Tag Archive for: wetherby horse racing trends

Boxing Day TV Trends (Kempton & Wetherby)

A huge day on Boxing Day (Sunday, Dec 26th 2021), but the festive highlight, as racing resumes after a three-day break, is the King George VI Meeting at Kempton Park.

The King George VI Chase is the feature race of the day as punters will look to get their Christmas expenses paid for – a race in recent years we’ve seen horse racing greats like Kauto Star, Long Run, Best Mate, Kicking King, One Man and, more recently, Thistlecrack, Might Bite, landing the prize – while the Paul Nicholls-trained Clan Des Obeaux has landed two of the last three King George VI Chases, while Nicholls took the pot again 12 months ago - his twelfth win in the race - with Frodon - ridden by Bryony Frost.

Plus, at Wetherby the ITV cameras are also heading there to take in the Grade 3 Rowland Meyrick Chase.

Here at GeeGeez, we take a look at each race on the Kempton card and highlight the main trends, plus the Rowland Meyrick Chase (Wetherby) – hopefully this will help you narrow down the fields and point you in the direction of a few festive winners.

 

Kempton Horse Racing Trends and Tips

12:45 – Play Ladbrokes 5-A-Side ON Football Novices' Hurdle Race 2m RTV

14/14 – Had raced in the last 8 weeks
13/14 - Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/14 – Favourites placed in the top 3
11/14 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Winning distance 3 lengths or more
10/14 – Had won a NH Flat race before
8/14 – Winning favourites
7/14 – Won just once over hurdles before
5/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
Third Time Lucki (11/10 fav) won the race 12 months ago

 

1.20 – Get Your Ladbrokes £1 Free Bet Today Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase (Gbb Race) Cl3 (4yo+ 0-140) 2m 4 1/2f ITV

17/17 – Aged 7 or younger
16/17 – Had won between 0-1 times over fences in the UK
14/17 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
10/17 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
8/17 – Placed favourites (1 joint)
9/17 – Officially rated between 119 and 125
8/17 – Carried 11-5 or more
8/17 – Winning distance – 6 lengths or more
6/17 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/17 – Won by a French bred horse
5/17 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
4/17 – Won last time out
2/17 – Raced at Kempton last time out
Killer Clown (9/2) won the race 12 months ago

 

1.55 – Ladbrokes Kauto Star Novices´ Chase (In memory of Nigel Clark) (Grade 1) Cl1 3m ITV

17/18 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
17/18 – Placed in the top two last time out
14/18 – Won last time out
14/18 – French (7) or Irish (7) bred
13/18 – Had won at least 2 times over fences in the UK
12/18 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
12/18 – Aged 6 or younger
11/18 – Went onto run in that season’s RSA Chase (no winners)
11/18 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
10/18 – Aged 6 years-old
10/18 – Placed favourites
10/18 – Had won (chase) over at least 3m before
8/18 – Raced at Newbury last time out
8/18 – Winning favourites
4/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/18 – Trained by David Pipe
2/18 – Ridden by Tom Scudamore
2/18 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
1/18 – French trained
1/18 – Went onto run in the Cheltenham Gold Cup (One winner - Coneygree 2015)
Shan Blue (7/4 fav) won the race 12 months ago

 

2.30 – Ladbrokes Christmas Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV

17/19 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
16/19 – Had won at least 4 times over hurdles before
16/19 – Placed favourites
14/19 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
13/19 – Went onto run in the Champion Hurdle (Faughan (2015), Buveur D’Air (2018), Epatante (2019) winners)
11/19 – Won last time out
10/19 – Winning favourites
10/19 – Went onto finish in the top 5 in the Champion Hurdle that season
10/19 – Had run over hurdles at Kempton before
8/19 – Irish trained
8/19 – Ran in the Fighting Fifth Hurdle (Newcastle) last time out
7/19 – French bred
7/19 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
4/19 – Trained by Noel Meade
2/19 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/19 – Trained by Willie Mullins
Silver Streak (13/2) won the race in 2020
Epatante (2/1) won the race in 2019

 

3.05 – Ladbrokes King George VI Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 3m ITV

17/19 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
17/19 – Had won a Grade One chase before
17/19 – French (13) or Irish bred (4)
16/19 – Finished in the top three last time out
16/19 – Placed favourites
16/19 – Had won over 3m or further (fences) before
15/19 – Officially rated 168 or higher
15/19 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
15/19 – Aged 8 or younger
12/19 – Had won a race over fences at Kempton before
11/19 – Winning favourites
11/19 – Won last time out
10/19 – Ran in the Betfair Chase (Haydock) last time out
10/19 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
10/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (12 times in all)
8/19 – Won by a previous winner of the race
2/19 – Won by an Irish-based yard (only 3 in the last 35 runnings)
Paul Nicholls, Colin Tizzard and Nicky Henderson have trained ALL of the last 15 winners between them (10 Nicholls, 2 Tizzard, 3 Henderson)
The average winning SP in the last 19 years is 5/1

 

3.40 – Ladbrokes We Play Together Handicap Hurdle Cl3 (3yo+ 0-140) 2m5f RTV

 

14/14 – Won no more than 3 times (UK Hurdles)
13/14 – Aged 6 or younger
12/14 – Won between 0-2 times hurdles (UK)
10/14 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
10/14 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
10/14 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
9/14 – Ran 5 or less weeks ago
8/13 – Officially rated 120-129
8/13 – Won last time out
7/13 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
7/13 – Unplaced favourites
6/13 – French bred
3/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
Monte Cristo (25/1) won the race 12 months ago

 

Wetherby Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

 

2.10 – William Hill Rowland Meyrick Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m45y ITV

12/13 – Aged 8 or younger
12/13 – Had won 3 or less times over fences (UK)
11/13 – Didn’t win last time out
11/13 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
11/13 – Raced in the last 5 weeks
11/13 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
9/13 – Had raced at Wetherby before
8/13 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
8/13 – Had won over 3m (chase) before
8/13 – Irish bred
7/13 – Unplaced in their last race
4/13 – Raced at either Haydock (2) or Aintree (2) last time out
3/13– Winning favourites
Canelo won the race in 2020
Top Ville Ben won the race in 2019
Lake View Lad won the race in 2018

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 31st Oct 2020

We've got all the key race trends for this Saturday’s LIVE ITV races from Wetherby and Ascot, including the Grade Two Charlie Hall Chase (Wetherby), plus the Grade Three Sodexo Gold Cup (Ascot).

