Tag Archive for: ascot racing trends

Sat TV Trends: 6th Aug 2022

More LIVE ITV action this Saturday as the cameras head to Ascot, Haydock and Newmarket to take in LIVE races across the three venues.

We’ve six competitive handicaps at Ascot for their Shergar Cup Day, while at Haydock the Group Three Lancaster Stakes is their feature. Then we’ve also one LIVE race at Newmarket’s July course – the Group Three Sweet Solera Stakes.

As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered with key trends and stats – use these to narrow down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ ITV)

2:10 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Dash (Handicap) Cl2 5f ITV

13/13 – Failed to win their last race
12/13 – Raced at Ascot previously
12/13 – Carried 9-3 or more weight
12/13 – Had 4 or more runs that season
12/13 – Priced 6/1 or shorter in the betting market
11/13 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/13 – Won at least 3 times in their career
9/13 – Favourites placed
8/13 – Had won over 5f previously
6/13 – Raced at Ascot last time out
6/13 – Favourites (1 joint)
5/13 – Winning distance – 1 or more lengths
3/13 – Trained by Robert Cowell (including 2 of the last 7 runnings)
3/13 – Won by the Andrew Balding yard
2/13 – Trained by Clive Cox (including 2 of the last 3)

2:45 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Stayers (Handicap) Cl2 2m ITV

15/17 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Carried 8-13 or more
14/17 – Rated between 86-94
14/17 – Had raced at the track before
13/17 – Had raced within the last 2 weeks
13/17 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/17 – Had won between 2-5 times before (flat)
12/17 – Favourites placed in the top 4
11/17 – Ran at either Ascot (5) or Goodwood (6) last time out
10/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/17 – Winning favourites
2/17 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/17 – Trained by Ian Williams
2/17 – Won last time out
No winner from stall 1 in the last 15 runnings
4 of the last 12 winners came from stall 9
Horses from stall 9 placed in the top three in 7 of the last 14 runnings

 

3:20 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Challenge (Handicap) Cl3 1m4f ITV

16/17 – Aged 6 or younger
15/17 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
15/17 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
14/17 – Won over 1m3f (or further) previously
14/17 – Won between 1-4 times previously
14/17 – Officially rated between 87-94
10/17 – Aged 4 years-old
10/17 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting market
10/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
8/17 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/17 – Priced 9/1 or bigger in the betting market
6/17 – Had run at Ascot previously
5/17 – Won last time out
2/17 – Won by the Paul Cole yard
2/17 – Favourites that won
Graphite (18/1) won the race in 2021
One winner from stall 1 in the last 15 runnings
3 of the last 15 winners came from stall 5
10 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 5-8 (inc)

3:55 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV

17/17 – Won over at least a mile before
16/17 – Failed to win last time out
16/17 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
16/17 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
16/17 – Rated between 92-100
16/17 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
15/17 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
15/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/17 – Won between 2-4 times before
12/17 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
10/17 – Had run at Ascot before
4/17 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
5/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Trained by Andrew Balding
Dashing Roger (5/1 cfav) won the race in 2021
3 of the last 15 winners came from stall 1
4 of the last 6 winners came from stall 12
13 or the last 16 winners returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting

 

4:30 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Classic (Handicap) (Bobis Race) Cl3 1m4f – ITV

12/12 – Raced 3 or more times that season
10/12 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
10/12 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/12 – Won over 1m2f or further previously
9/12 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
9/12 – Officially rated between 84-90
6/12 – Favourites placed
4/12 – Raced at Ascot last time out
4/12 – Trained by Mark Johnston
3/12 – Favourites that won
2/12 – Trained by Richard Hannon
8 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 5, 7 or 8

5:05 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Sprint (Handicap) (Bobis Race) Cl2 6f ITV

17/17 – Carried 8-12 or more in weight
15/17 – Ran within the last 4-5 weeks
15/17 – Won over 6f previously
14/17 – Carried 9-1 or more in weight
14/17 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting market
13/17 – Won between 2-3 times previously
11/17 – Officially rated between 86-95
11/17 – Came from the top three in the betting market
11/17 – Priced 6/1 or shorter in the betting market
11/17 – Favourites placed
7/17 – Had run at Ascot previously
4/17 – Won last time out
4/17 – Winning Favourites
3/17 – Won by the Roger Charlton yard
6 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 5-8 (inc)

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ ITV)

 

2:25 – Urmston Handicap (London Mile Series Qualifier) Cl3 (3yo+ 0-95) 1m ITV

11/11 - Carried 9-0 or more
11/11 - Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/11 - Aged 3 or 4 years old
10/11 - Won between 1-3 times before
10/11 - Didn’t win last time out
9/11 - Drawn in stalls 6 or lower
9/11 - Raced in the last 6 weeks
9/11 - Previous winners over 1m
9/11 - Carried between 9-0 and 9-6 in weight
8/11 - Placed in the top 4 last time out
8/11 - Drawn between stalls 3-6 (inc)
7/11 - Rated between 81 and 89 (inc)
7/11 - Aged 4 years-old
6/11 - Irish bred
3/11 - Had run at the track before
3/11 - Winning favourites
2/11 - Trained by Sir Michael Stoute

