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Sat TV Trends: 10th Aug 2019

The ITV4 cameras head to Ascot for their unique Shergar Cup meeting, while they are also at Newmarket and Haydock – Like all Saturday’s Andy Newton’s got all the LIVE ITV4 race trends to help narrow down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.  

 

Saturday 11th August 2019

ASCOT Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/ATR)

1:05 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Dash (Handicap) Cl2 5f ITV4

11/11 – Failed to win their last race
10/11 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/11 – Raced at Ascot previously
10/11 – Carried 9-3 or more weight
10/11 – Had 4 or more runs that season
10/11 – Priced 6/1 or shorter in the betting market
8/11 – Won at least 3 times in their career
7/11 – Favourites  placed
6/11 – Had won over 5f previously
5/11 – Raced at Ascot last time out
5/11 – Favourites (1 joint)
5/11 – Winning distance – 1 or more lengths
3/11 – Trained by Robert Cowell (including 2 of the last 5 runnings)
2/11 – Won by the Andrew Balding yard
Tis Marvellous (6/1) won the race in 2018

1.40 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Stayers (Handicap) Cl2 2m ITV4

14/15 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/15 – Carried 8-13 or more
12/15 – Had raced within the last 2 weeks
12/15 – Rated between 86-94
12/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/15 – Had won between 2-5 times before (flat)
12/15 – Had raced at the track before
11/15 – Favourites placed in the top 4
10/15 – Ran at either Ascot (5) or Goodwood (5) last time out
10/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/15 – Trained by Ian Williams
1/15 – Won last time out
Cleonte (9/2) won the race in 2018
No winner from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings
3 of the last 10 winners came from stall 9
Horses from stall 9 placed in the top three in 6 of the last 12 runnings

 

2.15 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Challenge (Handicap) Cl3 1m4f ITV4

14/15 – Aged 6 or younger
13/15 – Officially rated between 87-94
13/15 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
13/15 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
13/15 – Won over 1m3f (or further) previously
12/15 – Won between 1-4 times previously
9/15 – Aged 4 years-old
9/15 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting market
8/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
7/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/15 – Priced 9/1 or bigger in the betting market
6/15 – Had run at Ascot previously
5/15 – Won last time out
2/15 – Won by the Paul Cole yard
2/15 – Favourites that won
Genetics (9/1) won the race in 2018
One winner from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings
3 of the last 13 winners came from stall 5
9 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 5-8 (inc)

2.50 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV4

15/15 – Won over at least a mile before
15/15 – Failed to win last time out
15/15 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
14/15 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
14/15 – Rated between 92-100
14/15 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
13/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/15 – Won between 2-4 times before
10/15 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
10/15 – Had run at Ascot before
4/15 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
3/15 – Trained by Andrew Balding
3/15 – Winning favourites
Via Serendipity (7/2) won the race in 2018
3 of the last 13 winners came from stall 1
11 or the last 14 winners returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting

3.25 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Classic (Handicap) (Bobis Race) Cl3 1m4f – ITV4

10 previous runnings
10/10 – Raced 3 or more times that season
8/10 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
8/10 – Won over 1m2f or further previously
8/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
7/10 – Officially rated between 84-90
4/10 – Raced at Ascot last time out
4/10 – Favourites placed
2/10 – Favourites that won
2/10 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/10 – Trained by Richard Hannon
Berkshire Blue (9/2) won the race in 2018
7 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 5, 7 or 8

4.00 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Sprint (Handicap) (Bobis Race) Cl2 6f ITV4

Your first 30 days for just £1

15/15 – Carried 8-12 or more in weight
14/15 – Ran within the last 4-5 weeks<
13/15 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting market
13/15 – Won over 6f previously
13/15 – Carried 9-1 or more in weight
12/15 – Won between 2-3 times previously
11/15 – Officially rated between 86-95
10/15 – Came from the top three in the betting market
10/15 – Priced 6/1 or shorter in the betting market
10/15 – Favourites placed
7/15 – Had run at Ascot previously
4/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Won by the Roger Charlton yard
3/15 – Winning Favourites
Green Power (12/1) won the race in 2018
6 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 5-8 (inc)

Haydock Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)

 

1.55 – Vulcan Village Handicap (London Mile Series Qualifier) Cl3 (3yo+) 1m ITV4

10/10 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/10 – Didn’t win last time out
9/10 – Won between 1-4 times before
9/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
8/10 – Drawn in stalls 6 or lower
7/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
7/10 – Carried between 9-0 and 9-6
7/10 – Won over 1m before
6/10 – Irish bred
5/10 – Horses from stall 5 finished in the top 2
3/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11.5/1

2.30 – British Stallion Studs EBF Dick Hern Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m ITV4

8/8 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/8 – Didn’t win last time out
8/8 – Won between 1-3 times
6/8 – Rated between 94-100
6/8 – Drawn between stalls 5-8
5/8 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
5/8 – Ran at Ascot or Newmarket last time out
2/8 – Trained by William Haggas
2/8 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
1/8 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 9/1

3.05 – Smarkets Betting Exchange Rose of Lancaster Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f95y ITV4

16/16 – Aged 5 or younger
14/16 – Officially rated 105 or higher
13/16 – Yet to run at Haydock
13/16 – Favourites placed
13/16 – Aged either 3 or 5 years-old
13/16 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ or more
12/16 – Won a Listed or better class race before
12/16 – Won over 1m2f or further
12/16 – Raced 3 or more previous runs that season
11/16 – Officially rated between 105 and 110
11/16 – Won 3 or more times during their career
10/16 – Raced at either Newbury, York or Sandown last time out
9/16 – Priced 7/1 or shorter in the betting
9/16 – Finished unplaced in their last race
4/16 – Favourites that won
3/16 – Won by the Mark Johnston yard
2/16 – Won by Sir Michael Stoute yard
Teodoro (10/1) won the race in 2018

 

NEWMARKET (JULY) Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)

3.45 – german-thoroughbred.com Sweet Solera Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV4

15/16 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
14/16 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
14/16 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting market
14/16 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting market
14/16 – Won by a Jan, Feb or March foal
13/16 – Won just once previously
12/16 – Had won over only 6f previously
10/16 – Favourites placed
10/16 – Raced at Newmarket (July) previously
9/16 – Won their last race
9/16 – Raced at Newmarket (6) or Sandown (3) last time out
8/16 – Yet to win over 7f
8/16 –  Favourites that won
7/16 – Had just one previous run
5/16 – Won by Godolphin
3/16 – Trained by the Hills stable
Tajaanus (7/4 fav) won the race in 2018
2 winners from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings
4 of the last 12 horses from stall 7 finished 1st (2) or 2nd (2)

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 13th July 2019

It’s the final day of the three-day Newmarket July Meeting this Saturday and the ITV cameras are there to take in the best of the action, plus they are also at York and Ascot on what is a bumper Saturday of flat horse racing.

As always, we’ve got it all covered with all the key trends and stats – use these to find the best profiles of past winners of each race.

Saturday 13th July 2019

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.20 - bet365 Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV

15/17 – Had won over 7f or further previously
13/17 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
13/17 – Had 2 or more runs that season
10/17 – Unplaced in their last race
10/17 – Favourites unplaced
9/17 – Winners from stall 8 or higher
3/17 – Won their last race
3/17 – Winning Favourites
2/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/17 – Ridden by Dane O’Neill
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1


2.55 - Bet365 Superlative Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV

16/17 – Won over at least 6f previously
15/17 – Placed in their last race
14/17 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the market
12/17 – Had 2 or more previous career runs
12/17 – Won their latest race
11/17 – Won by either a March or April foal
9/17 – Winners from stall 5 or lower
7/17 – Favourites unplaced
4/17 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out
4/17 – Winners from stall 3
4/17 – Trained by Richard Hannon
6/17 – Winning Favourites
2/17 – Trained by Richard Fahey (2 of last 5 runnings)
2/17 – Trained by Mick Channon
Trainer Charlie Appleby has won 2 of the last 3 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

3.30 - bet365 Bunbury Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV

16/17 – Won over 7f previously
16/17 – Raced 3 or more times that season
13/17 – Carried 9-3 or less in weight
11/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
10/17 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/17 – Returned between 10/1 and 16/1 in the betting
10/17 – Winners from stall 14 or higher
9/17 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out
8/17 – Horses from a double-figure stall that 1st, 2nd and 3rd
8/17 – Placed in their last race
4/17 – Favourites (inc joint and co)
3/17 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/17 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/17 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
Burnt Sugar won the race in 2018
Above The Rest won the race in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1

4.40 - Darley July Cup (British Champions Series And Global Sprint Challenge) (Group 1) Cl1 6f ITV

Recent July Cup Winners.....

2018     U S Navy Flag (8/1)
2017     Harry Angel (9/2)
2016     Limato (9/2 fav)
2015     Muhaarar (2/1 jfav)
2014     Slade Power (7/4 fav)
2013     Lethal Force (9/2)
2012     Mayson (20/1)
2011  Dream Ahead (7/1)
2010  Starspangledbanner (2/1 fav)
2009  Fleeting Spirit (12/1)
2008  Marchand d'Or  (5/2 fav)
2007  Sakhee's Secret  (9/2)
2006  Les Arcs (10/1)
2005  Pastoral Pursuits (22/1)
2004  Frizzante (14/1)
2003  Oasis Dream (9/2)
2002  Continent (12/1)

July Cup Betting Trends

Your first 30 days for just £1

16/17 – Aged 5 or younger
15/17 – Had won over 6f before
14/17 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
14/17 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Won by a horse trained in the UK
13/17 – Had between 1-3 previous runs that season
13/17 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 race before
10/17 – Placed last time out
9/17 – Ran last time out in either the King’s Stand Stakes or Diamond Jubilee
9/17 – Unplaced favourites
6/17 – Won their previous race
5/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Irish-trained winners
2/17 – Trained By Hughie Morrison
1/17 – French-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 8/1
Just one horse aged older than 5 has won since 1968
Aidan O’Brien has won the race 4 times before (1999, 2001, 2010 & 2018)

York Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.05 - John Smith´s City Walls Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f ITV

Only 8 previous runnings
8/8 – Won over 5f before
8/8 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
8/8 – Rated between 101 and 111
7/8 – Placed favourites
6/8 – Unplaced last time out
5/8 – Had only won at Handicap class before
5/8 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
5/8 – Won by a neck or less
5/8 – Won at York before
3/8 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/8 – Ridden by David Allen
Mr Lupton won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 13/2

2.40 - John Smith´s Silver Cup Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m6f ITV

13/13 – Had between 1 and 3 previous runs that season
12/13 – Aged 5 or younger
12/13 – Won from stall 10 or lower
10/13 – Didn’t win their previous race
9/13 – Placed favourites
7/13 – Aged 4 years-old
6/13 – Had run at York before
5/13 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/13 – Horses from stall 2 that finished second
3/13 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1
Dylan Mouth won the race in 2018

3.15 - John Smith´s Racing Handicap Cl2 1m ITV

15/15 – Ran within the last 3 weeks
14/15 – Had won over at least 1m before
14/15 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
11/15 – Carried 9-1 or more in weight
11/15 – Had won between 2-4 times before
10/15 – Rated 90 or less
10/15 – Placed last time out
9/15 – Winning distance – ¾ or less
8/15 – Priced between 7/1 and 14/1
8/15 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
6/15 – Won last time out
4/15 – Won by a USA-bred horse
4/15 – Had raced at York before
4/15 – Winning favourites
Trainer David O'Meara has won 2 of the last 7 runnings
11 of the last 13 winners came from stall 7 or lower
5 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 2 or 3
Wadilsafa won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

3.50 – John Smith´s Jubilee Cup Handicap Cl2 1m2f88y ITV

Recent John Smith’s Cup Winners.......

