Tag Archive for: goodwood horse racing trends

Sat TV Trends: 24th Aug 2024 – Goodwood and York

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More LIVE horse racing action this weekend (Sat 24th August) as the ITV cameras head to York for the final day of their Ebor Festival, plus are also at Goodwood to take in two contests - that include the Prestige Stakes.

York Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.50 – Sky Bet Strensall Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m208y ITV

21/21 – Had won over at least a mile before
21/21 – Had won at least twice in the their career
20/21 – Had between 2 and 4 runs already that season
17/21 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
17/21 – Had won over a mile before
8/21 – Won by Godolphin
8/21 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/21 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
4/21 – Had won at York before
3/21 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (2 of last 6)
3/21 – Trained by David O’Meara (3 of last 10)
2/21 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
Spirit Dancer (6/1) won the race last year

Note: The 2009 running was a dead-heat

2.25 – Sky Bet Melrose Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m6f ITV

19/21 – Never raced at York before
17/21 – Had 4 or more runs that season
17/21 – Had a top 5 finish last time out
16/21 – Returned 10/1 or shorter
16/21 – Had won over 1m4f or further
15/21 – Won carrying 9-0 or less
12/21 - Drawn in stall 8 or lower
6/21 – Winning favourites (1 co, 1 joint)
3/21 – Trained by William Haggas
2/21 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/21 – Ridden by William Buick
2/21 – Trained by Charlie Appleby (2 of last 6)
2/21 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of last 4)
Middle Earth (9/2 jfav) won the race in 2023

3.00 – Sky Bet City Of York Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 7f ITV

19/21 – Failed to win last time out
18/21 – Aged 5 or younger
18/21 – Priced 7/1 or shorter
16/21 – Drawn in stalls 4 to 8 (inc)
16/21 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
14/21 – Never run at York before
13/21 – Winning distance 1 length or less
12/21 – Had 4 or more runs that season
9/21 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/21 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute
3/21 – Won by trainer Andrew Balding
3/21 – Placed horses from stall 1
Kinross (5/1) won the race in 2022

3.35 – Sky Bet Ebor (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m6f ITV

21/22 – Aged 6 or younger
18/22 – Carried 9-5 or less
18/22 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
18/22 – Won from a double-figure stall
16/22 – Winning Distance - 1 length or less
15/22 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
14/22 – Had 3 or more runs already that season
13/22 – Unplaced favourites
12/22 – Carried 9-1 or less
11/22 – Had run at York before
7/22 – Won last time out
7/22 – Irish-trained winners (7 of the last 15)
6/22 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/22 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
4/22 – Ran at Galway last time out
2/22 – Trained by Johnny Murtagh (2 of last 10)
2/22 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/22 – Placed horses from stall 1 (third 2011, third 2013)
2/22 – Winning favourites
2/22 – Trained by John Gosden (2 of the last 6)
2/22- Trained by Willie Mullins (2 of the last 15)
Just two winning favourites since 1999
Since 1980 only one winner aged 7 or older
7 of the last 10 winners were aged 5 or 6 years-old
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 1980, 1991 & 1996

4:10 Constantine Handicap (Heritage Handicap) (Class 2) 6f ITV

Just 3  past runnings
Albasheer won the race in 2023
Summerghand won the race in 2023 and 2022
Jockey Daniel Tudhope rode the winner in 2022 and 2023
All three winners priced 15/2 or shorter
All three winners carried 9-0 or more in weight
2 of the  winners came from stalls 13+
Note: The 2023 running was a dead-heat

Goodwood Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2:05 – William Hill Prestige Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 (2yo) 7f ITV

14/14 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
14/14 – Had won over 6f or 7f before
14/14 – Won 1 or 2 times before
13/14 – Foaled in Jan, Feb or March
13/14 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
12/14 – Yet to win a Group or Listed race
11/14 – Placed favourites
10/14 – Ran at Newmarket, Goodwood or Ascot last time out
10/14 – Had won over 7f before
9/14 – Won last time out
8/14 – Winning favourites
5/14 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/14 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/14 – Ridden by Harry Bentley
The last four winners came from stalls 2 (2) or 5 (2)

2:40– William Hill Celebration Mile Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m ITV

14/14 – Drawn in stalls 7 or lower
13/14 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
13/14 – Had won over 1m before
12/14 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
11/14 – Won between 3- 6 times before
10/14 – Had won a Group race before
8/14 – Drawn in stalls 1, 2 or 3
8/14 – Had run at the track before
5/14– Won by a 3 year-old
5/14 – Winning favourites
4/14 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
4/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Ran at Salisbury last time out
3/14 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy (3 of the last 8)
2/14 – Trained by David Simcock

 

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Sat TV Trends: 25th May 2024

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More LIVE ITV3 horse racing this Saturday (25th May 24) as the cameras take in 8 races across three venues – Haydock, York and Goodwood – with the feature contest the Group Two Temple Stakes at Haydock Park.

