Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 9th Jan 2021

More LIVE ITV action this Saturday as the cameras head to Wincanton, Kempton and Chepstow for a bumper day of LIVE action with 10 ITV races being shown!

At Kempton Park, the Lanzarote Hurdle is their main event – a race that trainer Nicky Henderson has won three times since 2013. Plus, they are also staging the Grade Two Relkeel Hurdle that was lost at Cheltenham on New Year’s Day.

Then at Wincanton, we’ve four LIVE races that include the rescheduled Paddy Power Dipper Novices’ Chase, that was called off at Cheltenham on New Year’s Day.

We’ve also got the 2020 Welsh Grand National and Coral Finale Juvenile Hurdle to take in at Chepstow – two more races that we lost over the Christmas period due to the weather.

So, fingers crossed the weather is kind and, as normal, we are on-hand with all the key stats and trends for the LIVE ITV races – hopefully they might help point you in the direction of a few winners.

 

Kempton Horse Racing Betting Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

 

1.10 – Ladbrokes Where The Nation Plays Handicap Chase Cl3 (5yo+ 0-140) 2m 4 1/2f ITV4

7/8 – Carried 11-0 or more in weight
7/8 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
6/8 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
6/8 – Won no more than twice over fences before
6/8 – Had run at the track before (hurdles/chase)
6/8 – Unplaced last time out
5/8 – Irish bred
5/8 – Rated between 134 and 139
5/8 – Carried 11-6 or more in weight
4/8 – Ran at Ludlow (2) or Ascot (2) last time out
3/8 – Winning favourites
2/8 – Trained by Amy Murphy
Erick Le Rouge won the race in 2020
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 17/2

 

1.45 – Ladbrokes Committed To Safer Gambling Handicap Chase Cl2 (5yo+) 3m ITV4

Just 8 previous runnings
8/8 – Didn’t win last time out
7/8 – Had run at the track before
6/8 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
6/8 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
6/8 – Had raced in the last 3 weeks
5/8 – Unplaced last time out
5/8 – Carried 11-0 or more
6/8 – Placed favourites
5/8 – Had won over 3m (fences) before
5/8 - Won between 2-4 times (fences) before
2/8 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
3/8 – Winning favourites
Fingerontheswitch (15/2) won the race in 2020
Glen Forsa (11/4) won the race in 2019
Philip Hobbs won the race in 2014 & 2016

 

2.20 – Dornan Engineering Relkeel Hurdle (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Cl1 (5yo+) 2m5f ITV4

14/16 – Went on run in a race at the Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
14/16 – Won by either a French (5) or Irish (9) bred
14/16 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
13/16 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
10/16 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Had won at least 4 times over hurdles before
10/16 – Had won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
10/16 – Had won at Cheltenham before
9/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/16 – Went onto run in the Stayers’ Hurdle later that season
7/16 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
6/16 – Winning favourites
6/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/16 – Trained by the Pipe stable
Summerville Boy (10/1) won this race in 2020
Agrapart (16/1) won the race in 2017

Note: This race is normally staged at Cheltenham

 

2.55 – Ladbrokes Silviniaco Conti Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 2m4f110y ITV4

7 previous runnings
7/7 – Placed 2nd or 3rd last time out
6/7 – Didn’t win last time out
6/7 – Won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
6/7 – Had won at least 4 times over fences
6/7 – Returned 15/8 or shorter in the betting
5/7 – Winning favourites
4/7 – Had won over fences at the track
Frodon won the race in 2020
Top Notch won the race in 2019
Trainer Nicky Henderson won the race in 2019, 2017 & 2016
Trainer Paul Nicholls won the race in 2020
Trainer Alan King won the race in 2015
Trainer Philip Hobbs won the race in 2014

3.30 – Ladbrokes Lanzarote Hurdle (Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m5f ITV4

