Tag Archive for: kempton horse racing tips

Kempton TV Trends | Monday 18th April 22

Live ITV4 racing at Kempton today. We take a look at the two main races from a trends angle - the Rosebery Handicap (3.30) and the Listed Snowdrop Fillies' Stakes (4.05).

Kempton Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV4)

3.30 – RacingTV Rosebery Handicap (London Middle Distance Series Qualifier) Cl2 1m3f ITV4

17/17 – Had won over at least 1m1f before
14/17 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/17 – Had won between 2-4 times before
12/17 – Rated between 89 and 99
11/17 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
12/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/17 – Carried 8-13 or more in weight
10/17 – Aged 4 years-old
9/17 – Unplaced favourites
7/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
6/17 – Won last time out
4/17 – Ran at Lingfield last time out
3/17 – Winning favourites
2/17 – Trained by Mark Johnston
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1

4.05 - RacingTV Snowdrop Fillies´ Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m ITV4

16/18 – Had won between 2-4 times before
16/18 – Came from the top three in the betting
15/18 – Won by a 4 year-old
16/18 – Priced 7/1 or shorter in the betting
15/18 – Had won over at least 1m before
14/18 – Last raced 4 ½ months or more ago
13/18 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
13/18 – Rated between 90-102
12/18 – Placed favourites
8/18 – Unplaced in their last race
6/18 – Rated 96 or lower
5/18 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
8/18 – Winning favourites
5/18 – Had run at Kempton before
4/18 – Won last time out
3/18 – Won by trainer Marco Botti
2/18 – Won by trainer James Fanshawe
7 of the last 14 favourites have won

Boxing Day TV Trends (Kempton & Wetherby)

A huge day on Boxing Day (Sunday, Dec 26th 2021), but the festive highlight, as racing resumes after a three-day break, is the King George VI Meeting at Kempton Park.

The King George VI Chase is the feature race of the day as punters will look to get their Christmas expenses paid for – a race in recent years we’ve seen horse racing greats like Kauto Star, Long Run, Best Mate, Kicking King, One Man and, more recently, Thistlecrack, Might Bite, landing the prize – while the Paul Nicholls-trained Clan Des Obeaux has landed two of the last three King George VI Chases, while Nicholls took the pot again 12 months ago - his twelfth win in the race - with Frodon - ridden by Bryony Frost.

Plus, at Wetherby the ITV cameras are also heading there to take in the Grade 3 Rowland Meyrick Chase.

Here at GeeGeez, we take a look at each race on the Kempton card and highlight the main trends, plus the Rowland Meyrick Chase (Wetherby) – hopefully this will help you narrow down the fields and point you in the direction of a few festive winners.

 

Kempton Horse Racing Trends and Tips

12:45 – Play Ladbrokes 5-A-Side ON Football Novices' Hurdle Race 2m RTV

14/14 – Had raced in the last 8 weeks
13/14 - Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/14 – Favourites placed in the top 3
11/14 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Winning distance 3 lengths or more
10/14 – Had won a NH Flat race before
8/14 – Winning favourites
7/14 – Won just once over hurdles before
5/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
Third Time Lucki (11/10 fav) won the race 12 months ago

 

1.20 – Get Your Ladbrokes £1 Free Bet Today Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase (Gbb Race) Cl3 (4yo+ 0-140) 2m 4 1/2f ITV

17/17 – Aged 7 or younger
16/17 – Had won between 0-1 times over fences in the UK
14/17 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
10/17 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
8/17 – Placed favourites (1 joint)
9/17 – Officially rated between 119 and 125
8/17 – Carried 11-5 or more
8/17 – Winning distance – 6 lengths or more
6/17 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/17 – Won by a French bred horse
5/17 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
4/17 – Won last time out
2/17 – Raced at Kempton last time out
Killer Clown (9/2) won the race 12 months ago

 

1.55 – Ladbrokes Kauto Star Novices´ Chase (In memory of Nigel Clark) (Grade 1) Cl1 3m ITV

17/18 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
17/18 – Placed in the top two last time out
14/18 – Won last time out
14/18 – French (7) or Irish (7) bred
13/18 – Had won at least 2 times over fences in the UK
12/18 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
12/18 – Aged 6 or younger
11/18 – Went onto run in that season’s RSA Chase (no winners)
11/18 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
10/18 – Aged 6 years-old
10/18 – Placed favourites
10/18 – Had won (chase) over at least 3m before
8/18 – Raced at Newbury last time out
8/18 – Winning favourites
4/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/18 – Trained by David Pipe
2/18 – Ridden by Tom Scudamore
2/18 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
1/18 – French trained
1/18 – Went onto run in the Cheltenham Gold Cup (One winner - Coneygree 2015)
Shan Blue (7/4 fav) won the race 12 months ago

 

2.30 – Ladbrokes Christmas Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV

17/19 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
16/19 – Had won at least 4 times over hurdles before
16/19 – Placed favourites
14/19 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
13/19 – Went onto run in the Champion Hurdle (Faughan (2015), Buveur D’Air (2018), Epatante (2019) winners)
11/19 – Won last time out
10/19 – Winning favourites
10/19 – Went onto finish in the top 5 in the Champion Hurdle that season
10/19 – Had run over hurdles at Kempton before
8/19 – Irish trained
8/19 – Ran in the Fighting Fifth Hurdle (Newcastle) last time out
7/19 – French bred
7/19 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
4/19 – Trained by Noel Meade
2/19 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/19 – Trained by Willie Mullins
Silver Streak (13/2) won the race in 2020
Epatante (2/1) won the race in 2019

