Posts

Stat of the Day, 2nd April 2019

Monday's pick was...

5.45 Newcastle : Busy Street @ 9/2 BOG 3rd at 4/1 (beaten by 2 lengths, report to follow)

Tuesday's pick runs in the...

4.45 Musselburgh :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

City Tour 5/1 BOG

...in a 12-runner, Class 5, Handicap  for 3yo over 7f on Good ground worth £3752 to the winner...

Why?...

Just 3 previous runs to date for this 3 yr old colt and he returns from his winter break to make a handicap debut on quicker ground than he's seen before and at a lower grade than previous. This could all point to a bit of a plot job, but others would know far about those things than I do : I'll just stick to the facts/numbers!

We're with the tried & tested Johnston/Fanning combination today and unsurprisingly, they're doing well again having already clocked up 20 winners from 67 (29.9% SR) for 56.7pts (+84.7% ROI) profit in 2019 and both have good records at this venue.

In fact, Mark Johnston's runners are 72 from 360 (20% SR) for 62.5pts (+17.4% ROI) here at Musselburgh since 2012 and whilst that's excellent, jockey choice plays a massive part in his success.

On the occasions, he hasn't been able to secure Joe Fanning's services, those 360 runners are just 16/137 (11.7%) for a mere 6.6pts (4.82%) profit, but when Joe has been available to ride Mark's horses here, they have won 56 of 223 (25.1% SR) for 55.9pts (+25.1% ROI), from which...

  • those visiting Musselburgh for the first time are 41/163 (25.2%) for 52.1pts (+32%)
  • 3 yr olds are 30/110 (27.3%) for 21.9pts (+20%)
  • those with no previous career wins are 24/78 (30.8%) for 39.4pts (+50.5%)
  • those with three or fewer career runs are 24/76 (31.6%) for 34.4pts (+45.3%)
  • over this 7f course and distance : 21/75 (28%) for 43.1pts (+57.5%)
  • at Class 5 : 24/73 (32.9%) for 18.6pts (+25.4%)
  • in April : 5/19 (26.3%) for 2.1pts (+10.9%)
  • and with horses coming off a 3-9 month break : 6/14 (42.9%) for 5pts (+35.7%)

...and from the above... 2/3 yr olds with no wins from 0 to 3 previous career runs and now coming to Musselburgh for the first time are 19 from 56 (33.9% SR) for 41.3pts (+73.7% ROI), including...

  •  Class 5 : 8/26 (30.8%) for 5.2pts (+20%)
  • at this 7f C&D : 7/25 (28%) for 7.4pts (+29.5%)
  • in April : 4/6 (66.6%) for 12.1pts (+200.8%)
  • and after a 3-9 month absence : 4/6 (66.6%) for 6.2pts (+103.3%)

...giving us... a 1pt win bet on City Tour 5/1 BOG which was available from Hills at 6.00pm on Monday, as it had been since shortly after 4pm! Not sure wy the other firms haven't opened, but when they do I'll update. 4/1 BOG  seems to be the par at 6.55pm, so in the interests of clarity/fairness I'll declare my results at that price. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting...

...click here for the betting on the 5.45 Newcastle

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

P.P.S. I'm out of the country for most of April, but SotD will still be here every day, albeit in slightly different circumstances, click here for the end of March update which explains the plan in fuller detail!

Stat of the Day, 30th April 2018

Saturday's Runner was...

6.00 Wolverhampton : Leoro @ 5/1 BOG WON at 6/4 (Held up, headway after 2f, went 2nd over 11f out, led 3f out, clear 2f out, eased towards finish, but still won by 3.25 lengths)

Our last pick of the month goes in Monday's...

4.55 Wolverhampton :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Star Ascending @ 7/2 BOG

Your first 30 days for just £1

A 9-runner, Class 4,  1m4f A/W Handicap (4yo+) on tapeta worth £5757 to the winner... 

Why?

This was actually my second best selection for Saturday behind Leoro, our 5/1 winner, but this was a non-runner and quickly reappears. Here's why I was (and still am) keen to back it...

He's a 6 yr old gelding in the form of his life right now, having won seven of his last eleven, finishing as a runner-up in two of the four defeats. All 11 were in A/W handicaps, including a course and distance win here last time out, 23 days ago, which took his A/W handicap tally to 9 wins from 31, including of relevance today...

  • 7 from 26 over 1m3f/1m4f and 8 from 23 with less than 26 days rest
  • 6 from 19 over 1m4f and 6 from 12 under jockey Joe Fanning
  • 6 from 12 at odds of 4/1 & shorter and 3 from 11 here at Wolverhampton
  • 5 from 9 in blinkers and 3 from 9 over course and distance
  • 6 from 8 as a 6 yr old and 4 from 8 in fields of 9/10 runners

So, he's comfortable with the task ahead, what about his trainer?

Well, Jennie Candlish's horses are 20 from 80 (25% SR) for 46.25pts profit at an ROI of 57.8% in A/W races since the start of 2016 and with today's contest firmly in mind, those 80 are...

  • 19/71 (26.8%) for 49.6pts (+69.9%) in handicaps
  • 10/42 (23.8%) for 26.83pts (+63.9%) at Wolverhampton
  • 10/37 (27%) for 31.83pts (+86%) in handicaps here at Wolves
  • 10/24 (41.7%) for 29.76pts (+124%) with Joe Fanning in the saddle
  • 9/22 (40.9%) for 26.1pts (+118.7%) in hcps with Mr Fanning riding
  • 4/11 (36.4%) for 26pts (+236.5%) in April
  • 4/10 (40%) for 18.05pts (+180.5%) with Joe Fanning in Wolves hcps
  • 4/8 (50%) for 29pts (+362.7%) in April handicaps
  • and 1/2 (50%) for 15.52pts (+776%) in Wolverhampton April handicaps with Joe Fanning in the saddle!