3:00 –Rose Of Lancaster Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV

19/19 – Aged 5 or younger
17/19 – Officially rated 105 or higher
16/19 – Aged either 3 or 5 years-old
15/19 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ or more
15/19 – Yet to run at Haydock
15/19 – Favourites placed
15/19 – Won over 1m2f or further
15/19 – Run 3 or more times that season
13/19 – Won a Listed or better class race before
13/19 – Won 3 or more times during their career
13/19 – Officially rated between 105 and 110
12/19 – Raced at either Newbury, York or Sandown last time out
12/19 – Priced 7/1 or shorter in the betting
9/19 – Finished unplaced in their last race
6/19 – Favourites that won
3/19 – Won by the Mark Johnston yard
2/19 – Won by Sir Michael Stoute yard
Foxes Tales (5/4 fav) won the race in 2021

 

Newmarket (July) Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ ITV4)

3.40 - Sweet Solera Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 (2yo) 7f ITV

18/19 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
17/19 – Won by a Jan, Feb or March foal
16/19 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting market
16/19 – Won just once previously
15/19 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
15/19 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting market
13/19 – Had won over only 6f previously
12/19 – Favourites placed
11/19 – Raced at Newmarket (July) previously
11/19 – Raced at Newmarket (7) or Sandown (4) last time out
10/19 – Won their last race
8/19 – Yet to win over 7f
8/19 –  Favourites that won
7/19 – Had just one previous run
5/19 – Won by Godolphin
3/19 – Trained by the Hills stable
Trainer Mark Johnston has won 3 of the last 8 runnings
Trainer Richard Hannon has won 2 of the last 6 runnings
3 winners from stall 1 in the last 16 runnings
5 of the last 15 horses from stall 7 finished 1st (3) or 2nd (2)

 

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Sat TV Trends: 23rd July 2022

It’s King George Day at Ascot this Saturday as some of the best middle-distance horses in the world line-up for this lucrative Group One. We’ve four LIVE ITV races to take in at the Berkshire track, while there’s also four races at York that are headlined by the Group Two Sky Bet York Stakes.

As always, we’ve got all the key trends for LIVE ITV Races this Saturday (23rd July 2022) – use these stats to find the best profiles of past winners and narrow down the runners.

Ascot Horse Racing Trends

 

1:50 - Princess Margaret Keenland Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 (2yo) 6f ITV

16/19 – Had won just once before
16/19 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
15/19 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
15/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/19 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
14/19 – Won over 6f before
12/19 – Foaled in either Feb or March
9/19 – Winning favourite
9/19 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
6/19 – Won last time out
5/19 – Ran at Ascot last time out
3/19 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/19 – Won by the Hannon yard
9 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 7 or lower
10 of the last 16 winners were Irish bred
9 of the last 16 horses from stall 1 were placed
4 of the last 10 winners came from stall 1
Zain Claudette (15/2) won the race in 2021

Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newbury

2.25 – Longines Valiant Stakes (Group 3) (Filles and Mares) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m ITV

10/10 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/10 – Won over at least 7f before
10/10 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
9/10 – Won 2 or 3 times in the past
8/10 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
7/10 – Came from stalls 3-8 (inc)
5/10 – Won last time out
5/10 – Irish bred
5/10 – Unplaced favourites
4/10 – Had run at Ascot before
2/10 – Winning favourites
Dreamloper (13/2) won the race in 2021

 

3.00 - Moet & Chandon International Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (3yo+) 7f ITV

19/19 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
19/19 – Had raced at Ascot previously
17/19 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
15/19 – Won over 7f previously
15/19 – Carried 8-9 or more in weight
14/19 – Won between 2-4 times previously
13/19 – Favourites unplaced
12/19 – Winning distance – 3/4 length or less
11/19 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
11/19 – Winners that came from outside the top three in the market
11/19 – Aged 4 years-old
7/19 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
7/19 – Raced at Ascot last time out
5/19 – Won their last race
3/19 – Trained by Mark Johnston
3/19 – Winning favourites
2/19 – Trained by Clive Cox
Trainer Richard Fahey has won the race three times in the last 12 years
13 of the last 15 winners ran at Ascot, Newmarket or Haydock last time out
11 of the last 15 winners came from a double-figure stall
10 of the last 15 winners finished in the top 5 last time out
Danyah (9/2 fav) won the race in 2021
Blue Mist (9/2 fav) won the race in 2020
Raising Sand (7/1) won the race in 2019

