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Placepot Pointers – Tuesday 10th April

SOUTHWELL (NH) – APRIL 10

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2017: £19.40 (6 favourites – 3 winners – 1 placed – 2 unplaced)

 

Breakdown of the percentage of successful units in each Placepot race last year and the prices of the horses which finished in the frame – favourites which finished out of the Placepot positions are offered in brackets:

Race 1: 59.0% units went through – 6/1 – 2/1* - 11/2

Race 2: 45.8% of the remaining units when through – 10/3* & 5/1

Race 3: 93.5% of the remaining units went through – 4/7* - 12/1 – 7/1

Race 4: 37.7% of the remaining units went through – 9/2 & 10/3 (3/1)

Race 5: 73.6% of the remaining units went through – 2/1* - 50/1 – 7/2

Race 6: 53.4% of the units secured the dividend – 12/1 – 16/1 – 3/1 (5/2)

 

Tuesday's Placepot permutation at Southwell (NH): 

Leg 1 (2.00): 2 (Mondo Cane), 4 (Ulis De Vassy) & 1 (Beni Light)

Leg 2 (2.30): 1 (Achille) & 3 (Riddlestown)

Leg 3 (3.00): 1 (Casa Tall) & 2 (Whoshotwho)

Leg 4 (3.35): 3 (Sandhurst Lad), 4 (Western Wave) & 1 (Shinooki)

Leg 5 (4.05): 3 (Pineapple Rush), 4 (With Discretion) & 2 (Phoeniciana)

Leg 6 (4.35): 2 (Cosmic King) & 6 (Tickanrun)

Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes

 

2.00: More Placepot success yesterday, albeit we ‘only’ claimed one fifth of the £190.50 Ludlow dividend. Although MONDO CANE has only win via 12 assignments at the track to date, it’s worth noting that the eleven-year-old has finished ‘in the three’ six times down the years, whilst the success was gained under soft conditions.  Both of the course victories for ULIS DE VASSY were won on soft going, whilst BENI LIGHT completes my trio against the remaining five contenders in this potential ‘dead eight’ contest.

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Favourite factor: We still await the first successful market leader via three renewals though that said, two favourites have secured silver medals alongside Placepot positions.

Record of the three course winners in the opening race:

1/12—Mondo Cane (soft)

2/3—Ulis De Vassy (2 x soft)

2/25—That’s The Deal (good & good to soft)

 

2.30: ACHILLE looks a typical soft/heavy raider for Venetia Williams who saddled a couple of winners yesterday.  RIDDLESTOWN is the lone course winner in the field and though the trade press would have you believe that better ground would be appreciated by the eleven-year-old gelding, Riddlestown is a three time winner under soft conditions.  Unless the rain north of Watford becomes heavy, I believe it could be a close run affair between the two nominated thoroughbreds.

Favourite factor: Two of the three contests have been won by favourites though the other market leader finished out of the money.

Record of the course winner in the field:

7/24—Riddlestown (4 x good & 3 x soft)

 

3.00: It shows the quality of the rest of the horses in the field that good ground winner WHOSHOTWHO is rated heads and shoulders above this lot, aside from CASA TALL, with this pair fully expected to dominate proceedings well before the business end of proceedings comes into play.

Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 4/7 favourite duly obliged.

Record of the course winner in the third race on the card:

1/1—Whoshotwho (good)

 

3.35: WESTERN WAVE and SHINOOKI are two alternative win and place options to SANDHURST LAD who I readily admit looks a more likely winner.  Richard Johnson’s mount is the first of three booked rides on the card for the champion jockey.

Favourite factor: Only one of the three favourites via two renewals has claimed a Placepot position to date, albeit it was via a (10/3) victory.

Record of the course winner in the fourth contest on the card:

1/2—Shinooki (good to soft)

 

4.05: WITH DISCRETION and PINEAPPLE RUSH are the likeliest winners of the contest though PHOENICIANA remains something thing of a dark horse on behalf of the Lucy Wadham team.  PINEAPPLE RUSH is Richard Johnson’s second ride on the card and is marginally preferred to WITH DISCRETION on this occasion/

Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 2/1 market leader prevailed.

 

4.35: There is plenty of realistic money in the positive exchange queue for TICKANRUN whereby James Bowen could add to his total of 50 winners which he has achieved in double quick time thus far.  COSMIC KING arguably stands in his way here making his first appearance for Fergal O’Brien who knows how to sweeten up new inmates to his yard – and then some!

Favourite factor: 7/4 and 5/2 favourites have been sunk without trace either side of the successful 7/5 market leader two years ago.

 

 

Record of the course winner in the 7th (non Placepot) race:

1/1—Katahdin (soft)

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Placepot Pointers – Tuesday 27th March

HEREFORD – MARCH 27

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2017: £753.80 (6 favourites – No winners – 1 placed – 5 unplaced)

 

Tuesday's Placepot permutation at Hereford: 

Leg 1 (2.15): 7 (Salix) & 1 (Aardwolf)

Leg 2 (2.45): 1 (Rolling Dylan), 3 (Three Ways), 2 (Geordie Des Champs) & 5 (Jeu Du Mots)

Leg 3 (3.15): 1 (Jurby) & 2 (Westend Story)

Leg 4 (3.45): 4 (Easter In Paris), 1 (Hepburn) & 2 (Lady Robyn)

Leg 5 (4.15): 4 (Act Now) & 5 (Bridane Rebel)

Leg 6 (4.45): 3 (Jimmy Bell), 2 (Westerberry) & 5 (Pink Tara)

Suggested stake: 288 bets to 10p stakes

 

2.15: The first factor to mention is the overnight rain down here in the west-country which should eradicate the word “good” from the description of the ground yesterday/evening.  Two winners of last year’s corresponding card return to defend their respective titles, though that’s just about all I care to remember from twelve months ago when just one favourite finished in the frame (exact science).  SALIX arguably has more potential than AARDWOLF having had just the one run over timber to date, and that in a warm juvenile event at Kempton on the second day of the Christmas meeting at the Sunbury circuit. Only sent off that day as a 2/1 chance on debut, Ben Pauling’s raider is expected to prove that the initial effort was wide of the mark in terms of his potential. It’s interesting to note that there has been a little money for ROMANOR overnight which would create interest if the support is maintained later this morning.

Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 9/4 market leader could only beat one horse home twelve months ago in a short field contest, with horses returned at 7/1 and 10/3 filling the frame.  New readers might like to know that the term short field relates to 5/6/7 runner races in which only the first two horses qualify from each way & Placepot perspectives.

 

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2.45: Last year’s winner was returned at 33/1 and I would not put anyone off including JEU DU MOTS in their Placepot permutation this afternoon in a race which should not prove difficult to win.  Lizzy Kelly’s mount receives plenty of weight from the three rivals here, an ‘edge’ which is compounded by the pilot’s useful three pound claim.  Yes, ROLLING DYLAN, THREE WAYS and GEORDIE DES CHAMPS (listed in order of preference) should have enough in hand of the outsider of the party, but not enough to exclude the Nick Williams raider in this grade/company in a ‘win only’ event which could be run at a false pace.

Favourite factor: Last year’s 6/5 favourites was beaten 35 lengths when finishing third of just four finishers.

 

3.15: The last 26 horses saddled by Philip Hobbs have been beaten, the kind of ‘form’ that I have been talking about for some time now which gives yours truly no sense of pleasure at all.  Philip is one of the good guys in the sport and this type of representation is almost unheard of back at the ranch since Philip started training 30 years ago.  It will be Philip’s worst month of March in seventeen years if he does not saddle another winner before Easter Monday, though that is (seemingly) not putting people off backing his runner WESTEND STORY in this event.  According to the gospel of yours truly, the potential joker in the pack is JURBY as far as Philip and his team is concerned.

Favourite factor: The 13/8 market leader was no match for the pair of 5/2 second favourites that filled the forecast positions in another short field event on the card twelve months ago.

 

3.45: EASTER IN PARIS returns to defend his crown and though there are more rivals in opposition on this occasion, Paddy Brennan’s mount is expected to be there or thereabouts at the business end of proceedings.  Certainly her Placepot chance is there for all to see, though the declarations of HEPBURN and LADY ROBYN (to a fashion) suggest that any win stakes should be kept on the low side.

Favourite factor: Last year’s 5/2 market leader was the only horse which failed to complete the course on a wretched afternoon for favourite backers twelve

months ago.

Record of the course winner in the fourth race:

1/1—Easter In Paris (good to soft)

 

4.15: Anthony Honeyball was unable to maintain the momentum of a wonderful run of results in mid-season which the likes of Henderson, Nicholls and other leading trainers would have been proud of at any time of the year.  Anthony’s number of runners have tailed off accordingly, though ACT NOW has been offered the green light in an attempt to follow up his victory in this contest twelve months ago.  RUBY YEATS will come back and win another race sooner rather than later I’ll wager, though perhaps the biggest threat to the selection this time around is BRIDANE REBEL who hails from another trainer who is enjoying a wonderful season; namely Jennie Candlish.

