MOHAWK KING (left, Pat Dobbs) beats CHURCHILL BAY (2nd right) and MAYAAS (right) in The Anders Foundation British EBF Crocker Bulteel Maiden Stakes Ascot 25 Jul 2020 - Pic Steven Cargill / Racingfotos.com

2024 Royal Ascot Betting Trends – Day Three (Thurs 20th June)

More top action in June as the horse racing bandwagon turns its attention to the 2024 Royal Ascot Meeting. The five-day meeting (Tues 18th to Sat 22nd June 2024) is always one of the highlights on the flat racing calendar.

Like all big race days, here at GEEGEEZ we've got it all covered with key trends and stats - use these trends to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners - as the big meeting moves into day three on Thursday 20th June 2024.

Royal Ascot Trends Day Three – Thursday 20th June 2024

 

2.30 - Norfolk Stakes (Group 2) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 5f ITV

Norfolk Stakes Recent Winners

2023 – Valiant Force (150/1)
2022 - The Ridler (50/1)
2021 – Perfect Power (14/1)
2020 – The Lir Jet (9/2)
2019 – A’Ali (5/1)
2018 – Shang Shang Shang (5/1)
2017 – Sioux Nation (14/1)
2016 – Prince Of Lir (8/1)
2015 – Waterloo Bridge (12/1)
2014 – Baitha Alga (8/1)
2013 – No Nay Never (4/1)
2012 – Reckless Abandon (4/1)
2011 – Bapak Chinta (6/1)
2010 – Approve (16/1)
2009 – Radiohead (10/1)
2008 – South Central (11/4 fav)
2007 – Winker Watson (2/1 fav)
2006 – Dutch Art (11/4)
2005 – Masta Plasta (7/2)
2004 – Blue Dakota (5/4 fav)
2003 – Russian Valour (4/1)

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Norfolk Stakes Trends

21/21 – Had at least 1 previous run
19/21 – Previous winners over 5f
19/21 – Had never raced at Ascot before
18/21 – Had a RPR of 105+
16/21 – Won their previous race
14/21 – Foaled in March or April
12/21 – Favourites placed
11/21 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
8/21 – Returned a double-figure (or triple) price
3/21 – Winning favourites
3/21 – Ran at Windsor last time out
2/21 – Trained by Wesley Ward
2/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore

Aidan O’Brien has trained 2 of the last 9 winners
Richard Fahey have won 2 of the last 3 runnings
11 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 7-12 (inc)

3.05 - King George V Stakes (Handicap) (CLASS 2) (3yo 0-105) 1m4f ITV

King George V Stakes Recent Winners

2023 – Desert Hero (18/1)
2022 – Secret State (4/1 jfav)
2021 – Surefire (5/1)
2020 – Hukum (12/1)
2019 – South Pacific (22/1)
2018 – Baghdad (9/1)
2017 – Atty Persse (7/1)
2016 - Primitivo (13/2)
2015 – Space Age (9/1)
2014 – Elite Army (4/1 jfav)
2013 – Elidor (20/1)
2012 – Fennell Bay (12/1)
2011 – Brown Panther (4/1 jfav)
2010 – Dandino (7/1)
2009 – Cosmic Sun (66/1)
2008 – Colony (11/2 fav)
2007 – Heron Bay (20/1)
2006 – Linas Selection (9/2)
2005 – Munsef (14/1)
2004 – Admiral (9/1)
2003 – Fantastic Love (10/1)

King George V Stakes Trends

20/21 – Never raced at Ascot before
19/21 – Had at least 2 previous runs that same season
19/21 – Had between 2 and 4 previous runs that season
19/21 – Placed last time out
17/21 – Carried 8-13 or less
14/21 – Had won over at least 1m2f previously
12/21 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
11/21 – Favourites placed
11/21 – Won their previous race
6/21 – Won by trainers Sir Michael Stoute (2) or the Johnston camp (4)
4/21 – Ran at Haydock last time out
4/21 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
3/21 – Godolphin-owned (Charlie Appleby has trained 2 of the last 9)

