pilot can add another winner to his tally which has largely gone unnoticed down the years.  If you look through the record books, you will surprised just how many trainers use this jockey, resulting in really impressive strike rates for the said handlers of which Anthony is one.

Favourite factor: The inaugural 11/4 joint favourites snared gold and bronze medals last year alongside Placepot positions.

Record of the two course winners in the fifth race:

1/1—Jukebox Jive (good to soft)

1/1—Keep In Line (soft)

 

4.40: John Gosden has won the last three renewals of this event and the fact that the trainer is not represented this time around has been received as a major blow.  Upwards and onward however by suggesting that the connections of TIGRE DU TERRE and BOMBYX are the likeliest beneficiaries this time around.

Favourite factor: Just two favourites have prevailed via ten renewals during the last eleven years.  That said, the last five winners have scored at a top price of 4/1.

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Placepot Pointers – Friday 6th April

FONTWELL – APRIL 6

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2017: £98.00 (6 favourites – 1 winner – 2 placed – 3 unplaced)

 

Breakdown of the percentage of successful units in each Placepot race last year and the prices of the horses which finished in the frame – favourites which finished out of the Placepot positions are offered in brackets:

Race 1: 60.4% units went through – 8/13* (Win only)

Race 2: 47.5% of the remaining units when through – 9/2 & 10/3 (11/4)

Race 3: 88.3% of the remaining units went through – 11/4, 7/4* & 10/1

Race 4: 17.4% of the remaining units went through – 3/1 (Win only – 5/4 favourite unplaced)

Race 5: 71.3% of the remaining units went through – 9/2, 11/4* & 10/1

Race 6: 23.7% of the units secured the dividend – 11/2 & 7/2 (9/4)

 

* THE BREAKDOWN OF THE RACE BY RACE DETAILS RELATING TO YESTERDAY’S MAGNIFICENT £81,874.10 PLACEPOT DIVIDEND AT WOLVERHAMPTON CAN BE FOUND AT THE FOOT OF THIS COLUMN!  - Best of luck today!

 

Friday's Placepot permutation at Fontwell: 

Leg 1 (2.05): 8 (Kastani Beach), 5 (Goldslinger) & 11 (Dragon Khan)

Leg 2 (2.35): 2 (Wizards Bridge), 4 (Bears Rails) & 3 (Crank Em Up)

Leg 3 (3.10): 3 (Duke Of Kilcorral) & 1 (Larry)

Leg 4 (3.40): 2 (Atlantic Roller), 1 (Clondaw Westie) & 3 (Le Coeur Net)

Leg 5 (4.15): 2 (Present Times), 1 (Kings Lad) & 8 (Norse Legend)

Leg 6 (4.50): 3 (Very Live) & 5 (Burgess Dream)

Suggested stake: 324 bets to 10p stakes

 

2.05: Overnight money has arrived for a few ‘outsiders’ in this contest, the pick of which might prove to be KASTANI BEACH and GOLDSLINGER.  DRAGON KHAN is slightly preferred to Be Daring of those towards the head of the market at the time of writing.  The concession of weight might prove too much for Chris Gordon’s raider, despite the useful claim of Harry Reed.  If you fancy a clean sweep for bookmakers in the contest, Welluptoscratch is not without an each way chance.

Your first 30 days for just £1

 

2.35: Colin Tizzard puts a spanner in works having declared both WIZARDS BRIDGE and BEARS RAILS.  The pair are listed in marginal order of preference though with a potential ‘win only’ contest on our hands (in the event of a withdrawal), I’m adding CRANK EM UP into the Placepot mix.

Record of the three course winners in the second race:

2/5—Leo Luna (good & heavy)

3/5—Wizards Bridge (Good – soft – heavy)

1/1—Bears Rails (soft)

 

3.10: Despite the ground concerns, course winner LARRY demands respect though having gone well on heavy going recently, DUKE OF KILCORRAL is the call. In the absence of any interest in the potential outsiders, Illtellmema looks booked for third spot from my viewpoint.

Record of the course winner in the field:

1/2—Larry (good to soft)

 

3.40: Just the three runners have been declared and with Anthony Honeyball saddling the ‘outsider’ of the party here, I’m adding all three declarations into the Placepot mix.  In order of preference, the trio is listed as ATLANTIC ROLLER, CLONDAW WESTIE and LE COEUR NET.

Record of the two course winners in the fourth contest on the card:

1/2—Clondaw Westie (heavy)

1/3—Atlantic Roller (heavy)

 

4.15: As a winner of two of his seven races on heavy ground, PRESENT TIMES is the win and place call in another trappy race on the Fontwell card.  It’s great to have turf racing back in the mix, though I will be relieved to have got through to the last leg if I have survived the minefield thus far. Others aiding and abetting the cause (hopefully) include Colin Tizzard’s value for money pair, KINGS LAD and NORSE LEGEND.

Record of the two course winners in the fifth race:

1/1—Kings Lad (heavy)

1/8—Occasionally Yours (soft)

 

4.50: VERY LIVE and BURGESS DREAM are the tentative dio to land the Placepot dividend between them, hoping for a few upsets along the way to produce another mind blowing Placepot dividend, as was the case yesterday!

Record of the course winner in the Placepot finale:

4/15—Try Catch Me (3 x good & good to soft)

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

BREAKDOWN OF THE RACE BY RACE DETAILS RELATING TO YESTERDAY’S MAGNIFICENT £81,874.10 PLACEPOT DIVIDEND AT WOLVERHAMPTON!

