Tag Archive for: york horse racing tips

Sat TV Trends: 14th Oct 2023 (York and Newmarket)

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More LIVE ITV action on Saturday 14th October for day two of the Newmarket Dubai Future Champions meeting, plus there is also LIVE racing from York.

Plenty to get stuck into again with the ultra-competitive Cesarewitch Handicap one of the key betting races of the flat turf season, while the race is supported by the Autumn Stakes & Dewhurst Stakes.

Did you know? 16 of the last 20 Cesarewitch Handicap winners carried 9st 2lbs or less

As mentioned, ITV cameras are also at York to take in three races, with the feature being the Coral Sprint Trophy.

So as always - here at Geegeez - we’ll have all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle, plus our verdicts on each race.

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1.25 – Emirates Autumn Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m ITV

17/18 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
17/18 – Had won over at least 7f before
16/18 – Had raced at least twice before
15/18 – Won between 1-2 times before
14/18 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
14/18 – Placed favourites
13/18 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/18 – Won last time out
12/18 – Foaled in Feb or March
11/18 – Irish bred
7/18 – Godolphin winners
6/18 – Winning favourites
5/18 – Ridden by William Buick (4 of the last 8)
4/18 – Trained by Charlie Appleby (4 of the last 6)
3/18 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
1/18 – Irish-trained winners
8 of the last 16 winners came between stalls 3-5
2 of the last 6 winners came from stall 9
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has NEVER won this race.
Silver Knott (4/1) won the race in 2022

Note: From 2009 back the race was staged at ASCOT, while the 2005 running was at Salisbury

2.00 – Native Trail’s Dewhurst Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV

21/21 – Raced at least 3 times that season
19/21 – Yet to race at Newmarket (Rowley)
19/21 – Placed in their last race
16/21 – Won over 7f previously
16/21 – Favourites placed
15/21 – Won at least 3 times previously
15/21 – Won their last race
15/21 – Won a Group race previously
13/21 – Raced at either Goodwood (2), Longchamp (2) or the Curragh (9) last time out
13/21 – Foaled in either Feb or March
11/21 – Won by an Irish-based stable
11/21 – Favourites that won
8/21 – Placed horses that came from stall 2
7/21 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
7/21 – Finished in the top 2 in the 2000 Guineas the following season (4 won both)
6/21 – Returned 20/1 or bigger
6/21 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (7 wins in total)
5/21 – Trained by Jim Bolger
5/21 – Ridden by Kevin Manning
3/21 – Godolphin-owned winners (3 of the last 11)
2/21 – Won the Epsom Derby the following season
2/21 – Trained by Charlie Appleby (2 of the last 4)
1/21 – Winners that came from stall 1
The Irish have won 11 of the last 17 runnings
3 of the last 13 winners came from stall 3
Aidan O’Brien has trained 5 of the last 10 winners
Chaldean (5/2 jfav) won the race in 2022

2.40 – Club Godolphin Cesarewitch Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m2f ITV

20/21 – Aged 4 or older
17/21 – Carried 9-2 or less
16/21 – Had won over at least 1m6f on the flat before
16/21 – Had run within the last 2 months
15/21 – Finished 4th or better last time out
15/21 – Aged 5 or older
14/21 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
13/21 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
12/21 – Had 3 or more previous flat runs that season
12/21 – Drawn in stall 13 or lower
11/21 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
12/21 – Won by a NH trainer
11/21 – Had run at the track before
9/21 – Had won 4 or more times on the flat before
9/21 – The first three home ALL returned a double-figure price
9/21 – Placed favourites
8/21 – Ran at either Ascot, Chester or Doncaster last time out
5/21 – Winning mares
4/21 – Winning favourites
4/21 – Won last time out
3/21 – Winners from stall 1
3/21 – Trained by Willie Mullins (3 of last 5 winners)
3/21 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/21 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/21 - Trained by Brian Meehan
2/21 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
The average winning SP in the last 20 years is 20/1
Just 4 winning favourites since 1993

3.15 – Ghayyth Zetland Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f ITV4