11 of the last 18 winners came between stalls 10-20 (inc)
8 of the last 18 winners came between stalls 10-16 (inc)

 

3.45 - Ribblesdale Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m4f ITV

Ribblesdale Stakes Recent Winners

2023 – Warm Heart (13/2)
2022 – Magical Lagoon (11/4)
2021 – Loving Dream (18/1)
2020 – Frankly Darling (11/8 fav)
2019 – Star Catcher (4/1)
2018 – Magic Wand (10/3)
2017 – Coronet (9/1)
2016 – Even Song (15/8 fav)
2015 – Curvy (9/2)
2014 – Bracelet (10/1)
2013 – Riposte (9/2)
2012 – Princess Highway (17/2)
2011 – Banimpire (3/1 fav)
2010 – Hibaayeb (4/1 jfav)
2009 – Flying Cloud (5/1)
2008 – Michita (10/3 fav)
2007 – Silkwood (4/1)
2006 – Mont Etoile (25/1)
2005 – Thakafaat (22/1)
2004 – Punctilious (9/2)
2003 – Spanish Sun (9/2)

Ribblesdale Stakes Trends

18/21 – Had never raced at Ascot before
17/21 – Had at least 2 previous races that season
16/21 – Placed in their previous race
15/21 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
14/21 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
14/21 – Placed favourites
11/21 – Had exactly 2 previous runs that season
8/21 – Won their last race
8/21 – Irish-trained winners (7 of last 12)
5/21 – Winning favourites
4/21 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (4 of last 10)
4/21 - Trained by John Gosden (5 wins in total)
4/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/21 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor (5 in total)
3/21 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse

Just two winners from stall 1 in the last 18 runnings
9 of the last 18 winners came between stalls 3-6 (inc)

4.25 - Ascot Gold Cup (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 2m4f ITV

Recent Ascot Gold Cup Winners

2023 – Courage Mon Ami (15/2)
2022 – Kyprios (13/8 fav)
2021 – Subjectivist (13/2)
2020 – Stradivarius (4/5 fav)
2019 – Stradivarius (Evs fav)
2018 – Stradivarius (7/4 jfav)
2017 – Big Orange (5/1)
2016 – Order Of St George (10/11 fav)
2015 – Trip To Paris (12/1)
2014 – Leading Light (10/11 fav)
2013 – Estimate (7/2 fav)
2012 – Colour Vision (6/1)
2011 – Fame And Glory (11/8 fav)
2010 – Rite of Passage (20/1)
2009 – Yeats (6/4 fav)
2008 – Yeats (11/8 fav)
2007 – Yeats (8/13 fav)
2006 – Yeats (7/1)
2005 – Westerner (7/4 fav)
2004 – Papineau (5/1)
2003 – Mr Dinos (3/1)
2002 – Royal Rebel (16/1)

Ascot Gold Cup Trends

20/22 – Had no more than 2 previous runs that season
20/22 – Aged 6 or younger
19/22 – Had between 1-2 previous runs that season
17/22 – Had won over at least 2 miles on the flat before
17/22 – Favourites that were placed
17/22 – Won their last race
14/22 – Previous Group 1 winners
12/22 – Won by the favourite
11/22 – Aged 4 years-old (9 of the last 12)
9/22 – Irish-trained winners
8/22 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
5/22 – Ran at Sandown last time out (Henry II Stakes)
3/22 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (3 of the last 11)

15 of the last 18 winners returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
11 of the last 18 winners returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
10 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 1-5 (inc) (6 of the last 7 winners came from stalls 7 or lower)
Godolphin won the race in 1996, 1998, 2000, 2004 & 2012
Aidan O’Brien has trained the winner in 2022, 2016, 2014, 2011, 2009, 2008, 2007, 2006
John Gosden has trained the winner in 2018, 2019 and 2020
Since 1949 there have been 15 multiple winners of the race

 