Phew, but wait, there's more!

Since the start of 2015, Jennie's LTO winners have won again 29 times from 103 (28.2% SR) generating profits of 65.24pts (+63.3% ROI), from which...

  • handicappers are 27/92 (29.4%) for 67.58pts (+73.5%)
  • those who last raced in the previous 45 days are 27/90 (30%) for 55.21pts (+61.3%)
  • handicappers within 45 days of last run are 25/81 (30.9%) for 55.55pts (+68.6%)
  • on the A/W : 7/17 (41.2%) for 30.05pts (+176.8%)
  • over 1m4f to 1m6f : 6/12 950%) for 36.58pts (+304.8%)
  • with Joe Fanning  : 6/9 (66.6%) for 27.19pts (+302.1%)
  • at Wolverhampton : 4/8 (50%) for 28.76pts (+359.5%)

And I think I'll stop there before I lose you!

...final advice is...a 1pt win bet on Star Ascending @ 7/2 BOG which was available from at least half a dozen firms at 7.35pm on Sunday.To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 4.55 Wolverhampton

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 30th April 2018

Saturday's Runner was...

6.00 Wolverhampton : Leoro @ 5/1 BOG WON at 6/4 (Held up, headway after 2f, went 2nd over 11f out, led 3f out, clear 2f out, eased towards finish, but still won by 3.25 lengths)

Our last pick of the month goes in Monday's...

4.55 Wolverhampton :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Star Ascending @ 7/2 BOG

A 9-runner, Class 4,  1m4f A/W Handicap (4yo+) on tapeta worth £5757 to the winner... 

Why?

This was actually my second best selection for Saturday behind Leoro, our 5/1 winner, but this was a non-runner and quickly reappears. Here's why I was (and still am) keen to back it...

He's a 6 yr old gelding in the form of his life right now, having won seven of his last eleven, finishing as a runner-up in two of the four defeats. All 11 were in A/W handicaps, including a course and distance win here last time out, 23 days ago, which took his A/W handicap tally to 9 wins from 31, including of relevance today...

  • 7 from 26 over 1m3f/1m4f and 8 from 23 with less than 26 days rest
  • 6 from 19 over 1m4f and 6 from 12 under jockey Joe Fanning
  • 6 from 12 at odds of 4/1 & shorter and 3 from 11 here at Wolverhampton
  • 5 from 9 in blinkers and 3 from 9 over course and distance
  • 6 from 8 as a 6 yr old and 4 from 8 in fields of 9/10 runners

So, he's comfortable with the task ahead, what about his trainer?

Well, Jennie Candlish's horses are 20 from 80 (25% SR) for 46.25pts profit at an ROI of 57.8% in A/W races since the start of 2016 and with today's contest firmly in mind, those 80 are...

  • 19/71 (26.8%) for 49.6pts (+69.9%) in handicaps
  • 10/42 (23.8%) for 26.83pts (+63.9%) at Wolverhampton
  • 10/37 (27%) for 31.83pts (+86%) in handicaps here at Wolves
  • 10/24 (41.7%) for 29.76pts (+124%) with Joe Fanning in the saddle
  • 9/22 (40.9%) for 26.1pts (+118.7%) in hcps with Mr Fanning riding
  • 4/11 (36.4%) for 26pts (+236.5%) in April
  • 4/10 (40%) for 18.05pts (+180.5%) with Joe Fanning in Wolves hcps
  • 4/8 (50%) for 29pts (+362.7%) in April handicaps
  • and 1/2 (50%) for 15.52pts (+776%) in Wolverhampton April handicaps with Joe Fanning in the saddle!

Phew, but wait, there's more!

Since the start of 2015, Jennie's LTO winners have won again 29 times from 103 (28.2% SR) generating profits of 65.24pts (+63.3% ROI), from which...

  • handicappers are 27/92 (29.4%) for 67.58pts (+73.5%)
  • those who last raced in the previous 45 days are 27/90 (30%) for 55.21pts (+61.3%)
  • handicappers within 45 days of last run are 25/81 (30.9%) for 55.55pts (+68.6%)
  • on the A/W : 7/17 (41.2%) for 30.05pts (+176.8%)
  • over 1m4f to 1m6f : 6/12 950%) for 36.58pts (+304.8%)
  • with Joe Fanning  : 6/9 (66.6%) for 27.19pts (+302.1%)
  • at Wolverhampton : 4/8 (50%) for 28.76pts (+359.5%)

And I think I'll stop there before I lose you!

...final advice is...a 1pt win bet on Star Ascending @ 7/2 BOG which was available from at least half a dozen firms at 7.35pm on Sunday.To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 4.55 Wolverhampton

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 30th September 2017

Friday's Result :

3.00 Newmarket : Nyaleti @ 10/3 BOG 2nd at 2/1 : Raced alone towards far side of centre, chased leaders, 2nd over 1f out, ridden and stayed on inside final furlong, just held off by a head...

Saturday's last pick of another successful month goes in the...

3.10 Ripon :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Show Palace @ 7/2 BOG

Why?

This 4 yr old gelding is in great form, having finished 131171 in his last six runs and this consistency is refelcted in his career record of 9 wins from 22 on the Flat, which include the following relevant stats for today's race...

