Tag Archive for: newcastle horse racing trends

Sat TV Trends: 25th June 2022

The Northumberland Plate takes centre stage at Newcastle racecourse, while the ITV cameras also head to Newmarket, plus it’s Irish Derby Day over at the Curragh - Here at Geegez, we've got all the TV races covered from a trends angle - use these trends to help find the best profiles of previous winners.

Did you know? 16 of the last 20 Northumberland Plate winners came from stalls 14 or lower and were aged 6 or younger.

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV and RacingTV)

2.05 – Maureen Brittain Memorial Empress Fillies’ Stakes Cl1 (2yo) 6f ITV

18/19 – Never raced at the track before
16/19 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
15/19 – Had won over either 5 or 6f before
15/19 – Won by either a Feb or March foal
12/19 – Came from stall 5 or lower
11/19 – Had either 2 or 3 previous runs
11/19 – Didn’t win their previous race
7/18 – Winning favourites
5/18 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time (2 Albany, 3 Queen Mary)
4/18 – Trained by the Hannon yard
2/18 – Trained by Richard Fahey
4 of the last 8 winners came from stall 5
7 of the last 11 winners returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2

2.40 - House Of Cavani Menswear Fred Archer Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m4f ITV

10/11 - Aged 4, 5 or 6 years-old
10/11 - Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
9/11 - Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/11 - Had won over at least 1m4f before
9/11 - Won 3 or more times
8/11 - Drawn between stalls 3-7 (inc)
8/11 - Placed favourites
8/11 - Rated 100+
5/11 - Had run at the track before
4/11 - Winning favourites
3/11 - Ran at York last time out
3/11 - Trained by David Simcock
2/11 - Ridden by William Buick
Universal Order won this race in 2020
The winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

 

3.15 – House Of Cavani Menswear Criterion Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 7f ITV

18/20 – Won over 7f before
18/20 – Had won a Listed (or better) class race before
17/20 – Had at least 1 run already that season
13/20 – Aged 5 or younger
12/20 – Finished unplaced last time out
10/20 – Priced 6/1 or bigger in the betting
9/20 – Came from stall 3 or lower
9/20 – Unplaced favourites
6/20 – Winning favourites
4/20 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/20 – Trained by Richard Hannon (3 of last 11 runnings)
2/20 - Trained by Henry Candy (2 of last 3 runnings)
8 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 5 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2

Newcastle Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

1.50 – Pertemps Network Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-100) 6f ITV

Just 5 previous runnings
5/5 - Aged between 3-6 years-old
5/5 - Had won over 6f before
5/5 - Won between 2-5 times
5/5 - Carried 9-2 or more in weight
4/5 - Returned between 15/2 or shorter
4/5 - Drawn in stalls 10 or higher
4/5 - Placed favourites
4/5 - Rated between 96 and 99 (inc)
3/5 - Unplaced last time out
3/5 - Had run at the track before
2/5 - Came from stalls 10
1/5 - Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 5 runnings is 9/1


2.25 – Pertemps Network
Chipchase Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f ITV

19/20 – Had won over 6f before
18/20 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
15/20 – Unplaced last time out
15/20 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/20 – Has raced within the last 4 weeks
13/20 – Yet to win a Group race
12/20 – Placed favourites
12/20 – Had won at least 4 times before
11/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/20 – Aged 5 or older
8/20 – Ran at Ascot last time out
6/20 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/20 – Had run at Newcastle before
3/20 – Won last time out
2/20 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
2/20 – Trained by Richard Fahey
Judicial (9/1) won the race in 2020
12 of the last 19 winners came between stalls 1-5
Just 2 winners from stall 1 in the last 18 runnings (and only 4 horses placed)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1

2.55 - Jenningsbet Northumberland Vase Handicap (Consolation race for the Plate) Cl2 (3yo+) 2m 1/2f ITV

6 previous runnings
6/6 – Carried 9-3 or more in weight
6/6 – Ran in the last 2 months
6/6 - Aged between 4-6 years-old
6/6 - Won with between 9-3 and 9-10 in weight
5/6 - Won over at least 1m6f in the past
5/6 - Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
4/6 - Aged 4 years-old
3/6 – Winners came from stalls 11-19 (inc)
3/6 - Won over 2m (flat) in the past
3/6 - Winning favourites
2/6 – Won last time out
2/6 – Had run at Newcastle (flat) before
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 8/1