Note: The 2005 running was staged at Newbury

 

3:35 - King George VI And Queen Elizabeth Qipco Stakes (Group 1) (British Champion Series) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m4f ITV

20/20 – Previous Group 1 or 2 winners
18/20 – Had won over 1m4f before
17/20 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
17/20 – Had 2 or more runs already that season
17/20 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
17/20 – Placed last time out
16/20 – Previous Group 1 winner
12/20 – Aged 4 years-old
12/20 – Had run Ascot before
12/20 – Won their previous race
10/20 – Favourites that won
8/20 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
8/20 – Won at Ascot before
5/20 – Trained by John Gosden
4/20 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3/20 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
Frankie Dettori has ridden the winner in 1995, 1998, 1999, 2004, 2017, 2019 and 2020
2 of the last 8 winners were that season’s Epsom Oaks winner
Adayar (2021) and Galileo (2001) were the last horses to do the Derby/King George double in the same season
Trainer John Gosden won the race in 2011, 2014, 2017, 2019 & 2020
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 1981, 1983, 2002, 2009, 2010 & 2018
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor won the race in 1995, 1997, 1998, 1999 & 2004
Trainer Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2001, 2007, 2008 & 2016
The average winning SP in the last 20 runnings is 3/1

 

York Horse Racing Trends

 

2.05 - Sky Bet ‘Jump Jockeys’ Nunthorpe’ Handicap (To Be Ridden By Professional Jump Jockeys) Cl3 (4yo+ 0-90) 5f ITV

Just 4 previous runnings
3/4 - Aged between 5-7 (inc)
3/4 - Carried between 10-8 and 11-1 in weight
2/4 - Won by trainer Paul Midgley
1/4 - Winning favourite
Soul Seeker (11/2) won the race last year

 

2.40 - Sky Bet Dash Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 6f ITV

18/18 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
16/18 – Had won between 2-6 times before
16/18 – Carried 8-12 or more
15/18 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Aged 5 or younger
13/18 – Drawn in stall 10 or lower
12/18 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
12/18 – Had run at York before
11/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/18 – Placed favourites
10/18 – Raced at either Hamilton, York, Newmarket or Ascot last time
6/18 – Winning favourites
2/18 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/18 – Trained by Tim Easterby
2/18 – Won last time out
11 of the last 16 winners carried 9-0 or more
Venturous (33/1) won the race in 2021
Muscika (10/1) won the race in 2020
Dakota Gold (10/1) won the race in 2019
Flying Pursuit won the race in 2017 and 2018

 

3.15 - Sky Bet York Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2½f ITV

15/16 – Aged 6 or younger
14/16 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
14/16 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
13/16 – Had won over 1m2f before
13/16 – Had won at least 4 times before
12/16 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
11/16 – Rated between 110 and 117
10/16 – Horses from stall one that finished in the top two
9/16 – Had run at York before
8/16 – Ran at Sandown last time out
6/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Aged 6 years-old
2/16 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
Bangkok (14/1) won the race in 2021
Aspetar (11/1) won the race in 2020
Elarqam (7/1) won the race in 2019

 

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2023 King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes Betting Trends

Staged at Ascot racecourse, the King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes is run over a distance of 1m4f and is generally regarded as Britain’s most prestigious all-aged flat horse race.

With over £600,000 up for grabs for the winner the it goes without saying the race always attracts horses from the best yards around the country with Sir Michael Stoute and Saeed Bin Suroor, who have won the King George six and five times, are the trainers with the best recent record in the contest, while the powerful Aidan O’Brien yard have won the King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes four times. Don’t forget the John Gosden yard either – they’ve won the race 3 times in the last 7 years.

12 months ago, in 2022, we saw a shock winner in Pyledriver (18/1) winning the race for trainer William Muir and Chris Grassick.

Here at GeeGeez, we take a look back at the recent winners of the race and gives you the key trends to look out for ahead of the 2023 renewal – this year run on Saturday 22nd July.

 

Recent King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes Winners

2021 - Adayar (9/4)
2020 – Enable (4/9 fav)
2019 – Enable (8/15 fav)
2018 – Poet’s Word (7/4)
2017 – Enable (5/4 fav)
2016 – Highland Reel (13/8 fav)
2015 – Postponed (6/1)
2014 – Taghrooda (7/2)
2013 – Novellist (13/2)
2012 – Danedream (9/1)
2011 – Nathaniel (11/2)
2010 – Harbinger (4/1)
2009 – Conduit (13/8 fav)
2008 – Duke of Marmalade (4/6 fav)
2007 – Dylan Thomas (5/4 fav)
2006 – Hurricane Run (5/6 fav)
2005 – Azamour (5/2 fav)
2004 – Doyen (11/10 fav)
2003 – Alamshar (13/2)
2002 – Golan (11/2)

