Tag Archive for: Charles Hills

Pogo sticks to his guns for John Of Gaunt victory

Charlie Hills was celebrating as Pogo held on gamely to scoop the Betfred John Of Gaunt Stakes in a thrilling four-way finish to the Group Three contest at Haydock.

Given an enterprising ride from the front by Kieran Shoemark, the son of Zebedee refused to be headed when challenged at all angles in the closing stages, holding on by a nose from Laneqash, with last-year’s winner Kinross a further neck adrift in third.

The Frankie Dettori-ridden Sunray Major completed the quartet disputing matters at the finish and although flying home from his position at the rear of the field inside the final two furlongs, he was half a length away from the winner at the line.

It was a welcome return to form for the six-year-old Pogo, who has been seen in globe-trotting action at both Meydan and Saudi Arabia in the early part of the year and was handed a quote of 25-1 by Betfair for the Sussex Stakes at Goodwood later in the year.

The winning trainer was delighted with the performance, saying: “That was fantastic and I thought Kieran gave him a peach of a ride. He used his initiative, got him to the front and controlled it from there really.

“He obviously has some very good form and I thought he ran some good races abroad over trips that probably weren’t ideal for him – seven furlongs suits him best.

“He really deserved to win a race like that and we might look to take him to France later in the year for races like the Prix Daniel Wildenstein and the Prix de la Foret.

“I was thinking we’d come here today and then look at the Criterion Stakes at Newmarket, but he’ll have a penalty in that now so we’ll see.”

Shoemark has now been aboard Pogo for four of his six career victories and added: “He’s very straightforward and quick from the gates, albeit he was probably a stride slower than usual today.

“He’s quick into his stride and I thought we got it very easy round the bend and I was able to ask him up the gears under no pressure. It was a game performance and that’s what he is – he does try.

Windsor Races – June 28th
Pogo ridden by Kieran Shoemark when winning at Windsor in 2021 (Hugh Routledge/PA)

“They came to me a furlong down and I thought they were going to go past me, but they never seemed to get any closer and he stuck his neck out.

“He’s a very likeable horse who has run some huge races. He’s been third in a Group One and placed in Group Twos and he’s a dual Listed winner, so it’s a bit of a relief and a feather in his cap to get a Group-race success.”

Sonny Liston still under consideration for Derby outing

Charlie Hills has not given up hope of a Cazoo Derby bid with Sonny Liston following his third behind Star Of India in the Listed Dee Stakes at Chester.

The Lawman colt was an impressive winner on debut at Sandown last year, but was unable to land a telling blow on his reappearance when fourth behind Roger Varian’s Eydon in the Feilden Stakes.

However, he took a step forward from that Newmarket run and seemed to appreciate the extra distance when making the podium in one of Chester’s recognised Derby trials last week.

His handler believes that outing around the tight turns of the Roodee will have done the three-year-old good and the Epsom Classic is still under consideration, for which Sonny Liston is a best priced 66-1 with bet365.

Hills said: “We were really pleased with him. Nothing really went right round the track, but he will have learnt a lot from the race and experience.

“He showed a really good turn of foot to get into the position he did, so we’ll see. We’re still in the Derby and we’re seriously considering that. He got the trip well, we just didn’t really get a good crack at it and the horse probably learnt more than we did.”

Hills also provided an update on his two Fitri Hay-owned sprinters, Equilateral and Palace House Stakes winner Khaadem.

QIPCO Guineas Festival – QIPCO 2000 Guineas Day – Newmarket Racecourse
Khaadem ridden by jockey William Buick on their way to winning the Betfair Palace House Stakes at Newmarket will head straight to Royal Ascot (David Davies/PA)

The former missed the domestic summer last season following a fine start to 2021 out in Dubai and could return at Haydock towards the end of the month, while Hills’ Newmarket scorer is set to wait for the King’s Stand Stakes at Royal Ascot.

Hills said: “We’ve been really pleased with Equilateral actually, his work has been looking good. He’s a fast horse and we’re more likely to take up the Achilles Stakes (May 28) at Haydock.

“Khaadem, I’d just like to spread his races out a bit more, so we’ll wait for Royal Ascot now. He’s a fast horse now, he’s got some great pace and a high cruising speed.”

Minzaal seeking perfect York reappearance for Burrows

Owen Burrows is relishing the prospect of getting Minzaal back on track when he lines up in the 1895 Duke Of York Clipper Logistics Stakes at York on Wednesday.