3.30 – Jenningsbet Northumberland Plate (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m19y ITV

19/20  - Had won over at least 1m4f before on the flat
19/20 – Finished fifth or better last time out
16/20 – Came from stall 14 or lower
16/20 – Aged 6 or younger
16/20 – Finished in the top three in their previous race
15/20 – Had won over at least 1m6f before on the flat
12/20 – Carried 8-12 or less
11/20 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
9/20 – Had at least 2 turf flat runs already that season
7/20 – Won by a National Hunt yard
6/20 – Won their previous race
5/20 – Winning favourites
4/20 – Had won on the flat at Newcastle before
3/20 – Ran at Haydock last time out (inc 3 of the last 14 winners)
2/20 – Trained by Donald McCain
2/20 – Trained by Roger Charlton (2 of last 7)
1/20 – Won by a previous winner of the race
The average winning SP in the last 20 years is 13.5/1
Note: From 2016 the Northumberland Plate was staged on the All Weather track at Newcastle

Other Northumberland Plate Facts

Just 1 horse older than 8 has won the race since 1985 (2021, Nicholas T (9))
Five of the last 16 winners ran at either Ascot or Haydock last time out
Ten winning favourites (1 joint) since 1985, including 4 of the last 10
Paul Cole trained the winner in 1997, 1998 & 2001

 

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Northumberland Plate Trends 2022

Run at Newcastle racecourse over 2 miles the Northumberland Plate is one of the richest staying handicap races in the world.

Formerly known as the ‘Pitmen’s Derby’ the contest was first run in 1833 and being over 2 miles can often attract plenty of horses trained by National Hunt stables, while sponsors Betfair have supported the race now since 2019.

We’ve seen 5 winning favourites in the last 11 years.

Here at GeeGeez we take a look back at past winners and highlight the key trends and statistics to look out for when going through the race– this year run on Saturday 24th June 2023

 

Past Northumberland Plate Winners

2022 - Trueshan (3/1 fav)
2021 - Nicholas T (33/1)
2020 – Caravan Of Hope (9/2 fav)
2019 – Who Dares Wins (12/1)
2018 - Withhold (5/1 fav)
2017 -  Higher Power (11/2)
2016 – Antiquarium (16/1)
2015 – Quest For More (15/2)
2014 – Angel Gabrial (4/1 fav)
2013 – Tominator (8/1)
2012 – Ile de Re (5/2 fav)
2011 – Tominator (25/1)
2010 – Overturn (14/1)
2009 – Som Tala (16/1)
2008 – Arc Bleu (14/1)
2007 – Juniper Girl (5/1 fav)
2006 – Toldo (33/1)
2005 – Sergeant Cecil (14/1)
2004 – Mirjan (33/1)
2003 – Unleash (10/1)
2002 – Bangalore (8/1)

Key Northumberland Plate Trends

20/21  - Had won over at least 1m4f before on the flat
20/21 – Finished fifth or better last time out
17/21 – Came from stall 14 or lower
17/21 – Aged 6 or younger
17/21 – Finished in the top three in their previous race
16/21 – Had won over at least 1m6f before on the flat
12/21 – Carried 8-12 or less
11/21 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
9/21 – Had at least 2 turf flat runs already that season
8/21 – Won by a National Hunt yard
7/21 – Won their previous race
6/21 – Winning favourites
4/21 – Had won on the flat at Newcastle before
3/21 – Ran at Haydock last time out (inc 3 of the last 15 winners)
2/21 – Trained by Donald McCain
2/21 – Trained by Roger Charlton (2 of last 8)
1/21 – Won by a previous winner of the race
Note: From 2016 the Northumberland Plate was staged on the All Weather track at Newcastle

Other Northumberland Plate Facts

Just 1 horse older than 8 has won the race since 1985 (2021, Nicholas T (9))
Five of the last 17 winners ran at either Ascot or Haydock last time out
11 winning favourites (1 joint) since 1985, including 5 of the last 11
Paul Cole trained the winner in 1997, 1998 & 2001

 

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Newcastle Trends Friday 15th April 2022

The ITV4 cameras head to Newcastle racecourse this Good Friday (15th April 2022) to take SIX races from the lucrative All Weather Championships Meeting Finals Day.

