Tag Archive for: ascot horse racing tips and trends

Saturday TV Trends: 15th Feb 2025

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Another jam-packed Saturday of racing for the ITV horse racing team as they head to Ascot, Haydock and Wincanton to take in eight races across the three venues.

So, to help narrow down the fields, and point you in the direction of a few winners, then we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle – we hope they help!

ASCOT HORSE RACING TRENDS (SkySportsRacing/ITV)

1.50 – Ebony Horse Club Reynoldstown Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Cl1 3m ITV

22/22 – Priced 17/2 or shorter in the betting
19/22 – Had run within the last 7 weeks
18/22 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
18/22 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences previously
17/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/22 – Won last time out
13/22 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
11/22 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Brown Advisory Novices’ Chase (2 winners)
12/22 – Irish bred
9/22 – Winners that went onto finish 5th or better in the Brown Advisory Novices’ Chase
9/22 – Placed favourites
7/22 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/22 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/22 – Trained by the Tizzard yard (3 of the last 6)
3/22 - Won by the Pipe Stable (2 of the last 10)
3/22 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/22 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/22 – Trained by Rebecca Curtis (2 of last 11)
Henry’s Choice (13/2) won the race in 2024

2.25 – Betfair Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (GBB Race) (4yo+) 2m3 1/2f ITV

17/19 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
15/19 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
13/19 – Carried 10-13 or less
12/19 - Finished in the top 4 last time out
12/19 – Winning distance – 2 or less
12/19 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
12/19 – Placed favourites
11/19 – Had won over 2m4f or further before
9/19 – Winners that went onto race at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
9/19 – Priced 8/1 or bigger
9/19 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
7/19 – Irish bred
7/19 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
6/19 – Had run at Ascot over hurdles before
5/19 – Winning favourite (1 joint)
3/19 – Raced at Sandown last time out
3/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of the last 6)
2/19 – Trained by Dr Richard Newland
Mothill (18/1) won the race in 2024

3.00 – Betfair Swinley Handicap Chase (A Limited Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 3m 80y ITV

14/14 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
13/14 – Aged 8 or older
12/14 – Finished 5th or better last time out
11/14 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
8/14 – Had raced at Ascot (fences) before
8/14 – Aged in double-figures
8/14 – Raced at either Ascot (3) or Cheltenham (5) last time out
7/14 – Won just 1 or 2 chase races previously
7/14 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
7/14 – Irish bred
4/14 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
4/14 – Winning distance head or shorter
2/14 – Won last time out
2/14 – Winning Favourites
2/14 – Trained by Venetia Williams
7 of the last 12 winners carried 11-0 or more
Threeunderthrufive won the race in 2024

3.37 - Betfair Ascot Chase Grade 1 Cl1 2m5f110y ITV

21/22 – Won over at least 2m4f (fences) previously
21/22– Priced at 15/2 or shorter in the market
20/22 – Winners from the top 3 in the market
18/22 – Ran within the last 7 weeks
18/22 – Officially rated 157 or higher
17/21 – Winners that didn’t win their next start
17/22 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
14/22 – Favourites placed
13/22 – Winning favourites
14/22 – Priced 2/1 or shorter in the market
11/22 – Won between 1-4 times over fences previously
10/22 – Won over fences at Ascot previously
8/22 – Won their last race
8/22 – Unplaced in their latest race
7/22 – Raced at Kempton (King George) last time out
6/20 – Winners that ran in that season’s Ryanair Chase (2 winners, Cue Card & Riverside Theatre) later that year
4/22– Trained by Paul Nicholls (3 of the last 9)
3/22 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/22 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/22 – Trained by Alan King
13 of the last 18 winners returned 2/1 or shorter in the betting
Note: The 2005 & 2006 - Run at Lingfield Park

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HAYDOCK HORSE RACING TRENDS (RacingTV/ITV)

2:05 Unibet Middle Distance Chase Series Veterans’ Handicap Chase Cl3 (10yo+ 0-135) 2m4f ITV

No previous runnings
Trainer Tom Lacey has a 50% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Trainer Dan Skelton has a 29% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Trainer Richard Hobson has a 27% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Trainer Neil Alexander is just 1-from-16 with their chasers at the track
Jockey Ryan Mania is just 1-18 riding over fences at the track

2.40 – WKD Rendlesham Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m6f177y ITV

