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Sat TV Trends: 12th Jan 2019

More LIVE ITV racing action this Saturday as the cameras head to Warwick for the Classic Chase, plus they are also at Kempton Park with the Lanzarote Hurdle their main event.

As normal we are on-hand with all the key stats for the LIVE ITV races – hopefully they might help point you in the direction of a few winners.

 

Kempton Horse Racing Betting Trends (RUK/ITV)

2.05 – 32Red Casino Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 2m4f110y ITV4

5 previous runnings
5/5 – Placed 2nd or 3rd last time out
4/5 – Didn’t win last time out
4/5 – Won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
4/5 – Had won at least 4 times over fences
4/5 – Winning favourites
4/5 – Returned 15/8 or shorter in the betting
3/5 – Had won over fences at the track
The average winning SP in the last 5 runnings is 11/4
Waiting Patiently won the race 12 months ago
Trainer Nicky Henderson won the race in 2017 & 2016
Trainer Alan King won the race in 2015
Trainer Philip Hobbs won the race in 2014
Nicky Henderson has a 30% record with his chasers at the track
Paul Nicholls has a 28% record with his chasers at the track
Alan King is just 3 from 39 (8%) with her chasers at the track

 

2.40 – Unibet Lanzarote Hurdle (Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m5f ITV4

17/17 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
15/17 – Aged 7 or younger
15/17 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
14/17 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Had won exactly 2 times over hurdles before
12/17 – Had never won a hurdles race over 2m4f or longer before
12/17 – Winning distance 3 lengths or less
12/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/17 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
11/17 – Irish (6) or French (5) bred
10/17 – Carried 10-11 or less
10/17 – Aged 6 years-old
9/17 – Placed favourites
7/17 – Won last time out
6/17 – Had run at Kempton before (5 won)
5/17 -  Winning favourites
3/17 – Trained by Nick Williams
3/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/17 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
Trainer Gary Moore won the race in 1996, 1998 & 2007
Since 1980 (37 runnings) 32 winners have been aged 7 or younger
The winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 6/1

 

3.15 – Unibet Handicap Chase Cl2 3m ITV4

Just six previous runnings
6/6 – Didn’t win last time out
5/6 – Had run at the track before
5/6 – Unplaced last time out
4/6 – Had won over 3m (fences) before
4/6 - Won between 2-4 times (fences) before
5/6 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
5/6 – Carried 11-0 or more
5/6 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
4/6 – Had raced in the last 3 weeks
4/6 – Placed favourites
2/6 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
2/5 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 6 is 5/1
Philip Hobbs won the race in 2014 & 2016

 

3.45 – Unibet Handicap Hurdle Cl3 2m ITV4

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10/10 – Had won over at least 2m hurdles before
10/10 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
10/10 – Aged 6 or older
8/10 – Favourites that finished in the top 2
8/10 – Aged 6 years-old
8/10 – Raced in the last 5 weeks
7/10 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
5/10 – Finished 4th or better last time out
5/10 – Irish bred
3/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Returned a double-figure price
2/10 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
1/10 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 9/2

 

Warwick Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

1.50 – McCoy Contractors 2019 Construction News Award Finalist Hampton Novices´ Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 3m ITV4

11/11 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
11/11 – Had won between 0-2 times over fences
11/11 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
10/11 – Had raced in the last 7 weeks
9/11 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences
9/11 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
9/11 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
8/11 – Aged 7 years-old
7/11 – Returned 9/4 or shorter in the betting
7/11 – Had won over 3m (or further) chase
7/11 – Won last time out
6/11 – Irish bred
2/11 – Trained by Alan King
2/11 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/11 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
2/11 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 8 years is 11/4

 

 

2.25 – Ballymore Leamington Novices´ Hurdle Grade 2 Cl1 2m5f ITV4

12/12 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/12 – Had won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
12/12 – Had won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
12/12 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
11/12 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
11/12 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/12 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
8/12 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or less
8/12 – Irish bred
8/12 – Won last time out
6/12 – Winning favourites
6/12 – Placed favourites
6/12 – Aged 5 years-old
2/12 – Went onto win at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (No Refuge, 2005 RSA Novices’ Hurdle, The New One, 2013 Neptune)
The average winning SP in the last 8 years is 3/1