There are plenty of the power-house flat yards bringing horses to the northern venue and it’s no surprise with mouth-watering prize money on offer, including £51k for the winner of the feature race – the Easter Classic All-Weather Middle-Distance Championship Conditions Stakes (4:45).

Like all big race days, we take a look at all the races from a trends angle, including the best positive and negative trainer/jockey stats – we hope they help point you in the direction of a few winners!

Note: This meeting used to be staged at Lingfield, but has been moved to Newcastle for the first time in 2022 - therefore, some trends (like draw and previous track stats) will apply to Lingfield.

Newcastle Horse Racing Trends (SkyRacing/ITV4)

 

2.00 – All-Weather Mile Championships Conditions Stakes Cl2 (4 yo+) 1m1y ITV4

Just winning favourite in the last 7 runnings
All previous winners aged between 5-8 years-old.
All six past winners drawn 8 or lower
6 of the last 7 winners came between stalls 5-8 (inc)
5 of the last 7 winners didn’t win their last race
6 of the last 7 winners had run at the track before (3 won)
3 of the last 7 winners came from stall 8
Trainer William Haggas has a 35% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Roger Varian has a 21% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Archie Watson has a 21% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Jamie Spencer has a 23% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Note: No race in 2020
Note: This meeting was staged at Lingfield between 2014-2021
2021 Winner: KHUZAAM (6/4 fav)

 

2.35 – Betway All-Weather Sprint Championships Conditions Stakes Cl2 (4 yo+) 6f1y ITV4

Trainer Richard Fahey won this race in 2014, 2016 & 2017
Three winning favourites in the last 7 runnings
4 of the last 7 winners were Irish-bred horses
6 of the last 7 previous winners had raced at the track before
6 of the last 7 winners came between stalls 5-9 (inc)
5 of the last 7 winners drawn in stall 7 or lower
Paul Hanagan has ridden 2 of the last 7 winners
2 of the last 7 winners came from draw 5
Trainer Ismail Mohammed has a 35% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Tom Marquand has a 25% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Note: No race in 2020
Note: This meeting was staged at Lingfield between 2014-2021
2021 Winner: SUMMERGHAND (6/1)

 

3.10 – Coral 3 Year Old All-Weather Championships Conditions Stakes Cl2 (3yo) 6f ITV4

Four previous runnings
3 of the last 4 winners came from stalls 5 and 6
All 4 previous winners were favourites
Trainer William Haggas won this race in 2017
Trainer William Haggas has a 31% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Marco Botti has a 26% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Stuart Williams has a 24% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Marco Ghiani has a 50% record riding 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Hollie Doyle has a 34% record riding 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Daniel Tudhope has a 29% record riding 3 year-olds at the track
Note: No race in 2020
Note: This meeting was staged at Lingfield between 2014-2021
2021 Winner: DILIGENT HARRY (2/1 fav)

3.45 – Coral All weather Fillies’ and Mares’ Championships Conditions Stakes Cl2 (4 yo+) 7f1y ITV4

Just 1 winning favourite in the last 7 runnings
6 of the 7 winners were aged 4 years-old
5 of the last 7 previous winners were Irish-bred horses
Horses from stall 3 have been placed in 4 of the last 7 runnings (2 winners)
Favourites placed in 4 of the last 7 runnings
3 of the last 7 winners had run at Lingfield before (2 had won)
Trainer William Haggas has a 35% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer George Boughey has a 25% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Tom Marquand has a 25% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Jamie Spencer has a 23% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Note: No race in 2020
Note: This meeting was staged at Lingfield between 2014-2021
2021 Winner: PHOLAS (25/1)

 

4.15 - Betway All-Weather Marathon Championships Conditions Stakes Cl2 (4 yo+) 1m7f169y ITV4