  • 9 wins and a place from 17 at 5 furlongs
  • 7 wins and 3 places from 16 after a break of just 8-30 days
  • 5 wins from 7 in August/September
  • 3 wins and 2 place from 6 soft ground efforts
  • 3 wins from 3 under Joe Fanning
  • and 1 from 1 in this grade.

He's trained by Jennie Candlish, possibly better known for her NH runners, but she's currently 2 from over the last fortnight, whilst over the past 2 years her record includes...

  • 56/348 (16.1%) for 19pts (+5.5%) in handicaps
  • 13/62 (21%) for 39.5pts (+63.6%) on the Flat
  • 13/59 (22%) for 42.5pts (+71.9%) in Flat handicaps
  • 7/16 (43.75%) for 16.56pts (+103.5%) in handicaps over 5 furlongs
  • 6/14 (42.9%) for 16.2pts (+116%) with handicappers ridden by Joe Fanning

...giving us... a 1pt win bet on Show Palace @ 7/2 BOG, which was offered by a half dozen of so firms at 6.50pm on Friday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 3.10 Ripon

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 27th June 2017

Monday's Result :

5.45 Wolverhampton : Rattle On @ 4/1 BOG 8th at 5/2 Tracked leaders, went 2nd over 3f out, ridden and no impression with winner 2f out, weakened inside final furlong.

Tuesday's pick goes in the...

4.00 Beverley...

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Katebird @ 11/2 BOG

Why?

I'll start with a statement of the obvious, this is NOT the best field of horses assembled for a race, even at this lowly Class 6 level! In fact the 10 runners have already raced 60 times between them, clocking up just two wins! The good news, however, is that our pick is 2 from 15, so she has at least won.

She's trained by Mark Johnston, who does well here at Beverley with 109 winners from 452 runners (24.1% SR) here since 2009, generating 95.3pts profit at an ROI of 21.1%, which on its own is an excellent reason to back his runners here, but closer examination of those 452 runners applied to today's race conditions show that they are...

  • 99/397 (24.9%) for 133.5pts (+33.6%) at odds of 11/10 to 12/1
  • 99/364 (27.2%) for 125.6pts (+34.5%) from those with 1-16 previous runs
  • 74/302 (24.5%) for 97.6pts (+32.3%) in handicaps
  • 75/287 (26.1%) for 102.3pts (+35.6%) after a break of just 4-25 days
  • 64/255 (25.1%) for 90.7pts (+35.6%) from 3 yr olds
  • 45/202 (22.3%) for 30.4pts (+15.1%) ridden by Joe Fanning
  • 54/178 (30.3%) for 104.2pts (+58.5%) over trips of 1m2f and beyond
  • 41/164 (25%) for 85pts (+51.8%) in 3 yr old races
  • and 19/55 (34.6%) for 70.5pts (+128.2%) at Class 6

And as Katebird is highly likely to go off as favourite, it's worth noting that jockey Joe Fanning is 152 from 379 (40.1% SR) for 27.93pts (+7.37% ROI) on Turf favourites since the start of the 2013 season, including...

  • over 7.5f to 1m4f : 79/164 (48.2%) for 42.7pts (+26%)
  • at Beverley : 19/44 (43.2%) for 5.88pts (+13.4%)
  • at Class 6 : 17/43 (39.5%) for 10.03pts (+23.3%)

...pointing to...a 1pt win bet on Katebird11/2 BOG which was offered by both Betfair & Paddy Power at 6.20pm on Monday with plenty of more than acceptable 5/1 BOG elsewhere. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 4.00 Beverley...

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 26th May 2017

Thursday's Result :

5.05 Warwick : Bronco Billy @ 5/2 BOG (15/8 after a 25p R4) WON at 10/11 In rear in 3rd and well behind, headway to take 2nd 7 out, led before 4 out, clear from 3 out, won easily by 15 lengths.

Friday's pick goes in the...

6.40 Musselburgh...

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Sebastians Wish10/3 BOG

Why?

Here we have a 4yr old gelding who was 0 from 9 at the turn of the year, but since a switch to Keith Dalgleish's yard is now 2 from 2 in 2017! The latest of those wins came here 22 days ago, here at Musselburgh over 1m6f, when ridden by today's jockey, Joe Fanning, for the first time.

Joe, for his part, rides Musselburgh well as exemplified by his 76 winners from 391 (19.4% SR) since 2009 and although the level stakes profits seem modest at 25.4pts, an ROI of 6.5% from blindly backing a jockey with almost 400 rides at one track is actually pretty good.

As for the trainer, Keith Dalgleish, he also has a decent record here with 44 winners from 307 (14.3% SR) since the start of 2013 generating profits of 75.6pts at a healthy ROI of 24.6%, including of note/relevance today...

  • those who last ran 16-25 days ago : 14/83 (16.9%) for 97.9pts (+118%)
  • LTO winners are 13/35 (37.1%) for 41.1pts (+117.3%)
  • and at 1m 4.5f : 7/22 (31.8%) for 30pts (+136.5%)

And finally, back to the horse,Sebastians Wish , he's also of note on his own accord, as he scores well on the Geegeez Shortlist, with a green rating for going, class and course with an amber score for distance. In numerical terms, this means he's won on good to firm ground already, both his wins this year have been at today's Class 6 and he's 1 from 1 here at Musselburgh.

