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Sat TV Trends: 28th Aug 2021

More LIVE horse racing action this weekend as the ITV4 cameras head to Goodwood, Newmarket and Beverley – we’ve got it all covered with the key trends and stats to help you whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Goodwood Horse Racing Trends

 

1.50 - tote Prestige Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 (2yo) 7f ITV4

11/11 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
11/11 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
11/11 – Yet to win a Group or Listed race
11/11 – Foaled in Jan, Feb or March
11/11 – Had won over 6f or 7f before
11/11 – Won 1 or 2 times before
9/11 – Ran at Newmarket, Goodwood or Ascot last time out
8/11 – Placed favourites
7/11 – Won last time out
7/11 – Had won over 7f before
6/11 – Winning favourites
4/11 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/11 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/11 – Ridden by Harry Bentley
Isabella Giles (11/4) won the race in 2020

 

2.25 - tote Quadpot Starts Here Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 7f ITV4

10/11 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
10/11 – Won over 7f before
10/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
10/11 – Won between 3-5 times before
9/11 – Didn’t win last time out
8/11 – Carried 9-0 or more in weight
8/11 – Drawn between stalls 5-9 (inc)
8/11 – Had run at Goodwood before
8/11 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
7/11 – Placed favourites
7/11 – Had run at Goodwood or Ascot last time out
6/11 – Winning favourites
6/11 – Irish bred
4/11 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
2/11 – Ridden by Adam Kirby
Cold Stare (13/2) won the race in 2020

 

 

3:00 - tote March Stakes (Group 3) (In Memory Of John Dunlop) Cl1 (3yo) 1m6f ITV4

11/11 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
10/11 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
10/11 – Placed favourites
10/11 – Yet to win a Group or Listed race
8/11 – Won over at least 1m4f in the past
8/11 – Drawn in stalls 4 or lower
8/11 – Had run at the track before
7/11 – Won by a 3 year-old (last 7 runnings)
5/11 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
5/11 – Winning favourites
4/11 – Won last time out
2/11 – Trained by William Haggas

 

3:35 - tote Celebration Mile Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m ITV4

11/11 – Drawn in stalls 7 or lower
10/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
10/11 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
10/11 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
10/11 – Had won over 1m before
8/11 – Won between 3- 6 times before
8/11 – Had won a Group race before
7/11 – Drawn in stalls 1, 2 or 3
6/11 – Had run at the track before
5/11 – Won by a 3 year-old
5/11 – Winning favourites
4/11 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
3/11 – Ran at Salisbury last time out
3/11 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy
3/11 – Won last time out
2/11 – Trained by David Simcock
Century Dream (11/4 fav) won this race in 2020
Duke Of Hazzard (3/1) won this in 2019

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends

 

2:45 - Close Brothers Hopeful Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 6f ITV4

11/11 – Has won over 6f in the past
11/11 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
10/11 – Didn’t win last time out
8/11 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
8/11 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
7/11 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
7/11 – Won between 2-4 times before
6/11 – Placed last time out
6/11 – Ran at the track before
5/11 – Stall 1 horse placed (top 3)
3/11 – Winning favourite
2/11 – Trained by Dean Ivory
Brad The Brief (10/1) won this race in 2020

 

 

Beverley Horse Racing Trends

 

2.05 - William Hill Silver Cup Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 1m2f ITV4

10/10 - Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 - Drawn in stalls 4 of lower
9/10 - Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/10 - Carried 9st or less in weight
8/10 - Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
7/10 - Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/10 - Favourites placed
7/10 - Irish bred
3/10 - Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/10 - Winning favourite
2/10 - Trained by Richard Fahey
2/10 - Trained by Karl Burke
2/10 - Ridden by Ben Curtis (last two)

 

 

3.15 - William Hill Beverley Bullet Sprint Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 5f ITV4

10/10 - Aged 4 or older
10/10 - Previous winners over 5f
10/10 - Returned 10/1 or shorter
9/10 - Aged 5 or older
9/10 - Rated 100+
9/10 - Placed favourites
9/10 - Had won 5+ races before
8/10 - Unplaced last time out
8/10 - Ran in the last 4 weeks
7/10 - Drawn in stalls 4 or lower
7/10 - Ran at Ascot (3), York (2) or Goodwood (2) last time
6/10 - Had run at the track before
3/10 - Winning favourite
2/10 - Trained by David Griffiths
2/10 - Ridden by Jamie Spencer
Dakota Gold (11/2) won the race in 2020
Judicial (13/2) won the race in 2019

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 1st May 2021

It’s day one of Guineas Weekend at Newmarket this Saturday, while the ITV cameras are heading to Goodwood & Thirsk.