5.05 - Britannia Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (Colts & Geldings) (CLASS 2) (3yo 0-105) 1m ITV4

Britannia Stakes Recent Winners

2023 – Docklands (6/1 fav)
2022 – Thesis (14/1)
2021 – Perotto (18/1)
2020 – Khaloosy (9/2)
2019 – Biometric (28/1)
2018 – Ostillo (10/1)
2017 – Bless Him (25/1)
2016 – Defrocked (13/2)
2015 – War Envoy (10/1)
2014 – Born In China (14/1)
2013 – Beauty Flame (20/1)
2012 – Fast Or Free (6/1 fav)
2011 – Sagramor (8/1)
2010 – Ransom Note (9/1)
2009 – Fareer (20/1)
2008 – Fifteen Love (28/1)
2007 – Eddie Jock (33/1)
2006 – Sir Gerard (9/2 fav)
2005 – Mostashaar (10/3 fav)
2004 – Mandobi (8/1)
2003 – New Seeker (16/1)

Britannia Stakes Trends

19/21 – Had no more than 3 previous runs that season
17/21 – Had won a race over 7f or 1m before
17/21 – Placed last time out
14/21 – Failed to win their previous race
14/21 – Carried 8-13 or less
13/21 – Had never run at Ascot before
13/21 – Returned a double-figure price
11/21 – Unplaced favourites
8/21 – Had exactly 2 previous runs that season
8/21 – Had only won over 7f previously
4/21 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
4/21 – Winning favourites
3/21 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore

Just one top three finish horse from stall 1 in the last 18 runnings
14 of the last 18 winners came from a double-figure stall (2 of the last 4 winners from stall 19)

 

5.40 - Hampton Court Stakes (Group 3) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m2f ITV4

Hampton Court Stakes Recent Winners

2023 – Waipiro (7/1)
2022  - Claymore (7/1)
2021 – Mohaafeth (11/8 fav)
2020 – Russian Emperor (10/3)
2019 – Sangarius (13/2)
2018 – Hunting Horn (5/1)
2017 – Benbatl (9/2)
2016 – Hawkbill (11/2)
2015 – Time Test (15/8 fav)
2014 – Cannock Chase (7/4 fav)
2013 – Remote (9/4 fav)
2012 – Energizer (15/2)
2011 – Pisco Sour (20/1)
2010 – Afsare (9/4 fav)
2009 – Glass Harmonium (8/1)
2008 – Collection (13/2)
2007 – Zaham (7/2 fav)
2006 – Snoqualmie Boy (33/1)
2005 – Indigo Cat (3/1 fav)
2004 – Moscow Ballet (8/1)
2003 – Persian Majesty (8/1)

Hampton Court Stakes Trends

20/21 – Had not raced at Ascot before
18/21 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
18/21 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/21 – Had either 2 or 3 previous runs that season
12/21 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
12/21 – Had won over 1m2f before
9/21 – Unplaced favourites
7/21 – Winning favourites
5/21 - Ran at Epsom last time out
4/21 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
4/21 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/21 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute

No winner from stall 1 in the last 18 runnings
14 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 5 or higher
11 of the last 17 winners came from stall 5-9 (inc)

6.15 - Buckingham Palace Handicap (3yo+) 7f ITV4

Buckingham Palace Handicap Trends

9/9 – Returned 12/1 or bigger in the betting
9/9 – Unplaced favourites
8/9 – Had run in the last 6 weeks
8/9 – Had won over at least 6f before
7/9 – Had run at Ascot before
7/9 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
7/9 – Rated between 92-98
7/9 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
6/9 – Had 5+ wins before
4/9 – Bred in Ireland
4/9 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
3/9 – Ridden by Neil Callan
2/9 – Trained by Richard Hannon (2 of the last 4)
2/9 – Came from stall 29
2/9 – Ran at Ascot last time out
0/9 – Winning favourites

2023: Witch Hunter (50/1), Richard Hannon, Jamie Spencer

 



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