As for his amber rating for distance, he has no wins at today's 1m4.4f trip, but does have wins at both 1m4f and 1m6f, so the trip is definitely "gettable" for him and also don't forget two other bits of data from earlier : he's 2 from 2 for his new trainer and 1 from 1 under today's jockey...

...but for now...a 1pt win bet on Sebastians Wish10/3 BOG which was widely available at 6.40pm on Thursday, but those able to grab the 7/2 BOG offered by Bet365 should do so! To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 6.40 Musselburgh

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats are to Betfair SP, as (i) I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you and (ii) although inferior to the BOG odds we secure, BFSP is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns quoted.

Stat of the Day, 5th May 2017

Thursday's Result :

5.10 Lingfield : Bamako du Chatelet @ 7/2 BOG 7th at 11/4 Mid-division, headway over 1f out, never on terms

Friday's pick goes in the...

5.00 Musselburgh...

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Cosmic Ray3/1 BOG

Why?

This 5 yr old gelding is quickly turned back out just 6 days after finishing 4th in a tough-looking 14 runner handicap at Haydock. Yet, despite only finishing fourth, he was actually only beaten by three quarters of a length and had won his previous outing, so he's clearly in good nick.

That win two starts ago also came after only a short layoff (5 days that time) so the quick reappearance shouldn't be too much of a concern and as both that win and his latest near-miss were both in Class 5 contests, being able to run off an unchanged mark in a lower grade is also a positive.

These short rests seem to have become a successful MO of his trainer, Les Eyre, of late as since the start of 2016, Les' record with handicappers running 4 to 7 days after their last effort stands at 6 winners from 22 (27.3% SR) for 15.05pts (+68.4% ROI) and although that a fairly small sample size, those runners do share many similarities with the entry of Cosmic Ray here, such as...

  • those with a top 4 finish LTO are 6/16 (37.5%) for 21.05pts (+131.6%)
  • 5/6 yr olds are 3/6 (50%) for 6.84pts (+114%)
  • those priced below 7/2 are 4/5 (80%) for 9.04pts (+180.8%)
  • those beaten by less than a length LTO are 3/4 (75%) for 10.29pts (+257.2%)
  • and Class 6 runners are 2/4 (50%) for 1.57pts (+39.3%%)

Throw in a jockey, Joe Fanning, who is not only in good form himself (6/22 in the last 7 days prior to three rides here at Musselburgh on Thursday night), but also has a 19% strike rate (69/364) on this track since 2010...

...and you've got yourself...a 1pt win bet on Cosmic Ray3/1 BOG which was on offer in around a half dozen places at 5.50pm on Thursday, but those able to should take either 7/2 BOG from Paddy Power or 10/3 BOG from Betfair Sports. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 5.00 Musselburgh

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats are to Betfair SP, as (i) I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you and (ii) although inferior to the BOG odds we secure, BFSP is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns quoted.

Stat of the Day, 19th July 2016

Monday's Result :

8.50 Windsor : Shifting Star @ 4/1 BOG 5th at 6/1 (Keen led, ridden and headed approaching final furlong, no extra)

Tuesday's pick goes in the...

2.45 Musselburgh :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Bridal March at 11/4 BOG

Why?

Quite simply, this one revolves around Mark Johnston and his generally good record here at Musselburgh, that also applies well to this type of race. So we'll kick off with Mark's record here since the start of 2012, which is excellent at 50 winners from 239 (20.9% SR) for 60.9pts (+25.5% ROI) profit.

Such figures alone are enough to create an interest in any of his runners at this venue, but here are my top 1o facts about his runners that apply to this particular race, which should hopefully strengthen (y)our confidence in the pick.

  1.  those with a run in the last 30 days : 32/165 (19.4%) for 52pts (+31.5%)
  2.  those ridden by Joe Fanning : 40/145 (27.6%) for 68.4pts (+47.2%)
  3.  female runners are 22/90 (24.4%) for 62.4pts (+69.3%)
  4.  class 5 runners are 26/77 (33.8%) for 26pts (+33.8%)
  5.   in non-handicap races : 20/66 (30.3%) for 40.2pts (+60.9%)
  6.  over the 7f trip : 17/66 (25.8% for 23pts (+34.8%)
  7.  2 year olds are 16/62 (25.8%) for 33.9pts (+54.6%)
  8.  unrated (OR) horses are 17/58 (29.3%) for 42.2pts (+72.8%)
  9.  in maidens : 16/48 (33.3%) for 25.8pts (+53.7%)
  10.  in 2yo maidens: 10/36 (27.8%) for 21.3pts (+59.4%)

You can, of course, mix and match the above to close in on a smaller number of selections and there are loads of ways you could do that, but I'll just give you one fairly generic example : Mark Johnston / Joe Fanning / Females / Class 5 within 30 days of last run = 6/15 (40%) for 15.34pts (+102.3%) and four of the last six have won.

...all of which means the call is a 1pt win bet on Bridal March at 11/4 BOG with Betfair Sportsbook, who were the clear leaders in a sparsely populated market at 5.15pm, but to see what your preferred bookie is offering later...

...click here for the betting on the 2.45 Musselburgh

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Stat of the Day, 5th July 2016

Monday's Result :

5.40 Worcester : Barman @ 5/2 BOG WON at 6/4 (Tracked leaders, went 2nd before 3 out, led before 2 out, kept on well to win by 4 lengths)

Tuesday's pick goes in the...

5.55 Wolverhampton :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Isharah at 5/1 BOG

Why?

Similar to Barman on Monday, we have a lightly horse representing a hugely successful trainer/jockey partnership, but the main attractiuon isn't the actual partnership itself!

