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Sat TV Trends: 16th Dec 2017

A MASSIVE day up at Prestbury Park as the Cheltenham December Meeting continues this Saturday, plus the ITV cameras also head to Doncaster for three races - as always we're on-hand with all the big-race trends and stats…..

 

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.55 – Caspian Caviar Gold Cup (Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m5f ITV4

15/15 – Aged 8 or younger
13/15 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
12/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
12/15 – Had won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
12/15 – Had won between 2-4 times over fences before
11/15 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival later that season (no winners)
10/15 – Had raced at Cheltenham (fences) before (4 won)
10/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Officially rated 142 or higher
9/15 – Unplaced favourites
9/15 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
9/15 – French bred
7/15 – Carried 10-13 or more
5/15 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
5/15 – Ran in the BetVictor (Nov) Gold Cup last time out (1 won)
4/15 – Finished in the top 5 in the Bet Victor Gold Cup last time out
4/15 – Won last time out
4/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/15 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/15 – Went to an Irish-trained horse
1/15 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 15 runnings is 10/1

2.30 - Albert Bartlett Novices´ Hurdle (Registered as The Bristol Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m ITV4

13/13 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
12/13 – Placed favourites
12/13 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
12/13 – Had won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
12/13 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Aged 6 or younger
11/13 – Winning distance 1 ¼ lengths or more
10/13 – Winning favourite (1 co, 1 joint)
10/13 – Went on run in the Albert Bartlett (2 won) at the Cheltenham Festival
9/13 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
9/13 – Returned 2/1 or shorter in the betting
8/13 – Won last time out
8/13 – Went onto finish in the top 4 in a Cheltenham Festival race that season
8/13 – Had won at Cheltenham before
8/13 – Won over 3m (hurdles) before
8/13 – Irish bred
2/13 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/13 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 15/8

3.05 – Unibet International Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m1f ITV4

15/15 – Raced over hurdles at Cheltenham previously
14/15 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
14/15 – Placed in the top 3 in their latest race
13/15 – Won over 2m1f (hurdles) previously
12/15 – Won by a horse aged 7 years-old or younger
12/15 – Ran in the Champion Hurdle later that season (5 placed)
12/15 – Won 4 or more times over hurdles previously
11/15 – Won their latest race
11/15 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
11/15 –  Favourites placed
11/15 – Priced 5/2 or shorter
11/15 – Won over hurdles at Cheltenham previously
9/15 – Won by a horse aged either 4 or 5 years-old
8/15 – Rated 162 or higher
7/15 – Winning distance:  4+ lengths
6/15 – Won the Greatwood Hurdle (Cheltenham) last time out
4/15 – Won by a French-bred horse
4/15 – Ridden by jockey Richard Johnson
4/15 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
3/15 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
3/15 – Ridden by jockey Sam Twiston-Davies
3/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/15 – Won the Betfair Hurdle last time out
2/15 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
2/15 – Won by trainer Nicky Henderson
1/15 – Won the Champion Hurdle later that season (Rooster Booster 2002)
The New One has won the race in 2013, 2014 and 2016
The average winning SP in the last 10 running is 7/2

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3.40 – OLBG Mares’ Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 2m4 1/2f ITV4

Just 2 previous runnings
Both winners carried 10-11 in weight
Both winners aged 7 or 8 years-old
No winning favourite yet
Trainer Harry Fry has a 21% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Martin Keighley has a 21% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Neil Mulholland has only a 3% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Fergal O’Brien is just 2 from 29 with his hurdlers at the track

Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/ATR)

2.10 – bet365 December Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m ITV4

Only 7 previous runnings
7/7 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
7/7 – Won between 0-2 times over fences
6/7 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
5/7 – Priced 9/4 or shorter in the betting
5/7 – Placed favourites
5/7 – French (2) or Irish (3) bred
5/7 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
4/7 – Winning favourites
4/7 – Won last time out
3/7 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3 of the last 4 runnings have been won by trainer Paul Nicholls
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 9/4

Note: from 2013 back the race was run at Lingfield Park

2.45 – Bet365 Summit Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 2) (3yo) Cl1 2m110y ITV4

7 previous runnings
7/7 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/7 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
6/7 – Favourites placed in the top 3
6/7 – Had won just once before over hurdles
5/7 – Irish (3) or French (2) bred
5/7 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
4/7 – Won last time out
2/7 – Ran at Market Rasen last time out
2/7 – Trained by John Quinn
2/7 – Winning favourites
Trainer Paul Nicholls the race 12 months ago
Peace and Co won the race in 2015 and went onto with the Triumph Hurdle
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 11/2

3.20 – bet365 Handicap Chase (4 yo+) Cl2 3m ITV4

8/8 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
7/8 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
7/8 – Aged 8 or younger
7/8 – Had won no more than 2 times over fenced
6/8 – Carried 10-10 or more in weight
5/8 – Aged 7 years-old
5/8 – Unplaced last time out
5/8 – Irish bred
5/8 – Ran at Doncaster before
5/8 – Had won over 3m (fences) before
2/8 – Trained by Emma Lavelle
1/8 – Winning favourites
The last three winners were all rated 139
No Duffer (9/1) won the race 12 months ago
Sego Success won the race in 2015
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 7/1

Sat TV Trends: 11th Nov 2017

This Saturday the ITV cameras head to Wincanton with the Badger Ales Chase their feature, plus they are also at Doncaster for the ultra-competitive November Handicap – as always we've got all the trends and stats for the LIVE races.