The four-year-old was only seen twice last season, both at Ascot, firstly landing Listed honours over five furlongs before finishing a creditable third in the Group One British Champions Sprint Stakes.

That end-of-season showing gives Burrows plenty of optimism ahead of his reappearance, with the son of Mehmas returning to the Knavesmire for the first time since scooping Group Two honours in the Gimcrack as a two-year-old.

“I was thrilled with how he ran on Champions Day. I thought he performed with a lot of credit and proved that he still retains plenty of his ability,” said Burrows.

“He has been with me all winter, ticking over. Physically he has really strengthened up this year and I’ve had a good preparation with him. It’s the start of his season, so he will come on for it.

“But it will be good to get him back on the track and obviously he was impressive in the Gimcrack at York. You could see halfway through the race how well he was travelling. He doesn’t overdo himself when he hits the front, but it was a very impressive performance.

“I think that proved he was certainly a quality horse – hopefully he’ll get his chance this year to prove it as well.”

Ejtilaab (left) is one of two for Charlie Fellowes
Ejtilaab (left) is one of two for Charlie Fellowes (Tim Goode/PA)

Back in fifth at Ascot on British Champions Day was Vadream, who is one of two in the race for Charlie Fellowes alongside stablemate Ejtilaab, who reverts to turf having campaigned on the all-weather of late.

Dragon Symbol finished in the first four six times in Group company last season and now makes his first appearance for Roger Varian.

Luck was not on the Cable Bay colt’s side when going down by a nose in the Sandy Lane at Haydock before crossing the line in front in the Commonwealth Cup, before being demoted by the stewards.

Royal Ascot 2021 – Day Four
Dragon Symbol (right), here running in the Commonwealth Cup at Royal Ascot last year, makes his first start for Roger Varian in the Duke Of York Stakes (David Davies/PA)

Rohaan got the better of Dragon Symbol at Haydock before following up at Ascot and although unable to trouble the judge since, could bounce back for David Evans. He was last seen finishing fifth in Saudi Arabia.

One who didn’t fare so well in Dubai though was Kevin Ryan’s Emaraaty Ana, with the Yorkshire-based handler keen to see the Group One winner return to form before he heads to Royal Ascot for the Platinum Jubilee Stakes.

Ryan said: “He’s in good form, obviously he’s on a recovery mission as he didn’t perform over in Dubai. He’s got a penalty as well, but we just need to run him somewhere before Ascot, so it’s going to be a tough test for him and we just hope he runs well. We’d just like to see a good run.”

QIPCO Guineas Festival 2021 – 2000 Guineas Day – Newmarket Racecourse
Emaraaty Ana looks to get back on track at York on Wednesday (John Walton/PA)

Garrus built on his reappearance in the Cammidge Trophy when beaten a short head in the Abernant Stakes last time and Charlie Hills reaches for a pair of blinkers now as the six-year-old attempts to continue Ryan Moore’s hot streak in the saddle.

“I was pleased with his last run, he went really close then and he’s won at York before which is encouraging,” said Hills.

“He’s worked in blinkers and worked very nicely in them, so we’ve decided to leave them on. He’s pretty cute now, he’s been doing it for a long time being a six-year-old gelding and he’s a bit laid back now, so it’s just to try to give him something else to think about.”

William Haggas is happy to get Hurricane Ivor out again quickly despite him disappointing on his reappearance in the Palace House Stakes.

Hurricane Ivor enjoyed a good spell last season
Hurricane Ivor enjoyed a good spell last season (Mike Egerton/PA)

“He was outpaced at Newmarket, I don’t think he’d ever been so fast in his life and he’s got a lot of speed,” said Haggas.

“We felt backing him up was good, he’d have a Group Three penalty in the lesser races so we’ll start here and then we’ll take it from there.

“He’s at his best over a stiff five, Newmarket was too fast, but he’ll be better for that run. It’s a bit quick coming back but we’re in the scenario of nothing ventured, nothing gained.”

Spycatcher brings smart all-weather form to the table representing Middleham-based Karl Burke, as does John Quinn’s Royal Ascot scorer Highfield Princess.

Richard Hannon’s classy filly Happy Romance had been declared but was pulled out on Tuesday afternoon having gone lame.

York beckons for Garrus

Charlie Hills’ Garrus is likely to contest the Group Two 1895 Duke Of York Clipper Logistics Stakes after a gallant run in defeat in the Abernant at Newmarket last month.