Favourite factor: Last year’s 10/11 runner up was the only favourite to finish in the Placepot frame, though that fact was of no interest to favourite investors on the day.

Record of the course winner in the fifth contest on the card:

1/1—Act Now (good to soft)

 

4.45: Ladbrokes were out on a limb earlier this morning with WESTERBERRY at 25/1 but I see that the ‘magic sign’ has cut the outsider, whilst others have also trimmed PINK TARA in the field.  I believe that both horses could give each way followers a run for their respective monies, though from a win perspective, I prefer the chance of JIMMY BELL.

Favourite factor: The final 3/1 favourite on last year’s card offered a lame attempt to get punters out of jail by finishing last of the seven contenders that completed the course.

Record of the course winner in the Placepot finale:

1/5—Way Of The World (heavy)

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

 

Stat of the Day, 27th March 2018

Monday's Runner was...

3.05 Huntingdon : Clondaw Westie @ 9/2 BOG WON at 8/1 (Chased leaders, 2nd after 3rd, hit 6th, mistake and lost 2nd 9th, mistake 4 out, challenged last, soon led, stayed on well, clear towards finish, winning by best part of three lengths)

We continue with Tuesday's...

4.15 Hereford :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Bridane Rebel @ 7/2 BOG

A Class 4, 3m2f Mares Handicap Hurdle (4yo+) on Soft ground worth £6,758 to the winner...

Why?

A 7 yr old mare who was a winner when last seen 16 days ago staying on well to win by 6 lengths on soft ground over 2m7.5f. She's up in trip today, but did make the frame on her only previous attempt beyond 3m1f and looked like she had plenty in the tank last time. That LTO win was at at Class 4 and also under today's jockey David Noonan who is 1531 on the mare.

She's 2 from 3 within three weeks of her last run, 1 from 1 in cheekpieces and will no doubt derive stamina from her father, the mighty Milan, whose 6 to 8 yr old handicap hurdlers are 22/88 (25% SR) for 99.1pts (+112.6% ROI) over trips of 3m0.5f to 3m6f on soft or heavy ground since 2012.

She also has the benefit of being handled by the under-rated (in my opinion) Jennie Candlish, whose runners are flying right now, winning 6 of 16 (37.5% SR) in the past month and whose LTO winners have won again on 28 of 98 (28.6% SR) occasions since the start of 2015 generating 52.7pts profit for the punters at an ROI of 53.8%.

And there's more than enough there to suggest our girl will put a decent effort in today, but let's add a little something else...

Jennie Candlish's late season (March/April) NH handicappers are 23/80 (28.8% SR) for 101.5pts (+126.8% ROI), backed blindly since March 1st 2015 and these include of relevance today...

  • those who last ran 16-60 days earlier : 21/62 (33.9%) for 113pts (+182.2%)
  • 7-11 yr olds : 21/59 (35.6%) for 107.9pts (+182.8%)
  • at odds of 8/1 and shorter : 21/57 (36.8%) for 62.8pts (+110.1%)
  • at trips of 2m7.5f to 3m2f : 16/35 (45.7%) for 80.1pts (+229%)
  • at Class 4 : 14/32 (43.8%) for 43.4pts (+135.5%)
  • on Soft ground : 11/29 (37.9%) for 88pts (+303.4%)
  • and LTO winners are 5/18 (27.8%) for 11.2pts (+62.3%)

...giving us : Class 2 to 4, 7-11 yr olds at 8/1 and shorter 16-60 days after their last run @ 13/21 (61.9% SR) for 61.1pts (+290.9% ROI) profit, from which...

  • Class 4 runners are 9/15 (60%) for 38.3pts (+255.5%)
  • Soft ground runners : 8/9 (88.9%) for 44.8pts (+497.6%)
  • Class 4 on soft : 6/7 (85.7%) for 31.3pts (+447.1%)
  • and LTO winners : 3/7 (42.9%) for 16.4pts (+234%)

...all pointing towards...a 1pt win bet on Bridane Rebel @ 7/2 BOG which was offered by both Bet365 & SkyBet at 5.15pm on Monday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 4.15 Hereford

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Placepot Pointers – Saturday 10th March

SANDOWN – MARCH 10 

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2017: £317.40 (6 favourites – 1 winner – 2 placed – 3 unplaced)

 

Saturday's Placepot permutation at Sandown: 

Leg 1 (1.20): 1 (Shambra), 3 (Royal Zanzibar) & 5 (Erik Le Rouge)

Leg 2 (1.50): 7 (Al Shahir), 8 (The Dubai Way) & 9 (Notre Ami)

Leg 3 (2.25): 3 (Whatswrongwithyou), 13 (Friday Night Light) & 8 (Highway One O One)

Leg 4 (3.00): 2 (Posh Trish) & 7 (Queens Cave)

Leg 5 (3.35): 4 (Tanit River) & 2 (Pete The Feat)

Leg 6 (4.10): 4 (The Last But One), 3 (Silverhow) & 1 (Rayvin Black)

Suggested stake: 324 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Saturday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page

 

1.20: There is some realistic positive money emerging for ERIK LE ROUGE on the exchanges at the time of writing, whilst it’s worth noting that Nick Williams (for once in his life) has declared more runners on the card than any other trainer.  I’ll wager that Nick will gain a winner somewhere down the line but whether it is in the first event remains to be seen.  Certainly on the form book, the likes of SHAMBRA and recent soft ground winner ROYAL ZANZIBAR should be there or thereabouts turning for home.

Favourite factor: Three one of the five favourites to date (winners at 5/2 & Evens included) have secured Placepot positions to date.

 

1.50: Six-year-olds have won fourteen contests during the last twenty years (including ten of the last fourteen) and with eight of the eighteen declarations hailing from the vintage, six-year-olds are 5/4 mark to land the spoils before form is taken into consideration.  I’m opting for AL SHAHIR and THE DUBAI WAY this time around. Nick Gifford holds a leading chance in the Championship Bumper at the Cheltenham Festival on Wednesday and there will be worse outsiders on todays’ card than heavy ground course winner NOTRE AMI I’ll wager.

Favourite factor: Three favourites have won during the study period, whilst five of the other eighteen market leaders additionally claimed Placepot positions.

Record of the course winner in second event:

1/1—Notre Ami (heavy)

 

2.25: I’m duty bound to report that twelve of the last thirteen winners have carried weights of 10-13 or less (as have 39 of the last 55 win and placed horses) which eliminates most of the field this time around.  The top two horses in the market have both won with plenty of moisture in the ground, whereby WHATSWRONGWITHYOU and FRIDAY NIGHT LIGHT have to be respected.  That said, six-year-olds have won four of the last nine contests and with Chris Gordon having held two entries on the card for HIGHWAY ONE O ONE, I am duty bound to stand by the trainer who landed one of my finest days in memory when scoring with all five runners on the Monday before Cheltenham last year, something I had ‘offered’ to my followers before the trainer pulled of his nigh 1,000/1 accumulator!  HIGHWAY ONE O ONE has not raced on ground this deep but there was plenty to like about his soft ground Boxing Day win the last day.  Charis has secured one gold and five silver medals via his last seven runners for good measure.

Favourite factor: Seven favourites have obliged during the last eighteen years, though just three of the other eleven market leaders additionally claimed Placepot positions.

Record of the course winner in the Imperial Cup:

2/2—Call Me Lord (good & heavy)

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3.00: Five-year-olds have won seven of the fourteen contests and the pick of this year’s seven relevant raiders will hopefully prove to be POSH TRISH and QUEENS CAVE.  The ‘dark horse’ in the field however is undoubtedly URCA DE LIMA and I truly wish that I had enough room for Anthony Honeyball’s raider to be included in my permutation.  What I suggest (above) and what I ultimately do however, is another matter entirely!  I am aware (as always I hope) of different budgets affecting each one us, especially with Cheltenham around the corner.

Favourite factor: Four of the fourteen market leaders have claimed Placepot positions to date, whilst we had to wait until 2012 for the first (and only) successful (2/1) market leader to emerge.

 

3.35:  Thirteen of the last sixteen winners have carried weights of 11-1 or more and that figure will probably be increased this year with six of the seven runners ‘qualifying’ via the weight trend.  Eight-year-olds have won four of the last five renewals whereby TANIT RIVER is the first name on the team sheet, especially having won on his only start at Sandown over the distance on soft ground.  PETE THE FEAT was a little disappointing at Exeter the last day but having won 4/14 on heavy ground and loving every inch of this Esher circuit, I think it’s worth giving the old boy another chance in this grade/company.  Last year’s winner Shanroe Sands will find the ground much softer on this occasion I fancy.