20/22 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting
17/22  – Raced within the last 5 weeks
16/22 – Had won over at least 3m+ (hurdles) previously
14/22 – Rated 145 or higher
14/22 – Placed favourites
14/22 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or more
14/22 – Aged 8 or younger
14/22 – Had won at least 4 times over hurdles before
13/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/22 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
11/22 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
10/22– Had run at Haydock before
9/22 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Stayers’ Hurdle (no winners)
8/22 – French-bred
4/22 – Ran at Ascot last time out
4/22 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
2/22 – Winning favourites
1/22 – Winners that went onto win the Coral Cup at the Cheltenham Festival
Botox Has (5/2) won the race in 2024

Note: The 2003, 2004, 2005 - Run at Kempton Park

3.15 – Oddschecker Grand National Trial (Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m5f ITV

21/22 – UK-based trained winners
20/22 – Had won between 2-4 times over fences (rules) before
19/22– Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
18/22 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
17/22 – Rated 135 or higher
17/22 – Aged 10 or younger
16/22 – Finished in the top three last time out
15/22 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
15/22 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences (rules) before
14/22 – Aged 9 or younger
13/22 – Finished in the top two last time out
12/22 – Carried 11-0 or less
11/22 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
11/22 – Unplaced favourites
8/22 – Won last time out
8/20 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Grand National (all unplaced)
8/22 – Irish-bred winners
6/22 – Ran in the Welsh Grand National last time out
4/22 – Won with 11-12 in weight
3/22 – Finished 1st or 2nd in the Welsh Grand National last time out
3/22 – Trained by Lucinda Russell
3/22 – Trained by Venetia Williams
3/22 – Winning favourites
8 of the last 10 winners returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
16 of the last 17 winners were aged between 8-11 years-old

WINCANTON HORSE RACING TRENDS (RACINGTV/ITV)

1:36 - Kingwell Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 1m7f65y ITV

21/21 – Raced within the last 8 weeks
20/21 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
19/21 – Aged 7 or younger
19/21 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
19/21 – Favourites to finish in the top 3
19/21 – Had won at least 3 times over hurdles before
15/21 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
14/21 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Champion Hurdle (1 winner Katchit)
14/21 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
11/21 – Rated 155 or higher
10/21 – Winning favourites
9/21 – Won last time out
8/21– Raced at Sandown last time out
4/21 – Trained by Alan King
3/21 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
1/21 – Winners that went onto win the Stayers’ Hurdle (Inglis Drever)
Nemean Lion (6/5 fav) won the race in 2024
Goshen (10/3) won this race in 2021 and 2022
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2025 Ascot Chase Trends

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The Grade One Betfair Ascot Chase is staged at Ascot raceourse every February and run over a distance of 2m5 ½f with 17 fences to tackle.

First run in 1995 the race has been won by some well-known names – including One Man, Monet’s Garden, Voy Por Ustedes, Kauto Star and Riverside Theatre, who landed the prize in 2011 & 2012, while Cue Card took the 2013 running before going on win the Ryanair Chase at the Cheltenham Festival.

In more recent years, the likes of Silviniaco Conti (2016), Waiting Patiently (2018) and the top-rated chaser in the UK – Cyrname (2019) – have graced the hall-of-fame, while in 2023, the Nicky Henderson-trained Shishkin bounced back to form to win and in 2024 Pic D'Orhy won the race for the Paul Nicholls yard.

Here at GeeGeez we look back at recent winners and gives you the key stats to take into the 2025 renewal – this year staged on 15th February.

Recent Ascot Chase Winners

2024 - PIC D'ORHY (13/8)
2023 – SHISHKIN (2/1)
2022 – FAKIR D’OUDAIRIES (9/4 fav)
2021 - DASHEL DRASHER (4/1)
2020 – RIDERS ONTHE STORM (7/2)
2019 – CYRNAME (3/1)
2018 – WAITING PATIENTLY (2/1 fav)
2017 – CUE CARD (4/9 fav)
2016 – SILVINIACO CONTI (2/1 fav)
2015 – BALDER SUCCES (4/1)
2014 – CAPTAIN CHRIS (8/11 fav)
2013 – CUE CARD (15/8 fav)
2012 – RIVERSIDE THEATRE (13/8 fav)
2011 – RIVERSIDE THEATRE (11/10 fav)
2010 – MONET’S GARDEN (11/2)
2009 – VOY POR USTEDES (6/5 fav)
2008 – KAUTO STAR (4/11 fav)
2007 – MONET’S GARDEN (11/10 fav)
2006 – OUR VIC (2/1 fav)
2005 - IT TAKES TIME (14/1)
2004 – HAND INN HAND (15/2)
2003 – TIUTCHEV (15/8 fav)

================================================

The 2025 Weatherbys Cheltenham Festival Betting Guide

£4 Discount With Promo Code: TNCFBG25

Written by Paul Ferguson and Guest Authors, is the complete guide to The Festival, with every fact, stat and trend covered to help you make the most informed bets throughout the best week of the year.