The grey was partnered by Ryan Moore for his second run of the season and was only narrowly denied a Group Three victory when beaten a short head by Chris Wall’s Double Or Bubble.

“He ran really well, we thought he was unfortunate not to win really,” Hills said of the performance.

Charlie Hills' Garrus
Charlie Hills’ Garrus (left) (John Walton/PA)

York is next on agenda for the gelded son of Acclamation, who landed the Barriere Prix de Meautry at Deauville last term and has prior form on the Knavesmire after taking the Listed Westow Stakes there as a three-year-old in his days with Jeremy Noseda.

“He’s going to run at York. He’s won nicely at York before as well and I would expect this track to suit him better than Newmarket,” said Hills.

Balding expecting bold show as Alcohol Free makes seasonal bow

Alcohol Free is the star attraction in the bet365 Mile at Sandown on Friday as Andrew Balding’s filly makes her seasonal reappearance, with Rob Hornby riding for the first time since her two-year-old days.

The daughter of No Nay Never was in the winner’s enclosure three times last season, most notably when taking the Coronation Stakes on heavy ground at Royal Ascot and then again thriving with cut in the surface at Goodwood in the Sussex Stakes, with Oisin Murphy in the saddle.

The four-year-old clearly relishes some give in the ground, although her handler is far from perturbed by the prospect of good going for this return to action, where she will also wear a hood during a race for the first time.

Balding said: “They do a very good job with the ground at Sandown and she was placed on very fast ground in a Falmouth Stakes. She obviously handles cut in the ground very well, but I don’t see ground being a problem.

“The hood is just to try to make sure she relaxes as she can get a little adrenalized, but she does most of her work in a hood and does very well in it.”

The Kingsclere handler points to Alcohol Free’s record fresh as a cause for optimism ahead of this first outing of the season.

“Obviously it’s her first run of the year, but she’s won first time out the last two seasons and it looks a nice race for her,” said Balding.

“Everything needs to go right for her but I’m very happy with the way she’s trained, happy with how she looks in her coat and if she can relax and be on song, she should take a lot of beating.

“We’ll see how we get on and she’s got all sorts of options moving forward – she’s in the Lockinge, she’ll have a couple of Royal Ascot entries, but we’ll get Sandown out of the way first.”

Charles Hills’ Mutasaabeq is another to thrive in the early part of the season in his career to date.

An impressive winner of a conditions contest at Newmarket at the Craven Meeting in 2021, he was thrust into the Guineas for his next start and connections are looking for Group Two glory this time around following his cosy success in another conditions heat on his seasonal bow at Thirsk.

Hills said: “He’s in good form and has come out of Thirsk in good shape.

“We put him in at the deep end quite quickly last year, so we were quite conscious to start off in a conditions race and then work up from there. He’s a very talented horse.”

Newmarket Races – Tuesday 13th April
Mutasaabeq, here winning at Newmarket in the hands of Jim Crowley, looks for Group Two glory at Sandown on Friday (Alan Crowhurst/PA)

Angus Gold, racing manager for owner Shadwell, added: “He was good the other day and it was nice to see him back on track.

“Obviously this is a big step up in class, but he’s a four-year-old now and while I’m not saying he’s going to go and beat Alcohol Free, if he’s going to make the grade, he better run well.

“He looked a potentially high-class horse last year and we threw him in at the deep end (in the 2000 Guineas), which backfired.

“Thirsk was a nice confidence booster for him and it’s up to him now.”

Rhoscoyln was third behind Mutasaabeq at Thirsk and is one of the likely outsiders in the race along with Sir Michael Stoute’s Lights On, although one who could surprise is Johan, who landed the Lincoln last month when making his first start for Mick Channon.

The five-year-old was winning for the seventh time when successful on Town Moor and his handler is hopeful of another bold showing.

“He’s in great form, whether ultimately we’re good enough at that level is another matter. We’ve got to give a Group One horse weight which could be a problem, but’s he’s in great form and we thought we’ve got to have a go,” said Channon.

“He’s going to get his ground, so we hope we can be competitive. We’d love to get some black type, that’s our aim, but apart from the Group One filly, it looks a very open race.

“He’s still not there in his coat, but he’s been in great order since Doncaster, his work has been excellent and we’ll see what happens.”

The six-strong field is rounded off by John and Thady Gosden’s Sunray Major, who has won three of his five starts, but was a disappointing 2-1 favourite for the Balmoral Handicap when last sighted.

