Loads going on this Saturday as the ITV cameras are at Doncaster, Newbury and Cheltenham.
Yes, jump racing is back at the home of the National Hunt - Cheltenham - with a cracking card of which the first four races are LIVE on ITV. Then at Newbury, we’ve two decent Group Three contests to look forward too.
While the LIVE ITV action concludes with three races from Doncaster that are spearheaded by the Group One Futurity Trophy Stakes - a prize that top Irish handler - Aidan O’Brien - has won a massive 11 times!
Like all big race days, here at GeeGeez we’ve got the LIVE races covered with key trends and stats – use these to whittle down the runners and find the best profile of past winners.
Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (ITV/SkySports Racing)
1:30 – Skill Step Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 5f ITV
21/21 – Ran 5 or more times that season
20/21 – Had won over 5f before
17/21 – Aged 5 or younger
15/21 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
14/21 – Had run at Doncaster before (5 won)
12/21 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
12/21 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/21 – Unplaced favourites
11/21 - Carried 8-9 or less
7/21 – Won last time out
6/21 – Ran at Pontefract (3) or Ayr (3) last time out
6/21 – Winning favourites
2/21 – Winners from stall 1
2/21 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of last 11)
2/21 – Winning mare/filly
10 of the last 18 winners came from a double-figure stall
Aberama Gold won the race in 2023
Jer Batt won 2nd in 2024
3 of the last 9 winners from stall 17
Note: The 2021 running was a dead-heat
2:05 – William Hill Futurity Trophy (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 1m ITV
20/23 – Had won either 1 or 2 races before
20/23 – Placed favourites
19/23 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
19/23 - Foaled in February or later
19/23 – Finished in the top two last time out
18/23 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
17/23 – Had raced at least twice previously
15/23 – Winning favourites
15/23 – Ran at either the Curragh or Newmarket last time out
15/23 – Won their last race
14/23 – Foaled in either Feb or March
14/23 – Had won over a mile in the past
11/23 – Won by an Irish-based yard
8/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (11 wins in total)
4/23 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni (won 4 of the last 11)
3/23 - Ridden by Ryan Moore
Trainer John Gosden have NEVER won this race
7 of the last 10 winners came between stalls 4-7
6 of the last 10 winners from stalls 4, 6 or 7 (2 each)
Aidan O’Brien has won the race 11 times – 1997, 1999, 2001, 2002, 2009, 2011, 2012, 2017, 2018, 2021 & 2022
Since 2011 three winners went onto win the 2000 Guineas (Kameko, Saxon Warrior and Camelot)
The average SP in the last 23 runnings is 13/2
6 horses won the Derby the following season: Reference Point (1986); High Chaparral (2001); Motivator (2004); Authorized (2006); Camelot (2011); Auguste Rodin (2022).
2:40 – William Hill Prospect Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV
16/17 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
16/17 – Drawn in stall 9 or lower
16/17 – Foaled in February or later
14/17 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
14/17 – Won between 1-2 times before
14/17 – Had won over 6f before
13/17 – Favourites placed in the top 3
13/17 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
12/17 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
11/17 – Won last time out
11/17 – Carried 9-1 in weight
9/17 – Raced at York, Nottingham or Kempton last time out
9/17 – Irish bred
7/17 – March-born foals
6/17 – Winning favourites (3 of the last 9)
2/17 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
2/17 – Trained by Brian Meehan
Trainer Marco Botti has won 2 of the last 9 runnings
The last 5 winners came from stalls 2 (2) or 4 (3)
8 of the last 10 winners from stalls 5 or lower
Newbury Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)
3.10 – BetVictor Horris Hill Stakes (Group 3) (2yolds) Cl1 7f ITV
19/20 – Foaled in Feb or later
17/20 – Won just 1 or 2 races before
16/20 – Priced 15/2 or shorter in the betting
15/20 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
13/20 – Never raced at Newbury
13/20 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
13/20 – Favourites unplaced
12/20 – Had at least 3 previous career runs
11/20 – Won over 7f before
11/20 – Won their last race
7/20 – Foaled in February
8/20 – Winning distance – ¾ lengths or less
5/20 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
4/20 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
1/20 – Winning favourites
Charles Hill has trained 2 of the last 7 winners
Charlie Appleby has never won this race
5 of the last 9 winners stalls 5 (3) or 6 (2)
3.45 – BetVictor St Simon Stakes (Registered As The St Simon) (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f5y ITV
19/21 – Aged 5 or younger
19/21 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