 

Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

2.05 – Betfred Mobile Wentworth Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV4

13/14 – Had at least 6 previous runs that season
13/14 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Had won over 6f before
12/14 – Aged 4 or older
12/14 – Won from stall 12 or lower
11/14 – Rated 99 or higher
10/14 – Had won at least 5 times before in their career
8/14 – Had won at Doncaster before
7/14 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
7/14 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
5/14 – Ran at York (3) or Newmarket (2) last time out
4/14 – Won last time out
2/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Winning mare/filly
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 15/2
Note: The 2006 renewal was run at Windsor

2.40 - Betfred TV EBF Stallions Breeding Winners Gillies Fillies´ Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f60y ITV4

12/13 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/13 – Had won at least twice before
10/13 – Had never raced at Doncaster before
10/13 – Had 3 or more runs that season
8/13 – Ran at either Lingfield (3), Goodwood (3) or Newmarket (2) last time out
8/13 – Unplaced last time out
8/13 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
7/13 – Had won over 1m2f before
7/13 – Returned 8/1 or bigger in the betting
7/13 – Unplaced favourites
6/13 – Won by an Irish-bred filly
2/13 – Ridden by Jim Crowley
2/13 – Winning favourites (1 co)
2/13 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/1
Note: The 2006 renewal was run at Windsor

3.15 - Betfred November Handicap Cl2 1m4f ITV4

11/14 – Had raced at least 5 times that season
11/14 – Won between 2 and 4 races before
11/14 – Had raced at Doncaster before (6 had won)
11/14 – Winners that came from draw 9 or higher
11/14 – Favourites that were unplaced
10/14 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or less
10/14 – Had won over 1m4f before
9/14 – Won carrying 8-13 or less in weight
9/14 – Placed last time out
9/14 – Won by a horse aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
4/14 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/14 – Won last time out
2/14 – Ridden by jockey Martin Dwyer
2/14 -Trained by John Gosden (won it 5 times in all)
1/14 – Favourites that won
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/1
Just 1 winning favourite since 1995

Wincanton Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.50 – Z Hotels Mares’ Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 2m5f ITV4

10/10 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Didn’t win last time out
8/10 – Aged 7 or younger
8/10 – Had won over at least 2m4f before (hurdles)
7/10 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
7/10 – Had won at least twice before (hurdles)
7/10 – Rated between 119-129
7/10 – Finished 2nd, 3rd or 4th last time out
7/10 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
5/10 – Had run at the track before
5/10 – Raced at Chepstow last time out
5/10 – Irish bred
5/10 – Aged 6 years-old
2/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/10 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

2.25 – John Romans Park Homes ‘Rising Stars’ Novices Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV4

10/10 – Had won no more than twice over fences
9/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
8/10 – Irish (4) or French (4) bred
8/10 – Aged 6 or younger
8/10 – Favourites placed
8/10 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
7/10 – Had won over 2m3f or further (Chase)
6/10 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
6/10 – Won last time out
5/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/4

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3.00 - Unibet Elite Hurdle (A Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV4

13/13 – Aged 7 or younger
12/13 – Won between 2-5 times before (hurdles)
11/13 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Came from the top three in the betting
10/13 – Unplaced last time out
8/13 – Rated 150 or lower
8/13 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
8/13 – Having first run of the season
5/13 – Ran at Aintree last time out
5/13 – Carried 10-6 or less
5/13 – Won with 11-10 in weight
4/13 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/13 – Trained by John Quinn
2/13 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
2/13 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/1

3.35 - Badger Ales Trophy (A Handicap Chase) (Listed Race) Cl1 3m1f110y ITV4

14/14 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
12/14 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
12/14 – Won at least two chase races previously
12/14 – Won a 3m or further chase race previously
11/14 – Won between 2 and 5 times over fences before
11/14 –  Raced at the course previously (4 won over fences)
11/14 – Won by a horse aged between 7 and 9 years-old
11/14  – Placed in the top four in their last race
10/14 – Favourites placed
9/14 – Raced already that season
8/14 – Raced at either Sandown (2), Wincanton (3) or Cheltenham (3) last time out
8/14 – Irish-bred horse
7/14 – Carried 10-5 or less in weight
7/14 – Priced at double-figures
6/14 – Won their latest race
5/14 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
4/14 – Won by the Pipe stable
4/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/14 – Ridden by a claiming conditional jockey (including 3 of the last 7 years)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 17/2

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 28th Oct 2017

Bundles going on this Saturday with something for everyone as the ITV cameras are at Doncaster & Newbury for some decent flat action, plus they are also over the jumps for the first time this season at Cheltenham – As always we got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle…….Can leading Irish handler Aidan O’Brien, who’s already had a cracking season, land yet another Racing Post Trophy and his 26th Group One of the year?

 

 

Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

1.45 – Bet Through The Racing Post App Doncaster Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV

10/10 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
10/10 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
9/10 – Drawn in stall 9 or lower
9/10 – Foaled in February or later
9/10 – Had won over 6f before
9/10 – Won between 1-2 times before
8/10 – Won last time out
7/10 – Raced at York, Nottingham or Kempton last time out
7/10 – Carried 9-1 in weight
7/10 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
7/10 – Favourites placed in the top 3
6/10 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
5/10 – March-born foals
5/10 – Irish bred
4/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1
Trainer Marco Botti has a 21% record with his 2 year-olds at the track
Trainer Charles Hills is just 4 from 43 (9%) with his 2 year-olds at the track

 

3.25 – Racing Post Trophy (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) (CLASS 1) (2yo) ITV 1m

