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2025 Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe Betting Trends

Run over 1m4f the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe is one of Europe’s most valuable Group One contests that is open to horses of either sex that are aged 3 or older and staged at Longchamp racecourse.

In recent years, the contest has been dominated by the younger horses with 13 of the last 23 winners being aged 3 years-old, while 17 of the last 23 - came here off the back of a last time out victory. Last year both these stats were backed up again with the 3 year-old Bluestocking winning for trainer Ralph Beckett.

The draw has also been crucial in modern times - with a massive 18 of the last 23 winners coming from stalls 8 or lower - backed up again in 2024 with the winner coming from stall 3.

As always, here at GeeGeez, we are on-hand with all the key stats for the 2025 Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe – this year run on Sunday 5th October.

Recent Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe Winners

2024 - Bluestocking (11/2)
2023 – Ace Impact (19/10 fav)
2022 - Alpinista (33/10 fav)
2021 - Torquator Tasso (72/1)
2020 - Sottsass (73/10)
2019 – Waldgeist (131/10)
2018 - Enable (Evs)
2017 – Enable (10/11 fav)
2016 – Found (6/1)
2015 – Golden Horn (9/2)
2014 – Treve (11/1)
2013 – Treve (9/2)
2012 – Solemia (33/1)
2011 – Danedream (20/1)
2010 – Workforce (6/1)
2009 – Sea The Stars (4/6 fav)
2008 – Zarkava (13/8 fav)
2007 – Dylan Thomas (11/2)
2006 – Rail Link (4/7 fav)
2005 – Hurricane Run (11/4)
2004 – Bago (10/1)
2003 – Dalakhani (9/4)
2002 – Marienbard (158/10)

Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe Betting Trends

22/23 – Had won a Group 1 race before
20/23 – Had won over 1m4f before
18/23 – Had 4 or more runs that season
18/23 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
17/23 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting
16/23 – Had won at least 5 times before
17/23 – Won last time out
16/23 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
15/23 – Had run at Longchamp before
13/23 – Placed favourites
13/23 – Had won at Longchamp previously
13/23 – Aged 3 years-old
11/23 – Won by a French-based yard
10/23 – Ran at Longchamp last time out
10/23 – Female winners
7/23 – Winning favourites
7/23 – Won by a UK-based yard
3/23 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of the last 10)
3/23 – Trained by Andre Fabre (won the race 8 times in all)
2/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (2016, 2007)
2/23- Trained by J-C Rouget (2020 & 2023)
The last winner aged 6+ was Motrico (7) in 1932
6 of the last 25 winners draw stall 6 (24%)
Jockey Cristian Demuro has won 2 of the last 5 runnings
The last Prix Niel winner to follow up in the Arc was Rail Link in 2006
3 of the last 16 Epsom Derby winners that season have won
Trainer John Gosden has won 3 of the last 10 runnings
Since 1976 we’ve seen just 4 winners aged 5 or older
Last winner stall 1 - Zarakava 2008
20 of the last 31 winners were aged 3 years-old
Juddmonte-owned horses have won the Arc 7 times - 2024 Bluestocking, 2018 Enable, 2017 Enable, 2010 Workforce, 2006 Rail Link, 1986 Dancing Brave, 1985 Rainbow Quest

Key Draw Stats  - Last 25 Years Draw Stats

 
- Highest drawn winner - Sakhee (15) in 2001
- Dalakani and Golden Horn won from gate 14
- 19/25 - Drawn 8 or lower
- 6 /25 - From stall 6 (24%)
- 18/25 - Between stalls 2-8 (72%)
- 2024 - 7 of the top 9 finishers drawn 7 or lower
- 2023 - ALL of the top 6 finishers drawn 9 or lower
- Found and Torquator Tasso both won from gate 12 (last 10 years)
- Last winner stall 1 - Zarkava (2008)
 
Winner Draw For Last 25 Years
3,8,6,12,4,3,6,2,12,14,3,15,6,2,8,6,1,6,4,6,5,14,3,15,7

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