16/16 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
15/16 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
15/16 – Won no more than twice before
14/16 – Foaled in Feb, Mar or April
14/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
14/16 – Had won over at least 1m before
12/16 – Placed favourites
10/16 – Drawn in stalls 2-5 (inc)
10/16 – Won last time out
7/16 – Winning favourites
6/16 - Came from stalls 2 or 3
3/16 – Ran at Leicester last time out
2/16 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/16 – Trained by the Hannon yard
4/16 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
1/16 – Winners from stall 1
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won 2 of the last 6 runnings
Irish-trained winners have won 3 of the last 8
Flying Honours (10/11 fav) won the race in 2022

3.50 Earthlight Darley Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m1f ITV4

9/10 – Won over a least 1m before
9/10 – Won between 2-4 times before
8/10 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/10 – Listed or Group winner
8/10 – Winners from stalls 7 or higher
7/10 – Had run at the course before (4 won)
6/10 – Irish bred
5/10 – Won last time out
5/10 – Favourites unplaced
4/10 – Winners priced 20/1 or bigger
3/10 – Ridden by Jim Crowley (last 2)
2/10 – Trained by John Gosden
2/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 14/1

York Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1.15 - Coral Rockingham Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV

20/20– Had raced within the last 4 weeks
19/20 – Had won between 1 and 3 times before
16/20 – Had 4 or more runs that season
16/20 – Foaled in March or later
15/20 – Had never raced at York before
14/20 – Had won over 6f before
14/20 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
12/20 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
11/20 – Placed favourites
10/20 – Unplaced last time out
8/20 – Ran at either Redcar (6) or Newbury (2) last time out
6/20 – Winning favourites
5/20 – Won last time out
5/20 – Filly winners
4/20 – Winners from stall 2
3/20 – Placed horses from stall 1
3/20 – Trained by Tim Easterby
3/20 – Ridden by David Allan
The  horse from stall 6 has won 5 of the last 13 runnings
Alpha Capture (5/2 fav) won the race in 2022

2.25 – Coral Sprint Trophy Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

20/20 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
20/20 – Had won at least 3 races before
19/20 – Had run at York before
19/20 – Had won a race over 6f before
18/20 – Had raced 6 or more times that season
15/20 – Aged 5 or younger
15/20 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
12/20 – Winning distance – ¾ lengths or less
11/20 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
11/20 – Unplaced favourites
11/20 – Rated between 92 and 98
11/20 – Carried 9-2 or less
8/20 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
5/20 – Raced at Ascot last time out
5/20 – Won last time out
3/20 - Trained by David O’Meara (3 of the last 7)
3/20 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/20 – Winning favourites
2/20 – Trained by Kevin Ryan (2 of the last 6 winners)
2/20 – Trained by Michael Dods
1/20 – Filly or mare winners
8 of the last 9 winners came from stalls 9 or lower
4 of the last 14 winners were ridden by a claiming apprentice
Red Strike (12/1) won the race in 2022
Gulliver (16/1) won the race in 2019 and 2020
Major Jumbo (12/1) won the race in 2018
Teruntum Star (10/1) won the race in 2017

3.05 Coral Racing EBF Maiden Stakes (Qipco British Champions Series 2YO Race) (GBB Race) Cl2 (2yo) 1m ITV4

Just one past running
Trainer Charlie Johnston is 2 from 10 with his 2 year-olds here
Trainer Hugo Palmer is 0 from 14 with his 2 year-olds here
Trainer Tim Easterby is just 4 from 74 with his 2 year-olds at the track

3.35 – Coral Racing Bet Bundles Handicap Cl2 1m2f88y ITV4

9/10 -  Returned 11/1 or shorter
9/10 – Won over at least 1m2f before
8/10 – Rated between 95-103
7/10  - Aged 3 years-old
7/10 – Didn’t win last time out
6/10 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
6/10 – Carried 9-0 or more
6/10 – Unplaced last time out
4/10 – Had run at the track before
4/10 – Ridden by Franny Norton (2) or Adam Kirby (2)
5/10 – Irish bred
2/10 – Winning favourites
2 of the last 7 winners came from stall 8

 

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York TV Trends: Weds 23rd Aug 2023

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Horse racing trends expert Andy Newton is on hand for us at this week’s York Ebor Meeting as he gives you all the key stats ahead of the LIVE ITV races each day - with the Group One Juddmonte International Stakes the feature race as the world's top-rated horse - Baaeed - puts his unbeaten record on the line again.