15/15 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
13/15 - Foaled in February or later
13/15 – Had won either 1 or 2 races before
13/15 – Placed favourites
12/15 – Finished in the top two last time out
12/15 – Raced with the last month
10/15 – Winning favourites
10/15 – Foaled in either Feb or March
10/15 – Had raced at least twice previously
10/15 – Won their last race
9/15 – Ran at either the Curragh (3) or Newmarket (6) last time out
5/15 – Won by an Irish-based yard
4/15 – Won by a Montjeu-bred colt
4/15 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/15 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
3/15 – Went onto win the Epsom Derby
1/15 – Went onto win the 2,000 Guineas
1/15 – Went onto win the St Leger
Five winners have gone onto win the following season’s Epsom Derby
Aidan O’Brien has won the race 7 times – 1997, 1999, 2001, 2002, 2009, 2011 & 2012
The average SP in the last 15 runnings is 7/1
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute has a 25% record with his 2 year-olds at the track
Trainer John Gosden has a 25% record with his 2 year-olds at the track
Trainer Aidan O’Brien is just 1 from 18 with his 2 year-olds at the track

 

4.00 – Sun Bets Responsible Betting Handicap Cl2 5f ITV

13/13 – Ran 5 or more times that season
12/13 – Had won over 5f before
12/13 – Aged 5 or younger
10/13 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/13 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/13 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
8/13 – Carried 8-10 or less
8/13 – Unplaced favourites
8/13 – Had run at Doncaster before (4 won)
5/13 – Ran at Pontefract (3) or Ayr (2) last time out
5/13 – Won last time out
3/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Winners from stall 1
1/13 – Winning mare/filly
7 of the last 10 winners came from a double-figure stall
Soie D’Leau won the race in 2016
The average winning SP in the 10 years is 11.5/1

 

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.15 - Worthington´s “Indigo Leisure Stakes” (Registered As The St Simon) (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f5y ITV

14/15 – Aged 5 or younger
14/15 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
13/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/15 – Had won at least twice before
12/15 – Had at least 4 runs that season
12/15 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/15 – Placed favourites
10/15 – Had run at Newbury before (4 won)
9/15 – Rated 107 or higher
9/15 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
9/15 – Placed horses from stall 6
7/15 – Winners from stalls 6 or 8
6/15 – Won by a filly or mare
6/15 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Won last time out
2/15 – Trained by Andrew Balding
0/15 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/2

 

2.50 – Bathwick Tyres Stakes (Registered As The Horris Hill Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 7f ITV4

13/14 – Foaled in Feb or later
11/14 – Priced 15/2 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Never raced at Newbury
11/14 – Won just 1 or 2 races before
10/14 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
10/14 – Had at least 3 previous career runs
9/14 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
8/14 – Won over 7f before
7/14 – Foaled in February
7/14 – Won their last race
7/14 – Favourites unplaced
6/14 – Winning distance – ¾ lengths or less
4/14 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
4/14 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
1/14 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 8/1

 

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Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends ITV/RUK)

 

2.00 – Randoxhealth.com Handicap Chase Cl2 3m1f ITV

10/10 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting market
9/10 – Won over at least 3m previously
8/10 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
8/10 – Favourites unplaced
8/10 – Rated 136 or higher
8/10 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or less
8/10 – First run of the season
7/10 – Irish bred winners
6/10 – Had won at Cheltenham previously
5/10 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
5/10 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
5/10 – Ridden by jockey Richard Johnson
5/10 – Unplaced in their last race
1/10 – Winning Favourites
Coologue (8/1) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 13/2

 

2.35 - Masterson Holdings Hurdle Cl2 2m110y ITV

7/8 – Having their first run of the new jumps season
5/8 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
5/8 – Carried 10-12 in weight
4/8 – Irish bred winners
4/8 – Favourites placed
4/8 – Placed in their last race
3/8 – Winning favourites
3/8 – Won 3 times over hurdles previously
2/8 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
The average SP in the last 8 runnings is 5/1

3.10 – Randox Health Handicap Chase Cl2 1m7f199y ITV

Only 2 previous runnings
Fox Norton won the race in 2017 for trainer Neil Mulholland
Boondooma won the race in 2016 for trainer Dr Richard Newland
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a +£19 level stakes profit with his chasers at the track
Trainer Jessie Harrington is 3 from 11 (27%) with her chasers at the track
Trainer Dan Skelton is only 1 from 27 with his chasers at the track
Trainer Venetia Williams is only 3 from 83 with her chasers at the track
Trainer Henry De Bromhead is only 2 from 43 with her chasers at the track

 

3.45 - Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Series Qualifier) Cl2 2m7f208y ITV

 

7/8 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/8 – Priced 17/2 or bigger in the betting
7/8 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
6/8 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
6/8 – Had run at Cheltenham before (2 winners)
5/8 – Last ran 6 month+ ago
5/8 – Unplaced favourites
4/8 – Won last time out
3/8 – Irish Bred
2/8 – Mare winners
2/8 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
1/8 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 10/1

 

 

 

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Doncaster TV Trends: Friday 15th Sept 2017

The ITV cameras head to Doncaster racecourse this week for the 4-day St Leger Meeting – they will be covering races on Thursday, Friday and Saturday – with races spread across both ITV and ITV4.
As always, we’ve got it all covered with all the TV race trends and stats – these should help narrow down the fields and also highlight the best profiles of horses that have done well in the races in the past.

