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Sat TV Trends: 21st July 2018

This Saturday the LIVE ITV TV races come from Newmarket, Market Rasen & Newbury.

As always, we’ve got it all covered with the key trends and stats – use these to find the best profiles of past winners of each race.

Saturday 21st July 2018

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.45 – Smarkets Betting Exchange Aphrodite Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m4f ITV3

13/14 – Won over at least 1m2f or further before
12/14 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/14 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/14 – Placed favourites
10/14 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
9/14 – Won between 1-2 times before
6/14 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/14 - Winning favourite
5/14 – Ran at Haydock last time out
4/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Trained by John Gosden
2/14 – Trained by Luca Cumani (2 of last 3 years)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 6/1

 

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.50 – bet365 Stakes (Registered as The Steventon Stakes) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f ITV3

9/13 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
9/13 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
9/13 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/13 – Placed favourites
8/13 – Winning distance – 1 length or  more
8/13 – Had run at the track before
8/13 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
6/13 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
5/13 – Had won a Group race before
3/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/13 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/13 – Won last time out
2/13 – Winners from stall 1
Godolphin have won 3 of the last 8 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 10/1

2.25 – JLT Cup Cl2 (3yo+) 2m ½f ITV3

No previous runnings
Trainer Hughie Morrison is just 3 from 37 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer John Gosden has a 17% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track

3.00 – bet365 Hackwood Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f8y ITV3

13/14 – Won over 6f before
11/14 – Aged 5 or younger
11/14 – Priced 15/2 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Had won 4 or more times before
10/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/14 – Placed favourites
6/14 – Ran at Ascot last time out
6/14 – Had won a Group race before
6/14 – Winning favourites
5/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Winners from stall 8
2/14 – Trained by Hughie Morrison
2/14 – Trained by William Haggas
2/14 – Trained by Charles Hills (2 of last 3)
2/14 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
1/14 – Winners from stall 1
8 of the last 11 winners returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 9/2

 

3.35 - Weatherbys Super Sprint (Plus 10 Race) Cl2 5f34y ITV3

13/14 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
12/14 – Had won over 5f before
10/14 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/14 – Won 1-2 times before
9/14 – Favourites placed in the top 4
8/14 – Won by a Feb or March foal
7/14 – Irish bred winners
6/14 – Raced at Ascot last time out
6/14 – Won last time out
6/14 – Won by a filly
4/14 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
3/14 – Winners from stall 1
4/14 – Winning favourites
Richard Fahey has trained the winner in 2013, 2015 and 2017
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 11/1

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Market Rasen Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.05 – 188Bet Summer Hurdle (A Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m1f ITV3

14/16 – Had run within the last 4 weeks
14/16 – Had won over at least 2m1f over hurdles before
13/16 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
12/16 – Had won 2 or more times already over hurdles
10/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
5/16 – Had run at Market Rasen before
2/16 – Won by the Pipe stable
3/16 – Winning favourites
10 of the last 11 winners carried 11-5 or less
8 of the last 12 winners carried 11-0 or less
7 of the last 12 winners retuned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 8/1

 

3.15 – 188Bet Summer Plate (Handicap Chase) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m6f110y ITV3

16/16 – Had run within the last 3 months
14/16 – Had won over at least 2m3f (chase) before
14/16 – Aged 7 or older
12/16 – Had won 2 or more chases before
11/16 – Carried 10-13 or less
10/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
10/16 – Had run at Market Rasen before
9/16 – Won their previous race
6/16 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
4/16 – Trained by Peter Bowen
4/16 – Ran at Stratford last time out
3/16 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/16 – Ran at Ffos Las last time out (2 of the last 7)
2/16 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
8 of the last 10 winners were aged between 7-9 years-old
Trainer Jonjo O’Neill won the race in 2009 and 2014
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1
Alcala won the race in 2017

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 28th July 2018

Another big Saturday of horse racing action with the ITV cameras heading to Ascot for four races that include the Group One King George VI And Queen Elizabeth Stakes, while they are also at York to take in three more contests that include the Skybet Dash.

As always, we’ve got is all covered with all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle.

 

Saturday 28th July 2018

 

ASCOT Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

1.50 – Princess Margaret Keenland Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 6f ITV

13/15 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
13/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/15 – Had won just once before
12/15 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/15 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
10/15 – Foaled in either Feb or March
10/15 – Won over 6f before
9/15 – Winning favourite
6/15 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/15 – Ran at Ascot last time out
4/15 – Won last time out
2/15 – Won by the Hannon yard
3/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
6 of the last 12 winners were Irish bred
8 of the last 12 horses from stall 1 were placed
4 of the last 6 winners came from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2
Nyaleti (2/1 fav) won the race 12 months ago
Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newbury

2.25 – Porsche Handicap Cl2 1m ITV

Only 7 previous runnings
6/7 – Carried 8-8 or more
5/7 – Winners between stalls 9-15
5/7 – Had won just once before
3/7 – Won last time out
5/7 – Unplaced favourites
3/7 – Returned 10/1 or bigger in the betting
3/7 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/7 – Irish bred
1/7 – Winning favourite
D’Bai (8/1) won the race 12 months ago
Trainer Charlie Appleby won the race in 2017
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 2016
Trainer William Haggas won the race in 2014
Trainer Hughie Morrison won the race in 2012

3.00 – Gigaset International Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV

15/15 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
15/15 – Had raced at Ascot previously
15/15 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
12/15 – Won over 7f previously
12/15 – Favourites unplaced
11/15 – Carried 8-9 or more in weight
11/15 – Won between 2-4 times previously
10/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
10/15 – Winners that came from outside the top three in the market
10/15 – Aged 4 years-old
9/15 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
6/15 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
4/15 – Won their last race
4/15 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/15 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/15 – Trained by Clive Cox
2/15 – Ridden by Jimmy Quinn
1/15 – Winning favourites
Trainer Richard Fahey has won the race three times in the last 8 years
9 of the last 11 winners ran at either Ascot, Newmarket or Haydock last time out
8 of the last 11 winners came from a double-figure stall
7 of the last 11 winners finished in the top 5 last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 24/1
Note: The 2005 running was staged at Newbury

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3.40 – King George VI And Queen Elizabeth Stakes (Sponsored By Qipco British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m4f ITV

16/16 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
16/16 – Previous Group 1 or 2 winners
15/16 – Had 2 or more runs already that season
14/16 – Had won over 1m4f before
13/16 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Placed last time out
12/16 – Previous Group 1 winner
12/16 – aged 4 years-old
9/16 – Had run Ascot before
9/16 – Won their previous race
8/16 – Favourites that won
7/16 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
5/16 – Won at Ascot before
3/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
Frankie Dettori has ridden the winner in 1995, 1998, 1999, 2004 and 2017
2 of the last 4 winners were that season’s Epsom Oaks winner
Galileo (2001) was the last horse to do the Derby/King George double
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 1981, 1983, 2002, 2009 & 2010
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor won the race in 1995, 1997, 1998, 1999 & 2004
Trainer Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2001, 2007, 2008 & 2016
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 7/2

YORK Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.05 – Skybet Britain’s Most Popular Online Bookmaker Handicap Cl2 7f ITV

10/10 – Carried 9-3 or more
9/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
9/10 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
8/10 – Had won over 7f before
8/10 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/10 – Had won at York before
4/10 – Rated between 73 and 80
4/10 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
4/10 – Returned 4/1 in the betting
2/10 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/10 – Won by the David O’Meara yard
2/10 – Trained by Michael Dods
1/10 – Won last time out
Get Knotted (11/2) won the race in 2016 & 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1

2.40 – Sky Bet Dash (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

14/14 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
13/14 – Had won between 2-6 times before
12/14 – Carried 8-12 or more
12/14 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/14 – Aged 5 or younger
11/14 – Drawn in stall 10 or lower
9/14 – Placed favourites
9/14 – Raced at either Hamilton, York, Newmarket or Ascot last time
8/14 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
8/14 – Had run at York before
6/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/14 – Won last time out
8 of the last 12 winners carried 9-0 or more
Flying Pursuit (12/1) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1

3.15 – Sky Bet York Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m2f88y ITV

11/12 – Aged 6 or younger
11/12 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
10/12 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
9/12 – Had won over 1m2f before
9/12 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
9/12 – Had won at least 4 times before
8/12 – Horses from stall one that finished in the top two
8/12 – Rated between 112 and 117
6/12 – Ran at Sandown last time out
6/12 – Had run at York before
6/12 – Winning favourites
3/12 – Aged 6 years-old
2/12 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
Success Days (3/1 fav) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 7th July 2018

The ITV cameras head to Sandown and Haydock on Saturday 8th July with the Coral-Eclipse, plus the Lancashire Oaks and Old Newton Cup the clear highlights – as always we've got all the TV races covered from a trends angle.