Favourite factor: Four favourites have obliged during the last twenty years, whilst 13/23 market leaders have secured Placepot positions.

Record of the course winners in the fifth contest on the card:

1/3—Shanroe Santos (good to soft)

2/7—Pete The Feat (good to soft & soft)

1/1—Tanit River (soft)

 

4.10: A ‘win only’ Placepot finale which temps fate with yours truly including three of the four runners from a Placepot viewpont.  Listed in order of preference, the trio is named as THE LAST BUT ONE, SILVERHOW and RAYVIN BLACK.  Readers are asked to organise ‘British queues’ outside bookmaker outlets this morning as they strive to get on the horse I have left out of the equation, namely Diamant Bleu!

Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 11/4 favourite finished out of the ‘short field’ frame.  New readers might like to know that the term short field relates to 5/6/7 runner races in which only the first two horses home qualify from each way & Placepot perspectives.

Record of the course winners in the Placepot finale:

2/7—Rayvin Black (soft & heavy)

1/2—Silverhow (soft)

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners (three or more on the Sandown card on Saturday:

5 runners—Nick Williams

3—Nicky Henderson

3—Charlie Longsdon

3—Oliver Sherwood

3—Colin Tizzard

3—Nigel Twiston-Davies

3—Lucy Wadham

+ 46 different trainers who saddled two or less….

69 declared runners

 

General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:

Ayr: £349.00 – 6 favourites – 1 winner & 5 unplaced

Hereford: £29.80 – 6 favourites – 1 winner – 2 placed – 3 unplaced

Chelmsford: £200.30 – 7 favourites – 2 winners – 3 placed – 2 unplaced

Wolverhampton: £119.60 – 6 favourites – 3 winners – 1 placed – 2 unplaced

 

 

 

 

 

Placepot Pointers – Monday 29th January

PLUMPTON – JANUARY 29

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2017: £15.80 (6 favourites – 3 winners – 2 placed – 1 unplaced)

 

Monday's Placepot permutation at Plumpton: 

Leg 1 (1.55): 8 (Weebill), 1 (Canyouringmeback) & 5 (Paddy’s Poem)

Leg 2 (2.25): 4 (Le Coeur Net), 8 (Sir Hubert) & 3 (Two Hoots)

Leg 3 (2.55): 4 (My Dance) & 3 (Puppet Warrior)

Leg 4 (3.25): 5 (Clondaw Bisto), 4 (Ballyheigue Bay) & 6 (Sandhurst Lad)

Leg 5 (3.55): 2 (Act Now) & 1 (Leo Lunar)

Leg 6 (4.25): 4 (Be Daring), 1 (Argyle) & 9 (Sixites Idol)

Suggested stake: 324 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Monday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page

 

1.55: Seven-year-olds have secured four of the last eight available Placepot positions, statistics which include two (7/2 & 10/11*) winners.  Nick Gifford’s PADDY’S POEM makes far more appeal that the other vintage raider on this occasion, albeit only from a Placepot perspective.  More logical winners from my viewpoint include stable companion CANYOURINGMEBACK and (especially) WEEBILL.

Favourite factor: Three of the four favourites have secured Placepot positions, statistics which include two (10/11 & 1/10) winners.  That said, last year’s 1/4 market leader was beaten from a win perspective.

 

2.25: You can comfortably ignore the 5/1 trade press call about LE COEUR NET as Anthony Honeyball looks to add to his impressive tally this season.  Although the relevant horses have not produced a level stake profit over the last five years, Anthony’s 30% strike rate at the track during the period makes for impressive reading and his three runners this afternoon warrant plenty of respect.  SIR HUBERT and TWO HOOTS are likely to give each way supporters a decent run for their collective investments.

Favourite factor: Four of the five market leaders have finished in the frame via four renewals.  That is as many as there could have been as the favourite that missed out contested a ‘win only’ event.

 

2.55: MY DANCE in the second of the three Honeyball runners on the card and this Midnight Legend mare looks something out of the ordinary, a little like her mum (My Petra) who was a really good sort herself, finishing ‘in the three’ in 20/33 assignments.  A winner of a Grade 2 chase into the bargain, My Petra looks to have passed off plenty of ability to MY DANCE who looks destined for far better things if she can take this event in her stride.  PUPPET WARRIOR provides half decent opposition however, though the other pair look to be up against it in this ‘win only’ event.

Favourite factor: Last year’s 1/2 favourite duly obliged.

 

3.25:  Eight of the nine available Placepot positions to date have been claimed by horses carrying a maximum burden of 11-4, statistics which include all four (16/1, 4/1, 4/1 & 2/1*) winners.  Suzy Smith has saddled 14 winners here at Plumpton during the last five years, a total the she has achieved at all the other tracks in the county – combined!  Stable representative CLONDAW BISTO will not mind the ground and the course winner also qualifies via the weight trend.  Two horses that run from the ‘inferior’ sector of the handicap that might still represent a little value are SANDHURST LAD (though the ground will be plenty deep enough for him) and BALLYHEIGUE BAY who hails from the in form yard of Chris Gordon who won with his only runner (Remiluc) at 20/1 at Cheltenham on Saturday.  An interesting event, given that seven of the eight runners have previously won here at Plumpton.  Please form an orderly queue outside the betting shops across the land for those of the you that want to back the ‘missing’ runner, namely Plantagenet!

Favourite factor: The inaugural 2/1 favourite duly obliged though that said, the other four favourites (via three further renewals) finished out of the frame.

Record of course winners in the fourth race:

1/3—No Buts (heavy)

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3/7—Tambura (2 x soft & good to soft)

1/6—Saucysioux (heavy)

1/4—Ballyheigue Bay (good to soft)

1/w—Clondaw Bisto (heavy)

1/1—Sandhurst Lad (good to soft)

1.1—Jully Les Buxy (heavy)

 

3.55: There is plenty of money in the (realistic) positive exchange queue for LEO LUNA at the time of writing, so much so that favouritism against Clondaw Rigger is warming up at the time of writing.  The third Honeyball runner ACT NOW is no forlorn hope this afternoon, whilst the other option in the contest according to the gospel of yours truly is Frank N Fair.

Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 9/4 market leader prevailed.

Record of course winners in the fifth event:

2/3—Act Now (soft & heavy)

2/13—Invicta Lake (good & good to soft)

3/13—Frank N Fair (good – good to soft – soft)

1/3—Howlongisafoot (good)

 

4.25: Five-year-olds have won the last two renewals when represented, with ARGYLE preferred to SIXTIES IDOL this time around, albeit both horses will be included in my Placepot permutation.  From win perspective however, the call has to be BE DARING, given that in form trainer Chris Gordon goes in search of a hat trick in the race, having won the last two renewals with returned favourites.

Favourite factor: Two of the five favourites (via four renewals) have claimed Placepot positions by winning their respective event at odds of 2/1 and 11/4.

Record of course winners in the Placepot finale:

2/13—Kastani Beach (good & heavy)

2/2—Drive On Locky (good & good to soft)

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Plumpton card on Monday – followed by their seasonal (in brackets) and five year ratios at the track this year + profits/losses accrued on both counts:

5 runners—Gary Moore (8/44 – loss of 2 points) – 51/262 – loss of 20

5—Seamus Mullins (2/13 +2) – 14/123 – loss of 46

4—Nick Gifford (0/12) – 5/66 – loss of 31

4—Chris Gordon (3/20 – loss of 3) – 23/147 +18

3—Anthony Honeyball (2/10 – loss of 5) – 15/50 – loss of 7

2—Jim Boyle (0/2) – 1/9 – loss of 5

2—Zoe Davison (4/8 +38) – 7/75 – loss of 6

2—Johnny Farrelly (0/3) – 5/24 – slight loss

2—Warren Greatrex (1/6 +7) – 11/44 +14

2—Olly Murphy (0/1) – 0/1

2—Jeremy Scott (0/2) – 4/23 - loss of 5

2—Suzy Smith (1/6 +23) – 14/49 +89

+ 14 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

49 declared runners

 

General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:

Hereford: This is a new meeting

Wolverhampton: £ 12.10 – 6 favourites – 1 winner – 4 placed – 1 unplaced

Stat of the Day, 29th January 2018

Saturday's Result :

4.00 Uttoxeter : Major Hindrance @ 10/3 BOG 3rd at 4/5 TTracked leaders, lost place before 3rd, ridden 5th, headway after next, not fluent 8th, struggling next, behind when mistake 4 out, rallied after 2 out, went 3rd last, no impression on leaders...

Next up is Monday's...

2.40 Hereford :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

All Is Good @ 7/2 BOG

A Class 4, 4yo+ Handicap Hurdle over 2m on Soft ground worth £4,159 to the winner...