19/19 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
17/19 – Aged 7 or younger
17/19 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
15/19 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
15/19 – Had won exactly 2 times over hurdles before
14/19 – Had never won a hurdles race over 2m4f or longer before
14/19 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
13/19 – Winning distance 3 lengths or less
13/19 – Irish (7) or French (6) bred
13/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/19 – Carried 10-11 or less
11/19 – Aged 6 years-old
9/19 – Placed favourites
8/19 – Won last time out
6/19 – Had run at Kempton before (5 won)
5/19 -  Winning favourites
4/19 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/19 – Trained by Nick Williams
3/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
Trainer Gary Moore won the race in 1996, 1998 & 2007
Since 1980 (38 runnings) 34 winners have been aged 7 or younger
The winning SP in the last 13 runnings is 15/2

 

Wincanton Horse Racing Betting Trends (RacingTV/ITV4)

2.05 - Paddy Power Dipper Novices’ Chase (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Cl1 (5yo+) 2m4f ITV4

18/18 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
18/18 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
17/18 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
16/18 – Went onto run in a Cheltenham Festival race (1 winner)
15/18 – Came from the top three in the betting
14/18 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
14/18 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
13/18 – Won between 1-2 times over fences before
13/18 – Had won over fences at 2m3f or further before
10/18 – Placed favourites
10/18 – Irish bred
9/18 – Won last time out
9/18 – Had won over hurdles at Cheltenham before
8/18 – Aged 7 years-old
7/18 – Returned 5/4 or shorter in the betting
7/18 – Ran at either Sandown or Cheltenham last time out
7/18 – Winning favourites
2/18 – Won by the Pipe stable
1/18 – Went onto win the Arkle Chase (My Way De Solzen, 2007)

Note: This race is normally run at Cheltenham

 

2.35 – MansionBet’s Bet 10 Get 20 Handicap Chase Cl3 2m4f35y ITV4

8/8 – Aged 8 or older
7/8 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
7/8 – Won 2 or less time over fences
7/8 – Didn’t win last time out
7/8 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
6/8 – Carried 10-13 or more in weight
6/8 – Aged 8 or older
5/8 – Placed favourites
5/8 – Rated between 131 and 135
4/8 – Finished 4th last time out
4/8 – Ran at Exeter (2) or Chepstow (2) last time out
3/8 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/8 – Ridden by Tom O’Brien
1/8 – Winning favourites
Gala Ball won this race in 2020
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 9/2

 

3.45 – Mansionbet Faller Insurance Handicap Chase Cl3 (5yo+ 0-130) 1m 7 1/2f ITV4

Only 1 previous running
Trainer Colin Tizzard won the 2020 running with Molineaux
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 31% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Neil Mulholland is just 3 from 39 with his chasers at the track

 

 

Chepstow Horse Racing Betting Trends (ATR/ITV4)

 

1.25 – Coral Finale Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 1) (GBB Race) Cl1 (3yo) 2m ITV4

15/16 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
15/16 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
14/16 – Won between 0-2 times previously
11/16 – French bred
9/16 – Won their last race
6/16 – Winning favourites
5/16 – Raced at the track previously
4/16 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/16 – Raced at Newbury last time out
2/16 – Trained by Alan King

 

3.10 – Coral Welsh Grand National (A Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m5f110y ITV

18/18 – Had won between 1-5 chase races before
18/18 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
18/18 – Had won over at least 3m before (fences)
16/18 – Aged 9 or younger
16/18 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
14/18 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
13/18 – Aged 8 or younger
12/18 – Carried 10-8 or less in weight
12/18 – Had won just 2 or 3 times before over fences
12/18 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
11/18 – Irish bred
9/18 – Had won over fences at Chepstow before
7/18 – Unplaced favourites
7/18 – Won last time out
6/18 – French bred
6/18 – Had run in the Welsh National before
5/18 – Ran at Chepstow last time out
3/18 – Winning favourites
2/18 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
2/18 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
The average winning SP in the last 18 years is 10/1

 

 

 

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