19/21 – Had won at least twice before
18/21 – Had at least 4 runs that season
17/21 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/21 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
14/21 – Rated 106 or higher
13/21 – Placed favourites
13/21 – Had run at Newbury before (7 won)
13/21 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
12/21 – Placed horses from stall 6
9/21 – Winners from stalls 6 or 8
6/21 – Won by a filly or mare
6/21 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/21 – Winning favourites
4/21 – Won last time out
3/21 – Trained by William Haggas (3 of last 12)
3/21 – Trained by Andrew Balding
1/21 – Winners from stall 1
Trainer Ralph Beckett has won the last 2 runnings
3/8 winners from stall 6
Max Vega won the race in 2022 and 2024
Al Aasy was 3rd in the race last year
Note: 2018 running was a dead-heat
Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends ITV/RacingTV)
1.10 – William Hill Each Way Extra Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl3 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV
Just 4 previous runnings
Trainers Ian Patrick Donoghue, Nigel Twiston-Davies, Martin Keighley and Chris Gordon have won this race before
4/4 – Carried 10-13 or more
4/4 – Aged between 5-7
3/4 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting
2/4 – Ridden by Sean Bowen
No winning favourite
Trainer Evan Williams has a 25% SR with his chasers at the track
Trainer Joe Tizzard is just 3-43 with his chasers at the track
Jockey Harry Skelton has a 20% SR riding over fences at the track
Jockey Brendan Powell is just 2-49 riding over fences at the track
1.45 – Play William Hill’s Final One Standing Novices’ Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo) 3m ITV
10/10 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
10/10 – Favourites finished in the top 2
9/10 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
9/10 – Top 3 finish last time out
8/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
7/10 – Had won over 3m hurdles before
7/10 – French or Irish bred
6/10 – Won last time out
6/10 – Winning favourites
3/10 – Won at Warwick last time out
3/10 – Trained by John C McConnell (3 of the last 5)
2/10 – Won at Perth last time out
2/10 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 9/4
2.20 –William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Chase Cl2 3m1f ITV
16/18 – Priced 11/1 or shorter in the betting market
16/18 – Won over at least 3m previously
14/18 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or less
13/18 – First run of the season
12/18 – Irish bred winners
11/18 – Favourites unplaced
11/18 – Rated 134 or higher
10/18 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
9/18 – Unplaced in their last race
8/18 - Had won at Cheltenham previously
7/18 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
5/18 – Trained by the Philip Hobbs yard
1/18 – Winning Favourites (none in the last 11)
3 of the last 4 winners Irish trained
Henry de Bromhead has trained the last two winners
Darragh O’Keeffe has ridden the last two winners
The last 10 winners aged between 7-9
4 of the last 6 winners aged 7
2.55 - Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Series Qualifier) Cl2 2m7f208y ITV
11/16 – Priced 17/2 or bigger in the betting
11/16 – Had run at Cheltenham before (4 winners)
11/16 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
10/16 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
10/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/16 – Unplaced favourites
8/16 – Last ran 6 month+ ago
8/16 – Irish Bred
7/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Winning favourites (3 of the last 8)
2/16 – Mare winners
2/16 – Trained by the Philip Hobbs yard
2/16 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
4 of the last 10 winners ridden by a claimer
8 of the last 11 winners carried 10-10 or more
Nicky Henderson has trained the winner in 2023 and 2017 (both Nico de Boinville-ridden)
3.30 - Masterson Holdings Hurdle Cl2 2m110y ITV
12/16 – Having their first run of the new jumps season
12/16 - Had won 2 or less times over hurdles
10/16 – Placed in their last race
10/16 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
7/16 – Favourites placed
6/16 – Irish bred winners
4/16 – Irish-trained winners
4/16 – Winning favourites (just 1 in the last 11)
4/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of the last 6 and both ridden by Harry Cobden)
Gordon Elliott has won the race twice since 2014
Just 1 winning favourite in last 11 runnings
4:05 – William Hill Extra Places With BOG “Chasing Excellence’ Novices’ Chase (GBB Race) (Class 2) (5yo+) 3m ITV
8/10 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
8/10 – Won between 1- times (fences)
7/10 – Won last time out
7/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
6/10 – Won over 3m+ fences
6/10 – Irish bred
4/10 – Favourites
2/10 – Trained by Gordon Elliott
3 of the last 5 winners Irish-trained
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