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Sat TV Trends: 7th Sept 2019

Plenty going on this Saturday –  this week from Haydock, Ascot & Kempton - with the Group One Haydock Sprint Cup the feature contest on the day.....As always we've  got all the TV trends for you. Use these to find the best profiles of past winners and whittle down the runners.


Saturday 7th September 2019

 

HAYDOCK Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1.50 – Garswood Handicap Cl2 1m6f ITV

10/10 – Came from stalls 3-10 (inc)
10/10 – Had run in the last 4 weeks
9/10 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
8/10 – Rated between 81-89 (inc)
8/10 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
8/10 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
6/10 – Came from stalls 6-10 (inc)
6/10 – Irish Bred
6/10 – Placed favourites
5/10 – Won last time out
5/10 – Ran at either York (2) or Newbury (2) last time out
4/10 – Winning favourites
Mekong (9/4) won the race in 2018

 

2.25 – Unibet Mile (Registered as The Superior Mile Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 1m ITV

13/15 – Won over 1m or further before
13/15 – Won 3 or more times before
12/15 – Winning distance 1 length or more
12/15 – Had won a Listed or better race before
11/15 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
11/15 – Had 3 or more runs that season
9/15 – Placed favourites
8/15 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
7/15 – Ran at either York or Ascot last time out
6/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Had won at Haydock before
3/15 – Trained by Roger Charlton
3/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
5 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 1 or 4
Here Comes When (3/1) won the race in 2018

 

3.35 – Old Borough Cup Handicap Cl2 1m6f ITV

15/16 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
15/16 – Had won at least twice before
14/16 – Had run 4 or more times that season
14/16 – Aged 3, 4 or 5 years-old
13/16 – Finished 4th or better last time out
12/16 – Rated 90 to 101
12/16 – Drawn in stall 7 or higher
9/16 – Winning distance ¾ lengths or less
8/16 – Carried 9-0 or more
8/16 – Had run over 1m6f before
7/16 – Ran at Haydock before
6/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
6/16 – Ran at York last time out
4/16 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/16 – Ridden by Joe Fanning
Reshoun (6/1) won the race in 2018

4.10 - Sprint Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 6f ITV

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15/17 – Unplaced horses from stall 1
14/17 - Aged 5 or younger
14/17 – Had 4 or more career wins to their name
14/17 – Rated 111 or higher
14/17 – Had won over 6f before
13/17 – Didn’t win their previous race
13/17 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
12/17 –Had 4 or more runs that season
12/17 – Winning distance 1 length or less
12/17 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
11/17 – Had won a Group race before
9/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
9/17 – Ran at Deauville (4) or York (5) last time out
8/17 – Had run at Haydock before (3 had won)
7/17 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
7/17 – Had won a Group 1 before
5/17 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 9/1

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

2.45 – Cunard Handicap Cl2 7f ITV

Only 8 previous runnings
8/8 – Didn’t win last time out
8/8 – Had run at the course before
8/8 – Had won over 7f before
8/8 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
8/8 – Winning distance 1 ¼ lengths or less
7/8 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
6/8 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
6/8 – Irish bred
6/8 – Unplaced last time out
4/8 – Rated between 95-97
4/8 – Had between 4-7 wins already
3/8 – Aged 5 years-old
2/8 – Winners from stall 12
0/8 – Winning favourites
Ripp Orf (7/1) won the race in 2018

3.55 - Lavazza Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m4f ITV

Only 9 previous runnings
7/9 – Rated between 84-95
7/9 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
6/9 – Had won just once before
5/9 – Horses placed from stall 10
5/9 – Returned a double-figure price
5/9 – Carried 9-0 or more
5/9 – Had run at Ascot before (3 won)
4/9 – Horses placed from stall 8
4/9 – Won last time out
3/9 – Ran at Ascot last time out
3/9 – Winning favourites (1 co, 1 joint)
2/9 – Won by trainer Saeed Bin Suroor
Note: the 2015 running was a dead-heat
Duke Of Bronte (5/2 jfav) won the race in 2018

 

Kempton Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

 

2.05 – Sun Racing September Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f ITV

12/13 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
10/13 – Placed favourites
9/13 – Didn’t win last time out
9/13 – Had won between 4-7 times before
9/12 – Had won over 1m4f before
9/13 – Winning distance – 1 ¼l or more
8/13 – Horses from stall 2 that finished in the top 3
8/13 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
7/13 – Had run at Kempton before
5/13 – Ran at York (3) or Windsor (2) last time out
5/13 – Aged 4 years-old
5/13 – Winning favourites
4/13 – Godolphin-owned runners
3/13 – Winners from stall 2
3/13 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
1/13 – Winners from stall 1
Enable (8/15) won the race in 2018