Friday 15th September 2017

 

1.50 - Japan Racing Association Sceptre Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 7f ITV4

12/14 – Never raced at Doncaster before
11/14 – Won between 1-3 times before
10/14 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
9/14 – Had won over 7f before
9/14 – Drawn in stalls 3-7 (inc)
8/14 – Placed favourites
7/14 – Came from the top three in the betting
7/14 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
7/14 – Won last time out
4/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 – Won by the Hills stable
2/14 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/14 – Trained by Roger Varian (last 2 runnings)
1/14 – Irish-trained winners
0/14 – Winners from stall 1 or 2
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10.5/1

2.25 – Wainwrights Flying Childers Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 5f ITV4

14/14 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
12/14 – Placed horses from stall 2 or 3
11/14 – Drawn in stall 7 or lower
10/14 – Won 1-2 times before
10/14 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/14 – Had won at Listed or Group class before
9/14 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
7/14 – Winning favourites
7/14 – Placed favourites
6/14 – Foaled in April
6/14 – Ran at York last time
5/14 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
5/14 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
4/14 – Won last time out
1/14 – Irish-trained winners
0/14 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2

 

3:00 – William Hill Mallard Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m6f132y ITV4

14/14 – Drawn in stall 11 or lower
13/14 – Aged 5 or younger
13/14 – Had won at least twice before
11/14 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
10/14 – Had won over 1m4f or further before
10/14 – Winning distance 1 length or more
10/14 – Carried 8-10 or more
10/14 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/14 – Had 5 or more runs that season
7/14 – Had run at Doncaster before (5 won)
6/14 – Ran at York last time out
5/14 – Returned a double-figure price
5/14 – Won last time out
5/14 – Winning favourites
4/14 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/14 – Trained by Michael Bell
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1

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3:35 – Doncaster Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 2) Cl1 2m2f ITV4

15/16 – Had won over 1m6f or further before
14/16 – Had 2 or more runs that season
13/16 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Drawn in stall 4 or higher
12/16 – Had run at Doncaster before (6 won)
11/16 – Placed last time out
11/16 – Had won 5 or more times before
10/16 – Ran at York last time out
10/16 – Aged 6 or younger
10/16 – Group race winners
9/16 – Winning distance 1 or more lengths
8/16 – Unplaced favourites
6/16 – Won last time out
5/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Trained in Ireland
Sheikhzayedroad won the race in 2016
Pallasator won the race in 2015
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/3

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 3rd March 2018

We’ve had better LIVE Saturday ITV race days, but with the Cheltenham Festival on the horizon then it’s no surprise the quality is slightly down – Newbury and Doncaster provide the LIVE ITV action this week, and, as always, we’ve got all the races covered from a trends and stats angle.

Note: Both meetings are, of course, subject to the weather with the 'Beast From The East' battering the country.

 

NEWBURY HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV4/RUK)

2.05 – Elite Racing Club Supporting Greatwood Veterans´ Handicap Chase (Qualifier) (Leg 3 of Veterans´ Chase Series) Cl2 3m2f110y ITV4

8/9 – Returned 9/1 or shorter
8/9 – Aged 10 years-old
7/9 – Won over at least 3m (chase)
5/9 – Favourites unplaced
5/9 – Carried 11-4 or more in weight
4/9 – Finished in the top 3 in their last race
2/9 – Won their last race
1/9 – Winning favourites
Trainer David Pipe won the race in 2015 and 2016
Trainer Paul Nicholls won the race in 2013 and 2017
The average winning SP in the last 6 renewals is 6/1

3.10 – Apogee Supporting Greatwood Handicap Hurdle Cl3 2m110y ITV4

15/15 – Won over this 2m trip (hurdles)
14/15 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
13/15 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
11/15 – Aged 6 or younger
12/15 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles
12/15 – Carried 10-10 or more in weight
11/15 – Favourites unplaced
10/15 – Winning distance – 2 1/4 lengths or more
7/15 – Ran at Newbury before
7/15 – Irish bred
6/15 – Rated 120 or less
6/15 – From the top three in the betting
4/15 – Won their last race
2/15 – Went onto finish in the first two in the County Hurdle (Cheltenham Festival)
2/15 – Winning Favourites (1 joint)
2/15 – Trained by Gary Moore
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1

2.40 – William Hill ‘High 5’ Supporting Greatwood Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 2m4f ITV4

14/15 – Carried 11-5 or less in weight
13/15 – Won by a horse aged 8 or younger
13/15 – Had run within the last 5 weeks
13/15 – Had won between 1-4 times over fences previously
12/15 – Raced at Newbury (hurdles or fences) previously
12/15 – Won over this trip previously
11/15 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
10/15 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
10/15 – Officially rated 139 or higher
9/15 – Favourites placed
8/15 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable
8/15 – Winners that came from the top 3 in the market
7/15 – Won by a French-bred horse
6/15 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
6/15 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
5/15 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
5/15 – Favourites  to win (1 joint)
2/15 – Won by the Pipe yard
2/15 – Ridden by Nick Scholfield
1/15– Won their last race
Thomas Crapper won the race 12 months ago
Sametegal won the race in 2016
Note: The 2006 renewal was a dead-heat

 

DONCASTER HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV4/RUK)

1.50 – William Hill High 5 Handicap Hurdle Cl2 3m96y ITV4

Only 6 previous runnings
6/6 – Aged 9 or younger
6/6 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
5/6 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
5/6 – Priced 9/2 or shorter in the betting
5/6 – Finished 4th or better last time out
5/6 – Carried 10-13 or more in weight
5/6 – Irish bred
4/6 – Favourites place in the top two
4/6 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
4/6 – Ran at Doncaster (2) or Ascot (2) last time out
2/6 – Aged 9 years-old
2/6 – Favourites
2/6 – Won last time out
Brydon Boy won the race in 2017