6 of the last 7 winners aged between 4-6 years-old
6 of the last 7 winners came from stalls 8 or lower
4 of the last 7 winners had won at the track before
2 of the last 7 favourites have won
2 of the last 7 winners came from stall 8
3 of the last 7 winners ran at Lingfield last time out
2 of the last 7 winners trained by Andrew Balding
All 7 past winners finished in the top 3 last time out
The favourite has finished 1st (twice) or 2nd in 6 of the last 7 runnings
Trainer Adam Nichol (2-from-3) has a 67% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Note: No race in 2020
Note: This meeting was staged at Lingfield between 2014-2021
2021 Winner: RANCH HAND (7/2)

 

4.45 - Betway Easter Classic All-Weather Middle Distance Championships Conditions Stakes Cl2 (4 yo+) 1m2f ITV4

6 of the last 7 previous runnings went to the favourite (or joint fav)
6 of the last 7 previous winners returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
All previous winners aged between 4-6 years-old
5 of the 7 winners were Irish-bred horses
5 of the last 7 winners ran at Lingfield last time out
All 7 previous winners drawn in stall 4 or lower
6 of the past 7 winners had won over CD before
Ryan Moore has ridden 2 of the last 7 winners of this race
Trainer Roger Varian has a 21% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Archie Watson has a 21% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Tom Marquand has a 25% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Andrea Atzeni has a 19% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Note: No race in 2020
Note: This meeting was staged at Lingfield between 2014-2021
2021 Winner: BANGKOK (5/6 fav)

 

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Sat TV Trends: 27th Feb 2021

This weekend the ITV cameras head to Kempton, with their newly-sponsored Close Brothers Handicap Chase their feature contest, while they are also at Lingfield for the Winter Derby and the Newcastle for their Eider Chase.

As always, we've got the key trends and stats for the LIVE ITV races - use these to help find the best profiles based on past winners.

 

Kempton Park Horse Racing Trends (ITV4)

1.50– Close Brothers Pendil Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 2m4f110y ITV4

14/16 – French (8) of Irish (6) bred
13/16 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
12/16 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
11/16 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
11/16 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
10/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (won 7 of the last 11)
9/16 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences before
8/16 – Won last time out
8/16 – Winning favourites

 

2.25 – Close Brothers Adonis Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV4

16/17 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
15/17 -  Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/17 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
14/17 – Had won no more than once over hurdles in the UK
13/17 – Winners that went onto run in the Triumph Hurdle (3 winners)
13/17 – Placed favourites
13/17 – Had won over 2m (hurdles) before
12/17 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
11/17– Won carrying either a 4lb or 7lb penalty
10/17 – Won last time out
9/17 – Winning favourites
7/17 – French bred
5/17 – Irish bred
5/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/17 – Trained by Alan King (won two of last 4 runnings)
4/17 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/17 – Winners that went onto win that season’s Triumph Hurdle
Zarkandar, Soldatino and Penzance went onto land that season’s Triumph Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival

Note: The 2006 renewal was staged at Sandown Park

 

3.00 – Sky Bet Dovecote Novices´ Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV4

14/15 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
14/15 – Had won over 2m (hurdles) before
13/15 – Returned a single-figure price in the betting
13/15 – Had never raced over hurdles at Kempton before
12/15 – Won between 0-2 times over hurdles before
12/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/15 – Placed favourites
10/15 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
9/15 – Won last time out
6/15 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
5/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 – French bred
4/15 – Trained by Alan King
4/15 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls

Note: The 2006 renewal was staged at Sandown Park

 

3.35 – Close Brothers Chase (Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m ITV4

15/18 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
15/18 – Aged 9 or younger
15/18 – Rated 139 or higher
13/18 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
12/18 – Won a Class 2 chase or better before
12/18 – Carried 10-13 or more
12/18 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/18 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
12/18 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
11/18 – Came from the top 4 in the betting
11/18 – Rated between 139 and 150
10/18 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
8/18 – Carried 11-5 or more
7/18 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
7/18 – Won last time out
6/18 – Aged 8 years-old
5/18 – French bred
4/18 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Grand National (all unplaced)
4/18 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
4/18 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (1 winner)
3/18 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
2/18 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/18 – Ridden by Richard Johnson (won it 5 times in all)
2/18 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
2/18 – Trained by Tom George
2/18 – Trained by Neil Mulholland (won 2 of the last 4)
2/18 – Trained by Colin Tizzard (won 2 of the last 4)
2/18 – Trained by Philip Hobbs (won it 4 times in all)
2/18 – Ran in the King George VI Chase last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 12/1
Mister Malarky (9/1) won the race in 2020

