2026 Sussex National Trends

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It’s Plumpton’s biggest race day of the season, as the BetGoodwin Sussex National, run over a gruelling 3m5f, takes centre stage.

Here at Geegeez, we look back at recent winners and gives you some more stats to look out for ahead of the 2026 renewal on Sunday 4th January,

Recent Sussex National Winners

2025 - INVINCIBLE NAO (100/30 jfav)
2024 - DOM OF MARY (9/2)
2023 - ATAKAN (11/4)
2022 – GO WHATEVER (5/1)
2021 - SEASTON SPIRIT (6/1)
2020 - CHRISTMAS IN APRIL (9/2)
2019 – THE TWO AMIGOS (11/8 fav)
2018 – VINNIE LEWIS (7/2 fav)
2017 – MORNEY WING (12/1)
2016 - TOUR DES CHAMPS (11/2)
2015 – ITOLDYOU (11/1)
2014 – REBLIS (5/1)
2013 – WELL REFRESHED (6/1)
2012 – DOUBLE DIZZY (8/1)
2011 – MINELLA BOYS (8/1)
2010 – MASTER OVERSEER (9/2)
2008 – IRONSIDE (25/1)
2007 – PASS ME BY (8/1)
2006 – DUNBRODY MILLAR (6/1)

Sussex National Betting Trends

18/19 – Had won over at least 3m (chase) before
18/19 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
18/19 – Aged between 7-9 years-old
16/19 – Carried 11-5 or less
16/19 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
15/19 – Won between 1-3 times over fences before
13/19 – Aged either 8 or 9 years-old
11/19 – Placed favourites
8/19 – Irish bred
8/19 – Won last time out
2/19 – Trained by the Tizzard yard (2 of the last 6)
2/19 – Ridden by Tom Cannon (2 of the last 11)
3/19 – Winning favourites (or joint)
Jockey Caoilin Quinn has ridden the last two winners
The average winning SP in the last 19 runnings is 7/1

Note: The Sussex National was run on 10th Feb in 2025. 

 

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Cheltenham TV Trends on New Year’s Day (Thursday, 1st Jan 2026)

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A massive day of action at Cheltenham this New Year’s Day as we begin 2026 with the ITV cameras taking in four races at the home of National Hunt racing, of which we've got the key trends for.

As always, here at Geegeez we are on hand with a look at all the televised races from Prestbury Park from a trends angle – use these stats to help find the best winning profile of past winners of the race.

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (Thursday, 1st Jan 2026)

1:25 – Betfair Handicap Chase (GBB Race) (Class 2) (5yo+ 0-150) 3m 1 1/2f

10/10 – Didn’t win last time out
9/10 – Finished unplaced last time out
9/10 – Carried 11st 1lb or more
9/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Irish (5) or French (4) bred winners
9/10 – Won over 3m (or further) before
8/10 – Wore headgear
8/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
7/10 – Won between 1-2 times before
7/10- Aged 9 or younger
7/10 – Raced at Cheltenham before
5/10 – Placed favourites
5/10 – Wore 1st time headgear
5/10 – Aged 9 years-old
3/10 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (3 from last 7)
2/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 10/1

2:00 – Betfair Exchange Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Cl1 2m4f166y ITV

22/22 – Had run over fences at Cheltenham before
21/22 – Raced within the last 2 months
19/22 – Had won over 2m4f or further (fences) before
18/22 – Had won at least twice over fences before
18/22 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
18/22 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting
17/22 – Rated 138 or higher
17/22 – Either French (6) or Irish (11) bred
16/22 – Aged 8 or older
16/22 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
14/22 – Carried 11-0 or less
12/22 – Had won over fences at Cheltenham before
12/22 – Unplaced last time out
12/22 – Unplaced favourites
12/22 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
12/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/22 – Winning favourites (3 of the last 9)
4/22 – Won by the Nigel Twiston-Davies yard (4 of the last 10)
2/22 – Trained by Dan Skelton (2 of the last 5)
2/22 – Ridden by Harry Skelton (2 of the last 5)
1/22 – Went onto win the Ryanair Chase at the Cheltenham Festival
9 or the last 10 winners aged between 7-9

2:35 – Dornan Engineering Relkeel Hurdle Cl2 2m4f110y ITV

20/21 – Aged 8 or younger
19/21 – Won by either a French (7) or Irish (12) bred
18/21 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
17/21 – Went on to run in a race at the Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
17/21 – Had raced at Cheltenham before (note, 2021 running was at Kempton)
15/21 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting
15/21 – Had won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
14/21 – Had won at least 4 times over hurdles before
14/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/21 – Had won at Cheltenham before
10/21 – Went onto run in the Stayers’ Hurdle later that season
9/21 – Won last time out
8/21 – Winning favourites
7/21 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
6/21 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (2 of the last 3)
8 of the last 9 aged 6-8
2 of the last 3 winners were Irish trained
Lucky Place (3/1) won the race in 2025
2 of the last 4 winners Irish-trained
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1

Note: The 2021 running was staged at Kempton

3:10 – Paddy Power Handicap Hurdle Cl2 3m ITV

18/21 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
17/21 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
17/21 – Had won a hurdles race over at least 2m4f before
16/21 – Had won at least twice over hurdles in the UK before
15/21– Had raced at Cheltenham before
14/21 – Rated 130 or higher
12/21 – Unplaced last time out
12/21 – Carried 10-9 or more
11/21 – Went onto run in a race at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
11/21 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
10/21 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
10/21 – Unplaced favourites
9/21 – Had won over at least 2m 7f (hurdles) before
8/21 – French bred
6/21 – Had won over hurdles at Cheltenham before
7/21 – Won last time out
4/21 – Winning favourites
2/21 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/21 – Won by the Olly Murphy yard (2 of the last 5)
1/21 – Won by a mare
1/21 – Went onto win the Stayers’ Hurdle later that season (Big Buck’s, 2009)
3 of the last 10 winners ridden by a claiming jockey
8 of the last 9 winners aged 6-8

 

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2025 Challow Hurdle Trends

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The Challow Novices’ Hurdle is a Grade One event that is run over a trip of 2m4f at Newbury racecourse.

Sponsored by Coral, the contest has been won by some promising sorts over the years, including Wichita Lineman, Diamond Harry, Reve De Sivola, Fingal Bay, Taquin du Seuil, while in more recent years the 2022 King George Chase winner Bravemansgame (2020) & Stage Star (2021) have won the race.

While in 2022 we saw the exciting Paul Nicholls-trained Hermes Allen romp to victory and Captain Teague take to pot in 2023 - meaning Paul Nicholl has won four of the last six runnings. He tries to add to that with the exciting No Drama This End, who is flying the Ditcheat flag this year.

We've also seen 9 of the last 15 market leaders win the race while trainers Paul Nicholls, Nick Williams and Jonjo O’Neill have won the race 9 times between them since 2006.

Here at Geegeez, we give you all the key stats ahead of the 2025 renewal - this year run on Monday 29th December 2025.