Dividend paid: £81,874.10 (7 favourites – 2 winners – 1 placed – 4 unplaced) – Prices of unplaced favourites are listed in brackets - Second highest Placepot dividend in UK history in 40+ years – the bet originated in South Africa:

Race 1: 39.4% units went through – 9/2, 14/1, 9/2 (4/1)

Race 2: 29.2% of the remaining units when through – 13/8* & 6/1

Race 3: 43.7% of the remaining units went through – 2/1 * 7/2

Race 4: 32.9% of the remaining units went through – 11/1 & 5/2** (5/2**)

Race 5: 0.7% of the remaining units went through – 12/1 (Win only – 11/10 favourite unplaced)

Race 6: 8.3% of the units secured the dividend – 5/1 & 9/1 (6/4)

 

Placepot Pointers – Saturday 17th March

KEMPTON – MARCH 17

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2017: £108.60 (9 favourites – 3 winners – 2 placed – 4 unplaced)

 

Breakdown of the percentage of successful units in each Placepot race last year and the prices of the horses which finished in the frame – favourites which finished out of the Placepot positions are listed in brackets:

Race 1: 39.6% units went through – 8, 11/4* & 12/1

Race 2: 19.6% of the remaining units when through – 4/1 – win only (9/4)

Race 3: 46.9% of the remaining units went through – 8/1, 13/2, 12/1, 12/1 (11/2)

Race 4: 40.8% of the remaining units went through – 9/2****, 9/2**** & 5/1 (2 x 9/2****)

Race 5: 48.5% of the remaining units went through – 7/4*, 4/1 & 9/1

Race 6: 97.4% of the units secured the dividend – 4/7*, 12/1 & 6/1

 

Saturday's Placepot permutation at Kempton: 

Leg 1 (1.30): 5 (Grapevine), 8 (Sao) & 4 (Going Gold)

Leg 2 (2.05): 2 (Copain De Classe) & 3 (Kayf Blanco)

Leg 3 (2.40): 4 (Azzerti), 3 (Kildisart) & 1 (Zubayr)

Leg 4 (3.15): 1 (Bun Doran), 2 (Kilcrea Vale) & 5 (Cepage)

Leg 5 (3.50): 2 (Chosen Path) & 1 (Champagne Champ)

Leg 6 (4.25): 9 (Invicta Lake) & 3 (Allee Bleue)

Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Saturday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page

 

1.30: Six-year-olds lead the five-year-olds 6-4 via eleven contests to date and with GOING GOLD on offer at 18/1 (Bet365) this morning, Richard Hobson’s Gold Well gelding offers some value in the opening event on the card, certainly from a Placepot perspective at least.  Paul Nicholls (maintaining his good trend on the last day of the Cheltenham Festival) saddles the first of his seven runners on the card (SAO) after snaring a 220/1 double at Prestbury Park on Friday.  That all said, Nicky Henderson has won the last three renewals of this race when represented, whereby GRAPEVINE is the first name on the team sheet.

Favourite factor: Nine of the eleven favourites have secured Placepot positions thus far, statistics which include five winners.  Seven of the eleven winners have been sent off at odds of 7/4 or less though it’s not all good news as far as short priced horses in the race are concerned.  A Paul Nicholls 1/10 chance was beaten by the minimum margin by a 16/1 outsider nine years ago.

Record of the course winner in the opening event:

Your first 30 days for just £1

1/1—Mere Ironmonger (good)

 

2.05: Six of the last eight winners have carried a minimum burden on 10-13 which narrows the ‘short field’ contest from five down the three if you take the weight trend seriously.  Given that the handicapper might have caught up with Deauville Dancer now, we are left with COPAIN DE CLASSE and KAYF BALNCO to assess.  I’m going to leave that to you to evaluate from a win perspective, suffice to say that both horses figure in my Placepot permutation.  New readers might want to know that the term 'short field' relates to a race which is contested by 5/6/7 runners, whereby just the first and second horses 'qualify' from toteplacepot/each way perspectives.

Favourite factor: Five of the twelve market leaders have secured Placepot positions, stats which include four winning favourites.

Record of the course winner in the second race:

1/3—Kayf Blanco

 

2.40: Might Bite won this event two years ago, though the chances of finding a Gold Cup contender this time around (let alone the favourite for the Blue Riband event) is slim to put it mildly.  Upwards and onward by suggesting that AZZERTI and KILDISART stand out from the crowd here, especially as all four winners to date carried a minimum burden of 11-6.  Course winner ZUBAYR is added into the mix, despite the fact that the relevant claimer will take the weight down to 11-5 if Lorcan Williams resists an almighty fry-up this morning!

Favourite factor: We still await the first winning favourite via four contests to date, whilst two market leaders have finished in the frame (exact science).

Record of the course winner in the third contest:

1/1—Zubayr (good to soft)

 

3.15: The ten runners that Tom George subsequently saddled after the trainer landed the opening race of the Cheltenham Festival were all beaten, albeit eight of those inmates were sent off at 20/1 or more.  That puts matters into perspective whereby I will be adding Tom’s raider BUN DORAN into the mix, alongside Nicky Henderson’s consistent eight-year-old KILCREA VALE, especially as two of the last three winners of this contest have carried a minimum burden of 11-7.  Tom saddled last year’s winner for good measure.  The alternative each way option is CEPAGE at around the 16/1 mark.

Favourite factor: Search parties are still out looking for five unplaced favourites via four renewals thus far, albeit two of the four co-favourites twelve months ago filled the forecast positions at when sent off at 9/2.

Record of the course winner in the field:

1/5—Favorito Buck’s (good)

 

3.50: Six-year-olds have won six of the nine renewals to date, with five-year-olds mopping up the other four contests.  A few of these could have scrambled into a race at the Festival I guess, with six-year-old CHAMPAGNE CHAMP being one them.  That said, Alan King has won two renewals of late and his raider CHOSEN PATH looks to be the horse to beat this afternoon.

Favourite factor: Nine of the ten favourites have finished in the frame, stats which include four successful market leaders.

 

4.25: INVICTA LAKE has failed to win in over three years now though his Placepot potential in this grade/company is there for all to see.  A similar comment applies to ALLEE BLEUE I guess in a disappointing Placepot finale.

Favourite factor: Five of the seven favourites to date have secured three gold medals and two of the silver variety, securing Placepot positions along the way.