 

 

3.00 – McCoy Constructors Civil Engineering Classic Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 (5yo+) 3m5f ITV4

13/13 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
12/13 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m
12/13 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
10/13 – Carried 11-2 or less in weight
10/13 – Winners that came from outside the top 3 in the betting market
9/13 – Officially rated between 129-140
9/13 – Aged between 7-9 years-old
8/13 – Won between 2-5 times over fences before
8/13 –  Won by a horse aged 9 or older
8/13 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
8/13 – Won by an Irish bred horse
8/13 – Had raced at Warwick (hurdles, chase, NH Flat) previously
7/13 – Favourites placed
7/13 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
7/13 – Returned a double-figure price
6/13 – Had run at either Cheltenham (3) or Newbury (3) in their last race
5/13 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Grand National (One For Arthur won both races in 2017)
3/13 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/13 – Won their last race
2/13 – Trained by Alan King
The average winning SP in the last 13 runnings is 10.5/1

 

 

3.35 – Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Series Qualifier) Cl2 3m1f ITV4

13/13 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
12/13 – Had won between 1-4 times over hurdles before
11/13 – Carried 11-0 or less
11/13 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
10/13 – Had won over at least 3m (hurdles) before
10/13 – Went onto finish unplaced in the Pertemps Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival
10/13 – Had never raced over hurdles at Warwick before
10/13 – Officially rated between 126-142
10/13 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
7/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/13 – Placed favourites
5/13 – Won last time out
2/13 – Ran at Bangor last time out
2/13 – Won by trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/13 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/13 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
2/13 – Winning favourites
7 of the last 8 winners were aged 8 or younger
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 8/1

 

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Sat TV Trends: 1st April 2017

Flat turf racing fans will be pleased this Saturday with the start of the new season - the Betway-sponsored Lincoln Handicap is the feature race at Doncaster on the traditional curtain-raiser for the new season, while there is also LIVE AW racing from Kempton Park. The ITV4 cameras on at both tracks to take in 7 races across the two venues, and as always we've got all the main races covered from a trends angle.

 


 

 

 

 

DONCASTER Horse Racing Trends

 

1.50 - Betway Cammidge Trophy (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV4

13/13 – Aged 7 or younger
12/13 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
12/13 – Had won no more than 5 times before
11/13 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
11/13 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/13 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Raced at Doncaster, Ascot, Lingfield or Windsor last time out
9/13 – Had won over 6f before
9/13 – Last ran 4 months or longer ago
8/13 – Rated 102+
8/13 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
7/13 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
7/13 – Unplaced favourites
7/13 – Had raced at Doncaster before
3/13 – Won last time out
2/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Had won at Doncaster before
Mobsta won the race in 2016
6 of the last 9 winners came between stalls 9-16 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1

Note: The 2007 running was staged at Newcastle
Note: The 2006 running was staged at Redcar

 

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2.25 - Betway Spring Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV4

13/15 – Carried 8-13 or more
12/15 – Aged 4 years-old
12/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
12/15 – Finished fourth or worse last time out
10/15 – Won over a mile before
8/15 – Won from a double-figure draw
2/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Won last time out
1/15 – Won a race at Doncaster before
1/15 – Winners from stalls 3-7 (inclusive)
Lord Of The Rock won the race in 2016
Richard Fahey has trained the winner in 2010 & 2014
The average winning SP in the last 10 renewals is 16/1
Just 1 winner older than 6 in the last 15 years
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute has a 50% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer William Haggas has a 29% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer John Gosden is just 1 from 27 (4%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track

 

3.00 – Betway Doncaster Mile Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m ITV4