As always, we’ve all the LIVE ITV races covered from a trends and stats angle.

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.50 – ‘My Oddsboost’ On Betfair Suffolk Stakes Cl2 1m1f ITV

14/15 – Had won at least twice before
14/15 – Had won over at least a mile before
13/15 – Priced 12/1 or shorter
13/15 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
13/15 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
12/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/15 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
10/15 – Returned between 9/1 and 12/1 in the betting
10/15 – Rated between 90 and 96
9/15 – Aged 4 years-old
7/15 – Having their first run of the season
6/15 – Won last time out
5/15 – Irish bred
3/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/15 - Winning favourites
Just 1 winner from stalls 1 or 2 in the last 12 runnings

 

2.20 – Betfair Palace House Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 5f ITV

16/18 – Had won over 5f before
16/18 – Won 3 or more times before
15/18 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
15/18 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
15/18 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
14/18 – Had run at Newmarket before
14/18 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
13/18 – Aged 5 or younger
12/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/18 – Placed favourites
11/18 – Rated between 108 and 114
10/18 – Won last time out
6/18 – Winning favourites
5/18 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/18 – Trained by Bryan Smart
Far Above won the race in 2020 (run in June)
Mabs Cross won the race in 2018 and 2019
Just 2 placed horses from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings
7 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 2-7 (inc)

 

3.00 – Betfair Exchange Jockey Club Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m4f ITV

17/17 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
14/17 – Had won between 3-5 times in their career
14/17 – Won over 1m4f+ before
13/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/17 – Winning distance – 1 ½ lengths or more
12/17 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
11/17 – Aged 4 years-old
10/17 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
9/17 – Rated 112 or higher
9/17 – Winning favourites
8/17 – Had won a Group race before
7/17 – Won last time out
7/17 – Having their first run of the season
6/17 – Aged 5 years-old
6/17 – Ran at Newbury last time out
4/17 – Returned 7/4 in the betting
3/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/17 – Won by trainer Mark Johnston
2/17 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute
2/17 – Trained by Andre Fabre

3.40 – Qipco 2000 Guineas Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 1m ITV

19/19 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
17/19 – Had won over at least 7f before
17/19 – Had won a Group race before
17/19 – Had won between 2-5 times before
15/19 – Drawn in stall 12 or lower
15/19 – Won last time out
14/19 – Winning distance – less than 2 lengths
14/19 – Having their first run of the season
12/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/19 – Placed favourites
12/19 – Had won just 2 or 3 times in their career before
11/19 – Won by an Irish-based yard
10/19 – Irish bred
9/19 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (10 wins in total)
8/19 – Had won over a mile before
7/19 – Drawn in stalls 1 or 3
6/19 – Winning favourites
5/19 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley) before
5/19 – Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (2 winners)
4/19 – Won the Dewhurst Stakes the previous season
3/19 – Ran at the Curragh last time out
6 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 19 years is 10/1

Other 2,000 Guineas Facts

- Aidan O’Brien has won the race in 1998, 2002, 2005, 2006, 2008, 2012, 2015, 2017, 2018 & 2019
- Frankie Dettori rode the winner in 1996, 1999 & 2016

Goodwood Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.05 – MansionBet Best Odds Guaranteed Conqueror Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m ITV

9/9 – Didn’t win last time out
8/9 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/9 – Yet to race at the track
8/9 – Won 2 or more times before
7/9 – Winners from stalls 1 or 5
7/9 – Horse from stall 1 placed in the top 3
7/9 – Favourites placed in the top 3
7/9 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
6/9 – Horse from stall 5 placed in the top 3
6/9 – Aged 4 years-old
6/9 – Unplaced last time out
5/9 – Horse from stall 7 placed in the top 3
5/9 – Won over a mile before
4/9 – Winners from stall 1
3/9 – Ran a Newmarket last time out
2/9 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 13/2

 

Thirsk Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.40 – Cliff Stud Thirsk Hunt Cup Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m ITV