Recent Challow Hurdle Winners

2024 - THE NEW LION (9/4)
2023 - CAPTAIN TEAGUE (2/1 fav)
2022 - HERMES ALLEN (11/10 fav)
2021 – STAGE STAR (5/4 fav)
2020 - BRAVEMANSGAME (5/2 jfav)
2019 – THYME HILL (4/6 fav)
2018 – CHAMP (Evs fav)
2017 – POETIC RHYTHM (15/8 fav)
2016 – MESSIRE DES OBEAUX (11/4)
2015 – BARTERS HILL (4/11 fav)
2014 – PARLOUR GAMES (6/1)
2013 – CAPTAIN CUTTER (8/1)
2012 – TAQUIN DU SEUIL (13/8 fav)
2011 – FINGAL BAY (1/4 fav)
2010 – BACKSPIN (5/1)
2009 – REVE DE SIVOLA (15/8)
2008 – DIAMOND HARRY (4/6 fav)
2007 – SOUFFLUER (7/1)
2006 – WICHITA LINEMAN (11/4)

Key Challow Hurdle Trends

19/19 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
19/19 – Had raced in the last 8 weeks
19/19 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
19/19 – Had won no more than 3 times over hurdles before
17/19 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
15/19 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
15/19 – Had won over 2m4f or further (hurdles) before
14/19 – Won last time out
13/19 – Won between 2-3 times over hurdles before
11/19 – Had won a Grade 2 Hurdle race before
11/19 – Winning favourites (7 of the last 9)
11/19 – Aged 5 years-old
9/19 – Irish bred
6/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (4 of the last 5 winners)
3/19 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
The average winning SP in the last 18 runnings is 5/2

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2025 Savills Chase Trends

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Staged at Leopardstown racecourse, Ireland, the Grade One Savills Chase (formerly the Lexus Chase) is run over a distance of 3m and is often seen as a decent guide ahead of the Cheltenham Gold Cup, run later that season.

Some great names in recent years to land both races are Denman (2007/08) and Best Mate (2003/04), while considering the contest is staged in Ireland, we’ve actually seen eight UK-based horses come over and win the prize in the last 24 years.

While for the last two seasons (2023 and 2024) we've seen the Willie Mullins-trained Galopin Des Champs romp away with the prize.

Here at GeeGeez, we take a look back at recent winners and gives you the key trends ahead of the 2025 renewal - Sunday 28th December 2025.

Recent Savills Chase Winners

2024 - GALOPIN DES CHAMPS
2023 - GALOPIN DES CHAMPS
2022 – CONFLATED
2021 - GALVIN
2020 - A PLUS TARD
2019 – DELTA WORK
2018 - KEMBOY
2017 - ROAD TO RESPECT
2016 – OUTLANDER
2015 – DON POLI
2014 – ROAD TO RICHES
2013 – BOBS WORTH
2012 – TIDAL BAY
2011 – SYNCHRONISED
2010 – PANDORAMA
2009 – WHAT A FRIEND
2008 – EXOTIC DANCER
2007 – DENMAN
2006 – THE LISTENER
2005 – BEEF OR SALMON
2004 – BEEF OR SALMON
2003 – BEST MATE
2002 – BEEF OR SALMON

Savills Chase Betting Trends

23/24 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
23/24 – Had won at least 3 times over fences before
22/24 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
22/24 – Aged 8 or younger
20/24 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
19/24 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
17/24 – Won by an Irish bred horse
16/24 – Placed favourites
14/24 – Aged either 7 or 8 years-old
12/24 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
9/24 – Winning favourites
8/24 – Won by a UK-based stable
6/24 – Won last time out
4/24 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3/24 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/24 – Ridden by Jack Kennedy (3 of the last 9)
3/24 – Went onto win that season’s Cheltenham Gold Cup
Trainers Gordon Elliott (4) and Willie Mullins (4) have won 8 of the last 10 runnings

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Boxing Day TV Trends: Friday 26th Dec (Kempton, Aintree & Wetherby)

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A huge day on Boxing Day (Friday, Dec 26th 2025), but the festive highlight, as racing resumes after a three-day break, is the King George VI Meeting at Kempton Park.

The King George VI Chase is the feature race of the day as punters will look to get their Christmas expenses paid for – a race in recent years we’ve seen horse racing greats like Kauto Star, Long Run, Best Mate, Kicking King, One Man and, more recently, Thistlecrack, Might Bite, landing the prize.

Plus, at Wetherby the ITV cameras are also heading there to take in the Grade 3 Rowland Meyrick Chase, and at Aintree the Formby Novices Hurdle - which has produced three Supreme Novices' Hurdle winners since 2006.

Here at GeeGeez, we take a look at each race on the Kempton card and highlight the main trends, plus the Rowland Meyrick Chase (Wetherby) and Formby Novices' Hurdle – hopefully this will help you narrow down the fields and point you in the direction of a few festive winners.

Kempton Horse Racing Trends and Tips

12:45 Ladbrokes Best Odds Guaranteed On Racing Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl3 (4yo+ 0-135) 2m 4 1/2f ITV

21/21 – Aged 7 or younger
20/21 – Had won between 0-1 times over fences in the UK
17/21 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
12/21 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
12/21 – Placed favourites (1 joint)
11/21 – Carried 11-5 or more
10/21 – Officially rated between 119 and 125
9/21 – Winning distance – 6 lengths or more
8/21 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
6/21 – Won by a French bred horse
6/21 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
4/21 – Won last time out
2/21 – Raced at Kempton last time out
10 of the last 11 winners were aged 6 year-old
10 of the last 11 winners returned 5/1 or shorter

1.20 – Ladbrokes Kauto Star Novices´ Chase (In memory of Nigel Clark) (Grade 1) Cl1 3m ITV

21/22 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
21/22 – Placed in the top two last time out
17/22 – Won last time out
17/22 – French (9) or Irish (8) bred
15/22 – Had won at least 2 times over fences
15/22 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
15/22 – Aged 6 or younger
14/22 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
13/22 – Placed favourites
12/22 – Went onto run in that season’s Brown Advisory Chase, Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
12/22 – Aged 6 years-old
11/22 – Had won (chase) over at least 3m before
10/22 – Raced at Newbury last time out
9/22 – Winning favourites
5/22 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/22 – Trained by David Pipe
2/22 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
2/22 – French trained
1/22 – Went onto run in the Cheltenham Gold Cup (One winner - Coneygree 2015)
Just 2 favourites in the last 11 runnings (Shan Blue, 2020, The Jukebox Man, 2024)

1.55 – Ladbrokes Christmas Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV

20/23 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
20/23 – Had won at least 4 times over hurdles before
20/23 – Placed favourites
18/23 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
16/23 – Went onto run in the Champion Hurdle - (Faughan (2015), Buveur D’Air (2018), Epatante (2019), Constitution Hill (2022) winners
15/23 – Won last time out
14/23 – Winning favourites
14/23 – Had run over hurdles at Kempton before
12/23 – Went onto finish in the top 5 in the Champion Hurdle that season
10/23 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (8 of the last 12), (13 in total)
9/23 – Ran in the Fighting Fifth Hurdle (Newcastle) last time out
8/23 – French bred
8/23 – Irish trained
4/23 – Trained by Noel Meade
2/23 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/23 – Trained by Willie Mullins
Constitution Hill won the race in 2022, 2023 and 2024

2.30 – Ladbrokes King George VI Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 3m ITV