Just 4 previous running
4/4 – Last ran 4+ months ago
4/4 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
3/4 – Rated 110+
3/4 – Had won 6+ times before
3/4 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
3/4 – Had won over at least 1m last time out
2/4 – Winning favourites
2/4 – Ran at Ascot last time out
1/4 – Won last time out
Belardo won the race in 2016
Tullius won the race in 2015
Trainer Roger Varian has a 31% record with his older horses here
Trainer John Gosden is just 1 from 27 (4%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track

 

3.35 - Betway Lincoln (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV4

14/14 – Aged 6 or younger
13/14 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
12/14 – Had won over at least 1m before
12/14 – Had won between 2-4 times before
10/14 – Drawn in stall 9 or higher
10/14 – Unplaced favourites
9/14 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
9/14 – Having their first run of the flat season
9/14 – Returned a double figure price in the betting
8/14 – Had raced at Doncaster before
7/14 – Officially rated between 95-98
7/14 – Placed first or second last time out
7/14 – Aged 4 years-old
6/14 – Raced at either Newmarket or Lingfield last time out
5/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
5/14 – Placed horses from stall 12 (1 winner)
5/14 – Won last time out
4/14  - Placed horses from stall 16 (1 winner)
3/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Trained by Mark Tompkins
2/14 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/14 – Trained by William Haggas
The average winning SP in the last 14 runnings is 14/1
Secret Brief won the race in 2016
Note: The 2006 renewal was run at Redcar and the 2007 running was staged at Newcastle


KEMPTON Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)


2.05 – Betfred Mobile Magnolia Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f ITV4

11/11 – Aged 6 or younger
10/11 – Had won over 1m2f before
9/11 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/11 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/11 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
8/11 – Drawn in stalls 1-4 (inc)
7/11 – Unplaced last time out
7/11 – Last ran 5 months or more ago
6/11 – Winning favourites
5/11 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
5/11 – Had won at Kempton before
4/11 – Unplaced favourites
4/11 – Irish bred
3/11 – Trained by William Haggas
3/11 – Trained by John Gosden
Our Channel won the race in 2016
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2

 

2.40 -Betfred “Like Us On Facebook” Handicap Cl2 6f ITV4

Just 5 previous runnings
5/5 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
5/5 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
5/5 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
5/5 – Carried between 8-10 and 9-5
4/5 – Horses from stall 6 placed
4/5 – Ran within the last 2 months
3/5 – Winners from stall 6
3/5 – Rated between 87-91
2/5 – Winning favourites
Spring Loaded won the race in 2016
The average winning SP in the last 5 runnings is 7/2

 

3.15 – Betfred “Home Of Goals Galore” Rosebery Handicap (London Middle Distance Series Qualifier) Cl2 1m3f ITV4

14/14 – Had won over at least 1m1f before
11/14 – Had won between 2-4 times before
11/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/14 – Rated between 89 and 99
10/14 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
8/14 – Carried 8-13 or more in weight
9/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/14 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
8/14 – Unplaced favourites
7/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
7/14 – Aged 4 years-old
5/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Ran at Lingfield last time out
2/14 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/14 – Winning favourites
The average SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

 

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Sat TV Trends: 14th Jan 17

More LIVE ITV4 action this Saturday as the cameras head to Warwick for the Classic Chase, plus they are also at Kempton Park, with the Lanzarote Hurdle their main event.

As normal, horse racing trends expert Andy Newton is on-hand with all the key stats for the LIVE ITV races – hopefully they might help point you in the direction of a few winners by narrowing down the fields.


 

 

 

Kempton Horse Racing Betting Trends (RUK/C4)

2.05 – 32Red Casino Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 2m4f110y ITV4

3 previous runnings
Trainer Nicky Henderson won the race in 2016
Trainer Alan King won the race in 2015
Trainer Philip Hobbs won the race in 2014
2/3 – Winning favourites
2/3 – Returned 15/8 or shorter in the betting
Nicky Henderson has a 32% record with his chasers at the track
Paul Nicholls has a 24% record with his chasers at the track
Venetia Williams is just 2 from 36 with her chasers at the track