Listed assignment on the agenda for Newmarket victor Tuscan

Charlie Hills reports his recent Newmarket scorer Tuscan is in good order ahead of a possible return to the Rowley Mile on Qipco Guineas weekend, where the three-year-old could move into Listed company.

Sent off as an 11-2 shot for the bet365 British EBF Conditions Stakes, the mount of William Buick bounced back well from disappointing on soft ground on his final start at two, keeping on gamely on the stands side to get the better of the highly-regarded 8-13 favourite Audience.

The handicapper was most impressed with the performance, raising the colt 18lb, which is now forcing Hills to aim high with son of Churchill. The King Charles II Stakes has been highlighted as the obvious next destination, with a trip to Royal Ascot on the cards if coming through his HQ assignment unscathed.

“He’s come out of the race well, he’s nice and fresh. He tries very hard this horse and he’s very tough and genuine,” said Hills.

“He obviously had to step up (at Newmarket) and he’s gone up 18lb, which is certainly a bit of a hike, so we’ll have a look and try to find some Listed races now.

“I think the King Charles makes sense and all being well the Jersey, I think that will suit and he’ll definitely get a mile in time.”

Tuscan carries the colours of John and Jess Dance, who have enjoyed a fine start to the season, registering winners with both Hills and Karl Burke, as well as seeing their salaried trainer James Horton saddle a treble at Redcar.

The owner has enjoyed Group level success with Laurens in the past and is looking forward to seeing if Tuscan can take him to the Royal meeting in June

Dance said: “Charlie has half-mentioned the Jersey Stakes and I think that will really suit him, a stiff seven furlongs and the horse being able to come off the pace, I think that will really work well for him and it’s exciting times.

“It’s much easier working with the outside trainers when you’ve only got a couple of horses with each and we’re really enjoying things at the moment.”

Liberation facing Feilden test for Hannon

Richard Hannon’s Dawn Of Liberation looks to enhance his reputation as he steps up to Listed level in the bet365 Feilden Stakes, the feature on the final day of Newmarket’s Craven meeting.

Having caught the eye in defeat on multiple occasions as a two-year-old, he shed his maiden tag at the fourth time of asking at Doncaster on reappearance and now moves up to nine furlongs, something his handler thinks he will relish.

“He’s a horse we’ve always liked and I think he’ll appreciate the extra trip,” said the trainer.

“He won his maiden very well and he’ll have improved for that. We’re very hopeful of another nice run in the Feilden.”

Having finished third behind Derby candidate Reach For The Moon at Newbury on debut, Dawn Of Liberation went on to finish second in the Convivial Maiden, before also finishing second to the highly-regarded Subastar in his final appearance at two.

Reflecting on that final outing, where the Churchill colt looked likely to break his duck for a lot of the Newmarket contest, Hannon said: “He lost a shoe that day and that caused him to lose his action late on which wasn’t ideal.

“He looked like he was going to win and I’m not saying it’s an excuse, but it wasn’t ideal. We gave him plenty of time last year and we’re hoping he’ll develop into a very nice horse.”

Although holding an entry for the Qipco 2000 Guineas, the Marlborough handler concedes Dawn Of Liberation still has a bit to go to reach that kind of level, while also suggesting he may be one for tackling further than a mile from now on.

“On ratings he has a bit of work to do, but we do like him. He might want more than a mile now, but we’ll learn a lot on Thursday,” added Hannon.

Masekela was beaten a short head by Native Trail in the Superlative Stakes before landing the Denford Stakes and is a notable runner for Andrew Balding, but one in the line-up who could be anything is Charlie Hills’ Sonny Liston.

The Coral Summer Festival 2021 – Ladies’ Day – Sandown Park
Marco Ghiani riding Sonny Liston to win at Sandown (Alan Crowhurst/PA)

The Lawman colt delivered a knockout blow on debut at Sandown last summer and being a half-brother to both Group Two winner Dame Malliot and Zabeel Champion, is one the Wetherdown House team are looking forward to this summer.

“He’s a horse that never shows his best on the gallops, he’s a nice laid-back horse, hence he gave us a nice surprise when he won at Sandown. But his work has been good and consistent and he’s done everything right so far,” said Hills.

“This is a good step up in grade and there’s some good horses in the field, but at least we’ll know where we are really.