21/23 – French (14) or Irish bred (7)
19/23 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
19/23 – Had won a Grade One chase before
19/23 – Aged 8 or younger
18/23 – Had won over 3m or further (fences) before
17/23 – Finished in the top three last time out
16/23 – Placed favourites
16/23 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
16/23 – Officially rated 169 or higher
14/23 – Had won a race over fences at Kempton before
12/23 – Won last time out
11/23 – Winning favourites
11/23 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
11/23 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (13 times in all)
10/23– Ran in the Betfair Chase (Haydock) last time out
8/23 – Won by a previous winner of the race
4/23 – Won by an Irish-based yard (only 6 in the last 39 runnings)
7 of the last 11 winners aged 8
8 of the last 9 winners aged 7 or 8
Paul Nicholls, the Tizzard yard and Nicky Henderson have trained 16 of the last 19 winners between them (11 Nicholls, 2 Tizzard, 3 Henderson)
Trainer Willie Mullins has only won the race twice (2021 Tornado Flyer and 2001 Florida Pearl)
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 6/1

3.05 – Ladbrokes Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Class 2) (4yo+) 2m RTV

Only 2 past runnings
Kientzheim won the race last season (trained by Ben Haslam)

3.40 – Ladbrokes Get Rewarded With Ladbrokes Handicap Hurdle Cl3 (3yo+ 0-140) 2m5f RTV

18/18 – Won no more than 3 times (UK Hurdles)
16/18 – Aged 6 or younger
16/18 – Won between 0-2 times hurdles (UK)
13/18 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
13/18 – Ran 5 or less weeks ago
12/18 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
11/18 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
11/18 – Officially rated 120-129
10/18 – Won last time out
10/18 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
7/18 – Unplaced favourites
6/18 – French bred
5/18 – Winning favourites (only 2 in the last 10)
4/18 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (3 of last 5 winners)
10 of the last 11 winners aged between 4-6
East India Express won the race in 2024

Wetherby Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1.35 – William Hill Rowland Meyrick Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m45y ITV

15/17 – Had won 3 or less times over fences (UK)
15/17 – Aged 8 or younger
15/17 – Didn’t win last time out
15/17 – Raced in the last 5 weeks
15/17 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
13/17 – Had raced at Wetherby before
11/17 – Had won over 3m (chase) before
10/17 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
9/17 – Irish bred
9/17 – Unplaced in their last race
4/17 – Raced at either Haydock (2) or Aintree (2) last time out
4/17 – Winning favourites
Some Scope (5/2 fav) won the race in 2024
Fontaine Collonges (100/30) won the race in 2023
10 of the last 11 winners aged 7 or 8

 

Aintree Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.05 – William Hill Formby Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 1) (Formerly The Tolworth Hurdle) (GBB Race) CI1 (3yo+) 2m ½ ITV

20/21 – Won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
20/21 – Placed 1st or 2nd in their last race
18/21 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
18/21 – Priced  5/1 or shorter
18/21 – Won by a horse aged either 5 or 6 years-old
17/21 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles previously
17/21 – Came from the top three in the market
17/21 – Won last time out
14/21 – Placed favourites
12/21 – Won by an Irish bred horse
11/21– Won by a horse aged 5 years-old
11/21 – Winning Favourites
6/21 – Ran at either Sandown (4) or Newbury (2) last time out
5/21 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable
5/21 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable
3/21 – Won the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle later that season (Constitution Hill, 2022, Summerville Boy, 2018 & Noland, 2006)
2/21 – Won by the Jonjo O’Neill stable
1/21 - Won the Neptune Investment Hurdle (Gallagher) later that season (Yorkhill 2016)
5 or 6 years-old have won 26 of the last 33 runnings
Potters Charm won this race in 2024
Since 1988 ALL winners have been aged 7 or younger

Note: Only ran at Aintree from 2023 (Sandown before)

 

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2025 King George VI Chase Trends

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Staged each year on at Christmas on Boxing Day at Kempton racecourse, (Friday 26th December) the King George VI Chase is the highlight contest on the festive racing calendar.

With star names like Desert Orchid, One Man and, more recently, Kauto Star, who won the King George Chase a staggering five times, amongst the household names to land this decent pot then the 3m Grade One race never fails to attract the best longer distance chasers in training, while it’s also seen as a good guide to that season’s Cheltenham Gold Cup.

Trainer Paul Nicholls has won the King George VI Chase a remarkable 13 times. While last year we saw the Irish-trained Banbridge land the famous festive race.

We take a look back at recent winners and highlight the key stats to take into the 2024 renewal – this year run on Boxing Day, Friday Dec 26th - Can trainer Paul Nicholls win the race for a 14th time?

Past King George VI Chase Winners

2024 - Banbridge (7/1)
2023 - Hewick (12/1)
2022 - Bravemansgame (11/4)
2021 – Tornado Flyer (28/1)
2020 - Frodon (20/1)
2019 - Clan Des Obeaux (11/2)
2018 – Clan Des Obeaux (12/1)
2017 – Might Bite (6/4 fav)
2016 – Thistlecrack (11/10 fav)
2015 – Cue Card (9/2)
2014 - Silviniaco Conti (15/8 fav)
2013 – Silviniaco Conti (7/2)
2012 – Long Run (15/8 fav)
2011 – Kauto Star (3/1)
2010 – Long Run (9/2)
2009 – Kauto Star (8/13 fav)
2008 – Kauto Star (10/11 fav)
2007 – Kauto Star (4/6 fav)
2006 – Kauto Star (8/13 fav)
2005 – Kicking King (11/8 fav)
2004 – Kicking King (3/1 fav)
2003 – Edredon Bleu (25/1)
2002 – Best Mate (11/8 fav)

Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Sandown Park

King George VI Chase Trends

21/23 – French (14) or Irish bred (7)
19/23 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
19/23 – Had won a Grade One chase before
19/23 – Aged 8 or younger
18/23 – Had won over 3m or further (fences) before
17/23 – Finished in the top three last time out
16/23 – Placed favourites
16/23 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
16/23 – Officially rated 169 or higher
14/23 – Had won a race over fences at Kempton before
12/23 – Won last time out
11/23 – Winning favourites
11/23 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
11/23 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (13 times in all)
10/23– Ran in the Betfair Chase (Haydock) last time out
8/23 – Won by a previous winner of the race
4/23 – Won by an Irish-based yard (only 6 in the last 39 runnings)
7 of the last 11 winners aged 8
8 of the last 9 winners aged 7 or 8
Paul Nicholls, the Tizzard yard and Nicky Henderson have trained 16 of the last 19 winners between them (11 Nicholls, 2 Tizzard, 3 Henderson)
Trainer Willie Mullins has only won the race twice (2021 Tornado Flyer and 2001 Florida Pearl)
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 6/1

 

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Saturday TV Trends: 27th Dec 2025

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A huge day of National Hunt action on Saturday 27th December as the ITV cameras head to Kempton, while they are also at Chepstow to cover the Coral Welsh National.

We’ve got all the key trends and stats for all the LIVE races to help you whittle down the fields.