 

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

12.20 - Coral Charge (Registered as The Sprint Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 5f6y ITV

16/16 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
15/16 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Favourites placed
12/16 – Had won at least 3 times before
12/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/16 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/16 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
7/16 – Winning favourites
6/16 – Had won at Sandown before
5/16 – Ran at Ascot last time out
4/16 – Won last time out
7 of the last 12 winners were Irish bred
10 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 1-4 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 4/1

12.55 – Coral Challenge (Handicap) Cl2 1m14y ITV

15/16 – Aged 6 or younger
14/16 – Carried 8-8 or more
14/16 – Had 2 or more runs already that season
14/16 – Previous winners over 1m (or further)
12/16 – Didn’t win their previous race
10/16 – Placed favourites
10/16 – Aged 4 years-old
10/16 – Had run at Sandown before
8/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
6/16 – Ran at either York (2) or Ascot (4) last time out
3/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Trained by Andrew Balding
9 of the last 12 winners came from stall 8 or lower
Secret Act (16/1) won the race in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 12/1

1.30 – Coral Distaff (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 1m14y ITV

15/15 – Had at least 1 previous run already that season
14/15 – Had never run at Sandown before
13/15 – Had won over 7f or further before
12/15 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
9/15 – Finished in the top three last time out
8/15 – Favourites that finished in the top three
4/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The last 12 winners came from stalls 3-8 (inc)
9 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 3,4,5 or 6
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1

 

2.10 – Coral-Eclipse (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m2f7y ITV

Eclipse Stakes Past Winners

2017 – Ulysses (8/1)
2016 – Hawkbill (6/1)
2015 – Golden Horn (4/9 fav)
2014 – Mukhadram (14/1)
2013 – Al Kazeem (15/8 fav)
2012 – Nathaniel (7/2)
2011 – So You Think (4/11 fav)
2010 -  Twice Over (13/8 fav)
2009 – Sea The Stars (4/7 fav)
2008 – Mount Nelson (7/2)
2007 – Notnowcato (7/1)
2006 –David Junior (9/4)
2005 –Oratorio (12/1)
2004 –Refuse To Bend (15/2)
2003 –Falbrav (8/1)
2002 – Hawk Wing (8/15 fav)

Eclipse Stakes Betting Trends

16/16 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
13/16 – Won by a previous Group One winner
13/16 – Had at least 2 runs already that season
12/16 – Raced between 2 and 3 times that season
12/16 – Placed favourites
11/16 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out (three won there)
11/16 – Placed in their last race
7/16 – Favourites that won
5/16 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
4/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/16 – Raced in the Epsom Derby that season
4 of the last 11 winners won last time out
2 of the last 9 Derby winners of that season went onto win the race
The last 6 year-old to win the race was in 1886
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 5/1
Other Eclipse Stakes Trainer Facts
Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2011, 2008, 2005, 2002 & 2000
Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 2007, 2001, 1997, 1994, 1993 & 2017
Godolphin-owned horses have won the race in 2004, 1998, 1996, 1995 & 2016
Trainer John Gosden has won 2 of the last 6 runnings

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

12.35 - bet365 Handicap Cl3 1m2f95y ITV

1 previous running
John Gosden trained the winner in 2017
Trainer John Gosden has a 21% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Sir Mark Prescott has a 33% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Andrew Balding is just 3 from 45 with his 3 year-olds at the track

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1.10 – bet365 Lancashire Oaks (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m3f200y ITV

13/16 – Had won at least at Listed class before
13/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
13/16 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/16 – Priced 13/2 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/16 – Placed favourites
10/16 – Had won between 1-3 times before
10/16 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
9/16 – Won last time out
8/16 – Had won over 1m4f before
6/16 – Trained by John Gosden
5/16 – Had raced at Haydock before
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Raced at Ascot last time out
2/16 – Trained by Luca Cumani
2/16 – Trained by David Elsworth
2/16 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
The last 5 winners were aged 4 years-old
Endless Time won the race 12 months ago (11/4 fav)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 6/1

Note: The 2007 renewal was staged at Newmarket

1.45 – bet365 Old Newton Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m3f200y ITV

Recent Old Newton Cup Winners

2017 – Dylan Mouth (25/1)
2016 – Tawdeea (8/1)
2015 – Notarised (12/1)
2014 – De Rigueur (9/1)
2013 – Star Lahib (8/1)
2012 – Number Theory (8/1)
2011 – Halicarnassus (14/1)
2010 – Dangerous Midge (17/2)
2009 – Red Merlin (15/2 jfav)
2008 – Mad Rush (5/2 fav)
2007 – Dansili Dancer (15/2)
2006 – Consular (16/1)
2005 – Zeitgeist (9/1)
2004 – Alkaased (7/1)
2003 – Collier Hill (8/1)
2002 – Sun Bird (40/1)

Key Old Newton Cup Betting Trends

14/16 – Had won a race over 1m4f before
13/16 – Aged 5 or younger
13/16 – Won no more than 5 times before
12/16 – Officially rated between 89 and 97
11/16 – Carried 9-1 or less
11/16 – Aged 4 years-old
11/16 – Drawn in stall 13 or lower
10/16 – Had won at least 3 times before
10/16 – Favourites placed in the top 4
9/16 – Raced within the last 7 days
9/16 – Irish or USA bred
8/16 – Carried 8-10 or less
7/16 – Winners that came from the top 3 in the betting
6/16 – Placed horses (top three) from stall 4
6/16 – Had won a race at Haydock before
4/16 – Raced at Ascot last time out
4/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Trained by Luca Cumani
2/16 – Trained by Clive Cox
2/16 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 12/1

 

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 30th June 2018

The Northumberland Plate, one of the richest staying handicaps, takes centre stage at Newcastle racecourse, while the ITV cameras also head to Newmarket. Plus, as an extra bonus - it’s also Irish Derby Day over at the Curragh!!

As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle – use these to help narrow down the field and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

 

Saturday 30th June 2018

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV and RUK)

1.10 – Betway Empress Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 6f ITV

16/16 – Never raced at the track before
14/16 – Had won over either 5 or 6f before
14/16 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Won by either a Feb or March foal
10/16 – Had either 2 or 3 previous runs
9/16 – Didn’t win their previous race
8/16 – Came from stall 4 or lower
6/16 – Winning favourites
5/16 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time (2 Albany, 3 Queen Mary)
4/16 – Trained by the Hannon yard
2/16 – Trained by Richard Fahey
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 6/1

1.45 - Betway Criterion Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 7f ITV4

14/16 – Won over 7f before
14/16 – Had won a Listed (or better) class race before
14/16 – Had at least 1 run already that season
12/16 – Aged 5 or younger
10/16 – Priced 6/1 or bigger in the betting
10/16 – Finished unplaced last time out
8/16 – Came from stall 3 or lower
7/16 – Unplaced favourites
5/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/16 – Trained by Richard Hannon (3 of last 7 runnings)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1

 

Newcastle Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

12.20 - Betfred ‘Supports Jack Berry House’ Handicap Cl2 6f ITV

15/16 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
15/16 – Aged 6 or younger
13/16 – Had won over 6f before
12/16 – Had won between 1-4 times before
10/16 – Rated 90 or less
10/16 – Finished unplaced last time out
10/16 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
10/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/16 – Aged 4 years-old
10/16 – Carried 9-0 or more
8/16 – Had raced within the last 2 weeks
7/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
6/16 – Had run at Newcastle before
3/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/16 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/16- Ran at York last time out
2/16 – Trained by Tim Easterby
3/16 – Won last time out
12 of the last 14 winners came from stall 7 or HIGHER
7 of the last 14 winners came between stalls 10-15

12.55 - Betfred TV Chipchase Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f ITV

16/16 – Had won over 6f before
14/16 – Unplaced last time out
14/16 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
13/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Has raced within the last 4 weeks
11/16 – Yet to win a Group race
9/16 – Placed favourites
9/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/16 – Had won at least 4 times before
8/16 – Aged 5 or older
7/16 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/16 – Had run at Newcastle before
5/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/16 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
2/16 – Trained by Richard Fahey
1/16 – Won last time out
Intisaab was second in the race 12 months ago
Aeolus won the race in 2015
9 of the last 15 winners came between stalls 1-5
Just 2 winners from stall 1 in the last 14 runnings (and only 4 horses placed)