King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes Trends

20/20 – Previous Group 1 or 2 winners
18/20 – Had won over 1m4f before
17/20 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
17/20 – Had 2 or more runs already that season
17/20 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
17/20 – Placed last time out
16/20 – Previous Group 1 winner
12/20 – Aged 4 years-old
12/20 – Had run Ascot before
12/20 – Won their previous race
10/20 – Favourites that won
8/20 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
8/20 – Won at Ascot before
5/20 – Trained by John Gosden
4/20 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3/20 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
Frankie Dettori has ridden the winner in 1995, 1998, 1999, 2004, 2017, 2019 and 2020
2 of the last 8 winners were that season’s Epsom Oaks winner
Adayar (2021) and Galileo (2001) were the last horses to do the Derby/King George double in the same season
Trainer John Gosden won the race in 2011, 2014, 2017, 2019 & 2020
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 1981, 1983, 2002, 2009, 2010 & 2018
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor won the race in 1995, 1997, 1998, 1999 & 2004
Trainer Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2001, 2007, 2008 & 2016
The average winning SP in the last 20 runnings is 3/1

 

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Ascot Chase Trends

The Grade One Betfair Ascot Chase is staged at Ascot raceourse every February and run over a distance of 2m5 ½f with 17 fences to tackle.

First run in 1995 the race has been won by some well-known names – including One Man, Monet’s Garden, Voy Por Ustedes, Kauto Star and Riverside Theatre, who landed the prize in 2011 & 2012, while Cue Card took the 2013 running before going on win the Ryanair Chase at the Cheltenham Festival.

In more recent years, the likes of Silviniaco Conti (2016), Waiting Patiently (2018) and the top-rated chaser in the UK – Cyrname (2019) – have graced the hall-of-fame, while twelve months ago in 2021 the Jeremy Scott yard took the honours with Dashel Drasher winning at 4/1.

Here at GeeGeez we look back at recent winners and gives you the key stats to take into the 2022 renewal – this year staged on 19th February.

 

Recent Ascot Chase Winners

2021 - DASHEL DRASHER (4/1)
2020 – RIDERS ONTHE STORM (7/2)
2019 – CYRNAME (3/1)
2018 – WAITING PATIENTLY (2/1 fav)
2017 – CUE CARD (4/9 fav)
2016 – SILVINIACO CONTI (2/1 fav)
2015 – BALDER SUCCES (4/1)
2014 – CAPTAIN CHIRS (8/11 fav)
2013 – CUE CARD (15/8 fav)
2012 – RIVERSIDE THEATRE (13/8 fav)
2011 – RIVERSIDE THEATRE (11/10 fav)
2010 – MONET’S GARDEN (11/2)
2009 – VOY POR USTEDES (6/5 fav)
2008 – KAUTO STAR (4/11 fav)
2007 – MONET’S GARDEN (11/10 fav)
2006 – OUR VIC (2/1 fav)
2005 - IT TAKES TIME (14/1)
2004 – HAND INN HAND (15/2)
2003 – TIUTCHEV (15/8 fav)

Ascot Chase Betting Trends

19/19 – Won over at least 2m4f (fences) previously
18/19– Priced at 15/2 or shorter in the market
17/19 – Winners from the top 3 in the market
16/19 – Winners that didn’t win their next start
16/19 – Ran within the last 7 weeks
15/19 – Officially rated 157 or higher
14/19 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
13/19 – Favourites placed
12/19 – Winning favourites
11/19 – Priced 2/1 or shorter in the market
10/19 – Won between 1-4 times over fences previously
8/19 – Won over fences at Ascot previously
8/19 – Won their last race
7/19 – Unplaced in their latest race
7/19 – Raced at Kempton (King George) last time out
5/19 – Winners that ran in that season’s Ryanair Chase (1 winner, Cue Card) later that year
3/19 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/19 – Trained by Alan King
2/19 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
10 of the last 15 winners returned 2/1 or shorter in the betting
Note: The 2005 & 2006 - Run at Lingfield Park
Waiting Patiently won this race in 2018
Dashel Drasher won the race in 2021
Riders On the Storm won the race in 2020

 

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Sat TV Trends: 2nd Oct 2021

Here at Geegeez, we take you through the seven LIVE ITV4 races this Saturday at Ascot, Redcar and Newmarket from a trends angle.

Did you know? 15 of the last 17 Cumberland Lodge favourites have been placed?

Use these trends and stats to whittle down the final runners and find the best profiles of recent winner.