Kempton Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1.55 – Ladbrokes Wayward Lad Novices’ Chase (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m ITV4

14/14 – Had run in the last 6 weeks
13/14 – 1st or 2nd last time out
13/14 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Between 1-2 Chase wins before
11/14 – Favourites placed in top 2
11/14 – Irish or French bred
10/14 – Won last time out
10/14 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
6/14 – Aged 5 years-old
6/14 – Ran at Sandown last time out
5/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (11 total)
5/14 – Winning favourite
4/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/14 – Had won over fences at Kempton before

 

2.30 – Ladbrokes Desert Orchid Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV4

15/18 – Aged 8 or younger
14/18 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
13/18 – Finished in the top 3 in their last race
13/18 – Run at the track previously
12/18 – Won 4 (or more) times over fences
10/18 – Winning favourites
10/18 – Officially Rated 160+
9/18 – French bred
8/18 – Ran at Sandown last time out
5/18 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/18 – Trained by Alan King
3/18 – Trained by Gary Moore

 

3.07 - Ladbrokes ‘Big Football Bet Builder Boosts’ Handicap Chase Cl2 3m ITV4

17/18 – Ran in the last 7 weeks
17/18 – Priced between 7/2 and 12/1
16/18 – Aged 8 or younger
16/18 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
13/18 – Won between 2-3 (chase) before
10/18 – Favourites Unplaced
7/18 – Officially Rated between 122-130
7/18 – Ran at Kempton previously
7/18 – Won over 3m (or further) previously
6/18 – Finished 1st or 2nd in their last race
4/18 – Winning favourites (joint)
3/18 – Ran at Ascot in their last race
3/18 – Trained by Nicky Henderson

 

3:37 – Ladbrokes ‘Get Rewarded With Ladbucks’ Handicap Hurdle (Class 3) (3yo+ 0-140) 2m ITV

10/10 – Returned 12/1 or shorter
9/10 – Aged 5-7
9/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
8/10 – Won between 1-2 times
8/10 – Didn’t win last time out
8/10 – Carried 11-1 to 11-8
7/10 – Aged 5 or 6
3/10 – Ran at Ascot last time out
3/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Trained by Nicky Henderson

 

Chepstow Horse Racing Trends (Sky Sports/ITV)

1:05 – Coral Racing Club ‘Join For Free’ Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl4 (4yo+ 0-120) 2m

Only two past runnings
Zambezi Fix won the race in 2023
Trainer Sam Drinkwater has a 67% SR (2-3) with his chasers at the track
Trainer Nigel and Willy Twiston-Davies has a 50% SR (2-4) with his chasers at the track

 

1:40 – Coral Finale Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 1) (GBB Race) Cl1 (3yo) 2m ITV

20/21 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
20/21 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting
18/21 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
17/21 – Won between 0-2 times previously
14/21 – French bred
11/21 – Won their last race
9/21 – Winning favourites
5/21 – Raced at the track previously
5/21 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/21 – Raced at Newbury last time out
2/21 – Trained by Alan King

 

2:10 – Join Coral ‘Bet £10 Get £50’ Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+ 0-145) 2m 7 1/2f ITV

19/23 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
19/23 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
18/23 – Irish bred
15/23 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
15/23 – Won over 3m previously
16/23 – Won between 1-3 times previously over hurdles
16/23 – Priced 17/2 or shorter in the betting
16/23 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
12/23 – Ran at Chepstow previously
12/23 – Carried between 11-2 and 12st in weight
10/23 – Officially Rated 120 or less
5/23 – Winning favourites
4/23 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/22 – Won their last race
Tim Vaughan has won 2 of the last 6 runnings
Peter Bowen has won 3 of the last 12 runnings
Note: The 2011 running was a dead-heat

 

2.50 – Coral Welsh Grand National (A Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m5f110y ITV

23/23 – Had won between 1-5 chase races before
23/23 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
23/23 – Had won over at least 3m before (fences)
21/23 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
20/23 – Aged 9 or younger
18/23 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
17/23 – Aged 8 or younger
16/23 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
15/23– Carried 10-8 or less in weight
13/23 – Had won just 2 or 3 times before over fences
13/23 – Irish bred
12/23 – Had won over fences at Chepstow before
10/23 – Won last time out
8/23 – Unplaced favourites
8/23 – Ran at Chepstow last time out
7/23 – Had run in the Welsh National before
7/23 – French bred
5/23 – Winning favourites
2/23 – Trained by the Tizzard yard
2/23 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/23 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
11/18 – Aged 7 or 8
Trainers Venetia Williams and Nigel Twiston-Davies have won the Welsh Grand National twice each
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 9/1

 

3:25 – Coral “Pipped-At-The-Post” Payouts Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m3 1/2f Sky

21/22 – French (12) or Irish (9) bred
20/22 – Won over 2m4f + miles (fences) previously
18/22 – Priced 10/1 or shorter
17/22 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
16/22 – Won between 2-3 times (fences) previously
14/22 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
13/22 – Placed in the first three last time out
10/22 – Aged 7 or younger
8/22 – Won their last race
6/22 – Trained by Venetia Williams
6/22 – Raced at Chepstow last time out
3/22 – Ridden by Charlie Deutsch
3/22 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/22 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies

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2025 Welsh Grand National Trends

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Run, this year (2024) on Saturday December 27th, the Welsh Grand National has always been a big highlight over the festive period.

With 3m 5 ½f to cover at Chepstow racecourse then stamina is a ‘must-have’ requirement when it comes to finding the winner, while if you like your trends you might want to know that 20 of the 23 winners have been aged 9 or younger - plus, 18 of the last 23 winners carried 11-0 or less.

Val Dancer took the race 12 months ago in 2024.

Here at Geegeez, we look back at the recent winners and give you all the key trends - use these to help find the best profiles of past winners and apply these to the 2025 Welsh Grand National. This year the race will be run on Saturday 27th December.

Recent Welsh National Winners

2024 – VAL DANCER (8/1)
2023 - NASSALAM (9/2 jfav)
2022 - THE TWO AMIGOS (16/1)
2021 – IWILLDOIT (13/2)
2020 - SECRET REPRIEVE (5/2 fav)
2019 – POTTERS CORNER (8/1)
2018 – ELEGANT ESCAPE (3/1 fav)
2017 – RAZ DE MAREE (16/1)
2016 – NATIVE RIVER (11/4 fav)
2015 – MOUNTAINOUS (9/1)
2014 – EMPEROR’S CHOICE (9/1)
2013 -  MOUNTAINOUS (20/1)
2012 – MONBEG DUDE (10/1)
2011 – LE BEAU BAI (10/1)
2010 – SYNCHRONISED (5/1)
2009 – DREAM ALLIANCE (20/1)
2008 – NOTRE PERE (16/1)
2007 – MIKO de BEAUCHENE (13/2)
2006 – HALCON GENELARDAIS (7/1)
2005 – L’AVENTURE (14/1)
2004 – SILVER BIRCH (10/3 fav)
2003 – BINDAREE (10/1)
2002 – MINI SENSATION (8/1)

Welsh National Betting Trends

23/23 – Had won between 1-5 chase races before
23/23 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
23/23 – Had won over at least 3m before (fences)
21/23 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
20/23 – Aged 9 or younger
18/23 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
17/23 – Aged 8 or younger
16/23 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
15/23– Carried 10-8 or less in weight
13/23 – Had won just 2 or 3 times before over fences
13/23 – Irish bred
12/23 – Had won over fences at Chepstow before
10/23 – Won last time out
8/23 – Unplaced favourites
8/23 – Ran at Chepstow last time out
7/23 – Had run in the Welsh National before
7/23 – French bred
5/23 – Winning favourites
2/23 – Trained by the Tizzard yard
2/23 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/23 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
11/18 – Aged 7 or 8
Trainers Venetia Williams and Nigel Twiston-Davies have won the Welsh Grand National twice each
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 9/1

 

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Saturday TV Trends: 20th Dec 2025

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It’s the last weekend before Christmas and it looks set to be another decent Saturday of jumping action with the ITV cameras heading to Haydock and Ascot for six LIVE races.