York Horse Racing Trends

Wednesday 23rd Aug 2023

1.50 – Sky Bet Symphony Group Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 5f89y ITV

14/14 – Carried 8-12 or more
13/14 – Returned 7/1 or bigger in the betting
11/14 – Had won 5 or more times during their career
11/14 – Had run 6 or more times that season
11/14 – Had run at York before (6 won)
7/14 – Unplaced last time out
7/14 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
6/14 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
3/14 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
1/14 – Winning favourites
3 of the last 13 winners came from stall 15
7 of the last 13 winners came from a single-figure stall
Bergerac (22/1) won the race in 2022
Copper Knight (18/1) won the race in 2021
Acclaim The Nation (18/1) won the race in 2020
Dakota Gold (4/1 fav) won the race in 2019
El Astronaute (12/1) won the race in 2018

2.25 – Tattersalls Acomb Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 7f ITV

19/20 – Had won at least once before
18/20 – Won their previous race
16/20 – Had won over 7f or further before
13/20 – Placed favourites
8/20 – Ran at either York (4) or Newmarket (4) last time out
6/20 – Winning favourites
5/20 - Had run at York before
4/20 – Trained by the Johnston yard
2/20 - Ridden by James Doyle
2/20 – Trained by William Haggas
2/20 – Trained by Charles Hills
2/20 – Winners from stall 1
10 of the last 14 winners were foaled in March or later
10 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 5-9 (inc)

3.00 – Sky Bet Great Voltigeur Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 1m4f ITV

19/21 – Had 2 or more previous runs that season
18/21 – Had won at least twice already in their career
17/21 - Placed favourites
17/21 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
16/21 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
12/21 – Trained/Owned by Sir Michael Stoute (3), Godolphin (4) or John Gosden (5)
9/21 – Winning favourites
7/21 – Went onto be placed in the St Leger
3/21 – Went onto win the St Leger (Logician, Lucarno, Rule of Law)
4/21 -  Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/21 – Trained by Charlie Appleby (2 of the last 5)
0/21 – Winners from stall 1
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won the race 3 times before (2001, 2003 & 2016)
Trainer John Gosden has won the race 5 times before (2007, 2008, 2012, 2017 & 2019)
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute has won this race 7 times before (1982, 1994, 1999, 2000, 2005, 2011 & 2013)
14 horses have won this before going onto win the St Leger (Sept 16th)
Godolphin have won the race 6 times

Note: The 2008 renewal was run at Goodwood

3.35 - Juddmonte International Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m2f88y ITV

19/21 – Previous Group 1 winners
19/21 – Had 3 or more previous runs that season
18/21 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
17/21 – Had won over 1m2f (or further) before
17/21 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
15/21 – Had not run at York before
15/21 – Aged 4 or older
14/21 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
14/21 – Had won 5 or more times before
11/21 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
11/21 – Ran at either Ascot (7) or Sandown (5) last time out
11/21 – Winning favourites
5/21 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/21 – Won the Epsom Derby that season
2/21 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (5 winners in total)
6 of the last 15 winners were Irish-trained
Baaeed (2/5 fav) won the race in 2022

Note: The 2008 renewal was run at Newmarket

4.10 Sky Bet Stayers Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 2m 1/2f ITV

13/13 – Had run in the last 2 months
10/13 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/13 – Didn’t win last time out
11/13 – Won between 1-5 times before
10/13 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
9/13 – Came from stall 7 or higher
9/13 – Rated between 87-96
9/13 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/13 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
8/13 – Had run at the course before
8/13 – Drawn from stalls 8-13 (inc)
7/13 – Unplaced favourites
4/13 – Ran at Ascot last time out
3/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Irish-trained winners
2/13 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
Alfred Boucher (5/1) won the race in 2022

 

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York TV Trends: Fri 19th May 2023

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We’ve got all the trends that matter ahead of the LIVE ITV races from the third day (Fri, 19th May 2023) of the York Dante Meeting, with the Group Two Yorkshire Cup the feature contest today.

York Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV4)

1.50 – Clipper EBF Marygate Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f ITV4

16/17 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
14/17 – Had won over 5f before
15/17 – Won by a horse foaled in February or later
14/17 – Drawn in stall 4 or higher
13/17 – Had won between 1-2 times before
13/17 – Won last time out
13/17 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
12/17 – Placed favourites
7/17 – Winners from stall 9
6/17 – Winning favourites
10 of the last 13 winners came between stalls 6-11 (inc)
Richard Fahey has trained 2 of the last 11 winners
Michael Bell has trained 2 of the last 14 winners
2022 Winner: Pillow Talk(5/1)

2.25 – Oaks Farm Stables Fillies´ Stakes (The Michael Seely Memorial Stakes) (Listed) Cl1 1m ITV4

16/16 – Drawn in stall 10 or lower
15/16 – Won between 1-2 times in the past
15/16 – Priced 15/2 or shorter
12/16 – Had won over at least 7f before
12/16 – Placed 5th or better last time out
10/16 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
9/16 – Horses from stall 1 placed
9/16 – Raced at either Newmarket (6) or Newbury (3) last time out
4/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
2/16 – Ridden by William Buick
2/16 – Ridden by James Doyle
2/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2022 Winners: Fonteyn (6/1)

3.00 – Knights Solicitors Handicap Cl2 1m2f88y ITV4

20/20 – Aged 7 or younger
19/20 – Had run over 1m2f before
17/20 – Didn’t win their last race
16/20 – Won over at least 1m2f before
15/20 – Came from stall 5 or higher
14/20 – Carried 8-11 or MORE
13/20 – Had a previous run that season
11/20 – Won by a 4 year-old (including 8 of the last 14 years)
9/20 – Finished third or better last time out
7/20 – Had run at York before
6/20 – Won by the favourite
3/20 – Won by trainer Saeed Bin Suroor (2007, 2008, 2009)
3/20 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
3/20 – Won by trainer John Gosden
2/20 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni (2 of last 4 runnings)
2/20 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute
13 of the last 16 winners returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
2022 Winner: UAE Prince (5/1)

3.35 – Boodles Yorkshire Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 2) Cl1 1m6f ITV4

18/18 – Came from stall 7 or lower
17/18 – Didn’t win last time out
17/18 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
17/18 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
17/18 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
15/18 – Aged 5 or older
15/18 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
14/18 – Had won at least 4 times before
12/18 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
10/18 – Had run at York before
8/18 – Horses from stall 7 placed in the top 3
8/18 – Winning favourites
7/18 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
7/18 – Came from stall 4 or 7
4/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/18 – Ran at Newbury last time out
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has never won this race
Stradivarius has won 3 of the last 4 runnings
2022 Winner: Stradivarius (6/4 fav)

 

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Sat TV Trends: 18th July 2020

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This Saturday we’ve another busy day of LIVE ITV Racing with the cameras heading to York and Newbury to take in seven races across the two venues.

At York, the John Smith’s Cup (2:30) is the feature contest – a race that 16 of the last 18 winners were aged 5 or younger.

Then at Newbury, the Group Three Hackwood Stakes (4.00) tops the bill.

Like all big race days, here at Geegeez.co.uk we've got the LIVE races covered with key trends and stats – use these to whittle down the runners and find the best profile of past winners.