Discount (£4) applies to both print and digital bundle.

Grab Your £4 Discount Here

 

==================================================

Ascot Chase Betting Trends

21/22 – Won over at least 2m4f (fences) previously
21/22– Priced at 15/2 or shorter in the market
20/22 – Winners from the top 3 in the market
18/22 – Ran within the last 7 weeks
18/22 – Officially rated 157 or higher
17/21 – Winners that didn’t win their next start
17/22 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
14/22 – Favourites placed
13/22 – Winning favourites
14/22 – Priced 2/1 or shorter in the market
11/22 – Won between 1-4 times over fences previously
10/22 – Won over fences at Ascot previously
8/22 – Won their last race
8/22 – Unplaced in their latest race
7/22 – Raced at Kempton (King George) last time out
6/20 – Winners that ran in that season’s Ryanair Chase (2 winners, Cue Card & Riverside Theatre) later that year
4/22– Trained by Paul Nicholls (3 of the last 9)
3/22 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/22 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/22 – Trained by Alan King
13 of the last 18 winners returned 2/1 or shorter in the betting
Note: The 2005 & 2006 - Run at Lingfield Park

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2025 Clarence House Betting Trends

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Staged at Ascot racecourse the Clarence House Chase is a Grade One contest run over a distance of 2m1f.

The Clarence House Chase was first run back in 1989 when the popular Desert Orchid won the prize as a 10 year-old. The race is also a good guide to that season’s Queen Mother Champion Chase with Sprinter Sacre landing both races in 2013, Sire de Grugy in 2014, while Dodging Bullets did the same double in 2015, plus most recently Altior in 2019.

The Willie Mullins-trained Un De Sceaux also made the race his own by landing three of the last 8 renewals.

The 2023 running was won by Editeur Du Gite and the Gary Moore yard - their second win in the contest since 2014 and was also staged at Cheltenham. While last year Elixir De Nutz won - beating the red hot favourite Jonbon.

Trainers Nicky Henderson (6) and Paul Nicholls (5) has also won the race 11 times between them and– as mentioned – the Willie Mullins camp have taken three of the last 9 runnings.

Here at GeeGeez, we are on hand with all the key stats ahead of the 2025 renewal – this year due to be run on Saturday 18th January.

Recent Clarence House Chase Winners

2024 – ELIXIR DE NUTZ (22/1)
2023 – EDITEUR DU GITE (14/1)
2022 – SHISHKIN (5/6 fav)
2021 - FIRST FLOW (14/1)
2020 – DEFI DU SEUIL (11/10 jfav)
2019 – ALTIOR (1/10 fav)
2018 – UN DE SCEAUX (4/9 fav)
2017 – UN DE SCEAUX (1/2 fav)
2016 – UN DE SCEAUX (1/2 fav)
2015 – DODGING BULLETS (7/2)
2014 – SIRE DE GRUGY (5/4 fav)
2013 – SPRINTER SACRE (1/5 fav)
2012 – SOMERSBY (9/2)
2011 – MASTER MINDED (4/7 fav)
2010 – TWIST MAGIC (11/8 fav)
2009 – MASTER MINDED (1/4 fav)
2008 – TAMARINBLEU (12/1)
2007 – No Race
2006 – TYSOU (10/1)
2005 – WELL CHIEF (5/1)
2004 – ISIO (4/1)
2003 – No Race

Clarence House Chase Trends

21/21 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
21/21 – Won at least 3 times (fences) previously
19/21 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
19/21 – Won a race over fences at 2m1f or further
18/21 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
18/21 – Favourites placed
17/21 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting market
15/21 – Won their last race
15/21 – Won by a French-bred horse
14/21 – Went onto run in that season’s Champion Chase (4 winners)
13/21 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
12/21 – Raced at Sandown or Wetherby last time out
12/21 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
11/21 – Favourites that won
8/21 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
5/21 – Had won the Tingle Creek Chase (Sandown) last time out
4/21 – Went onto win the Champion Chase that season (2009 - Master Minded, 2013 -Sprinter Sacre, 2014 - Sire de Grugy, 2015 - Dodging Bullets)
4/21 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable (won the race 6 times in all)
4/21 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable (won the race 5 times in all)
3/21 – Trained by Willie Mullins (3 of last 9)
2/21– Won by the Pipe stable
2/21 – Won by the Gary Moore stable
Since 1989 there have only been 4 winners aged in double-figures
Since 1989 (32 runnings) there have been 13 winners aged 8 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 21 runnings is 4/1
Note:
2006 – Renewal at Sandown
2005, 2013, 2017, 2023 & 2024 – Renewals at Cheltenham

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Saturday TV Trends: 21st Dec 2024

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It’s the last weekend before Christmas and it looks set to be another decent Saturday of jumping action with the ITV cameras heading to Haydock and Ascot for six LIVE races.