The Grade One Howden Long Walk Hurdle (2.25) is one of the weekend highlights - a contest that will has produced 6 winners of the Stayers' Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival in the last 23 years.

With the last horse to win both races Paisley Park in 2018/19.

The 2023 and 2024 winner Crambo is back for more too - he'll will be looking to become the first three-time winner since Reve de Sivola.

While at Haydock, the Betfred Tommy Whittle Handicap Chase (2:05pm) is the main event - a race we've also got the 2023 winner Famous Bridge returning.

So, to help you narrow down the fields - here at GeeGeez - we've got all the big-race trends and key stats.

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (Sky Sports Racing/ITV)

12.40 – Howden Graduation Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m5f Sky

10/11 – Aged 7 or younger
10/11 – Favourites placed in the top 3
10/11 – Irish/French bred winners
10/11 – Won between 1-2 times over fences
9/11 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
9/11 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
8/11 – Aged 6 or younger
7/11 - Priced 5/4 or shorter
5/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/11 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/11 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies

2.25 – Howden Long Walk Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 3m1f ITV4

22/23 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
22/23 – Winners that went onto compete in that season’s Stayers’ Hurdle (Cheltenham Festival) (6 won, 4 runners-up)
20/23 – Aged 6 or older
19/23– Placed in the top three in their last race
18/23 – Won by a horse aged 8 or younger
18/23 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles previously
17/23 – Favourites placed
17/23 – Won over at least 3m (hurdles) previously
13/23– Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
13/23– Raced at Newbury last time out
12/23– French-bred horse
10/23 – Won their last race
10/23 – Favourites that won
8/23 – Won by a past winner
3/23 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/23 – Trained by Emma Lavelle
0/23 – Irish trained winners
Trainer Fergal O’Brien has won the last two runnings
Crambo won the race in 2023 and 2024

Note:
2022 running – Kempton
2009 and 2010 runnings - Newbury
2005 running - Chepstow
2004 running -Windsor

3.00 – Howden Silver Cup Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 3m ITV4

18/19 – Ran within the last 7 weeks
13/19 – Won over at least 3m (fences) previously
12/19 – Raced at Ascot previously
11/19 – Aged either 7 or 8 years-old
11/19 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
10/19 – Won by a French bred horse
10/19 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
7/19 – Favourites placed
7/19 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
7/19 – Aged 7 years-old
6/19 – Won at least 5 times over fences before
5/19 – Ran at either Cheltenham (3) or Ascot (2) last time out
3/19 – Favourites (1 joint)
2/19 – Trained by Henry Daly
2/19 – Trained by Anthony Honeyball (2 of the last 8)
2/19 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (2 of last 6 runnings)
9 of the last 11 winners carried 10-10 or more
8 of the last 11 winners carried 11-3 or more
Victtorino (4/1) won the race in 2023 and 2024
Venetia Williams won the race in 2013, 2023 and 2024

Note: The 2004 renewal was staged at Windsor

3.35 – Ascot Rotary Club Festive Handicap Hurdle (Premier Handicap) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m ITV4

21/21 – Had won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
20/21 – Aged between 4-7 years-old
20/21 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
18/21 – Had raced within the last 2 months
15/21 – Carried 10-10 or more
12/21 – Officially rated between 127 and 136
12/21 – Unplaced favourites
11/21 – Priced 12/1 or bigger in the betting
9/21 – Won by a horse aged 5 years-old
8/21 – Won last time out
8/21 – Irish bred
8/21 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
5/21 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (2 of last 8)
3/21 – Trained by the Pipe stable
3/21 – Winning favourites
5 of the last 8 winners ran in the Greatwood Hurdle that season
Hughie Morrison has won 2 of the last 5

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

2.05 – Betfred Tommy Whittle Handicap Chase Cl2 3m 1 1/2f ITV4

17/17 – Ran within the last 7 weeks
15/17 – Failed to win their last race
14/17 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
13/17 – Won over at least 3m before (hurdles or fences)
11/17 – Had raced at Haydock previously (hurdles or fences)
11/17 – Won between 2-3 times over fences previously
11/17 – Favourites placed
5/17 – French bred
3/17 – Went onto run in that season’s Aintree Grand National (all unplaced)
3/17 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
2/17 – Trained by the Tizzard yard
11 of the last 17 winners carried 11-0 or more
The last winner aged in double figures was in 1994
The last 17 winners ALL aged 8 or younger
The last 10 winners aged between 6-8
Famous Bridge (5/2 fav) won the race in 2023

2.40 – Betfred ‘The Classic Bookmaker’ Mares’ Novices’ Hurdle (Listed Race) (Reg as the Abram Hurdle) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m3f ITV4

11/11 – Aged 4 or 5
10/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
10/11 – Had never raced at Haydock
9/11 – Won between 0-1 times over hurdles
9/11 – Returned 6/1 or shorter
9/11 – Top 2 finish last time out
6/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Trained by Fergal O’Brien (2 of the last 8)
2/11 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (last two)

 

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Saturday TV Trends Sat TV Trends: 13th Dec 2025

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A MASSIVE day up at Prestbury Park as the Cheltenham December Meeting continues this Saturday (13th Dec), plus the ITV cameras also head to Doncaster for three races - as always, here at Geegeez, we are on hand with all the big-race trends and stats…..

With the December Gold Cup at 1:50pm the feature - a race trainer Paul Nicholls has won five times.

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1:15 – Quintessentially Mares’ Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl3 (4yo+) 2m 4 1/2f ITV

10/11 - Had run at Cheltenham before (fences) (4 won)
9/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
9/11 – Top 5 finish last time out
8/11 – 2+ past chase wins
8/11 – Irish bred
7/11 – Favourites placed in the first two
6/11 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
5/11 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
3/11 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/11 – Ridden by Brendan Powell
3/11 – Winning favourites
2 of the last 7 winners Irish-trained
7 of the last 9 winners aged 6 or 8

1:50 – Support The Hunt Family Fund December Gold Cup (Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m5f ITV

21/22 – Aged 8 or younger
20/22 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
18/22 – Had won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
17/22 – Had won between 2-4 times over fences before
16/22 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
16/22 - Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival later that season (2 winners, Frodon – Ryanair Chase and Coole Cody – Plate)
16/22 – Had raced at Cheltenham (fences) before (6 won)
15/22 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
14/22 – Officially rated 141 or higher
13/22 – Unplaced favourites
13/22 – French bred
12/22 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
10/22 – Carried 10-12 or more
10/22 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
10/22 – Ran in the Paddy Power (Nov) Gold Cup last time out (1 won)
7/22 – Finished in the top 5 in the Paddy Power Gold Cup last time out
6/22 – Won last time out
5/22 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/22 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/22 – Went to an Irish-trained horse
2/22 – Trained by David Pipe
2/22 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
1/22 – Winning favourites
10 of the last 13 winners carried 10-12 or less
The average winning SP in the last 22 runnings is 10/1