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/Sky)

 

1.20 - Ascot Underwriting Chase (A Novices´ Limited Handicap) Cl3 2m3f ITV4

7 previous runnings
7/7 – Aged 7 or younger
7/7 – Irish bred
6/7 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
5/7 – Yet to win over fences
4/7 – Aged 6 year-old
2/7 – Had run over hurdles at Ascot before
2/7 – Winning favourites

 

1.55 – tote.co.uk Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 2m1f ITV4

14/17 – Aged 8 years-old or younger
12/17 – Irish (5) or French (7) bred
12/17 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
11/17 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences before
10/17 – Having their first run of the new season
9/17 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
8/17 – Rated 130 or lower
8/17 – Unplaced favourites
5/17 – Aged 8 years-old
5/17 – Won last time out
4/17 – Ran at either Ascot (2) or Aintree (2) last time out
4/17 – Won carrying 11-12
3/17 – Winning favourites
4/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/17 – Trained by Venetia Williams
2/17 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
Diego Du Charmil (13/2) won the race last year

 

3.05 – Sodexo Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 2m ITV4

16/16 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
16/16 – Had won over at 2m or 2m1f over hurdles before
14/16 – Never raced at Ascot before
13/16 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles
9/16 – Having their first run of the season
9/16 – Unplaced last time out
8/16 – Placed favourites
7/16 – Winning favourites (1 co, 2 joint)
6/16 – Ran at Huntingdon (3) or Aintree (3) last time out
6/16 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
6/16 – Won by a French bred horse
4/16 – Ridden by a conditional jockey
3/16 – Won by trainer Alan King, including two of last 3 renewals
2/16 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/16 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls
2/16 - Won by trainer Nicky Henderson
7 of the last 11 winners were aged 5 years-old
Gumball (11/2) won the race in 2020
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2


3.40 – Sodexo Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m ITV4

15/15 – Had won a chase race over at least 2m4f before
12/15 – Didn’t win last time out
11/15 – Had run at Ascot before (5 won)
10/15 – Carried 10-10 or more
9/15 – Had won at least 3 times over fences before
9/15 – Unplaced favourites
9/15 – Aged 8 or older
8/15 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m before
9/15 – Having their first run of the season
9/15 – Unplaced in their last race
9/15 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
6/15 – Officially rated 135 to 138 inc
5/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/15 – Won by the Pipe stable
4/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by Gary Moore
2/15 – Ran at Sandown last time out
2/15 – Ridden by Aidan Coleman
9 of the last 10 winners were aged 9 or younger
Vinndication (2/1 fav) won the race in 2019
Go Conquer won the race in 2017 and was third in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/1

 

Wetherby Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 

1.35 bet365 Handicap Chase Cl3 (4yo+ 0-125) 2m3 1/2f ITV4

Just two previous runnings
2/2 – Winning favourites
2/2 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies won the race in 2019
Trainer Charlie Longsdon won the 2018 running
Trainer Iain Jardine has a 50% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Kim Bailey has a 45% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Neil Mulholland has a 40% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies has a 26% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Philip Kirby has a 26% record with his chasers at the track

 

2.10 – bet365 Mares´ Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 2m110y ITV4

13/13 – Had won over at least 2m1f over hurdles before
11/13 – Had between 2-5 previous hurdles wins to their name
11/13 – Having their first run of the season
9/13 – Never raced at Wetherby before
8/13 – Finished unplaced last time out
8/13 – Placed favourites
8/13 – Had won a NH Flat race previously
6/13 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
5/13 – Winning favourites
4/13 – Ran at Punchestown last time out
2/13 – Trained by John Quinn

 

2.45 – bet365 Hurdle (West Yorkshire Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m26y ITV4

18/18 – Had won over at least 2m3f over hurdles before
17/18 – Had won at least 3 times over hurdles before
16/18 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
15/18 – Won this on their seasonal reappearance
15/18 – Failed to win their last race
13/18 – Officially rated 149 or higher
12/18 – Placed favourites
12/18 – Aged 6,7 or 8 years-old
10/18 – Finished unplaced last time out
9/18 – Ran at either Aintree (5) or Cheltenham (3) last time out
7/18 – Had won at Wetherby before
4/18 – Winning favourites
3/18 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
3/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/18 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
The Worlds End (7/2) won this race in 2019

 

3.20 – bet365 Charlie Hall Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m1f ITV

16/18 – Rated 151 or higher
15/18 – Were having their first run of the season
15/18 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
15/18 – Had won over at least 3m over fences before
13/18 – Aged 8 or older
12/18 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
11/18 – Ran at Ayr (3), Aintree (6) or Cheltenham (2) last time out
11/18 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
10/18 – Placed favourites
8/18 – Had run at Wetherby before (4 won)
7/18  - Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
4/18 – Winning favourites
4/18 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies (6 wins in total)
2/18 – Trained by Evan Williams
Nigel Twiston-Davies has won the race in 1992, 1994, 2005, 2007, 2017 and 2019
The average winning SP in the last 18 runnings is 7/1

 

 

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