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Sat TV Trends: 8th Aug 2026 – Ascot Shergar Cup, Haydock and Newmarket

7 August 2026/in Trends/by Andy Newton

More LIVE ITV action this Saturday as the cameras head to Ascot, Haydock and Newmarket to take in LIVE races across the three venues.

We’ve six competitive handicaps at Ascot for their Shergar Cup Day, while at Haydock the Group Three Rose Of Lancaster Stakes is their feature. Then we’ve also one LIVE race at Newmarket’s July course – the Group Three Sweet Solera Stakes.

As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered with key trends and stats – use these to narrow down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ ITV)

1:35 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Dash (Handicap) Cl2 5f ITV

15/17 – Failed to win their last race
15/17 – Carried 9-3 or more weight
15/17 – Raced at Ascot previously
15/17 – Priced 6/1 or shorter in the betting market
14/17 – Had 4 or more runs that season
13/17 – Favourites placed
12/17 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/17 – Won at least 3 times in their career
10/17 – Had won over 5f previously
8/17 – Winning Favourites (1 joint)
8/17 – Winning distance – 1 or more lengths
7/17 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/17 – Trained by Robert Cowell (including 2 of the last 11 runnings)
3/17 – Won by the Andrew Balding yard
2/17 – Trained by Clive Cox (including 2 of the last 7)
7 of the last 10 winners aged 3-5
4/10 – Drawn in stall 7
Vintage Clarets won the race in 2025

2:10 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Stayers (Handicap) Cl2 2m ITV

19/21 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
19/21 – Didn’t win last time out
17/21 – Rated between 86-95
17/21 – Had raced at the track before
17/21 – Had raced within the last 2 weeks
13/21 – Had won between 2-5 times before (flat)
13/21 – Favourites placed in the top 4
13/21 – Ran at either Ascot (6) or Goodwood (7) last time out
13/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/21 – Winning favourites (1/10)
2/21 – Trained by the Charlton yard
2/21 – Trained by Ian Williams
2/21 – Won last time out
8 of the last 10 winners aged 5 or older
Just one winner from stall 1 in the last 19 runnings
5 of the last 15 winners came from stall 9
The last 9 winners carried 9-2 or more
Trainer Andrew Balding has won 2 of the last 7
Horses from stall 9 placed in the top three in 8 of the last 17 runnings

2:45 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Challenge (Handicap) Cl3 1m4f ITV

20/21 – Aged 6 or younger
19/21 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
19/21 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
18/21 – Won over 1m3f (or further) previously
18/21 – Won between 1-4 times previously
17/21 – Officially rated between 87-94
13/21 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
12/21 – Aged 4 years-old
11/21 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
10/21 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting market
9/21 – Priced 9/1 or bigger in the betting market
9/21 – Had run at Ascot previously
6/21 – Won last time out
2/21 – Won by the Cole yard
3/21 – Favourites that won (1/10)
Andrew Balding has won 2 of the last 7 runnings
8 of the last 10 winners aged 4 or 5
3 of the last 7 winners from stall 1 (2 of the last 3)
4 of the last 19 winners came from stall 5
11 of the last 19 winners came from stalls 5-8 (inc)
Night Breeze (11/4) won the race in 2025
Insanity (9/2) won the race in 2024 (3rd 2025)

3:20 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Sprint (Handicap) (Bobis Race) Cl2 6f ITV

21/21 – Carried 8-12 or more in weight
19/21 – Ran within the last 4-5 weeks
18/21 – Won over 6f previously
18/21 – Carried 9-1 or more in weight
18/21 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting market
16/21 – Won between 2-3 times previously
15/21 – Came from the top three in the betting market
15/21 – Priced 6/1 or shorter in the betting market
15/21 – Favourites placed
14/21 – Officially rated between 86-95
8/21 – Had run at Ascot previously
8/21 – Won last time out
8/21 – Winning Favourites
3/21 – Won by the Charlton yard
9 of the last 10 winners carried 9-5 or more
5 of the last 6 favourites won
4 of the last 6 winners drawn between 9-12 (inc)
7 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 5-8 (inc)
4 of the last 10 winners came from stall 12

3:55 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Classic (Handicap) (Bobis Race) Cl3 1m4f – ITV

15/16 – Raced 3 or more times that season
14/16 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
13/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
13/16 – Officially rated between 84-92
12/16 – Won over 1m2f or further previously
8/16 – Favourites placed
5/16 – Favourites that won
4/16 – Raced at Ascot last time out
4/16 – Trained by the Johnston yard (2 of the last 6)
2/16 – Trained by Richard Hannon
10 of the last 16 winners came from stalls 5, 7 or 8
10 of the last 12 winners came between stalls 5 and 9
8 of the last 10 winners between stalls 6-9
William Haggas has trained 2 of the last 4 winners

4:30 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV

20/21 – Won over at least a mile before
20/21 – Failed to win last time out
20/21 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
20/21 – Rated between 92-100
20/21 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
19/21 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
19/21 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
18/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
16/21 – Won between 2-4 times before
16/21 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
13/21 – Had run at Ascot before
6/21 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
6/21 – Winning favourites
3/21 – Trained by Andrew Balding
Only 3 of the last 19 winners came from stall 1
4 of the last 9 winners came from stall 12
The last 6 winners stalls 6 or lower
15 or the last 19 winners returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
5 of the last 7 winners came between stalls 9-12 (inc)
Ebt’s Guard (13/2) won the race in 2025
Cerulean Bay was 2nd in 2025

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ ITV)

2:25 – Betfred Rose Of Lancaster Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV

21/23 – Aged 5 or younger
21/23 – Officially rated 105 or higher
19/23 – Favourites placed
19/23 – Won over 1m2f or further
18/23 – Run 3 or more times that season
17/23 – Yet to run at Haydock
17/23 – Won 3 or more times during their career
17/23 – Aged either 3 or 5 years-old
16/23 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ or more
16/23 – Priced 7/1 or shorter in the betting
16/23 – Won a Listed or better class race before
15/23 – Raced at Newbury, York or Sandown last time out
14/23 – Officially rated between 105 and 110
9/23 – Finished unplaced in their last race
9/23 – Favourites that won (5 of the last 7)
3/23 – Won by Johnston yard
The last 7 winners from stalls 2-6
Trainer Owen Burrows has won 3 of the last 4
William Haggas has won 2 of the last 7

3:00 – Irish Stallion Farms EBF Dick Hern Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m ITV

14/15 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
14/15 – Didn’t win last time out
12/15 – Won between 1-3 times
10/15 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
9/15 – Rated between 94-100
7/15 – Ran at Ascot or Newmarket last time out
7/15 – Drawn between stalls 5-8
6/15 – Returned between 10/1 and 14/1
4/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Trained by William Haggas
2/15 – Trained by Roger Varian
6 of the last 8 winners aged 4
4 of the last 6 winners were drawn 1 or 2

Newmarket (July) Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ ITV4)

1:55 – Sweet Solera Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 (2yo) 7f ITV

20/23 – Won by a Jan, Feb or March foal
20/23 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting market
20/23 – Won just once previously
19/23 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
19/23 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
19/23 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting market
14/23 – Had won over only 6f previously
14/23 – Favourites placed
13/23 – Raced at Newmarket (9) or Sandown (4) last time out
12/23 – Won their last race
11/23 – Raced at Newmarket (July Course) previously
10/23 – Favourites that won
9/23 – Yet to win over 7f
9/23 – Had just one previous run
5/23 – Won by Godolphin
3/23 – Trained by the Hills stable
The Johnston yard has won 4 of the last 11 runnings (5 in total, most)
Trainer Richard Hannon has won 2 of the last 10 runnings
10 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 7 or lower
3 winners from stall 1 in the last 20 runnings
8 of the last 19 horses from stall 7 finished 1st (5) or 2nd (2)

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Sat TV Trends: 8th May 2021

8 May 2021/in Trends/by Andy Newton

More LIVE ITV Racing this Saturday as the cameras head to Haydock to take in the Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle, plus they are also at Ascot and Lingfield.

At Ascot, there are three LIVE ITV races that include the Victoria Cup, while it's Derby and Oaks Trials Day at Lingfield.

As always, here at GeeGeez we've got all the LIVE races covered with our key trends and stats.

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

3.10 - Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Registered As The Swinton Hurdle Race) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m ITV4

17/17 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-old
17/17 – Had won over at least 2m miles (hurdles before)
16/17 – Carried 11-5 or less
16/17 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
15/17 – Didn’t win last time out
14/17 – Had won between 2-3 times over hurdles before
11/17 – Irish bred
11/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/17 – Carried 10-8 or less
9/17 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
9/17 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
7/17 – Ran at Aintree last time out
6/17 – Returned a double-figure price
5/17 – Winning favourites
4/17 – Had run at the track before (hurdles)
4/17 – Trained by Evan Williams (4 of the last 7 runnings)
3/17 – Ran at Ayr last time out
2/17 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
1/17 – Irish-trained winners
4 of the last 14 winners returned 16/1
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