Note: The 2006 running was staged at Sandown Park

 

Newcastle Horse Racing Trends (ITV4)

3.15 – Vertem Eider (A Handicap Chase) Cl2 4m1f ITV4

16/16 – Had won over at least 3m before
14/16 – Aged 10 or younger
13/16 – Carried 10-13 or more
13/16 – Priced 12/1 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
11/16 – Irish-bred
11/16 – Winners came from the top 3 in the betting
11/16 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
11/16 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
10/16 – Officially rated between 131-140
10/16 – Aged either 8 or 9 years-old
8/16 – Placed favourites
5/16 – Won last time out
5/16 – Won over 3m4f or further before
3/16 – Carried 11-12 in weight
2/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Irish-trained winners
Crosspark (12/1) won the race in 2019
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 10/1

 

Lingfield Horse Racing Trends (ITV4)

2.05 – Betway Hever Sprint Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f6y ITV4

12/14 – Rated 96+
12/14 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Had raced at Lingfield before
10/14 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
10/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/14 – Raced 6 weeks or longer ago
9/14 – Placed favs
8/14 – Ran at Lingfield last time out
4/14 – US bred
5/14 – Winning favourites
5/14 – Mare winners
3/14 – Trained by David Barron
0/14 – Winners from stall 1
Hareem Queen won the race in 2020
Royal Birth won the race in 2017

 

2.40 - Betway Winter Derby (All-Weather Championship Fast-Track Qualifier) (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f ITV4

16/18 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or shorter
15/18 – Won by a horse aged 6 or younger
14/18 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the market
14/18 – Had run at Lingfield previously
14/18 – Won over at least 1m2f previously
14/18 – Had raced at either Lingfield (10) or Kempton (4) last time out
12/18 – Winning distance – less than a length
12/18 – Placed in their last race
12/18 – Drawn in stall 7 or less
12/18 – Came from the top 3 in the market
12/18 – Won at Lingfield previously
12/18 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
11/18 – Won their last race
9/18 – Won at least 6 times previously
8/18 – Winning favourites
4/18 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (last 2 runnings)
2/18 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni (2 of last 8)
2/18 – Ridden by Adam Kirby (2 of last 6)
2/18 – Trained by John Gosden (last 2 runnings)
Just 2 of the last 14 Winter Derby Trial winners have gone onto win the Winter Derby
The average winning SP in the 18 renewals is 11/2

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 28th Nov 2020

Another huge Saturday ahead with the Ladbrokes Trophy Chase - plus the Fighting Fifth Hurdle as the main contests at Newbury and Newcastle – As always, we’ve got all the ITV TV trends to help you find the best winning profile of past winners of the main races.

 

Newbury Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/RacingTV)


1.50 – Get Your Ladbrokes £1 Free Bet Today Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m4f ITV

4 previous runnings
All four winners returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
2 of the last 4 winners trained by Nicky Henderson
3 of the last 4 winners were aged 6 years-old
Paul Nicholls and Philip Hobbs have won this race in the past
2 winning favourites (joint) in the last 4 years
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 31% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Tom Lacey has a 27% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Dan Skelton has a 3% record with his hurdlers at the track

 

2.25 Ladbrokes Gerry Fielden Intermediate Handicap (Listed Race) (A Limited Handicap) Cl1 2m69y ITV

13/14 – Had at least 4 runs over hurdles before
13/14 – Aged 6 or younger
13/14 – Won over 2m (hurdles) before
12/14 – Won just 1-2 times in the past (hurdles)
11/14 – Irish, French or German bred
11/14 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
9/14 – Finished in the top three last time out
8/14 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
7/14 – Had raced at Newbury before
7/14 – Unplaced favourites
6/14 – Officially rated between 126-134
6/14 – Aged 5 years-old
5/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
5/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 – Raced at Aintree last time out
2/14 – Won last time out
8 of the last 13 winners were aged 4 or 5 years-old
Epatante (3/1) won the race in 2019
Global Citizen (5/1) won the race in 2018