2:25 – Read Meg Nicholls’ Blog At betmgm.co.uk Handicap Chase (GBB Race) (Class 2) (4yo+) 2m 1/2f

13/14 – Had run in the last 6 weeks
13/14 – Had run at Cheltenham before
11/14 – Returned 15/2 or shorter
11/14 – Won between 1-3 times over fences
11/14 – Aged 7 or older
11/14 – Placed favourites
9/14 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
9/14 – Carried 10-12 or more
9/14 – Returned 5/1 or shorter
8/14 – Irish bred
5/14 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/14 – Ridden by Brendan Powell
2/14 – Ridden by Harry Cobden (last 2)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 17/2

3:00 - Albert Bartlett Novices´ Hurdle (Registered as The Bristol Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m ITV

20/20 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
19/20 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
18/20 – Had won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
18/20 – Aged 6 or younger
17/20 – Winning distance 1 ¼ lengths or more
16/20 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
15/20 – Placed favourites
14/20 – Went on run in the Albert Bartlett (3 won) at the Cheltenham Festival
12/20 – Winning favourite (1 co, 1 joint)
12/20 – Won last time out
12/20 – Irish bred
11/20 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
11/20 – Returned 2/1 or shorter in the betting
9/20 – Went onto finish in the top 4 in a Cheltenham Festival race that season
9/20 – Had won at Cheltenham before
8/20 – Won over 3m (hurdles) before
3/20 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies (3 of the last 10)
2/20 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
11 of the last 15 winners returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
11 of the last 13 winners were aged 5 years-old
The Tizzard yard have won 2 of the last 7 renewals
The Irish have won 2 of the last 4 runnings

3:35 – Downlaod The BetMGM App Mares’ Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 2m4 1/2f ITV

Just 9 previous runnings
All 9 winners returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
8/9 - Winners carried 10-10 or more
7/9 - Aged 7 or younger
6/9 - Aged 5 or 6 years-old
5/9 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
2/9 – Winning favourites
Trainers, Lucy Wadham (2), Nicky Henderson, Dan Skelton (2), Noel Williams (2), Anthony Honeyball and Gordon Elliott have won the race before
Woodhooh won this race last year
Nurse Susan won this in 2023

Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (ITV/Sky Sports Racing)

2:05 - bet365 Pennine Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+ 0-150) 3m ITV

11/11 – Aged 7 or older
10/11 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
10/11 – Returned 17/2 or shorter in the betting
10/11 – Won over at least 3m
8/11 - Irish bred
8/11 – Aged 8 or 9
8/11 – Won between 2-4 times over fences
7/11 – Favourites finished in top 2
7/11 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
6/11 – Unplaced last time out
4/11 – Had run at Doncaster before
3/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Trained by Kim Bailey (2 of the last 4)
2/11 – Ridden by David Bass (2 of the last 4)
The last 9 winners all aged 7-9
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 13/2

2:40– bet365 Doncaster Mares’ Hurdle (Listed Race) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 3m 1/2f ITV

Just one past running

3:17 – Each Way Extra At bet365 Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (3yo+) 2m½f ITV

9/11 – Carried 11st or more
8/11 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
8/11 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles
7/11 – Returned 4/1 or shorter
6/11 – Irish bred
3/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of the last 8)
3 of the last 8 winners won by a claiming jockey
Brian Hughes has ridden 2 of the last 3
Trainer Donald McCain has won the last 2 runnings.
Trainer Harry Derham has a 26% strike-rate at the track with his hurdlers

 

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2025 December Gold Cup Betting Trends

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The December Gold Cup is run over 2m5f at Cheltenham’s December Meeting each season around the middle of the month.

In recent years, trainer Paul Nicholls’ has won the prize five times, the most recent being Frodon in 2018. Nicky Henderson is another trainer to look out for - having won the race three times since 2002 – while in 2020, the race was won by the Michael Winters-trained Chatham Street Lad, who was only the third Irish-trained winner of the race in last 23 runnings.

It's also interesting that 26 of the last 27 winners were aged 8 or younger.

It’s generally, been a good contest for the bookmakers with just one winning favourite in the last 22 runnings (last winning market leader was in 2009), but that’s not to say those at the head of the market don’t do well as 14 of the last 22 winners returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting – while three of the last 11 December Gold Cup winners returned 7/1.

Here at GEEGEEZ we take a look back at recent winners and give you all the trends that matter ahead of the 2025 renewal - Saturday 13th December.

Recent Decmeber Gold Cup Winners

2024 - Gemirande (11/2)
2023 - Fugitif (13/2)
2022 – No Race
2021 – Coole Cody (12/1)
2020 - Chatham Street Lad (16/1)
2019 – Warthog (7/1)
2018 – Frodon (7/1)
2017 – Guitar Pete (9/1)
2016 – Frodon (14/1)
2015 – Village Vic (8/1)
2014 – Niceonefrankie (16/1)
2013 – Double Ross (7/1)
2012 – Unioniste (15/2)
2011 – Quantitativeeasing (6/1)
2010 – Poquelin (16/1)
2009 – Poquelin (7/2 fav)
2008 – Abandoned
2007 – Tamarinbleu (22/1)
2006 – Exotic Dancer (8/1)
2005 – Sir Oj (16/1)
2004 – Monkerhostin (4/1)
2003 – Iris Royal (7/1)
2002 – Fondmort (5/1)
2001 – Abandoned
2000 – Go Roger Go (7/1)

December Gold Cup Betting Trends

21/22 – Aged 8 or younger
20/22 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
18/22 – Had won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
17/22 – Had won between 2-4 times over fences before
16/22 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
16/22 - Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival later that season (2 winners, Frodon – Ryanair Chase and Coole Cody – Plate)
16/22 – Had raced at Cheltenham (fences) before (6 won)
15/22 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
14/22 – Officially rated 141 or higher
13/22 – Unplaced favourites
13/22 – French bred
12/22 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
10/22 – Carried 10-12 or more
10/22 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
10/22 – Ran in the Paddy Power (Nov) Gold Cup last time out (1 won)
7/22 – Finished in the top 5 in the Paddy Power Gold Cup last time out
6/22 – Won last time out
5/22 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/22 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/22 – Went to an Irish-trained horse
2/22 – Trained by David Pipe
2/22 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
1/22 – Winning favourites
10 of the last 13 winners carried 10-12 or less
The average winning SP in the last 22 runnings is 10/1

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Cheltenham TV Trends: Friday 12th December 2025

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The tapes go up for the opening day of the 2025 Cheltenham December Meeting this Friday (12th December) with FOUR LIVE ITV races from Prestbury Park - including the Crystal Cup Cross Country race.

Here at GeeGeez we are on hand with our quick-fire trends ahead of the LIVE races at this week's Cheltenham Christmas Meeting.