As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle – use these to narrow down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

Enjoy!

Goodwood Horse Racing Trends (ITV3/RacingTV)

1.30 - William Hill Harroways Handicap Cl2 (3yo) 7f ITV3

10/10 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
9/10 – Raced in the last 3 weeks
9/10 – Came from stalls 2-6 (inc)
9/10 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/10 - returned between 9/2 to 12/1
6/10 - carried between 8-0 and 8-4
6/10 – Winners from stall 2 or 3
5/10 – Won just once before
3/10 – Rated between 77-81
4/10 – Winners from stall 3
3/10 – Trained by the Johnston yard
2/10 - Trained by Richard Hannon
2/10-  Winning favourites
David O’Meara, William Haggas, Richard Hannon (2), Johnston (3), Andrew Balding, William Muir and Mick Channon are the past winning yards
The average SP in the last 9 runnings is 17/2

2.05 – William Hill Height Of Fashion Stakes (Listed Race) (Cl1) (3yo) 1m2f ITV3

10/10 – Finished 4th or better last time out
10/10 – Ran between 1-4 times before
9/10 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Yet to win over 1m2f
7/10 – Ran between 1-2 times
7/10 – Won between stalls 4-8 (inc)
7/10 – Had won just once before
6/10 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
4/10 – Won last time out
3/10 – Winners from stall 7
3/10 – Ran at Ascot last time out
3/10 – Winning favourite
2/10 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/10 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

York Horse Racing Trends (ITV3/RacingTV)

2.45 – William Hill Extra Place Races Daily Handicap Cl2 5f ITV4

Only 9 previous runnings
8/9 – Winning distance ¾ length or less
7/9 – Aged 5 or younger
7/9 – Raced in the last 3 weeks
7/9 – Didn’t win last time out
6/9 – Drawn in stalls 5-9 (inc)
3/9 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
3/9 – Ridden by a claiming jockey
3/9 – Returned between 5/1 and 9/1 in the betting
2/9 – Aged 4 years-old
2/9 – Winning favourites
Copper Knight won the race in 2017
The average SP in the last 8 runnings is 12/1

3.20 – Williamhill.com Bronte Cup Fillies’ Stakes (Group 3) (4yo+) Cl1 1m6f ITV4

Just 5 previous runnings
5/5 - Aged 4 or 5 years-old
5/5 – Drawn in stalls 5 or lower
5/5 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
2/45- Winning favourites
River Of Stars won the race in 2023
Trainers Ralph Beckett, Andrew Balding, Roger Varian, John Gosden and William Haggas have won the race in the past

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV3/RacingTV)

1.15 – Betfred Silver Bowl Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV3

20/20 – Had won between 1-3 times before
19/20 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
18/20 – Had won over 7f or 1m before
18/20 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
18/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
16/20 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
16/20 – Placed last time out
16/20 – Carried 9-1 or less
13/20 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
12/20 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
9/20 – Won last time out
6/20 – Winning favourites
4/20 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/20 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/20 – Trained by the Gosden yard (2 of the last 4)
2/20 – Trained by Clive Cox (2 of the last 5)
2/20 – Trained by the Johnston yard (2 of last 10)
David Probert has ridden 3 of the last 13 winners.
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1

1.50 –Betfred Temple Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 5f ITV3

20/21 – Trained in the UK
19/21 – Had won over 5f before
18/21 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
14/21 – Placed third or better last time out
13/21 – Raced within the last 2 months
13/21 – Favourites that were placed
13/21 – Had won a Group race before
9/21 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
9/21 – Winning favourites
5/21 – Won their latest race
2/21 – Owned by Qatar Racing (2 of last 9 runnings)
2/21 – Trained by Clive Cox (2 of last 7 runnings)
2/21 – Trained by Charles Hills (2 of the last 5 runnings)
2/21 – Trained by Henry Candy
2/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/21 – Ridden by Adam Kirby (2 of last 7 runnings)
The average winning SP in the last 18 years is 11/2
9 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
Just 3 of the last 19 winners aged 3

2.25 – Betfred Nify Fifty Sandy Lane Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (3yo) 6f ITV3

17/18 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
17/18 – Raced in the last 7 weeks
17/18 – Had won over 6f before
15/18 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
14/18 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
14/18 – From stall 5 or higher
13/18 – Had won between 1-3 times before
9/18 – Winning favourites
6/18 – Came from stall 8 or 9
3/18 – Raced at Newbury last time out
2/18 – Raced at York last time
2/18 – Trained by William Haggas
2/18 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
2/18 – Trained by Karl Burke (2 of the last 7)
8 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 9 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/2
Trainer William Haggas won the race in 2009 and 2015