 

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1.30 - Betfred Northumberland Vase Handicap (Consolation Race for the John Smith´s Northumberland Plate) Cl2 2m56y ITV

Two previous runnings
Dannyday (7/2 fav) won the race in 2016
2/2 – Winning favourites
2/2 – Winners came from stalls 11-16 (inc)
2/2 – Carried 9-8 and 9-9 in weight
Trainer James Bethell has a 24% record with his older horses at the track
Trainer William Haggas is 2 from 4 with his older horses at the track
Trainer Ian Williams has a 25% record with his older horses at the track
Trainer Karl Burke is just 1 from 31 with his older horses at the track
The average winning SP in the last 2 runnings is 5/2

 

2.05 – Stobart Rail & Civils Northumberland Plate (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m19y ITV4

Past Northumberland Plate Winners~

2017 -  Higher Power (11/2)
2016 – Antiquarium (16/1)
2015 – Quest For More (15/2)
2014 – Angel Gabrial (4/1 fav)
2013 – Tominator (8/1)
2012 – Ile de Re (5/2 fav)
2011 – Tominator (25/1)
2010 – Overturn (14/1)
2009 – Som Tala (16/1)
2008 – Arc Bleu (14/1)
2007 – Juniper Girl (5/1 fav)
2006 – Toldo (33/1)
2005 – Sergeant Cecil (14/1)
2004 – Mirjan (33/1)
2003 – Unleash (10/1)
2002 – Bangalore (8/1)

Key Northumberland Plate Trends

15/16  - Had won over at least 1m4f before on the flat
15/16 – Finished fifth or better last time out
14/16 – Came from stall 14 or lower
14/16 – Aged 6 or younger
12/16 – Had won over at least 1m6f before on the flat
12/16 – Finished in the top three in their previous race
10/16 – Carried 8-12 or less
9/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/16 – Had at least 2 turf flat runs already that season
6/16 – Won by a National Hunt yard
4/16 – Won their previous race
3/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Ran at Haydock last time out (inc 3 of the last 10 winners)
3/16 – Had won on the flat at Newcastle before
2/16 – Trained by Donald McCain
1/16 – Won by a previous winner of the race
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 13.5/1
Note: The 2016 & 2017 running was staged on the All Weather track at Newcastle

 

Curragh Horse Racing Trends (ATR)

5.15 - Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Filies) 1m4f

Recent Irish Derby Winners

2017 – CAPRI (6/1)
2016 – HARZAND (4/6 fav)
2015 – JACK HOBBS (10/11 fav)
2014 – AUSTRALIA (1/8 fav)
2013 – TRADING LEATHER (6/1)
2012 - CAMELOT  (1/5 fav)
2011 – TREASURE BEACH (7/2)
2010 – CAPE BLANCO (7/2)
2009 – FAME AND GLORY (8/11 fav)
2008 – FROZEN FIRE (16/1)
2007 – SOLDIER OF FORTUNE (5/1)
2006 – DYLAN THOMAS (9/2 fav)
2005 – HURRICANE RUN (4/5 fav)
2004 – GREY SWALLOW (10/1)
2003 – ALAMSHAR  (4/1)

Key Irish Derby Betting Trends and Stats

15/15 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
13/15 – Had 3 or more wins in their career
13/15 – Won by an Irish-based yard
13/15 – Won a Group race before
13/15 – Favourites that were placed in the top 4
13/15 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/15 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
11/15 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
11/15 – Failed to win their last race
11/15 – Ran in the Epsom Derby last time out
10/15 – Had never raced at the Curragh before
9/15 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (won it 12 times in all)
7/15 – Placed in the Epsom Derby (3 winners, Harzand, Australia & Camelot)
4/15 – Previous Group 1 winners
3/15 – Ridden by Seamie Heffernan
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 4/1

 

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 16th June 2018

Another busy Saturday of horse racing ahead with this weekend's LIVE ITV4 coming from Sandown, Chester and York.

As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle – use these to help narrow down the field and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

 

Saturday 16th June 2018

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

2.05 – Randox Health Scurry Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f6y ITV4

13/13 – Returned 11/1 or shorter
11/13 – Had won over 5f before
11/13 – Placed favourites
10/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/13 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
8/13 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
8/13 – Had won at least 3 times before
8/13 – Came from stall 7 or higher
8/13 – Irish bred
7/13 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
7/13 – Winning favourites
7/13 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
6/13 – Had won a Listed or Group 3 race before
5/13 – Ran at either Haydock (3) or Beverley (2) last time out
2/13 – Trained by Michael Bell
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2
Trainer Stuart Kittow has 40% strike-rate (2 from 5) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Mick Channon has just 2 from 29 with his 3 year-olds at the track
Adam Kirby is just 3 from 47 riding 3 year-olds at the track

 

3.15 – Randox Health Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-100) 1m ITV4

6 previous runnings
5/6 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
5/6 – Didn’t win last time out
5/6 – Had won between 2-4 times before
5/6 – Had won over 1m before
5/6 – Rated between 90-94
5/6 – Carried 9-5 or more in weight
4/6 – Aged 4 years-old
4/6 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
4/6 – Ran at either Sandown (2) or Newmarket (2) last time out
4/6 – Had run at the course before
4/6 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
3/6 – Winning favourites
2/6 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 11/2

 

York Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

1.50 – Queen Mother´s Cup (Lady Amateur Riders) (Handicap) Cl3 1m4f ITV4

14/15 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
13/15 – Carried 9-11 or more
13/15 – Had run over 1m4f or further previously
12/15 – Had at least 2 previous runs already that season (flat)
12/15 – Aged 6 or younger
12/15 – Had won over 1m4f or further before
11/15 – Rated between 80-89
11/15 – Won from a single-figure stall
10/15 – Favourites placed in the top four
10/15 – Had run at York before
9/15 – Winning distance – 3/4 length or less
9/15 – Had won at least 3 times before (flat)
8/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
7/15 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
6/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
4/15 – Winners that came from stalls 3 or 4
4/15 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/15 – Won by trainer Tim Easterby
3/15 – Won last time out
2/15 – Won by trainer Luca Cumani
2/15 – Ridden by Miss J Coward
1/15 – Placed horses from stall 2
Tapis Libre (8/1) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1

 

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2.25 – JCB Handicap Cl2 7f ITV4

Only 3 previous runnings
3/3 – Aged 4 years-old
3/3 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
3/3 – Rated between 90-99
3/3 – Unplaced favourites
3/3 – Had raced at York before
3/3 – Came from a single-figure stall
2/3 – Won over 7f before
2/3 – Came from stall 9
0/3 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 3 runnings is 11/1
Trainer Andrew Balding won the race 12 months ago
Trainer Charles Hills has a 22% record with his older horses at the track
Trainer Jedd O’Keeffe has a 21% record with his older horses at the track
Trainer Kevin Ryan is just 3 from 96 with his older horses at the track
Trainer Mark Johnston is just 2 from 48 with his older horses at the track
Trainer Richard Fahey is just 12 from 243 with his older horses at the track
Trainer Tim Easterby is just 9 from 176 with his older horses at the track
Trainer Michael Easterby is just 4 from 138 with his older horses at the track
Jockey Georgina Cox is 3 from 4 riding older horses at the track

 

3.00 – Sky Bet Grand Cup Stakes (Listed Race) Cl (4yo+) 1m6f ITV4

9/10 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
9/10 – Had raced in the last 2 months
9/10 – Officially rated 103 or higher
8/10 – Placed favourites
8/10 – Drawn in stalls 1-7 (inc)
8/10 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
8/10 – Won at least 4 times before (flat)
7/10 – Returned 10/3 or shorter in the betting
5/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Won last time out
3/10 – Ran at the track before
2/10 – Trained by Peter Niven
2/10 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
1/10 – Winners from stall 1
Clever Cookie won the race in 2014 & 2015
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2
Note: The 2014 running was a dead-heat

 

3.35 –Pavers Foundation Catherine Memorial Sprint (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV4