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/ATR)


2.05 – Oakman Group Rous Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f ITV4

16/16 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
16/16 – Won over 5f before
15/16 – Returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Aged 5 or younger
12/16 – Winning distance – ½ length or shorter
12/16 – Rated 101 or higher
10/16 – Had won between 3-7 times before
9/16 – Unplaced last time out
8/16 – Yet to win at Listed or better class
8/16 – Raced at Newbury last time out
7/16 – Irish bred
3/16 – Trained by Michael Dods (last three runnings)
3/16 – Trained by Bryan Smart
3/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Winning favourites
Dakota Gold (15/8 fav) won the race in 2019 and 2020
12 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 11 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/1

 

2.40 – Cumberland Lodge Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f ITV4

17/18 - Finished fourth or better last time out
16/18 – Placed favourites
15/18 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
15/18 – Had won over 1m4f before
14/18 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
13/18 – Won at Listed or Group class before
13/18 – Had raced at the course before (6 won)
11/18 – Winning distance 1 ¾ lengths or more
11/18 – Had 5 or more runs that season
11/18 – Had won 4 or more times before
10/18 – Won last time out
9/18 – Favourites to win
6/18 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
2/18 – Trained by Richard Hannon (2 of last 6)
2/18 – Ridden by Martin Dwyer
2/18 – Ridden by Silvestre De Sousa
1/18 – Filly or mare winners
11 of the last 12 winners came from draws 8 or lower
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor has won 2 of the last 7 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/2
Morando (2/1 fav) won the race in 2019
Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newmarket

 

3.15 - John Guest Bengough Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f ITV4

12/12 – Won over 6f previously
12/12 – Officially rated 100 or higher
10/12 – Winning distance – 3/4 length or less
10/12 – Won 4 or more times previously
10/12 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
7/12 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
6/12 – Raced 6 or more times that season
5/12 – Won their previous race
3/12 – Returned a double-figure price
4/12 – Favourites to win
2/12 – Raced at the Curragh last time out
2/12 – Trained by Roger Charlton
The last 2 winners came from stalls 6
Horse from stall 7 has been placed in 6 of the last 9 runnings (3 wins)
Horses from stall 5 and 7 have won 5 of the last 9 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/1

3.50 – tote.co.uk Challenge Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV4

17/18 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
15/18 – Won between 2 and 4 previous races
15/18 – Won over 7f previously
13/18 – Had raced within the last 30 days
13/18 – Raced at Ascot previously
11/18 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/18 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
9/18 – Raced 7 or more times that season
8/18 – Returned a double-figure price
8/18 – Carried 8-12 or less in weight
6/18 – Raced at Ayr last time out
5/18 – Favourites to win
2/18 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/18 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/18 – Won their previous race
0/18 – Filly or mare winners
8 of the last 10 winners carried 9-1 or more in weight
The last 10 winners were aged 6 or younger
7 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 8-13 (inc)
5 of the last 12 horses from stall 10 were placed in the top 4
4 of the last 12 horses from stall 11 were placed in the top 3
The last two winners came from stall 17
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 8/1
Accidential Agent (16/1) won the race in 2017
Kynren (11/4 fav) won the race in 2019
Raising Sand (5/1) won the race in 2018 and was third in 2017

Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newmarket

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)

 

1.45 - British EBF Premier Fillies´ Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV4

Just 5 previous runnings
5/5 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
5/5 – Favourites placed in the first three
4/5 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
4/5 – Didn’t win last time out
3/5 – Won just once before
2/5 – Had won over 1m2f before
2/5 – Winning favourites

 

2.20 – £150,000 Tattersalls October Auction Stakes Cl2 (2yo) 6f ITV4

Just 6 previous runnings
6/6 – Carried between 8-4 and 8-11 in weight
6/6 – Foaled Feb or later
5/6 – Rated between 79-85
5/6 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
4/6 – Won from a double-figure draw
4/6 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
4/6 – Finished in the top 2 last time out
4/6 – Won just one before
3/6 – First 3 home came from double-figure draws
1/6 – Winning favourites

 


2.55 -
Kingdom of Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m ITV4

15/17 – Had won over at least 1m before
15/17 – Previous Group winners
12/17 – Won between 3-5 times before
13/17 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
12/17 – Rated between 113 and 119
12/17 – Previous Group One winners
8/17 – Aged 3 years-old
6/17 – Winning favourites (1 co)
5/17 – French-trained winners
6/17 – Raced at Deauville last time out
5/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/17 – Won last time out
3/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (2 of last 5)
2/17 – Won by a previous winner of the race
13 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 9 or lower
Horses from stall 1 have won 5 of the last 15 runnings
Horses from stalls 1 (4) or 7 (2) or 9 (2) have won 8 of the last 11

 


Redcar Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)

 

3.35 – William Hill Two-Year-Old Trophy (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV4

16/19 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
15/19 – Had 4 or more previous runs that season
14/19 – Had won 1 or 2 previous races
13/19 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/19 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/19 – Foaled in March or later
10/19 – Had won over 6f before
10/19 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
8/19 – Unplaced favourites
6/19 – Filly winners
6/19 – Winning favourites
5/19 – Won last time out
3/19 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/19 – Trained by Tim Easterby (4 wins in total)
2/19 – Trained by Stan Moore
2/19 – Trained by Richard Fahey

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 24th July 2021

It’s King George Day at Ascot this Saturday as some of the best middle-distance horses in the world line-up for this lucrative Group One. We’ve four LIVE ITV races to take in at the Berkshire track, while there’s also three races at York that are headlined by the Group Two Sky Bet York Stakes.