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Specific trainer details for Kempton on Saturday:

7 runners—Paul Nicholls (Stats: Current season: 13/34 – Five year: 40/173)

Sao (1.30), Copain De Classe (2.05), Zubayr (2.40), Orbasa & Favorito Back’s (3.15), Cearel Killer (3.50) & Rhythm Is A Dancer (5.00)

3 runners—Nicky Henderson (Stats: 12/44 & 62/230)

Grapevine (1.30), Kilcrea Vale (3.15) & Mister Fisher (5.00)

Dan Skelton will be hoping for a change of luck as the trainer offers stats this season of 0/25 at the Sunbury circuit, with a record of 8/109 during the last five years – 6 runners today

Colin Tizzard (out of interest) does not have any runners (anywhere) until Monday after his exploits at Cheltenham yesterday.  Do you suppose that the trainer knew that he was going to have to put some time aside for celebrations this weekend?  Happy St Patrick’s Day!

 

General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:

Fontwell: £91.70 – 7 favourites – 3 winners – 2 placed – 2 unplaced

Uttoxeter: £152.70 – 6 favourites – 2 winners & 4 unplaced

Wolverhampton: £139.60 – 6 favourites – 2 winners – 1 placed – 3 unplaced

 

Stat of the Day, 7th March 2018

Tuesday's Result :

2.20 Lingfield : Something Lucky @ 2/1 BOG WON at 11/8 Restless in stalls, dwelt tracked leader, joined leader over 1f out, pushed along to lead narrowly inside final furlong, ran on to win by a head.

Next up is Wednesday's...

3.40 Fontwell :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Cabernet D'Alene @ 3/1 BOG

A Class 3, 2m3.5f handicap hurdle on good to soft ground worth £6,238 to the winner...

Why?

This 6 yr old gelding is 4 from 9 over hurdles over the last 12 months, handles pretty much any sort of ground and although now trying 2m3.5f for the first time, is 2 from 3 at 2m3f over the last years including a win by 11 lengths last time out (7 weeks ago) on heavy ground, so stamina won't be the issue here.

He's trained by Nick Williams (under-rated in my opinion), who is having the time of it with his handicap hurdlers of late with 13 winners from 72 (18.1% SR) generating profits of 80.2pts (+111.4% ROI) since the start of 2017 with the following of relevance today...

  • 4-6 yr olds are 11/55 (20%) for 91.26pts (+165.9%)
  • those last seen 16-90 days ago are 12/53 (22.6%) for 90.3pts (+170.4%)
  • over trips of 2m to 2m4f : 8/33 (24.2%) for 83.4pts (+252.7%)
  • and on good to soft ground : 5/15 (33.3%) for 79.4pts (+529.1%)

Now, Lizzie Kelly & Chester Williams are Nick's usual go-to jockeys in these races, but today's deputy Sam Twiston-Davies is (a) no mug, (b) 1 from 1 of those 72 runners above, (c) in great form : 5 wins and 4 places from 16 rides over the last two weeks and (d) very adept around this track, winning 25 of 94 (26.6% SR) here at Fontwell since 2012.

And lastly (for now!), this horse was sired by Day Flight, whose offspring are 20/81 (24.7% SR) for 29.8pts (+36.8% ROI) since the start of 2015...

...but for now, it's just...a 1pt win bet on Cabernet D'Alene @ 3/1 BOG which was available from Bet365, Betway & Skybet at 5.30pm on Tuesday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 3.40 Fontwell

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Placepot Pointers – Sunday 25th February

FONTWELL – FEBRUARY 25

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2017: £239.20 (7 favourites: 3 winners – 1 one placed – 3 unplaced)

 

Sunday's Placepot permutation at Fontwell: 

Leg 1 (2.20): 3 (The Unit), 2 (Copain De Classe) & 1 (Space Oddity)

Leg 2 (2.50): 5 (Brown Bear), 9 (Moneystown) & 1 (Fergal Mael Duin)

Leg 3 (3.20): 5 (Dr Des), 1 (Lil Rockerfeller) & 2 (Old Guard)

Leg 4 (3.55): 10 (Niblawi) & 3 (Aptly Put)

Leg 5 (4.25): 2 (Unioniste)

Leg 6 (4.55): 9 (Roll Of The Dice), 10 (Quiz Master) & 4 (Cintex)

Suggested stake: 162 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Sunday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page

 

2.20: Much depends not only on the result of the 8.00 inspection at Fontwell later this morning but also on the participation of THE UNIT after yesterday’s gallop around Kempton which witnessed some indifferent jumping relating to Alan King’s potential raider.  Either way, I’m including Alan’s seven-year-old Gold Well representative in the Placepot mix because in the event of THE UNIT being withdrawn, the relevant Placepot support would be transferred onto the favourite.  Quite which one of the two remaining horses would be returned as the market leader is open to debate, albeit COPAIN DE CLASSE is slightly shorter than SPACE ODDITY in most lists in the dead of night.

Favourite factor: Both (1/5 & 10/11) favourites have obliged to date.

 

2.50: Seven and eight-year-olds have (equally) share six of the seven renewals to date and with one representative of each vintage having been declared on this occasion, both BROWN BEAR and MONEYSTOWN are included in the Placepot mix in a race which could produce the type of result which creates a decent dividend.  I made the same comment in a race at Kempton yesterday before 56% of the units were lost, the type of result which is required on any card to offer encouragement to play our favourite wager.  FERGAL MAEL DUIN is added into the mix; given that Colin Tizzard is the only trainer to have saddled two winners of this event down the years. Although Linda Jewell’s stats at Fontwell are not anything to write home about (see relevant figures at the foot of the analysis), it’s worth noting that the trainer secured a 98/1 double on this corresponding card four years ago and Moneystown arguably offers the best claims of Linda’s four runners today.

Favourite factor:  Six of the seven market leaders have claimed Placepot positions, statistics which include four (5/2-2/1-2/1-5/2) winners.