2018 – Euchen Glen (20/1) Jim Goldie
2017 – Ballet Concerto (8/1) Sir Michael Stoute
2016 – Educate (18/1) Ismail Mohammed
2015 – Master Carpenter (14/1) Rod Millman
2014 – Farraaj (6/1) Roger Varian
2013 – Danchai (10/1) William Haggas
2012 – King’s Warrior (10/1) Peter Chapple-Hyam
2011 – Green Destiny (6/1) W Haggas
2010 – Wigmore Hall (5/1) M Bell
2009 – Sirvino (16/1) T Barron
2008 – Flying Clarets (12/1) R Fahey
2007 – Charlie Tokyo (11/1) R Fahey
2006 – Fairmile (6/1 jfav) W Swinburn
2005 – Mullins Bay (4/1 fav) AP O’Brien
2004 – Arcalis (20/1) J Howard Johnson
2003 -  Far Lane (7/1) B Hills
2002 – Vintage Premium (20/1) R Fahey

John Smith’s Cup Key Trends

16/17 – Returned 20/1 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Aged 5 or younger
15/17 – Had won over 1m1f or further before
13/17 – Came from stall 9 or higher
13/17 – Had between 3-5 previous runs already that season
11/17 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
11/17 – Carried 9-3 or less
11/17 – Top 4 finish in their previous race
10/17 – Aged 4 years-old
9/17 – Officially rated between 99-105
8/17 – Had run at York before
5/17 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
3/17 – Won by trainer Richard Fahey
2/17 – Trained by William Haggas
2/17 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 11/1

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

1.45 – Betfred Heritage Handicap Cl2 5f ITV

Just 6 previous running
5/6 – Returned between 7/1 and 14/1
5/6 – Carried 8-10 or more
5/6 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
2/6 – Aged 4 years-old
Danzeno won the race in 2017
Spring Loaded won the race in 2018

4.00 - Fred Cowley MBE Memorial Summer Mile Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m ITV

12/12 Aged 4, 5 or 6 years-old
10/12 – Had won over at least a mile before
10/12 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/12 – Had raced at Ascot before (2 won)
9/12 – Placed favourites
9/12 – Aged either 4 or 6 years-old
7/12 – Previous Group race winner
7/12 – Winning favourites
6/12 – Had won at least 4 times before
5/12 – Aged 4 years-old
5/12 – Won last time out
4/12 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/12 – Had won a Group 1 before
9 of the last 10 winners were draw in stalls 5 or lower
Trainer William Haggas has won 2 of the last 3 runnings
Beat The Bank won the race in 2018
Mutakayyef  won the race in 2016 and 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 11th May 2019

Another jam-packed day Saturday on the horse racing front with the ITV4 cameras heading to Ascot, Haydock and Lingfield  - we've 8 races in total that include the Victoria Cup, Swinton Hurdle, plus the Lingfield Derby and Oaks Trials - As always, we’ve all the LIVE ITV contests covered from a trends and stats angle.

Saturday 11th May 2019

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

3.10 - Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Registered As The Swinton Hurdle Race) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m ITV4

16/16 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-old
16/16 – Had won over at least 2m miles (hurdles before)
16/16 – Carried 11-5 or less
15/16 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
15/16 – Didn’t win last time out
14/16 – Had won between 2-3 times over hurdles before
11/16 – Irish bred
11/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/16 – Carried 10-8 or less
9/16 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
8/16 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
7/16 – Ran at Aintree last time out
5/16 – Returned a double-figure price
5/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Had run at the track before (hurdles)
4/16 – Trained by Evan Williams (4 of the last 6 runnings)
3/16 – Ran at Ayr last time out
2/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
1/16 – Irish-trained winners
4 of the last 13 winners returned 16/1
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

2.15 – Les Ambassadeurs Casino Handicap Cl3 1m4f ITV4

Only 8 previous runnings
8/8 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/8 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
8/8 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
7/8 – Rated between 86 and 91
7/8 – Won 2 or 3 times before
7/8 – Carried 9-4 or less
6/8 – Aged 4 years-old
6/8 – Didn’t win last time out
6/8 – Favourites placed in the top 3
4/8 – Won on reappearance run (4 of last 5)
4/8 – Drawn in stalls 5-8 (inc)
4/8 – Horses from stall 11 placed (1 winner)
4/8 – Had raced at Ascot before
3/8 – Winning favourites (3 of last 4)
2/8 – Trained by Roger Varian
2/8 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 4/1

2.50 - Carey Group Buckhounds Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f ITV4

11/13 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/13 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/13 – Had won 3 or more times before
8/13 – Favourites placed
7/13 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
7/13 – Had raced at Ascot before
7/13 – Winning favourites (inc co or joint)
7/13 – Had won over 1m4f before
5/13 – Raced within the last 3 weeks
4/13 – Won last time out
3/13 – Trained by John Gosden
3/13 – Trained by Roger Varian
2/13 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/13 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The last 10 winners ALL came from stalls 5 or lower
Barsnati (10/11 fav) won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/4

 

3.25 – St James’s Wealth Management British EBF Premier Fillies´ Handicap Cl2 1m ITV4

Your first 30 days for just £1

13/13 – Failed to win last time out
13/13 – Had won 2-3 times on the flat before
11/13 – Had won over a mile before
11/13 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
11/13 – Aged 5 or younger
9/13 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/13 – Carried 9-0 or more
9/13 – Aged 4 years-old
8/13 – Favourites that finished 4th or better
7/13 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
7/13 – Rated between 82-87
7/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
4/13 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/13 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2

 

4.00 – Totescoop6 Victoria Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV4

15/16 – Had run within the last 5 weeks
13/16 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
13/16 – Aged 5 or younger
13/16 – Had won no more than 3 times
12/16 – Carried 8-10 or less
12/16 – Had won over 7f before
10/16 – Unplaced favourites
10/16 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/16 – Had run at Ascot before (4 winners)
5/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint) – only 1 in the last 10 years
2/16 – Trained by David Elsworth (2 of last 4)
The last 6 winners came from a double-figure draw
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/1
Ripp Orf (20/1) won the race 12 months ago

Note: The 2005 running was staged at Lingfield

Lingfield Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

1.55 - Betfred Mobile Oaks Trial Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 1m3f106y ITV4

14/15 – Had won no more than once before
12/15 – Had no more than 3 career runs
12/15 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
12/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Came from stall 5 or higher
10/15 – Went onto run in the Epsom Oaks (no winners, two seconds)
8/15 – Had only won over a mile or shorter in the past
7/15 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
7/15 – Having first run of the season
7/15 – Won last time out
6/15 – Raced at either Newbury (3) or Newmarket (3) last time out
5/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 – Winners from stall 5
4/15 – Winning distance exactly 6 lengths
3/15 – Had won over 1m2f before
3/15 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
2/15 - Trained by John Gosden
2/15 – Trained by William Haggas
2/15 – Irish-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/1

2.30 - Betfred Derby Trial Stakes (Listed Race) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 1m3f106y ITV4

16/16 – Had won no more than 3 times
13/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/16 – Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (no winners)
12/16 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Finished 4th or better last time out
11/16 – Had run within the last 4 weeks
11/16 – Favourites placed
8/16 – Drawn in stall 1 or 2
5/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Ran at Newbury last time out
4/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/2
The last winner to go on and win the Epsom Derby was High Rise 1998

3.40 - Betfred "Supports Jack Berry House" Chartwell Fillies´ Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 7f1y ITV4

13/13 – Aged 5 or younger
12/13 – Drawn between stalls 3-8 (inc)
11/13 – Won between 1-4 times before
10/13 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/13 – Had won over 7f before
8/13 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
8/13 – Placed favourites
7/13 – Drawn in stall 3 (4) or 7 (3)
7/13 – Irish-bred
6/13 – Won last time out
5/13 – Non UK-trained winners
5/13 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/13 – Returned 16/1 in the betting
2/13 – Winning favourites
5 of the last 10 winners returned double-figures in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 22nd Dec 2018

It’s the last weekend before Christmas and it looks set to be another decent Saturday of jumping action with the ITV cameras heading to Haydock and Ascot for six LIVE races.
So, to help you narrow down the fields and hopefully point you in the direction of a winner or two, here at GeeGeez we've got the big-race trends ahead of each race.

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

1.50 – My Pension Expert Handicap Chase Cl2 2m3f ITV4

Only 3 previous runnings
Mr Medic won the race in 2017
Poker School won the race in 2016
Trainer Paul Nicholls won the race in 2015
No winning favourite in 3 runnings
All winners returned between 6/1 and 10/1
All winners aged between 4-7 years-old

2.25 – JLT Long Walk Hurdle Grade 1 Cl1 3m1f ITV4

16/16 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
16/16 – Winners that went onto compete in that season’s World Hurdle (5 won, 4 runners-up)
14/16 – Placed in the top three in their last race
14/16 – Favourites placed
13/16 – Won by a horse aged 8 or younger
12/16 – French-bred horse
12/16 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
12/16 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles previously
11/16 – Won over at least 3m (hurdles) previously
10/16 – Raced at Newbury last time out
9/16 – Favourites that won
9/16 – Won their last race
3/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/16 – Trained by Nick Williams
2/16 – Ridden by jockey Ruby Walsh
2/16 – Ridden by jockey Barry Geraghty
2/16 – Ridden by jockey Richard Johnson
2/16 – Ridden by jockey Tom Scudamore
Sam Spinner won the race in 2017
Unowhatimeanharry (6/5 fav) won the race in 2016
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2

 

3.00 – Garrard Silver Cup Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 3m ITV4

13/13 – Ran within the last 7 weeks
9/13 – Won over at least 3m (fences) previously
9/13 – Aged either 7 or 8 years-old
7/13 – Won by a French bred horse
7/13 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
8/13 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
8/13 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
8/13 – Raced at Ascot previously
7/13 – Favourites placed
6/13 – Won at least 5 times over fences before
5/13 – Ran at either Cheltenham (3) or Ascot (2) last time out
5/13 – Aged 7 years-old
4/13 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/13 – Favourite (1 joint)
2/13 – Trained by Henry Daly
2/13 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty (2 of the last 4)
Gold Present won the race in 2017
Regal Encore (20/1) won the race in 2016
The average winning SP in the last 8 renewals is 10/1
Note: The 2004 renewal was staged at Windsor

3.35 – Betfair Exchange Trophy (Handicap Hurdle) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m ITV4

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15/15 – Aged between 4-7 years-old
15/15 – Had won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
14/15 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
12/15 – Had raced within the last 2 months
10/15 – Carried 10-10 or more
8/15 – Unplaced favourites
9/15 – Officially rated between 127 and 136
8/15 – Priced 12/1 or bigger in the betting
7/15 – Won by a horse aged 5 years-old
7/15 – Won last time out
7/15 – Irish bred
4/15 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
4/15 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/15 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/15 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 11/1