As always, we’ve got all the key trends for LIVE ITV Races this Saturday (24th July 2021) – use these stats to find the best profiles of past winners and narrow down the runners.

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends

 

1:50 - Princess Margaret Keenland Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 (2yo) 6f ITV

 

15/18 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
15/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/18 – Had won just once before
15/18 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
13/18 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
13/18 – Won over 6f before
11/18 – Foaled in either Feb or March
9/18 – Winning favourite
8/18 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/18 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/18 – Won last time out
2/18 – Won by the Hannon yard
3/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
8 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
9 of the last 15 winners were Irish bred
9 of the last 15 horses from stall 1 were placed
4 of the last 9 winners came from stall 1
Under The Stars (25/1) won the race in 2019

Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newbury

 

2.25 – Porsche Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 1m ITV

9/10 – Carried 8-8 or more
7/10 – Winners between stalls 8-15
5/10 – Had won just once before
5/10 – Unplaced favourites
4/10 – Raced at Ascot last time out
4/10 – Irish bred
4/10– Won last time out
4/10– Winning favourites
2/10 – Ridden by William Buick
9 of the last 10 winners returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
Trainer John Gosden won the race in 2020
Trainer Andrew Balding won the race in 2019
Trainer Clive Cox won the race in 2018
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 2016
Trainer William Haggas won the race in 2014
Trainer Hughie Morrison won the race in 2012

 

 

3.00 - Moet & Chandon International Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (3yo+) 7f ITV

18/18 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
18/18 – Had raced at Ascot previously
16/18 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
14/18 – Won over 7f previously
14/18 – Carried 8-9 or more in weight
13/18 – Favourites unplaced
13/18 – Won between 2-4 times previously
11/18 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
11/18 – Winners that came from outside the top three in the market
11/18 – Winning distance – 3/4 length or less
10/18 – Aged 4 years-old
7/18 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
6/18 – Raced at Ascot last time out
5/18 – Won their last race
3/18 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/18 – Trained by Clive Cox
2/18 – Winning favourites
Trainer Richard Fahey has won the race three times in the last 11 years
12 of the last 14 winners ran at Ascot, Newmarket or Haydock last time out
11 of the last 14 winners came from a double-figure stall
9 of the last 14 winners finished in the top 5 last time out
Blue Mist (9/2 fav) won the race in 2020
Raising Sand (7/1) won the race in 2019

Note: The 2005 running was staged at Newbury

 

 

3:35 - King George VI And Queen Elizabeth Qipco Stakes (Group 1) (British Champion Series) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m4f ITV

19/19 – Previous Group 1 or 2 winners
17/19 – Had won over 1m4f before
16/19 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
16/19 – Had 2 or more runs already that season
16/19 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
16/19 – Placed last time out
15/19 – Previous Group 1 winner
12/19 – aged 4 years-old
12/19 – Had run Ascot before
11/19 – Won their previous race
10/19 – Favourites that won
8/19 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
8/19 – Won at Ascot before
5/19 – Trained by John Gosden
4/19 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3/19 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
Frankie Dettori has ridden the winner in 1995, 1998, 1999, 2004, 2017, 2019 and 2020
2 of the last 7 winners were that season’s Epsom Oaks winner
Galileo (2001) was the last horse to do the Derby/King George double
Trainer John Gosden won the race in 2011, 2014, 2017, 2019 & 2020
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 1981, 1983, 2002, 2009, 2010 & 2018
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor won the race in 1995, 1997, 1998, 1999 & 2004
Trainer Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2001, 2007, 2008 & 2016
The average winning SP in the last 19 runnings is 10/3

 

 

York Horse Racing Trends

 

 

2.05 - Sky Bet ‘Jump Jockeys’ Nunthorpe’ Handicap (To Be Ridden By Professional Jump Jockeys) Cl3 (4yo+ 0-90) 5f ITV

Just 3 previous runnings
3/3 - Aged between 5-7 (inc)
3/3 - Carried between 10-8 and 11-1 in weight
2/3 - Won by trainer Paul Midgley
1/3 - Winning favourite

 