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (RTV/ITV)

1:15 - Catesby Estates Handicap Hurdle Cl3 (3yo+ 0-140) 2m1f ITV

11/12 – Top 4 finish last time
11/12 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
11/12 – Returned 10/1 or shorter
10/12 – Aged 6 or younger
9/12 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
9/12 – Won between 2-4 times (hurdles)
8/12 – Rated between 121 – 129
8/12 – French or Irish bred
7/12 – Carried 10-12 or more
5/12 – Won last time out
5/12 – Had run at the track before
5/12 – Ridden by a claiming jockey (3 of the last 5)
2/12 – Winning favourites

1:50 – Turners Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 3m 2 1/2f ITV

19/22 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
18/22 – Had run over fences at Cheltenham before (8 won)
18/22 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
17/22 – Had won at least 3 times over fences before
16/22 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
14/22 – Aged 8 or younger
13/22 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
12/22 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (none won)
11/22 – Irish bred
11/22 – Placed favourites
9/22 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
9/22 – Won last time out
6/22 – Won by the Pipe stable (including last year)
5/22 – Winning favourite (just 1 in the last 9)
3/22 - Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies (3 of the last 6 runnings)
2/22 – Trained by the Tizzard yard (2 of last 8 runnings)
Trainer Venetia Williams has won 2 of the last 9
9 of the last 11 winners carried 11-1 or less
Sam Twiston-Daves has ridden 3 of the last 6 winners
Charlie Deutsch has ridden 2 of the last 9 winners
King Turgeon (9/4) won this race in 2024

2:25 – Unibet Middle Distance Chase Series Veterans’ Handicap Chase (Cl2) (9yo+ 0-150) 2m 4 1/2f ITV

Just three previous runnings
Trainer Heather Main, Venetia Williams and Kerry Lee have won the race
No winning favourite yet
All 3 winners aged 10 of 11
Trainer Evan Williams 20% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Richard Hobson is just 1-from-22 with his chasers at the track
Jockey Harry Skelton has a 22% SR riding over fences at the track

3:00 – Glenfarclas Cross Crystal Cup Country Handicap Chase Cl2 3m7f ITV

19/20 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
17/20 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (5 won)
16/20 – Had run over the Cheltenham Cross Country course before
16/20 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
16/20 – Placed 1st, 2nd or 3rd last time out
12/20 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
12/20 – Placed favourites
11/20 – Aged 9 or older
9/20 – Aged in double-figures
8/20 – Had won over the Cheltenham Cross Country course before
8/20 – French bred
7/20 – Trained by Enda Bolger
7/20 – Won last time out
5 of the last 9 winners Irish-trained
4 of the last 9 favourites have won
Latenightpass (3/1 fav) won this race in 2023

3:35 – Citipost Handicap Hurdle Cl2 3m ITV

19/22 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
18/22 – Carried 11-2 or less
17/22 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
17/22 – Irish bred
17/22 – Aged 7 or younger
17/22 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
13/22 – Unplaced favourites
12/22 – Rated between 127 and 137
11/22 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
10/22 - Priced 15/2 or bigger in the betting
10/22 – Winners that went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (one winner)
9/22 – Had won over at least 3m (hurdles) before
6/22 – Won last time out
4/22 – Winning favourites
3/22 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/22 - Trained by Jonjo O'Neill
3 of the last 8 winners ridden by a claimer
Long Draw (3/1) won this in 2024

 

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Saturday TV Trends Sat TV Trends: 6th Dec 2025

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Another massive Saturday of NH jumping action with the ITV cameras heading to Sandown and Aintree, with the Tingle Creek Chase and Becher Chase the feature contests.

As always, here at GeeGeez, we’ve got all the big-race trends and stats for all the LIVE races on Saturday 6th December 2025.

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1:20 - Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Pertemps Hurdle Series Qualifier) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m 7 1/2f ITV4

11/11 - Aged between 5-8
9/11 - Had between 0-4 wins over hurdles
8/11 - Carried 11st or less
8/11 - Having first run at the track
8/11 - Had won over at least 2m4f before
8/11 - Didn't win last time out
8/11 - Returned 6/1 or shorter
7/11 - Irish bred
7/11 - Ridden by a claiming jockey
7/11 - Placed favourites
5/11 - Winning favourites
Philip Hobbs has trained 2 of the last 4 winners
The average winning SP in the last 13/2

1:50 – Betfair Henry VIII Novices´ Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV4

21/21 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
21/21 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
20/21 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences before
20/21 – Had won a UK chase race over at least 2m
19/21 – Aged 6 or younger
18/21 – French (14) or Irish (4) bred
18/21 – Won last time out
14/21 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
14/21 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Arkle Chase (3 winners)
14/21 – Placed favourites
13/21 – Raced at either Cheltenham (7) or Warwick (6) last time out
13/21 – Winning distance – 2 ¾ lengths or more
9/21 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
7/21 – Winners went onto finish 1st or 2nd in that season’s Arkle Chase
6/21 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (7 in total)
3/21 – Trained by Alan King
Trainer Dan Skelton has won 2 of the last 5
L'Eau du Sud won the race in 2024
Le Patron won the race in 2023
Nicky Henderson has won the race 5 times

2:25 – Bet At Your Best With Betfair Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m ITV4

20/21 – Won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
19/21 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
16/21 – Aged 4,5 or 6 years-old
16/21 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
15/21 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
15/21 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
15/21 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
15/21 – Carried 10-13 or less
13/21 – Unplaced favourites
12/21 – Rated between 116-129
12/21 – Irish bred
9/21 – Won last time out
5/21 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/21 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
14 of the last 15 winners returned 8/1 or shorter
Knickerbockerglory (13/8 fav) won this in 2024

3:00 – Betfair Tingle Creek Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV4

22/23 – Aged 9 or younger
21/23 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
20/23 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
20/23 – Had won a Grade One chase before
19/23 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
18/23 – Aged between 5-8 years-old
17/23 – Placed favourites
17/23 – French bred
17/23 – Officially rated 165 or higher
16/23 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
15/23 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
15/23 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
15/23 – Had won a chase race at Sandown before
15/23 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
14/23 – Won last time out
11/23 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (12 wins in total)
7/23 - Won by a past winner
6/23 – Won the Queen Mother Champion Chase (Altior, Dodging Bullets, Sire de Grugy, Sprinter Sacre – Master Minded & Moscow Flyer) at the Cheltenham Festival later that season
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 5/2
Trainer Nicky Henderson has won the race four times
Note: The 2010 renewal was staged at Cheltenham

3:35 – Betfair Exchange London National Handicap Chase Cl2 3m5f110y ITV4

18/19 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
18/19 – Aged 7 or older
18/19 – Had won (fences) over at least 3m before
17/19 – Won between 2-6 times over fences before
16/19 – Rated 126 or higher
16/19 – Aged 8 or older
14/19 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
13/19 – Irish bred
12/19 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
12/19 – Unplaced favourites
12/19 – Carried 11-0 or more
9/19 – Had raced over fences at Sandown before (2 won)
5/19 – Won last time out
4/19 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
1/19 – Winning favourites
Trainer Paul Nicholls has won 3 of the last 8
Trainer Neil Mulholland has won 2 of the last 9
5 of the last 8 winners ridden by claiming jockeys

 

Aintree Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2:05 – William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Wirral Juvenile Hurdle (Listed Race) (GBB Race) Cl1 (3yo) 2m1f ITV4

10/10 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
10/10 – Won over 2m+ before
9/10 – Favourites finished in top 3
8/10 – Won last time out
8/10 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
7/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
6/10 – French bred
5/10 – Winning favourite
3/10 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/10 – Ridden by Harry Cobden
2/10 – Nicky Henderson
The average winning SP in the last 10 running is 15/8
Note: This race has been staged at Doncaster in the past

2:40– William Hill Half A Mill Becher Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m2f ITV4