“This is only a second start, but by getting him out early doors, it will give us a good steer as to where we go later in the season.”

Cresta made a nice impression as a two-year-old
Cresta made a nice impression as a two-year-old (David Davies/PA)

Others include Eydon, who attempts to win the race his sire won as a maiden in 2001, and Cresta, who was last seen finishing second in the Horris Hill Stakes.

Connections of the Martyn Meade-trained son of 2015 French Derby winner New Bay feel he will be suited by the step up in trip.

The handler’s son and assistant, Freddie Meade, said: “We are very much on a fact-finding mission going up in trip with Cresta, but that is what he has probably been calling out for. He hit a bit of a flat spot late on in the Horris Hill and I think that probably cost him.

“Stepping him up in trip really should help him. I think he will be be able to travel like a dream over this trip really.

“He has done very well over the winter and the form of his maiden when behind the Breeders’ Cup winner (Modern Games) looks pretty good.

“This is a good test to see where we are with him.”

Racing Systems: All Weather Angles

In my previous article I explored the idea of using trainer systems in National Hunt racing, writes Dave Renham. This time I have turned my attention to the all-weather with a view to finding some more profitable trainer patterns.

As with the last piece I am going to look over the long term, studying UK racing trainer data from Jan 1st 2009 to Dec 31st 2021. If trainers have proved profitable over such a long timeframe then we should have more confidence that this will continue to happen. As ever, though, racing systems are only dealing with past results: those of us not blessed with clairvoyance cannot be sure of what will happen in the future!

OK, let's get to it.

Ralph Beckett – the ‘Blind’ system

Ralph Beckett is a trainer that I think punters in general underrate. Year in, year out he seems to produce the goods. He has good figures for turf racing, but on the all-weather they are even better. Indeed, let's start with possibly the simplest system one could create:

  1. Trainer Ralph Beckett
  2. All races on the all-weather

That’s it – bet every single Beckett runner on the sand. The graph below shows the yearly breakdown of Beckett's Return on Investment to Betfair SP.

 

 

The Kimpton, Hampshire-based trainer has enjoyed 11 winning years out of 13, with the losses in 2018 very small in reality. His strike rate has fluctuated a little as one might expect, ranging from a low of 10.4% in 2019 to as high as 23.7% in 2020. However, 2019 was the only year it dipped below 14.5% and in eight years the strike rate has exceeded 20%. The overall bottom line reads as follows:

 

 

That's extremely impressive at first glance. Things do need clarifying a touch, however, in that his profits have been helped by some big priced winners; but these winners actually occurred on a regular basis. Indeed, Beckett has had 45 winners priced at a BSP of 12.0 or bigger since 2009, with at least two such scorers annually, and the graph below shows how these have been spread out over the years:

 

 

Whenever we look at system results we need to ensure that random big-priced winners do not skew the overall results. This is a case where I believe random big-priced winners are not skewing the results but, instead, are a feature of the result set.

Another positive in terms of consistency is when we examine the individual course data. The table below gives us the Beckett breakdown for the six UK all-weather courses:

 

 

Strike rates are consistent across the piece, and all courses show a profit at Betfair SP. This reliability can also been seen when we break down results by month. Ten of the 12 calendar months have shown a profit as we can see:

 

 

December and January, peak all-weather season in fairness, are the only two negative months. Maybe it is a time of year that Beckett targets a little less. It is interesting that ‘returns’ wise Beckett has done particularly well in the spring and summer months, definitely something worth noting when most people's focus is on flat turf racing.

Some readers may not be comfortable betting all Beckett runners ‘blind’ so are there any additional rules we can add that do not smell of the dreaded back-fitting? Well, some kind of betting market rule may help, especially if you are concerned that the results are slightly skewed due to big-priced winners. If we add the following rule:

- stick to horses from the top five in the betting

This would cut the number of selections by around 350, increase the strike rate to 22.8% and keep profits relatively high – a profit to £1 level stakes of £291.23 (ROI +21.2%). The year by year returns retain their consistency, in fact 12 of the 13 years now show a profit using this market restriction.

All in all, if there is one all-weather trainer to keep on your side it is Ralph Beckett.

Let’s check out some other trainers now.