 

3.05 – Ladbrokes King George VI Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 3m ITV

17/19 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
17/19 – Had won a Grade One chase before
17/19 – French (13) or Irish bred (4)
16/19 – Finished in the top three last time out
16/19 – Placed favourites
16/19 – Had won over 3m or further (fences) before
15/19 – Officially rated 168 or higher
15/19 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
15/19 – Aged 8 or younger
12/19 – Had won a race over fences at Kempton before
11/19 – Winning favourites
11/19 – Won last time out
10/19 – Ran in the Betfair Chase (Haydock) last time out
10/19 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
10/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (12 times in all)
8/19 – Won by a previous winner of the race
2/19 – Won by an Irish-based yard (only 3 in the last 35 runnings)
Paul Nicholls, Colin Tizzard and Nicky Henderson have trained ALL of the last 15 winners between them (10 Nicholls, 2 Tizzard, 3 Henderson)
The average winning SP in the last 19 years is 5/1

 

3.40 – Ladbrokes We Play Together Handicap Hurdle Cl3 (3yo+ 0-140) 2m5f RTV

 

14/14 – Won no more than 3 times (UK Hurdles)
13/14 – Aged 6 or younger
12/14 – Won between 0-2 times hurdles (UK)
10/14 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
10/14 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
10/14 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
9/14 – Ran 5 or less weeks ago
8/13 – Officially rated 120-129
8/13 – Won last time out
7/13 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
7/13 – Unplaced favourites
6/13 – French bred
3/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
Monte Cristo (25/1) won the race 12 months ago

 

Wetherby Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

 

2.10 – William Hill Rowland Meyrick Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m45y ITV

12/13 – Aged 8 or younger
12/13 – Had won 3 or less times over fences (UK)
11/13 – Didn’t win last time out
11/13 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
11/13 – Raced in the last 5 weeks
11/13 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
9/13 – Had raced at Wetherby before
8/13 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
8/13 – Had won over 3m (chase) before
8/13 – Irish bred
7/13 – Unplaced in their last race
4/13 – Raced at either Haydock (2) or Aintree (2) last time out
3/13– Winning favourites
Canelo won the race in 2020
Top Ville Ben won the race in 2019
Lake View Lad won the race in 2018

 

 

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Close Brothers Handicap Chase Trends

The Close Brothers Chase was first run back in 1988 and was staged as the Racing Post Chase until 2011 and then the Racing Plus Chase in 2012 & 2013. Leading bookmaker – BetBright – took over the sponsorship from 2014 till 2017. In 2020 we had another new backer of the race with leading bookmaker Betway taking over, while in 2021 the race will be run as the Close Brothers Chase.

This Grade Three handicap is run over a distance of 3m at Kempton Park racecourse the contest is often described as another Grand National trial, with two horses – Rhyme ‘n’ Reason and Rough Quest – landing both races in the same season, while it could pay to know that both those horses also contested the Cheltenham Gold Cup that season.

Did You Know - 15 of the last 18 winners were aged 9 or younger and finished in the top 5 last time out.

Here at GEEGEEZ we take a look back at recent winners of the Close Brothers Chase and give you the key stats to look out for ahead of the 2021 renewal – this year run on Saturday February 27th.

 

 

Recent Close Brothers Chase Winners

2020 – MISTER MALARKY (9/1)
2019 -  WALT (14/1)
2018 – MASTER DEE (8/1)
2017 – PILGRIMS BAY (25/1)
2016 – THEATRE GUIDE (6/1)
2015 – ROCKY CREEK (8/1)
2014 – BALLY LEGEND (28/1)
2013 – OPENING BATSMAN (12/1)
2012 – NACARAT (9/2)
2011 – QUINZ (8/1)
2010 – RAZOR ROYALE (11/1)
2009 – NACARAT (10/1)
2008 – GUNGADU (4/1 fav)
2007 – SIMON (11/2)
2006 – INNOX (8/1)
2005 – FARMER JACK (5/1)
2004 – MARLBOROUGH (8/1)
2003 – LA LANDIERE (5/1 jfav)

Key Close Brothers Betting Trends

15/18 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
15/18 – Aged 9 or younger
15/18 – Rated 139 or higher
13/18 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
12/18 – Won a Class 2 chase or better before
12/18 – Carried 10-13 or more
12/18 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/18 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
12/18 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
11/18 – Came from the top 4 in the betting
11/18 – Rated between 139 and 150
10/18 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
8/18 – Carried 11-5 or more
7/18 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
7/18 – Won last time out
6/18 – Aged 8 years-old
5/18 – French bred
4/18 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Grand National (all unplaced)
4/18 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
4/18 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (1 winner)
3/18 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
2/18 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/18 – Ridden by Richard Johnson (won it 5 times in all)
2/18 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
2/18 – Trained by Tom George
2/18 – Trained by Neil Mulholland (won 2 of the last 4)
2/18 – Trained by Colin Tizzard (won 2 of the last 4)
2/18 – Trained by Philip Hobbs (won it 4 times in all)
2/18 – Ran in the King George VI Chase last time out
Mister Malarky (9/1) won the race in 2020
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 12/1
Note: The 2006 running was staged at Sandown Park

 

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