The Grade One Howden Long Walk Hurdle (2.25) is one of the weekend highlights - a contest that will has produced 6 winners of the Stayers' Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival in the last 22 years. Last year's winner Crambo will be looking to become the first back-to-back winner since Reve de Sivola.

While at Haydock, the Betfred Tommy Whittle Handicap Chase (2:05pm) is the main event - a race we've also got last year's winner - Famous Bridge back for more.

So, to help you narrow down the fields - here at GeeGeez - we've got all the big-race trends and key stats.

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (Sky Sports Racing/ITV)

1.50 – Howden Graduation Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m5f ITV4

10/10 – Aged 7 or younger
10/10 – Favourites placed in the top 3
9/10 – Irish/French bred winners
9/10 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
9/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Won between 1-2 times over fences
8/10 – Aged 6 or younger
7/10 - Priced 5/4 or shorter
5/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/10 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/10 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
2/10 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob

2.25 – Howden Long Walk Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 3m1f ITV4

22/22 - Aged 6 or older
21/22 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
21/22 – Winners that went onto compete in that season’s Stayers’ Hurdle (Cheltenham Festival) (6 won, 4 runners-up)
19/22– Placed in the top three in their last race
17/22 – Favourites placed
17/22 – Won by a horse aged 8 or younger
17/22 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles previously
16/22 – Won over at least 3m (hurdles) previously
13/22– Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
13/22– Raced at Newbury last time out
12/22– French-bred horse
10/22 – Won their last race
10/22 – Favourites that won
7/22 – Won by a past winner
3/22 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/22 – Trained by Emma Lavelle
0/22 – Irish trained winners
The last back-to-back winner was Unowhatimeanharry (2016)
Crambo (5/1) won the race in 2023

Note:
2022 running – Kempton
2009 and 2010 runnings - Newbury
2005 running - Chepstow
2004 running -Windsor

3.00 – Howden Silver Cup Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 3m ITV4

17/18 – Ran within the last 7 weeks
12/18 – Won over at least 3m (fences) previously
11/18 – Raced at Ascot previously
10/18 – Aged either 7 or 8 years-old
10/18 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
9/18 – Won by a French bred horse
9/18 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
7/18 – Favourites placed
7/18 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
6/18 – Won at least 5 times over fences before
6/18 – Aged 7 years-old
5/18 – Ran at either Cheltenham (3) or Ascot (2) last time out
3/18 – Favourites (1 joint)
2/18 – Trained by Henry Daly
2/18 – Trained by Anthony Honeyball (2 of the last 7)
2/18 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (2 of last 5 runnings)
8 of the last 10 winners carried 10-10 or more
7 of the last 10 winners carried 11-3 or more
Victtorino (4/1) won the race in 2023
Venetia Williams won the race in 2013 and 2023

Note: The 2004 renewal was staged at Windsor

3.35 – Ladbrokes Handicap Hurdle (Premier Handicap) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m ITV4

20/20 – Had won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
19/20 – Aged between 4-7 years-old
19/20 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
17/20 – Had raced within the last 2 months
14/20 – Carried 10-10 or more
11/20 – Officially rated between 127 and 136
11/20 – Unplaced favourites
10/20 – Priced 12/1 or bigger in the betting
8/20 – Won last time out
8/20 – Won by a horse aged 5 years-old
7/20 – Irish bred
7/20 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
5/20 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (2 of last 7)
3/20 – Trained by the Pipe stable
3/20 – Winning favourites
4 of the last 7 winners ran in the Greatwood Hurdle that season
Hughie Morrison has won 2 of the last 4

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

2.05 – Betfred Tommy Whittle Handicap Chase Cl2 3m 1 1/2f ITV4

16/16 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
14/16 – Failed to win their last race
13/16 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
12/16 – Won over at least 3m before (hurdles or fences)
11/16 – Had raced at Haydock previously (hurdles or fences)
10/16 – Won between 2-3 times over fences previously
10/16 – Favourites placed
5/16 – French bred
3/16 – Went onto run in that season’s Aintree Grand National (all unplaced)
3/16 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
2/16 – Trained by the Tizzard yard
9 of the last 15 winners carried 11-0 or more
The last winner aged in double figures was in 1994
The last 16 winners ALL aged 8 or younger
Famous Bridge (5/2 fav) won the race in 2023

2.40 – Betfred Hat-Trick Heaven Mares’ Novices’ Hurdle (Listed Race) (Reg as the Abram Hurdle) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m3f ITV4

10/10 – Aged 4 or 5
9/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
9/10 – Had never raced at Haydock
8/10 – Won between 0-1 times over hurdles
8/10 – Returned 6/1 or shorter
8/10 – Top 2 finish last time out
5/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Trained by Fergal O’Brien (2 of the last 7)

 

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Saturday TV Trends Sat TV Trends: 2nd Nov 2024

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Another cracking Saturday of LIVE ITV Racing and it’s jumping all the way!

