Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 27th March 2021

Something for everyone this Saturday as new turf season gets going at Doncaster on Saturday, with the ultra-competitive Lincoln Handicap as the feature, while there is also decent all-weather racing at Kempton with that include the Listed Magnolia Stakes, plus jumping fans will get their fix at Newbury.

The ITV cameras are showing eight races across the three venues and, as always, we’ve got it all covered with key trends and stats.

 

KEMPTON Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1.45 –Ladbrokes Magnolia Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f ITV

13/13 – Aged 6 or younger
12/13 – Had won over 1m2f before
11/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/13 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/13 – Drawn in stalls 1-4 (inc)
8/13 – Unplaced last time out
8/13 – Last ran 5 months or more ago
7/13 – Winning favourites
6/13 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
6/13 – Had won at Kempton before
5/13 – Unplaced favourites
4/13 – Irish bred
3/13 – Trained by William Haggas
3/13 – Trained by John Gosden


2.15 –
Ladbrokes Rosebery Handicap (London Middle Distance Series Qualifier) Cl2 1m3f ITV

16/16 – Had won over at least 1m1f before
13/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/16 – Had won between 2-4 times before
11/16 – Rated between 89 and 99
11/16 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
11/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/16 – Carried 8-13 or more in weight
9/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/16 – Unplaced favourites
9/16 – Aged 4 years-old
7/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Ran at Lingfield last time out
2/16 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/16 – Winning favourites

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DONCASTER Horse Racing Trends

2.00 – Unibet Doncaster Mile Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m ITV

Just 7 previous running
7/7 – Last ran 4+ months ago
7/7 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
6/7 – Rated 106+
6/7 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
6/7 – Had won over at least 1m before
6/7 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
5/7 – Winners from stalls 2 or 4
4/7 – Had won 6+ times before
4/7 – Winning favourites
4/7 – Ran at Ascot last time out
3/7 – Trained by Roger Varian (3 of last 4)
2/7 – Won last time out

2.35 – Unibet Spring Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV

15/18 – Carried 8-13 or more
15/18 – Aged 4 years-old
15/18 – Finished fourth or worse last time out
13/18 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
12/18 – Won over a mile before
10/18 – Won from a single-figure draw
3/18 – Winners from stalls 3-7 (inclusive)
2/18 – Winning favourites
2/18 – Won last time out
1/18 – Won a race at Doncaster before
Richard Fahey has trained the winner in 2010 & 2014
Just 1 winner older than 6 in the last 18 years

 

3.10 – Unibet Lincoln (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV

17/17 – Aged 6 or younger
16/17 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
15/17 – Had won over at least 1m before
14/17 – Had won between 2-4 times before
13/17 – Drawn in stall 9 or higher
12/17 – Having their first run of the flat season
11/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
10/17 – Unplaced favourites
10/17 – Returned a double figure price in the betting
10/17 – Aged 4 years-old
9/17 – Officially rated between 95-100
9/17 – Placed first or second last time out
8/17 – Had raced at Doncaster before
7/17 – Raced at either Newmarket or Lingfield last time out
7/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/17 – Won last time out
5/17 – Placed horses from stall 12 (1 winner)
4/17  - Placed horses from stall 16 (1 winner)
4/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Trained by William Haggas
2/17 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/17 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
2/17 – Trained by John Quinn
2/17 – Ridden by James Doyle (last 2)
9 of the last 10 winners carried between 9-0 and 9-4 in weight
Just 1 winner has carried 9-10 in the last 34 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 17 runnings is 13/1
Note: The 2006 renewal was run at Redcar and the 2007 running was staged at Newcastle

 

3.45 - Unibet Cammidge Trophy (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV

15/16 – Aged 7 or younger
14/16 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
14/16 – Had won no more than 5 times before
14/16 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
14/16 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/16 – Raced at Doncaster, Ascot, Lingfield or Windsor last time out
11/16 – Had won over 6f before
11/16 – Last ran 4 months or longer ago
10/16 – Rated 102+
9/16 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/16 – Had raced at Doncaster before
8/16 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
7/16 – Unplaced favourites
3/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Winning favourites (or joint)
3/16 – Had won at Doncaster before
No winners from stalls 1 or 2 in the last 11 runnings
7 of the last 11 winners came between stalls 9-16 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1

 

NEWBURY Horse Racing Trends

2.50 –BetVictor Novices’ Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m4f ITV

No previous runnings
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 28% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 20% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies has a 18% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Gary Moore is only 3-from-76 (4%) with his hurdlers at the track

 

3.25 - EBF & TBA Mares´ "National Hunt" Novices´ Hurdle Finale Limited Handicap (Listed Race) Cl1 2m5f ITV

15/16 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
15/16 – Won between 1-2 times before (hurdles)
12/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/16 –  Ran in the last 4 weeks
9/16 – Aged 6 years-old
8/16 – Won last time out
7/16 – Unplaced favourites
5/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/16 – Ran at Huntingdon last time out
2/16 – Trained by Oliver Sherwood
2/16 – Trained by Charlie Longsdon
12 of the last 14 winners carried 11-3 or less in weight
Annie Mc won the race in 2019

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