Your first 30 days for just £1

Why?

Well, on a day where there aren't many stat angles jumping out at me, I'm going to keep it simple for a change!

I felt that presence of a Tom Lacey runner here meant that our pick offered some decent value at the prices quoted on what could be pretty tough going.

Our boy is trained by the in-form Robin Dickin, whose runners have all made the frame over the last fortnight with 3 winners and 3 placers from his 6 entrants and his representative here is a lightly raced 6 yr old gelding by Scorpion and that's of interest to me, because...

...Scorpion handicap jumpers are 14 from 102 (13.7% SR) for 113pts (+110.8% ROI) profit since the start of 2016 when running on ground declared as soft or softer and amongst those 102 mudlarks...

  • males are 9/79 (11.4%) for 115.2pts (+145.8%)
  • on Soft : 9/69 (13%) for 116.2pts (+168.4%)
  • over hurdles : 8/65 (12.3%) for 110.3pts (+169.7%)
  • at Class 4 : 9/60 (15%) for 121.4pts (+202.3%)
  • at odds of 2/1 to 10/1 : 12/55 (21.8%) for 29pts (+52.7%)
  • January/February : 7/36 (19.4%) for 22.03pts (+61.2%)
  • and here at hereford : 2/3 (66.6%) for 16.7pts (+556.6%)

...and this simple approach gives...a 1pt win bet on All Is Good @ 7/2 BOG which was widely available at 5.30pm on Sunday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 2.40 Hereford

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 29th January 2018

Saturday's Result :

4.00 Uttoxeter : Major Hindrance @ 10/3 BOG 3rd at 4/5 TTracked leaders, lost place before 3rd, ridden 5th, headway after next, not fluent 8th, struggling next, behind when mistake 4 out, rallied after 2 out, went 3rd last, no impression on leaders...

Next up is Monday's...

2.40 Hereford :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

All Is Good @ 7/2 BOG

A Class 4, 4yo+ Handicap Hurdle over 2m on Soft ground worth £4,159 to the winner...

Why?

Well, on a day where there aren't many stat angles jumping out at me, I'm going to keep it simple for a change!

I felt that presence of a Tom Lacey runner here meant that our pick offered some decent value at the prices quoted on what could be pretty tough going.

Our boy is trained by the in-form Robin Dickin, whose runners have all made the frame over the last fortnight with 3 winners and 3 placers from his 6 entrants and his representative here is a lightly raced 6 yr old gelding by Scorpion and that's of interest to me, because...

...Scorpion handicap jumpers are 14 from 102 (13.7% SR) for 113pts (+110.8% ROI) profit since the start of 2016 when running on ground declared as soft or softer and amongst those 102 mudlarks...

  • males are 9/79 (11.4%) for 115.2pts (+145.8%)
  • on Soft : 9/69 (13%) for 116.2pts (+168.4%)
  • over hurdles : 8/65 (12.3%) for 110.3pts (+169.7%)
  • at Class 4 : 9/60 (15%) for 121.4pts (+202.3%)
  • at odds of 2/1 to 10/1 : 12/55 (21.8%) for 29pts (+52.7%)
  • January/February : 7/36 (19.4%) for 22.03pts (+61.2%)
  • and here at hereford : 2/3 (66.6%) for 16.7pts (+556.6%)

...and this simple approach gives...a 1pt win bet on All Is Good @ 7/2 BOG which was widely available at 5.30pm on Sunday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 2.40 Hereford

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Placepot Pointers – Monday 8th January

FONTWELL – JANUARY 8

 

Last year’s corresponding Placepot details:

£26.40 (6 favourites – 3 winners – 2 placed – 1 unplaced)

 

Monday's Placepot permutation at Fontwell: 

Leg 1 (1.15): 5 (My Dance), 8 (Tierra Verde) & 1 (Bee Crossing)

Leg 2 (1.45): 1 (Hands Of Stone), 7 (Blue April) & 3 (Flanagans Field)

Leg 3 (2.15): 1 (Greyed A) & 4 (Itoldyou)

Leg 4 (2.45): 6 (Tikken Away), 1 (Minella On Line) & 4 (Chris Pea Green)

Leg 5 (3.15): 2 (Cloudy Beach), 6 (Native Robin) & 4 (Jarlath)

Leg 6 (3.45): 6 (Puppet Warrior) & 7 (Seaston Spirit)

Suggested stake: 324 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Monday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page

 

1.15: Anthony Honeyball has saddled five winners at Fontwell via their last six meetings, with MY DANCE being the trainer’s only runner on the card.  I would have been happier had the ground been in better condition for the Kayf Tara mare, though the relevant stock tend to get through the ground well enough as a general rule.  Harry Whittington is on a crest of a wave right now and with four of his last five runners having won, Harry’s TIERRA VERDE demands great respect, especially in this grade/company.  BEE CROSSING is the other short listed runner in the opening contest.

Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 8/11 favourite duly obliged.

Record of the course winner in the opening event:

1/2—Bold Image (good to soft)

 

1.45: Evan Williams will have gained a great deal of pleasure with the victory of his veteran Buywise at Sandown on Saturday, with the trainer holding a half decent chance of saddling another gold medallist at a double figure price in HANDS OF STONE.  Relatively unexposed for a six-year-old, Evan’s Shantou gelding has attracted some interest at around the 14/1 mark overnight and with Conor Ring claiming a useful three pounds in the plate, HANDS OF STONE is the each way call in the contest.  More logical winners include FLANAGANS FIELD and BLUE APRIL I guess, the latter named raider hailing from Jeremy Scott’s in form yard which has snared four gold medals via their last eleven runners.

Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 7/2 market leader sneaked into the frame via a bronze medal effort.

 

2.15: Boasting a 22% strike rate during the month of January in recent years, Dr Richard Newland should be rewarded here for finding a realistic target for his recent heavy ground course and distance winner GREYED A who seemingly has precious little more to do having gone up just three pounds for a facile victory.  ITOLDYOU might plod around in a slightly quicker time than ALLCHILLEDOUT, though the emphasis very much on plod rather than quick!

Your first 30 days for just £1

Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural (Colin Tizzard trained) 5/2 favourite duly prevailed.  Out of interest, Colin saddles Allchilledout this time around.

Record of the course winners in the third race:

1/3—Greyed A (heavy)

3/7—Itoldyou (good – good to soft – heavy)

 

2.45: CHRIS PEA GREEN is a talented individual and no mistake, though Gary Moore’s local raider is back hurdling having seemingly lost form and enthusiasm for the job in hand in recent seasons.  A winner of three of his first four races in 2012/13, CHRIS PEA GREEN has scored on just two of his subsequent 20 assignments, with eight races having been contested since last winning over three years ago.  Unfortunately, Joshua’s mount has followed in the footsteps of his highly talented sire Proclamation who won four of his first five races under the other code before being retired early in his career.  Robert Walford can do little wrong at present whereby the chance of TIKKEN AWAY is there for all to see, whilst MINELLA ON LINE offers some value for money, albeit on ground that will be slower than the top weight would like.

Favourite factor: This was the only race on last year’s Placepot card in which the favourite failed to finish in the money.

 

3.15: JARLATH has yet to race on this type of ground for all that connections would have liked some of the recent wet stuff to have been blown elsewhere.  Conversely, Venetia Williams has really appreciated the recent wet spell with her stock generally revelling in slower conditions.  CLOUDY BEACH is one such individual (2/4 on heavy going), whilst NATIVE ROBIN scored under similar conditions the last day at Warwick.

Favourite factor: The front two horses in the market filled the ‘short field’ frame last year, albeit they finished the wrong way around for the majority of investors.  New readers might like to know that the term short field relates to 5/6/7 runner races in which only the first two horses home qualify from each way and Placepot perspectives.

Record of the course winners in the fifth contest on the card:

2/2—Cloudy Beach (good & heavy)

2/5—Fergal Muel Duin (good to soft & soft)

 

3.45: For all that Mellow Ben could also finish in the frame, the pair to concentrate on here is PUPPET WARRIOR and SEASTON SPIRIT.  The two horses are around the 2/9 (coupled) mark to win the race between them at the time of writing, notwithstanding obvious Placepot claims in a weak finale.

Favourite factor: The front pair in the market dominated last year’s first running with the 4/6 market leader landing the prize.

