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Sat TV Trends: 15th June 2019

Another busy Saturday of horse racing ahead with this weekend's LIVE ITV4 coming from Sandown, Chester and York.

As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle – use these to help narrow down the field and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Saturday 15th June 2019

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)

2.05 – Randox Health Scurry Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f6y ITV4

14/14 – Returned 11/1 or shorter
12/14 – Had won over 5f before
11/14 – Placed favourites
10/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/14 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
9/14 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
9/14 – Had won at least 3 times before
9/14 – Came from stall 7 or higher
9/14 – Irish bred
7/14 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
7/14 – Winning favourites
7/14 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
6/14 – Had won a Listed or Group 3 race before
5/14 – Ran at either Haydock (3) or Beverley (2) last time out
2/14 – Trained by Michael Bell
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2

 

3.15 – Randox Health Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-100) 1m ITV4

7 previous runnings
6/7 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
6/7 – Didn’t win last time out
6/7 – Had won between 2-4 times before
6/7 – Had won over 1m before
6/7 – Rated between 90-94
6/7 – Carried 9-5 or more in weight
5/7 – Aged 4 years-old
5/7 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
5/7 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
4/7 – Ran at either Sandown (2) or Newmarket (2) last time out
4/7 – Had run at the course before
3/7 – Winning favourites
2/7 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Via Serendipity (4/1) won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 5/1

 

York Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)

1.50 – Queen Mother´s Cup (Lady Amateur Riders) (Handicap) Cl3 1m4f ITV4

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14/16 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
14/16 – Carried 9-11 or more
14/16 – Had run over 1m4f or further previously
13/16 – Had at least 2 previous runs already that season (flat)
13/16 – Aged 6 or younger
12/16 – Had won over 1m4f or further before
12/16 – Rated between 80-89
12/16 – Won from a single-figure stall
11/16 – Favourites placed in the top four
11/16 – Had run at York before
10/16 – Winning distance – 3/4 length or less
9/16 – Had won at least 3 times before (flat)
8/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
7/16 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
6/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
4/16 – Winners that came from stalls 3 or 4
4/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/16 – Won by trainer Tim Easterby
3/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Won by trainer Luca Cumani
2/16 – Ridden by Miss J Coward
2/16 – Placed horses from stall 2
Mister Belvedere (20/1) won the race in 2018
Tapis Libre (8/1) won the race in 2017

 

2.25 – JCB Handicap Cl2 7f ITV4

Only 4 previous runnings
4/4 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
4/4 – Unplaced favourites
4/4 – Had raced at York before
3/4 – Rated between 90-99
3/4 – Aged 4 years-old
3/4 – Came from a single-figure stall
3/4 – Won over 7f before
2/4 – Came from stall 9
0/4 – Winning favourites
Above The Rest (16/1) won the race in 2018

 

3.00 – Sky Bet Race To The Ebor Grand Cup Stakes (Listed Race) Cl (4yo+) 1m6f ITV4

10/11 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
10/11 – Had raced in the last 2 months
10/11 – Officially rated 103 or higher
9/11 – Placed favourites
9/11 – Drawn in stalls 1-7 (inc)
9/11 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
9/11 – Won at least 4 times before (flat)
8/11 – Returned 10/3 or shorter in the betting
6/11 – Winning favourites
4/11 – Won last time out
4/11 – Ran at the track before
2/11 – Trained by Peter Niven
2/11 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/11 – Winners from stall 1
Marmelo won the race in 2018
Clever Cookie won the race in 2014 & 2015
Note: The 2014 running was a dead-heat

 

3.35 –Pavers Foundation Catherine Memorial Sprint (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV4

12/14 – Rated between 87-97
12/14 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
12/14 – Had won over 6f before
10/14 – Unplaced favourites
11/14 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
9/14 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Had won between 1-2 times before
6/14 – Irish bred
7/14 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Won by trainer Tim Easterby (inc 3 of the last 6 runnings)
2/14 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
1/14 – Winners from stall 1
8 of the last 11 winners came from a single-figure draw

 

Chester Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.40 – City of London Handicap (Cl2) (3yo 0-100) 1m4f ITV4

One previous running
Trainer Andrew Balding won the race in 2018
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute has a 25% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Mick Channon is just 1 from 26 with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Nicola Currie has a 67% record riding 3 year-olds at the track
The 2018 winner came from stall 4

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 8th June 2019

Another busy Saturday of horse racing ahead with this weekend's LIVE ITV4 coming from Newmarket, Beverley and Haydock - we've NINE LIVE races across the three venues with the Hilary Needler Trophy (Beverley) and the Group Three John Of Gaunt Stakes (Haydock) two of the highlights.