At Wetherby, the Grade Two bet365 Charlie Hall Chase is their main event, while at Ascot the competitive Sodexo Live! Gold Cup Handicap Chase is always a competitive affair to unravel - but is a race the Gary Moore yard have won three times since 2016.

Did you know? 14 of the last 22 Charlie Hall Chase winners were aged 8 or older.

To help, here at Geegeez are on hand with all the key race trends for this Saturday’s LIVE ITV races (2nd November 2024) - use these stats to narrow down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

Note - there are also three Breeders' Cup races being shown in ITV Racing - you can see our Breeders' Cup section here for all your US racing needs.

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/SkyRacing)

 

1.30 - Ascot Underwriting Novices´ Limited Handicap Chase Cl3 2m3f ITV4

11/11 – Aged 7 or younger
9/11 – Aged 6 or 7
9/11 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Irish bred
9/11 – Yet to win over fences
7/11 – Carried 10-12 or more in weight
6/11 – Aged 6 year-old
5/11 – Had run at Ascot before
3/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Trained by Gary Moore (2 of the last 7)

2.05 – Byrne Group Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 2m1f ITV4

18/21 – Aged 8 years-old or younger
15/21 – Irish (6) or French (9) bred
15/21 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences before
14/21 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
12/21 – Having their first run of the new season
11/21 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
9/21 – Unplaced favourites
8/21 – Rated 130 or lower
6/21 – Won last time out
6/21 – Aged 8 years-old
5/21 – Ran at either Ascot (2) or Aintree (3) last time out
5/21 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/21 – Won carrying 11-12
4/21 – Winning favourites
3/21 – Trained by Venetia Williams
5 of the last 8 winners were aged 7
6 of the last 9 winners carried 11-1 or more
3 of the last 10 winners were ridden by a claimer
9 of the last 11 winners aged 7 or younger

3.15 – Lavazza Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl1 2m ITV4

20/20 – Had won over at 2m or 2m1f over hurdles before
18/20 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
16/20 – Never raced at Ascot before
16/20 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles
12/20 – Having their first run of the season
11/20 – Unplaced last time out
10/20 – Placed favourites
10/20 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
8/20 – Winning favourites (1 co, 2 joint)
7/20 – Ran at Huntingdon (3) or Aintree (4) last time out
6/20 – Won by a French bred horse
5/20 – Ridden by a conditional jockey
3/20 – Won by trainer Alan King, including two of last 7 renewals
2/20 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/20 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls
2/20 - Won by trainer Nicky Henderson
7 of the last 15 winners were aged 5 years-old
Trainer Philip Hobbs has won 2 of the last 8 runnings

3.45 – Sodexo Live! Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m ITV4

19/19 – Had won a chase race over at least 2m4f before
16/19 – Didn’t win last time out
13/19 – Had run at Ascot before (6 won)
13/19 – Carried 10-10 or more
12/19 – Having their first run of the season
12/19 – Unplaced in their last race
11/19 – Aged 8 or older
11/19 – Unplaced favourites
11/19 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
10/19 – Had won at least 3 times over fences before
9/19 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m before
8/19 – Officially rated 135 to 138 inc
7/19 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
4/19 – Winning favourites
3/19 – Won by the Pipe stable
3/19 – Trained by Gary Moore (3 of the last 8)
2/19 – Ran at Sandown last time out
12 of the last 14 winners were aged 9 or younger
Victtorino won the race in 2023
Two For Gold was 2nd in 2023
Our Power won the race in 2022

Wetherby Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1:15 – Bet Boost at bet365 Handicap Chase (Class 3) (4yo+ 0-125) 2m 3 1/2f ITV4

6 previous runnings
6/6 – Didn’t win last time out
6/6 – Carried 10-13 or more
6/6 – Favourites finished in top 3
5/6 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
5/6 – Aged between 5-8 years-old
4/6 – Won over 2m4f + before
4/6 – Favourites
3/6 – Had run at Wetherby before
3/6 – Returned 3/1 or shorter
3/6 – French bred
2/6 – Ran at Warwick last time out
2/6 – Ridden by Jonathan Burke
Geryville won the race in 2021