 

3.15 – Sun Racing 'London Mile' Handicap (Series Final) Cl2 1m ITV

13/13 – Had run at Kempton before
11/13 – Had won over a mile before
11/13 – Won between 3-7 times before
11/13 – Unplaced favourites
9/13 – Aged 4 years-old
9/13 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
7/13 – Returned 20/1 or bigger in the betting
5/13 – Rated between 77-85
5/13 – Horses from stall 9 that finished in the top 3
4/13 – Ran at Kempton last time out
4/13 – Won last time out
2/13 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
1/13 – Winning favourites
5 of the last 7 winners came from stalls 14 (3) or 16 (2)
War Glory (20/1) won the race in 2018

 

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Sat TV Trends: 23rd Feb 2019

This weekend the ITV cameras head to Kempton, with their newly-sponsored Betdaq Handicap Chase their feature contest, while they are also at Lingfield for the Winter Derby and the Newcastle for their Eider Chase.

As always, we are  on hand with all the key trends and stats for the LIVE ITV races. Use these to whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Kempton Park Horse Racing Trends (ITV4)

1.50 – 888Sport Pendil Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 2m4f110y ITV4

12/14 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
12/14 – French (8) of Irish (3) bred
11/14 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
11/14 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
11/14 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
10/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (won 7 of the last 10)
9/14 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences before
8/14 – Won last time out
8/14 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 renewals is 6/4

2.25 – 888Sport Adonis Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV4

14/15 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/15 -  Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
12/15 – Had won no more than once over hurdles in the UK
12/15 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
12/15 – Winners that went onto run in the Triumph Hurdle (3 winners)
11/15 – Placed favourites
11/15 – Had won over 2m (hurdles) before
10/15– Won carrying either a 4lb or 7lb penalty
9/15 – Won last time out
7/15 – Winning favourites
5/15 – French bred
5/15 – Irish bred
4/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/15 – Trained by Alan King (won the last two runnings)
3/15 – Winners that went onto win that season’s Triumph Hurdle
3/15 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
Zarkandar, Soldatino and Penzance went onto land that season’s Triumph Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2

Note: The 2006 renewal was staged at Sandown Park

3.00 – Sky Bet Dovecote Novices´ Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV4

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12/13 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
12/13 – Had won over 2m (hurdles) before
11/13 – Had never raced over hurdles at Kempton before
9/13 – Placed favourites
9/13 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
10/13 – Won between 0-2 times over hurdles before
10/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/13 – Won last time out
6/13 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
5/13 – Winning favourites
4/13 – French bred
4/13 – Trained by Alan King
4/13 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/13 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2/13 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/13 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2
Note: The 2006 renewal was staged at Sandown Park

3.35 – 888Sport Chase (Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m ITV4

14/16 – Rated 139 or higher
14/16 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
13/16 – Aged 9 or younger
12/16 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
11/16 – Won a class 2 chase or better before
11/16 – Carried 10-13 or more
11/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Came from the top 4 in the betting
11/16 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
10/16 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
10/16 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
10/16 – Rated between 139 and 150
8/16 – Carried 11-5 or more
7/16 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
7/16 – Won last time out
5/16 – Aged 8 years-old
5/16 – French bred
4/16 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Grand National (all unplaced)
4/16 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/16 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
2/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/16 – Ridden by Richard Johnson (won it 5 times in all)
2/16 – Trained by Tom George
2/16 – Trained by Philip Hobbs (won it 4 times in all)
2/16 – Ran in the King George VI Chase last time out
2/16 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (1 winner)
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 10/1
Note: The 2006 running was staged at Sandown Park

Newcastle Horse Racing Trends (ITV4)

2.40 – Vertem Eider (A Handicap Chase) Cl2 4m1f ITV4

15/15 – Had won over at least 3m before
13/15 – Aged 10 or younger
12/15 – Carried 11-0 or more
12/15 – Priced 11/1 or shorter in the betting
11/15 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
11/15 – Irish-bred
11/15 – Winners came from the top 3 in the betting
10/15 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
10/15 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
9/15 – Officially rated between 131-140
9/15 – Aged either 8 or 9 years-old
8/15 – Placed favourites
5/15 – Won last time out
5/15 – Won over 3m4f or further before
3/15 – Carried 11-12 in weight
2/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Irish-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 15 runnings is 10/1

Lingfield Horse Racing Trends (ITV4)

2.05 – Betway Hever Sprint Stakes (All-Weather Championship Fast-Track Qualifier) (Listed Race) Cl1 5f6y ITV4

