2025 Winter Derby Trends geegeez.co.uk

First run in 1998, the Winter Derby is now staged at Southwell racecourse and run on their All Weather track, having been switched from Lingfield. The 1m3f contest is also now a Group 3 race after being upgraded from Listed class back in 2006.

In recent years, a 4 year-old has won the race 8 times in the last 16 runnings, while it could pay to concentrate on horses aged 6 or younger as this age group has been responsible for 18 of the last 22 winners – last year the Charlie Appleby runner Military Order won the prize.

Here at GEEGEEZ we look back at the recent winners and gives you all the key stats to take in the 2025 renewal – this year run on Saturday 22nd February 2025.

Recent Winter Derby Winners

2024 - MILITARY ORDER (9/4)
2023 - LORD NORTH (8/11 fav)
2022 – ALENQUER (11/4)
2021 - FOREST OF DEAN (10/3)
2020 – DUBAI WARRIOR (13/8)
2019 – WISSAHICKON (1/4 fav)
2018 – MASTER THE WORLD (16/1)
2017 – CONVEY (11/2)
2016 – GRENDISAR (11/4)
2015 – TRYSTER (3/1 fav)
2014 – ROBIN HOODS BAY (10/1)
2013 – FARRAAJ (6/4 fav)
2012 – PREMIO LOCO (5/1)
2011 – NIDEEB (9/4 fav)
2010 – TRANQUIL TIGER (11/8 fav)
2009 – SCINTILLO (8/1)
2008 – HATTAN (14/1)
2007 – GENTLEMAN’S DEAL (4/1 jfav)
2006 – SRI DIAMOND (8/1)
2005 – ECCENTRIC (7/2)
2004 – CALUKI (14/1)
2003 – PARASOL (5/2 jfav)

Winter Derby Betting Trends

18/22 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or shorter
18/22 – Won by a horse aged 6 or younger
18/22 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the market
18/22 – Won over at least 1m2f previously
16/22 – Drawn in stall 7 or less
16/22 – Came from the top 3 in the market
15/22 – Had raced at either Lingfield (11) or Kempton (4) last time out
14/22 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
13/22 – Winning distance – less than a length
13/22 – Placed in their last race
11/22 – Won their last race
10/22– Won at least 6 times previously
9/22 – Winning favourites
4/22 – Trained by John Gosden (4 of the last 6 runnings)
2/22 – Ridden by Adam Kirby (2 of last 10)
Just 2 of the last 18 Winter Derby Trial winners have gone onto win the Winter Derby
The average winning SP in the 22 renewals is 5/1
Military Order won the race in 2024

Note: Run at Lingfield from 2023 back

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The 2025 Weatherbys Cheltenham Festival Betting Guide

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Written by Paul Ferguson and Guest Authors, is the complete guide to The Festival, with every fact, stat and trend covered to help you make the most informed bets throughout the best week of the year.