Record of the course winners in the second race on the card:

2/6—Fergal Mael Duin (good to soft & soft)

3/8—Brown Bear (2 x good & good to firm)

2/4—Stoical Patient (2 x good)

1/1—Spock (good)

 

3.20: LIL ROCKERFELLER returns to defend her crown having scored by nine lengths under yielding conditions two years ago.  Neil King’s fine servant was due to contest the race last year before being withdrawn (off colour) and equipped with blinkers here after a slightly disappointing effort the last day, Trevor Whelan’s mount should be there or thereabouts turning for home.  Paul Nicholls attempts to win the race for third time in seven years with OLD GUARD, whilst DR DES represents Henry Oliver who has saddled three of his last four runners to winning effect.

Favourite factor: Ten of the nineteen market leaders have claimed Placepot positions thus far, statistics which include seven winners. The biggest priced winner during the study period was returned at just 9/1, save for a 16/1 gold medallist which scored four years ago.

Your first 30 days for just £1

Record of the course winners in the third contest:

1/1—Lil Rockerfeller (good to soft)

 

3.55: NIBLAWI is the subject of some substantial realistic money in the positive queue on the exchanges at the time of writing and with (arguably) only APTLY PUT to beat in a disappointing turn out, the potential cash could prove to be well invested.  From a Placepot perspective, I have no hesitation in offering this pair against the field.

Favourite factor: The two favourites to date have just one silver medal (alongside a Placepot position) to show for their endeavours.

 

4.25: 12 ‘household handlers’ have won this Hunter Chase event during the last 14 years, statistics which include nine of the last ten contests which is worth noting, as none of the seven runners in 2013 hailed from ‘professional‘ ranks.  Paul Nicholls has won all four recent contests when his team have been represented, whereby UNIONIST is considered the banker on the card.

Favourite factor: 11 of the 16 favourites have won this event, whilst 14 of the 18 market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions.  Favourites come into the contest on an eight timer on this occasion.

Record of the course winners in the fifth event:

1/7—Gowanauthat (good)

 

4.55: The 20/1 quote in the trade press about the chance of ROLL OF THE DICE always looked fanciful from my viewpoint, a notion which has obviously been shared around the country as Gary Moore’s six-year-old is as short as 9/1 with a few firms at the time of writing.  QUIZ MASTER will win a race soon rather than later I’ll wager, whilst CINTEX makes a degree of appeal on his handicap bow, especially with the ground drying up in his favour.

Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 9/5 favourite was one of two horses which failed to complete the course.

Record of the course winners in the Placepot finale:

1/3—Bold Image (good to soft)

2/12—Join The Navy (2 x heavy)

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners (two or more) on the Fontwell card on Sunday – followed by ratios at the track this season + their five year figures & profits/losses accrued on both counts:

5 runners—Paul Nicholls (3/11 – loss of 6 points) – 27/65 – loss of 3

4—Nick Giifford (2/23 – loss of 12) – 8/75 – loss of 25

4—Linda Jewell (1/6 – loss of 1) – 5/62 – loss of 28

4—Gary Moore (47/322 – loss of 44) – 6/67 – loss of 35

4—Neil Mulholland (7/34 – loss of 1) – 36/140 +20

3—Seamus Mullins (4/38 +6) – 13/140 – loss of 9

3—Oliver Sherwood (1/13 – loss of 10) – 9/71 – loss of 39

2—Harry Fry (3/6 – slight profit) – 13/40 +5

2—Chris Gordon (5/46 – loss of 29) – 39/273 – loss of 45

2—Brendan Powell (0/6) – 3/81 – loss of 60

2—Richard Rowe (0/4) – 2/49 – loss of 39

2—Dan Skelton (4/20 – loss of 4) – 17/71 – loss of 1

2—Suzy Smith (0/6) – 7/56 – loss of 22

2—Colin Tizzard (6/19 +3) – 19/100 – loss of 26

+ 18 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

59 declared runners

 

General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:

Southwell: £208.50 – 6 favourites – 2 winners – 2 placed – 2 unplaced

 

 

Placepot Pointers – Thursday 15th February

LEICESTER – FEBRUARY 15

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2017: £110.50 (7 favourites: 2 winners--2 placed--3 unplaced)

 

Thursday's Placepot permutation at Leicester: 

Leg 1 (1.40): 1 (Skipping On) & 4 (Glance Back)

Leg 2 (2.15): 6 (Grow Nasa Grow), 3 (Dylanseoghan) & 2 (Clondaw Westie)

Leg 3 (2.45): 5 (Colin’s Brother) & 3 (Crosspark)

Leg 4 (3.20): 2 (Chirico Vallis) & 1 (Tree Of Liberty)

Leg 5 (3.55): 4 (Timon’s Tara), 3 (Tara Mist) & 1 (Two Smokin Barrels)

Leg 6 (4.30): 1 (Hazel Hill), 5 (Trafalgar Rock) & 2 (Path To Freedom)

Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Thursday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page

 

1.40: It’s a shame that we could not secure more than ten pence worth of yesterday’s £430.50 Musselburgh Placepot dividend but that said, we doubled our stake which I guess I would settle for on a daily basis!  SKIPPING ON and GLANCE BACK appear to hold their rivals on all known form in the opening race and the pair are very much listed in order of preference at the time of writing.  Laura Mongan (SKIPPING ON) has won with three of her last seven runners and the trainer can improve her recent strike rate ratio to 50% before another inmate takes its chance at Chelmsford this evening.

Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 10/3 favourite secured a Placepot position without winning the relevant race in a ‘short field’ contest. New readers might like to know that the term short field relates to 5/6/7 runner races in which only the first two horses home qualify from Placepot and each way perspectives.  Today’s opening race in one such event as are four others on the card, subject to non runners.

Record of the course winners in the opening event:

1/7—Bally Lagan (good)

1/8—Lost In Newyork (good to soft)

 

Your first 30 days for just £1

2.15:  I tend to do better when supporting Zoe Davison’s outsiders than when Zoe saddles well fancied horses but that said, DYLANSEOGHAN has a second to none chance on the form book, albeit I will be adding GROW NASA GROW and CLONDAW WESTIE into the Placepot mix because of the initial comment I made. It’s sad to have to offer half of the field in the hope of progressing further in our favourite wager but in a poor race, I feel I have little option.

Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Leicester card.

 

2.45: All four winners to date have carried a maximum burden of 11-6 whereby Bright New Dawn is passed over, despite the positive ground factor for another of the Venetia Williams horses that tend to prefer wet conditions.  Upwards and onward by suggesting that COLIN’S BROTHER and last year’s winner CROSSPARK should take most advantage of the weight concession on this occasion. Creep Desbois is offered the reserve nomination, just in case the non runner board starts to heave under considerable pressure by mid-morning.

Favourite factor: Two of the four market leaders have claimed Placepot positions, statistics which include one (7/4) winner.

Record of the course winners in the third event:

1/2—Crosspark (heavy)

 

3.20: Given the favourite stats below (albeit after only two renewals), it might take a brave investor to pile into TREE OF LIBERTY at around the 1/3 mark this morning, whereas 9/4 about CHIRICO VALLIS is a perfectly reasonable price in what amounts to a ‘match’, given that St Merryn would have to start about now to beat the other pair, barring accidents.

Favourite factor: Both favourites have been beaten in ‘win only’ races thus far.

 

3.55: TIMON’S TARA does not have to try and overcome a horse of Song Saa’s class, as was the case in this event last year and though Robin Dickin’s raider is one paced in the extreme, today could be the time to latch onto Jack Quinlan’s mount, especially with Robin boasting seasonal stats of 4/6 here at Fontwell, figures which have produced 21 points of level stake profit.  That said, TARA MIST and TWO SMOKIN BARRELS have to be added into the Placepot equation for fear of a withdrawal reducing this contest to a ‘win only’ event.

Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 4/6 market leader duly obliged.

 

4.30: For the same reason as in the previous contest (in terms of the projected numbers), HAZEL HILL, TRAFALGAR ROCK and PATH TO FREEDOM are all going to represent yours truly in the Placepot finale.  For the record, the trio are listed in order of preference.

Favourite factor: The inaugural 8/11 market leader prevailed before last year’s 9/4 favourite let the side down by being one of two runners which failed to complete the course.

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners (two or more) on the Leicester card on Thursday – followed by their seasonal (in brackets) and five year ratios at the track + profits/losses accrued on both counts:

3 runners—Dan Skelton (2/6 – slight loss) – 6/29 – loss of 1 point

2—Zoe Davison (1/9 – loss of 5) – 3/18 +12

2—Robin Dickin (4/6 +21) – 7/25 +14

+ 26 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

33 declared runners

 

General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:

Kelso: £50.40 – 7 favourites – 3 winners – 2 placed – 2 unplaced

Fontwell: £165.40 – 6 favourites – 4 winners & 2 unplaced

Chelmsford: £543.70 – 6 favourites – 2 winners – 1 placed – 3 unplaced

 

 

Placepot Pointers – Sunday 21st January

FONTWELL – JANUARY 21

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2017: Meeting abandoned

 

Sunday's Placepot permutation at Fontwell: 

Leg 1 (1.10): 6 (Lisp) & 1 (Airtight)

Leg 2 (1.40): 5 (Jarlath), 6 (Native Robin) & 4 (Bramble Brook)

Leg 3 (2.10): 1 (Theo’s Charm), 4 (Fourth Act) & 2 (I See You Well)

Leg 4 (2.40): 8 (Leith Hill Legasi), 2 (Goring One) & 7 (It’s A Steal)

Leg 5 (3.10): 1 (Melrose Boy) & 3 (Ruggerio)

Leg 6 (3.40): 4 (Mullaghboy) & 1 (Keel Haul)

Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Sunday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page

 

1.10: Apologies offered for the late running of this Sunday service owing to a family bereavement yesterday.  It’s difficult to look beyond LISP for Alan King who got lucky with a win with another four-year-old (albeit in a much higher grade) at Ascot yesterday.  AIRTIGHT is the first of eight runners on the card for Gary Moore whose runner looked like winning at Ascot yesterday in the relevant contest before topping over in at the final flight.  I doubt that Gary will gain compensation here though that said, the silver medal looks there for the taking in this grade/company.

Favourite factor: This is essentially a ‘new meeting’, simply because this corresponding fixture has been abandoned year on year since the addition to the calendar!

 

1.40: JARLATH could take advantage of bottom weight if his five-pound claimer has not had a heart destroying breakfast this morning, given that the Seamus Mullins raider will be receiving anything up to 17 pounds from CODY WYOMING.  Charlie Mann’s raider has won two of his last three assignments but has reached a revised mark from which he struggled to score from in the past.  NATIVE ROBIN and BRAMBLE BROOK are preferred as dangers accordingly.

Course winners in the second event:

Your first 30 days for just £1

1/2—Cody Wyoming (soft)

1/3—Darebin (soft)

 

2.10: Nick Gifford is the latest trainer to take advantage of the wonderful emerging talent that is James Bowen, with THEO’S CHARM fancied to giving the young teenager another winner.  Twelve assignments have come and gone since ‘Theo’ last posted a score and the eight-year-old enters my ‘last chance saloon’ accordingly.  Others of interest include FOURTH ACT and I SEE YOU WELL, with my patience finally having worn thin with Chris Pea Green.

 

2.40: LEITH HILL LEGASI has been the horse for money overnight and if Charlie Longsdon’s raider can recover some of the form he showed earlier in his career, there is no denying that the race could be there for the taking.  Hat trick seeker GORING ONE cannot be ruled out of the Placepot mix on this ground, arguably alongside IT’S A STEAL.

Course winners in the fourth contest on the card:

2/5—Goring One (2 x soft)

 

3.10: Harry Fry was back in double winning form at Ascot yesterday and MELROSE BOY has been well placed by the trainer to score at will here.  Emma Lavelle has never been the type of trainer to avoid a race because of one horse whereby RUGGERIO is the forecast call in a race which will take very little winning.

 

3.40: I could have fancied all three of Olly Murphy’s horses going close today before his other pair were denied a run via the negative Newcastle inspection result.  As it stands, Olly must rely on MULLAGHBOY to gain another gold medal, with connections probably having most to fear from the next youngest horse in the field, namely KEEL HAUL.

