Saturday TV Trends

Saturday TV Trends Sat TV Trends: 5th Sept 2020

This Saturday the ITV cameras head to Haydock, Kempton and Ascot to take in races across the three venues. The Group One Sprint Cup is the clear highlight of the weekend from Haydock - Did you know that 15 of the last 18 Sprint Cup winners were aged 5 or younger, while 13 of the last 18 came from stalls 6 or higher?

Use these key trends and stats to whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Saturday 5th September 2020

 

HAYDOCK Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

 

1.45 – Betfair Superior Mile (Group 3) Cl1 1m ITV

14/16 – Won over 1m or further before
14/16 – Won 3 or more times before
13/16 – Winning distance 1 length or more
13/16 – Had won a Listed or better race before
12/16 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Had 3 or more runs that season
9/16 – Placed favourites
9/16 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
7/16 – Ran at either York or Ascot last time out
6/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Had won at Haydock before
3/16 – Trained by Roger Charlton
3/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/16 – Trained by Brian Ellison
6 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 1 or 4
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/2

 

2.15 – Best Odds On The Betfair Exchange Handicap Cl2 1m6f ITV

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10/11 – Came from stalls 3-10 (inc)
10/11 – Had run in the last 4 weeks
9/11 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
9/11 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
8/11 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
8/11 – Rated between 81-89 (inc)
6/11 – Came from stalls 6-10 (inc)
6/11 – Irish Bred
6/11 – Placed favourites
5/11 – Won last time out
5/11 – Ran at either York (2) or Newbury (2) last time out
4/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Trained by Andrew Balding
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1

 

 

2.50 – Betfair Exchange Old Borough Cup Handicap Cl2 1m6f ITV

16/17 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
16/17 – Had won at least twice before
15/17 – Had run 4 or more times that season
15/17 – Aged 3, 4 or 5 years-old
14/17 – Finished 4th or better last time out
13/17 – Rated 90 to 101
12/17 – Drawn in stall 7 or higher
10/17 – Winning distance ¾ lengths or less
9/17 – Had run over 1m6f before
8/17 – Carried 9-0 or more
8/17 – Ran at Haydock before
6/17 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
6/17 – Ran at York last time out
4/17 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/17 – Ridden by Joe Fanning
2/17 – Trained by Iain Jardine (2 of last 5 winners)
2/17 – Trained by Ian Williams (last 2 winners)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1
Reshoun (6/1) won this race in 2018

 

3.25 – Betfair Sprint Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 6f ITV

16/18 – Unplaced horses from stall 1
15/18 - Aged 5 or younger
15/18 – Rated 111 or higher
15/18 – Had won over 6f before
14/18 – Had 4 or more career wins to their name
14/18 – Didn’t win their previous race
14/18 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
13/18 – Winning distance 1 length or less
13/18 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
12/18 –Had 4 or more runs that season
12/18 – Had won a Group race before
9/18 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
9/18 – Ran at Deauville (4) or York (5) last time out
9/18 – Had run at Haydock before (3 had won)
7/18 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
7/18 – Had won a Group 1 before
6/18 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 18 years is 9/1
Hello Youmzain (9/2 cfav) won this race in 2019
The Tin Man (7/1) won this race in 2018

 

4.00 - Betfair Each Way Edge Be Friendly Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 5f ITV

14/17 – Previous winners over 5f
13/17 – Had won 4 or more times before
12/17 – Rated 90+
12/17 – Aged 3, 4 or 5 years-old
11/17 – Had run at Haydock before (2 won)
11/17 – Unplaced last time out
11/17 – Drawn in stall 7 or lower
10/17 – Had 8 or more previous runs that season
10/17 – Winning distance - 1 length or less
8/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/17 – Placed favourites
8/17 – Carried 8-11 or less
3/17 – Won last time out
3/17 – Winning favourites
2/17 – Trained by Tim Easterby

 Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

3.05 - Lavazza Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m4f ITV

Only 10 previous runnings
8/10 – Rated between 84-95
8/10 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
7/10 – Had won just once before
5/10 – Horses placed from stall 10
5/10 – Returned a double-figure price
5/10 – Carried 9-0 or more
5/10 – Had run at Ascot before (3 won)
4/10 – Horses placed from stall 8
4/10 – Won last time out
3/10 – Ran at Ascot last time out
3/10 – Winning favourites (1 co, 1 joint)
2/10 – Won by trainer Saeed Bin Suroor
2/10 – Trained by Roger Varian
Note: the 2015 running was a dead-heat

 

3.40 – Tweenhills Follow The Foals Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 6f ITV

Only 5 previous runnings
5/5 – Aged 3 (2) or 5 (3) years-old
5/5 – Won over 6f before
5/5 – Rated between 80-91 (inc)
4/5 – Won 2+ times before
4/5 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
4/5 – Drawn in stall 9 or higher
4/5 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
4/5 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
3/5 – Unplaced favourites
2/5 – Winning favourites
2/5 – Won last time out
2/5 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/5 – Trained by Ed Walker (last 2)

4.15 – Porsche Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 7f ITV

Only 9 previous runnings
9/9 – Had won over 7f before
9/9 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
9/9 – Winning distance 1 ¼ lengths or less
8/9 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
8/9 – Didn’t win last time out
8/9 – Had run at the course before
7/9 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
6/9 – Irish bred
6/9 – Unplaced last time out
4/9 – Rated between 95-97
4/9 – Won by a claiming jockey (4 of the last 6)
4/9 – Had between 4-7 wins already
3/9 – Aged 5 years-old
2/9 – Winners from stall 12
0/9 – Winning favourites
Salute The Soldier (10/1) won the race in 2019
Ripp Orf (7/1) won the race in 2018 and was second in 2019

 

Kempton Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

2.00 – Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Sirenia Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (2yo) 6f ITV

10/10 – Winners between stalls 2-10 (inc)
10/10 – Won 1 or 2 times before
10/10 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
10/10 – Had 4+ runs before
10/10 – Had won over 5f or 6f before
8/10 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Foaled March or earlier
8/10 – Finished 5th or better last time out
7/10 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
6/10 – Ran at York last time out
3/10 – Winning favourites
3/10 – Won last time out
2/10 – Won by the Richard Hannon yard

 

2.35 – Unibet September Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f ITV

13/14 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
10/14 – Placed favourites
10/14 – Didn’t win last time out
10/14 – Had won between 4-7 times before
10/14 – Had won over 1m4f before
10/14 – Winning distance – 1 ¼l or more
9/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/14 – Horses from stall 2 that finished in the top 3
8/14 – Had run at Kempton before
5/14 – Ran at York (3) or Windsor (2) last time out
5/14 – Aged 4 years-old
5/14 – Winning favourites
4/14 – Godolphin-owned runners
3/14 – Winners from stall 2
3/14 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of the last 5)
3/14 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/14 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
1/14 – Winners from stall 1
Enable (8/15) won the race in 2018

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