1.55 – Tote+ Exclusively At Tote.Co.UK British EBF Fillies´ Handicap Cl2 1m ITV4

14/14 – Failed to win last time out
14/14 – Had won 2-3 times on the flat before
12/14 – Had won over a mile before
12/14 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
12/14 – Aged 5 or younger
10/14 – Aged 4 years-old
9/14 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/14 – Carried 9-0 or more
8/14 – Favourites that finished 4^th or better
8/14 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
8/14 – Rated between 82-87
7/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
4/14 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/14 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 9/1

2.30 - Tote+ Pays More At Tote.Co.Uk Buckhounds Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f ITV4

12/15 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/15 – Had won 3 or more times before
9/15 – Favourites placed
9/15 – Had raced at Ascot before
8/15 – Winning favourites (inc co or joint)
8/15 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
7/15 – Had won over 1m4f before
5/15 – Raced within the last 3 weeks
4/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Trained by John Gosden
3/15 – Trained by Roger Varian
2/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The last 12 winners ALL came from stalls 5 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 4/1

Note: The 2020 race was staged at Newmarket

3.40 – tote+ Victoria Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV4

15/17 – Had run within the last 5 weeks
14/17 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
14/17 – Aged 5 or younger
14/17 – Had won no more than 3 times
13/17 – Had won over 7f before
12/17 – Carried 8-10 or less
10/17 – Unplaced favourites
10/17 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/17 – Had run at Ascot before (5 winners)
5/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/17 – Winning favourites (1 joint) – only 1 in the last 11 years
2/17 – Trained by David Elsworth (2 of last 5)
The last 7 winners came from a double-figure draw
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 13/1

Note: The 2005 running was staged at Lingfield

Lingfield Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

2.15 - Novibet Oaks Trial Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 1m3f106y ITV4

15/17 – Had won no more than once before
15/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Had no more than 3 career runs
14/17 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
10/17 – Came from stall 5 or higher
10/17 – Went onto run in the Epsom Oaks (no winners, two seconds)
9/17 – Had only won over a mile or shorter in the past
9/17 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
9/17 – Having first run of the season
8/17 – Won last time out
7/17 – Raced at either Newbury (3) or Newmarket (4) last time out
7/17 – Winning favourites
5/17 – Winning distance exactly 6 lengths
4/17 – Winners from stall 5
4/17 – Trained by John Gosden
4/17 – Had won over 1m2f before
3/17 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
2/17 – Trained by William Haggas
2/17 – Irish-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

2.50 – Novibet Derby Trial Stakes (Listed Race) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 1m3f106y ITV4

18/18 – Had won no more than 3 times
15/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/18 – Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (1 winner, Anthony Van Dyck, 2019)
14/18 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Finished 4^th or better last time out
13/18 – Favourites placed
11/18 – Had run within the last 4 weeks
8/18 – Drawn in stall 1 or 2
6/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
5/18 – Winning favourites
4/18 – Ran at Newbury last time out
3/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
High Rise (1998) and Anthony Van Dyck (2019) were the last winners to go onto win the Epsom Derby

3.25 - Novibet Chartwell Fillies´ Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 7f1y ITV4

14/14 – Aged 5 or younger
12/14 – Drawn between stalls 3-8 (inc)
12/14 – Won between 1-4 times before
11/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/14 – Had won over 7f before
9/14 – Finished 1^st or 2^nd last time out
9/14 – Placed favourites
8/14 – Irish-bred
7/14 – Drawn in stall 3 (4) or 7 (3)
7/14 – Won last time out
5/14 – Non UK-trained winners
5/14 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/14 – Returned 16/1 in the betting
3/14 – Winning favourites
5 of the last 11 winners returned double-figures in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 8/1

4.00 – Download The Novibet App Handicap Cl3 (4yo+ 0-95) 7 1/2f ITV4

Only 3 previous runnings
3/3 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
3/3 – Unplaced last time out
3/3 – Rated between 85 – 90
3/3 – Carried 9-2 or more
3/3 – Won at least twice before
3/3 – Had won over at least 7f before
3/3 – Had run at the track before
3/3 – Aged between 4-6 (inc)
2/3 – Ran at Haydock last time out
2/3 – Ran in the last 2 weeks
2/3 – Carried 9-7 in weight
2/3 – Trained by Richard Hannon
1/3 – Winning favourite

Sat TV Trends: 24th April 2021

23 April 2021/in Trends/by Andy Newton

It’s Bet365 Gold Cup day at Sandown Park this Saturday while the ITV cameras are also heading to Leicester & Haydock for a couple more races – As always, we’ve got all the LIVE TV ITV trends ……

