Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 10th July 2021

Plenty going on again this Saturday with a monster 11 LIVE ITV races to take in.

We’ve the final day of the Newmarket July Meeting (covered separately), with the Group One Darley July Stakes, plus the Group Two Superlative Stakes and the competitive Bunbury Cup Handicap.

Then at Ascot, we’ve two more LIVE races to enjoy from the Berkshire track that include the Group Two Summer Mile, while the ITV cameras are also at York to take in four races that include the competitive John Smith’s Cup Handicap.

As always, we’ve got all the races covered with key trends and stats – use these to find the best past profile of winning horses.

 

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends

 

3.00 – Betfred Summer Mile Stakes (Group 2) Cl2 (4yo+) 1m ITV

13/13 Aged 4, 5 or 6 years-old
11/13 – Had won over at least a mile before
11/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/13 – Had raced at Ascot before (2 won)
10/13 – Placed favourites
9/13 – Aged either 4 or 6 years-old
8/13 – Previous Group race winner
8/13 – Winning favourites
7/13 – Had won at least 4 times before
5/13 – Aged 4 years-old
5/13 – Won last time out
5/13 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/13 – Had won a Group 1 before
10 of the last 11 winners were draw in stalls 5 or lower
Trainer William Haggas has won 2 of the last 5 runnings
Trainer Andrew Balding has won 2 of the last 3 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2

 

3.35 – Betfred Heritage Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 5f ITV

Just 7 previous running
7/7 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
6/7 – Didn’t win last time out
6/7 – Had won between 2-6 times
6/7 – Had won over 5f before
6/7 – Returned between 7/1 and 14/1
6/7 – Carried 8-10 or more
6/7 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
4/7 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
4/7 – Came from a double-figure stall
3/7 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/7 – Ridden by Adam Kirby
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 8/1

 

York Horse Racing Trends

 

1.45 - John Smith’s Racing Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-100) 1m ITV

 

9/9 - Aged between 3-6 years-old
9/9 - Ran in the last 3 weeks
8/9 - Won over at least 1m before
8/9 - Won between 2-4 times before
7/9 - Carried 9st 1lb or more in weight
7/9 - Finished 4th or better last time out
7/9 - Aged 4 or 5 years-old
7/9 - Drawn in stall 7 or lower
6/9 - Irish bred
6/9 - Placed favourites
6/9 - Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
4/9 - Had run at the track before
3/9 - Trained by David O’Meara
2/9 - Winning favourites

Note: No race in 2020

 

 

2.20 - John Smith's Silver Cup Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m6f ITV

 

15/15 – Had between 1 and 3 previous runs that season
14/15 – Won from stall 10 or lower
13/15 – Aged 5 or younger
12/15 – Didn’t win their previous race
10/15 – Placed favourites
8/15 – Aged 4 years-old
7/15 – Had run at York before
6/15 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/15 – Horses from stall 2 that finished second
3/15 – Winning favourites

 

4.05 - John Smith's Cup Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (3yo+) 1m2½f ITV

 

18/19 – Returned 20/1 or shorter in the betting
17/19 – Aged 5 or younger
17/19 – Had won over 1m1f or further before
14/19 – Had between 3-5 previous runs already that season
13/19 – Came from stall 9 or higher
13/19 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
12/19 – Carried 9-3 or less
11/19 – Top 4 finish in their previous race
11/19 – Aged 4 years-old
10/19 – Officially rated between 99-105
9/19 – Had run at York before
6/19 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
3/19 – Won by trainer Richard Fahey
3/19 – Trained by William Haggas
2/19 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni (2 of last 8)
2/19 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
Since 1960 just one winner older than 6
9 of the last 10 winners aged 4 or 5
The average winning SP in the last 19 years is 11.5/1

 

4.40 - John Smith's City Walls Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 5f ITV

10/10 – Won over 5f before
9/10 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
9/10 – Rated between 101 and 111
8/9 – Placed favourites
7/10 – Unplaced last time out
7/10 – Had only won at Handicap class before
7/10 – Won at York before
6/10 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
6/10 – Won by a neck or less
3/10 – Ran at Ascot last time out
Moss Gill won the race in 2020

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