11/13 – Rated between 87-97
11/13 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
11/13 – Had won over 6f before
10/13 – Unplaced favourites
10/13 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
9/13 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
9/13 – Had won between 1-2 times before
6/13 – Irish bred
6/13 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/13 – Won last time out
3/13 – Won by Tim Easterby (inc 3 of the last 5 runnings)
2/13 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
1/13 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 11/1
7 of the last 10 winners came from a single-figure draw
Trainer Hugo Palmer is 4 from 12 (33%) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Clive Cox is 2 from 9 (22%) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Fahey is only 5 from 127 (4%) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Andrea Atzeni is 7 from 33 (21%) riding 3 year-olds at the track
Paul Hanagan is only 1 from 46 riding 3 year-olds at the track

 

Chester Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.40 – City of London Handicap (Cl2) (3yo 0-100) 1m4f ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer William Haggas has a 27% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Kevin Ryan has a 24% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Andrew Balding has a 23% record with his 3 year-olds at the track

 

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 9th June 2018

Another busy Saturday of horse racing ahead with this weekend's LIVE ITV4 coming from Newmarket, Musselburgh and Haydock. As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle – use these to help narrow down the field and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Saturday 9th June 2018

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

3.05 – Animal Health Trust Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 7f ITV4

One previous running
Trainer Mark Johnston has a 20% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer William Haggas has a 21% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer David Baron has a 20% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Hannon is just 12 from 132 with his 3 year-olds at the track

 

3.40 – John Sunley Memorial Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m6f ITV4

One previous running
Trainer Mark Johnston won this race 12 months ago
Horse from stall 12 won this race 12 months ago
Trainer Mark Johnston has a 21% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Josie Gordon is 0 from 15 riding older horses at the track

 

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.15 Betway Middle Distance Handicap Cl3 (3yo) 1m4f ITV4

Trainer Hugo Palmer has a 20% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Ralph Beckett has a 16% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey William Buick has a 24% record riding 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Richard Kingscote has a 22% record riding 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Silvestre De Sousa has a 22% record riding 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Oisin Murphy is just 3 from 36 riding 3 year-olds at the track

 

2.50 Betway Pinnacle Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m3f ITV4

15/15 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
13/15 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
13/15 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/15 – Rated 92 or higher
11/15 – Placed favourites
11/15 – Had won over 1m4f before
11/15 – Aged 4 years-old
10/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/15 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
5/15 – Had run at Haydock before
4/15 – Won last time out
4/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by Roger Varian
2/15 – Trained by John Gosden
2/15 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/1

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3.25 Betway Achilles Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo) 5f ITV4

9/9 – Returned 14/1 or shorter
8/9 – Aged 5 or older
8/9 – Had raced in the last 10 weeks
8/9 – Won between 6-8 times before
8/9 – Didn’t win last time out
8/9 – Had won over 5f before
7/9 – Drawn between stalls 2-7 (inc)
6/9 – Had run at the course before
6/9 – Winning distance 1 length or less
6/9 – Had finished in the top 5 last time out
5/9 – Unplaced favourites
4/9 – Winning favourites
Final Venture (9/4) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 13/2

 

4.00 Betway John Of Gaunt Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 7f ITV4

14/15 – Rated 107 or higher
14/15 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
13/15 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
12/15 – Came from the top three in the betting
12/15 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Had won over 7f before
10/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
10/15 – Drawn in stall 3 or lower
9/15 – Favourites placed
9/15 – Had won at least 4 times before
5/15 – Had run at the track before
4/15 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/15 - Aged 9 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1

 

Musselburgh Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.55 – Edinburgh Gin’s Seaside Gin Handicap Cl3 (4yo+) 1m4 1/2f ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer Rebecca Bastiman has a 20% (+23) record with her older horses at the track
Trainer Ralph Beckett is 1-from-1 with his older horses at the track
Trainer Tim Easterby is 5 from 65 with his older horses at the track

 

2.30 – Edinburgh Gin Scottish Sprint Cup Handicap Cl2 (4yo+) 5f ITV4

13/14 – Won over 5f before
11/14 – Favourites that finished in the top 5
11/14 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
11/14 -  Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/14 – Carried 9-1 or less
9/14 – Had won between 2-5 times before
9/14 – Came from a double-figure stall
9/14 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
9/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/14 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
6/14 – Won last time out
4/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Trained by Bryan Smart
Line Of Reason (11/1) won the race in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 16/1

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 26th May 2018

More LIVE ITV4 horse racing this Saturday as the cameras take in eight races across three venues – Haydock, York and Goodwood – with the feature contest the Group Two Temple Stakes at Haydock Park.
As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle – use these to narrow down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Saturday 26th May 2018

Goodwood Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

1.55 – Netbet Mobile Bet10Get10 Festival Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m1f192y ITV4

13/14 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
11/14 – Had won at least 3 times before
10/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/14 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
9/14 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
8/14 – Finished in the top two last time out
8/14 – Had run at Goodwood before
8/14 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
7/14 – Drawn in stall 4 or lower
5/14 – Winning favourites (1 co)
2/14 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/14– Ridden by Tom Queally
2/14 – Won last time out
First Sitting won the race in 2017
Spark Plug was second in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 17/2

 

2.30 – Netbet Sport Handicap (3yo) Cl2 7f ITV4

5 previous runnings
5/5 - returned 9/2 to 12/1
5/5 – Came from stalls 2-6 (inc)
5/5 – Raced in the last 3 weeks
5/5 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
4/5 - carried between 8-0 and 8-4
3/5 – Rated between 77-81
3/5 – Won just once before
3/5 – Winners from stall 3
2/5 – Trained by Mark Johnston
1/5 winning favourites
Richard Hannon, Mark Johnston (2), Andrew Balding and Mick Channon are the past winning yards
Trainer William Haggas has a 25% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer John Gosden has a 20% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer David Simcock has a 19% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer George Scott is 2 from 6 with his 3 years-olds at the track
Trainer Roger Varian is just 2 from 26 with his 3 year-olds at the track
The average SP in the last 5 runnings is 8/1

 

York Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

3.05 – Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Bronte Cup Fillies’ Stakes (Group 3) (4yo+) Cl1 1m6f ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer William Haggas has a 23% (+28) record with his 4 year-olds at the track
Trainer Ralph Beckett has a 18% record (+17) with his 4 year-olds at the track

 

3.40 – Unibet Sprint Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 5f ITV4

Only 4 previous runnings
4/4 – Drawn in stalls 5-9 (inc)
4/4 – Raced in the last 2 weeks
3/4 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
3/4 – Returned between 5/1 and 9/1 in the betting
3/4 – Didn’t win last time out
3/4 – Winning distance ½ length or less
2/4 – Aged 4 years-old
1/4 – Winning favourites
Copper Knight win the race 12 months ago
Trainer Dave Griffiths has a 20% strike-rate with this older horses at the track
Trainer Michael Easterby is just 3 from 134 (2%) with his older horses at the track
Trainer Richard Fahey is just 11 from 236 (5%) with his older horses at the track
Trainer Kevin Ryan is just 3 from 94 (3%) with his older horses at the track
Trainer Mark Johnston is just 2 from 48 (4%) with his older horses at the track
Trainer Tim Easterby is just 9 from 171 (5%) with his older horses at the track

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Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

2.15 – Amix Ready Mixed Concrete Handicap Cl2 2m45y ITV4

Just 4 previous runnings
4/4 – Winners aged 4 or 5
4/4 – Didn’t win last time out
4/4 – Finished in the top 6 last time out
4/4 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
4/4 – Winning distance 2 lengths or less
4/4 – Came from stalls 2-8 (inc)
4/4 – Unplaced favourites
4/4 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
3/4 – Winners carried 8-13 or more
3/4 – Rated between 91-98
No winning favourite yet
Trainers Mark Johnston, Tim Easterby, Brian Ellison and Lucy Wadham were previous winners of the race

 

2.50 - Amix Silver Bowl Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV4

15/15 – Had won between 1-3 times before
14/15 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
14/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/15 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
13/15 – Had won over 7f or 1m before
12/15 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
12/15 – Placed last time out
11/15 – Carried 9-1 or less
10/15 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
9/15 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
5/15 – Won last time out¬
5/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/15 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/15 – Trained by Mark Johnston (2 of last 5)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/1

 

3.25 – Armstrong Aggregates Sandy Lane Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (3yo) 6f ITV4

14/14 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/14 – Raced in the last 7 weeks
13/14 – Had won over 6f before
12/14 – Had won between 1-3 times before
12/14 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
11/14 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – From stall 5 or higher
8/14 – Winning favourites
6/14 – Came from stall 8 or 9
3/14 – Raced at Newbury last time out
2/14 – Raced at York last time
2/14 – Trained by William Haggas
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/3
Trainer William Haggas won the race in 2009 and 2015

 

4.00 – Armstrong Aggregates Temple Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 5f ITV4

15/16 – Trained in the UK
14/16 – Had won over 5f before
13/16 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
12/16 – Raced within the last 2 months
10/16 – Placed third or better last time out
9/16 – Favourites that were placed
9/16 – Had won a Group race before
9/16 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Won their latest race
2/16 – Owned by Qatar Racing (2 of last 4 runnings)
2/16 – Trained by Clive Cox (last 2 runnings)
2/16 – Ridden by Adam Kirby (last 2 runnings)
The average winning SP in the last 13 years is 13/2
6 of the last 9 winners came from stalls 6 or lower

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 19th May 2018

After a week at York the ITV cameras head to Newbury this Saturday to cover four races including the Lockinge Stakes, while they are also showing three contests from Newmarket – As always, here at Geegeez we've got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle.