3.00 – Betfred Hattrick Heaven New Boston Handicap Cl3 (4yo+ 0-90) 7f ITV3

Just 3 previous runnings
3/3 - Retuned 9/2 or less
3/3 – Carried between 9-1 and 9-5 in weight
2/3 - Winning favourites
2/3 – Aged 4 years-old
Charlie Fellowes, Clive Cox and Ed Walker are the past winning trainers

3.30 – Betfred Nifty 50 Hell Nook Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-100) 2m ITV3

Just 9 previous runnings
9/9 – Winners aged 4 or 5
9/9 – Didn’t win last time out
9/9 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
8/9 – Came from stalls 2-8 (inc)
8/9 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
8/9 – Winners carried 8-13 or more
8/9 – Winning distance 2 lengths or less
7/9 – Rated between 89-98
7/9 – Finished in the top 6 last time out
6/9 – Unplaced favourites
2/9 – Trained by the Johnston yard
1/9 – Winning favourites (joint)
7 of the last 8 winners came from stalls 8 or lower
Trainers John Quinn, William Haggas, Mark Johnston (2), Tim Easterby, Brian Ellison, Lucy Wadham & Andrew Balding were previous winners of the race

 

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Sat TV Trends: 1st May 2021

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It’s day one of Guineas Weekend at Newmarket this Saturday, while the ITV cameras are heading to Goodwood & Thirsk.

As always, we’ve all the LIVE ITV races covered from a trends and stats angle.

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.50 – ‘My Oddsboost’ On Betfair Suffolk Stakes Cl2 1m1f ITV

14/15 – Had won at least twice before
14/15 – Had won over at least a mile before
13/15 – Priced 12/1 or shorter
13/15 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
13/15 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
12/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/15 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
10/15 – Returned between 9/1 and 12/1 in the betting
10/15 – Rated between 90 and 96
9/15 – Aged 4 years-old
7/15 – Having their first run of the season
6/15 – Won last time out
5/15 – Irish bred
3/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/15 - Winning favourites
Just 1 winner from stalls 1 or 2 in the last 12 runnings

 

2.20 – Betfair Palace House Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 5f ITV

16/18 – Had won over 5f before
16/18 – Won 3 or more times before
15/18 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
15/18 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
15/18 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
14/18 – Had run at Newmarket before
14/18 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
13/18 – Aged 5 or younger
12/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/18 – Placed favourites
11/18 – Rated between 108 and 114
10/18 – Won last time out
6/18 – Winning favourites
5/18 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/18 – Trained by Bryan Smart
Far Above won the race in 2020 (run in June)
Mabs Cross won the race in 2018 and 2019
Just 2 placed horses from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings
7 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 2-7 (inc)

 

3.00 – Betfair Exchange Jockey Club Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m4f ITV

17/17 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
14/17 – Had won between 3-5 times in their career
14/17 – Won over 1m4f+ before
13/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/17 – Winning distance – 1 ½ lengths or more
12/17 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
11/17 – Aged 4 years-old
10/17 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
9/17 – Rated 112 or higher
9/17 – Winning favourites
8/17 – Had won a Group race before
7/17 – Won last time out
7/17 – Having their first run of the season
6/17 – Aged 5 years-old
6/17 – Ran at Newbury last time out
4/17 – Returned 7/4 in the betting
3/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/17 – Won by trainer Mark Johnston
2/17 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute
2/17 – Trained by Andre Fabre

3.40 – Qipco 2000 Guineas Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 1m ITV

19/19 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
17/19 – Had won over at least 7f before
17/19 – Had won a Group race before
17/19 – Had won between 2-5 times before
15/19 – Drawn in stall 12 or lower
15/19 – Won last time out
14/19 – Winning distance – less than 2 lengths
14/19 – Having their first run of the season
12/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/19 – Placed favourites
12/19 – Had won just 2 or 3 times in their career before
11/19 – Won by an Irish-based yard
10/19 – Irish bred
9/19 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (10 wins in total)
8/19 – Had won over a mile before
7/19 – Drawn in stalls 1 or 3
6/19 – Winning favourites
5/19 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley) before
5/19 – Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (2 winners)
4/19 – Won the Dewhurst Stakes the previous season
3/19 – Ran at the Curragh last time out
6 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 19 years is 10/1

Other 2,000 Guineas Facts

- Aidan O’Brien has won the race in 1998, 2002, 2005, 2006, 2008, 2012, 2015, 2017, 2018 & 2019
- Frankie Dettori rode the winner in 1996, 1999 & 2016

Goodwood Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.05 – MansionBet Best Odds Guaranteed Conqueror Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m ITV