 

3.00 – Ladbrokes Trophy Chase (Handicap) Grade 3 (CLASS 1) (4yo+) ITV 3m2f110y

16/18 – Aged 8 or younger
16/18 – Had won between 2-5 previous races over fences
16/18 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m before
15/18 - Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Finished in the first 3 last time out
13/18 – Carried 10-13 or more
13/18 – Had run at Newbury before (9 had won over fences there)
12/18 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or more
12/18 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
12/18 – Had won a Grade 3 or better class chase race before
12/18 – Rated between 140 and 151
12/18 – Had a previous run that season
10/18 – Won last time out
10/18 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
10/18 – Unplaced favourites
8/18 – Ran at either Aintree (2) or Cheltenham (6) last time out
6/18 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/18 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (2 of last 8)
2/18 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/18 – Trained by Colin Tizzard (2 of the last 4)
The average winning SP in the last 18 years is 9/1
Since 1968 there has only been one winner aged in double-figures (1981 Diamond Edge, 10)
Since 1990 (29 runnings) there have been 14 winners (48%) aged 7 years-old

 

3.35- Ladbrokes Handicap Chase (for the Jim Joel Memorial Trophy) Cl2 2m1f ITV

16/18 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Had run within the last 5 weeks
11/18 – Officially rated between 126-136
11/18 – French bred
10/18 – Had won a UK chase race over 2m1f
10/18 – Had won between 2-5 chase races in the UK
10/18 – Winning distance – 2 1/4 lengths or more
9/18 – Placed in their last race
9/18 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
7/18 – Unplaced favourites
7/18 – Winning favourites
5/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
5/18 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/18 – Won a chase race at Newbury before
2/18 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/18 – Trained by Venetia Williams
10 of the last 14 winners carried between 10-8 and 11-3
Magic Saint (3/1 fav) won the race in 2019

 

Newcastle Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/ATR)


2.05 –
BetFair Fighting Fifth Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV

18/18 – Won a hurdles race over at least 2m before
16/18 – Won at least a Grade 2 hurdle before
16/18 – Finished in the first two in their latest race
15/18 – Raced in the Champion Hurdle later that same season
15/18 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles before
14/18 – Placed favourites
13/18 – Officially rated 151 or higher
12/18 – Won their last race
11/18 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
10/18 – Placed in the top 6 in the Champion Hurdle later that season
8/18 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
6/18 – Won by an Irish bred horse
5/18 – Raced over hurdles at Newcastle before
4/18 – Won by an Irish based yard
4/18 - Trained by Nicky Henderson (4 of last 12)
3/18 – Won by a previous winner of the race
2/18 - Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of last 6)
2/18 – Won the Champion Hurdle later that same season (2008 Punjabi, 2018 Buveur d’Air)
The average winning SP in the last 18 runnings is 6/1

Note: The 2008 renewal was staged at Wetherby, and the 2010 race at Newbury

 

3.15 – BetFair Rehearsal Chase (Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 3m ITV

15/16 – Didn’t win their last race
14/16 – Irish bred
14/16 – Carried 10-12 or more in weight
13/16 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
12/16 – Had won a UK chase race over at least 3m
11/16 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
11/16 – Unplaced last time out
10/16 – Had won at least 3 times over fences in the UK
7/16 – Returned 10/3 or shorter in the betting
7/16 – Unplaced favourites
5/16 – Aged 8 years-old
4/16 – Ran at either Cheltenham (2) or Newbury (2) last time out
4/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/16 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
3/16 – Trained by Nicky Richards
2/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
7 of the last 10 winners were aged 8 or older
Takinrisks (20/1) won the race in 2019
Lake View Lad (5/1) won the race in 2018
Beware The Bear (11/4 fav) won the race in 2017
Otago Trial won the race in 2016
Note: The 2002, 2003, & 2004 runnings were at Chepstow

 

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