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2.25 – William Hill Great Cheltenham Offers Handicap Chase Cl2 2m90y ITV4

7 previous runnings
7/7 – Priced 15/2 or shorter
6/7 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
4/7 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
4/7 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
3/7 – Raced at Musselburgh last time out
2/7 – Trained by Brian Ellison
2/7 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
Trainer Jonjo O’Neill has a 22% record with his runners over fences here
Trainer Nicky Richards has a 25% record with his runners over fences here
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 4/1

3.00 – William Hill Join Plus In Shop Mares´ Novices´ Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 3m96y ITV4

5 previous running
5/5 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
5/5– Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
4/5 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
4/5 – Favourites placed in the top 2
4/5 – Ran in the last 7 weeks
3/5 - Won by the favourite (1 co-fav)
3/5 – Irish bred
The average winning SP in the last 5 years is 9/4

 

3.35 – William Hill Grimthorpe Chase (A Handicap Chase) Cl2 3m2f ITV4

14/14 – Aged 8 or older
13/14 – Won over at least 3m (fences) before
12/14 – Won no more than 4 times over fences
11/14 – Ran within the last 7 weeks
10/14 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
10/14 – Aged 9 or older
10/14 – From the top 3 in the betting
10/14 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting
9/14 – Rated 131 or less
8/14 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/14 – Raced over fences at Doncaster before (3 winners)
6/14 – Won their last race
6/14 – Irish bred
4/14 – Went onto run in that season’s Grand National (no winners)
2/14 – Favourites
8 year-olds have won 3 of the last 4 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 10th Dec 2016

A MASSIVE day up at Prestbury Park as the Cheltenham December Meeting continues, plus the C4 cameras also head to Doncaster for two races - as always, we are on-hand with all the big-race trends and stats to help you find the best winning profiles based on past winners.

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Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)


1.50 – Caspian Caviar Gold Cup (Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m5f CH4

14/14 – Aged 8 or younger
12/14 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
12/14 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
11/14 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival later that season (no winners)
11/14 – Had won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
11/14 – Had won between 2-4 times over fences before
10/14 – Had raced at Cheltenham (fences) before (4 won)
10/14 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/14 – Officially rated 142 or higher
9/14 – Unplaced favourites
9/14 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
8/14 – French bred
7/14 – Carried 10-13 or more
4/14 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
4/14 – Ran in the Paddy Power Gold Cup last time out (1 won)
4/14 – Finished in the top 5 in the Paddy Power Gold Cup last time out
4/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/14 – Went to an Irish-trained horse
1/14 – Winning favourites (last winning fav 1996)
The average winning SP in the last 14 runnings is 9.5/1


2.25 - Albert Bartlett Novices´ Hurdle (Registered as The Bristol Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m CH4

12/12 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
11/12 – Placed favourites
11/12 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
11/12 – Winning distance 1 ¼ lengths or more
11/12 – Had won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
11/12 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – Aged 6 or younger
9/12 – Winning favourite (1 co, 1 joint)
9/12 – Went on run in the Albert Bartlett (2 won) at the Cheltenham Festival
8/12 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
8/12 – Won last time out
8/12 – Returned 2/1 or shorter in the betting
7/12 – Went onto finish in the top 4 in a Cheltenham Festival race that season
7/12 – Had won at Cheltenham before
7/12 – Won over 3m (hurdles) before
7/12 – Irish bred
2/12 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 7/2

 

3.00 – StanJames.com International Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m1f CH4

14/14 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
14/14 – Placed in the top 3 in their latest race
14/14 – Raced over hurdles at Cheltenham previously
12/14 – Won over 2m1f (hurdles) previously
12/14 – Won by a horse aged 7 years-old or younger
11/14 – Ran in the Champion Hurdle later that season (5 placed)
11/14 – Won 4 or more times over hurdles previously
11/14 – Won their latest race
10/14 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
10/14 –  Favourites placed
10/14 – Priced 5/2 or shorter
10/14 – Won over hurdles at Cheltenham previously
9/14 – Won by a horse aged either 4 or 5 years-old
8/14 – Rated 162 or higher
7/14 – Winning distance:  4+ lengths
6/14 – Won the Greatwood Hurdle (Cheltenham) last time out
4/14 – Won by a French-bred horse
3/14 – Ridden by jockey Richard Johnson
3/14 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
3/14 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
3/14 - Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/14 – Won the Betfair Hurdle last time out
2/14 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
2/14 – Won by trainer Nicky Henderson
1/14 – Won the Champion Hurdle later that season (Rooster Booster 2002)
Paul Nicholls, Nicky Henderson, Philip Hobbs and Nigel Twiston-Davies have won 11 of the last 14 runnings between them
The average winning SP in the last 10 running is 7/2

 

Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (C4/ATR)

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2.40 – bet365 December Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m CH4

Only 6 previous runnings
6/6 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
6/6 – Won between 0-2 times over fences
5/6 – Had raced in the last 3 weeks
5/6 – Priced 9/4 or shorter in the betting
5/6 – Placed favourites
4/6 – French (2) or Irish (2) bred
4/6 – Favourites
4/6 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
3/6 – Won last time out
3/6 – Ran at Haydock last time out
2 of the last 7 runnings have been won by trainer Paul Nicholls
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 15/8

Note from 2013 back the race was run at Lingfield Park

 

3.15 – Bet365 Summit Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m110y CH4