2.40 – 32Red.com Lanzarote Hurdle (Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m5f ITV4

15/15 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
14/15 – Aged 7 or younger
14/15 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
10/15 – Had never won a hurdles race over this trip or longer before
11/15 – Had won exactly 2 times over hurdles before
12/15 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Winning distance 2 ¼ lengths or less
10/15 – Irish (5) or French (5) bred
10/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/15 – Carried 10-11 or less
10/15 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
9/15 – Aged 6 years-old
9/15 – Placed favourites
7/15 – Won last time out
5/15 – Had run at Kempton before (4 won)
5/15-  Winning favourites
3/15 – Trained by Nick Williams
2/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
Trainer Gary Moore won the race in 1996, 1998 & 2007
Since 1980 (35 runnings) 31 winners have been aged 7 or younger
The winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 7/1
Note: the 2006 running was a dead heat between Rayshan & Buck Whaley and run at Carlisle


3.15 – 32Red.com Handicap Chase Cl2 3m ITV4

Just four previous runnings
Philip Hobbs won the race 12 months ago and in 2014
3/4 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
3/4 – Carried 11-3 or more
2/4 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
1/4 – Winning favourites
Nicky Henderson has a 32% record with this chasers at the track
Ben Pauling is 2 from 5 with his chasers at the track
Venetia Williams is just 2 from 36 with her chasers at the track
Tom Cannon has a 21% record riding over fences at the track


3.45 – 32Red.com Handicap Hurdle Cl3 2m ITV4

9/9 – Had won over at least 2m hurdles before
9/9 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
9/9 – Aged 6 or older
8/9 – Favourites that finished in the top 2
7/9 – Aged 6 years-old
7/9 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
6/9 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
5/9 – Finished 4th or better last time out
4/9 – Irish bred
3/9 – Winning favourites
2/9 – Returned a double-figure price
1/9 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 10/1


Warwick Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV4)


1.50 - Betfred Mobile Hampton Novices´ Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 3m110y ITV4

9/9 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
9/9 – Had raced in the last 7 weeks
9/9 – Had won between 0-2 times over fences
9/9 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
7/9 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences
7/9 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
7/9 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
6/9 – Aged 7 years-old
6/9 – Returned 2/1 or shorter in the betting
5/9 – Had won over 3m (or further) chase
5/9 – Won last time out
5/9 – Irish bred
2/9 – Trained by Alan King
2/9 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/9 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
2/9 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 8 years is 9/4

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2.25 – Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Series Qualifier) Cl2 3m1f ITV4

11/11 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
11/11 – Had won between 1-4 times over hurdles before
9/11 – Carried 11-0 or less
9/11 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
9/11 – Had won over at least 3m (hurdles) before
9/11 – Went onto finish unplaced in the Pertemps Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival
8/11 – Had never raced over hurdles at Warwick before
8/11 – Officially rated between 127-142
8/11 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
6/11 – Placed favourites
6/11 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
3/11 – Won last time out
2/11 – Ran at Bangor last time out
2/11 – Won by trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/11 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/11 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
2/11 – Winning favourites
The last 6 winners were aged 8 or younger
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 15/2


3.00 – Neptune Investment Management Novices´ Hurdle (Registered As The Leamington Novices´ Hurdle) Grade 2 Cl1 2m5f
ITV4

10/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/10 – Had won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
10/10 – Had won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
10/10 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
9/10 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
9/10 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/10 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
7/10 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or less
6/10 – Irish bred
6/10 – Won last time out
5/10 – Winning favourites
5/10 – Placed favourites
5/10 – Aged 5 years-old
2/10 – Went onto win at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (No Refuge, 2005 RSA Novices’ Hurdle, The New One, 2013 Neptune)
The average winning SP in the last 8 years is 7/2

 

3.35 – Betfred Classic Chase (Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m5f ITV4