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners (two or more) on the Fontwell card on Monday – followed by seasonal (in brackets) and career ratios at the track + profits/losses accrued on both counts:

4 runners—Gary Moore (6/51 – loss of 19 points) – 197/06 – loss of 101

4—Seamus Mullins (4/29 +15) – 51/554 – loss of 111

3—Chris Gordon (4/39 – loss of 24) – 66/540 – loss of 3

3—Evan Williams (0/5) – 33/220 – loss of 87

2—Johnny Farrelly (1/7 – loss of 3) – 1/25 – loss of 21

2—Jeremy Scott (3/13 – slight loss) – 12/81 +5

2—Oliver Sherwood (0/11) – 44/286 – loss of 20 points

2—Colin Tizzard (3/13 – slight loss) – 45/287 – loss of 56

2—Robert Walford (1/2 – loss of 2) – 4/31 – loss of 14

+ 21 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

45 declared runners

 

General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:

Hereford: £313.10 – 7 favourites – 1 winner – 2 placed – 4 unplaced

Wolverhampton: £30.00 – 6 favourites – 2 winners – 3 placed – 1 unplaced

 

Stat of the Day, 8th January 2018

Saturday's Result :

3.20 Chepstow : Play the Ace @ 3/1 BOG PU at 9/4 Prominent, pushed along after 5th, not fluent 9th, weakened before 4 out, pulled up before 2 out....

Next up is Monday's...

2.30 Hereford :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Steel Native @ 4/1 BOG

Your first 30 days for just £1

A Class 5, 5yo+ Handicap Chase over 3m1f on Soft ground worth £3,509 to the winner...

Why?

The in-form Jamie Bowen is in the saddle here, so it's worth noting that over the last 30 days, he has ridden 12 winners from 45 (26.7% SR) attempts generating 32.9pts (+73.7% ROI) of level stakes goodness, from which he's 9/34 (26.5%) for 33pts (+97.1%) in handicaps and 5/13 (38.5%) for 34pts (+261.9%) in chases : all in handicaps.

He now gets the leg up on a 7 yr old gelding who has won two of his last three, including a heavy ground win and one on Soft grounds over 3 miles, so he shouldn't be getting done for stamina. In fact his last three results on soft ground read 221, so he's not afraid of a bit of mud!

His trainer David Rees is 29/184 (15.8% SR) for 109.8pts (+59.7% ROI) with chasers since 2010, of which his handicappers are 26/170 (15.3%) for 110.8pts (+65.2%) and of these 170 handicap chasers...

  • males are 23/153 (15%) for 120.4pts (+78.7%)
  • at Class 5 : 9/52 (17.3%) for 35.3pts (+67.8%)
  • over trips of 3m to 3m2.5f : 8/52 (15.4%) for 50.1pts (+96.3%)
  • on Soft/Heavy ground : 11/48 (22.9%) for 101.4pts (+211.2%)
  • in 2017 : 9/36 (25%) for 47.3pts (+131.4%)
  • on soft ground : 7/33 (21.2%) for 51pts (+154.6%)
  • and LTO winners are 8/23 (34.8%) for 37.1pts (+161.1%)

...giving us...... a 1pt win bet on Steel Native @ 4/1 BOG which was widely available in half a dozen places at 7.55pm on Sunday, although Hills were offering 9/2 BOG to those able to take advantage. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 2.30 Hereford

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 8th January 2018

Saturday's Result :

3.20 Chepstow : Play the Ace @ 3/1 BOG PU at 9/4 Prominent, pushed along after 5th, not fluent 9th, weakened before 4 out, pulled up before 2 out....

Next up is Monday's...

2.30 Hereford :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Steel Native @ 4/1 BOG

A Class 5, 5yo+ Handicap Chase over 3m1f on Soft ground worth £3,509 to the winner...

Why?

The in-form Jamie Bowen is in the saddle here, so it's worth noting that over the last 30 days, he has ridden 12 winners from 45 (26.7% SR) attempts generating 32.9pts (+73.7% ROI) of level stakes goodness, from which he's 9/34 (26.5%) for 33pts (+97.1%) in handicaps and 5/13 (38.5%) for 34pts (+261.9%) in chases : all in handicaps.

He now gets the leg up on a 7 yr old gelding who has won two of his last three, including a heavy ground win and one on Soft grounds over 3 miles, so he shouldn't be getting done for stamina. In fact his last three results on soft ground read 221, so he's not afraid of a bit of mud!

His trainer David Rees is 29/184 (15.8% SR) for 109.8pts (+59.7% ROI) with chasers since 2010, of which his handicappers are 26/170 (15.3%) for 110.8pts (+65.2%) and of these 170 handicap chasers...

  • males are 23/153 (15%) for 120.4pts (+78.7%)
  • at Class 5 : 9/52 (17.3%) for 35.3pts (+67.8%)
  • over trips of 3m to 3m2.5f : 8/52 (15.4%) for 50.1pts (+96.3%)
  • on Soft/Heavy ground : 11/48 (22.9%) for 101.4pts (+211.2%)
  • in 2017 : 9/36 (25%) for 47.3pts (+131.4%)
  • on soft ground : 7/33 (21.2%) for 51pts (+154.6%)
  • and LTO winners are 8/23 (34.8%) for 37.1pts (+161.1%)

...giving us...... a 1pt win bet on Steel Native @ 4/1 BOG which was widely available in half a dozen places at 7.55pm on Sunday, although Hills were offering 9/2 BOG to those able to take advantage. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 2.30 Hereford

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Placepot Pointers – Saturday 16th December

CHELTENHAM - DECEMBER 16

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2016: £119.70 (7 favourites - 3 winners - 2 placed - 2 unplaced)

 

Saturday's Placepot permutation at Cheltenham: 

Leg 1 (12.10): 3 (Apple’s Shikari) & 2 (Nube Negra)

Leg 2 (12.45): 4 (Movewiththetimes), 1 (Jameson) & 3 (Coo Star Sivola)

Leg 3 (1.20): 6 (Bentelimar), 2 (Gino Trail) & 4 (Grey Gold)

Leg 4 (1.55): 1 (Clan Des Obeaux), 11 (Guitar Pete) & 8 (King’s Odyssey)

Leg 5 (2.30): 1 (Count Meribel), 3 (Equus Secretus) & 2 (Aye Aye Charlie)

Leg 6 (3.05): 2 (The New One) & 1 (Melon)

Suggested stake: 324 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Saturday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page

 

12.10: The last five horses saddled by Paul Nicholls in this opening event have secured two gold medals and two of the silver variety between them, the only problem being the defeat of a 2/7 chance during the period.  Paul secured an 84/1 four timer on the card six years ago, having saddled 38 winners at the two day fixture during the last eight years.  You might imagine than I am particularly frustrated that Paul is not represented this time around, though I have left the stats in for you in terms of next year’s contest!  Upwards and onward by suggesting that old rival Nicky Henderson looks to have found a real star in APPLE’S SHIKARA and the obstacles look more of a threat than any of his rivals here.  NUBE NEGRA should prove to be the pick of the other three entries but if Dan Skelton’s raider gets within 10 lengths of the favourites, the Skelton team will probably be happy enough, especially as Dan’s Market Rasen debut winner is asked to give the filly four pounds!
Favourite factor: 63/65 horses which were sent off at 11/1 or more were beaten during the study period which suggests we should keep fancied horses on the right side, despite a 33/1 chance upsetting the apple-cart four years ago.  14 of the last 17 winners have been returned at 6/1 or less, statistics which includes six successful favourites.  14 of the last 18 market leaders have secured Placepot positions.  That said, ‘only’ five of the nine odds on favourites have won during the last 16 years.

Record of the course winner in the opening race:

1/1—Apple’s Shakira (soft)

 

12.45: Six-year-olds have won seven of the last 14 renewals during which time, six clear market leaders and one joint favourite have obliged. The vintage record is especially impressive given that the vintage was not represented five years ago.  Two six-year-olds enter the equation with MOVEWITHTHE TIMES demanding centre stage over Kalondra.  I prefer JAMESON and course winner COO STAR SIVOLA as the main threats to the market leader on this occasion, casting aside the other six-year-old in the field.
Favourite factor: Going back a little further in time, 12 of the 17 favourites have secured toteplacepot positions via 16 renewals, statistics which include nine winners.

Record of the course winner in the second event on the card:

1/6—Coo Star Sivola

 

1.20: Eight-year-olds have won five of the last eleven renewals of this handicap steeplechase event over Cheltenham’s minimum trip, whilst favourites have won four of the last seven contests at 5/1-4/1-11/4-11/4**.  BENTELIMAR is the lone vintage representative this time around and having finished ‘in the three’ six times from ten starts on soft ground (winning three of those assignments), Charlie Longsdon’s Beneficial gelding is the each way call.  Kerry Lee will be in confident mode coming into this event because not only does the trainer have the current second favourite in the line up in GINO TRAIL, Kerry has also declared GREY GOLD with live win and place claims off a featherweight.  The twelve-year-old is no back number as yet from my viewpoint and with a five pound claimer booked, GREY GOLD receives over two and a half stones from former champion Sire De Grugy.  PEARLS LEGEND has his ground but despite having finished in the three 22/33 times in and around this trip, he is not quite the force of old.  That said, this race has ‘bookmaker’s result’ written all over it according to the gospel of yours truly.
Favourite factor: The previous 11 winners had been sent off at a top price of 13/2 before last year’s 33/1 winner reared its ugly head. It’s worth noting that only five market leaders (includes four winners of their respective events) have finished in the frame during the recent period, negative figures which include two pairs of joint favourites in two of the last three years.