This will be Isharah's fourth outing to date and he's one of only two previous course winners in this field today, when he landed a Class 5 maiden over 9.5f here two starts and just over 4 months ago. He returned to action stepped up to today's trip for his handicap debut at Ripon 19 days ago, but looked like he needed the run after 108 days off the track.

He was beaten by just under 8 lengths that day and wasn't helped by being badly hampered early on, but did prove he can get this trip. He's been eased a pound in the weights and returning to a familiar surface back down in class are all positives for me today, as is the fact he races with a 13lb weight for allowance afforded to 3yr olds in open age handicaps, an allowance well exploited by his trainer Mark Johnston...

...whose 3yr olds have won 86 of 382 (22.5% SR) 3yo+ handciaps over 1m4f to 2m at Casses 2 to 5 since the start of 2008 with those runners generating 90pts profit at an ROI of 23.6%. Of particular interest/relevance from those races are the facts that...

  • those last seen 6 to 60 days ago are 79/352 (22.4%) for 95.5pts (+27.1%)
  • those priced 9/4 to 14/1 are 63/291 (21.7%) for 101.7pts (+34.9%)
  • those racing over this 1m4f trip are 45/222 (20.3%) for 36.5pts (+16.4%)
  • those ridden by Joe Fanning are 30/137 (21.9%) for 19.7pts (+14.4%)
  • Class 5 runners are 25/106 (23.6%) for 27.8pts (+26.2%)
  • and here at Wolverhampton : 5/30 (16.7%) for 12.3pts (+40.9%)

...so the play is a 1pt win bet on Isharah at 5/1 BOG with either Bet365 or Hills, who led the market at 6.10pm, but to see what your preferred bookie is offering...

...click here for the betting on the 5.55 Wolverhampton

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Stat of the Day, 13th October 2015

Stat of the Day, 13th October 2015

Thames Knight missed out by just over length in a very messy race at Windsor on Monday afternoon, eventually finishing fourth in the scramble late on that saw the first six home all within two lengths of each other.

I thought our pick was overpriced and represented value at 7/1 and despite not winning, that angle was proven correct, as he was returned with an SP of 9/2.

It is, admittedly tricky out there at the moment, but getting 156% of SP will bear fruit in the long run.

North of the Border we go next, for the...

3.00 Musselburgh :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

For Messrs Johnston and Fanning and a 3yr old filly called Nomenklatura, who can be backed at 11/4 BOG for this Class 6, 3yo+ handicap over 1m4f on good ground.

OK, back to basics to beat this cold spell we've had of late...

Since 2008, Mark Johnston's runners at Musselburgh are...

  • 49/186 (26.3% SR) for 74.5pts (+40.1% ROI) when ridden by Joe Fanning
  • 37/151 (24.5% SR) for 46.4pts (+30.9% ROI) when unrated (OR) or have a rating in the 60's.
  • 14/59 (23.7% SR) for 24.1pts (+40.9% ROI) when turned out 6 to 10 days after their last run
  • 8/32 (25% SR) for 18.2pts (+56.8% ROI) in Class 6 races

Which all points to a good run from Nomenklatura here, as does the fact that she was a winner at a higher grade than this just 8 days ago at Hamilton, when she fairly strung out a field of 11 fellow 3 yr olds. She's upped in weight by 6lbs today, but that is more than covered by her 7lb allowance as a 3yr old in an open age handicap and her trainer is a dab hand at exploiting this allowance.

Mark Johnston's 3 yr olds in 3yo+ Flat handicaps over 1m4f to 2m (ie where the allowances are greatest!) since 2008 are 84/346 (24.3% SR) for 92.6pts (+26.8% ROI), which make them well worth backing blindly.

A closer analysis of the 346 runners with today's race in mind tells us that they are...

  • 45/183 (24.6% SR) for 61.7pts (+33.7% ROI) over 1m4f
  • 31/114 (27.2% SR) for 35.1pts (+30.8% ROI) under Joe Fanning
  • 33/101 (32.7% SR) for 53.2pts (+52.7% ROI) within 6 to 10 days of their last run
  • 25/70 (35.7% SR) for 19.3pts (+27.5% ROI) who last time out.

When Joe Fanning rides a Mark Johnston 3yo in a 3yo+ handicap over 1m4f, 6 to 10 after its last run, the results are 9 winners from 17 (52.9% SR) and 27.8pts (+163.3% ROI) profit, of which last time out winners are 5 from 6 (83.3% SR) for 11.6pts (+193.2% ROI) profit.

I've taken my 11/4 BOG about Nomenklatura from Totesport, but others are matching that price, so you'd be advised to...

...click here for the betting on the 3.00 Musselburgh

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Stat of the Day, 28th August 2015

Stat of the Day

Stat of the Day

Stat of the Day, 28th August 2015

Good of Luck was a very distant and laboured 4th of 5 runners at Stratford yesterday.

Sent off a 7/2, a half point longer than my advised 3/1 BOG, he looked like defying the market for a while as he was kept very handily tracking the leaders, but he started to weaken 3 flights from home was eventually run out of it.

Back to the Flat and a competitive looking Class 3, open age (3yo+) handicap over a mile and a half aka the...

7.30 Hamilton :

But before I give you the selection, a quick update on my schedule that you might find useful. As you know I'm away on holiday at present, but I've now a daily routine established.

If SotD isn't now posted between 6.30pm & 7.00pm in the evening, it will appear between 8.30am & 9.00am on the day of the race. There are also instant notifications on our Facebook page / Twitter feed.