11/12 – Rated 96+
10/12 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/12 – Raced 6 weeks or longer ago
9/12 – Had raced at Lingfield before
8/12 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
8/12 – Placed favs
8/12 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
7/12 – Ran at Lingfield last time out
4/12 – US bred
4/12 – Winning favourites
3/12 – Mare winners
3/12 – Trained by David Barron
0/12 – Winners from stall 1
Royal Birth won the race in 2017
Gracious John won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2

3.15 - Betway Winter Derby (All-Weather Championship Fast-Track Qualifier) (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f ITV4

16/16 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or shorter
13/16 – Won by a horse aged 6 or younger
12/16 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the market
12/16 – Had run at Lingfield previously
12/16 – Won over at least 1m2f previously
12/16 – Had raced at either Lingfield (8) or Kempton (4) last time out
12/16 – Winning distance – less than a length
10/16 – Placed in their last race
10/16 – Drawn in stall 7 or less
10/16 – Came from the top 3 in the market
10/16 – Won at Lingfield previously
10/16 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
9/16 – Won their last race
8/16 – Won at least 6 times previously
7/16 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the 16 renewals is 6/1

 

 

 

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Kempton and Chepstow TV Trends: 27th Dec 2018

A huge day of National Hunt action on Wednesday 27th December as the ITV cameras head to Kempton for three races, while they are also at Chepstow to take in the Coral Welsh National.

We’ve got all the key trends and stats for all the LIVE races to help you whittle down the fields.

Kempton Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

1.55 – 32Red Casino Mares´ Handicap Hurdle Cl2 3m110y ITV

11/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
10/11 – Priced 17/2 or shorter
9/11 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles previously
9/11 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
8/11 – Favourites that were placed in the top 3
7/11 – Won over 3m previously
6/11 – Won their last race
5/11 – Carried 11-0 or more in weight
5/11 – Ran at the track previously
5/11 – Winning favourites
4/11 – Aged 5 years-old
2/11 – Raced at Newbury last time out

 

2.30 – Unibet Desert Orchid Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV

9/11 – Aged 8 or younger
8/11 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
8/11 – Run at the track previously
8/11 – Won 4 (or more) times over fences
8/11 – Finished in the top 3 in their last race
8/11 – Favourites
8/11 – Officially Rated 160+
7/11 – French bred
6/11 – Ran at Sandown last time out
3/11 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/11 – Trained by Alan King
2/11 - Ridden by Barry Geraghty
Politologue (8/15 fav) won the race 12 months ago

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3.05 – 32Red.com Handicap Chase Cl2 3m ITV

11/11 – Ran in the last 7 weeks
10/11 – Priced between 7/2 and 12/1
10/11 – Aged 8 or younger
9/11 – Won between 2-3 (chase) before
9/11 – Carried 10-13 or more in weight
6/11 – Favourites Unplaced
5/11 – Officially Rated between 122-129
4/11 – Finished 1st or 2nd in their last race
4/11 – Ran at Kempton previously
4/11 – Won over 3m (or further) previously
3/11 – Ran at Ascot in their last race
3/11 – Winning favourites (joint)
2/11 – Trained by Nicky Henderson

Chepstow Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

2.50 – Coral Welsh Grand National (A Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m5f110y ITV

16/16 – Had won between 1-5 chase races before
16/16 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
16/16 – Had won over at least 3m before (fences)
14/16 – Aged 9 or younger
14/16 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
13/16 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
12/16 – Aged 8 or younger
11/16 – Carried 10-8 or less in weight
10/16 – Had won just 2 or 3 times before over fences
10/16 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
9/16 – Irish bred
8/16 – Had won over fences at Chepstow before
6/16 – Unplaced favourites
6/16 – Won last time out
6/16 – French bred
6/16 – Had run in the Welsh National before
4/16 – Ran at Chepstow last time out
2/16 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/16 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 10/1

 

 

 

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Saturday TV Trends: 7th April 2018

As we gear-up towards the Aintree Grand National meeting in a few weeks the LIVE Saturday action does take a bit of a step down in quality at this time of year. However, we've still got seven races to take in LIVE on ITV4 and a bit of something for everyone with jumping from Kelso, plus AW action from Kempton.

The Listed Snowdrop Fillies' Stakes at Kempton is the weekend's feature contest - a race that has been won by a 4 year-old in 12 of the last 14 runnings.

So, as always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle - use the key trends to help whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

Enjoy!

