Saturday TV Trends: 6th June 2020

The LIVE ITV Racing action comes thick and fast this weekend as we've several more rescheduled races that were due to be run last month.

Newmarket and Newcastle are the two venues showing the LIVE action, with top races that include the Qipco 2,000 Guineas, plus we've also the Group Three Palace House Stakes, while the Sagaro Stakes is the main event up at Newcastle.

As always, we've got all the big race key trends and stats to help you find the best profiles based on recent results.

Saturday, June 6, ITV

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends

1.50 Palace House Stakes (Group 3) 5f ITV

16/17 – Had won over 5f before
15/17 – Won 3 or more times before
14/17 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
14/17 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
14/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
13/17 – Had run at Newmarket before
13/17 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
12/17 – Aged 5 or younger
11/17 – Placed favourites
11/17 – Rated between 108 and 114
11/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/17 – Won last time out
6/17 – Winning favourites
5/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/17 – Trained by Bryan Smart
Mabs Cross has won the race in 2018 and 2019
Just one placed horse from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings
7 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 2-7 (inc)

2.25 Dahlia Fillies’ Stakes (Group 2) 1m2f ITV

16/16 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
15/16 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
15/16 – Had won over 1m (or further) before
14/16 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
12/16 – Aged 4 years-old
9/16 – Had run at the course before
9/16 – Won this on first run of the season
7/16 – Ran at either Kempton (4) or Newmarket (3) last time out
7/16 – Won last time out
6/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
6/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
6/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Ran at Kempton last time out
3/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/16 – Ridden by William Buick
2/16 – French-trained winners (2 of the last 6)
10 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 1-4 (inc)

3.00 Newmarket Stakes (Listed) 1m2f ITV

8/10 – Winners came from stalls 1 (3) or 2 (5)
8/10 – Won between 1 and 2 times
8/10 -  Favourites placed in the top three
8/10 – Won over at least 1m before
7/10 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Won last time out
7/10 – Had raced in the last 3 weeks
7/10 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
5/10 – Winning favourites
5/10 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/10 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley) before
2/10 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/10 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
2/10 – Ridden by William Buick

3.35 Qipco 2,000 Guineas Stakes (Group 1) 1m ITV

18/18 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
16/18 – Had won over at least 7f before
16/18 – Had won a Group race before
16/18 – Had won between 2-5 times before
15/18 – Drawn in stall 12 or lower
14/18 – Won last time out
13/18 – Winning distance – less than 2 lengths
13/18 – Having their first run of the season
12/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/18 – Placed favourites
11/18 – Had won just 2 or 3 times in their career before
11/18 – Won by an Irish-based yard
10/18 – Irish bred
9/18 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (10 wins in total)
7/18 – Drawn in stalls 1 or 3
7/18 – Had won over a mile before
6/18 – Winning favourites
5/18 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley) before
4/18 – Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (2 winners)
4/18 – Won the Dewhurst Stakes the previous season
3/18 – Ran at the Curragh last time out
6 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 18 years is 10/1

 

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Other 2,000 Guineas Facts

- Aidan O’Brien has won the race in 1998, 2002, 2005, 2006, 2008, 2012, 2015, 2017, 2018 & 2019
- Frankie Dettori rode the winner in 1996, 1999

 

Newcastle Horse Racing Trends

 

2.05 Heed Your Hunch At Betway Handicap 7f ITV

No previous runnings
Trainer Michael Wigham has a 25% record with his 4+ year-olds or older at the track
Trainer Tom Dascombe has a 25% record with his 4+ year-olds or older at the track
Trainer John Gosden has a 22% record with his 4+ year-olds or older at the track
Trainer Karl Burke is only 2 from 43 (5%) with his 4+ year-olds or older at the track
Jockey Tom Eaves is only 10 from 206 (5%) when riding 4 year-olds or older at the track

2.40 Sagaro Stakes (Group 3) 2m 1/2f ITV

15/17 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Had won at least 3 times before
13/17 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/17 – Aged 4, 5 or 6 years-old
11/17 – Had won a Group race before
11/17 – Had won over at least 2m (flat) before
11/17 – Placed favourites
11/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/17 – Rated 108 or higher
8/17 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
7/17 – Winning distance – ½ or less
4/17 – Won last time out
4/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Raced at Nottingham last time out
3/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/17 – Went onto win the Ascot Gold Cup (2 of last 8)

Note: Normally staged at Ascot

 

3.15 Betway Heed Your Hunch Handicap 1m ITV

No previous runnings
Trainer John Gosden has a 33% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Sir Mark Prescott has a 24% with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Hugo Palmer has a 23% record with his 3 year-olds at the track

 

 

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