Today's selection is Polarisation, who is quite widely available at 9/2 BOG as of 7.45am (at least six firms offering that price as I know of!)

He's trained by Mark Johnston and will be ridden by Joe Fanning, which is good for us, because since the start of 2010, Mark is 62/273 (22.7% SR) for 22.7pts (+8.3% ROI) profit in all races here at Hamilton, broken down as follows...

  • Male runners are 42/167 (25.2% SR) for 49.5pts (+29.6% ROI)
  • LTO winners are 13/30 (43.3% SR) for 39.9pts (+133% ROI)
  • Class 3 runners are 6/28 (21.4% SR) for 8.5pts (+30.2% ROI)

His 3 yr old males are 18/59 (30.5% SR) for 38.4pts (65.1% ROI) in handicaps, of which 6 from 14 (42.9% SR) were LTO winners, producing 24.8pts profit at an ROI of 177.1% wih today's jockey Joe Fanning riding all 6 winners from 13 rides.

Joe himself has a good record here at this track, winning 71 of his 311 (22.8% SR) rides here since the start of the 2008 season, generating 30.1pts (+9.7% ROI) profit for his followers.

He's 53/192 (27.6% SR) for 65.2pts (+33.9% ROI) on the Johnston runners here and 26/108 (24.1% SR) for 36pts (+33.3% ROI) on Mark's Hamilton handicappers.

As a 3 yr old in an open age handicap, Polarisation gets a helpful 10lb s weight for age allowance which effectively makes him the highest rated (OR) horse in the race carrying just a pound more than the bottom weight!

Mark Johnston is one of the best trainers at using this allowance to his advantage and his 3yr olds in these open age races are 79/333 (23.% SR) for 84.5pts (+25.4% ROI) since the start of 2008.

With today's race in mind, those 333 runners are...

  • 41/175 (23.4% SR) for 50.5pts (+28.9% ROI) over 1m4f
  • 27/106 (25.5% SR) for 25.7pts (+24.3% ROI) under Joe Fanning
  • 22/67 (32.8% SR) for 13pts (+19.4% ROI) from LTO winners
  • 16/60 (26.7% SR) for 30.2pts (+50.3% ROI) in Class 3 contests
  • 13/25 (52% SR) for 44.4pts (+177.6% ROI) here at Hamilton

I took my 9/2 BOG about Polarisation from Coral, because I'll get my money back if we lose by a head, but to get your preferred bookie's price...

...click here for the betting on the 7.30 Hamilton

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Stat of the Day, 27th July 2015

Stat of the Day

Stat of the Day

Stat of the Day, 27th July 2015

Saturday's selection Camanche Grey was advised to you at 11/2 BOG and was heavily backed down towards 3/1 before being withdrawn due to the ground condition.

That was our second non-runner of the week, but with the other four runners finishing 3111 for over 10pts profit on the week, it was a very good week indeed and with profits of over 18.2pts for the month so far with only five betting days to go, we're assured a decent return no matter what this week brings!

That said, I completed a hat-trick on Friday and I'd love to hit a 4-timer for you via Monday's...

3.30 Ayr :

A Class 4, 1m5f handicap for nine 3yo+ handicappers on Good ground, where I've just placed a bet on the Joe Fanning-ridden and Mark Johnston-trained 3 yr old gelding, Chadic, who is currently (9.30pm, Sunday) priced at 11/4 BOG with both Coral & Hills, whilst Ladbrokes are offering the same price, but won't go BOG until 9.00am on Monday.

Your first 30 days for just £1

Firstly, we should remind ourselves of the red-hot form of both jockey and trainer. Mark Johnston's horses have won 16 of their 43 (37.2% SR) races in the last 7 days and a £10 bet on each of them would have netted you a cool £296 at an ROI of 68.8%. In the same time, his handicappers are 10/25 (40% SR) for 14.8pts (+59.2% ROI) profit.

And to Joe Fanning, who is 5/24 (20.8% SR) for 6.2pts (+25.8% ROI) in all races and 4/16 (25% SR) for 8.64pts (+54% ROI) in handicap contests, largely thanks to partnering the Johnston runners to 4 wins from 15 (26.7% SR) for 9.64pts (+64.3% ROI) in all races and they are 4/10 (40% SR) together in handicaps, producing 14.64pts at an ROI of 146.4%.

Mark only has one runner anywhere today, so Chadic is his only chance of success and looks to have been well placed as a 3yo in a 3yo+ handicap, as these younger 'cappers get a weight for age allowance in open age handicaps and the longer the trip, the higher the allowance and at today's 1m5f, Chadic gets a whopping 13lbs, effectively reducing his mark to a very winnable 72.

Not only does Chadic get this allowance, his trainer Mark Johnston is the absolute master at exploiting this rule to the maximum potential, especially over the longer trips.

Since 2008, the Johnston 3 yr olds in open age handicaps on the Flat at trips of 1m4f to 2m are 76/322 (23.6% SR) for 83.3pts (+25.9% ROI) profit (2/8 here at Ayr), with those priced at 2/1 to 8/1 winning 49 of 205 (23.9% SR) for 62.2pts (+30.4% ROI).

Joe Fanning has ridden 99 of those 322 runners and his 25 winners represents a very healthy 25.3% strike rate that has produced 24.3pts (+24.5% ROI), whilst his rides on horses priced at 2/1 to 8/1 has resulted in 17 winners from 64 (26.6% SR) and 32.9pts profit at an ROI of 51.5%.