Record of the course winner in the third contest:

1/5—Sire De Grugy (good)

Your first 30 days for just £1

1/3—Pearls Legend (soft)

 

1.55: Paul Nicholls saddles CLAN DES OBEAUX, LE PREZIEN and ROMAIN DE SENAM in an attempt to win the race for the fifth time in nine years.  Seven-year-old’s lead the six-year-olds 5-4 during the last 14 years, whilst five of the last ten gold medallists carried weights of 11-4 or more to victory.  GUITAR PETE is the lone seven-year-old in the line up, whilst KING’S ODYSSEY was still going plenty well enough in this event last year when capsizing just as the taps were being turned on.  This pair represent each way value, though whether they can master CLAN DES OBEAUX is another matter entirely.  No horse has represented this columnist better than Splash Of Ginge down the years but Twisty’s grand warrior had a tough race when scoring last time out and others look better weighted on this occasion.
Favourite factor: A fancied horse - if not the favourite - usually wins this event, with 35 victors having been returned at single-figure odds, including 15 of the last 20 gold medallists. In 2007, Tamarinbleu became the longest priced winner in the contest’s history when scoring at 22/1.  Just seven market leaders have finished in the frame during the last 15 years.  Indeed, seven renewals have slipped by since the last market leader prevailed.

Record of the course winner in the fourth race:

1/4—Le Prezien (soft)

2/6—Foxhill Trail (good & soft)

1/4—Long House Hill (good)

2/6—Ballyalton (good & good to soft)

1/3—King’s Odyssey (heavy)

3/11—Splash Of Ginge (2 x soft & good to soft)

 

2.30: Five-year-olds lead the six-year-olds 6-3 via the last 11 contests, having secured six of the last eight events, whilst Nigel Twiston-Davies has saddled two of the last three winners.  Nigel has declared COUNT MERIBEL with an obvious chance on behalf of the five-year-olds, albeit fellow vintage representative EQUUS SECRETUS looks a live threat.  All would be done and dusted for the event had Fergal O’Brien not entered two potential jokers in the pack, the pick of which might prove to be the outsider of the pair, namely AYE AYE CHARLIE.
Favourite factor: Market leaders (of one description or another) have secured ten of the 13 renewals thus far, whilst 13 of the last 16 favourites have finished in the frame.

 

3.05: Considering that favourites tend to dominate this toteplacepot finale, it remains interesting that five-year-olds have won three of the last seven (and four of the last ten) contests.  MELON is the lone vintage representative and with Willie Mullins sending over his runners for more than just ‘travel experience’, Willie’s Medicean gelding is the danger in stopping THE NEW ONE bringing the house down at Presbury Park this afternoon.  Nigel’s grand servant goes for a 4/4 record in the contest and if there is one horse at Cheltenham today that is just about guaranteed to give its running, THE NEW ONE is that thoroughbred.  An extremely good judge suggests that John Constable is not one to write off at this level.
Favourite factor: 12 favourites have won during the last 16 years, whilst 13 of the 18 market leaders have finished in the frame.

Record of the course winner in the International Hurdle:

6/13—The New One (4 x good to soft – good – soft)

3/8—Old Guard (good – good to soft – soft)

1/9—Dell ‘Arca (good)

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners (two or more) on the Cheltenham card on Saturday followed by their total number of winners (in brackets) on the corresponding day at Cheltenham during the last five years

5 runners—Paul Nicholls (5)

5—Nigel Twiston-Davies (6)

4—Dan Skelton

3—Fergal O’Brien

2—Nicky Henderson (2)

2—Kerry Lee

2—David Pipe (3)

2—Evan Williams (1)

2—Nick Williams

+ 26 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

53 declared runners

 

General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:

Doncaster: £1,638.10 – 7 favourites – 2 winners & 5 unplaced

Hereford: This is a new fixture on the racing calendar

Newcastle (A/W): £25.60 – 8 favourites – 2 winners – 3 placed – 3 unplaced

Wolverhampton: £106.40 – 6 favourites – 1 winner – 2 placed – 3 unplaced

 

Placepot Pointers – Wednesday 29th November

WETHERBY - NOVEMBER 29

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2016: £27.50 (6 favourites - 2 winners - 3 placed - 1 unplaced)

 

Wednesday's Placepot permutation at Wetherby: 

Leg 1 (12.25): 3 (Doctor Bartolo) & 4 (Falcon Sun)

Leg 2 (12.55): 1 (Captain Chaos), 3 (Secrete Stream) & 4 (Three Ways)

Leg 3 (1.25): 10 (The Old Road), 4 (Jersey Bean) & 8 (Not That Fuisse)

Leg 4 (2.00): 3 (Never Up), 1 (Gino Trail) & 2 (Pain Au Chocolat)

Leg 5 (2.30): 5 (Mr Snoozy), 11 (Road To Rome) & 3 (Away For Slates)

Leg 6 (3.05): 5 (Jennifer Jupiter) & 6 (Oscar World)

Suggested stake: 324 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Wednesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page

 

12.25: DOCTOR BARTOLO represents last year’s winning trainer Alan King and the facts that Alan’s juvenile (in hurdling terms) was still progressing according to official figures last time out, suggests that the Sir Prancealot gelding can go close at the first time of asking.  The fact that his previous run at Newbury on soft ground was arguably his best effort to date offers confidence under today’s projected (soft) going.  That said, FALCON SUN did very little wrong on his first day at school at Uttoxeter, albeit in an admittedly weak contest.
Favourite factor: Five favourites have scored since the turn of the Millennium, whilst five winners have been returned in double figures, the prices ranging between 10/1 and 22/1.  Ten of the 13 market leaders in as many years have secured toteplacepot positions.

 

12.55: Aintree winner CAPTAIN CHAOS won in first time blinkers last time out and we can only hope that the aid has the same effect today, as his previous five efforts would have disappointed connections following a decent start to his career.   Given last year’s beaten favourite at odds of 4/7, it might not be in the best interests of your health to wade in heavily however, especially with dual hurdles winner SECRETE STREAM and THREE WAYS also having been declared.

Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 4/7 market leader found one too good when securing a Placepot position in a ‘short field’ event.  New readers might like to know that the term short field relates to 5/6/7 runner races in which only the first two horses home qualify from each way and Placepot perspectives.

Record of the course winners in the second race:

2/6—Secrete Stream (good & soft)

 

1.25: Five-year-olds have won the last seven renewals of this event, albeit four-year-olds had previously ruled the roost.  Hoping that the current momentum is extended here, I’m taking THE ROAD HOME to build on his decent Cheltenham effort on his first assignment since joining Lucinda Russell’s team from across the Irish Sea.  If the race reverts to four-year-old type, the chances are that the Ascot winner JERSEY BEAN and NOT THAT FUISSE will be prominent during the business end of proceedings.
Favourite factor: 16 of the last 19 market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions (seven winners) whilst eight of the other gold medallists started at odds of 8/1 or less. That said, the four shortest priced (odds on) favourites were beaten (including a 1/2 market leader three years ago), albeit whilst finishing in the frame.

 

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2.00: Another ‘win only’ contest on the card which should ensure that a half decent dividend is worth winning, given that at least 75% of the units should fall by the wayside, even if both favourites oblige in the relevant events.  Two of Sue Smith’s last eight runners have won, notwithstanding three silver medallists during the period whereby NEVER UP is marginally preferred to GINO TRAIL on this occasion.  I’m going to wait until the end of the analysis before deciding if a third option in possible regarding my Placepot permutation.
Favourite factor: The inaugural 11/4 favourite finished last of the six runners in a ‘short field’ event before last year’s 9/4 market leader found one too good when secured a Placepot position.

 

2.30: Course and distance winner MR SNOOZY has won on soft ground before, albeit from eight relevant assignments but having won three of his last four races, Mark Walford’s eight-year-old deserves top billing in a race which is high in numbers but short on class.  Others to consider include ROAD TO ROME and AWAY FOR SLATES.
Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 8/13 favourite only made it to the third flight before unshipping his pilot.

Record of the course winner in the fifth event:

1/4—Mr Snoozy (good)

 

3.05: Four-year-olds have won five of the last six renewals of this bumper event which is confined to mares, with JENNIFER JUPITER standing out via the six relevant declarations this time around.  Fergal O’Brien continues to have his runners in good form (recent ratio of 5/12) which adds icing on the cake, with connections possibly having most to fear from OSCAR WORLD who ran well enough at Cheltenham recently to suggest that she must go close in this grade/company this afternoon.
Favourite factor: Three of the last seven favourites have prevailed during which time, six winners scored at a top price of 13/2.