 

Saturday 19th May 2018

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

1.50 - Shalaa Carnarvon Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f8y ITV

12/13 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
12/13 – Had between 1-3 previous wins
11/13 – Had won over 6f before
11/13 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
10/13 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
10/13 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
8/13 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
5/13 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/13 – Winning favourites
3/13 – Drawn in stall 3
3/13 – Won last time out
3/13 – Trained by Richard Hannon
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 4/1

2.25 - Al Rayyan Stakes (Registered As The Aston Park) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f5y ITV

14/15 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
13/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/15 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
11/15 – Drawn 4 or lower
10/15 – Irish bred
10/15 – Had run at Newbury before
10/15 – Placed favourites
10/15 – Had won at Listed or Group class before
9/15 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
7/15 – Had won between 1-3 times before
7/15 – Aged 4 years-old
4/15 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
1/15 – Won last time out
3 of the last 10 winners were Godolphin-owned
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/2

3.00 - Al Zubarah London Gold Cup (Open Handicap) Cl2 1m2f6y ITV

15/15 – Had won between 1-2 times before
13/15 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/15 – Rated 90 or lower
12/15 – Carried 8-10 or more
12/15 – Winners from stall 8 or lower
11/15 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
10/15 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
8/15 – Won last time out
8/15 – Had won over 1m2f before
7/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
7/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/15 – Irish bred
5/15 – Raced at Newbury before (2 won here)
4/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/15 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 8/1

3.40 - Al Shaqab Lockinge Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m ITV

15/15 – Won over a mile before
13/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/15 – Had won a Group One race before
12/15 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
11/15 – Had won at least 4 times before
11/15 – Aged 4 years-old
10/15 – Having their first run of the season
10/15 – Winning favourites
9/15 – Unplaced last time out
4/15 – Won by the Richard Hannon yard (Has won the race 5 times in all)
3/15 – Won by a mare
3/15 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/15 – Won by a Cheveley Park stud-owned horse (won it 5 times in all)
2/15 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute (has won the race 7 times in all)
0/15 – Winners from stall 1 or 2
The average winning SP in the last 15 runnings is 3/1
No winner aged 7 or older since 1958

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Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

2.05 – Betway Fairway Stakes (Listed) Cl1 (3yo) 1m2f ITV

11/11 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
11/11 – Had won between 1-2 times before
10/11 – Had raced in the last 3 weeks
9/11 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/11 – Favourites placed in the top three
9/11 – Had won over 1m or further before
8/11 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
8/11 – Draw 1,2 or 3
7/11 – Had raced at Newmarket before (Rowley)
5/11 – Winning favourites
5/11 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/11 – US-bred winners
3/11 – Trained John Gosden
2/11 – Had won over 1m2f before
2/11 – Won last time out
2/11 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/11 – Godolphin-owned winners
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

2.40 –Betway King Charles II Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 7f ITV

14/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/15 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
12/15 – Won only once before
12/15 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
12/15 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
11/15 – Winners from stall 4 or lower
11/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/15 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
9/15 – Raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
8/15 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by the Hills stable
2/15 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/15 – Trained by Richard Hannon (2 of last 4 winners)
2/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/15 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/1

3.15 - Betway Handicap Cl2 6f ITV

15/15 – Had won between 1-3 times before
12/15 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
12/15 – Had won over 6f before
12/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/15 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Finished 1st, 2nd or 3rd last time out
9/15 – Carried 8-12 or more
9/15 – Favourites placed in the top 4
8/15 – Rated between 91-96
8/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/15 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
5/15 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Won by a mare/filly
3/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Won by the Kremlin House (Varian) stable
2/15 – Trained by Richard Fahey
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 5th May 2018

It’s day one of Guineas Weekend at Newmarket this Saturday, with the first English Classic of the season - the 2,000 Guineas - the feature race, while the ITV cameras are also taking in two races at Goodwood.

So, as always here at GeeGeez we've got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle - use the key trends to help whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

Enjoy!

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.50 – Spring Lodge Stakes (Formerly The Suffolk Stakes) Cl2 1m1f ITV

13/13 – Had won at least twice before
13/13 – Had won over at least a mile before
11/13 – Priced 12/1 or shorter
11/13 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
11/13 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
10/13 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/13 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/13 – Returned between 9/1 and 12/1 in the betting
8/13 – Rated between 90 and 95
7/13 – Aged 4 years-old
6/13 – Having their first run of the season
5/13 – Irish bred
5/13 – Won last time out
2/13 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
1/13 - Winning favourites
No winners from stalls 1 or 2 in the last 10 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1

2.20 - Longholes Palace House Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 5f ITV

14/15 – Had won over 5f before
13/15 – Won 3 or more times before
13/15 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
12/15 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
12/15 – Had run at Newmarket before
12/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/15 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
11/15 – Placed favourites
10/15 – Rated between 108 and 114
10/15 – Aged 5 or younger
9/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/15 – Won last time out
6/15 – Winning favourites
5/15 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/15 – Trained by Bryan Smart
Just one placed horse from stall 1 in the last 11 runnings
6 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 2-7 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1

2.55 – Dunaden Jockey Club Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m4f ITV

15/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/15 – Had won between 3-5 times in their career
12/15 – Won over 1m4f before
12/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/15 – Winning distance – 1 ½ lengths or more
11/15 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
9/15 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
9/15 – Aged 4 years-old
8/15 – Rated 112 or higher
8/15 – Winning favourites
7/15 – Having their first run of the season
7/15 – Had won a Group race before
6/15 – Won last time out
6/15 – Aged 5 years-old
4/15 – Returned 7/4 in the betting
4/15 – Ran at Newbury last time out
3/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/15 – Won by trainer Mark Johnston
2/15 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute
2/15 – Trained by Andre Fabre
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

3.35 – Qipco 2000 Guineas Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 1m ITV

16/16 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
14/16 – Had won over at least 7f before
14/16 – Had won a Group race before
14/16 – Had won between 2-5 times before
12/16 – Won last time out
12/16 – Winning distance – less than 2 lengths
11/16 – Having their first run of the season
10/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/16 – Placed favourites
9/16 – Had won just 2 or 3 times in their career before
9/16 – Won by an Irish-based yard
9/16 – Irish bred
7/16 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (8 wins)
6/16 – Winning favourites
5/16 – Had won over a mile before
5/16 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley) before
4/16 – Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (2 winners)
4/16 – Won the Dewhurst Stakes the previous season
3/16 – Ran at the Curragh last time out
6 of the last 8 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 10/1

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Other 2,000 Guineas Facts

- Aidan O’Brien has won the race in 1998, 2002, 2005, 2006, 2008, 2012, 2015 & 2017
- Frankie Dettori rode the winner in 1996, 1999 & 2016

 

Goodwood Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.05 – Matchbook VIP/British EBF Daisy Warwick Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f ITV

7 previous runnings
7/7 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
6/7 – Came between stalls 1-5 (inc)
5/7 – Didn’t win last time out
5/7 – Had won over 1m4f before
5/7 – Had won between 2-3 times before
5/7 – Aged 4 years-old
4/7 – Unplaced favourites
2/7 – Winners from stall 2
2/7 – Had raced at Goodwood before
2/7 – Raced at Ascot last time out
1/7 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 11/2

2.40 – Commission Free Racing At Matchbook Handicap Cl2 7f ITV

Just 5 previous runnings
5/5 – Carried between 8-7 and 8-12
5/5 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
5/5 – Had won between 2-4 races before
4/5 – Winners that came between stalls 5-9 (inc)
4/5 – Ran at Kempton last time out
2/5 – Aged 4 years-old
2/5 – Finished second last time out
2/5 – Ridden by Shane Kelly
2/5 – Winners from stall 5
1/5 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 5 runnings is 12/1

 

 

 

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Newmarket TV Trends: Sun 6th May 2018

It's DAY TWO of Guineas Weekend at Newmarket this Sunday, with four more LIVE ITV races that include the second English Classic of the season - the 1,000 Guineas.