As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle – use these to help narrow down the field and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Saturday 8th June 2019

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.10 – Bentley Cambridge Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 7f ITV4

Two previous runnings
Trainer Mick Channon won the race last year
Last two winners drawn in double-figures
Trainer Andrew Balding has a 29% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Brian Meehan has a 25% record with his 3 year-olds at the track

 

2.45 – Bernard Sunley Memorial Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m6f ITV4

Two previous runnings
Amazing Red won this race 12 months ago
Trainer Ed Dunlop won this race in 2018
Trainer Mark Johnston won this race in 2017
Trainer Mark Johnston has a 28% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor has a 25% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Ian Williams has a 24% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Andrew Balding is just 1 from 30 with his 4+  year-olds at the track

 

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 

1.45 Betway Middle Distance Handicap Cl3 (3yo) 1m4f ITV4

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One previous running
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute has a 38% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer William Haggas has a 30% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer John Gosden has a 27% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Frankie Dettori has a 31% record riding 3 year-olds at the track

 

2.25 Betway Pinnacle Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m3f ITV4

16/16 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
14/16 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
13/16 – Rated 92 or higher
12/16 – Placed favourites
12/16 – Had won over 1m4f before
12/16 – Aged 4 years-old
11/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/16 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
6/16 – Had run at Haydock before
5/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Trained by Roger Varian
2/16 – Trained by John Gosden
2/16 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2

 

3.00 Betway Achilles Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo) 5f ITV4

10/10 – Returned 14/1 or shorter
9/10 – Aged 5 or older
9/10 – Had raced in the last 10 weeks
9/10 – Won between 6-8 times before
9/10 – Didn’t win last time out
9/10 – Had won over 5f before
8/10 – Drawn between stalls 2-7 (inc)
7/10 – Had run at the course before
7/10 – Winning distance 1 length or less
7/10 – Had finished in the top 5 last time out
5/10 – Unplaced favourites
5/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Trained by William Haggas
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 13/2

 

3.35 Betway John Of Gaunt Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 7f ITV4

15/16 – Rated 107 or higher
15/16 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
14/16 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
13/16 – Came from the top three in the betting
13/16 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Had won over 7f before
11/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
11/16 – Drawn in stall 3 or lower
10/16 – Had won at least 4 times before
9/16 – Favourites placed
5/16 – Had run at the track before
4/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/16 - Aged 9 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1

 

Beverley Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.25 Dadie Oughtred Memorial Handicap Cl3 (3yo+ 0-95) 7 1/2f ITV

No previous runnings
The Richard Hannon yard have a 42% record with their runners at the track

2.00 Hilary Needler Trophy Fillies’ Conditions Stakes (Plus 10 Race) Cl2 (2yo) 5f ITV

12/14 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
11/14 – Had won over 5f before
11/14 – Had won just once before
11/14 – Irish bred
10/14 – Had raced in the last 2 weeks
10/14 – Had raced between 1-2 times before
8/14 – Won last time out
7/14 – Placed favourites
5/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/14 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
3/14 – Raced at York last out
3/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Trained by Tim Easterby
2/14 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
1/14 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/1
The last 9 winners drawn 9 or lower
7 or the last 9 winners were foaled in Feb or March
7 of last 10 winners have been drawn in stalls 6-9 (inc)

 

3.15 Truckingby Brian Yeardley Two Year Old Trophy Conditions Stakes (Plus 10 Race) (Colts & Geldings Cl2 (2yo) 5f ITV

10/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/10 – Feb, March or April bred
10/10 – Drawn in 6 or lower
8/10 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
8/10 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
8/10 – Won over 5f before
8/10 – Won at least once before
7/10 – Favourites placed
7/10 – Had raced twice or more
6/10 – Irish bred
6/10 – Won last time out
5/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Drawn in stall 1
3/10 – Trained by Mick Channon
The Richard Hannon yard have a 43% record with their 2 year-olds at the track
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/3

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 25th May 2019

More LIVE ITV4 horse racing this Saturday as the cameras take in NINE races across FOUR venues – Haydock, York and Goodwood – with the feature contest the Group Two Temple Stakes at Haydock Park, while they are also over at the Curragh to take in the Irish 2,000 Guineas.