 

Hugo Palmer – the Market system

Hugo Palmer has a decent record on the sand since he started in 2011. If we use a market restriction we create a potential system to follow. The rules are:

  1. Trainer Hugo Palmer
  2. All races on the all-weather
  3. Top five in the betting.

 

Using the same market restriction I used with Beckett, Palmer’s overall figures look solid:

 

 

Using this top five in the betting rule once again means the figures are less skewed by big-priced winners, which as previously mentioned is important, but it also means we often cannot know the market rank of a runner unless it is near the very top of the betting or an outsider.

Breaking the figures down by year shows a fair amount of consistency. I have used profit figures to £1 level stakes to illustrate this:

 

 

Palmer incurred small losses in his first two seasons, but given he was still cutting his teeth in the game these can be forgiven. Since then there have been eight winning years out of nine. 2019 was a poor year but he did actually the post with several seconds that year and I think we can reasonably overlook that.

Looking at his course by course  data with runners in the top five of the betting, he has made profits at Kempton, Newcastle, Southwell and Wolverhampton; broke even at Chelmsford, and made a loss at Lingfield. Again, that's fair enough consistency.

There are other options in terms of adding system rules, but this Hugo Palmer system definitely has a decent chance to remain profitable for the near future at least. Hence no need for me to change to it. You may like to research further, however!

 

Mark Johnston – Older horses, lower class system

Mark Johnston has averaged about 400 runners per year on the all-weather in recent years and hence it gives us a huge sample size to break down. His annual strike rate has been super consistent in recent times hitting around the 15% mark every year:

 

 

Now, most top trainers in the country, like Johnston, tend to focus more on their younger horses as they are going to be the ones that are likely to have a chance at stud (and are not exposed as moderate or in the grip of the handicapper). It is noticeable that the runners Mark Johnston (and joint-licence holder son, Charlie) keeps in training past three years old perform well as a whole on the all-weather. They make up only 23% of his runners on the sand, but if backing all such runners (4yo and up) ‘blind’ they would have broken even over the past 13 years. The route to profit seems to be in lower class races, Class 5 or below. Hence the system reads:

  1. Trainer Mark (and Charlie) Johnston
  2. 4yo+ running on the all-weather
  3. Class 5, 6 or 7

Running older horses in lower class races is relatively rare for trainers like Johnston but the overall stats still look promising:

 

 

A good strike rate edging towards one win in four, and returns of 32p in the £ are appealing. Let's break the data down by year and, as always, we are looking for consistency. The graph uses profit figures to £1 level stakes:

 

 

Overall there have been decent results across the piece, with just three losing years. 2020 could have been impacted by COVID so that is something that potentially we might take into account. Another positive is that in the same time frame this ‘system’ would have made a profit for Johnston in turf flat racing too; not as big a profit, but a positive return nonetheless. Hence I am hopeful that this angle should offer a good chance of making further profits in the future.

 

Charles Hills – Fancied Males system

It should be noted that male horses outperform female ones on the all-weather, with overall figures for all horses from all trainers seeing males win 11.8% of the time, females only 9.1%. There is a much bigger discrepancy though when you look at the runners of Charles Hills splitting them by gender. His male runners have won 19.3% of the time, whereas female runners have triumphed just 11.4% of the time. Hence the Hills gap looks extremely significant.

So here is another potential system in which we are using a limited number of rules. Again I want to implement the same market rule as I have used previously to avoid the bigger-priced winners skew dilemma. Hence our system reads:

  1. Trainer Charles Hills
  2. All races on the all-weather
  3. Top five in the betting
  4. Male horses only

His results, like Hugo Palmer’s, only go back to 2011 but the basic figures look strong:

 

 

He has seen a good strike rate as you would expect with a system that uses market factors as one of its rules. Decent returns, too, of around 26p in the £.

Once again though we need to look at the yearly data in a bid to establish consistency. Broken down this time by BSP ROI%:

 

 

2011 looks bad but he had only six runners in that first season with a licence, and all lost, hence the -100% ROI. We can see a subsequent steady improvement over time with 2012 to 2014 essentially breaking even, while every year from 2015 to 2021 has ended up with positive returns.

I had a sneaky look at his results so far in 2022, and at the time of writing (7th March), the system has generated 20 qualifiers, 10 of which have won (SR 50%) showing a BSP profit of £15.31 (ROI +76.55%). The signs remain very promising.

The beauty of all-weather racing is that it happens all year round and hence these four systems can potentially be exploited regardless of whether the main focus is on National Hunt or flat turf racing: we can just carry on finding nice winners on the sand!

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That's all for this article. If you have any system ideas you’d like me to investigate, please leave a comment below.

- DR