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

2.05 – £50 Risk Free On Racing With Smarkets Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m2f191y ITV

11/11 – Returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Aged 7 or younger
8/11 – Didn’t win last time out
8/11 – Had won 1-3 times over hurdles before
8/11 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
7/11 – Placed favourites
7/11 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
6/11 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
6/11 – Ran at either Newbury (2) or Haydock (4) last time out
6/11 – Had raced at Haydock before
5/11 – Finished 2nd or 3rd last time out
4/11 – French bred
4/11 – Winning Favourites
2/11 – Trained by Lucy Wadham
The average winning SP in the last 9 renewals is 5/1

2.40 – Smarkets Tommy Whittle Handicap Chase Cl2 3m ITV4

11/11 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
11/11 – Failed to win their last race
9/11 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
8/11 – Had raced at Haydock previously (hurdles or fences)
7/11 – Won over at least 3m before (hurdles or fences)
7/11 – Won between 2-3 times over fences previously
7/11 – Favourites placed
5/11 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or shorter
3/11 – Ridden by jockey Tom O’Brien
3/11 – French bred
3/11 – Went onto run in that season’s Aintree Grand National (all unplaced)
2/11 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
2/11 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
6 of the last 10 winners carried 11-0 or more
Captain Redbeard won the race in 2017

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 24th Nov 2018

More excellent jumping action at Ascot and Haydock this Saturday with the ITV cameras heading to both tracks. The Betfair Chase is the highlight from Haydock at 3.00, while the main event at Ascot is the Christy 1965 Chase – As always, we are on hand with all the trends and stats to help you whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

2.05 - Christy 1965 Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 2m5f8y ITV

14/15 – Aged 8 or younger
13/15 – Had between 1-4 previous chase wins
12/15 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
11/15 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
10/15 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
10/15 – Favourites placed
10/15 – Won by a French-bred horse
10/15 – Had won over this trip (fences) 2m5f or further before
10/15 – Ran at Aintree (3) or Cheltenham (6) last time out
9/15 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season
9/15 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
8/15 – Winning favourites (3 joint)
6/15 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls
6/15 – Won last time out
4/15 – Aged 5 years-old
3/15 – Won by trainer Nicky Henderson
2/15 – Won by trainer Alan King
2/15 – Won by trainer Philip Hobbs
2/15 – Went onto win at the Cheltenham Festival that season (Albertas Run & Vautour, RyanAir Chase 2009 & 2016)
Top Notch won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/2

Note: The 2002 running was at Wincanton and the 2004 renewal at Windsor

 

 

2.40 - Coral Hurdle (Registered As The Ascot Hurdle Race) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m3f58y ITV

16/16 – Priced 7/2 or less
14/16 – Won over at least 2m 1/2f (hurdles) previously
14/16 – Won a Grade 2 (or better) hurdle race previously
13/16 – Won by and Irish (10) or French (3) bred horse
12/16 – Favourites placed
10/16 – Won their latest race
10/16 – Won by a horse aged 7 or older
10/16 – Won a Grade 1 hurdle race previously
10/16 – Had their last race 3 months or longer ago
9/16 – Favourites that won (2 joint)
9/16 – Won between 3-5 times over hurdles previously
6/16 – Went onto run in that season’s World Hurdle after winning this (1 won)
5/16 – Went onto race in the Champion Hurdle that same season (4 of 5 finished 4th or better, Faugheen won both in 2014-15)
5/16 – Won a hurdles race at Ascot previously
4/16 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
4/16 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/16 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable
2/16 – Won by the Willie Mullins stable
4 of the last 12 winners were Irish-trained
The average SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/4
Lil Rockerfeller won the race in 2017
Note: the 2004 & 2005 renewals were at Windsor

 

3.15 – Gerard Bertrand Hurst Handicap Chase Cl2 2m192y ITV

11/12 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/12 – Aged between 6 and 9 years-old
11/12 – Had won over fences over this trip (or further) before
9/12 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
9/12 – Carried 11-0 or more
9/12 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
8/12 – Rated 142 or higher
7/12 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
6/12 – Ran at either Ascot (3) or Cheltenham (3) last time out
6/12 – Had raced at Ascot before
6/12 – Placed favourites
4/12 – Placed horses from the Paul Nicholls yard
4/12 – Won last time out
3/12 – Winning favourites
3/12 – Aged 6 years-old
2/12 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/12 – Trained by Gary Moore

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Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.50 - Betfair Best Odds On ITV Races Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m3f ITV

7 previous runnings
6/7 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
6/7 – Irish bred
6/7 – Had won between 1-2 times before
6/7 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
5/7 – Carried 10-12 or more in weight
5/7 – Had won over at least 2m2f before
5/7 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
2/7 – Winning favourites
3/7 – Ridden by a conditional claiming jockey
Limited Reserve won the race in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 7/1

 

2.25 - Betfair Exchange Stayers’ Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 2m6f177y ITV

12/13– Aged between 5 and 7 years-old
12/13 – Had won between 1-3 times (hurdles UK) before
11/13 – Carried 10-9 or more
11/13 – Rated between 132 and 143
8/13 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (no winners)
7/13 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
7/13 – Placed favourites
7/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/13 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
6/13 – French bred
5/13 – Won last time out
5/13 – Had raced at Haydock before
3/13 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/13 – Trained by David Pipe
2/13 – Trained by Nick Williams
Sam Spinner won the race in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 17/2

 

3.00 - Betfair Chase (Registered as The Lancashire Chase) (Grade 1) Cl1 3m1f ITV

13 Previous runnings
11/13 - Won over at least 3m (fences) previously
11/13 - Raced within the last 4 weeks
10/13 - Officially rating of 168 or higher
10/13 – Won by and Irish (3) or French (7) bred horse
10/13 - Placed in the top three in their last race
10/13 - Won a Grade One chase previously
9/13 - Raced at Haydock previously
9/13 – Favourites placed
8/13 – Aged 8 or older
7/13 - Raced at Wetherby in the Charlie Hall last time out
7/13 - Winning distance - 2 ½ lengths or less
6/13 – Won by a previous winner of the race
6/13 – Winning favourites
5/13 – Won their latest race
3/13 - Raced at Aintree last time out
The average winning price in the last 11 runnings is 11/2
The Paul Nicholls yard has won the prize in 2006, 2007, 2009, 2011, 2012 & 2014
Ruby Walsh has ridden the winner in 2006, 2009, 2011, 2012

 

3.35 – Better Value On The Betfair Exchange Handicap Chase Cl2 3m24y ITV

11/11 – Aged 9 or younger
10/11 – French (4) or Irish (6) bred
9/11 – Carried 11-1 or more
9/11 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
8/11 – Had won 2-3 times over fences before
8/11 – Had won over at least 3m (chase) before
7/11 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/11 – Had run within the last 5 weeks
4/11 – Carried 11-11 or more in weight
4/11 –Winning distance – head or shorter
4/11 – Won last time out
2/11 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
2/11 – Winning favourites
Chase The Spud won the race in 2017

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 6th Oct 2018

This weekend as the ITV cameras head to Newmarket, Ascot and Redcar to take in seven LIVE races.

At Redcar we've got the Two-Year-Old Trophy as their feature contest, while at Newmarket the Group One Kingdom of Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes takes centre stage - a race the French have won 5 times in the last 16 years. Then at Ascot we've four more races that include the Cumberland Lodge and John Guest Bengough Stakes, plus the ultra-competitive Challenge Cup Handicap - Did you know that 14 of the last 16 Cumberland Lodge favourites have been placed?

As always, use these key trends to find the best profiles of recent winners.

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/ATR)

1.50 – Duke Of Edinburgh’s Award Rous Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f ITV4

14/14 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
14/14 – Won over 5f before
13/14 – Returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Rated 101 or higher
11/14 – Winning distance – ½ length or shorter
11/14 – Aged 5 or younger
10/14 – Had won between 3-7 times before
9/14 – Unplaced last time out
8/14 – Yet to win at Listed or better class
7/14 – Raced at Newbury last time out
6/14 – Irish bred
3/14 - Trained by Bryan Smart
2/14 – Won last time out
1/14 – Winning favourites
Just Glamorous (33/1) won the race in 2017
10 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 10 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/1

2.25 – Stella Artois Cumberland Lodge Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f ITV4

16/16 - Finished fourth or better last time out
14/16 – Had won over 1m4f before
14/16 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
14/16 – Placed favourites
13/16 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
12/16 – Won at Listed or better class before
11/16 – Had raced at the course before (6 won)
10/16 – Winning distance 1 ¾ lengths or more
10/16 – Had 5 or more runs that season
10/16 – Won last time out
10/16 – Had won 4 or more times before
8/16 – Favourites to win
6/16 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
5/16 – Trained by Marcus Tregoning
2/16 – Ridden by Martin Dwyer
1/16 – Filly or mare winners
9 of the last 10 winners came from draws 8 or lower
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor has won 2 of the last 5 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/3
Danehill Kodiac (8/1) won the race in 2007
Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newmarket

3.00 - John Guest Bengough Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f ITV4

10 previous runnings
10/10 – Won over 6f previously
10/10 – Officially rated 100 or higher
9/10 – Winning distance – 3/4 length or less
9/10 – Won 4 or more times previously
8/10 – Had run within the last 30 days
7/10 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
6/10 – Raced 6 or more times that season
5/10 – Won their previous race
3/10 – Returned a double-figure price
3/10 – Favourites to win
2/10 – Raced at the Curragh last time out
Horse from stall 7 has been placed in 5 of the last 7 runnings (3 wins)
Horses from stall 5 and 7 have won 5 of the last 7 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 15/2
Blue Point (Evs) won the race in 2017

3.35 – Challenge Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV4

15/16 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
14/16 – Won between 2 and 4 previous races
13/16 – Won over 7f previously
11/16 – Had raced within the last 30 days
11/16 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/16 – Raced at Ascot previously
10/16 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
9/16 – Raced 7 or more times that season
8/16 – Returned a double-figure price
7/16 – Carried 8-12 or less in weight
5/16 – Raced at Ayr last time out
4/16 – Favourites to win
2/16 – Traind by Roger Charlton
2/16 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/16 – Won their previous race
0/16 – Filly or mare winners
7 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 8-13 (inc)
5 of the last 10 horses from stall 10 were placed in the top 4
4 of the last 10 horses from stall 11 were placed in the top 3
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 12/1
Accidental Agent (16/1) won the race in 2017

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Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newmarket

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

2.05 - British EBF Breeders´ Fillies´ Series Sprint Handicap Cl2 6f ITV4

Just 2 previous running
Trainer Malcolm Saunders won the race in 2017
Trainer Andrew Balding won the race in 2016
Trainer John Gosden has a 21% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Hughie Morrison has a 33% record with his 3 year-olds at the track


3.15 -
Kingdom of Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m ITV4

12/14 – Had won over at least 1m before
12/14 – Previous Group winners
12/14 – Won between 3-5 times before
11/14 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
10/14 – Rated between 113 and 119
9/14 – Previous Group One winners
7/14 – Aged 3 years-old
5/14 – Winning favourites (1 co)
5/14 – French-trained winners
5/14 – Raced at Deauville last time out
4/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/14 – Won by a previous winner of the race
The last 11 winners came from stalls 9 or lower
Horses from stall 1 have won 4 of the last 12 runnings
Roly Poly (4/1) won the race in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2

 

 

Redcar Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

2.45 – Racing UK Two-Year-Old Trophy (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV4

13/16 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
13/16 – Had 4 or more previous runs that season
11/16 – Had won 1 or 2 previous races
10/16 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
10/16 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/16 – Foaled in March or later
8/16 – Had won over 6f before
8/16 – Unplaced favourites
5/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Filly winners
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/16 – Trained by Tim Easterby
2/16 – Trained by Stan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1

 

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 8th Sept 2018

Plenty going on this Saturday –  this week from Haydock, Ascot & Kempton - with the Group One Haydock Sprint Cup the feature contest on the day.....As always we've  got all the TV trends for you. Use these to find the best profiles of past winners and whittle down the runners.