6 previous runnings
6/6 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
6/6 – Had won just once before over hurdles
6/6 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
5/6 – Favourites placed in the top 3
5/6 – Irish (3) or French (2) bred
4/6 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
4/6 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
3/6 – Won last time out
2/6 – Ran at Market Rasen last time out
2/6 – Trained by John Quinn
2/6 – Ridden by Dougie Costello
1/6 – Favourites
Trainer Alan King won the race 12 months ago
Peace and Co won the race in 2015 and went onto with the Triumph Hurdle
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 6/1

 

 

Trainers Quotes

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"We are running Sunshineandbubbles back in an auction maiden today as it is such a small field so seemed like a good opportunity. She is wrong in at the weights on her handicap mark, but some of her best runs have been at the track so if she puts in a similar effort today then we hope she can get involved."
Mark Loughnane

07/12/16 1st 16/1

"Forceful Appeal - Been coming along steadily and a regular winner at this time of year. Wide passage and no luck in-running at Chelmsford last week, good record here and won this 12 months ago, but again drawn wide (11) so needs things to fall right for him. Cannot be discounted."
Simon Dow

07/12/16 1st 6/1

"Many Clouds - Everything has gone to plan so far and I am very happy with him. He had a little wind op after the National this year and had a good gallop round Newbury a few weeks ago. Looking forward to seeing him back on the track and he should give a good account of himself."
Oliver Sherwood

03/12/16 1st 3/1

"Two Smokin Barrels - Improved with every run last season. Winner of a point-to-point so should improve for going chasing. Has schooled well at home and ground conditions shold be fine - looks a tricky race, but she has a chance."
Michael Scudamore

03/12/16 1st 7/2

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 2nd April 2016

Another busy day this Saturday with nine LIVE C4 races at Doncaster, Newbury and KemptonAndy Newton’s got it all covered from a trends angle.

 

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DONCASTER HORSE RACING TRENDS (ATR/C4)

2.15 - Betway Spring Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m CH4

12/14 – Carried 8-13 or more
11/14 – Aged 4 years-old
11/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
11/14 – Finished fourth or worse last time out
10/14 – Won over a mile before
8/14 – Won from a double-figure draw
2/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Won last time out
1/14 – Won a race at Doncaster before
0/14 – Winners from stalls 3-7 (inclusive)
Richard Fahey has trained the winner in 2010 & 2014
The average winning SP in the last 10 renewals is 15/1
Just 1 winner older than 6 in the last 14 years

2.45 - Betway Lincoln (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m CH4

13/13 – Aged 6 or younger
12/13 – Had won over at least 1m before
12/13 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
11/13 – Had won between 2-4 times before
9/13 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
9/13 – Having their first run of the flat season
9/13 – Drawn in stall 9 or higher
9/13 – Unplaced favourites
8/13 – Returned a double figure price in the betting
7/13 – Officially rated between 95-98
7/13 – Placed first or second last time out
7/13 – Had raced at Doncaster before
6/13 – Aged 4 years-old
6/13 – Raced at either Newmarket or Lingfield last time out
5/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
5/13 – Placed horses from stall 12 (1 winner)
5/13 – Won last time out
4/13  - Placed horses from stall 16 (1 winner)
3/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Trained by Mark Tompkins
2/13 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/13 – Trained by William Haggas
The average winning SP in the last 13 runnings is 14/1
Note: The 2006 renewal was run at Redcar and the 2007 running was staged at Newcastle

3.20 - Betway Cammidge Trophy (Listed Race) Cl1 6f More4

12/12 – Aged 7 or younger
11/12 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
11/12 – Had won no more than 5 times before
10/12 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
10/12 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/12 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
9/12 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
9/12 – Raced at Doncaster, Ascot, Lingfield or Windsor last time out
8/12 – Had won over 6f before
8/12 – Last ran 4 months or longer ago
8/12 – Rated 102+
7/12 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
6/12 – Unplaced favourites
6/12 – Had raced at Doncaster before
3/12 – Won last time out
2/12 – Winning favourites
1/12 – Had won at Doncaster before
Jack Dexter won the race in 2013
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1
Note: The 2007 running was staged at Newcastle
Note: The 2006 running was staged at Redcar

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3.55 – Betway Doncaster Mile Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m More4

Just 3 previous running
3/3 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
3/3 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
1/3 – Winning favourites
Roger Varian has a 24% record with his older horses at the track
Dandy Nicholls is just 5 from 79 with his older horses at the track
Adrian Nicholls has 3% record riding older horses at the track

4.30 - Betway Brocklesby Conditions Stakes (Plus 10 Race) Cl4 5f More4

8/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Foaled in Feb or March
8/10 – Won this on their debut runs
6/10 – Placed favourites
5/10 – Horses from stall 2 that finished 1st or 2nd
5/10 – Ridden by a claimer
4/10 – Trained by Bill Turner
4/10 – Irish bred
3/10 – Winners from stall 2
2/10 – Winners from stall 10
2/10 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
2/10 – Winning favourites (co & joint)
0/10 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1

Note: 2006 running was staged at Redcar, 2007 running was staged at Newcastle

 

NEWBURY HORSE RACING TRENDS (RUK/More4)

3.05 - Ultima Business Solutions Handicap Chase Cl2 2m4f CH4

Two previous runnings
Both winners returned between 7/1 & 8/1
No winning favourite
Both winners carried 11-7 or more in weight
Paul Nicholls won the race in 2015
Venetia Williams won the race in 2014
Trainer Robin Dickin has a 67% record with his chasers at the track
Philip Hobbs and Oliver Sherwood all have a 21% record with their chasers at the track
Kerry Lee is 2 from 6 (33%) with her chasers at the track
Philip Hobbs has a +£43 level stakes profit with his chasers at the track

