In November 2017 Matt published an article that looked at five well established horseracing adages, writes Dave Renham. He tested them by looking at data going back to 2011 and he split his findings into two comparing an earlier data set to a more recent one. You can find the link here. In this piece […]
As the title suggests, in this article I will look at horses that have previously won at the course, over the distance, and over course and distance. My findings apply to UK National Hunt racing only, and I have looked at the last eight full years, from 2016 to 2023. The perception of many punters […]
In this article I will be looking at a different approach to analysing market data, writes Dave Renham. I will not be using the traditional methods of rank – favourite, second favourite, etc. – or using a specific price or price band. My focus is going to be solely on handicap races. The data has […]
This is the last article in my series on jockeys and, to close, I have decided to do something slightly different, writes Dave Renham. For this piece I have been number crunching using Excel and reviewing all UK National Hunt Racing results going back to the beginning of 2019. My plan? To try to evaluate […]
It is the turn of the younger up and coming riders to come under the spotlight in my series on National Hunt jockeys, writes Dave Renham. For this piece I have used a variety of data collection tools and as with the previous five pieces the profits/losses quoted are to Industry SP; I will quote […]
This is the fifth article in a series on jockeys and here I’ll helicopter out to a more general perspective, writes Dave Renham. I will include data from some of the jockeys I have already looked at but will mainly introduce many new names and plenty of new stats. As previously I have analysed National […]
This is the fourth article in a series looking at the performance of some of top National Hunt jockeys. In this one I will be looking at Sam Twiston-Davies and Brian Hughes. Previously I've looked at: Nico de Boinville and Harry Cobden Harry Skelton and Sean Bowen Rachael Blackmore, Paul Townend and Jack Kennedy I […]
This is the third article in a series looking at the performance of some of the top National Hunt jockeys. Parts 1 and 2 can be read here and here. For this piece I will be heading over the water to examine the stats of three of the top Irish jockeys - Paul Townend, Jack […]
This is the second article in a series looking at the performance of some of top National Hunt jockeys. Last time, I shared the records of Nico de Boinville and Harry Cobden, which you can read here. In this second piece I will be looking at Harry Skelton and Sean Bowen. I have analysed NH […]
This is the first in a new series of articles looking at the performance of some top National Hunt jockeys. In this initial offering I will be looking at Nico De Boinville and Harry Cobden. Both jockeys have the backing of huge stables with De Boinville riding primarily for Nicky Henderson and Cobden for Paul […]
This article is slightly different from my usual pieces in that I am going to address some of the questions you have asked in the comments over the past couple of years, writes Dave Renham. As the turf flat season has come to an end, I will concentrate on some of the National Hunt questions […]
Some horses are bred to chase, others are not, writes Dave Renham. Some horses are better over hurdles, others are better over the bigger obstacles. In this article I will look at horses making their debut in a chase having switched from hurdling last time out. The data have been taken from UK National Hunt […]
I wonder, how many readers back favourites from time to time? Is there anyone reading this who only bets on favourites? It certainly would be interesting to know, writes Dave Renham. Maybe you'll share your answer in the comments below this article. I have two reasons for starting with those questions: firstly, I am genuinely […]
I was originally not going to do a ‘part 3’, but in the comments a reader asked about early morning odds and if there was any data available in connection with price movement, writes Dave Renham. As that was data I could access, I thought I would do some digging and share my findings. So […]
In this follow-up article I am once again looking at market movement between the bookmaker’s opening show and the returned Starting Price, writes Dave Renham. The data I've used has been taken from 2018 to 2022 for all UK flat and all-weather racing. Bookmaker data is taken from William Hill. In the first piece, which […]