20/22 - Aged 8+
18/22 – Had won between 2-5 times over fences before
18/22 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
18/22 – Had no more than 1 start that season
17/22 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
17/22 – Carried 10-12 or less
16/22 – Aged 9 or older
14/22 – Had run over these Grand National-style fences before
13/22 – Officially rated between 123-138
12/22 – Irish-bred winners
11/22 – Went onto finish unplaced in that season’s Grand National
12/22 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
10/22 – Placed favourites
8/22 – Ran in the previous season’s Grand National
5/22– Winning favourites
4/22 – Won last time out
3/22– Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/22 – Irish-trained winners
3/22– Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/22 - Trained by David Pipe (2 of the last 8)
1/22 – Went onto win the Grand National later in their career
0/22 – Went onto win the Grand National that same season
The average winning SP in the last 22 years is 12/1
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies has won the race 6 times since 1993
Chambard (18/1) won the race in 2023
Ashdown Lad (5/1) won the race in 2022

3:15 – New William Hill Racing Bet Builder Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m 4f ITV4

11/13 - Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 - Ran in the last 6 weeks
10/13 - Aged 7 or younger
10/13 - Aged between 5-6 years-old
9/13 - Carried 10-10 or more in weight
9/13 - Won between 1-2 times before
9/13 - Placed in the top 4 last time out
9/13 - Won over at least 2m4f before
7/13 - Had run at Aintree before
4/13 - Ran at Aintree (2) or Kempton (2) last time out
5/13 - Winning favourites
4/13 - Won last time out
2/13 – Trained by Olly Murphy (2 of the last 5)
2/13 - Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/13 - Trained by Dan Skelton
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1

 

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2025 Tingle Creek Chase Trends

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Run over 2m, the Tingle Creek Chase will be staged this year at Sandown Park racecourse on 6th December and is always seen as a good guide to the Queen Mother Champion Chase run at the Cheltenham Festival later in the season.

With Master Minded (2008), Moscow Flyer (2004), Sprinter Sacre (2012), Sire de Grugy (2013), Dodging Bullets (2014) and Altior (2018) the last horses to do the Tingle Creek/Champion Chase double in the same season.

Paul Nicholls has won the Tingle Creek a massive 12 times, while the Nicky Henderson-trained Jonbon has won the last two renewals.

Here at Geegeez, we take a look back at recent winners and gives you the key Tingle Creek trends to look out for ahead of the 2025 renewal - run on Saturday 6th December.

Recent Tingle Creek Winners

2024 - JONBON (8/13 fav)
2023 - JONBON (30/100 fav)
2022 – EDWARDSTONE (5/1)
2021 – GREANETEEN (12/1)
2020 - POLITOLOGUE (11/8 fav)
2019 – DEFI DU SEUIL (2/1 fav)
2018 – ALTIOR (8/13 fav)
2017 – POLITOLOGUE (7/2)
2016 – UN DE SCEAUX (5/4 fav)
2015 – SIRE DE GRUGY (10/3)
2014 – DODGING BULLETS (9/1)
2013 – SIRE DE GRUGY (7/4 jfav)
2012 – SPRINTER SACRE (4/11 fav)
2011 – SIZING EUROPE (11/8 fav)
2010 – MASTER MINDED (10/11 fav)
2009 – TWIST MAGIC (9/4)
2008 – MASTER MINDED (4/7 fav)
2007 – TWIST MAGIC (5/1)
2006 – KAUTO STAR (4/9 fav)
2005 – KAUTO STAR (5/2 jfav)
2004 – MOSCOW FLYER (2/1)
2003 – MOSCOW FLYER (6/4 fav)
2002 – CENKOS (6/1)

Tingle Creek Chase Trends

22/23 – Aged 9 or younger
21/23 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
20/23 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
20/23 – Had won a Grade One chase before
19/23 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
18/23 – Aged between 5-8 years-old
17/23 – Placed favourites
17/23 – French bred
17/23 – Officially rated 165 or higher
16/23 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
15/23 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
15/23 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
15/23 – Had won a chase race at Sandown before
15/23 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
14/23 – Won last time out
11/23 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (12 wins in total)
7/23 - Won by a past winner
6/23 – Won the Queen Mother Champion Chase (Altior, Dodging Bullets, Sire de Grugy, Sprinter Sacre – Master Minded & Moscow Flyer) at the Cheltenham Festival later that season
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 5/2
Trainer Nicky Henderson has won the race four times

Note: The 2010 renewal was staged at Cheltenham

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2025 Becher Chase Trends

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The Becher Chase is run at Aintree racecourse over the historic Grand National-style fences and, therefore, provides punters with some early-season clues ahead of the world’s most famous steeplechase.

Run over the 3m2f the race has been won six times by trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies, while Silver Birch and Amberleigh House are recent winners of the Becher Chase then went on later in their careers to land the Grand National too.

In 2022, the Dan Skelton-trained Ashtown Lad won the race, while in 2023 Chambard won at 18/1 under jockey Lucy Turner as she became the first female winning rider in the race.

The 2024 running was unfortunately called off.

Here at GeeGeez we look back at recent winners and gives you the key trends to look out for ahead of the 2025 renewal - on Saturday 6th December.

Recent Becher Chase Winners

2023 - CHAMBARD (18/1)
2022 – ASHTOWN LAD (5/1)
2021 – SNOW LEOPARDESS (4/1 fav)
2020 - VIEUX LION ROUGE (12/1)
2019 – WALK IN THE MILL (8/1)
2018 – WALK IN THE MILL (10/1)
2017 – BLAKLION (7/4 fav)
2016 – VIEUX LION ROUGE (8/1 fav)
2015 – HIGHLAND LODGE (20/1)
2014 – OSCAR TIME (25/1)
2013 – CHANCE DU ROY (14/1)
2012 – HELLO BUD (14/1)
2011 – WEST END ROCKER (10/1)
2010 – HELLO BUD (15/2 fav)
2009 – VIC VENTURI (7/1)
2008 – BLACK APALACHI (15/2)
2007 – MR POINTMENT (15/2)
2006 – EUROTREK (25/1)
2005 – GARVIVONNIAN (33/1)
2004 – SILVER BIRCH (4/1 fav)
2003 – CLAN ROYAL (11/2)
2002 – ARDENT SCOUT (14/1)

Becher Chase Betting Trends

20/22 - Aged 8+
18/22 – Had won between 2-5 times over fences before
18/22 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
18/22 – Had no more than 1 start that season
17/22 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
17/22 – Carried 10-12 or less
16/22 – Aged 9 or older
14/22 – Had run over these Grand National-style fences before
13/22 – Officially rated between 123-138
12/22 – Irish-bred winners
11/22 – Went onto finish unplaced in that season’s Grand National
12/22 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
10/22 – Placed favourites
8/22 – Ran in the previous season’s Grand National
5/22– Winning favourites
4/22 – Won last time out
3/22– Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/22 – Irish-trained winners
3/22– Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/22 - Trained by David Pipe (2 of the last 8)
1/22 – Went onto win the Grand National later in their career
0/22 – Went onto win the Grand National that same season
The average winning SP in the last 22 years is 12/1
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies has won the race 6 times since 1993
Chambard (18/1) won the race in 2023
Ashdown Lad (5/1) won the race in 2022

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