3.40 - EBF Stallions & TBA Mares´ "National Hunt" Novices´ Hurdle Finale Limited Handicap (Listed Race) Cl1 2m5f CH4

11/11 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
10/11 – Won between 1-2 times before (hurdles)
8/11 –  Ran in the last 4 weeks
8/11 – Had won over 2m 1/2f (hurdles) before
8/11 – Aged 6 years-old
7/11 – Returned 15/2 or sorter in the betting
6/11 – Won last time out
5/11 – Unplaced favourites
4/11 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/11 – Ran at Huntingdon last time out
3/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Trained by Oliver Sherwood
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9.3/1
Trainer Harry Fry has a 38% record with his hurdlers at the track

KEMPTON HORSE RACING TRENDS (RUK/C4/More4)

2.30 - Betfred "Goals Galore Extra" Handicap Cl2 7f CH4

3 previous runnings
All 3 winners aged 4 years-old
All 3 winners carried 9-3 or less
All 3 winners returned between 4/1 and 6/1 (inc)
No winning favourites
Karl Burke’s Georgian Bay won the race in 2014
Marco Botti’s Grey Mirage won the race in 2013
Ralph Beckett & Philip McBride have 21% records with their older horses here
Clive Cox is just 5 from 70 with his older horses here
Mick Channon is just 1 from 33 with his older horses here
Jockey John Fahey is just 5 from 97 riding older horses here

4.10 - Betfred Mobile Lotto Snowdrop Fillies´ Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m CH4

11/12 – Had won between 2-4 times before
10/12 – Came from the top three in the betting
10/12 – Won by a 4 year-old
10/12 – Had won over at least 1m before
10/12 – Priced 7/1 or shorter in the betting
9/12 – Last raced 4 ½ months or more ago
9/12 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
9/12 – Rated between 90-102
8/12 – Placed favourites
6/12 – Unplaced in their last race
6/12 – Rated 96 or lower
6/12 – Placed favourites
5/12 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
5/12 – Winning favourites
5/12 – Had run at Kempton before
2/12 – Won by trainer James Fanshawe
2/12 – Won last time out
Marco Botti won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 4.2/1

 

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Sat TV Trends: 5th March 2016

We’ve had better LIVE Saturday C4 race days, but with the Cheltenham Festival on the horizon then it’s no surprise – Newbury and Doncaster provide the LIVE C4 action this week, and, as always, we’ve got all the races covered from a trends and stats angle.

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NEWBURY HORSE RACING TRENDS (C4/RUK)

1.45 - Betfair Supporting Greatwood Veterans´ Handicap Hurdle Cl3 2m5f CH4

Just 1 previous running
Trainer Evan Williams has a 27% (+£23) record with his hurdlers at the track

2.15 - Betway Supporting Greatwood, Veterans´ Handicap Chase (Qualifier) (Leg 4 of Veterans´ Chase Series) Cl2 3m2f110y CH4

7 previous runnings
7/7 – Returned 9/1 or shorter
6/7 – Won over at least 3m (chase)
6/7 – Aged 10 years-old
4/7 – Favourites unplaced
4/7 – Finished in the top 3 in their last race
4/7 – Carried 11-4 or more in weight
2/7 – Won their last race
1/7 – Favourites
David Pipe won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 6 renewals is 5/1

2.50 - Ladbrokes Supporting Greatwood Handicap Hurdle Cl3 2m110y CH4

13/13 – Won over this 2m trip (hurdles)
12/13 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
10/13 – Aged 6 or younger
10/13 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles
10/13 – Carried 10-10 or more in weight
9/13 – Favourites unplaced
8/13 – Winning distance – 2 1/4 lengths or more
7/13 – Ran at Newbury before
6/13 – Rated 120 or less
6/13 – Irish bred
5/13 – From the top three in the betting
3/13 – Won their last race
2/13 – Went onto finish in the first two in the County Hurdle
2/13 – Favourites (1 joint)
2/13 – Trained by Gary Moore
Royal Guardsman won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 renewals is 7/1

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3.25 - StanJames.com Supporting Greatwood Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 2m4f CH4

12/13 – Carried 11-5 or less in weight
12/13 – Won by a horse aged 8 or younger
11/13 – Had run within the last 5 weeks
11/13 – Had won between 1-4 times over fences previously
10/13 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
10/13 – Raced at Newbury (hurdles or fences) previously
10/13 – Won over this trip previously
10/13 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
9/13 – Officially rated 139 or higher
9/13 – Favourites placed
7/13 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable
7/13 – Winners that came from the top 3 in the market
6/13 – Won by a French-bred horse
6/13 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
5/13 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
5/13 – Favourites  to win (1 joint)
5/13 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
2/13 – Won by the Pipe yard
2/13 – Ridden by Nick Scholfield
1/13 – Won their last race
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1
Note: The 2006 renewal was a dead-heat

DONCASTER HORSE RACING TRENDS (C4/RUK)

2.00 - Watch Live Racing On betbright.com Handicap Chase Cl2 2m90y CH4

Five previous runnings
5/5 – Priced 15/2 or shorter
4/5 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
4/5 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
3/5 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
2/5 – Raced at Musselburgh last time out
2/5 – Trained by Brian Ellison
1/5 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
Paul Nicholls has a 29% record with his chasers at the track
Jockey James Reveley has a +£27 level stakes profit riding chasers at the track