Saturday 8th September 2018

 

HAYDOCK Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

1.50 - Read Luke Morris Blog At Unibet Handicap Cl2 1m6f ITV

9/9 – Came from stalls 3-10 (inc)
9/9 – Had run in the last 4 weeks
8/9 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
8/9 – Rated between 81-89 (inc)
7/9 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
7/9 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
6/9 – Came from stalls 6-10 (inc)
6/9 – Irish Bred
5/9 – Placed favourites
5/9 – Won last time out
4/9 – Ran at either York (2) or Newbury (2) last time out
3/9 – Winning favourites
Taxmeifyoucan (16/1) won the race in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 15/2

2.25 – Unibet Mile (Registered as The Superior Mile Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 1m ITV

12/14 – Won over 1m or further before
12/14 – Won 3 or more times before
11/14 – Winning distance 1 length or more
11/14 – Had won a Listed or better race before
10/14 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Had 3 or more runs that season
9/14 – Placed favourites
8/14 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
7/14 – Ran at either York or Ascot last time out
6/14 – Winning favourites
4/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Had won at Haydock before
3/14 – Trained by Roger Charlton
3/14 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
5 of the last 9 winners came from stalls 1 or 4
Ballet Concerto (8/1) won the race in 2018

3.35 - 32Red Casino Handicap Cl2 1m6f ITV

14/15 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
14/15 – Had won at least twice before
13/15 – Finished 4th or better last time out
13/15 – Had run 4 or more times that season
13/15 – Aged 3, 4 or 5 years-old
11/15 – Rated 90 to 101
11/15 – Drawn in stall 8 or higher
9/15 – Winning distance ¾ lengths or less
8/15 – Carried 9-0 or more
7/15 – Ran at Haydock before
7/15 – Had run over 1m6f before
6/15 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/15 – Ran at York last time out
4/15 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/15 – Ridden by Joe Fanning
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 9/1
Sepal (11/4) won the race in 2017

4.15 - 32 Red Sprint Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 6f ITV

14/16 - Aged 5 or younger
13/16 – Had 4 or more career wins to their name
13/16 – Rated 111 or higher
13/16 – Had won over 6f before
12/16 – Didn’t win their previous race
12/16 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
12/16 –Had 4 or more runs that season
11/16 – Winning distance 1 length or less
11/16 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
10/16 – Had won a Group race before
9/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/16 – Ran at Deauville (3) or York (5) last time out
7/16 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
7/16 – Had run at Haydock before (3 had won)
6/16 – Had won a Group 1 before
5/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Placed horse from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 9/1
Harry Angel (2/1) won the race in 2017

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 Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

 2.45 – Cunard Handicap Cl2 7f ITV

Only 7 previous runnings
7/7 – Didn’t win last time out
7/7 – Had run at the course before
7/7 – Had won over 7f before
7/7 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
7/7 – Winning distance 1 ¼ lengths or less
6/7 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
5/7 – Irish bred
5/7 – Unplaced last time out
4/7 – Rated between 95-97
4/7 – Had between 4-7 wins already
3/7 – Aged 5 years-old
2/7 – Winners from stall 12
0/7 – Winning favourites
Remarkable(10/1) won the race in 2017

3.55 - Lavazza Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m4f ITV

Only 8 previous runnings
7/8 – Rated between 84-95
6/8 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
5/8 – Had won just once before
5/8 – Horses placed from stall 10
5/8 – Returned a double-figure price
4/8 – Carried 9-0 or more
4/8 – Horses placed from stall 8
4/8 – Won last time out
4/8 – Had run at Ascot before (3 won)
3/8 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/8 – Won by trainer Saeed Bin Suroor
2/8 – Winning favourites (1 co)
Note: the 2015 running was a dead-heat
Duke Of Bronte (16/1) won the race in 2017

 

Kempton Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

 

2.05 - 188Bet September Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f ITV

11/12 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
9/12 – Didn’t win last time out
9/12 – Had won between 4-7 times before
9/12 – Had won over 1m4f before
9/12 – Placed favourites
8/12 – Winning distance – 1 ¼l or more
7/12 – Horses from stall 2 that finished in the top 3
7/12 – Had run at Kempton before
7/12 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
5/12 – Ran at York (3) or Windsor (2) last time out
4/12 – Aged 4 years-old
4/12 – Godolphin-owned runners
4/12 – Winning favourites
3/12 – Winners from stall 2
3/12 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
0/12 – Winners from stall 1
Chemical Charge (13/8 fav) won the race in 2017

3.15 - 188Bet Extra Place Races 'London Mile' Handicap (Series Final) Cl2 1m ITV

12/12 – Had run at Kempton before
10/12 – Had won over a mile before
10/12 – Won between 3-7 times before
10/12 – Unplaced favourites
9/12 – Aged 4 years-old
8/12 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
6/12 – Returned 20/1 or bigger in the betting
5/12 – Rated between 77-85
5/12 – Horses from stall 9 that finished in the top 3
4/12 – Ran at Kempton last time out
4/12 – Won last time out
2/12 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
1/12 – Winning favourites
4 of the last 6 winners came from stalls 14 or 16 (2 each)
Brilliant Vanguard (8/1) won the race in 2017

 

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Sat TV Trends: 29th July 2017

Another big Saturday of horse racing action with the ITV cameras heading to Ascot for four races that include the Group One King George VI And Queen Elizabeth Stakes, while they are also at York to take in three more contests that include the Skybet Dash.

As always, we’ve got is all covered with all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle.

 

 

Saturday 29th July 2017

 

ASCOT Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

1.50 – Princess Margaret Juddmonte Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 6f ITV

12/14 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/14 – Had won just once before
11/14 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
11/14 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
10/14 – Foaled in either Feb or March
9/14 – Won over 6f before
8/14 – Winning favourite
5/14 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/14 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/14 – Won last time out
2/14 – Won by the Hannon yard
2/14 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
5 of the last 11 winners were Irish bred
7 of the last 11 horses from stall 1 were placed
4 of the last 6 winners came from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/2
Fair Eva (4/6 fav) won the race 12 months ago
Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newbury

 2.25 – Porsche Handicap Cl2 1m ITV

Only 6 previous runnings
5/6 – Carried 8-8 or more
5/6 – Winners between stalls 9-15
5/6 – Had won just once before
3/6 – Won last time out
4/6 – Unplaced favourites
3/6 – Returned 10/1 or bigger in the betting
3/6 – Raced at Ascot last time out
2/6 – Irish bred
1/6 – Winning favourite
Mustashry (8/1) won the race 12 months ago
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute won the race 12 months ago
Trainer William Haggas won the race in 2014
Trainer Hughie Morrison won the race in 2012

 3.00 – Gigaset International Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV

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14/14 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
14/14 – Had raced at Ascot previously
14/14 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
11/14 – Won over 7f previously
11/14 – Favourites unplaced
11/14 – Carried 8-9 or more in weight
10/14 – Won between 2-4 times previously
9/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
9/14 – Winners that came from outside the top three in the market
9/14 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
9/14 – Aged 4 years-old
5/14 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
4/14 – Won their last race
4/14 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/14 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/14 – Trained by Clive Cox
2/14 – Ridden by Jimmy Quinn
1/14 – Favourites
Librisa Bereeze (4/1 fav) won the race 12 months ago
8 of the last 10 winners ran at either Ascot, Newmarket or Haydock last time out
7 of the last 10 winners came from a double-figure stall
7 of the last 10 winners finished in the top 5 last time out
Heavens Guest won the race in 2015
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 21/1
Note: The 2005 running was staged at Newbury

 

3.35 – King George VI And Queen Elizabeth Stakes (Sponsored By Qipco British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m4f ITV

15/15 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
15/15 – Previous Group 1 or 2 winners
14/15 – Had 2 or more runs already that season
13/15 – Had won over 1m4f before
12/15 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Placed last time out
11/15 – Previous Group 1 winner
9/15 – Had run Ascot before
8/15 – Won their previous race
7/15 – Favourites that won
7/15 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
5/15 – Won at Ascot before
3/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 1981, 1983, 2002, 2009 & 2010
Saeed Bin Suroor won the race in 1995, 1997, 1998, 1999 & 2004
Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2001, 2007, 2008 & 2016
The average winning SP in the last 15 runnings is 7/2

YORK Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.05 – Win £10,000 for Free At sportinglife.com/pick7 Now Handicap Cl2 7f ITV

9/9 – Carried 9-3 or more
8/9 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
8/9 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
7/9 – Had won over 7f before
7/9 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
5/9 – Had won at York before
4/9 – Rated between 73 and 80
4/9 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
3/9 – Returned 4/1 in the betting
2/9 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/9 – Won by the David O’Meara yard
1/9 – Won last time out
Get Knotted (11/2) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 6/1

 

2.40 – Sky Bet Dash (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

13/13 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
12/13 – Carried 8-12 or more
12/13 – Had won between 2-6 times before
12/13 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/13 – Aged 5 or younger
10/13 – Drawn in stall 10 or lower
9/13 – Placed favourites
8/13 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
8/13 – Raced at either Hamilton, York, Newmarket or Ascot last time
7/13 – Had run at York before
6/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/13 – Won last time out
8 of the last 11 winners carried 9-0 or more
Kimberella (9/2 fav) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

3.15 – Sky Bet York Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m2f88y ITV

10/11 – Aged 6 or younger
10/11 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
9/11 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
8/11 – Horses from stall one that finished in the top two
8/11 – Had won over 1m2f before
8/11 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
8/11 – Had won at least 4 times before
7/11 – Rated between 112 and 117
6/11 – Ran at Sandown last time out
6/11 – Had run at York before
5/11 – Winning favourites
3/11 – Aged 6 years-old
2/11 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
Time Test (1/2 fav) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 18th Feb 2017

Another huge day on the horse racing front this weekend as the ITV cameras will be heading to Ascot, Haydock and Wincanton this Saturday. The Grand National Trial at Haydock and the Ascot Chase (yes, you guessed it, at Ascot) are the feature contests to look out for.

So, to help narrow down the fields, and point you in the direction of a few winners, then we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle – we hope they help!