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners (two or more) on the Fontwell card on Sunday – followed by their seasonal (in brackets) and five year ratios at the track + profits/losses accrued on both fronts:

8 runners—Gary Moore (6/54 – loss of 22 points) – 47/309 – loss of 31

5—Seamus Mullins (4/33 +11) – 13/135 – loss of 4

3—Jeremy Scott (4/14 +5) – 10/57 – loss of 13 points

2—Nick Gifford (2/21 – loss of 10) – 8/73 – loss of 23

2—Emma Lavelle (1/9 – loss of 5) – 7/39 +2

2—Neil Mulholland (5/27 – loss of 2) – 34/133 +18

2—Colin Tizzard (3/15 – loss of 2) – 16/96 – loss of 32

+ 21 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

45 declared runners

 

General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:

Chelmsford: This is a new meeting

 

Placepot Pointers – Monday 8th January

FONTWELL – JANUARY 8

 

Last year’s corresponding Placepot details:

£26.40 (6 favourites – 3 winners – 2 placed – 1 unplaced)

 

Monday's Placepot permutation at Fontwell: 

Leg 1 (1.15): 5 (My Dance), 8 (Tierra Verde) & 1 (Bee Crossing)

Leg 2 (1.45): 1 (Hands Of Stone), 7 (Blue April) & 3 (Flanagans Field)

Leg 3 (2.15): 1 (Greyed A) & 4 (Itoldyou)

Leg 4 (2.45): 6 (Tikken Away), 1 (Minella On Line) & 4 (Chris Pea Green)

Leg 5 (3.15): 2 (Cloudy Beach), 6 (Native Robin) & 4 (Jarlath)

Leg 6 (3.45): 6 (Puppet Warrior) & 7 (Seaston Spirit)

Suggested stake: 324 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Monday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page

 

1.15: Anthony Honeyball has saddled five winners at Fontwell via their last six meetings, with MY DANCE being the trainer’s only runner on the card.  I would have been happier had the ground been in better condition for the Kayf Tara mare, though the relevant stock tend to get through the ground well enough as a general rule.  Harry Whittington is on a crest of a wave right now and with four of his last five runners having won, Harry’s TIERRA VERDE demands great respect, especially in this grade/company.  BEE CROSSING is the other short listed runner in the opening contest.

Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 8/11 favourite duly obliged.

Record of the course winner in the opening event:

1/2—Bold Image (good to soft)

 

1.45: Evan Williams will have gained a great deal of pleasure with the victory of his veteran Buywise at Sandown on Saturday, with the trainer holding a half decent chance of saddling another gold medallist at a double figure price in HANDS OF STONE.  Relatively unexposed for a six-year-old, Evan’s Shantou gelding has attracted some interest at around the 14/1 mark overnight and with Conor Ring claiming a useful three pounds in the plate, HANDS OF STONE is the each way call in the contest.  More logical winners include FLANAGANS FIELD and BLUE APRIL I guess, the latter named raider hailing from Jeremy Scott’s in form yard which has snared four gold medals via their last eleven runners.

Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 7/2 market leader sneaked into the frame via a bronze medal effort.

 

2.15: Boasting a 22% strike rate during the month of January in recent years, Dr Richard Newland should be rewarded here for finding a realistic target for his recent heavy ground course and distance winner GREYED A who seemingly has precious little more to do having gone up just three pounds for a facile victory.  ITOLDYOU might plod around in a slightly quicker time than ALLCHILLEDOUT, though the emphasis very much on plod rather than quick!

Your first 30 days for just £1

Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural (Colin Tizzard trained) 5/2 favourite duly prevailed.  Out of interest, Colin saddles Allchilledout this time around.

Record of the course winners in the third race:

1/3—Greyed A (heavy)

3/7—Itoldyou (good – good to soft – heavy)

 

2.45: CHRIS PEA GREEN is a talented individual and no mistake, though Gary Moore’s local raider is back hurdling having seemingly lost form and enthusiasm for the job in hand in recent seasons.  A winner of three of his first four races in 2012/13, CHRIS PEA GREEN has scored on just two of his subsequent 20 assignments, with eight races having been contested since last winning over three years ago.  Unfortunately, Joshua’s mount has followed in the footsteps of his highly talented sire Proclamation who won four of his first five races under the other code before being retired early in his career.  Robert Walford can do little wrong at present whereby the chance of TIKKEN AWAY is there for all to see, whilst MINELLA ON LINE offers some value for money, albeit on ground that will be slower than the top weight would like.

Favourite factor: This was the only race on last year’s Placepot card in which the favourite failed to finish in the money.

 

3.15: JARLATH has yet to race on this type of ground for all that connections would have liked some of the recent wet stuff to have been blown elsewhere.  Conversely, Venetia Williams has really appreciated the recent wet spell with her stock generally revelling in slower conditions.  CLOUDY BEACH is one such individual (2/4 on heavy going), whilst NATIVE ROBIN scored under similar conditions the last day at Warwick.

Favourite factor: The front two horses in the market filled the ‘short field’ frame last year, albeit they finished the wrong way around for the majority of investors.  New readers might like to know that the term short field relates to 5/6/7 runner races in which only the first two horses home qualify from each way and Placepot perspectives.

Record of the course winners in the fifth contest on the card:

2/2—Cloudy Beach (good & heavy)

2/5—Fergal Muel Duin (good to soft & soft)

 

3.45: For all that Mellow Ben could also finish in the frame, the pair to concentrate on here is PUPPET WARRIOR and SEASTON SPIRIT.  The two horses are around the 2/9 (coupled) mark to win the race between them at the time of writing, notwithstanding obvious Placepot claims in a weak finale.

Favourite factor: The front pair in the market dominated last year’s first running with the 4/6 market leader landing the prize.