As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle – use these to narrow down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Saturday 25th May 2019

Goodwood Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

1.55 – Betfair Best Odds On ITV Festival Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m1f192y ITV4

14/15 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
12/15 – Had won at least 3 times before
10/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/15 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
9/15 – Had run at Goodwood before
8/15 – Finished in the top two last time out
8/15 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/15 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
5/15 – Winning favourites (1 co)
2/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/15– Ridden by Tom Queally
2/15 – Won last time out
Spark Plug was second in 2017 and third in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

2.30 – Betfair Each Way Edge Handicap (3yo) Cl2 7f ITV4

6 previous runnings
6/6 – Came from stalls 2-6 (inc)
6/6 – Raced in the last 3 weeks
6/6 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
5/6 – Winners from stall 2 or 3
5/6 - returned 9/2 to 12/1
4/6 - carried between 8-0 and 8-4
3/6 – Rated between 77-81
3/6 – Won just once before
3/6 – Winners from stall 3
2/6 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/6 winning favourites
2/6 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni (last 2 runnings)
William Haggas, Richard Hannon, Mark Johnston (2), Andrew Balding and Mick Channon are the past winning yards
Trainer William Haggas has a 29% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Andrew Balding has a 21% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer David Simcock has a 19% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Fahey is 2 from 32 with his 3 years-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Hughes is just 1 from 29 with his 3 year-olds at the track
The average SP in the last 6 runnings is 7/1

 

York Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

3.05 – William Hill Bronte Cup Fillies’ Stakes (Group 3) (4yo+) Cl1 1m6f ITV4

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Just 1 previous runnings
Trainer John Gosden has a 32% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Mark Johnston is just 3 from 52 (6%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Mick Channon is just 1 from 24 (4%) is this 4+year-olds at the track

 

3.45 – William Hill Leading On Course Bookmaker Sprint Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 5f ITV4

Only 5 previous runnings
4/5 – Drawn in stalls 5-9 (inc)
4/5 – Raced in the last 2 weeks
4/5 – Didn’t win last time out
4/5 – Winning distance ½ length or less
3/5 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
3/5 – Returned between 5/1 and 9/1 in the betting
2/5 – Aged 4 years-old
1/5 – Winning favourites
Copper Knight won the race in 2017
Trainer Michael Easterby is just 5 from 120 (4%) with his older horses at the track
Trainer Paul Midgley is just 3 from 8 (4%) with his older horses at the track
Trainer Roger Fell is just 1 from 40 (3%) with his older horses at the track

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

2.15 – Amix Ready Mixed Concrete Handicap Cl2 2m45y ITV4

Just 5 previous runnings
5/5 – Winners aged 4 or 5
5/5 – Didn’t win last time out
5/5 – Winning distance 2 lengths or less
5/5 – Came from stalls 2-8 (inc)
5/5 – Unplaced favourites
5/5 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
4/5 – Finished in the top 6 last time out
4/5 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
4/5 – Winners carried 8-13 or more
4/5 – Rated between 90-98
No winning favourite yet
Trainers Wiliam Haggas, Mark Johnston, Tim Easterby, Brian Ellison and Lucy Wadham were previous winners of the race


2.50 - Amix Silver Bowl Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV4

16/16 – Had won between 1-3 times before
15/16 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
15/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/16 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
14/16 – Had won over 7f or 1m before
13/16 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
13/16 – Placed last time out
12/16 – Carried 9-1 or less
10/16 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
10/16 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
6/16 – Won last time out
5/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/16 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/16 – Trained by Mark Johnston (2 of last 6)
David Probert has ridden 2 of the last 9 winners.
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2


3.25 – Armstrong Aggregates Sandy Lane Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (3yo) 6f ITV4

15/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/15 – Raced in the last 7 weeks
14/15 – Had won over 6f before
13/15 – Had won between 1-3 times before
13/15 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/15 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
11/15 – From stall 5 or higher
8/15 – Winning favourites
6/15 – Came from stall 8 or 9
3/15 – Raced at Newbury last time out
2/15 – Raced at York last time
2/15 – Trained by William Haggas
2/15 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/2
Trainer William Haggas won the race in 2009 and 2015


4.00 – Armstrong Aggregates Temple Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 5f ITV4

16/17 – Trained in the UK
15/17 – Had won over 5f before
14/17 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
12/17 – Raced within the last 2 months
11/17 – Placed third or better last time out
10/17 – Favourites that were placed
10/17 – Had won a Group race before
9/17 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
6/17 – Winning favourites
5/17 – Won their latest race
2/17 – Owned by Qatar Racing (2 of last 5 runnings)
2/17 – Trained by Clive Cox (2 of last 3 runnings)
2/17 – Ridden by Adam Kirby (2 of last 3 runnings)
The average winning SP in the last 14 years is 6/1
6 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 6 or lower