 

 

 

 

ASCOT HORSE RACING TRENDS (ATR/ITV)

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1.50 - Sodexo Reynoldstown Novices´ Chase (An Ascot Appearance Money Scheme Race) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m7f180y ITV

14/14 – Priced 17/2 or shorter in the betting
13/14 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
12/14 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences previously
12/14 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
12/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/14 – Won last time out
9/14 – Irish bred
8/14 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
8/14 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s RSA Chase (2 winners)
7/14 – Placed favourites
7/14 – Winners that went onto finish 5th or better in the RSA Chase
6/14 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/14 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
3/14 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
3/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/14 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/3

Note: The 2005 & 2006 - Run at Lingfield Park


2.25 – Keltbray Swinley Chase (A Limited Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m7f180y ITV

Only 6 previous runnings
6/6 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
6/6 – Won 1 or 2 chase wins
5/6 – Aged 8 or older
5/6 – Raced at either Ascot (2) or Cheltenham (3) last time out
5/6 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
4/6 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
3/6 – Winning distance head or shorter
3/6 – Had raced at Ascot (fences) before
3/6 – Aged in double-figures
3/6 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
3/6 – Irish bred
2/6 – Won last time out
2/6 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 9/2
Sausalito Sunrise won the race 12 months ago


3.00 - Les Ambassadeurs Casino Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m3f110y ITV

10/11 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
9/11 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
8/11 – Had won over 2m4f or further before
7/11 – Carried 10-12 or less
7/11 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ or less
7/11 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
6/11 – Winners that went onto race at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
6/11 - Finished in the top 4 last time out
6/11 – Placed favourites
5/11 – Priced 9/1 or bigger
5/11 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
5/11 – Irish bred
4/11 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
4/11 – Had run at Ascot over hurdles before
3/11 – Winning favourite (1 joint)
2/11 – Raced at Sandown last time out
2/11 – Trained by Dr Richard Newland
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 10/1


3.35 - Betfair Ascot Chase Grade 1 Cl1 2m5f110y ITV

14/14 – Won over at least 2m4f (fences) previously
13/14 – Priced at 15/2 or shorter in the market
12/14 – Winners that didn’t win their next start
12/14 – Winners from the top 3 in the market
11/14 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
11/14 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
10/14 – Favourites placed
10/14 – Officially rated 158 or higher
9/14 – Priced 2/1 or shorter in the market
9/14 – Favourites that won
7/14 – Won between 1-4 times over fences previously
7/14 – Unplaced in their latest race
6/14 – Raced at Kempton (King George) last time out
5/14 – Winners that ran in that season’s Ryanair Chase (1 winner, Cue Card) later that year
4/14 – Won over fences at Ascot previously
4/14 – Won their last race
3/14 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/14 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2/14 – Trained by Alan King
2/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
Cue Card won the race in 2013
8 of the last 10 winners returned 2/1 or shorter in the betting
Note: The 2005 & 2006 - Run at Lingfield Park
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 2/1

HAYDOCK HORSE RACING TRENDS (RUK/ITV)


2.05 - Betfred Rendlesham Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m6f177y ITV

13/14 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
11/14 – Had won over at least 3m (hurdles) previously
10/14 – Aged 8 or younger
10/14 – Rated 145 or higher
10/14 – Placed favourites
9/14 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or more
9/14 – Had won at least 4 times over hurdles before
8/14 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
8/14 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
8/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/14 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s World Hurdle (no winners)
6/14 – French-bred
6/14 – Had run at Haydock before
4/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
2/14 – Ran at Ascot last time out
1/14 – Winning favourites
1/14 – Winners that went onto win the Coral Cup at the Cheltenham Festival
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 6/1

Note: The 2003, 2004, 2005 - Run at Kempton Park


3.15 - Betfred Grand National Trial (Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m5f ITV

14/14 – UK-based trained winners
14/14 – Had won between 2-4 times over fences (rules) before
12/14 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
12/14 – Finished in the top three last time out
12/14 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences (rules) before
11/14 – Aged 10 or younger
11/14 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
10/14 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
10/14 – Aged 9 or younger
10/14 – Finished in the top two last time out
10/14 – Rated 135 or higher
9/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
9/14 – Carried 11-0 or less
7/14 – Unplaced favourites
7/14 – Won last time out
6/14 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Grand National (all unplaced)
6/14 – Irish-bred winners
4/14 – Winners that won by exactly 15 lengths
4/14 – Ran in the Welsh Grand National last time out
3/14 – Won with 11-12 in weight
3/14 – Finished 1st or 2nd in the Welsh Grand National last time out
3/14 – Trained by Lucinda Russell
2/14 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 14 runnings is 10/1
Bishops Road won the race 12 months ago

WINCANTON HORSE RACING TRENDS (RUK/ITV)


2.45 - Bathwick Tyres Kingwell Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 1m7f65y ITV

13/13 – Raced within the last 8 weeks
12/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/13 – Priced 10/3 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Favourites to finish in the top 3
11/13 – Had won at least 3 times over hurdles before
10/13 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Champion Hurdle (1 winner Katchit)
10/13 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
8/13 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
8/13 – Rated 155 or higher
7/13 – Winning favourites
7/13 – Won last time out
5/13 – Raced at Sandown last time out
2/13 – Trained by Alan King
1/13 – Winners that went onto win the World Hurdle (Inglis Drever)
Rayvin Black win the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 7/4

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 21st Jan 17

It’s off to Haydock Park and Ascot this Saturday for the LIVE ITV action – like all big race days we've got all the main races covered from a trends and stats angle…….


Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)


1.50 - OLBG.com Mares´ Hurdle (Registered As The Warfield Mares´ Hurdle Race) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m ITV

8 previous runnings
8/8 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
7/8 – Officially Rated 133 or higher
7/8 – From the top 4 in the betting
7/8 – Later ran in that season’s David Nicholson Mares’ Only Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival
7/8 – Won over at least 2m5f (hurdles) previously
6/8 – Won at least twice over hurdles in the UK before
6/8 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
6/8 – Ran at either Haydock (3) or Newbury (2) in their last race
5/8 – Favourites placed
4/8 – Won their last race
4/8 – Winning Favourites
3/8 – French bred
3/8 – Raced at Ascot previously
3/8 – Aged 6 years-old
2/8 – Trained by Harry Fry
2/8 - Later finished second in the OLBG Mares’ Only Hurdle (Cheltenham Festival)
1/8 – Won the OLBG Mares’ Only Hurdle (Cheltenham Festival) – Vroum Vroum Mag (2016)
Trainer Harry Fry won 2 of the last 3 runnings


2.25 – Keltbray Holloway´s Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 2m3f58y ITV

8/10 – Priced 11/2 or bigger in the betting
8/10 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
8/10 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
8/10 – Aged 7 or younger
7/10 – Officially rated 139 or higher
7/10 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
6/10 – Ran within in the last 4 weeks
6/10 – French bred
6/10 – Winners from outside the top 3 in the betting
6/10 – Went onto race in that season’s Coral Cup (best finish 3rd)
5/10 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles in the UK previously
5/10 – Had raced at Ascot previously
4/10 – Won their last race
4/10 – Aged 6 years-old
3/10 – Trained by David Pipe
3/10 – Raced at Cheltenham in their last race
2/10 – Later raced in that season’s World Hurdle (best finish 3rd)
2/10 – Ridden by Tom Scudamore
2/10 – Favourites (1 co)
Note:
2006 – Renewal at Lingfield
2005 – Renewal at Haydock


3.00 – Berkshire Community Foundation Clarence House Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m1f ITV

14/14 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
14/14 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
14/14 – Won at least 3 times (fences) previously
13/14 – Won a race over fences at 2m1f or further
12/14 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting market
12/14 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
12/14 – Favourites placed
10/14 – Won by a French-bred horse
10/14 – Went onto run in that season’s Champion Chase (4 winners)
9/14 – Won their last race
9/14 – Raced at Sandown (6) or Wetherby (3) last time out
9/14 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
8/14 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
7/14 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
7/14 – Favourites that won
4/14 – Went onto win the Champion Chase that season (2009 - Master Minded, Sprinter Sacre 2013, 2014 Sire de Grugy, 2015 Dodging Bullets)
4/14 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable (won the race 5 times in all)
3/14 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable (won the race 4 times in all)
3/14 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
3/14 – Had won the Tingle Creek Chase (Sandown) last time out
2/14 – Won by the Pipe stable
Since 1989 there have only been 2 winners aged in double-figures
Since 1989 (26 runnings) there have been 12 winners aged 8 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 12 runnings is 7/2

Note:

2006 – Renewal at Sandown
2005 – Renewal at Cheltenham


3.35 – bet365.com Handicap Chase Cl2 2m5f110y ITV

11/11 – Won between 1-3 times over fences in the UK previously
10/11 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
9/11 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
9/11 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
9/11 – Either French (3) or Irish (6) bred
8/11 – Won over at least 2m4f (fences) previously
8/11 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
8/11 – Officially Rated 130 or higher
7/11 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
7/11 – Aged 8 or younger
5/11 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
5/11 – From the top 3 in the betting
5/11 – Winning distance  - 6 lengths or further
5/11 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
4/11 – Raced at either Cheltenham (2) or Chepstow (2) last time out
2/11 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of last 3 runnings)
2/11 – Ridden by Andrew Thornton
2/11 – Trained by Richard Rowe
1/11 – Won their last race
1/11 – Winning Favourites

Note:
2006 – Renewal at Lingfield
2005 – Renewal at Uttoxeter

 

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

2.05 – Sky Bet Supreme Trial Rossington Main Novices´ Hurdle (Registered As The Rossington Main Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV

10/10 – Aged 7 or younger
10/10 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles previously
9/10 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
6/10 – Aged 5 years-old
6/10 – Had raced at Haydock previously
6/10 – Won their last race
4/10 – Winning Favourites
4/10 -  Ran at Haydock last time out
3/10 – French bred
2/10 – Went onto win the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle
2/10 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/10 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/10 – Trained by Venetia Williams
2/10 – Trained by Donald McCain Jnr

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Note: 2004 Renewal was staged at Wetherby


2.40 – stanjames.com Champion Hurdle Trial (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV

11/11 – Won at least twice over hurdles in the UK before
11/11 – Favourites placed in the top 3
9/11 – Finished in the top three in their last race
9/11 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
9/11 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Champion Hurdle
9/11 -  From the top 3 in the betting
9/11 – Priced 9/4 or shorter
8/11 – Won at least 3 times over hurdles previously
8/11 – Officially Rated 152 or higher
8/11 – Either French (3) or Irish (5) bred
7/11 – Aged 7 or younger
7/11 – Ran at either Cheltenham (4) or Kempton (2) last time out
6/11 – Winning Favourites
4/11 – Placed in the top 4 in that season’s Champion Hurdle (no winners)
3/11 – Won their last race
1/11 – Went onto win that season’s World Hurdle


3.15 - Peter Marsh Chase (A Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m1f ITV

13/13 – Aged 8 or older
13/13 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
13/13 – Won on ground described as soft or worse previously
12/13 – Carried 11-3 or less in weight
12/13 – Had run within the last 36 days
10/13 – Won at least 3 times over fences previously
9/13 – Officially Rated 139 or higher
9/13 – Won at Haydock previously
9/13 – Favourites unplaced
9/13 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
8/13 – Won between 3-5 times over fences before
8/13 – From outside the top 3 in the betting
8/13 – Aged either 8 or 9 years-old
8/13 – Won before (fences) over at least 3m
7/13 – Irish bred
7/13 – Finished in the top 3 in their last race
6/13 – Went onto finish unplaced in that season’s Grand National
6/13 – Ran at Wetherby last time out
5/13 – Raced in the Roland Meyrick (Wetherby) last time out
5/13 – Won over fences at Haydock before
4/13 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
3/13 – Trained by Sue Smith
2/13 – Trained by the McCain stable
2/13 – Won their last race
1/13 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 13 runnings is 11/1

 

Trainers Quotes

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"Scribner Creek - Won well two starts ago here, but pulled a bit too hard last time out over further. The drop back in trip should help as they should be going a bit quicker which should help him not race too freely. The plan is to drop him in and come with a run and should not be far away. Doesn't look much value though, but we'd be disappointed if he's not in the frame."
Mark Loughnane

10/01/17 3rd 11/2

"What Usain - All three career wins have been here at the track - only second run for us so still finding our feet with the horse but wasn't beaten far last time at Newcastle over a mile and a repeat of that effort would see him go close. But draw 12 not ideal so might need a bit of luck from there. Tough race, but each-way claims if not getting into too much traffic problems."
Mick Appleby

10/01/17 2nd 12/1

"Call Out Loud - Better last time on second run back so seems to be slowly blowing the cobwebs away. More needed up in grade here off the same mark, but trying the first-time visor here as took a hold last time - hopefully this will settle him better. Stays further too so that will help down the long straight."
Mick Appleby

10/01/17 1st 10/1

"Among Angels - Drop in class and the drop in trip here are both things in his favour. The horse is in great form at home and would not be shocked to see him run well at a fair each-way price."
Mark Loughnane

10/01/17 2nd 7/2

"Big Amigo - Won well the last day here over CD - has come out of that race very well and despite a 6lb penalty everything is in place for a big run. No reason why he can't go very close again, but, in truth, we'll be a bit disappointed if he can't follow-up."
Mark Loughnane

10/01/17 1st 9/4

"Mithqaal - A nice prize here and we look to have a decent chance. This horse loved the surface last time when dotting up by 2 lengths over 7f. The step up to a mile should be fine and a 6lb rise for that looks fair. Several others that like the surface too, so a bit more needed but is a horse certainly capable of taking this and one of my best chances on the day."
Mick Appleby

10/01/17 1st 4/6

"Pancake Day - Ran a cracker last time when third here over 6f. Been given a chance with same mark and grade. Drop down to 5f is no problem and in good form at home. Hands and Heels race, but we claim a further 7lbs so should be giving his jockey a nice run and should not be far away."
David C Griffiths

10/01/17 1st 4/1

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 17th December 2016

It’s the last weekend before Christmas and it looks set to be another decent Saturday of jumping action with the C4 cameras heading to Haydock and Ascot for six LIVE races.

So to help you narrow down the fields we've all the big-race trends, plus key trainer stats ahead of each race.

tvtrends-300x73

 

 

 


Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ATR/C4)

 

1.50 – BGC Partners Handicap Chase Cl3 2m1f CH4

7/8 – Carried 11-1 or more in weight
7/8 – Officially Rated between 130-137
7/8 – Won at least twice over fences previously
7/8 – Won a chase race over 2m1f previously
6/8 – French bred
6/8 – Aged 7 or older
6/8 – Priced 6/1 or shorter in the betting
3/8 – Won their last race
2/8 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/8 – Trained by Venetia Williams
1/8 – Favourites

Trainer Stats:
Tom Symonds has a 30% record with his runners at the track
Harry Fry has a 29% record with his runners at the track
Nicky Henderson has a 23% record with his runners at the track
Paul Nicholls has a 21% record with his runners at the track
Jonjo O’Neill is just 3 from 48 with his runners at the track


2.25 – JLT Long Walk Hurdle Grade 1 Cl1 3m1f CH4

14/14 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
14/14 – Winners that went onto compete in that season’s World Hurdle (5 won, 4 runners-up, 3 unplaced)
12/14 – French-bred horse
12/14 – Placed in the top three in their last race
12/14 – Favourites placed
11/14 – Won by a horse aged 8 or younger
11/14 – Winning distance – 5 lengths or more
10/14 – Won at least 5 times over hurdles previously
10/14 – Won over at least 3m (hurdles) previously
9/14 – Raced at Newbury last time out
8/14 – Favourites that won
7/14 – Won their last race
3/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/14 – Ridden by jockey Ruby Walsh
The average winning SP in the last 14 runnings is 9/2

Note:
2009 and 2010 runnings - Newbury
2005 running - Chepstow
2004  running -Windsor

Trainer Stats:
Harry Fry has a 29% record with his runners at the track
Nicky Henderson has a 23% record with his runners at the track
Nigel Twiston-Davies is just 3 from 44 with his runners at the track


3.00 – Lavazza Jolie Silver Cup Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 3m CH4

Your first 30 days for just £1

11/11 – Ran within the last 7 weeks
9/11 – Won over at least 3m (fences) previously
7/11 – Aged either 7 or 8 years-old
7/11 – Won by a French bred horse
7/11 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
7/11 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
7/11 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
6/11 – Raced at Ascot previously
6/11 – Favourites placed
6/11 – Won at least 5 times over fences before
4/11 – Aged 7 years-old
4/11 – Ran at either Cheltenham (2) or Ascot (2) last time out
3/11 – Priced at double-figure price in the betting
3/11 – Favourite (1 joint)
2/11 – Trained by Henry Daly

The average winning SP in the last 8 renewals is 11/1
Note: The 2004 renewal was staged at Windsor

Trainer Stats:

Nicky Henderson has a 23% record with his runners at the track
Harry Fry has a 29% record with his runners at the track
Jonjo O’Neill is only 3 from 48 with his runners at the track


3.35 – Wessex Youth Trust Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 2m CH4

13/13 – Aged between 4-7 years-old
13/13 – Had won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
12/13 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
11/13 – Had raced within the last 2 months
8/13 – Unplaced favourites
8/13 – Officially rated between 127 and 136
9/13 – Carried 10-10 or more
7/13 – Priced 12/1 or bigger in the betting
6/13– Won by a horse aged 5 years-old
6/13 – Won last time out
5/13 – Irish bred
4/13 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/13 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/13 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/13 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 14/1
Jolly’s Cracked and Sternrubin dead-headed in the race 12 months ago

Trainer Stats:
Harry Fry has a 45% record with his hurdlers at the track
Gary Moore is just 1 from 36 with his hurdlers at the track
Philip Hobbs has a 23% record with his hurdlers at the track

 

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RUK/C4)

2.05 - Abram Mares´ Novices´ Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 2m2f191y CH4

4 previous runnings
4/4 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
4/4 – Aged 5 years-old
4/4 – Officially rated 127-133
3/4 – Won last time out
3/4 – Won between 2-3 times before
3/4 – Irish bred
3/4 – Favourites finished 1st or 2nd
2/4 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 4 runnings is 2/1

Trainer Stats:
Graeme McPherson has a 25% record with his runners at the track
Paul Nicholls has a 22% record with his runners at the track

 

2.40 – Tommy Whittle Handicap Chase Cl2 3m CH4

9/9 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
9/9 – Failed to win their last race
8/9 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
8/9 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
7/9 – Won over at least 3m before (hurdles or fences)
6/9 – Won between 2-3 times over fences previously
6/9 – Favourites placed
6/9 – Had raced at Haydock previously (hurdles or fences)
5/9 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or shorter
3/9 – Ridden by jockey Tom O’Brien
2/9 – French bred
2/9 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
2/9 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
2/9 – Went onto run in that season’s Aintree Grand National (both unplaced)
1 winning favourite in the last 8 runnings
5 of the last 8 winners carried 11-0 or more
The average winning SP in the last 8 renewals is 7/1

Trainer Stats:

Emma Lavelle has 27% record with her runners at the track
Kerry Lee is 3 from 4 with her chasers at the track
Colin Tizzard has a 25% record with his chasers at the track
Evan Williams is just 1 from 24 with his chasers at the track

 

 

 

Trainers Quotes

TRAINERS-QUOTES.COM: GET THE BEST INFO FROM 20 TOP STABLES EACH DAY - Sent direct to your in-box!

"Aventus - Into claiming company here - looks a tough race and we've a bit to find on these terms with some of these. But we are putting the blinkers back on today and the drop back to a mile will help. Might be a tough ask to win with Poetic Force and Bazwind better off at the weights, but top three finish not out of the question. "
Jane Chapple-Hyam

12/12/16 2nd 16/1

"El Campeon - Off with an injury for most of the year but not disgraced on his comeback run when a bit free in a steadily run affair. Needs to settle better in this small field but looked like this track and trip suited him well when he carted up here last year."
Simon Dow

12/12/16 1st 6/1

"Street Outlaw is returning after a short break & is dropping into a seller for the first time. This is only a small field but we are wrong in at the weights with the main two in the betting so it will be tough to beat them.... Having said that these races don't always work on to the handicap marks so we might run into a place!"
Mark Loughnane

12/12/16 2nd 7/1

"Templier - Second runner in the race for us. TEMPLIER has schooled well at home and this hurdle debut could be interesting. Has had plenty of racecourse experience on the flat so he could give a good account of himself today. "
Gary Moore

12/12/16 1st 12/1

 

 

 JOIN TODAY

Sat TV Trends – 19th Nov 2016

More excellent jumping action at Ascot and Haydock this Saturday with the C4 cameras heading to both tracks. The Betfair Chase is the highlight from Haydock at 3.00, while at Ascot the Coral Hurdle and Stella Artois 1965 Chase top their card  – As always Andy Newton is on hand with all the trends and stats that will help you whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

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Ascot Horse Racing Trends (C4/ATR)

 

2.05 - Stella Artois 1965 Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 2m5f8y CH4

12/13 – Aged 8 or younger
11/13 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Had between 1-4 previous chase wins
10/13 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/13 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
9/13 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season
9/13 – Favourites placed
9/13 – Won by a French-bred horse
8/13 – Had won over this trip (fences) or further before
8/13 – Ran at Aintree (2) or Cheltenham (6) last time out
7/13 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
7/13 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
6/13 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls
6/13 – Won last time out
4/13 – Aged 5 years-old
2/13 – Won by trainer Alan King
2/13 – Won by trainer Nicky Henderson
2/13 – Went onto win at the Cheltenham Festival that season (Albertas Run & Vautour, RyanAir Chase 2009 & 2016)

Note: The 2002 running was at Wincanton and the 2004 renewal at Windsor


2.40 - Coral Hurdle (Registered As The Ascot Hurdle Race) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m3f58y CH4

Your first 30 days for just £1

14/14 – Priced 7/2 or less
13/14 – Won by and Irish (10) or French (3) bred horse
12/14 – Won over at least 2m 1/2f (hurdles) previously
12/14 – Won a Grade 2 (or better) hurdle race previously
11/14 – Favourites placed
10/14 – Won their latest race
10/14 – Won by a horse aged 7 or older
10/14 – Won a Grade 1 hurdle race previously
9/14 – Had their last race 3 months or longer ago
8/14 – Favourites that won (2 joint)
7/14 – Won between 3-5 times over hurdles previously
5/14 – Went onto run in that season’s World Hurdle after winning this (1 won)
4/14 – Went onto race in the Champion Hurdle that same season (all finished 4th or better, Faugheen won both in 2014-15)
3/14 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/14 – Won a hurdles race at Ascot previously
3/14 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable
4 of the last 10 winners were Irish-trained