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Wetherby card on Wednesday – followed by their stats at the track this season + profits/losses accrued:

5—Dan Skelton (2/7 – loss of 3 points)

4—Susan Corbett (0/1)

3—Phil Kirby (2/17 +5)

3—Lucinda Russell (No previous runners at Wetherby this season)

3—Oliver Sherwood (0/1)

3—Sue Smith (1/14 – loss of 9 points)

2—Maurice Barnes (0/1)

2—George Bewley (No previous runners)

2—Micky Hammond (0/13)

2—Alan King (0/5)

2—Malcolm Jefferson (1/5 – loss of 3 points)

2—Kerry Lee (0/2)

2—Donald McCain (2/4 +8)

2—Rebecca Menzies (0/1)

2—Fergal O’Brien (2/2 +15)

2—R Mike Smith (No previous runners)

2—Jamie Snowden (No previous runners)

+ 20 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

64 declared runners

 

General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:

Hereford: £89.50 – 7 favourites – 2 winners – 1 placed – 4 unplaced

Kempton: £92.00 – 6 favourites – 3 winners – 1 placed – 2 unplaced

Wolverhampton: £6.00 – 6 favourites – 4 winners & 2 placed

 

Placepot Pointers – Sunday March 26

WINCANTON – MARCH 26

 

Sunday's Placepot permutation at Wincanton: 

Leg 1 (2.15): 1 (Azzuri) & 2 (Copain De Classe)

Leg 2 (2.45): 1 (Pressurize), 6 (Frampton) & 4 (Moss On The Mill)

Leg 3 (3.15): 2 (Misterton), 3 (Mister Buck’s) & 1 (Kayf Adventure)

Leg 4 (3.45): 2 (Charmix) & 1 (Antartica De Thaix)

Leg 5 (4.15): 3 (General Girling), 5 (How’s Vienna) & 1 (Shanann Star)

Leg 6 (4.45): 8 (Winningtry) & 3 (Bellamy)

Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes

 

2.15: The ground should be drying out nicely whereby I would not be surprised if the “heavy in places” description is officially removed from the going report before flag fall.  Soft ground would be fine for AZZURI judged on his winning effort last time around and with Dan Skelton having saddled five winners during the last three days, AZZURI is taken to win the opener with something to spare over the likes of COPAIN DE CLASSE and Ruby Russet.

Favourite factor: This is a new meeting which often occurs at this time of year when the dates of the Easter weekend change on an annual basis.  If you are interested in such matters; have a look at the relevant numbers that follow.  If not; move on rapidly!  Easter Sunday cannot be celebrated before March 22 and never later that April 25.  Since 1800, Easter Sunday has only ever fallen on the first possible date on one occasion which was in 1818 – the next year it is due to fall on that day is in 2285, some 268 years from now. If bookmakers had their way, they would be offering 7/4 that Richard Johnson will ride a winner that day!  If you didn’t know before, you are now aware that I am a ‘numbers junkie’!

 

2.45: As far as the ground is concerned, Venetia Williams will not want the going to dry out too much for PRESSURIZE though with Charlie Deutsch stealing another three pounds from the officials, I still expect the top weight to score.  Charlie has only had one ‘outside ride’ since before the Cheltenham Festival began which is unbelievable from my viewpoint.  FRAMPTON could go well at a price after a long lay-off, whilst MOSS ON THE MILL is another contender in the mix.

Record of the course winners in the second race:

1/1—Pressurize (heavy)

1/4—Flaming Charmer (heavy)

 

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3.15: Harry Fry has won with six of his last twelve runners whereby MISTERTON could prove to be the value for money call over MISTER BUCK’S and KAYF ADVENTURE.  All three relevant trainers (adding Paul Nicholls and Philip Hobbs respectively) saddled winners at Newbury on Saturday and the notion is to include all three runners into the Placepot equation for fear of this developing into a ‘win only’ event should a non-runner rear its ugly head.

 

3.45: A match in all but name here with CHARMIX and ANTARTICA DE THAIX having stones in hand of the other pair according to official ratings.  Both horses have won on soft ground and although the latter named Paul Nicholls raider is two pounds ‘well in’ accord to BHA numbers, I believe the horse which jumps the best here will prevail, pure and simple.

 

4.15: I cannot imagine (respectfully) that Simon Hodgson has enjoyed a better month than is currently the case, the trainer boasting March stats of 3/6, a ratio which has produced 65 points of level stake profit.  A local trainer from the wonderfully named Queen Camel village, Simon saddles his hat trick seeker GENERAL GIRLING with an obvious chance with juice still in the ground.  Seven pound claimer Mitchell Bastyan has ridden three winners from just eight opportunities over fences and I would imagine the whole village will be on parade this afternoon to hopefully witness another success for the team. Connections might have most to fear from HOW’S VIENNA and course winner SHANANN STAR.

Record of the course winners in the fifth race:

1/4—Shanann Star (soft)

1/5—General Girling (heavy)

 

4.45: WINNINGTRY should be able to amble round his local track to collect in the last leg of our favourite wager with only BELLAMY to beat from my viewpoint.  Paul Nicholls is looking to pick up some ‘cheap money’ here in his quest to overhaul Nicky Henderson at the top of the Trainers’ Championship table besides which, an easy four grand is nice work if you can get it!

Record of the course winners in the Placepot finale:

1/1—Winningtry (soft)

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Wincanton card on Sunday – followed by their five year ratio at the track + profits/losses accrued:

5 runners—Colin Tizzard (4/46 – loss of 24 points)

3—Paul Nicholls (20/41 – Profit of 9 points)

2—Harry Fry (0/13)

2—Sue Gardner (0/6)

2—Mark Gillard (0/13)

2—Simon Hodgson (2/14 – Profit of 52 points)

2—Neil Mulholland (7/34 – Profit of 28 points)

2—Jeremy Scott (1/18 – loss of 15 points)

2—Dan Skelton (0/6)

+ 21 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

43 declared runners

 

Placepot Pointers – Saturday March 11

SANDOWN – MARCH 11 

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2016: £937.00 (7 favourites – 2 winners – 1 placed – 4 unplaced)

 

Saturday's Placepot permutation at Sandown: 

Leg 1 (1.20): 4 (Gregarious), 2 (Highgrove Percy) & 1 (Great Tempo)

Leg 2 (1.50): 6 (Minella Awards), 15 (Lithic), 7 (Another Venture) & 13 (Cash Again)

Leg 3 (2.25): 3 (Willoughby Hedge) & 8 (Shanroe Santos)

Leg 4 (3.00): 10 (Disputed), 13 (Not Another Muddle), 12 (Chieftain’s Choice) & 11 (Darebin)

Leg 5 (3.35): 7 (Petticoat Tails) & 5 (Martello Park)

Leg 6 (4.10): 1 (Vicenzo Mio) & 5 (Maxanisi)

Suggested stake: 384 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Saturday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page

 

1.20: The devil would put a knife through collective hearts of each way punters in the opening event if a non-runner reared its ugly head in this interesting ‘dead eight’ contest.  Course and distance winner GREGARIOUS represents Lucy Wadham who runs her horses sparingly at this venue but as is the case this season (9/1 winner with her only runner), Lucy places her inmates well.  The ground look testing enough on Friday whereby GREGARIOUS looks sure to figure prominently, possible alongside HIGHGROVE PERCY and GREAT TEMPO.

Favourite factor: Two one of the four favourites to date (5/2 & Evens winners of their respective events) have secured Placepot positions to date.

Record of the course winner in first race:

1/1—Gregarious (soft)

 

1.50: Six-year-olds have won thirteen contests during the last nineteen years (including nine of the last thirteen) and with ten of the sixteen declarations hailing from the vintage, six-year-olds are 8/13 mark to land the spoils before form is taken into consideration.  My six-year-old reserve nomination (Brave Vic) won the race three years ago at odds of 20/1 and I'm hoping that vintage representatives MINELLA AWARDS, LITHIC and ANOTHER VENTURE can at least figure prominently this time around. Five-year-old CASH AGAIN could prove to be the potential fly in the ointment on this occasion.

Favourite factor: Three favourites have won during the study period, whilst five of the other seventeen market leaders additionally claimed toteplacepot positions.

Record of the course winner in second event:

1/1—Soft Irish (soft)

1/1—Another Venture (heavy)

 

2.25:  Twelve of the last fifteen winners have carried weights of 11-1 or more and that figure will be increased this year as all eight declarations 'qualify' this time around. The stats have been left in for you to note.  ‘Senior hero’ Peat The Feat has only been dropped a pound by the official assessor despite being beaten by 25 lengths by WILLOUGHBY HEDGE last time out.  I have to side with Alan King’s winner accordingly, mindful that the handicapper might have let the soft ground Warwick winner SHANROE SANTOS in lightly via just a four pound rise.