Did you know? 15 of the last 16 1,000 Guineas winners were placed in the top three last time out, while 11 of the last 16 won their most-recent outing

As always here at GeeGeez we've got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle - use the key trends to help whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

Enjoy!

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.50 – Qatar Racing Handicap (Handicap) Cl2 1m4f ITV

13/14 – Had won at least twice before
13/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/14 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
12/14 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Finished in the top 5 in their last race
10/14 – Winning distance 1 ½ lengths or less
10/14 – Had won over 1m4f before
10/14 – Had won between 2-4 times before
5/14  Having their first run of the season
6/14 – Had run at Newmarket before (Rowley)
4/14 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/14 – Ridden by William Buick
3/14 – Winning favourites (1 co)
1/13 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1

2.20 – Charm Spirit Dahlia Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m1f ITV

14/14 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
13/14 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
13/14 – Had won over 1m (or further) before
12/14 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
10/14 – Aged 4 years-old
8/14 – Had run at the course before
7/14 – Ran at either Kempton (4) or Newmarket (3) last time out
7/14 – Won this on first run of the season
6/14 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
6/14 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
6/14 – Won last time out
4/14 – Ran at Kempton last time out
5/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/14 – Ridden by William Buick
2/14 – French-trained winners (2 of the last 4)
8 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 1-4 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/3

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2.55 – Longholes Handicap Cl2 6f ITV

14/14 – Had won between 2-5 times before
12/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/14 – Had won over 6f before
12/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
11/14 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
10/14 – Carried 9-1 or less
8/14 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
7/14 – Returned between 10/1-12/1 in the betting
6/14 – Won last time out
6/14 – Irish bred
3/14 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
2/14 – Trained by Richard Fahey
1/14 – Winning favourites
Just 1 placed horse from stall 2 in the last 10 runnings
7 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 9 or higher
Mr Lupton won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/1

3.35 – Qipco 1,000 Guineas Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies) Cl1 1m ITV

15/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
12/16 – Had won a Group race before
12/16 – Had won between 2-3 times before
11/16 – Won their previous race
10/16 – Winning distance – 1 ½ lengths or less
9/16 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
9/16 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
9/16 – Yet to win a race over a mile (or further)
7/16 – Returned a double-figure price
7/16 – Favourites unplaced
7/16 – Won on their seasonal reappearance
7/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
7/16 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
6/16 – Irish-trained winners
5/16 – Previous Group One winners
5/16 – Went onto win the Coronation Stakes at Royal Ascot
4/16 – Won by a US bred horse
4/16 – Won by the favourite
3/16 – French-trained winners
3/16 – Went onto finish fourth in the Epsom Oaks
3/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/16 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/16 – Went onto win the Epsom Oaks (Kazzia 2002, Minding 2016)
Just one horse placed from stall 1 in the last 10 runnings
7 of the last 10 winners came between stalls 2-8 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 10/1

1,000 Guineas Facts

Owner Hamdam Al Maktoum has won the race 5 times (1990, 1991, 1995, 2000 & 2009)
Frankie Dettori has ridden the ridden the winner 3 times (1998, 2002 & 2011)
Ryan Moore has ridden the winner 3 times (2012, 2015, 2016)
Godolphin have won the race 3 times (1998, 2002 & 2011)
Aidan O’Brien has trained four winners, Virginia Waters (1995), Homecoming Queen (2012), Minding (2016) & Winter (2017)

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 28th April 2018

We've LIVE racing for  Bet365 Gold Cup day at Sandown Park this Saturday as the curtain comes down on another jumps season, while the ITV cameras are also heading to Leicester & Haydock for a couple more races

So, as always here at GeeGeez we've got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle - use the key trends to help whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

Enjoy!

 

SANDOWN HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RUK)

No previous runnings
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 29% record over hurdles at the track
Trainer Philip Hobbs has a 26% record over hurdles at the track
Trainer Alan King has a 21% record over hurdles at the track
Trainer David Pipe is just 3 from 43 (7%) with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Venetia Williams is just 1 from 33 (3%) with her hurdlers at the track
Trainer Jonjo O’Neill is just 1 from 32 (3%) with her hurdlers at the track

2.25 - bet365 Oaksey Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 2m6f ITV

Just 4 previous running
Menorah (Owned by Diana Whateley) won the race in 2014, 2015, 2016 & 2017
4/4 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
4/4 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
4/4 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
4/4 – Irish bred
4/4 – Officially rated 161-169 (inc)
3/4 – Ran at Aintree last time out
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 24% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Tom George is just 2 from 26 (8%) with his chasers at the track
Jockey Sam Twiston-Davies is just 3 from 52 (6%) riding chasers at the track

3.00 - bet365 Celebration Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV

15/15 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
15/15 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
13/15 – Aged 9 or younger
13/15 – Had won at least 3 times over fences before
12/15 – Came from the top three in the betting
12/15 – Placed favourites
11/15 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
11/15 – Had raced at Sandown (fences) before
10/15 – Rated 160 or higher
8/15 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
5/15 – Irish bred
5/15 – Won last time out
5/15 – Winning favourite
4/15 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable (won it 5 times in all)
4/15 – Ran at Aintree last time out
3/15 – Won by the Pipe stable
3/15 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable
2/15 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
1/15 – Irish-trained winners
Altior won the race in 2017
Special Tiara won the race in 2015
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/3

3.35 - bet365 Gold Cup Chase (Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m5f110y ITV

15/15 – Had raced in the last 56 days
14/15 – Carried 11-5 or less in weight
12/15 – Carried 11-0 or less
12/15 – Had won over 3m or further before
11/15 – Aged 9 or younger
10/15  - Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
9/15 – Officially rated 140 or higher
9/15 – Had raced in the last 25 days
8/15 – Finished 4th or worse last time out
8/15 – Came from the top 7 in the betting market
3/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/15 – Ran in the Aintree Grand National last time out
2/15 – Ran in the Scottish Grand National last time out
2/15 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
2/15 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/15 – Won last time out
0/15 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 15/1

Other Key Bet365 Gold Cup Facts

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The last winning favourite was Beau in 2000
Just one 6 year-old winner since 1959
22 of the last 27 (81%) winners carried less than 11st
8 year-olds have won 5 of the last 14 runnings
11 of the last 15 (73%) winners were aged 7, 8 or 9 years-old
Trainer Paul Nicholls has won the race 4 times

 

HAYDOCK HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RUK)

2.05 – Best Odds Guatanteed At 188Bet Handicap Cl2 7f ITV

5 previous runnings
5/5 – Aged 5 or younger
5/5 – Carried between 8-7 and 9-5 in weight
4/5 – Came from stalls 1-5 (inc)
4/5 – Won over 7f in the past
4/5 – Didn’t win last time out
3/5 – Irish bred
3/5 – Rated between 96-100 (inc)
3/5 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/5 – Winning favourites
Trainer William Haggas has won the last 2 runnings
Trainer Richard Hannon won the race in 2015
Trainer Tom Dascombe has a 21% (+57) record with his older horses at the track
Trainer Richard Fahey is just 5 from 144 (3%) with his older horses at the track
Trainer Kevin Ryan is just 2 from 41 (5%) with his older horses at the track
Trainer Mick Easterby is just 2 from 37 (5%) with his older horses at the track
Jockey Richard Kingscote has a 23% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track

LEICESTER HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RUK)

2.45 – totepool EBF Stallions King Richard III Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 7f ITV

9/9 – Favourites placed in the top 3
8/9 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
7/9 – Winners from stalls 2-5 (inc)
7/9 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
7/9 – Last ran 2+ months ago
7/9 – Irish bred winners
7/9 – Officially rated 107 or higher
7/9 – Won at least twice in the past
7/9 – Had won over 7f in the past
7/9 – Didn’t win last time out
6/9 – Unplaced last time out
2/9 – Winning favourites
2/9 – Trained by Hugo Palmer
2/9 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
0/9 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 4/1

 

 

 

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Sandown TV Trends: Fri 27th April 2018

Plenty to look forward to this Friday as the ITV cameras head to Sandown Park to for their opening day of their two-day mixed flat and jumps meeting. We get going on Friday (27th April) with four LIVE flat races on the card that include the Bet365 Mile, Classic Trial, Gordon Richard Stakes and the Esher Cup.