2.40 - Sky Bet Dash Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 6f ITV

17/17 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
16/17 – Had won between 2-6 times before
15/17 – Carried 8-12 or more
15/17 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
11/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/17 – Aged 5 or younger
13/17 – Drawn in stall 10 or lower
10/17 – Placed favourites
10/17 – Raced at either Hamilton, York, Newmarket or Ascot last time
11/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/17 – Had run at York before
6/17 – Winning favourites
2/17 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/17 – Trained by Tim Easterby
2/17 – Won last time out
10 of the last 15 winners carried 9-0 or more
Muscika (10/1) won the race in 2020
Dakota Gold (10/1) won the race in 2019
Flying Pursuit won the race in 2017 and 2018

 

 

3.15 - Sky Bet York Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2½f ITV

14/15 – Aged 6 or younger
13/15 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
13/15 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
12/15 – Had won over 1m2f before
12/15 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/15 – Had won at least 4 times before
10/15 – Rated between 111 and 117
9/15 – Horses from stall one that finished in the top two
8/15 – Had run at York before
8/15 – Ran at Sandown last time out
6/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Aged 6 years-old
2/15 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
Aspetar (11/1) won the race in 2020
Elarqam (7/1) won the race in 2019

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 8th May 2021

More LIVE ITV Racing this Saturday as the cameras head to Haydock to take in the Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle, plus they are also at Ascot and Lingfield.

At Ascot, there are three LIVE ITV races that include the Victoria Cup, while it's Derby and Oaks Trials Day at Lingfield.

As always, here at GeeGeez we've got all the LIVE races covered with our key trends and stats.

 

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 

3.10 - Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Registered As The Swinton Hurdle Race) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m ITV4

17/17 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-old
17/17 – Had won over at least 2m miles (hurdles before)
16/17 – Carried 11-5 or less
16/17 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
15/17 – Didn’t win last time out
14/17 – Had won between 2-3 times over hurdles before
11/17 – Irish bred
11/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/17 – Carried 10-8 or less
9/17 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
9/17 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
7/17 – Ran at Aintree last time out
6/17 – Returned a double-figure price
5/17 – Winning favourites
4/17 – Had run at the track before (hurdles)
4/17 – Trained by Evan Williams (4 of the last 7 runnings)
3/17 – Ran at Ayr last time out
2/17 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
1/17 – Irish-trained winners
4 of the last 14 winners returned 16/1
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

 

1.55 – Tote+ Exclusively At Tote.Co.UK British EBF Fillies´ Handicap Cl2 1m ITV4

14/14 – Failed to win last time out
14/14 – Had won 2-3 times on the flat before
12/14 – Had won over a mile before
12/14 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
12/14 – Aged 5 or younger
10/14 – Aged 4 years-old
9/14 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/14 – Carried 9-0 or more
8/14 – Favourites that finished 4th or better
8/14 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
8/14 – Rated between 82-87
7/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
4/14 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/14 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 9/1

2.30 - Tote+ Pays More At Tote.Co.Uk Buckhounds Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f ITV4

12/15 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/15 – Had won 3 or more times before
9/15 – Favourites placed
9/15 – Had raced at Ascot before
8/15 – Winning favourites (inc co or joint)
8/15 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
7/15 – Had won over 1m4f before
5/15 – Raced within the last 3 weeks
4/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Trained by John Gosden
3/15 – Trained by Roger Varian
2/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The last 12 winners ALL came from stalls 5 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 4/1

Note: The 2020 race was staged at Newmarket

 

3.40 – tote+ Victoria Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f  ITV4

15/17 – Had run within the last 5 weeks
14/17 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
14/17 – Aged 5 or younger
14/17 – Had won no more than 3 times
13/17 – Had won over 7f before
12/17 – Carried 8-10 or less
10/17 – Unplaced favourites
10/17 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/17 – Had run at Ascot before (5 winners)
5/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/17 – Winning favourites (1 joint) – only 1 in the last 11 years
2/17 – Trained by David Elsworth (2 of last 5)
The last 7 winners came from a double-figure draw
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 13/1

Note: The 2005 running was staged at Lingfield

 

Lingfield Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

 

2.15 - Novibet Oaks Trial Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 1m3f106y ITV4

15/17 – Had won no more than once before
15/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Had no more than 3 career runs
14/17 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
10/17 – Came from stall 5 or higher
10/17 – Went onto run in the Epsom Oaks (no winners, two seconds)
9/17 – Had only won over a mile or shorter in the past
9/17 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
9/17 – Having first run of the season
8/17 – Won last time out
7/17 – Raced at either Newbury (3) or Newmarket (4) last time out
7/17 – Winning favourites
5/17 – Winning distance exactly 6 lengths
4/17 – Winners from stall 5
4/17 – Trained by John Gosden
4/17 – Had won over 1m2f before
3/17 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
2/17 – Trained by William Haggas
2/17 – Irish-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

 

2.50 – Novibet Derby Trial Stakes (Listed Race) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 1m3f106y ITV4 