Favourite factor: Three favourites have obliged during the last nineteen years, whilst twelve of the twenty three market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions.

Record of the course winner in the third contest on the card:

1/1—Willoughby Hedge (soft)

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1/4—Pete The Feat (soft)

 

3.00: I’m duty bound to report that the last thirteen winners have carried weights of 10-13 or less (as have 37 of the last 51 win and placed horses) which eliminates most of the field this time around.  I appreciate that I am leaving lots of popular horses out of the equation by sticking to the four horses that ‘qualify’ via the weight trends but then again, this stance has served yours truly well for seventeen years whereby I am not about to desert my beliefs now.  In order of preference, I name DISPUTED, NOT ANOTHER MUDDLE, CHIEFTAIN’S CHOICE and DAREBIN against the remaining nine contenders.

Favourite factor: Seven favourites have obliged during the last seventeen years, though just two of the other ten market leaders additionally claimed toteplacepot positions.

Record of the course winners in the Imperial Cup:

1/4—Prairie Town (soft)

1/3—Darebin (soft)

1/2—Chieftain’s Choice (soft)

 

3.35: Five-year-olds have won seven of the thirteen contests and the pick of this year’s nine relevant raiders will hopefully prove to be PETTICOAT TAILS (the Greatrex stable won the race last year) and MARTELLO PARK, saddled by Margaret Mullins who knows the time of day in this sphere.  The projected favoutire Cap Soleil is the only ‘other’ (four-year-old) runner in the race and the anorak tendency in yours truly cannot allow the potential market leader to enter into the mix; win, lose or draw.

Favourite factor: Four of the thirteen market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions to date, whilst we had to wait until 2012 for the first (and only) successful (2/1) market leader to emerge.

 

4.10: Paul Nicholls has dominated this corresponding meeting in recent seasons and VICENZO MIO has been well placed to score by the champion trainer in the ‘lucky last’.  It is far more sensible for connections to contest this event than simply being offered ‘a day out’ at the Festival which would almost certainly end in nothing but an ‘enjoyable experience’.  Evan Williams has his string in decent each way form at the time of writing whereby MAXANISI is offered up as the main threat.

Favourite factor: The Placepot finale is a new race on the Sandown card.

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Sandown card on Saturday – followed by their five year ratio at the track + profits/losses accrued – Stats were compiled before Friday’s sport was contested:

 

5 runners—Gary Moore (1/26 – loss of 20 points)

4—Nicky Henderson (7/18 – Profit of 6 points)

4—Paul Nicholls (3/22 – loss of 3 points)

4—Evan Williams (0/2)

3—Jonjo O’Neill (0/4)

3—David Pipe (1/4 – loss of 1 point)

2—Alan King (4/9 – Profit of 7 points)

2—Fergal O’Brien (2/6 – Profit of 7 points)

2—Oliver Sherwood (0/4)

2—Colin Tizzard (1/7 – loss of 4 points)

2—Lucy Wadham (1/1 – Profit of 9 points)

 

+ 35 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

68 declared runners

 

General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:

Ayr: £938.70 – 7 favourites – 1 winner – 2 placed – 4 unplaced

There was no meeting at Hereford

Chelmsford: £32.50 – 7 favourites – 4 winners & 3 unplaced

Wolverhampton: 32.50 – 6 favourites – 3 winners – 2 placed – 1 unplaced

 

 

 

 

 

Placepot Pointers – Wednesday February 1

LEICESTER – FEBRUARY 1

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2015: £218.40 (7 favourites – 1 winner – 1 placed – 3 unplaced)

 

Wednesday's Placepot permutation at Leicester: 

Leg 1 (2.10): 6 (Ballinvarrig), 5 (Huff and Puff) & 4 (Mister Grez)

Leg 2 (2.40): 7 (Dusty Raven), 6 (Paddocks Lounge) & 1 (Order Of Service)

Leg 3 (3.10): 4 (Orchard Road) & 13 (Norse Light)

Leg 4 (3.40): 12 (Ten Sixty) & 2 (Some Are Lucky)

Leg 5 (4.10): 1 (Reigning Supreme) & 8 (Winningtry)

Leg 6 (4.40): 1 (Ava Run), 1 (Moscow Me) & 4 ()

Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes

Grand March

Overview for Wednesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page

 

 

2.10: Ballinvarrig is not the brightest light shining in the yard of Tom George but the ten-year-old has been placed well enough here to suggest that a Placepot position can be gained at the very least.  Venetia Williams is another trainer who is getting it together right now which is often the case when the ground becomes particularly soft, whereby the chance of HUFF AND PUFF is respected alongside MISTER GREZ who is a three time soft/heavy ground winner.

Favourite factor: Both favourites have claimed Placepot medals via silver medal efforts thus far.

 

2.40: The terms and conditions of this claiming hurdle event favour DUSTY RAVEN who runs on behalf of the in-form Neil Mulholland yard but then again this year, when has Neil failed to land his fair share of winners?  A beaten (joint) favourite last time out, Noel Fehily’s mount should make amends in this grade/company.  Connections might have most to fear from PADDOCKS LOUNGE and ORDER OF SERVICE who reached the heady heights (official mark) of 80 on the level.

Favourite factor: One of the two favourites (7/4 winner) has secured a Placepot position to date, albeit supporters of the 10/11 market leader last year were poorly represented.

Record of course winners in the second race:

1/1—Paddocks Lounge (good to soft)

 

3.10: Having finished second in three of his last five assignments, Paul Webber’s ORCHARD BOY deserves to add another gold medal to his tally.  As the only course winner in the field, NORSE LIGHT was always likely to be included in the mix, especially so now that the ground has come right for the David Dennis raider.  The handicapper might have got Verygoodverygood in his grip now, though the Twiston-Davies horses are rarely dismissed entirely by yours truly.

Favourite factor: Two of the three favourites (via two renewals) have claimed Placepot positions, statistics which include one (5/2) winner.

Record of course winners in the third contest on the card:

1/1—Norse Light (heavy)

 

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3.40: Course winner and beaten favourite TEX SIXTY receives weight from ten of his eleven rivals and from a Placepot angle, Richard Johnson’s mount looks the part.  I would not know what to back from a win perspective, though I have little hesitation in offering SOME ARE LUCKY as back up to TEN SIXTY to get us through the fourth leg of our favourite wager.

Favourite factor: One of the two favourites has finished in the money thus far (no winners).

Record of course winners in the fourth event:

1/1—Bells ‘N’ Banjos (good)

1/2—Flashjack (heavy)

1/2—Ten Sixty (good)

 

4.10: Nicky Henderson has his team in top order now and it would be surprising if REIGNING SUPREME failed to supplement a soft ground Newbury success gained at Newbury the last day in November.  That said, other leading trainers are represented and the Paul Nicholls raider WINNINGTRY might offer most resistance at the business end of proceedings.

Favourite factor: Market leaders come to the gig on a four timer via five contests to date, though a beaten 2/7 favourite has to be mentioned in despatches back in 2007.

Record of course winners in the fifth race:

1/1—Head To The Stars (good to soft)

 

4.40: AZA RUN is the each way call in the ‘lucky last’, especially with the Shan Harris runners going well just now, from an each way perspective at the very least.  Course winner MOSCOW ME and beaten favourite GRAND MARCH are added to the overnight mix.

Favourite factor: Both favourites have claimed Placepot positions to date via silver medal efforts.

Record of course winners in the Placepot finale:

1/2—Moscow Me (soft)

 

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Leicester card on Wednesday – followed by their five year ratio at the track + profits/losses accrued:

3 runners—Kim Bailey (1/22 – loss of 17 points)

3—Sophie Leech (1/10 – loss of 7 points)

3—Dan Skelton (4/20 – Profit of 2 points)

2—Caroline Bailey (7/41 – loss of 10 points)

2—Tony Carroll (4/63 – loss of 33 points)

2—Henry Daly (4/16 – Profit of 46 points)

2—Sarah-Jayne Davies (0/15)

2—Tom George (15/41 – Profit of 26 points)

2—Shaun Harris (1/11 – loss of 5 points)

2—Philip Hobbs (1/4 – slight loss)

2—Charlie Longsdon (4/22 – Slight profit)

2—Neil Mulholland (1/11 – Profit of 2 points)

2—Paul Nicholls (4/7 – Profit of 1 point)

2—Henry Oliver (4/23 – Loss of 8 points)

2—Jonjo O’Neill (5/52 – loss of 34 points)

2—Nigel Twiston-Davies (18/73 – Profit of 18 points)

+ 24 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

59 declared runners

 

General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:

The meetings at Hereford, Kempton and Newcastle are all new fixtures on the racing calendar