Tag Archive for: leicester horse racing trends

Sat TV Trends: 23rd April 2022

It’s Bet365 Gold Cup day at Sandown Park this Saturday which marks the final day of the 2021-22 jumps season - while the ITV cameras are also heading to Leicester & Haydock for a couple more races – As always, we’ve got all the LIVE TV ITV trends ……

So, a huge day ahead this Saturday as we end the jumps season with a cracking card at Sandown – four LIVE races on ITV, including the Bet365 Gold Cup - while there is also LIVE action at Haydock and Leicester – with their races are covered too.

Put history on your side – if a certain trend has happened many times in the past then there is a good chance of it repeating itself. As always, here at GeeGeez we hope these stats help direct you towards a few winners.

SANDOWN HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RacingTV)

1.50 - bet365 Novices’ Championship Final Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 2m110y ITV

Just three previous runnings
Herbiers (Oliver Greenhall) won the race in 2021
No race in 2020 (Covid)
Getaway Trump (Paul Nicholls) 9/2 fav won the race in 2019
Ballymoy (Nigel Twiston-Davies) 13/2 jfav won the race in 2018
2/3 – Winners carried 11-7 or more in weight
2/3 – Winning favourites
2/3 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
Trainer Tom Lacey (3-from-11) has a 27% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Chris Gordon is just 1 from 28 with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Dan Skelton is just 2 from 38 with his hurdlers at the track

 

2.25 - bet365 Oaksey Chase (Grade Two) (for The Menorah Challenge Trophy) Cl1 2m6f ITV

7/7 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
7/7 – Didn’t win last time out
7/7 - Trained by Hobbs (4), Henderson (1) or Nicholls (2)
6/7 – Officially rated 161-169 (inc)
6/7 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
4/7 – Irish bred
4/7 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
4/7 – Winning favourites
3/7 – Ran at Aintree last time out
Frodon (4/5) won the race in 2021
Owner Diana Whateley won the race in 2014, 2015, 2016 & 2017
Nicky Henderson and Paul Nicholls (2) have won the race in the past too

 

3.00 - bet365 Celebration Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV

18/18 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
18/18 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
16/18 – Had won at least 3 times over fences before
15/18 – Aged 9 or younger
14/18 – Came from the top three in the betting
15/18 – Placed favourites
14/18 – Had raced at Sandown (fences) before
13/18 – Rated 160 or higher
13/18 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
11/18 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
7/18 – Irish bred
7/18 – Won last time out
7/18 – Winning favourite
5/18 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable (inc 4 of last 5)
5/18 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable (won it 6 times in all)
4/18 – Ran at Aintree last time out
4/18 – Ridden by Nico de Boinville (4 of the last 5)
3/18 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/18 – Ridden by Jamie Moore
1/18 – Irish-trained winners
Greaneteen (13/2) won the race in 2021

3.32 - bet365 Gold Cup Chase (Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m5f110y ITV

17/18 – Had raced in the last 63 days
16/18 – Carried 11-5 or less in weight
14/18 – Carried 11-0 or less
14/18 – Had won over 3m or further before
14/18 – Aged 9 or younger
13/18  - Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
11/18 – Officially rated 140 or higher
11/18 – Came from the top 7 in the betting market
10/18 – Had raced in the last 25 days
10/18 – Finished 4th or worse last time out
5/18 – Won with 10st in weight
3/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/18 – Won last time out
2/18 – Ran in the Aintree Grand National last time out
2/18 – Ran in the Scottish Grand National last time out
2/18 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
2/18 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/18 – Ridden by Sean Bowen
2/18 - Trained by Alan King (last two winners)
0/18 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 18 years is 14/1

Other Key Bet365 Gold Cup Facts

The last winning favourite was Beau in 2000
Just one 6 year-old winner since 1959
24 of the last 30 (80%) winners carried less than 11st
8 year-olds have won 7 of the last 18 runnings (39%)
14 of the last 18 (78%) winners were aged 7, 8 or 9 years-old
Trainer Paul Nicholls has won the race 4 times


HAYDOCK HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RacingTV)

2.05 – Great Shevington Handicap Cl2 7f ITV

8 previous runnings
7/8 – Aged 5 or younger
7/8 – Won over 7f in the past
7/8 – Didn’t win last time out
6/8 – Irish bred
5/8 – Carried between 8-7 and 9-5 in weight
5/8 – Came from stalls 1-5 (inc)
5/8 – Winners from stalls 1-5 (inc)
3/8 – Rated between 96-100 (inc)
3/8 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/8 – Winning favourites
2/8 – Trained by William Haggas
2/8 – Trained by John Quinn
Trainer William Haggas has won race in 2016 and 2017

LEICESTER HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RacingTV)


2.45 –
EBF Stallions King Richard III Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 7f ITV

12/12 – Favourites placed in the top 3
11/12 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – Winners from stalls 2-5 (inc)
10/12 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/12 – Won at least twice in the past
10/12 – Had won over 7f in the past
9/12 – Irish bred winners
9/12 – Last ran 2+ months ago
9/12 – Officially rated 107 or higher
9/12 – Didn’t win last time out
7/12 – Unplaced last time out
5/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Trained by Hugo Palmer
2/12 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
2/12 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
0/12 – Winners from stall 1

 

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