SANDOWN HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RacingTV)

1.55 - bet365 Novices’ Championship Final Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 2m110y ITV

Just two previous runnings
No race in 2020 (Covid)
Getaway Trump (Paul Nicholls) 9/2 fav won the race in 2019
Ballymoy (Nigel Twiston-Davies) 13/2 jfav won the race in 2018
2/2 – Winners carried 11-7 or more in weight
2/2 – Winning favourites
2/2 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
Trainer Harry Fry has a 29% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 26% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Chris Gordon is just 1 from 26 with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Seamus Mullins is just 1 from 31 with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Dan Skelton is just 1 from 30 with his hurdlers at the track

2.30 - bet365 Oaksey Chase (Grade Two) (for The Menorah Challenge Trophy) Cl1 2m6f ITV

Just 6 previous running
6/6 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
6/6 – Didn’t win last time out
5/6 – Officially rated 161-169 (inc)
5/6 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
4/6 – Irish bred
4/6 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
3/6 – Ran at Aintree last time out
3/6 – Ran at Aintree last time out
3/6 – Winning favourites
Owner Diana Whateley won the race in 2014, 2015, 2016 & 2017
The average SP in the last 6 runnings is 5/2
Nicky Henderson and Paul Nicholls have won the race in the past too

3.05 - bet365 Celebration Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV

17/17 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
17/17 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
15/17 – Had won at least 3 times over fences before
14/17 – Aged 9 or younger
14/17 – Came from the top three in the betting
14/17 – Placed favourites
13/17 – Had raced at Sandown (fences) before
12/17 – Rated 160 or higher
12/17 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
10/17 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
7/17 – Irish bred
7/17 – Won last time out
7/17 – Winning favourite
5/17 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable (inc last 4)
4/17 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable (won it 5 times in all)
4/17 – Ran at Aintree last time out
4/17 – Ridden by Nico de Boinville (last 4)
3/17 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/17 – Ridden by Jamie Moore
1/17 – Irish-trained winners
Altior won the race in 2017, 2018 and 2019
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 15/8

3.40 - bet365 Gold Cup Chase (Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m5f110y ITV

17/17 – Had raced in the last 63 days
16/17 – Carried 11-5 or less in weight
14/17 – Carried 11-0 or less
14/17 – Had won over 3m or further before
13/17 – Aged 9 or younger
12/17 - Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
10/17 – Had raced in the last 25 days
10/17 – Officially rated 140 or higher
10/17 – Came from the top 7 in the betting market
9/17 – Finished 4^th or worse last time out
5/17 – Won with 10st in weight
3/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/17 – Won last time out
2/17 – Ran in the Aintree Grand National last time out
2/17 – Ran in the Scottish Grand National last time out
2/17 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
2/17 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/17 – Ridden by Sean Bowen
0/17 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 14/1

Other Key Bet365 Gold Cup Facts

The last winning favourite was Beau in 2000
Just one 6 year-old winner since 1959
24 of the last 29 (83%) winners carried less than 11st
8 year-olds have won 6 of the last 17 runnings (35%)
13 of the last 17 (76%) winners were aged 7, 8 or 9 years-old
Trainer Paul Nicholls has won the race 4 times

HAYDOCK HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RacingTV)

2.50 – Casumo Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Cl2 7f ITV

7 previous runnings
6/7 – Aged 5 or younger
6/7 – Won over 7f in the past
6/7 – Didn’t win last time out
5/7 – Carried between 8-7 and 9-5 in weight
5/7 – Came from stalls 1-5 (inc)
5/7 – Irish bred
5/7 – Winners from stalls 1-5 (inc)
3/7 – Rated between 96-100 (inc)
3/7 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/7 – Winning favourites
2/7 – Trained by William Haggas
2/7 – Trained by John Quinn
Trainer William Haggas has won race in 2016 and 2017
Trainer Ralph Beckett has a 36% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Ed Walker has a 27% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Charles Hills has a 24% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey William Buick has a 26% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track

LEICESTER HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RacingTV)

2.10 – Elusive Bloodstock EBF Stallions King Richard III Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 7f ITV

11/11 – Favourites placed in the top 3
10/11 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Winners from stalls 2-5 (inc)
9/11 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/11 – Won at least twice in the past
9/11 – Had won over 7f in the past
8/11 – Irish bred winners
8/11 – Last ran 2+ months ago
8/11 – Officially rated 107 or higher
8/11 – Didn’t win last time out
7/11 – Unplaced last time out
4/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Trained by Hugo Palmer
2/11 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
2/11 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
0/11 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 5/2