This time last year, Chadic was running in Group races off a mark of 100! He lost his way somewhat in the second half of last season, but a dropping handicap mark and a couple of steps up in trip seems to have rejuvenated him of late.

Since moving up from his usual 7f/1m he has finished 2131, the latest effort being a 3.25 length success over 1m5.5f at Chester nine days ago, where he easily accounted for the well-fancied Cecil filly Distain. He's never raced at this 1m5f trip before, but is 2 from 2 at 1m4.5f to 1m5.5f, so it's fairly safe to assume that the trip won't be an issue.

Then again, there aren't many reasons why Chadic shouldn't find the conditons untolerable at all here today. He's 1 from 2 here at Ayr and 3 from 5 (14211) on good ground. He has already tasted success under Joe Fanning and has finished 12131 when priced below 4/1, so the market tends to be a good indicator of his chances.

He's also 2 from 5 in the month of July, 3 from 9 in fields of less than 10 runners and 3 from 4 when racing with less than a fortnight's rest since his previous outing. All three career wins have come on left handed tracks, he's 2 from 4 at this Class 4 grade and has won twice from six efforts in blinkers.

The stats suggest he'll go well, trainer and/or jockey form also point to a good run, whilst he seems to have conditions set to suit him, all of which point to Chadic going off somewhat shorter than my advised 11/4 BOG that I took from Coral, but time will tell!

To see the very latest odds for Chadic...

...click here for the betting on the 3.30 Ayr

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SotD, Monday 27th July 2015

Stat of the Day

Stat of the Day

Stat of the Day, 27th July 2015

Saturday's selection Camanche Grey was advised to you at 11/2 BOG and was heavily backed down towards 3/1 before being withdrawn due to the ground condition.

That was our second non-runner of the week, but with the other four runners finishing 3111 for over 10pts profit on the week, it was a very good week indeed and with profits of over 18.2pts for the month so far with only five betting days to go, we're assured a decent return no matter what this week brings!

That said, I completed a hat-trick on Friday and I'd love to hit a 4-timer for you via Monday's...

3.30 Ayr :

A Class 4, 1m5f handicap for nine 3yo+ handicappers on Good ground, where I've just placed a bet on the Joe Fanning-ridden and Mark Johnston-trained 3 yr old gelding, Chadic, who is currently (9.30pm, Sunday) priced at 11/4 BOG with both Coral & Hills, whilst Ladbrokes are offering the same price, but won't go BOG until 9.00am on Monday.

Firstly, we should remind ourselves of the red-hot form of both jockey and trainer. Mark Johnston's horses have won 16 of their 43 (37.2% SR) races in the last 7 days and a £10 bet on each of them would have netted you a cool £296 at an ROI of 68.8%. In the same time, his handicappers are 10/25 (40% SR) for 14.8pts (+59.2% ROI) profit.

And to Joe Fanning, who is 5/24 (20.8% SR) for 6.2pts (+25.8% ROI) in all races and 4/16 (25% SR) for 8.64pts (+54% ROI) in handicap contests, largely thanks to partnering the Johnston runners to 4 wins from 15 (26.7% SR) for 9.64pts (+64.3% ROI) in all races and they are 4/10 (40% SR) together in handicaps, producing 14.64pts at an ROI of 146.4%.

Mark only has one runner anywhere today, so Chadic is his only chance of success and looks to have been well placed as a 3yo in a 3yo+ handicap, as these younger 'cappers get a weight for age allowance in open age handicaps and the longer the trip, the higher the allowance and at today's 1m5f, Chadic gets a whopping 13lbs, effectively reducing his mark to a very winnable 72.

Not only does Chadic get this allowance, his trainer Mark Johnston is the absolute master at exploiting this rule to the maximum potential, especially over the longer trips.

Since 2008, the Johnston 3 yr olds in open age handicaps on the Flat at trips of 1m4f to 2m are 76/322 (23.6% SR) for 83.3pts (+25.9% ROI) profit (2/8 here at Ayr), with those priced at 2/1 to 8/1 winning 49 of 205 (23.9% SR) for 62.2pts (+30.4% ROI).

Joe Fanning has ridden 99 of those 322 runners and his 25 winners represents a very healthy 25.3% strike rate that has produced 24.3pts (+24.5% ROI), whilst his rides on horses priced at 2/1 to 8/1 has resulted in 17 winners from 64 (26.6% SR) and 32.9pts profit at an ROI of 51.5%.

This time last year, Chadic was running in Group races off a mark of 100! He lost his way somewhat in the second half of last season, but a dropping handicap mark and a couple of steps up in trip seems to have rejuvenated him of late.

Since moving up from his usual 7f/1m he has finished 2131, the latest effort being a 3.25 length success over 1m5.5f at Chester nine days ago, where he easily accounted for the well-fancied Cecil filly Distain. He's never raced at this 1m5f trip before, but is 2 from 2 at 1m4.5f to 1m5.5f, so it's fairly safe to assume that the trip won't be an issue.

Then again, there aren't many reasons why Chadic shouldn't find the conditons untolerable at all here today. He's 1 from 2 here at Ayr and 3 from 5 (14211) on good ground. He has already tasted success under Joe Fanning and has finished 12131 when priced below 4/1, so the market tends to be a good indicator of his chances.

He's also 2 from 5 in the month of July, 3 from 9 in fields of less than 10 runners and 3 from 4 when racing with less than a fortnight's rest since his previous outing. All three career wins have come on left handed tracks, he's 2 from 4 at this Class 4 grade and has won twice from six efforts in blinkers.