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York Horse Racing Trends

 

1:55 - John Smith's Silver Cup Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m6f ITV4

 

14/14 – Had between 1 and 3 previous runs that season
13/14 – Won from stall 10 or lower
12/14 – Aged 5 or younger
11/14 – Didn’t win their previous race
10/14 – Placed favourites
7/14 – Aged 4 years-old
7/14 – Had run at York before
5/14 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/14 – Horses from stall 2 that finished second
3/14 – Winning favourites
Red Verdon (20/1) won the race in 2019

 

2:30 - John Smith's Cup Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (3yo+) 1m2½f ITV4

 

17/18 – Returned 20/1 or shorter in the betting
16/18 – Aged 5 or younger
16/18 – Had won over 1m1f or further before
14/18 – Had between 3-5 previous runs already that season
13/18 – Came from stall 9 or higher
12/18 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
11/18 – Carried 9-3 or less
11/18 – Top 4 finish in their previous race
10/18 – Aged 4 years-old
10/18 – Officially rated between 99-105
9/18 – Had run at York before
6/18 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
3/18 – Won by trainer Richard Fahey
2/18 – Trained by William Haggas
2/18 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
The average winning SP in the last 18 years is 11/1

 

3:05 - John Smith's City Walls Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 5f ITV4

9/9 – Won over 5f before
9/9 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
9/9 – Rated between 101 and 111
8/9 – Placed favourites
6/9 – Unplaced last time out
6/9 – Had only won at Handicap class before
6/9 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
5/9 – Won by a neck or less
6/9 – Won at York before
3/9 – Ran at Ascot last time out
Copper Knight won the race in 2019

 

3:40 - William Hill Extra Places Every Day Handicap Cl3 (3yo+ 0-93) 1m4f ITV4

9/10 – Won over 1m2f or further
8/10 - Drawn in stalls 1-9 (inc)
8/10 – Won between 1-3 times
8/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
8/10 – Aged 5 or younger
7/10 – Had run at York before
6/10 – Placed favourites
6/10 – Rated between 93-98 (inc)
4/10 – Won last time out
4/10 – Won from stalls 8,9 or 10
3/10 – Ran at York last time out
3/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Trained by Tim Easterby
2/10 – Trained by Saeed Bi Suroor
2/10 – Ridden by Danny Tudhope

 

Newbury Horse Racing Trends

 

2.15 bet365 Rose Bowl Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (2yo) 6f ITV4

 

10/10 – Foaled in Feb, Mar or April
10/10 – Had run in the last 4 weeks
10/10 – Won over 6f before
9/10 – Drawn in stall 4 or lower
8/10 – Won just once before
7/10 – Returned 7/2 or less
7/10 – Placed favourites
7/10 – Foaled in March or April
6/10 – Ran at Ascot last time out
6/10 – Unplaced last time out
5/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Won last time out
2/10 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/10 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan

 

 

2:50 - British EBF/bet365 Premier Fillies' Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-100) 1m ITV4

 

10/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/10 – Won between 1-4 times before
9/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
8/10 – Drawn in stall 3 or higher
8/10 – Rated between 83-92
8/10 – Didn’t win last time out
7/10 – Carried 9-5 or more in weight
7/10 – Had won over 1m before
7/10 – Won between 1-3 times
4/10 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/10 – Trained by Mark Johnston
1/10  - Winning favourite

 

 

3:25 - bet365 Aphrodite Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m4f ITV4

 

15/16 – Won over at least 1m2f or further before
14/16 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
14/16 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/16 – Placed favourites
12/16 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
11/16 – Won between 1-2 times before
6/16 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/16 - Winning favourite
5/16 – Ran at Haydock last time out
5/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Trained by John Gosden

Note: Normally run at Newmarket

 

 

4:00 - bet365 Hackwood Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 6f ITV4

 

15/16 – Won over 6f before
13/16 – Aged 5 or younger
12/16 – Priced 15/2 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Had won 4 or more times before
10/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/16 – Placed favourites
7/16 – Had won a Group race before
6/16 – Ran at Ascot last time out
6/16 – Winning favourites
6/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Winners from stall 8
2/16 – Trained by Hughie Morrison
2/16 – Trained by William Haggas
2/16 – Trained by Charles Hills (2 of last 5)
2/15 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/15 – Winners from stall 1
8 of the last 12 winners returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting