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Sat TV Trends: 2nd Jan 2021

Another MASSIVE day for the ITV4 horse racing cameras as they move to Ayr and Sandown for more LIVE coverage.

Like every Saturday, here at GeeGeez we take you through all the key trends and stats to help you whittle down the runners and hopefully find a few winners.

 

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV4)


1.50 –
Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Handicap Chase

14/14 – Won over at least 2m (chase) previously
13/14 – Ran within the last 2 months
13/14 – Priced 17/2 or shorter
11/14 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
11/14 – From the top 3 in the betting
11/14 – Won between 1-4 times over fences in the UK previously
10/14 – Officially rated 134 or higher
10/14 – Favourites placed
9/14 – Never raced at Sandown
9/14 – Carried 11-0 or more in weight
8/14 – Aged either 8 or 9 years-old
8/14 – Irish bred
7/14 – Winning Favourites
7/14 – Unplaced last time out
4/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/14 – Went onto win a race at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (Champion Chase, Grand Annual)
4/14 – Won their last race
3/14 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
Trainer Philip Hobbs has won 2 of the last 5 runnings
Locker Room Talk won the race in 2020
Darebin won the race in 2019 and was 4th in 2020

 

2.25 – Unibet Tolworth Novices´ Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m110y ITV4


15/16 – Won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
15/16 – Placed 1st or 2nd in their last race
15/16 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
14/16 – Priced  5/1 or shorter
14/16 – Won by a horse aged either 5 or 6 years-old
13/16 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles previously
13/16 – Came from the top three in the market
12/16 – Won last time out
11/16 – Placed favourites
10/16 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
10/16 – Won by an Irish bred horse
8/16 – Won by a horse aged 5 years-old
8/16 – Winning Favourites
5/16 – Ran at either Sandown (3) or Newbury (2) last time out
4/16 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable
3/16 – Won by the Colin Tizzard yard (3 of the last 4)
3/16 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable
3/16 – Ran at Sandown before
2/16 – Won by the Jonjo O’Neill stable
2/16 – Won the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle later that season (Summerville Boy, 2018 & Noland, 2006)
1/16 - Won the Neptune Investment Hurdle later that season (Yorkhill 2016)
5 or 6 years-old have won 22 of the last 28 runnings
Since 1988 ALL winners have been aged 7 or younger
The average winning SP in the last 17 runnings is 3/1


3.00 - Unibet Veterans´ Handicap Chase Final (The Final of The 2015 Veterans´ Chase Series) Cl2 3m37y ITV4

Your first 30 days for just £1

Just 5 previous runnings
Trainers Anthony Honeyball, Venetia Williams, Evan Williams, Charlie Longsdon and David Pipe are past winners
5/5 – Ran in last 4 weeks
4/5 – 4+ wins over fences
4/5 – Unplaced last time out
4/5 – winners aged 11 or 12 years-old
4/5 – Carried 11-3 or less in weight
3/5 – Unplaced favourites
3/5 – Officially rated between 135-145
2/5 – Winning favourite (joint)
Jepeck won the race in 2020

 

3.35 – Unibet Casino Deposit £10 Get £40 Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m110y ITV4

13/15 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles in the UK before
12/15 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
12/15 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
11/15 – Unplaced last time out
9/15 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
8/15 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
7/15 – Priced a double-figure price in the betting
7/15 – Raced at either Ascot (3) or Cheltenham (4) last time out
7/15 – Went onto finish unplaced in a Cheltenham Festival race that season
6/15 – From the top 3 in the betting
6/15 – Officially rated between 127 and 132
5/15 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
4/15 – Won last time out
4/15 – Irish bred
2/15 – Trained by Oliver Sherwood
2/15 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/15 – Trained by Venetia Williams
2/15 – Winning favourites
4 of the last 7 winners were ridden by a claiming jockey
Monsieur Lecoq won this race in 2019

 

 

Ayr Horse Racing Betting Trends (RacingTV/ITV4)

 

2.05 – Ayrshire Cancer Support Patient Transport Journeys Handicap Chase Cl3 (5yo+ 0-140) 2m 4 1/2f ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer Nicky Richards has a 29% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Rose Dobbin has a 23% record with her chasers at the track
Trainer Neil Alexander has 20% record with his chasers at the track
Jockey Brian Hughes has a 31% record riding over fences at the track
Jockey Conor O’Farrell is just 1 from 25 riding over fences at the track

2.40 – Support The Injured Jockeys Fund Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 3m 1/2f ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer Tristan Davidson has a 25% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Donald Whillans has an 18% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Nicky Richards has a 17% record with his hurdlers at the track
Jockey Brian Hughes has a 21% record riding over hurdles at the track
Jockey Harry Reed has a 20% record riding over hurdles at the track
Jockey Ryan Day is just 3 from 15 riding over hurdles at the track

3.15 – Retraining Of Racehorses (RoR) Handicap Chase Cl2 (5yo+ 0-150) 3m ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer Nicky Richards has a 29% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Neil Alexander has 20% record with his chasers at the track
Jockey Stephen Mulqueen is just 1 from 29 riding over fences at the track

 

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Saturday TV Trends Sat TV Trends: 19th Sept 2020

It’s Ayr Gold Cup day at the Scottish venue this Saturday, while the ITV cameras are also heading to Newbury for their Dubai Duty Free Day – We’ve 8 LIVE races in total and we’ve got it all covered with all the key trends for each race, plus our verdict.

AYR Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)

 

1.55 – Jordan Electrics Doonside Cup Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV


9/9 – Didn’t win last time out
8/9 – Yet to race at Ayr
8/9 – Won over 1m2f or more
8/9 – Winners from stalls 8 or lower
8/9 – Rated between 101 and 111
8/9 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
7/9 – Aged 4 or older
7/9 – Won 3 or more times before
6/9 – Irish bred
6/9 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
3/9 – Trained by Andrew Balding
3/9 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/9 – Ridden by Danny Tudhope
2/9 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 9/2

 

2.30 – QTS Ayr Silver Cup (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV4

Your first 30 days for just £1

17/17 – Carried 8-11 or more
15/17 – Aged 5 or younger
15/17 – Previous winners over 6f
14/17 – Winning distance 1 length or less
13/17 – Had raced at Ayr before (5 won)
13/17 – Had 5 or more runs that season
13/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
13/17 – Carried 9-0 or more
11/17 - Had either 2 or 3 career wins to their name
10/17 – Finished 5th or better last time out
10/17 – Unplaced favourites
8/17 – The first 4 home all returned a double-figure price
4/17 – Won last time out
3/17 – Trained by Richard Fahey
3/17 – Drawn in stalls 8 to 20 (inc) i.e horses drawn either high or low have done best
3/17 – Winning Favourites
0/17 – Filly or mare winners
Golden Apollo (12/1) won the race in 2019
Snazzy Jazzy (11/1) won the race in 2018
Tatlisu won the race in 2015
Huntsmans Close won the race in 2014

 

3.05 – Scotty Brand Firth Of Clyde Stakes (Group 3) (for The Ayrshire Agricultural Challenge Cup) Cl1 6f ITV4

15/17 – Finished 4th or better last time out
15/17 – Had never raced at Ayr before
14/17 – Previous winners over 6f
13/17 – Had won once or two times before
13/17 – Winning distance 1 length or further
13/17 – Had 3 or more runs that season
12/17 – Drawn in stall 10 or lower
12/17 – Won by a Jan, Feb or March foal
10/17 – Placed favourites
8/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
7/17 – Won last time out
3/17 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/17 – Trained by Bryan Smart
3/17 – Winning favourites

 

3.40 – QTS Ayr Gold Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV4

19/19 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
18/19 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
16/19 – Had 3 or more wins to their name
14/19 – Had won over 6f before
14/19 – Failed to win their last race
13/19 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
12/19 – Rated 90-101
12/19 – Carried 9-1 or more
12/19 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/19 – Came from a double-figure stall
11/19 – Had 7 or more runs that season
11/19 – Unplaced favourites
10/19 – Winning distance 1 length or less
9/19 – Had raced at Ayr before
9/19 – Ran at either Doncaster (3), Goodwood (3) or Haydock (3) last time out
4/19 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
2/19 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/19 – Winning favourites (3 winning favs since 1980)
0/19 – Filly or mare winners
10 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 8 or higher (4 of the last 15 winners came from stall 8)
Since 1980 just five winners aged 6 or older
The last horse to win back-to-back races was Heronsiea in 1930/31
The average winning SP in the last 18 years is 15/1
Note: The 2018 renewal was a dead-heat

 

NEWBURY Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)

 

1.40 - Dubai International Airport World Trophy (Group 3) Cl1 5f34y ITV4

17/18 – Raced four or more times that season
16/18 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
15/18 – Priced 9/1 or shorter
15/18 – Winners from stall 5 or higher
15/18 – Won a Listed or Group race before
14/18 – Won over 5f previously
13/18 - Aged 5 or younger
13/18 – Won 4 or more times
12/18 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
8/18 – Previous Group race winners
6/18 – Ran at the Curragh last time out (inc 3 of last 7 winners)
6/18 – Won their last race
6/18 – Favourites
5/18 – Mare winners
Maid In India (12/1) won the race in 2019
Mr Lupton (11/4 fav) won the race in 2018

2.15 – Dubai Duty Free Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 1m2f ITV

10/10 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
9/10 – Won over 1m2f or further before
9/10 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
8/10 – Won 3 or 4 times
8/10 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
7/10 – Drawn 8 or lower
6/10 – Rated between 92 and 96 (inc)
4/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Winners from stalls 1 (2) or 13 (2)
4/10 – Had run at Newbury before
4/10 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

2.50 –Dubai Duty Free Legacy Cup Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m3f5y ITV4

18/18 – Won over 1m2f (or further) previously
17/18 – Priced 9/1 or less
14/18 – Aged 5 or younger
14/18 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
14/18 – Had won at Listed or better class previously
13/18 – Had 4 or more career wins
11/18 – Favourites placed
11/18 – Raced at Newbury before
9/18 – Had won a Group race before
8/18 – Raced 5 or more times that season
7/18 – Won their last race
4/18 – Favourites that won
4/18 – Trained by David Simcock (including 4 of last 5 runnings)
3/18 – Raced at York last time
2/18 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Desert Encounter (9/4) won the race in 2019 and 2017

 

3.25 – Dubai Duty Free Mill Reef Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 6f8y ITV4

14/18 – Won from draw 5 or lower
14/18 – Raced 3 or more times
15/18 – Priced 5/1 or shorter
13/18 – Won over 6f previously
13/18 – Favourites placed
12/18 – Foaled in March or later
10/18 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/18 – Favourites (or joint) to win
8/18 – Won exactly two races before
7/18 – Won by an April foal
5/18 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
5/18 – Won their previous race
4/18 – Ran in the Gimcrack last time out (York)
2/18 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/18 – Trained by Karl Burke
2/18 – Trained by Richard Fahey
0/18 – Filly winners