11/11 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
10/11 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m
10/11 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
8/11 – Aged between 7-9 years-old
8/11 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
8/11 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
8/11 – Winners that came from outside the top 3 in the betting market
7/11 –  Placed in the top 3 in their last race
7/11 – Officially rated between 129-140
7/11 – Won between 2-5 times over fences before
7/11 –  Won by a horse aged 9 or older
7/11 – Had raced at Warwick (hurdles, chase, NH Flat) previously
6/11 – Favourites unplaced
6/11 – Won by an Irish bred horse
6/11 – Had run at either Cheltenham (3) or Newbury (3) in their last race
5/11 – Returned a double-figure price
3/11 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Grand National (all failed to finish)
3/11 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/11 – Won their last race
2/11 – Trained by Alan King
2/11– Ridden by Ruby Walsh
The average winning SP in the last 11 runnings is 10/1

 

 

Trainers Quotes

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"Scribner Creek - Won well two starts ago here, but pulled a bit too hard last time out over further. The drop back in trip should help as they should be going a bit quicker which should help him not race too freely. The plan is to drop him in and come with a run and should not be far away. Doesn't look much value though, but we'd be disappointed if he's not in the frame."
Mark Loughnane

10/01/17 3rd 11/2

"What Usain - All three career wins have been here at the track - only second run for us so still finding our feet with the horse but wasn't beaten far last time at Newcastle over a mile and a repeat of that effort would see him go close. But draw 12 not ideal so might need a bit of luck from there. Tough race, but each-way claims if not getting into too much traffic problems."
Mick Appleby

10/01/17 2nd 12/1

"Call Out Loud - Better last time on second run back so seems to be slowly blowing the cobwebs away. More needed up in grade here off the same mark, but trying the first-time visor here as took a hold last time - hopefully this will settle him better. Stays further too so that will help down the long straight."
Mick Appleby

10/01/17 1st 10/1

"Among Angels - Drop in class and the drop in trip here are both things in his favour. The horse is in great form at home and would not be shocked to see him run well at a fair each-way price."
Mark Loughnane

10/01/17 2nd 7/2

"Big Amigo - Won well the last day here over CD - has come out of that race very well and despite a 6lb penalty everything is in place for a big run. No reason why he can't go very close again, but, in truth, we'll be a bit disappointed if he can't follow-up."
Mark Loughnane

10/01/17 1st 9/4

"Mithqaal - A nice prize here and we look to have a decent chance. This horse loved the surface last time when dotting up by 2 lengths over 7f. The step up to a mile should be fine and a 6lb rise for that looks fair. Several others that like the surface too, so a bit more needed but is a horse certainly capable of taking this and one of my best chances on the day."
Mick Appleby

10/01/17 1st 4/6

"Pancake Day - Ran a cracker last time when third here over 6f. Been given a chance with same mark and grade. Drop down to 5f is no problem and in good form at home. Hands and Heels race, but we claim a further 7lbs so should be giving his jockey a nice run and should not be far away."
David C Griffiths

10/01/17 1st 4/1

 

Sat TV Racing Trends: 5th Sept 2015

More LIVE C4 racing this Saturday with the cameras heading to Ascot, Kempton and Haydock, for their Betfred Sprint – We’ve got all the races covered from a trends angle.

Find those TV winners!

HAYDOCK Horse Racing Trends (RUK/C4)

2.00 - betfred.com Superior Mile (Group 3) Cl1 1m CH4

10/11 – Won over 1m or further previously
10/11 – Won 3 or more times previously
9/11 – Winning distance 1 length or more
8/11 – Had won a Listed or better race before
8/11 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting
8/11 – Favourites placed
8/11 – Had 3 or more runs that season
6/11 – Raced at either York or Ascot last time out
6/11 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
5/11 – Favourites
3/11 – Won at Haydock previously
2/11 – Won their last race
2/11 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
Captain Cat won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 7/1

