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Sat TV Horse Racing Trends: 15th Aug 2026

We’ve got all the trends & stats you need ahead of the LIVE ITV action from Ripon, Newbury and Newmarket this Saturday.

Up at Ripon, it’s one of their biggest days with the competitive William Hill-sponsored Great St Wilfrid Handicap - a race that 17 of the last 24 winners were aged between 4-6 years-old.

Then at Newbury the Group Two Hungerford Stakes is one of their features - a contest that’s seen 15 of the last 17 winners were all draw 6 or lower.

Finally, the ITV cameras are also at Newmarket to take in the unique grey horse handicap.

We’ve got all the LIVE ITV races covered with key trends - use these to find the best profiles based on recent winners of each race.

NEWMARKET Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 

2:10 – Betway Grey Horse Handicap (for Grey Horses Only) Cl4 6f ITV

22/23 – Didn’t win last time out
19/23 – Had 4 or more runs already that season
19/23 – Had won over 6f before
19/23 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
17/23 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
16/23 – Aged 5 or older
15/23 – Had 3 or more career wins
15/23 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-old
14/23 – Carried 9-1 or less
9/23 – Unplaced favourites
4/23 – Winning favourites
2/23 – Trained by Mick Appleby (2 of the last 9)
The last 11 winners aged 3-6 years-old
4 of the last 8 winners from stalls 4 or lower
7 of the last 10 winners between stalls 4-9
Archduke Ferdinand won this race in 2024
Strike won the race in 2022 2nd in 2024 and 6th in 2023 & 2025

NEWBURY Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1:25 – Highclere Thoroughbred Racing Geoffrey Freer Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m5f61y ITV

23/24 – Had won at least twice in their career
20/24 – Had won over 1m4f or further before
19/24 – Aged 3-5 years-old
18/24 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
17/24 – Winning distance of 1 ¼ lengths or more
17/24 – Drawn in stall 3 or higher
16/24 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
15/24 – Officially rated 110 or higher
14/24 – Winning favourites (4 of the last 5)
14/24 – Ran at Goodwood or Newmarket last time out
11/24 – Had already won a Group race
11/24 – Had won at Newbury before
10 of the last 11 winners from stalls 2-6
No winner from stall 1 in the last 11
3 of the last 8 winners from stall 2
2/6 winners trained by Owen Burrows



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1:55 – D&H, Excellence In Nutrition Handicap Cl3 (3yo+ 0-88) 5f ITV

Three previous running
Rhythm N Hooves won this race in 2025
1/3 winning favourite
2/3 winners from stalls 2-4
Trainer Harry Charlton is just 3-55 (5%) at Newbury
Trainer William Haggas has a 22% SR at Newbury

2:35 – TPT Fire Handicap Cl3 (3yo+ 0-95) 7f ITV

14/15 - Aged between 3-6 (inc)
14/15 - Carried 9-1 or more in weight
12/15 - Had won over 7f or further before
11/15 - Won between 2-4 times before
11/15 - Rated between 90-98 (inc)
10/15 - Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/15 - Finished 5th or better last time out
8/15 - Carried between 9-1 and 9-7
8/15 - Had raced at Newbury before
7/15 - Irish bred
6/15 - Ran at Ascot last time out
3/15 - Trained by William Haggas (3 of the last 9)
2/15 – Trained by Clive Cox (2 of last 6)
2/15 - Winning favourites
2/15 - Won last time out
The 3 of the last 7 winners came from stall 6
10 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 7 or lower

3.10 – Visit Malta Hungerford Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV

21/24 – Didn’t win last time out
20/24 – Had won over this 7f trip before
19/24 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
19/24 – Officially rated 108 or more
19/24 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
19/24 – Had won 3 or more times already in their career
18/24 – Had 3 or more previous runs already that season
13/24 – Had run at Newbury before (5 won)
9/24 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
3/24 – Trained by William Haggas (4 of the last 11)
15 of the last 17 winners were all draw 6 or lower
Just one winner from stall 1 in the last 17 runnings
John Gosden is the leading trainer (6 wins)

RIPON Horse Racing Trends (ITV/Sky Racing)

2:55 William Hill Silver Cup Handicap Cl4 (3yo+ 0-80) 6f ITV

Only 3 past runnings
Trainers Richard Fahey, Paul Midgley and Nigel Tinker have won this race before
All 3 winners from stalls 10-12
No winning favourite yet
2/3 winners carried 9-11 and 9-12
Trainer Grant Tuer is just 3-from-55 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Grant Wood won the race in 2024

3:25 – William Hill Great St Wilfrid Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

21/24 – Previous winners over 6f
18/24 – Didn’t win last time out
17/24 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
16/24– Winning distance of 1 length or less
15/24 – Carried 8-11 or more
15/24 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
14/24 – Finished unplaced last time out
14/24 – Had 5 or more previous runs already that season
13/24 - Had run at Ripon before (5 won)
13/24 – Unplaced favourites
10/24 – Ran at either Goodwood (7) or Newmarket (3) last time out
7/24 – Aged 4 years-old
7/24 – Winning favourites (6 in the last 13)
3/24 – Trained by David O’Meara (3 of last 15)
3/24 – Ridden by Daniel Tudhope
3/24 – Ridden by Connor Beasley
3/24 – Trained by Richard Fahey (3 of last 13)
2/24 – Aged 3 years-old
3 of the last 7 winners ran in the race the previous year
Just ONE winner from stall 1 in the last 20 runnings (2025)
8 of the last 20 winners came from stalls 8-13 (inc)
10 of the last 11 winners carried 9-1 or less
Only 8 winning favourites since 1990 (but 6 in last 13)
Since 1986 ALL bar one winner returned 20/1 or less

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