Note: the 2004 & 2005 renewals were at Windsor


3.15 - Shawbrook Handicap Chase Cl2 2m192y CH4

10/10 – Aged between 6 and 9 years-old
10/10 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
9/10 – Had won over fences over this trip (or further) before
7/10 – Carried 11-0 or more
7/10 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
7/10 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
6/10 – Ran at either Ascot (3) or Cheltenham (3) last time out
6/10 – Rated 142 or higher
5/10 – Had raced at Ascot before
5/10 – Placed favourites
4/10 – Placed horses from the Paul Nicholls yard
4/10 – Won last time out
3/10 – Winning favourites
3/10 – Aged 6 years-old
2/10 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
Dresden won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/2

 

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)


1.50 - Betfair Price Rush Hurdle Cl2 2m CH4

2 previous runnings
Irving (Paul Nicholls) won the race 12 months ago
Both renewals were won by the favourite
Evan Williams has a +£42 level stakes profit with his hurdlers here

 

2.25 - Betfair Exchange "Fixed Brush" Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 2m6f177y CH4

11/11 – Aged between 5 and 7 years-old
10/11 – Had won between 1-3 times (hurdles UK) before
9/11 – Carried 10-10 or more
9/11 – Rated between 132 and 143
7/11 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (no winners)
6/11 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/11 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
6/11 – French bred
6/11 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
6/11 – Placed favourites
5/11 – Won last time out
4/11 – Had raced at Haydock before
3/11 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/11 – Trained by David Pipe
2/11 – Trained by Nick Williams
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1

 

3.00 - Betfair Chase (Registered as The Lancashire Chase) (Grade 1) Cl1 3m1f CH4

11 Previous runnings
9/11 – Won by and Irish (3) or French (6) bred horse
9/11 - Won over at least 3m (fences) previously
9/11 - Raced within the last 4 weeks
9/11 - Officially rating of 168 or higher
8/11 - Placed in the top three in their last race
8/11 - Won a Grade One chase previously
7/11 - Raced at Haydock previously
7/11 – Favourites placed
7/11 - Winning distance - 2 ½ lengths or less
5/11 – Won by a previous winner of the race
5/11 - Raced at Wetherby in the Charlie Hall last time out
4/11 – Winning favourites
3/11 - Raced at Aintree last time out
4/11 – Won their latest race
The average winning price in the last 11 runnings is 6/1
The Paul Nicholls yard has won the prize in 2006, 2007, 2009, 2011, 2012 & 2014
Ruby Walsh has ridden the winner in 2006, 2009, 2011, 2012


3.35 – Better Value With Betfair Handicap Chase Cl2 3m24y CH4

9 previous runs
9/9 – French (4) or Irish (5) bred
9/9 – Aged 9 or younger
7/9 – Carried 11-1 or more
7/9 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
7/9 – Had won 2-3 times over fences before
6/9 – Had won over at least 3m (chase) before
5/9 – Had run within the last 4 weeks
5/9 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
4/9 – Carried 11-11 or more in weight
4/9 –Winning distance – head or shorter
3/9 – Won last time out
2/9 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
2/9 – Winning favourite

 

Trainers Quotes

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"Minella On Line - First run back, but he's in great form and we have dropped him back in trip. He works very well at home so I'm hopeful of a good run."
Oliver Sherwood

14/11/16 1st 7/4

"Gores Island - Hoping for a good run from Gores Island, course winner and looks like he has Comeonginger to beat - e/w chances if all 8 stand their ground. "
Gary Moore

14/11/16 2nd 4/1

"Baron Alco - Working well and very pleased with him - should have every chance if he goes clear with just Alan King's to beat. "
Gary Moore

14/11/16 1st 4/7

"Frazer Canyon - Ran a lot better last time at Exeter so there are signs he's going the right way. Down another 4lbs for that and we think the first-time tongue-tie on here will be a big help. Step up slightly in trip a plus too, so would not be shocked to see him run a lot better with place claims on the cards."
Tim Vaughan

13/11/16 2nd 22/

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Sat TV Trends: 29th Oct 2016

Another jam-packed weekend of LIVE C4 action and, as always, we are on hand with all the key race trends for this Saturday’s meetings - this week from Ascot & Wetherby - races include the Charlie Hall Chase and Ascot Gold Cup.

 

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Ascot Horse Racing Trends (C4/ATR)


1.55 - Ascot Underwriting Novices´ Limited Handicap Chase Cl3 2m3f CH4

Just three previous runnings
3/3 – Aged 6 year-old
3/3 – Irish bred
2/3 – Yet to win over fences
2/3 – Had run over hurdles at Ascot before
0/3 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 3 runnings is 15/2
Trainer Evan Williams won the race 12 months ago


2.25 – Byrne Group Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 2m1f CH4

11/13 – Aged 8 years-old or younger
10/13 – Irish (4) or French (6) bred
9/13 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
9/13 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences before
8/13 – Having their first run of the new season
7/13 – Unplaced favourites
7/13 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
7/13 – Rated 130 or lower
5/13 – Aged 8 years-old
4/13 – Won last time out
4/13 – Ran at either Ascot (2) or Aintree (2) last time out
3/13 – Won carrying 11-12
3/13 – Winning favourites
3/13 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/13 – Trained by Venetia Williams
2/13 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
Ulck Du Lin won the race in 2014
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 17/2
Note: The 2005 running was staged at Ascot


3.00 -William Hill Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 2m CH4

Your first 30 days for just £1

12/12 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
12/12 – Had won over at 2m or 2m1f over hurdles before
11/12 – Never raced at Ascot before
9/12 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles
8/12 – Having their first run of the season
7/12 – Unplaced last time out
7/12 – Placed favourites
6/12 – Ran at Huntingdon (3) or Aintree (3) last time out
6/12 – Winning favourites (1 co, 1 joint)
5/12 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
4/12 – Won by a French bred horse
3/12 – Ridden by a conditional jockey
2/12 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/12 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls
2/12 - Won by the Nicky Henderson team
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1

 

3.35 – Sodexo Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m CH4

12/12 – Had won a chase race over at least 2 ½m before
10/12 – Didn’t win last time out
9/12 – Had run at Ascot before (4 won)
8/12 – Had won at least 3 times over fences before
8/12 – Unplaced favourites
8/12 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m before
7/12 – Carried 10-10 or more
7/12 – Aged 8 or older
7/12 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
8/12 – Having their first run of the season
8/12 – Unplaced in their last race
6/12 – Officially rated 135 to 138 inc
5/12 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/12 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/12 – Ran at Sandown last time out
3/12 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11.5/1

 

Wetherby Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)

1.35 - racinguk.com Chase (A Novices´ Limited Handicap) Cl3 1m7f36y CH4

Just 3 previous runnings
3/3 – Carried 11-4 or less in weight
3/3 – Finished second last time out
3/3 – Yet to win over fences
2/3 – French bred
2/3 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/3 – Rated exactly 135
2/3 – Winning favourites
2/3 – Aged 4 years-old
Trainer David Pipe has a 28% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 33% record with his chasers at the track
The average winning SP in the last 3 runnings is 9/2


2.10 – OLBG.com Mares´ Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 2m110y CH4

9/9 – Had won over at least 2m1f over hurdles before
8/9 – Never raced at Wetherby before
8/9 – Had between 2-5 previous hurdles wins to their name
8/9 – Were having their first run of the season
7/9 – Finished unplaced last time out
5/9 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
6/9 – Placed favourites
4/9 – Had won a NH Flat race previously
4/9 – Ran at Punchestown last time out
4/9 – Winning favourites
2/9 – Trained by John Quinn
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 4/1


2.45 –  bet365 West Yorkshire Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 3m26y CH4

14/14 – Had won over at least 2m3f over hurdles before
13/14 – Had won at least 3 times over hurdles before
13/14 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Won this on their seasonal reappearance
11/14 – Failed to win their last race
11/14 – Placed favourites
11/14 – Officially rated 149 or higher
9/14 – Aged 6,7 or 8 years-old
8/14 – Ran at either Aintree (5) or Cheltenham (3) last time out
7/14 – Finished unplaced last time out
6/14 – Had won at Wetherby before
4/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/14 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1


3.20 – bet365 Charlie Hall Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m1f CH4

13/14 – Were having their first run of the season
12/14 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Had won over at least 3m over fences before
12/14 – Rated 151 or higher
11/14 – Aged 8 or older
10/14 – Placed favourites
10/14 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
9/14 – Ran at either Ayr (3), Aintree (4) or Cheltenham (2) last time out
9/14 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
6/14 – Had run at Wetherby before (2 won)
6/14  - Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
4/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Ridden by Paul Moloney
2/14 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/14 – Trained by Evan Williams
Nigel Twiston-Davies has won the race in 1992, 1994, 2005 & 2007
The average winning SP in the last 14 runnings is 7/1

 

Trainers Quotes

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"Cuttin Edge - Working well at home. The drop back in trip should help him, in good form, favourite to beat, but not much depth after that horse and looks a fair each-way price."
William Muir

24/10/16 1st 5/1

"Bassarabad - Our final runner on the card and another with a decent-looking chance - probably my best on the day! Sporting the first-time visor to keep his mind on the job and was a decent fourth at the track here back in May. Yet to win a race and comes here off a 6 month break, but the horse is well and George's 8lb claim a further plus. Doesn't look the best of races so that helps too - hoping for a big run."
Tim Vaughan

22/10/16 1st 15/8

"Mezzotint - Loves it here at Chelmsford. Got shuffled back last time out here when fifth of 13, so still did well to finish where he did. Race clearly didn't suit, but down a pound for that, plus a good draw (1) here. So with a bit more luck in-running then we think a top three finish is certainly on the cards here today - anything else a plus."
Lee Carter

20/10/16 2nd 9/1

"Brave Encounter - Won nicely the last day at Fontwell and should have every chance again today in this grade off just 7lbs higher. He's fit and well, so touch wood for a bit of luck in-running then hopeful we can go close here with the horses running well at the moment. "
Jamie Snowden

20/10/16 1st 5/2

Sat TV Trends – 1st Oct 2016

Andy Newton takes you through the LIVE C4 races this Saturday at Ascot, Redcar and Newmarket from a trends angle – Did you know that 12 of the last 14 Cumberland Lodge favourites have been placed? Narrow down the fields and find the best winning profiles!

 

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Ascot Horse Racing Trends (C4/ATR)

 

2.30 - Gigaset Cumberland Lodge Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f CH4

14/14 - Finished fourth or better last time out
13/14 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Had won over 1m4f before
12/14 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/14 – Placed favourites
11/14 – Won at Listed or better class before
11/14 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
10/14 – Winning distance 1 ¾ lengths or more
10/14 – Had 5 or more runs that season
9/14 – Had raced at the course before (4 won)
9/14 – Won last time out
8/14 – Had won 4 or more times before
8/14 – Favourites to win
6/14 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
5/14 – Trained by Marcus Tregoning
2/14 – Ridden by Martin Dwyer
1/14 – Filly or mare winners
Trainer James Fanshawe (Star Storm) won the race in 2015
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/4

Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newmarket

 

3.05 - John Guest Bengough Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f CH4

Only 8 previous runnings
8/8 – Won over 6f previously
8/8 – Officially rated 100 or higher
7/8 – Winning distance – 3/4 length or less
7/8 – Won 4 or more times previously
7/8 – Had run within the last 30 days
6/8 – Aged 4 or older
6/8 – Raced 6 or more times that season
4/8 – Won their previous race
3/8 – Returned a double-figure price
2/8 – Raced at the Curragh last time out
1/8 – Favourites to win
Horse from stall 7 has been placed in 4 of the last 5 runnings (2 wins)
Horses from stall 5 and 7 have won 4 of the last 5 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 6 years is 11/1

 

3.40 – totescoop6 Challenge Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f CH4

13/14 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
12/14 – Won between 2 and 4 previous races
11/14 – Won over 7f previously
10/14 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
10/14 – Had raced within the last 30 days
9/14 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/14 – Raced at Ascot previously
9/14 – Raced 7 or more times that season
7/14 – Carried 8-12 or less in weight
7/14 – Returned a double-figure price
5/14 – Raced at Ayr last time out
3/14 – Favourites to win
2/14 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/14 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/14 – Won their previous race
0/14 – Filly or mare winners
Buckstay won the race in 2015
Intransigent won the race in 2014
Heavens Guest won the race in 2013
6 of the last 8 winners came from stalls 8-13 (inc)
4 of the last 8 horses from stall 10 were placed in the top 3
3 of the last 8 horses from stall 11 were placed in the top 3
The Average winning SP in the last 10 years is 16/1
Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newmarket

Your first 30 days for just £1

 

4.15 - Ascot And Camra 10th Anniversary Rous Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f CH4

12/12 – Returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
12/12 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
12/12 – Won over 5f before
10/12 – Rated 101 or higher
10/12 – Winning distance – ½ length or shorter
10/12 – Aged 5 or younger
9/12 – Had won between 3-7 times before
8/12 – Yet to win at Listed or better class
8/12 – Unplaced last time out
6/12 – Raced at Newbury last time out
5/12 – Irish bred
3/12 – Trained by Bryan Smart
1/12 – Winning favourites
1/12 – Won last time out
8 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 8 or lower
The Average winning SP in the last 10 years is 8/1

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)


2.15 - British EBF Breeders´ Fillies´ Series Sprint Handicap Cl2 6f CH4

No previous runnings
Trainer Mick Appleby has a 29% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor has a 17% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Ralph Beckett is just 3 from 41 (7%) with his 3 year-olds at the track

 

2.50 - British Stallions Supporting EBF Breeders´ Fillies´ Series Mile Handicap Cl2 1m CH4

No previous runnings
Trainer Luca Cumani is just 2 from 54 (4%) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Ed Dunlop is just 2 from 38 (5%) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer David Simcock is just 1 from 38 (3%) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer William Haggas is 0 from 25 with his 4 year-olds at the track

 

3.25 - British Stallions EBF Breeders´ Fillies´ Series Middle Distance Handicap Cl2 1m2f CH4

No previous runnings
Trainer Luca Cumani is just 2 from 54 (4%) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Ed Dunlop is just 2 from 38 (5%) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer David Simcock is just 1 from 38 (3%) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer William Haggas is 0 from 25 with his 4 year-olds at the track

 

4.00 - Kingdom of Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m CH4

10/12 – Had won over at least 1m before
10/12 – Previous Group winners
10/12 – Won between 3-5 times before
9/12 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
8/12 – Rated between 113 and 119
7/12 – Previous Group One winners
5/12 – Aged 3 years-old
5/12 – French-trained winners
5/12 – Raced at Deauville last time out
4/12 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
4/12 – Winning favourites (1 co)
2/12 – Won by a previous winner of the race
2/12 – Won last time out
Horses from stall 1 have won 3 of the last 10 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 15/2

 

Redcar Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)

 

3.15 - totepool Two-Year-Old Trophy (Listed Race) Cl1 6f CH4

11/14 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
11/14 – Had 4 or more previous runs that season
9/14 – Foaled in March or later
9/14 – Had won 1 or 2 previous races
9/14 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
9/14 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
8/14 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
8/14 – Had won over 6f before
8/14 – Unplaced favourites
5/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/14 – Filly winners
3/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Trained by Tim Easterby
2/14 – Trained by Stan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/1

 

 

 

Trainers Quotes

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"Next Sensation: In great form - has been much more like himslef the last two starts. Unlucky to fall when looking the winner last time. We've given him plenty of time since and seems as good as ever at home - hopefully he can make amends today and hopeful of a big run."
Michael Scudamore

26/09/16 1st 7/4

"GUNS OF LEROS  should have a great chance today. Probably the toughest race he has been in yet but he looks to be improving to me (won his last two) and as long as he can cope with the undulations of this track then I expect him to be there at the finish. "
Gary Moore

25/09/16 1st 5/1

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Sat TV Trends: 6th Aug 2016

The C4 cameras head to Ascot for their unique Shergar Cup meeting, while they are also at Newmarket and Haydock – Like all Saturday’s we've got all the LIVE C4 TV race trends…….

tvtrends-300x73

 

 

 

ASCOT Horse Racing Trends (C4/MORE4)

13:15 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Dash (Handicap) Cl2 5f More 4

8 previous runnings
8/8 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/8 – Failed to win their last race
8/8 – Raced at Ascot previously
7/8 – Carried 9-3 or more weight
7/8 – Had 4 or more runs that season
7/8 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting market
6/8 – Won at least 3 times in their career
6/8 – Won at least 3 times in their career
5/8 – Favourites  placed
5/8 – Raced at Ascot last time out
4/8 – Had won over 5f previously
3/8 – Winning distance – 1 or more lengths
3/8 – Favourites (1 joint)
3/8 – Trained by Robert Cowell (including last 2 runnings)
2/8 – Won by the Andrew Balding yard
2 of the last 8 winners came from stall 11
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 9/2

1.45 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Stayers (Handicap) Cl2 2m More 4

12/12 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/12 – Favourites placed in the top 4
10/12 – Rated between 86-94
10/12 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/12 – Carried 8-13 or more
10/12 – Had won between 2-5 times before (flat)
10/12 – Had raced within the last 2 weeks
9/12 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/12 – Had raced at the track before
9/12 – Ran at either Ascot (5) or Goodwood (4) last time out
6/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/12 – Trained by Ian Williams
1/12 – Won last time out
No winner from stall 1 in the last 10 runnings
3 of the last 7 winners came from stall 9
Horses from stall 9 placed in the top 3 in 6 of the last 9 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1

2.20 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Challenge (Handicap) Cl3 1m4f CH4

Your first 30 days for just £1

12/12 – Aged 6 or younger
11/12 – Officially rated between 87-94
10/12 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
10/12 – Won between 1-4 times previously
10/12 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
10/12 – Won over 1m3f (or further) previously
8/12 – Aged 4 years-old
8/12 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
6/12 – Had run at Ascot previously
6/12 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting market
5/12 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
5/12 – Priced 9/1 or bigger in the betting market
3/12 – Won last time out
2/12 – Won by the Paul Cole yard
2/12 – Favourites that won
No winners from stall 1 in the last 10 runnings
3 of the last 10 winners came from stall 5
8 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 5-8 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/1

2.55 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m CH4

12/12 – Won over at least a mile before
12/12 – Failed to win last time out
12/12 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
12/12 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/12 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/12 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/12 – Rated between 92-100
11/12 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
9/12 – Won between 2-4 times before
8/12 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
7/12 – Had run at Ascot before
4/12 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
3/12 – Trained by Andrew Balding
2/12 – Winning favourites
3 of the last 9 winners came from stall 1
9 or the last 10 winners returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1

3.30 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Classic (Handicap) (Bobis Race) Cl3 1m4f – CH4

7 previous runnings
7/7 – Raced 3 or more times that season
6/7 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
6/7 – Won over 1m2f or further previously
6/7 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
5/7 – Officially rated between 84-90
6/7 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
4/7 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/7 – Favourites placed
2/7 – Favourites that won
2/7 – Trained by Mark Johnston
6 of the last 7 winners came from stalls 5, 7 or 8 (2 each)
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 7/1

4.05 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Sprint (Handicap) (Bobis Race) Cl2 6f CH4

12/12 – Carried 8-12 or more in weight
11/12 – Ran within the last 4-5 weeks
11/12 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting market
10/12 – Won between 2-3 times previously
10/12 – Won over 6f previously
10/12 – Carried 9-1 or more in weight
9/12 – Officially rated between 86-94
8/12 – Came from the top three in the betting market
8/12 – Priced 6/1 or shorter in the betting market
8/12 – Favourites placed
6/12 – Had run at Ascot previously
4/12 – Won last time out
3/12 – Won by the Roger Charlton yard
3/12 – Favourites
5 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 5-8 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 11/2


HAYDOCK Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)


2.35 - Betfred Haydock Park Ladies´ Trophy Handicap (Pro-Am Lady Riders´ Race) Cl3 1m3f200y CH4

No previous runnings
No previous runnings Trainer Richard Fahey is just 7 from 132 with his older horses at the track
Trainer Tim Easterby is just 5 from 64 with his runners at the track
Miss Joanna Mason is 1 from 2 riding at the track
Rachel Richardson has a 32% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track


3.45 - Betfred Rose of Lancaster Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f95y CH4

13/13 – Officially rated 105 or higher
13/13 – Aged 5 or younger
12/13 – Yet to run at Haydock
11/13 – Favourites placed
11/13 – Won over 1m2f or further
11/13 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ or more
11/13 – Aged either 3 or 5 years-old
11/13 – Won a Listed or better class race before
10/13 – Officially rated between 105 and 110
10/13 – Raced 3 or more previous runs that season
10/13 – Raced at either Newbury, York or Sandown last time out
9/13 – Won 3 or more times during their career
9/13 – Priced 7/1 or shorter in the betting
8/13 – Finished unplaced in their last race
4/13 – Favourites that won
2/13 – Won by the Mark Johnston yard
2/13 – Won by Sir Michael Stoute yard
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2


NEWMARKET (JULY) Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)

3.15 - German-Thoroughbred.com Sweet Solera Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 7f CH4

12/13 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting market
12/13 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting market
12/13 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
12/13 – Won just once previously
12/13 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
11/13 – Won by a Jan, Feb or March foal
9/13 – Favourites placed
9/13 – Had won over only 6f previously
8/13 – Won their last race
7/13 – Had just one previous run
7/13 –  Favourites that won
7/13 – Raced at Newmarket (July) previously
6/13 – Raced at Newmarket (4) or Sandown (2) last time out
5/14 – Won by Godolphin
3/14 – Won over 7f previously
3/14 – Trained by the Hills stable
1 winner from stall 1 in the last 10 runnings
4 of the last 9 horses from stall 7 finished 1st (2) or 2nd (2)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/4

 

Trainers Quotes

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"Take Cover took this race in 2014 and a close second 12 months ago so no issues on the track and trip. Didn't work out at Ascot last time out as the ground went too soft for him and the draw not ideal. In really good form at home and at this course and on this quicker ground confident of a good run. Tough race, but looks a great e/w price."
David C Griffiths

29/07/16 1st 8/1

"Palmerston - Won well for us two runs back beating a fair yardstick in Fort Jefferson. That was over a mile so the return to this trip after trying 1m2f last time is a big plus. Yes, 5lbs higher than that win and higher grade but the horse is very well at home and I think we head here with a great each-way chance at a nice price. We've a few out today, but this one looks the value e/w bet from all my runners."
Mick Appleby

23/07/16 1st 20/1 

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