9/9 – Aged 6 or younger
9/9 – Won at least twice before
9/9 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
8/9 – Drawn in stalls 7 or higher
8/9 – Rated between 87-94 (inc)
8/9 – Didn’t win last time out
8/9 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
8/9 – Won over at least 1m before
7/9 – Unplaced last time out
7/9 – Won between 2-4 times
6/9 – Winners from a double-figure draw
5/9 – Had run at the track before (3 won)
2/9 – Winning favourites

Note: The 2018 running was staged at Wetherby

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 29th Aug 2020

More LIVE horse racing action this weekend as the ITV4 cameras head to Goodwood, Newmarket and Windsor – we’ve got it all covered with the key trends and stats to help you whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Goodwood Horse Racing Trends

 

1.50 - Ladbrokes Prestige Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 (2yo) 7f ITV

10/10 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
10/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
10/10 – Yet to win a Group or Listed race
10/10 – Foaled in Jan, Feb or March
10/10 – Had won over 6f or 7f before
10/10 – Won 1 or 2 times before
8/10 – Placed favourites
8/10 – Ran at Newmarket, Goodwood or Ascot last time out
7/10 – Won last time out
7/10 – Had won over 7f before
6/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/10 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/10 – Ridden by Harry Bentley
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 3/1

 

2.25 - Brian Chattaway Celebrating 50 Years At Ladbrokes Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 7f ITV

9/10 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
9/10 – Won over 7f before
9/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
9/10 – Won between 3-5 times before
8/10 – Carried 9-0 or more in weight
8/10 – Drawn between stalls 5-9 (inc)
8/10 – Didn’t win last time out
7/10 – Placed favourites
7/10 – Had run at Goodwood or Ascot last time out
7/10 – Had run at Goodwood before
7/10 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
6/10 – Winning favourites
5/10 – Irish bred
4/10 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
2/10 – Ridden by Adam Kirby
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/1

 

3:00 - Ladbrokes March Stakes (Group 3) (In Memory Of John Dunlop) Cl1 (3yo) 1m6f ITV

 

10/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Placed favourites
9/10 – Yet to win a Group or Listed race
8/10 – Won over at least 1m4f in the past
7/10 – Drawn in stalls 4 or lower
7/10 – Had run at the track before
6/10 – Won by a 3 year-old (last 6 runnings)
5/10 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
4/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Won last time out
2/10 – Trained by William Haggas
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/3

3:35 - Ladbrokes Celebration Mile Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m ITV

10/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
10/10 – Drawn in stalls 7 or lower
9/10 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
9/10 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Had won over 1m before
8/10 – Won between 3- 6 times before
7/10 – Drawn in stalls 1, 2 or 3
7/10 – Had won a Group race before
6/10 – Had run at the track before
5/10 – Won by a 3 year-old
4/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
3/10 – Ran at Salisbury last time out
3/10 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy
3/10 – Won last time out
2/10 – Trained by David Simcock
Duke Of Hazzard (3/1) won this in 2019

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends

 

2:05 - Hopeful Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 6f ITV

10/10 – Has won over 6f in the past
10/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Didn’t win last time out
8/10 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
8/10 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
6/10 – Won between 2-4 times before
6/10 – Placed last time out
6/10 – Ran at the track before
5/10 – Stall 1 horse placed (top 3)
3/10 – Winning favourite
2/10 – Trained by Dean Ivory
Raucous (10/1) won this race in 2019
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

Windsor Horse Racing Trends

 

2:40 - August Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m3½f ITV

10/10 – Aged between 3-6 years old
10/10 – Drawn between stalls 2-6 (inc)
10/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Placed favourites
8/10 – Had won over 1m2f+ before
8/10 – Irish bred
6/10 – Won between 2-4 times
6/10 – Drawn in stall 4
3/10 – Won last time out
3/10 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
2/10 – Trained by David Simcock
2/10 – Trained by Roger Varian
2/10 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/10 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
1/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1
Desert Encounter won this in 2018

3:15 - Sky Sports Racing Winter Hill Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV

9/10 – Won over 1m2f+ before
8/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
7/10 – Winners from stalls 1 (4) or 4 (3)
7/10 – Had won 4+ times before
7/10 – Placed in the top three last time out
5/10 – Won last time out
3/10 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
2/10 – Trained by Michael Bell
2/10 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
Desert Encounter won this race in 2019
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2