The stats suggest he'll go well, trainer and/or jockey form also point to a good run, whilst he seems to have conditions set to suit him, all of which point to Chadic going off somewhat shorter than my advised 11/4 BOG that I took from Coral, but time will tell!

To see the very latest odds for Chadic...

...click here for the betting on the 3.30 Ayr

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Stat of the Day, 11th July 2015

Stat of the Day

Stat of the Day

Stat of the Day, 11th July 2015

Shane Gray got Cyril out sharply (as you need to!) at Chester on Friday and hit the front well before the first bend and never saw another rival until after they completed a four length victory at an SP of 4/1, just slightly shorter than our advised 9/2.

The horse kept on giving every time he was asked for more and there's probably a better race in him yet.

Buoyed by Friday's success on the Roodee, we're staying put for Saturday's...

4.10 Chester :

A Class 4, 1m 6.5f handicap for 3 yr olds, where Mark Johnston's Chadic is priced at 9/4 BOG in his bid to land back to back wins.

Mark's record here at Chester since 2010 is decent enough with 45 winners from 284 (15.9% SR) producing 104.1pts (+36.7% ROI) of level stakes profits, with his longer distance runners making even more money.

Those running at trips beyond 1m2f are 23/149 (15.4% SR) for 109.3pts (+73.4% ROI), of which Joe Fanning has ridden 10 winners from 48 (20.8% SR) for 37pts profit at an ROI of 77%.

Chadic now steps up in trip after a facile win at Newcastle last time out, when he made all and stayed on well to win by 3.5 lengths with seemingly plenty in hand.

In support of his selection today, Mark Johnston's 3 yr old handicappers with less than 5 handicap runs to date stepped up in trip by 0.5f to 4f to run at trips of 1m1f and beyond are 68/280 (24.3% SR) for 55.8pts profit at an ROI of 20% since the start of the 2011 campaign, with a 4/19 (21% SR) for 4.6pts (+24.2% ROI) record here at Chester.

Mark's runners are flying a the moment and I'd not be too surprised if Chadic wasn't his (and ours!) latest winner at 9/4 BOG. I've got on with Bet365, but the same price is on offer with Betfred / Totesport, and you can see what everyone is giving by...

...clicking here for the betting on the 4.10 Chester

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Stat of the Day, 21st February 2015

Stat of the Day

Stat of the Day

Stat of the Day, 21st February 2015

It was a winner and two placers from 4 rides for the Pipe/Scudamore alliance at Exeter yesterday and unfortunately for us, Top Wood could only manage to finish third in a race that became a real slog.

Half of the eight runners failed to finish, yet our runner performed really well for much of the contest, but visibly tired ate on, which in turn caused some jumping errors.

No complaints about the run, he was beaten by better on the day, that's all. We did manage to beat the 3/1 SP by half a point, which is always one of our goals.

Last selection of the week and we're moving to the All-Weather for the...

2.50 Lingfield:

Where 7 runners are set to contest this Class 5 3yo maiden over a mile and a half. A race in which I'm siding with the Mark Johnston-trained and Joe Fanning-ridden Mister Rockandroll, who makes his fifth start today.

The best of his four runs to date as his only effort on the A/W, when finishing second at Kempton, beaten by three lengths staying on and looking he needed/wanted further than 1m2f, which he will get today at a track where his trainer has done well in the past.

Since 2009 Mark Johnston's record here at Lingfield on the A/W with horses in what could loosely be described as SotD territory ie 9/4 to 13/2 stands at 51 winners from 211 runners, a 24.2% strike rate producing 54.9pts of level stakes profits at an ROI of 26%, which is very nice indeed.

His 3yr olds are 35/131 (26.7% SR) for 41.7pts (+31.8% ROI) and he has 23/79 (29.1% SR) record in maidens that has generated 35.5pts (+44.9% ROI) profit.

In 3yr old only races, the figures become 22 winners from 86 (25.6% SR) for 26.6pts (+30.9% ROI) and in 3yo maidens there have been 9 winners from 34 (26.5% SR) for 8.9pts (+26.2% ROI).

Jockey Joe Fanning also rides well here and in the same 2009/15 timeframe as above, has ridden 104 winners from 593 outings (17.5% SR) for 129.9pts (+21.9% ROI) profit: once again, these are excellent figures. In maidens, Joe has 35 winners from 173 (20.2% SR) for 31.3pts (+18.1% ROI) profit.

His record on 3 yr old maidens is 27 wins from 110 (24.6% SR) for 60.8pts (+55.3%ROI) and in race restricted to just 3yo maidens, he is 15/66 (22.7% SR) for 56.4pts (+85.4% ROI) and he generally fares better when the money is down with 10 wins from 24 (41.7% SR) on those priced from 6/4 to 9/2, which have then produced level stakes profits of 17.2pts at an ROI of 71.5%.

The step up in trip really should suit Mister Rockandroll today and he's also entitled to improve for having a previous run on an A/W surface. He had Framley Garth over 4 lengths behind him at Kempton, but the latter has finished 3231 since that day, finishing as runner-up in a Class 3 handicap last time out.

This doesn't look a particularly strong race and whilst most of the focus will be on the Appleby & Balding runners, I'm hopeful that we might just sneak under the radar and land a winner with Mister Rockandroll at 4/1 BOG with Bet365.

The full market (when formed) can be quickly seen when you...

...click here for the latest betting on the 2.50 Lingfield

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