Newcastle Trends (All Weather Championships Day), Friday 29th March 2024
The ITV4 cameras head to Newcastle racecourse this Good Friday (29th March 2024) to take SIX races from the lucrative All Weather Championships Meeting Finals Day.
There are plenty of the power-house flat yards bringing horses to the northern venue and it’s no surprise with mouth-watering prize money on offer, including £100k for the winner of the feature race – the All-Weather Easter Classic Middle-Distance Handicap (4:10).
Like all big race days, we take a look at all the races from a trends angle, including the best positive and negative trainer/jockey stats – we hope they help point you in the direction of a few winners!
Note: This meeting used to be staged at Lingfield, but has been moved to Newcastle for the first time in 2022 - therefore, some trends (like draw and previous track stats) will apply to Lingfield.
Also note some of the race in 2024 have been changed from Conditions races to Handicaps.
Newcastle Horse Racing Trends (SkyRacing/ITV)
1.53 - BetUK All-Weather Marathon Championships Conditions Stakes Cl2 (4 yo+) 1m7f169y ITV
8 of the last 9 winners returned 8/1 or shorter
9 of the last 9 winners finished in the top 3 last time out
7 of the last 9 winners came from stalls 8 or lower
6 of the last 9 winners aged between 4-6 years-old
4 of the last 9 winners had won at the track before
3 of the last 9 favourites have won (or jfavs)
3 of the last 9 winners came from stall 8
3 of the last 9 winners ran at Lingfield last time out
2 of the last 9 winners trained by Andrew Balding
The favourite has finished 1st (twice) or 2nd in 7 of the last 9 runnings
Trainer Ralph Beckett has a 29% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer John Gosden has a 23% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer David Simcock has a 22% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Oisin Murphy has a 23% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Rossa Ryan is just 2 from 44 (5%) when riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Luke Morris is just 8 from 114 (7%) when riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Note: No race in 2020
Note: This meeting was staged at Lingfield between 2014-2021
2023 Winner: RAINBOW DREAMER (10/1)
2.25 – BetMGM All-Weather 3 Year Old All-Weather Championships Handicap Cl2 (3yo) 6f ITV4
No previous runnings
Trainer Richard Spencer has a 29% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Andrew Balding has a 27% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Marco Botti has a 23% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Archie Watson has a 21% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Daniel Tudhope has a 24% record riding 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Rossa Ryan has a 23% record riding 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Oisin Murphy has a 22% record riding 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Luke Morris has a 5% record riding 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Cam Hardie has a 2% record riding 3 year-olds at the track
3.00 – BetMGM All weather Fillies’ and Mares’ Championships Handicap Cl2 (4 yo+) 7f1y ITV4
No previous runnings
Trainer Rod Millman has a 100% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer William Haggas has a 41% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer George Boughey has a 23% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Oisin Murphy has a 23% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Laura Pearson has a 23% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Rossa Ryan is just 2 from 44 (5%) when riding 4+ year-olds at the track
3.35 – BetUK All-Weather Sprint Handicap Cl2 (4 yo+) 6f1y ITV
Trainer Richard Fahey won this race in 2014, 2016 & 2017
Three winning favourites in the last 9 runnings
8 of the last 9 winners returned 10/1 or shorter
5 of the last 9 winners were Irish-bred horses
7 of the last 9 previous winners had raced at the track before
7 of the last 9 winners came between stalls 5-9 (inc)
5 of the last 9 winners drawn in stall 7 or lower
2 of the last 5 winners were French-trained
6 of the last 7 winners came from stalls 5 (2), 8 (2), or 9 (2)
Summerghand won this race in 2021
Trainer John Gosden has a 23% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Archie Watson has a 21% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Karl Burke has a 6% (6/96) record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Hannon has a 7% (2/30) record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Oisin Murphy has a 23% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Jack Mitchell has a 21% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Tom Eaves is just 17 from 341 (5%) when riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Frederick Larson is just 2 from 41 (5%) when riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Alistair Rawlinson is just 4 from 63 (6%) when riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Note: No race in 2020
Note: This meeting was staged at Lingfield between 2014-2021
2023 Winner: DILIGENT HARRY (4/1)
4.10 – BetUK All-Weather Easter Classic Middle Handicap Cl2 (4 yo+) 1m2f ITV4
No previous runnings
Trainer William Haggas has a 41% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Simon Pearce has a 40% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Roger Varian has a 27% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer William Knight has a 26% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Saffie Osborne has a 26% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Oisin Murphy has a 23% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Jack Mitchell has a 21% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey David Probert is just 2 from 29 (7%) when riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Rossa Ryan is just 2 from 44 (5%) when riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Alistair Rawlinson is just 4 from 63 (6%) when riding 4+ year-olds at the track
4.40 – BetMGM All-Weather Championships Mile Handicap Cl2 (4yo+) 1m ITV
No previous runnings
Trainer Clive Cox has a 57% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Roger Varian has a 27% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Archie Watson has a 21% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer David Evans is just 1 form 21 (5%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Oisin Murphy has a 23% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Cam Hardie is just 17 from 474 (4%) when riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Rossa Ryan is just 2 from 44 (5%) when riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Luke Morris is just 8 from 114 (7%) when riding 4+ year-olds at the track
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Thanks for the listed headliners, this will be my first AW flat study today so looking forward to getting my head with Pace / Draw Bias for the first time (after digesting video and articles here in depth) mixing it in with some Jockey/Trainer strike for extra confidence.