1.50 – bet365 Mares´ Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 2m110y ITV4

16/17 – Had won over at least 2m1f over hurdles before
14/17 – Had between 2-5 previous hurdles wins to their name
14/17 – Having their first run of the season
12/17 – Never raced at Wetherby before
12/17 – Placed favourites
11/17 – Finished unplaced last time out
10/17 – Had won a NH Flat race previously
9/17 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
7/17 – Winning favourites
4/17 – Ran at Punchestown last time out
2/17 – Trained by John Quinn
2/17 – Trained by Philip Kirby
2/17 – Trained by Dan Skelton (2 of the last 3)
Jockey Harry Skelton has ridden 2 of the last 3 winners
The last 10 winners returned 6/1 or shorter
9 of the last 10 winners returned 7/2 or shorter

2.22 – bet365 Hurdle (West Yorkshire Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m26y ITV4

22/22 – Had won over at least 2m3f over hurdles before
21/22 – Had won at least 3 times over hurdles before
20/22 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
17/22 – Won this on their seasonal reappearance
18/22 – Failed to win their last race
16/22 – Officially rated 148 or higher
16/22 – Aged 6,7 or 8 years-old
15/22 – Placed favourites
13/22 – Finished unplaced last time out
11/22 – Ran at either Aintree (5) or Cheltenham (6) last time out
8/22 – Had won at Wetherby before
5/22 – Winning favourites
3/22 – Trained by the Philip Hobbs yard
3/22 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/22 – Trained by Dan Skelton

2.58 – bet365 Charlie Hall Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m1f ITV4

20/22 – Rated 151 or higher
19/22 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
17/22 – Were having their first run of the season
16/22 – Had won over at least 3m over fences before
14/22 – Aged 8 or older
14/22 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
12/22 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
12/22 – Ran at Ayr (3), Aintree (7) or Cheltenham (2) last time out
11/22 – Placed favourites
9/22 - Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
8/22 – Had run at Wetherby before (4 won)
4/22 – Winning favourites
4/22 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies (6 wins in total)
3/22 - Trained by Paul Nicholls (5 wins in total)
2/22 – Ridden by Harry Cobden (2 of last 4)
2/22 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
2/22 – Trained by Evan Williams
The last 19 winners aged 9 or younger
Bravemansgame won the race in 2022
Nigel Twiston-Davies has won the race in 1992, 1994, 2005, 2007, 2017 and 2019
The average winning SP in the last 22 runnings is 13/2
The last winner aged 10+ was in 2004 (20 runs ago)

3:32 - Never Ordinary At bet365 Handicap Hurdle 2m 3 1/2f ITV4

10/10 – Returned 9/1 or shorter
9/10 – Carried 11st or more
8/10 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
8/10 - Having first run of the new season
8/10 – Placed favourites
7/10 – Won no more than once over hurdles
7/10 – GB or Irish bred
7/10 – Carried 11-5 or more
6/10 – Unplaced last time out
5/10 – Had won over 2m4f or further
4/10 – Winning favourites
3/10 – Won last time out
2/10 – Ridden by Brian Hughes
3 of the last 9 winners were ridden by a claiming jockey

 

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Sat TV Trends: 1st Oct 2022

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Here at Geegeez, we take you through the eight LIVE ITV4 races this Saturday at Ascot, Redcar and Newmarket from a trends angle.

At Redcar, we've got the Two-Year-Old Trophy as their feature contest, while at Newmarket the Group One Royal Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes takes centre stage - a race a French-trained horse has won 5 times in the last 18 years. Then at Ascot, we've four more races that include the Cumberland Lodge and John Guest Bengough Stakes, plus the ultra-competitive Challenge Cup Handicap.

Did you know? 17 of the last 19 Cumberland Lodge favourites have been placed?

Use these trends and stats to whittle down the final runners and find the best profiles of recent winner.