 

Kelso Horse Racing Trends

1.50 Sue And Harvey Smith Chase (A Novices’ Chase Limited Handicap) Cl3 (5 YO+ 0-135) 2m 7 ½ f ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer Iain Jardine has a 30% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Donald McCain has a 21% (12 from 56) record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Rose Dobbin has a 20% (7 from 35) record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Sue Smith is just 4 from 45 (9%) record with her chasers at the track

2.25 – totescoop6 Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m ITV4

6/7 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
6/7 – Unplaced last time out
6/7 – Had raced at Kelso before
5/7 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
5/7 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
4/7 – Unplaced favourites
5/7 – Carried 10-10 or more in weight
3/7 – Aged 7 years-old
3/7 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 13/2
Trainer Keith Dalgleish has a 54% record (7 from 13) with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Donald McCain has a 22% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Donald Whillans is only 2 from 27 (7%) with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Rose Dobbin is only 8 from 95 (8%) with her hurdlers at the track
Trainer Sue Smith is 0 from 17 with her hurdlers at the track
Trainer Susan Corbett is just 1 from 28  with her hurdlers at the track~
Trainer James Moffatt is just 1 from 32 with his hurdlers at the track

3.00 – Liz Adam Memorial Handicap Chase Cl2 3m2f ITV4

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One previous running
Yala Enki (9/4) won the race in 2017
Trainer Harriet Graham has a (21%) with her chasers at the track
Trainer Donald McCain has a 21% (12 from 56) record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Sue Smith is just 4 from 45 (9%) record with her chasers at the track

3.35 – Edinburgh Gin Handicap Hurdle Cl2 3m2f ITV4

Only 4 previous runnings
3 of the last 4 winners carried 11-7 or more in weight
Trainer Lucinda Russell has won 2 of the last 4 runnings
3 of the last 4 winners were aged 7 or 8 years-old
3 of the last 4 winners returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
The last 2 winners were aged 7 years-old
1 winning favourite in the last 4 runnings
The last three winners were placed at Haydock last time out
Trainer Tim Vaughan has a 56% (5 from 9)record with this hurdlers at the track
Trainer Donald McCain has a 22% record with this hurdlers at the track
Trainer Nicky Richards has a 22% record with this hurdlers at the track
Trainer Alistair Whillans is just 3 from 51 with his hurdlers at the track

 

Kempton Park Horse Racing Trends

2.05 – Betfred Mobile Handicap (Class 2 (4yo+ 0-105) 5f  ITV4

One previous running
A Momentofmadness (7/4 fav) won the race in 2017
Trainer Charles Hills won the 2017 running
1 winning favourite
Last year’s winner came from stall 1
Trainer Roger Varian has a 19% strike-rate with his older horses at the track
Jockey Andrea Atzeni has a +£18 level stakes profit riding older horses at the track
Trainer Derek Shaw is just 7 from 94 (7%) with his older horses at the track

 

2.40 – Betfred  ‘Supports Jack Berry House’ Handicap (Class 2) (4yo+ 0-105) ITV4

Two previous runnings
Both winners returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
1 winning favourite
Both winners carried 8-10 or more in weight
Both winners aged 4 or 5 years-old
Trainer James Fanshawe has a 24% strike-rate with his older horses at the track
Trainer Marco Botti has a 20% strike-rate with his older horses at the track
Trainer Roger Varian has a 19% strike-rate with his older horses at the track
Trainer Derek Shaw is just 7 from 94 (7%) with his older horses at the track
Trainer Richard Fahey is 0 from 34 with his older horses at the track
Jockey Andrea Atzeni has a +£18 level stakes profit riding older horses at the track

 

3.15 - Betfred ‘Home Of Goals’ Snowdrop Fillies´ Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m ITV4

13/14 – Had won between 2-4 times before
12/14 – Came from the top three in the betting
12/14 – Won by a 4 year-old
12/14 – Priced 7/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Had won over at least 1m before
11/14 – Last raced 4 ½ months or more ago
11/14 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
11/14 – Rated between 90-102
9/14 – Placed favourites
7/14 – Unplaced in their last race
6/14 – Rated 96 or lower
5/14 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
5/14 – Winning favourites
5/14 – Had run at Kempton before
3/14 – Won by trainer Marco Botti
2/14 – Won by trainer James Fanshawe
2/14 – Won last time out
4 of the last 10 favourites have won
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 4/1
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute has a 33% strike-rate with his older horses at the track
Trainer Jeremy Noseda has a 27% record with his older horses at the track
Trainer James Fanshawe has a 24% strike-rate with his older horses at the track
Trainer David Loughnane has a 23% strike-rate with his older horses at the track
Trainer Charlie Fellowes has a 21% strike-rate with his older horses at the track
Trainer Roger Varian has a 19% strike-rate with his older horses at the track
Trainer Mick Channon is just 1 from 28 (4%) with his older horses at the track

 

 

 

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