As always, here at GeeGeez.co.uk we’ve got it all covered with the key trends, plus our tips on each of the LIVE races.

 

 

SANDOWN HORSE RACING TRENDS (RUK/ITV)

 

1.50 - bet365 Esher Cup (Handicap) Cl2 1m14y ITV4

15/15 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
15/15 – Had won no more than twice before
14/15 – Never raced at Sandown before
12/15 – Had between 2-4 runs before
12/15 – Had won just once before
11/15 – Drawn in stall 4 or higher
11/15 – Priced 17/2 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Carried 8-12 or less in weight
9/15 – Unplaced favourites
9/15 – Had won over at least 1 mile before
9/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/15 – Won last time out
4/15 – Raced at Kempton last time out
2/15 – Trained by John Gosden
2/15 – Trained by the Hannon stable
2/15 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 11 runnings is 6/1
Note: 2006 was a dead heat

 

 

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2.25 - bet365 Gordon Richards Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f7y ITV4

14/15 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
14/15 – Officially rated 110 or higher
13/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/15 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Had won a Group race before
12/15 – Had won at least twice (UK) before
10/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/15 – Placed favourites
9/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/15 – Drawn in stall 4 or higher
7/15 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
7/15 – Irish bred
5/15 – Had run at Sandown before
4/15 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/15 – Trained by John Gosden
3/15 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/2

 

 

3.00 - bet365 Classic Trial (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f7y ITV4

12/14 – Won between 1-3 times before
12/14 – Never raced at Sandown before
12/14 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Had won over at least 1m before
9/14 – Placed in the top 2 last time out
8/14 – Raced at Leopardstown (2), Curragh (2) or Newbury (4) last time out
8/14 – Irish bred winners
7/14 – Horses drawn in stall 4 that finished in the first 3
6/14 – Won last time out
4/14 – Winning favourites
4/14 – Trained by John Gosden
3/14 – Winners from stall 4
3/14 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
2/14 – Ridden by William Buick
2/14 – Winners from stall 3
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

 

 

3.35 - bet365 Mile (Group 2) Cl1 1m14y ITV4

13/14 – Had won a Group race before
13/14 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Had won 5 or more times before
11/14 – Had won over a mile before
10/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/14 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
8/14 – Trained by the Hannon stable
8/14 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/14 – Placed favourites
7/14 – Aged 4 years-old
6/14 – Winning favourites
5/14 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/14 – Horses drawn in stall 3 that finished second
5/14 – Had run at Sandown before
4/14 – Previous Group One winners
2/14 – Ridden by Pat Dobbs
2/14 – Trained by David O’Meara
2/14 – Won by Sir Michael Stoute
2/14 – Won by a previous winner of the race
2/14 – Won last time out
3 of last 7 winners have come from stall 1
Sovereign Debt won the race in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 3/1

 

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Sat TV Trends: 31st March 2018

Okay, not the best Saturday's racing on the calendar, but we've still more LIVE ITV horse racing action as the cameras head to both Haydock (NH) and Musselburgh (Flat) to take in seven races across the two venues.
So, as always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle - use the key trends to help whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

Enjoy!

 

HAYDOCK Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV4)

 

2.05 – Smarkets Challenger Middle Distance Chase Series Final (A Handicap Chase) Cl2 2m3f203y ITV4

Two previous runnings
Ballybolley won the 2016 & 2017 runnings
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies won the race in 2016 & 2017
Jockey Daryl Jacob rode the winner in 2016 & 2017
The last 2 winners returned 9/2 or shorter
The last two winners carried 11-5 in weight
One winning favourite
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 40% (12 from 30) record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Ian Williams has a 29% (2 from 7) record with his chasers at the track
 

2.40 – Smarkets Challenger Two Mile Hurdle Series Final (A Handicap Hurdle) Cl2 1m7f144y ITV4

Two previous runnings
Trainer Tom George won the race in 2017
Both previous winners carried 10-4 or less in weight
Both winners returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
Trainer Tom George has a 29% (5 from 17) record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Donald McCain is just 5 from 58 (9%) with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Jennie Candlish is just 2 from 27 (7%) with his hurdlers at the track

 

3.15 – Smarkets Challenger Staying Chase Series Final (A Handicap Chase) Cl2 3m24y ITV4

Two previous runnings
No winning favourite yet
Both winners aged between 9-10 years-old
Both winners carried between 11-3 and 11-10
Trainer Tom George won the race in 2016
Trainer Donald McCain has a 31% (11 from 35) record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Ian Williams has a 29% (2 from 7) record with his chasers at the track
Trainer David Pipe has a 19% (6 from 32) record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Tom George is just 1 from 21 with his chasers at the track

 

MUSSELBURGH Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV4)

 

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1.50 – toteplacepot Handicap Cl3 (4yo+) 7f ITV4

One previous running
Twin Appeal (David Baron) won the race in 2017
Last year’s winner came from stall 4
Trainer Mick Easterby has a 23% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Rebecca Bastiman has a 20% record with her 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Rowan Scott is just 2 from 39 (5%) riding older horses at the track

 

2.25 – totescoop6 Borderlescott Sprint Trophy Conditions Stakes (Class 2) (3yo+) 5f ITV4

10 previous runnings
10/10 – Drawn in stalls 7 or lower
10/10 – Didn’t win last time out
9/10 – Returned 17/2 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Had won over 5f before
9/10 – Favourites placed in the top 3
8/10 – Aged 6 or older
8/10 – Officially rated 97 or higher
7/10 – Had won 6+ times before
6/10 – Winning distance ½ length or less
6/10 – Won this after 5+ months off
5/10 – Winning favourites
5/10 – Came from stalls 4 or 5
5/10 – Irish bred
5/10 – Finished 2nd or 3rd last time out
4/10 – Trained by Bryan Smart
4/10 – Had won at Musselburgh before
3/10 – Ridden by Tom Eaves
2/10 – Trained by Tim Easterby
2/10 – Ridden by David Allan
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2
Desert Law (14/1) won the race in 2017
Trainer Mick Appleby has a 30% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Roger Fell is 2 from 5 (40%) strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Rebecca Bastiman has a 20% record with her 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Rowan Scott is just 2 from 39 (5%) riding older horses at the track

 

3.00 – totesport.com Royal Mile Handicap (Class 2) (3yo) 1m ITV4

Only 3 previous runnings
Trainer Richard Fahey won the race in 2017
Trainer William Haggas won the race in 2014
All previous winners carried between 8-0 and 8-9
All previous winners came from stalls 3-6 (inclusive)
No winning favourite yet
Trainer David Brown has a 29% strike-rate with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer David Baron has a 25% strike-rate with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Fahey has a 21% strike-rate with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Kevin Ryan has a 21% strike-rate with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Mark Johnston has a 20% strike-rate with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Tom Eaves is just 2 from 44 riding 3 year-olds at the track

 

3.35 – totepool Queen's Cup Handicap (Class 2) (4yo+) 1m6f ITV4

Only 3 previous runnings
2 of the 3 previous winners aged 7
All previous winners returned a double-figure price
2 of the 3 previous winners carried between 8-5 and 8-12
No winning favourite
All three previous winners returned double-figure prices
Trainer Jim Goldie won the race in 2014
Carbon Dating (12/1) won the race 12 months ago

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 24th March 2018

Another busy day this Saturday with seven LIVE ITV4 races at Newbury and Doncaster. It's National Hunt jumping action at Newbury, while Doncaster get the new turf season under way with the Lincoln Handicap their feature contest. As always, here at GeeGeez we've got it all covered from a trends angle - use these key stats to help narrow down the big fields and find the best profile of past winners.

