The Northumberland Plate takes centre stage at Newcastle racecourse, while the ITV cameras also head to York - plus it’s Irish Derby weekend over at the Curragh, with the big race on Sunday (4:05pm) - as always, Andy Newton’s got all the TV races covered from a trends angle.
York Horse Racing Trends (ITV and RacingTV)
1:55 – Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Mile Handicap Cl3 (3yo+ 0-90) 1m ITV
No previous runnings
Trainer William Haggas have a 19% SR with their 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer John & Thady Gosden have a 21% SR with their 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Ed Walker has a 19% SR with their 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Charlie Johnston is just 1-25 (4%) with their 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Tim Easterby is just 14-309 (5%) with their 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Fahey is just 3-113 with their 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer David O’Meara is just 1-51 with their 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Ed Walker is just 1-28 with their 3 year-olds at the track
2:25 – Plantation Stud Criterion Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 7f ITV
21/23 – Won over 7f before
19/23 – Had won a Listed (or better) class race before
19/23 – Had at least 1 run already that season
14/23 – Aged 5 or younger
12/23 – Finished unplaced last time out
12/23 – Priced 6/1 or bigger in the betting
11/23 – Came from stall 3 or lower
11/23 – Unplaced favourites
8/23 – Winning favourites
5/23 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/23 – Trained by Richard Hannon (3 of last 14 runnings)
Trainer John Gosden has won the race 5 times
11 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
Audience won the race in 2023
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2
Jockey James Doyle has won 2 of the last 8 runnings
Trainer Charlie Appleby has won 2 of the last 4 runnings
Only 2 winning 3 year-olds since 2004 and 3 since 1996
Note: Was run at Newmarket in 2024
3:00 – Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Dash Handicap (Class 2) (3yo+ 0-105) 5f ITV
No previous runnings
Trainer Tim Easterby is just 14-309 (5%) with their 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Michael Appleby is just 1-37 (3%) with their 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer John & Sean Quinn have a 18% overall SR at the track
Newcastle Horse Racing Trends (Sky/ITV)
1:40 – Jenningsbet 200 Shops Nationwide Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 6f ITV
Just 8 previous runnings
8/8 - Aged between 3-6 years-old
8/8 - Had won over 6f before
8/8 - Won between 2-5 times
7/8 - Carried 9-2 or more in weight
7/8 - Returned between 15/2 or shorter
6/8 - Drawn in stalls 9 or higher
6/8 - Placed favourites
6/8- Unplaced last time out
5/8 - Rated between 95 and 99 (inc)
5/8 - Had run at the track before
2/8 - Came from stalls10
2/8 - Winning favourites
5 of the last 6 winners came from stalls 9-11
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 15/2
2:10 – Jenningsbet Chipchase Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f ITV
22/23 – Had won over 6f before
21/23 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
18/23 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
16/23 – Unplaced last time out
15/23 – Has raced within the last 4 weeks
15/23 – Yet to win a Group race
15/23 – Placed favourites
14/23 – Had won at least 4 times before
14/23 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/23 – Aged 5 or older
8/23 - Ran at Ascot last time out
8/23 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
7/23 – Had run at Newcastle before
4/23 – Won last time out
3/23 – Trained by William Haggas (last 3)
2/23 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/23 – Ridden by Tom Marquand (last 2)
14 of the last 22 winners came between stalls 1-5
4 of the last 7 winners came from stall 2
Just 2 winners from stall 1 in the last 21 runnings (and only 4 horses placed)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1
2:40 - Jenningsbet Festival Northumberland Vase Handicap (Consolation race for the Plate) Cl2 (3yo+) 2m 1/2f ITV
9 previous runnings
9/9 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
9/9 – Carried 9-3 or more in weight
9/9 – Ran in the last 2 months
9/9 - Won with between 9-3 and 9-10 in weight
8/9 - Won over at least 1m6f in the past
7/9 – Aged 4 (4) or 6 (3) years-old
6/9 - Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
4/9 – Winners came from stalls 11-19 (inc)
4/9 - Won over 2m (flat) in the past
4/9 - Winning favourites
4/9 – Won last time out
2/9 – Had run at Newcastle (flat) before
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 9/1
3:15 – Jenningsbet Northumberland Plate (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m19y ITV
22/23 - Had won over at least 1m4f before on the flat
22/23 – Finished fifth or better last time out
19/23 – Came from stall 14 or lower
19/23 – Finished in the top three in their previous race
18/23 – Aged 6 or younger
17/23 – Had won over at least 1m6f before on the flat
13/23 – Carried 8-12 or less
13/23 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
10/23 – Had at least 2 turf flat runs already that season
8/23 – Won by a National Hunt yard
7/23 – Won their previous race
6/23 – Winning favourites
5/23 – Had won on the flat at Newcastle before
3/23 – Ran at Haydock last time out (inc 3 of the last 16 winners)
2/23 – Trained by Donald McCain (2 of the last 15)
2/23 – Trained by Alan King (2 of the last 6)
2/23 – Trained by Roger Charlton (2 of last 10)
1/23 – Won by a previous winner of the race
Note: From 2016 the Northumberland Plate was staged on the All Weather track at Newcastle (moved from the turf)
Other Northumberland Plate Facts
Since the race was run on the AW (2016) 7/9 - from stalls 10-17
12 of the last 14 winner from stalls 14 or lower
Just 1 horse older than 8 has won the race since 1985 (2021, Nicholas T (9))
Six of the last 19 winners ran at either Ascot or Haydock last time out
6 of the last 10 winners has carried between 9st 1lbs and 9st 9lbs.
11 winning favourites (1 joint) since 1985, including 5 of the last 13
Paul Cole trained the winner in 1997, 1998 & 2001
3:45 – Pertemps Network Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 7f ITV
8/8 – Aged between 3-7 years-old
8/8 – Didn’t win last time out
7/8 – Irish bred winners
7/8 – Won over 7f before
7/8 – Won between 1-3 times
7/8 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
6/8 – Carried 9-4 or more
5/8 – Rated 91 (3) or 97 (2)
5/8 – Had run at Newcastle before
5/8 – Aged 4 years-old
4/8 – Ran at Goodwood (2) or Thirsk (2) last time out
4/8 – From stalls 1 (2) or 9 (2)
2/8 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 5/1
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