2.35 - BetBright Casino Handicap Hurdle Cl2 3m96y CH4

Only 4 previous runnings
4/4 – Priced 9/2 or shorter in the betting
4/4 – Aged 9 or younger
3/4 – Carried 11-0 or more in weight
2/4 – Aged 9 years-old
2/4 – Favourites
Nicky Henderson won the race 12 months ago
Paul Nicholls won the race in 2013
Nicky Henderson has a 42% record with his hurdlers at the track
David Pipe is just 1 from 22 with his hurdlers at the track
Trevor Whelan is 2 from 31 riding over hurdles at the track

3.10 – BetBright Mares´ Novices´ Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 3m96y CH4

Three previous running
3/3 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
3.3 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
2/3 - Won by the favourite
Trainer Keith Reveley won the race 12 months ago
Peter Bowen is 0 from 37 with his hurdlers here
Trevor Whelan is 2 from 31 riding over hurdles at the track

 

3.45 – BetBright Grimthorpe Chase (A Handicap Chase) Cl2 3m2f CH4

12/12 – Aged 8 or older
11/12 – Won over at least 3m (fences) before
10/12 – Ran within the last 7 weeks
10/12 – Won no more than 4 times over fences
10/12 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
9/12 – Aged 9 or older
9/12 – Rated 131 or less
8/12 – From the top 3 in the betting
8/12 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting
7/12 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/12 – Raced over fences at Doncaster before (3 winners)
5/12 – Won their last race
4/12 – Irish bred
2/12 – Went onto run in that season’s Grand National (no winners)
1/12 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 8 renewals is 8/1

 

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Sat TV Trends: 12th Sept 2015

It's Leger Day up at Doncaster so the C4 cameras are up there to take in four races, plus they are also at Chester for two of their races.

Find those TV winners!


Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (C4/ATR)

2.00 - At The Races Champagne Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 7f CH4

13/14 – Returned  8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Won by a Feb or March foal
12/14 – Had over 7f before
12/14 – Won 1 or 2 times previously
11/14 – Favourites placed
11/14 – Finished third or better last time out
8/14 – Run at Sandown, Newbury, York or the Curragh last time out
8/14 – Won last time out
8/14 – Raced 3 or more times that season
5/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
3/14 – Won by Godolphin
3/14 – Won by the Richard Hannon yard
2/14 – Won by the Mark Johnston yard
1/14 – Winners from stall 1

Note: 2005 renewal was a dead-heat

2.35 - Ladbrokes Portland Handicap Cl2 5f140y CH4

13/13 – Carried 8-12 or more
11/13 – Won over 6f before
10/13 – Had run 5 or more times that season
10/13 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/13 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
10/13 – Winner rated between 95 and 101
10/13 – Came from a double-figure stall
9/13 – Won 4 or more times in their career
9/13 – Run at Doncaster previously
8/13 – Unplaced Favourites
6/13 – Placed in their last race
6/13 – Winners aged 5 years-old (inc 6 of 7 years)
6/13 – Raced in that season’s Great St Wilfrid (Ripon)
4/13 – Raced at Ripon last time out
3/13 – Won by the Kevin Ryan yard
3/13 – Won last time out
3/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Won by the David Marnane yard

3.10 – The Saint Gobain Weber Park Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f CH4

11/12 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/12 – Run 3 or more times that season
10/12 – Run at either Goodwood (5), Newbury (3) or Newmarket (2) last time out
10/12 – Won over 7f before
10/12 – Won 3 or more times before
9/12 – Placed favourites
9/12 – Unplaced in their most recent race
9/12 – Aged 4 or older
9/12 – Won a Group race previously
9/12 – Returned  7/1 or shorter
7/12 – Placed horses from stall 1
5/12 – Had run at Doncaster before
2/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Won by a previous winner of the race

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3.45 - Ladbrokes St Leger Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 1m6f132y CH4

12/13 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
13/13 – Had 2 or 3 previous career wins
11/13 – Placed favourites
10/13 – Had never raced over 1m6f or further before
10/13 – Had never raced at Doncaster before
10/13 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Winning distance of 1 length or more
10/13 – Had won a Group race before
9/13 – Officially rated 109 to 115
9/13 – Had 4 or 5 previous runs that season
8/13 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
8/13 – Had won over at least 1m3f before
7/13 – Won last time out
6/13 – Ran in the Great Voltigeur last time out (2 won it)
6/13 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/13 – USA-bred winners
3/13 – Ran in the Gordon Stakes last time out (2 won it)
3/13 – Trained by John Gosden
3/13 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
3/13 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/13 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/13 – Ridden by William Buick
1/13 – Winners from stall 1 Godolphin have won the race 6 times
Aidan O’Brien has trained 4 winners of the race
The average winning SP in the last 13 years is 7/1

Chester Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)

2.15 – Better Odds With Betfair Handicap Stakes Cl3 7f122y CH4

Only 5 previous runnings
5/5 – Carried 8-13 or more
5/5 – Came from stall 5 or higher
5/5 – Returned 8/1 or bigger in the betting
4/5 – Aged 4 years-old
3/5 – Returned a double-figure price
2/5 – Ridden by Franny Norton
2/5 – Carried 8-13
0/5 – Winning favourites

2.50 – The Betfair Stand Cup (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f66y CH4

9 previous runnings
9/9 – Didn’t win last time out
8/9 – Had raced within the last 3 weeks
9/9 – Had won at least twice before
8/9 – Came from the top three in the betting
7/9 – Drawn in stall 3 or lower
7/9 – Had 2 or more runs that season
7/9 – Aged 5 or younger
7/9 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
6/9 – Rated between 102-110
6/9 – Won at Listed or Group class before
5/9 – Favourites that finished either 1st or 2nd
4/9 – Ran at York last time out
3/9 – Had run at Chester before
2/9 – Winning favourites
2/9 – Trained by Pat Chamings

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