 

DONCASTER Horse Racing Trends

1.50 - Unibet Cammidge Trophy (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV4

14/14 – Aged 7 or younger
13/14 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
13/14 – Had won no more than 5 times before
12/14 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
11/14 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
12/14 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Raced at Doncaster, Ascot, Lingfield or Windsor last time out
9/14 – Had won over 6f before
9/14 – Last ran 4 months or longer ago
8/14 – Rated 102+
8/14 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
8/14 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/14 – Had raced at Doncaster before
7/14 – Unplaced favourites
3/14 – Won last time out
2/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Had won at Doncaster before
6 of the last 10 winners came between stalls 9-16 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1
Note: The 2007 running was staged at Newcastle
Note: The 2006 running was staged at Redcar

 

2.25 – 32Red Spring Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV4

14/16 – Carried 8-13 or more
13/16 – Aged 4 years-old
12/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
13/16 – Finished fourth or worse last time out
11/16 – Won over a mile before
8/16 – Won from a double-figure draw
2/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Won last time out
1/16 – Won a race at Doncaster before
2/16 – Winners from stalls 3-7 (inclusive)
Lord Of The Rock won the race in 2016
Richard Fahey has trained the winner in 2010 & 2014
The average winning SP in the last 10 renewals is 15/1
Just 1 winner older than 6 in the last 16 years
Lord Of The Rock won the race in 2016
Trainer William Haggas has a 23% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer John Gosden is 0 from 24 (0%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Charles Hills is 1 from 28 (4%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Declan Carroll is 2 from 45 (4%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track

 

3.00 – Unibet Doncaster Mile Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m ITV4

Just 5 previous running
5/5 – Last ran 4+ months ago
5/5 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
4/5 – Rated 108+
4/5 – Winners from stalls 2 or 4 (2 each)
4/5 – Had won 6+ times before
4/5 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
4/5 – Had won over at least 1m before
4/5 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
2/5 – Winning favourites
2/5 – Ran at Ascot last time out
1/5 – Won last time out
Trainer Roger Varian has a 29% record with his older horses here
Trainer David Simcock has a 30% record with his older horses here
Trainer Michael Dods is just 1 from 61 (2%) with his older horses here

 

3.35 – 32Red Lincoln (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV4

15/15 – Aged 6 or younger
14/15 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
13/15 – Had won over at least 1m before
12/15 – Had won between 2-4 times before
11/15 – Drawn in stall 9 or higher
10/15 – Unplaced favourites
10/15 – Having their first run of the flat season
10/15 – Returned a double figure price in the betting
9/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
8/15 – Had raced at Doncaster before
8/15 – Aged 4 years-old
7/15 – Officially rated between 95-98
7/15 – Placed first or second last time out
6/15 – Raced at either Newmarket or Lingfield last time out
5/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
5/15 – Placed horses from stall 12 (1 winner)
5/15 – Won last time out
4/15  - Placed horses from stall 16 (1 winner)
3/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by Mark Tompkins
2/15 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/15 – Trained by William Haggas
2/15 – Trained by John Quinn
Just 1 winner has carried 9-10 in the last 32 runnings
7 of the last 8 winners carried between 9-0 and 9-4 in weight
The average winning SP in the last 15 runnings is 14/1
Note: The 2006 renewal was run at Redcar and the 2007 running was staged at Newcastle

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NEWBURY Horse Racing Trends

2.05 – Insure With Be Wiser Handicap Chase Cl3 3m2f ITV4

Just 7 previous runnings
6/7 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
6/7 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
6/7 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences before
6/7 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
5/7 – Aged 9 years-old
5/7 – Carried 11-2 or less in weight
5/7 – Had won over 3m (or further) before (fences)
4/7 – Had raced over fences at Newbury before
4/7 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
3/7 – Irish bred
1/7 – Winning favourites
1/7 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 8/1

 

2.40 – Be Wiser Handicap  Hurdle Cl2 2m4f ITV4

9/9 – Won no more than twice over hurdles before
9/9 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
8/9 – Favourites placed in the top three
8/9 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
7/9 – Raced 113 or higher
7/9 – Didn’t win last time out
6/9 – Carried 10-12 or more in weight
3/9 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
2/9 – Trained by Lucy Wadham
2/9 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 13/2

3.15 - EBF & TBA Mares´ "National Hunt" Novices´ Hurdle Finale Limited Handicap (Listed Race) Cl1 2m5f ITV4

12/13 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
12/13 – Won between 1-2 times before (hurdles)
9/13 –  Ran in the last 4 weeks
9/13 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
8/13 – Aged 6 years-old
7/13 – Won last time out
5/13 – Unplaced favourites
4/13 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
5/13 – Winning favourites
3/13 – Ran at Huntingdon last time out
2/13 – Trained by Oliver Sherwood
2/13 – Trained by Charlie Longsdon
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1
The last 11 winners carried 11-3 or less in weight
9 of the last 11 winners carried 11-0 or less in weight
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 30% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Noel Williams has a 43% record (3 from 7) with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Venetia Williams is only 1 from 26 (4%) with her hurdlers at the track
Trainer Rebecca Curtis is just 1 from 28 (4%) with his hurdlers at the track

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 17th March 2018

It's always a bit quiet this weekend with the Cheltenham hangovers, but there is still ITV Racing to take in with the cameras heading to Uttoxeter, with the Midlands National the feature, while they are also at Kempton Park.

As always, we are  on hand with all the key trends and stats for the LIVE ITV races. Use these to whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

Uttoxeter Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

 

2.25 - Betfred Supports Jack Berry House Limited Handicap Chase Cl3 3m ITV

11/14 – Aged 8 or younger
11/14 – Carried 10-9 or more
10/14 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
10/14 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences before
10/14 – Had won over at least 3m (chases) before
9/14 – Placed last time out
9/14 – Never raced at Uttoxeter before
9/14 – Returned 7/1 or less
8/14 – Unplaced favourites
8/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/14 – Aged 7 years-old
5/14 – Won last time out
2/14 – Trained by Alan King
2/14 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
2/14 – Winning favourites
American (2/1 fav) won the race in 2017 (Harry Fry)

 

3.00 - Betfred ´Treble Odds On Lucky15´s´ Handicap Hurdle Cl3 2m3f207y ITV

Only 6 Previous Runnings
6/6 – Carried 10-13 or more in weight
5/6 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
3/6 – Winning favourites
2/6 – Aged 8 years-old
Fortunate George (4/1 fav) won the race in 2017 (Emma Lavelle)
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 6/1
Trainer Sue Smith has a good record with her chasers at the track
Trainer Philip Hobbs has good record with his chasers at the track
Jockey Noel Fehily has a good record riding over fences at the track

3.35 - Betfred Midlands Grand National Chase Handicap (Listed Race) Cl1 4m1f110y ITV

14/14 – Aged 9 or younger
13/14 – Had won between 1-4 times over fences before
12/14 – Carried 10-12 or less
12/14 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
11/14 – Won by an Irish bred horse
11/14 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
10/14 – Carried 10-9 or less
10/14 – Had never run at Uttoxeter before
10/14 – Officially rated 133 or less
10/14 – Unplaced favourites
9/14 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
8/14 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
8/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/14 – Returned a double-figure-price in the betting
4/14 – Won last time out
4/14 – Trained by David Pipe
3/14 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
2/14 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 14 runnings is 11/1

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Kempton Park Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

 

2.05 – Matchbook VIP Chase (A Novices’ Limited Handicap) Cl3 2m ITV

10/11 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
7/11 – Carried 11-0 or less
7/11 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
7/11 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
7/11 – Won at least once over fences before
5/11 – Unplaced last time out
5/11 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
5/11 – Won last time out
4/11 – Won 3 or more times before over fences
4/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Trained by Tom George (2 of last 5)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1
Days Of Heaven (4/1) won the race in 2017 (Nicky Henderson)
Trainer Nicky Henderson has an excellent strike-rate with his chasers at the track

2.40 – Matchbook Racing Is Commission Free Silver Plate Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m5f ITV

Only 4 previous runnings
Nicky Henderson has won 2 of the last 3 runnings
No winning favourite yet from the last 4 runnings
All 4 previous winners carried 11-6 or more
Brio Conti (8/1) won the race in 2017 (Paul Nicholls)
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a good strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Harry Fry has a good strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Philip Hobbs has a poor strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Gary Moore has a poor strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track

3.15 – Matchbook Silver Bowl (A Handicap Chase) Cl2 2m4f110y ITV

Only four previous running
1 winning favourite (co) from the last 4 runnings
3 of the last 4 winners carried 11-2 or more
Trainers Ian Williams, Paul Nicholls, Tom George and Jonjo O’Neill have won the race so far
Max Ward (9/2 co fav) won the race in 2017 (Tom George)
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a good strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Trainer Dan Skelton has a poor strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Trainer Venetia Williams has a poor strike-rate with her chasers at the track

 

 

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