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/ATR)

1.51 – Oakman Group Rous Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f ITV

17/17 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
17/17 – Won over 5f before
16/17 – Returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Aged 5 or younger
12/17 – Winning distance – ½ length or shorter
13/17 – Rated 101 or higher
11/17 – Had won between 3-7 times before
9/17 – Unplaced last time out
8/17 – Yet to win at Listed or better class
9/17 – Raced at Newbury last time out
7/17 – Irish bred
3/17 – Trained by Bryan Smart
3/17 – Trained by Michael Dods (3 of last 4 runnings)
3/17 – Won last time out
2/17 – Winning favourites
8 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 8 or lower
Tis Marvellous won the race in 2021
13 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 11 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 8/1

2.25 – Peroni Nastro Azzurro Cumberland Lodge Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f ITV

18/19 - Finished fourth or better last time out
17/19 – Placed favourites
16/19 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
16/19 – Had won over 1m4f before
15/19 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
14/19 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
14/19 – Won at Listed or Group class before
14/19 – Had raced at the course before (7 won)
12/19 – Winning distance 1 ¾ lengths or more
12/19 – Had 5 or more runs that season
12/19 – Had won 4 or more times before
10/19 – Won last time out
10/19 – Favourites to win
6/19 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
2/19 – Trained by Richard Hannon (2 of last 7)
2/19 – Trained by Owen Burrows (2 of last 4)
1/19 – Filly or mare winners
12 of the last 13 winners came from draws 8 or lower
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor has won 2 of the last 8 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/1
Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newmarket

3.00 - John Guest Bengough Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f ITV

13/13 – Won over 6f previously
13/13 – Officially rated 100 or higher
11/13 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
10/13 – Winning distance – 3/4 length or less
10/13 – Won 4 or more times previously
8/13 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
7/13 – Raced 6 or more times that season
5/13 – Won their previous race
4/13 – Favourites to win
3/13 – Returned a double-figure price
2/13 – Raced at the Curragh last time out
2/13 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2 of the last 4 winners came from stalls 6
8 of the last 9 winners came between stalls 5-8 (inc)
Vadream (6/1) won the race last year
Horse from stall 7 has been placed in 6 of the last 10 runnings (3 wins)
Horses from stall 5 and 7 have won 6 of the last 10 runnings

3.36 – Peroni Nastro Azzurro Challenge Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV

18/19 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
16/19 – Won between 2 and 4 previous races
16/19 – Won over 7f previously
13/19 – Had raced within the last 30 days
14/19 – Raced at Ascot previously
12/19 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/19 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
9/19 – Raced 7 or more times that season
8/19 – Returned a double-figure price
8/19 – Carried 8-12 or less in weight
6/19 – Raced at Ayr last time out
6/19 – Favourites that won
2/19 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/19 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/19 – Won their previous race
0/19 – Filly or mare winners
9 of the last 11 winners carried 9-1 or more in weight
The last 11 winners were aged 6 or younger
7 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 8-13 (inc)
5 of the last 13 horses from stall 10 were placed in the top 4
4 of the last 13 horses from stall 11 were placed in the top 3
2 of the last 3 winners came from stall 17
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 15/2
Accidental Agent won the race in 2017

Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newmarket

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 

1.31 - British EBF Premier Fillies´ Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV

Just 6 previous runnings
6/6 – Favourites placed in the first three
5/6 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
5/6 – Didn’t win last time out
4/6 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
4/6 – Won just once before
3/6 – Had won over 1m2f before
2/6 – Winning favourites

2.06 – £150,000 Tattersalls October Auction Stakes Cl2 (2yo) 6f ITV

Just 7 previous runnings
7/7 – Carried between 8-4 and 8-11 in weight
7/7 – Foaled Feb or later
6/7 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
5/7 – Rated between 79-85
5/7 – Won from a double-figure draw
5/7 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
5/7 – Finished in the top 2 last time out
4/7 – Won just one before
4/7 – First 3 home came from double-figure draws
1/7 – Winning favourites


2.42 - Kingdom of Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m ITV

16/18 – Had won over at least 1m before
16/18 – Previous Group winners
13/18 – Won between 3-5 times before
13/18 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
12/18 – Rated between 113 and 119
12/18 – Previous Group One winners
9/18 – Aged 3 years-old
6/18 – Winning favourites (1 co)
6/18 – Raced at Deauville last time out
6/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – French-trained winners
5/18 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/18 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (2 of last 6)
2/18 – Won by a previous winner of the race
14 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 9 or lower
Horses from stall 1 have won 5 of the last 16 runnings
Horses from stalls 1 (4) or 7 (2) or 9 (2) have won 8 of the last 12


Redcar Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

3.21 – William Hill Two-Year-Old Trophy (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV

17/20 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
16/20 – Had 4 or more previous runs that season
14/20 – Had won 1 or 2 previous races
14/20 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/20 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
12/20 – Foaled in March or later
10/20 – Had won over 6f before
10/20 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
8/20 – Unplaced favourites
6/20 – Filly winners
6/20 – Winning favourites
5/20 – Won last time out
4/20 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/20 – Trained by Tim Easterby (4 wins in total)
2/20– Trained by Richard Fahey

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Sat TV Trends: 19th Dec 2020

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It’s the last weekend before Christmas and it looks set to be another decent Saturday of jumping action with the ITV cameras heading to Haydock and Ascot for six LIVE races.