18/18 – Had won no more than 3 times
15/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/18 – Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (1 winner, Anthony Van Dyck, 2019)
14/18 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Finished 4th or better last time out
13/18 – Favourites placed
11/18 – Had run within the last 4 weeks
8/18 – Drawn in stall 1 or 2
6/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
5/18 – Winning favourites
4/18 – Ran at Newbury last time out
3/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
High Rise (1998) and Anthony Van Dyck (2019) were the last winners to go onto win the Epsom Derby

 

3.25 - Novibet Chartwell Fillies´ Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 7f1y ITV4

14/14 – Aged 5 or younger
12/14 – Drawn between stalls 3-8 (inc)
12/14 – Won between 1-4 times before
11/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/14 – Had won over 7f before
9/14 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
9/14 – Placed favourites
8/14 – Irish-bred
7/14 – Drawn in stall 3 (4) or 7 (3)
7/14 – Won last time out
5/14 – Non UK-trained winners
5/14 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/14 – Returned 16/1 in the betting
3/14 – Winning favourites
5 of the last 11 winners returned double-figures in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 8/1

 

4.00 – Download The Novibet App Handicap Cl3 (4yo+ 0-95) 7 1/2f ITV4

Only 3 previous runnings
3/3 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
3/3 – Unplaced last time out
3/3 – Rated between 85 – 90
3/3 – Carried 9-2 or more
3/3 – Won at least twice before
3/3 – Had won over at least 7f before
3/3 – Had run at the track before
3/3 – Aged between 4-6 (inc)
2/3 – Ran at Haydock last time out
2/3 – Ran in the last 2 weeks
2/3 – Carried 9-7 in weight
2/3 – Trained by Richard Hannon
1/3 – Winning favourite

Clarence House Chase Trends

Staged at Ascot racecourse the Clarence House Chase is a Grade One contest run over a distance of 2m1f.

The Clarence House Chase was first run back in 1989 when the popular Desert Orchid won the prize as a 10 year-old. The race is also a good guide to that season’s Queen Mother Champion Chase with Sprinter Sacre landing both races in 2013, Sire de Grugy in 2014, while Dodging Bullets did the same double in 2015. In more recent years, the Willie Mullins-trained Un De Sceaux has made the race his own by landing three of the last five renewals, while Altior landed the 2019 renewal.

The 2020 running though was won by the Philip Hobbs-trained Defi Du Seuil.

Trainers Nicky Henderson and Paul Nicholls has also won the race five times each and– as mentioned – the Willie Mullins camp have taken three of the last five runnings.

Here at GEEGEEZ we are on hand with all the key stats ahead of the 2021 renewal – this year run on Saturday 23rd January.

Recent Clarence House Chase Winners

2020 - DEFI DU SEUIL (11/10 fav)
2019 – ALTIOR (1/10 fav)
2018 - UN DE SCEAUX (4/9 fav)
2017 – UN DE SCEAUX (1/2 fav)
2016 – UN DE SCEAUX (1/2 fav)
2015 – DODGING BULLETS (7/2)
2014 – SIRE DE GRUGY (5/4 fav)
2013 – SPRINTER SACRE (1/5 fav)
2012 – SOMERSBY (9/2)
2011 – MASTER MINDED (4/7 fav)
2010 – TWIST MAGIC (11/8 fav)
2009 – MASTER MINDED (1/4 fav)
2008 – TAMARINBLEU (12/1)
2007 – No Race
2006 – TYSOU (10/1)
2005 – WELL CHIEF (5/1)
2004 – ISIO (4/1)
2003 – No Race

Clarence House Chase Past Trends

17/17 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
17/17 – Won at least 3 times (fences) previously
16/17 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
16/17 – Won a race over fences at 2m1f or further
15/17 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting market
15/17 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
14/17 – Favourites placed
12/17 – Won by a French-bred horse
12/17 – Won their last race
11/17 – Went onto run in that season’s Champion Chase (5 winners)
10/17 – Raced at Sandown (6) or Wetherby (3) last time out
10/17 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
10/17 – Favourites that won
8/17 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
7/17 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
5/17 – Went onto win the Champion Chase that season (2009 - Master Minded, Sprinter Sacre 2013, 2014 Sire de Grugy, 2015 Dodging Bullets, 2019 Altior)
4/17 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable (won the race 5 times in all)
4/17 – Had won the Tingle Creek Chase (Sandown) last time out
4/17 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable (won the race 5 times in all)
3/17 – Trained by Willie Mullins
2/17 – Won by the Pipe stable
Since 1989 there have only been 3 winners aged in double-figures
Since 1989 (29 runnings) there have been 12 winners aged 8 years-old
Un De Sceaux has won the race in 2016, 2017 and 2018

The average winning SP in the last 14 runnings is 10/3

Note:
2006 – Renewal at Sandown
2005 & 2017 – Renewals at Cheltenham

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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