2.35 - Betfred Mobile Old Borough Cup (Handicap) Cl2 1m6f CH4

12/12 – Won over at least 1m4f previously
11/12 – Won at least twice previously
10/12 – Rated 90 to 101
10/12 – Aged 3, 4 or 5 years-old
10/12 – Placed 4th or better last time out
10/12 – Raced 4 or more times that season
9/12 – Drawn in stall 8 or higher
8/12 – Carried 9-0 or more in weight
7/12 – Winning distance ¾ lengths or less
6/12 – Raced at Haydock previously
6/12 – Raced over 1m6f previously
5/12 – Raced at York last time out
5/12 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/12 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/12 – Ridden by Joe Fanning
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 8/1

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3.10 - Betfred TV Be Friendly Handicap Cl2 5f CH4

10/12 – Had won 4 or more times previously
9/12 – Rated 90+
9/12 – Had raced at Haydock before (2 won)
9/12 – Previous winners over 5f
9/12 – Had 9 or more previous runs that season
8/12 – Unplaced in their last race
7/12 – Aged 3, 4 or 5 years-old
7/12 – Drawn in stall 7 or lower
7/12 – Winning distance - 1 length or less
7/12 – Placed favourites
7/12 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
6/12 – Carried 8-11 or less in weight
2/12 – Favourites
2/12 – Won their last race
2/12 – Trained by Dandy Nicholls
2/12 – Trained by Tim Easterby
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 12/1
Confessional won the race in 2013

3.45 - Betfred Sprint Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 6f CH4

11/13 – Had 4 or more career wins to their name
11/13 – Rated 111 or higher
11/13  Aged 5 or younger
10/13 – Winning distance 1 length or less
10/13 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
10/13 – Won over 6f previously
10/13 – Didn’t win their previous race
10/13 –Had 4 or more runs that season
9/13 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
8/13 – Won a Group race previously
8/13 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
7/13 – Raced at Deauville (3) or York (4) last time out
7/13 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
5/13 – Raced at Haydock before (2 had won)
4/13 – Had won a Group 1 before
3/13 – Favourites
2/13 – Placed horse from stall 1
G Force won this race 12 months ago
Gordon Lord Byron won the race in 2013
The average winning SP in the last 12 years is 10/1

ASCOT Horse Racing Trends (ATR/C4)


2.50 - Fly London Southend Airport Handicap (Qualifier For Balmoral Hcap On Qipco British Champions Day) Cl2 7f CH4

Only 4 previous runnings
4/4 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
2/4 – Aged 5 years-old
0/4 – Favourites
Richard Fahey is just 2 from 80 with his older horses here

3.25 - Appletiser Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m4f CH4

Only 4 previous runnings
3/4 – Returned a double-figure price
4/4 – Carried 9-0 or more in weight
2/4 – Won by Saeed Bin Suroor
1/4 – Winning favourites (co)
Richard Hannon is just 3 from 62 with his 3 year-olds here
Brian Meehan is just 2 from 45 with his 3 year-olds here

KEMPTON Horse Racing Trends (RUK/C4)

1.45 - totescoop6 September Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f CH4

8/9 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
8/9 – Won a Listed or Group race before
8/9 – Didn’t win their last race
7/9 – Won between 4-7 times previously
6/9 – Favourites placed
6/9 – Horses from stall 2 that finished in the top 3
6/9 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
6/9 – Winning distance – 1 ¼l or more
6/9 – Won over 1m4f previously
5/9 – Raced at Kempton previously
4/9 – Raced at York (2) or Windsor (2) last time out
4/9 – Aged 4 years-old
3/9 – Winners from stall 2
3/9 – Won by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/9 – Trained by Clive Brittain
1/9 – Favourites
0/9 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 11/2

2.20 - totepool London Mile Handicap (Series Final) Cl2 1m CH4

9/9 – Won over a mile previously
9/9 – Won between 3-7 times previously
9/9 – Raced at Kempton previously
7/9 – Aged 4 years-old
7/9 – Favourites unplaced
6/9 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
6/9 – Priced 20/1 or bigger in the betting
5/9 – Rated between 77-85
4/9 – Horses from stall 9 that finished in the top 3
3/9 – Won their last race
2/9 – Raced at Kempton last time out
2/9 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
1/9 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 8 years is 20/1

 

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