So, to help you narrow down the fields we’ve got all the big-race trends and key stats.

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

1.50 – ‘For The Love Of Racing’ Handicap Chase Cl2 2m3f ITV4

Only 5 previous runnings
5/5 – Aged between 4-7 years-old
5/5 – Yet to run at the track
4/5 – Had won over 2m3f+
4/5 – Carried 10-10 or more
4/5 – Returned between 6/1 to 10/1
4/5 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
2/5 – Ran at Exeter last time out
0/5 – Winning favourites
Trainers Venetia Williams, Paul Nicholls, Ian Williams, Robert Walford and Harry Fry were past winners
Espoir De Guye won the race in 2019nly 5 previous runnings
Trainers Venetia Williams, Paul Nicholls, Ian Williams, Robert Walford and Harry Fry were past winners


2.25 – Long Walk Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 3m1f ITV4

18/18 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
17/18 – Winners that went onto compete in that season’s World Hurdle (6 won, 4 runners-up)
16/18 – Placed in the top three in their last race
15/18 – Favourites placed
15/18 – Won by a horse aged 8 or younger
13/18 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles previously
13/18 – Won over at least 3m (hurdles) previously
12/18 – French-bred horse
12/18 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
11/18 – Raced at Newbury last time out
10/18 – Won their last race
10/18 – Favourites that won
3/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/18 – Trained by Nick Williams
2/18 – Ridden by jockey Richard Johnson
2/18 – Ridden by jockey Tom Scudamore
The Worlds End won the race in 2019
Paisley Park won the race in 2018
Thistlecrack won this race in 2015
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 3/1

Note:
2009 and 2010 runnings - Newbury
2005 running - Chepstow
2004  running -Windsor


3.00 – Good Luck Hollie In SPOTY Silver Cup Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 3m ITV4

14/15 – Ran within the last 7 weeks
10/15 – Won over at least 3m (fences) previously
9/15 – Aged either 7 or 8 years-old
9/15 – Raced at Ascot previously
8/15 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
8/15 – Won by a French bred horse
8/15 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
8/15 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
7/15 – Favourites placed
6/15 – Won at least 5 times over fences before
6/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/15 – Ran at either Cheltenham (3) or Ascot (2) last time out
5/15 – Aged 7 years-old
3/15 – Favourites (1 joint)
2/15 – Trained by Henry Daly
2/15 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (2 of last 3 runnings)
Regal Encore won the race in 2016 and 2019

Note: The 2004 renewal was staged at Windsor

 

3.35 – Betfair Exchange Trophy Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 2m ITV4

17/17 – Aged between 4-7 years-old
17/17 – Had won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
16/17 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
14/17 – Had raced within the last 2 months
11/17 – Carried 10-10 or more
10/17 – Officially rated between 127 and 136
9/17 – Priced 12/1 or bigger in the betting
9/17 – Unplaced favourites
8/17 – Won last time out
7/17 – Won by a horse aged 5 years-old
7/17 – Irish bred
5/17 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
4/17 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/17 – Trained by the Pipe stable
3/17 – Winning favourites
Not So Sleepy won the race in 2019
Mohaayed won the race in 2018

 

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

2.05 – Betfair Exchange Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m2f191y ITV

13/13 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Aged 7 or younger
9/13 – Didn’t win last time out
9/13 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
9/13 – Placed favourites
9/13 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
8/13 – Had won 1-3 times over hurdles before
8/13 – Had raced at Haydock before
7/13 – Ran at either Newbury (2) or Haydock (5) last time out
6/13 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
5/13 – Finished 2nd or 3rd last time out
5/13 – Winning Favourites
4/13 – French bred
2/13 – Trained by Lucy Wadham
4 of the last 9 runnings were won by a claiming jockey

 

2.40 – Betfair Tommy Whittle Handicap Chase Cl2 3m ITV4

13/13 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
12/13 – Failed to win their last race
11/13 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
9/13 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
9/13 – Won over at least 3m before (hurdles or fences)
8/13 – Had raced at Haydock previously (hurdles or fences)
8/13 – Won between 2-3 times over fences previously
7/13 – Favourites placed
6/13 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or shorter
4/13 – French bred
3/13 – Ridden by jockey Tom O’Brien
3/13 – Went onto run in that season’s Aintree Grand National (all unplaced)
3/13 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
2/13 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
7 of the last 12 winners carried 11-0 or more
Lord Du Mesnil won the race in 2019

 

 

 

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