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners (two or more) on the Fontwell card on Monday – followed by seasonal (in brackets) and career ratios at the track + profits/losses accrued on both counts:

4 runners—Gary Moore (6/51 – loss of 19 points) – 197/06 – loss of 101

4—Seamus Mullins (4/29 +15) – 51/554 – loss of 111

3—Chris Gordon (4/39 – loss of 24) – 66/540 – loss of 3

3—Evan Williams (0/5) – 33/220 – loss of 87

2—Johnny Farrelly (1/7 – loss of 3) – 1/25 – loss of 21

2—Jeremy Scott (3/13 – slight loss) – 12/81 +5

2—Oliver Sherwood (0/11) – 44/286 – loss of 20 points

2—Colin Tizzard (3/13 – slight loss) – 45/287 – loss of 56

2—Robert Walford (1/2 – loss of 2) – 4/31 – loss of 14

+ 21 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

45 declared runners

 

General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:

Hereford: £313.10 – 7 favourites – 1 winner – 2 placed – 4 unplaced

Wolverhampton: £30.00 – 6 favourites – 2 winners – 3 placed – 1 unplaced

 

Placepot pointers – Tuesday 26th December

KEMPTON - DECEMBER 26

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2016: £742.50 (7 favourites - 2 winners – 1 placed – 4 unplaced)

 

Boxing Day Placepot permutation at Kempton: 

Leg 1 (12.45): 2 (Diese Des Bieffes) & 1 (If The Cap Fits)

Leg 2 (1.20): 2 (Reigning Supreme), 5 (Wenterreadyfreddie) & 8 (Mister Whitaker)

Leg 3 (1.55): 7 (Mia’s Storm), 1 (Ballyoptic) & 4 (Fountains Windfall)

Leg 4 (2.30): 1 (Buveur D’Air) & 5 (The New One)

Leg 5 (3.05): 1 (Bristol De Mai), 4 (Might Bite) & 3 (Fox Norton)

Leg 6 (3.40): 6 (Take To Heart), 2 (Dashing Oscar), 3 (Connetable) & 5 (Jaleo)

Suggested stake: 432 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Tuesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page

Please note the additional service below relating to stats which are available for every represented trainer at Kempton on Boxing Day.

 

12.45: On a general front, it's worth noting that 48% of the Kempton entries on Boxing Day hail from just five stables, whilst 65% are covered by just eight handlers.  Four and five-year-olds have secured 17 of the last 19 renewals of this opening contest.  Nicky Henderson has secured five renewals during the study period having held two entries at the weekend.  That said, DIESE DES BIEFFES was always the likely declaration and his is the first name on the team sheet, marginally ahead of Harry Fry’s Milan gelding IF THE CAP FITS who boasts a 4/5 record this far.  Harry Whittington boasts a fine record here at Kempton and readers should not dispel the chance of Simply The Betts too quickly.
Favourite factor: Seven favourites have obliged via the last 18 renewals, and aside from a 20/1 winner in 1999, the biggest priced gold medallist during the period was returned at 12/1 (four years ago).  14 of the last 19 market leaders have finished in the frame though that does not include last year’s (1/2) favourite which finished fourth.

Record of the course winner in the field: 

1/1--Irish Prophecy (good to soft)

1.20: Six and seven-year-olds have won ten of the last thirteen renewals between them whilst 11 of the last 15 winners have carried weights of eleven stones or more.  Nicky Henderson has won five of the last ten renewals with the trainer holding ‘four cards’ at the penultimate entry stage.  Nicky has offered the green light to REIGNING SUPREME and WENYERREADYFREDDIE and I consider it extremely doubtful that both horses will finish out of the money, though this is race for watching rather than to become involved from a win perspective from my viewpoint.  If Nicky is to be denied another success, the likeliest party-pooper appears to be MISTER WHITAKER, albeit Mick Channon’s only projected runner until next Saturday hails from the ‘inferior’ sector of the weights.
Favourite factor: Seven favourites have snared gold via 16 renewals to date, though just five of the other fourteen market leaders additionally claimed toteplacepot positions.

1.55: This is the race which set up last year’s good Placepot dividend, with the first four horses in the betting finishing out of the frame at 3/1, 10/3 & 11/2 (twice). Six-year-olds have won eight of the last thirteen renewals of this event and with BLACK CORTON representing the vintage this time around (alongside SOME INVITATION), the trend could well be extended.  Black Corton continues to defy his ‘doubters’, though there is no denying that this is his biggest test to date.  Some Invitation lacks a little experience over fences in comparison to others, whereby I’m opting (rightly or wrongly) for MIA’S STORM, BALLYOPTIC and FOUNTAINS WINDFALL just ahead of the six-year-olds this time around in a fascinating event.  When you are working this far in advance of a race like this, it is as well to have contenders who will act on the relevant ground when the flag falls, which I have taken into account according.  Foolishly perhaps, I think I have all eventualities covered!
Favourite factor: Seven of the last 20 market leaders have prevailed, whilst 12 favourites secured toteplacepot positions.  15 of the last 20 winners were returned at odds of 6/1 or less though that said, two of the last four gold medallists scored at 33/1 & 12/1.

Record of the course winner in the third race:

1/2--Black Corton (good)

2.30: Six-year-olds have won six of the last eleven renewals of this Christmas Hurdle and with BUVEUR D’AIR having been declared, the ratio looks likely to be improved upon on Tuesday.  This track is too quick for THE NEW ONE as I have documented before and I hope the favourite puts Nigel’s brave warrior into his place in proper fashion here as I fully expect that The New One could go very close in the ‘Stayers’ sector at the Cheltenham Festival, possibly resulting in a Championship victory at Prestbury Park in March which he so richly deserves.  I’m afraid that will not happen if Nigel enters him in the Champion Hurdle again for all that he would run a good race, pure and simple. The same comment applies here because the old warrior simply refuses to down tools, even when the odds are stacked against him.  Back to the champion hurdler now, because his victory in the ‘Fighting Fifth’ at Newcastle showed that last year’s results where no flash in the pan and whatever ‘Ireland’ sends over in March, I expect Buveur D’Air to repel all challengers at this stage of the season.
Favourite factor: Seven of the last fourteen favourites have won, though the previous four market leaders were all beaten during the study period.  11 of the last 18 market leaders secured toteplacepot positions.