9/9 – Didn’t win last time out
8/9 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/9 – Yet to race at the track
8/9 – Won 2 or more times before
7/9 – Winners from stalls 1 or 5
7/9 – Horse from stall 1 placed in the top 3
7/9 – Favourites placed in the top 3
7/9 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
6/9 – Horse from stall 5 placed in the top 3
6/9 – Aged 4 years-old
6/9 – Unplaced last time out
5/9 – Horse from stall 7 placed in the top 3
5/9 – Won over a mile before
4/9 – Winners from stall 1
3/9 – Ran a Newmarket last time out
2/9 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 13/2

 

Thirsk Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.40 – Cliff Stud Thirsk Hunt Cup Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m ITV

9/9 – Aged 6 or younger
9/9 – Won at least twice before
9/9 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
8/9 – Drawn in stalls 7 or higher
8/9 – Rated between 87-94 (inc)
8/9 – Didn’t win last time out
8/9 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
8/9 – Won over at least 1m before
7/9 – Unplaced last time out
7/9 – Won between 2-4 times
6/9 – Winners from a double-figure draw
5/9 – Had run at the track before (3 won)
2/9 – Winning favourites

Note: The 2018 running was staged at Wetherby

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 29th Aug 2020

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More LIVE horse racing action this weekend as the ITV4 cameras head to Goodwood, Newmarket and Windsor – we’ve got it all covered with the key trends and stats to help you whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Goodwood Horse Racing Trends

 

1.50 - Ladbrokes Prestige Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 (2yo) 7f ITV

10/10 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
10/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
10/10 – Yet to win a Group or Listed race
10/10 – Foaled in Jan, Feb or March
10/10 – Had won over 6f or 7f before
10/10 – Won 1 or 2 times before
8/10 – Placed favourites
8/10 – Ran at Newmarket, Goodwood or Ascot last time out
7/10 – Won last time out
7/10 – Had won over 7f before
6/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/10 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/10 – Ridden by Harry Bentley
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 3/1

 

2.25 - Brian Chattaway Celebrating 50 Years At Ladbrokes Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 7f ITV

9/10 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
9/10 – Won over 7f before
9/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
9/10 – Won between 3-5 times before
8/10 – Carried 9-0 or more in weight
8/10 – Drawn between stalls 5-9 (inc)
8/10 – Didn’t win last time out
7/10 – Placed favourites
7/10 – Had run at Goodwood or Ascot last time out
7/10 – Had run at Goodwood before
7/10 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
6/10 – Winning favourites
5/10 – Irish bred
4/10 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
2/10 – Ridden by Adam Kirby
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/1

 

3:00 - Ladbrokes March Stakes (Group 3) (In Memory Of John Dunlop) Cl1 (3yo) 1m6f ITV

 

10/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Placed favourites
9/10 – Yet to win a Group or Listed race
8/10 – Won over at least 1m4f in the past
7/10 – Drawn in stalls 4 or lower
7/10 – Had run at the track before
6/10 – Won by a 3 year-old (last 6 runnings)
5/10 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
4/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Won last time out
2/10 – Trained by William Haggas
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/3

3:35 - Ladbrokes Celebration Mile Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m ITV

10/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
10/10 – Drawn in stalls 7 or lower
9/10 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
9/10 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Had won over 1m before
8/10 – Won between 3- 6 times before
7/10 – Drawn in stalls 1, 2 or 3
7/10 – Had won a Group race before
6/10 – Had run at the track before
5/10 – Won by a 3 year-old
4/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
3/10 – Ran at Salisbury last time out
3/10 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy
3/10 – Won last time out
2/10 – Trained by David Simcock
Duke Of Hazzard (3/1) won this in 2019

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends

 

2:05 - Hopeful Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 6f ITV

10/10 – Has won over 6f in the past
10/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Didn’t win last time out
8/10 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
8/10 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
6/10 – Won between 2-4 times before
6/10 – Placed last time out
6/10 – Ran at the track before
5/10 – Stall 1 horse placed (top 3)
3/10 – Winning favourite
2/10 – Trained by Dean Ivory
Raucous (10/1) won this race in 2019
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

Windsor Horse Racing Trends

 

2:40 - August Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m3½f ITV

10/10 – Aged between 3-6 years old
10/10 – Drawn between stalls 2-6 (inc)
10/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Placed favourites
8/10 – Had won over 1m2f+ before
8/10 – Irish bred
6/10 – Won between 2-4 times
6/10 – Drawn in stall 4
3/10 – Won last time out
3/10 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
2/10 – Trained by David Simcock
2/10 – Trained by Roger Varian
2/10 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/10 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
1/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1
Desert Encounter won this in 2018

3:15 - Sky Sports Racing Winter Hill Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV

9/10 – Won over 1m2f+ before
8/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
7/10 – Winners from stalls 1 (4) or 4 (3)
7/10 – Had won 4+ times before
7/10 – Placed in the top three last time out
5/10 – Won last time out
3/10 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
2/10 – Trained by Michael Bell
2/10 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
Desert Encounter won this race in 2019
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2



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