Record of the course winners in the Christmas Hurdle:

1/3--Old Guard (good)

3/6--The New One (2 x good to soft & good)

3.05: Seven-year-olds have won seven of the last 17 renewals of the King George, even taking into account that the vintage was not represented two years ago.  FOX NORTON was among just three relevant entries last week and although all three runners have stood their ground, only Colin Tizzard’s raider can be given a chance of lowering the colours of more fancied runners in the contest.   I have to admit that I thought we had seen the best of BRISTOL DE MAIN in his novice days before his resurgence this term when he has simply blown his rivals away.  It’s difficult to tell just how soft the ground will be writing this column over 50 hours in advance of the race but be assured, connections be welcoming every drop of rain between now and flag fall, especially on one of the quickest drying courses in the land.  Providing that it is at least good to soft on all parts of the track, Nigel’s raider will give MIGHT BITE a real race and 4/1 at the time of writing looks too big from my viewpoint, despite the unknown ground factor.  MIGHT BITE is a talented individual and no mistake and last year’s leading novice made short work of the opposition when landing a Listed event at Sandown on his reappearance.  It would going over the top to suggest that THISTLECRACK was the forgotten horse in the contest but he has questions to answer now and from that perspective, his odds fail to attract my attention.
Favourite factor: Although 11 favourites have won the King George during the last 19 years, seven of the other 11 market leaders failed to finish in the frame. Only Jair Du Cochet (pulled up in 2003 behind the much underrated Edredon Bleu), Kauto Star (2010) and Long Run (2011) had failed to snare gold via the ‘jollies perspective’ in the previous 11 years, before joint beaten favourites Cue Card & Dynaste both let the side down in 2013.

Course winners in the 'King George':

1/2--Double Shuffle (good)

1/2--Might Bite (good)

3/4--Tea For Two (2 x good to soft & soft)

Your first 30 days for just £1

1/1--Thistlecrack (good)

1/1--Whisper (good)

3.40: Nine of the last eleven winners of the finale have carried a minimum burden of 11-2, whilst Nicky Henderson (TAKE TO HEART – set to carry 11-4) has secured three of the last eleven contests. This appears to be the one race on the card that could give bookmakers some breathing space, given that their ledgers (I'm showing my age) will be dominated by so few horses in the previous events on the card.  That said, four-year-olds have won the last four contests though in the circumstances, can you believe that just one of the 26 penultimate stage entries was a four-year-old.  It’s as though trainers want bookmakers to earn a great living, especially as the relevant vintage represented has not been declared for the gig!  The weight trends suggest that it would be churlish to ignore the Placepot claims of DASHING OSCAR, and CONNETABLE alongside Take To Heart.  If the weight trend goes ‘belly up’ this time around, I’m adding JALEO into the mix who would have run from the ‘superior’ sector of the handicap but for Alex Ferguson’s useful claim.  I sincerely hope that you back lots of winners over the Christmas period and that you are enjoying the festivities thus far.
Favourite factor: Four of the last 13 favourites have won, whilst eight of the eighteen market leaders have finished in the frame during the study period.

Record of course winners in the finale:

2/2--Our Kaempfer (2 x good to soft)

1/2--Doesyourdogbite (good)

1/3--Mr Fickle (good)

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

EVERY TRAINER LISTED with their relevant number of runners on the Kempton card on Boxing Day – followed by their seasonal (in brackets) and career ratios at the track + level stake profits/losses accrued on both counts:

7 runners—Nicky Henderson (5/18 – loss of 5 points) – 226/888 - +72

5—Gary Moore (0/12) – 28/393 – loss of 167

5—Colin Tizzard (1/3 +8) – 20/125 +48

4—Paul Nicholls (6/12 – loss of 1 point) – 11/6/515 – loss of 55

4—Dan Skelton (0/12) – 8/96 – loss of 69

3—Harry Fry (2/6 – Slight profit) – 12/61 – loss of 12

3—Alan King (1/10 – loss of 7) – 75/475 – loss of 82

3—Nigel Twiston-Davies (1/2 +1) – 46/326 – loss of 51

2—Emma Lavelle (0/2) – 27/180 – loss of 29

2—Ben Pauling (1/3 +2) – 5/31 – loss of 12

1—Peter Bowen (1/2 +5) – 8/57 – loss of 16

1—Ben Case (0/1) – 1/33 – loss of 28

1—Mick Channon (First runner this season) – 7/36 +12

1—Tom George (1/4 – Slight profit) – 24/147 +18

1—Nick Gifford (0/1) – 5/98 – loss of 68

1—Chris Gordon (0/6) – 9/73 +25)

1—Anthony Honeyball (First runner this season) – 0/8

1—Charlie Longsdon (0/5) – 11/101 – loss of 16

1—Phil Middleton (1/1 +10) – 1/10 +1

1—Seamus Mullins (0/1) – 5/116 – loss of 61

1—Jonjo O’Neill (1/8 – loss of 4 points) – 32/268 – loss of 125

1—Harry Whittington (1/4 +8) – 4/16 +11

1—Ian Williams (1/3 – Slight loss) – 11/89 +3

1—Nick Williams (0/1) 0 7/44 – loss of 3

52 declared runners

 

General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:

Fontwell: £83.80 – 6 favourites – 2 winners – 3 placed – 1 placed

Huntingdon: £73.80 – 7 favourites – 2 winners – 2 placed – 3 unplaced

Market Rasen: £192.20 – 6 favourites – 2 winners – 1 placed – 3 unplaced

Sedgefield: £66.70 – 6 favourites – 2 winners – 2 placed – 2 unplaced

Wincanton: £307.10 – 5 favourites (1 void) – 3 winners – 1 placed – 1 unplaced

Wolverhampton: £810.40 – 6 favourites – 1 winners – 2 placed – 3 unplaced

Wetherby: £3,021.60 – 6 favourites – No winners – 3 placed – 3 unplaced