Curragh Horse Racing Trends (ITV4)

3.35 Tattersalls Irish 2,000 Guineas (Group 1) (3yo) 1m ITV4

17/17 – Had run within the last 3 weeks
14/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
14/17 – Had won over either 7f or 1m before
13/17 – Favourites that finished in the top two
13/17 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/17 – Had won between 1-4 times before
12/17 – Irish bred
11/17 – Had run at the Curragh before
11/17 – Drawn in stall 4 or lower
10/17 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
9/17 – Had won a Group 1 race before
8/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (10 wins in total)
8/17 – Winning favourites
8/17 – Unplaced last time out
7/17 – Trained by a UK-based stable
7/17 – Won last time out
5/17 – Won the 2,000 Guineas (Newmarket) that season
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 5/1
Rock of Gibraltar (2002), Cockney Rebel (2007), Henrythenavigator (2008), Gleneagles (2015) & Churchill (2017) all did the English/Irish 2,000 Guineas double

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Sat TV Trends: 18th May 2019

After a week at York the ITV cameras head to Newbury this Saturday to cover four races including the Lockinge Stakes, while they are also showing three contests from Newmarket – As always, here at Geegeez we've got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats anglAfter a week at York the ITV cameras head to Newbury this Saturday to cover four races including the Lockinge Stakes, while they are also showing three contests from Newmarket – As always Andy Newton’s got all the big race trends and tips……

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1.50 - Shalaa Carnarvon Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f8y ITV

13/14 – Had between 1-3 previous wins
12/14 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
12/14 – Had won over 6f before
12/14 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
10/14 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
10/14 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
8/14 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
5/14 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 – Drawn in stall 3
3/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Trained by Richard Hannon
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/2

2.25 - Al Rayyan Stakes (Registered As The Aston Park) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f5y ITV

15/16 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/16 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
12/16 – Drawn 4 or lower
11/16 – Had run at Newbury before
11/16 – Placed favourites
11/16 – Had won at Listed or Group class before
10/16 – Irish bred
10/16 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
8/16 – Had won between 1-3 times before
8/16 – Aged 4 years-old
5/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/16 – Won last time out
3 of the last 11 winners were Godolphin-owned
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 4/1
Crystal Ocean (2/5 fav) won the race last year

3.00 - Al Zubarah London Gold Cup (Open Handicap) Cl2 1m2f6y ITV

15/16 – Had won between 1-2 times before
14/16 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
13/16 – Rated 90 or lower
13/16 – Carried 8-10 or more
13/16 – Winners from stall 8 or lower
12/16 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
11/16 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
8/16 – Won last time out
8/16 – Had won over 1m2f before
8/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
7/16 – Irish bred
5/16 – Raced at Newbury before (2 won here)
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Trained by Roger Charlton
3/16 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 15/2

3.40 - Al Shaqab Lockinge Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m ITV

16/16 – Won over a mile before
14/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/16 – Had won a Group One race before
13/16 – Drawn between stalls 3-7 (inc)
13/16 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Aged 4 years-old
11/16 – Had won at least 4 times before
11/16 – Winning favourites
10/16 – Having their first run of the season
10/16 – Unplaced last time out
5/16 – Godolphin owned
4/16 – Won by the Richard Hannon yard (Has won the race 5 times in all)
4/16 – Won by a mare
3/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/16 – Won by a Cheveley Park stud-owned horse (won it 5 times in all)
2/16 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute (has won the race 7 times in all)
1/16 – Winners from stall 1 or 2
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 3/1

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Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

 

2.05 – Betway Fairway Stakes (Listed) Cl1 (3yo) 1m2f ITV

12/12 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
11/12 – Had won between 1-2 times before
11/12 – Had raced in the last 3 weeks
10/12 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
10/12 – Favourites placed in the top three
10/12 – Had won over 1m or further before
9/12 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
9/12 – Draw 1,2 or 3
8/12 – Had raced at Newmarket before (Rowley)
6/12 – Winning favourites
6/12 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/12 – US-bred winners
3/12 – Trained John Gosden
3/12 – Had won over 1m2f before
3/12 – Godolphin-owned winners
2/12 – Won last time out
2/12 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/12 – Ridden by William Buick
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

2.40 –Betway King Charles II Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 7f ITV

15/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
13/16 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
13/16 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Won only once before
12/16 – Winners from stall 4 or lower
12/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/16 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
10/16 – Raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
9/16 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
6/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Trained by the Hills stable
2/16 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/16 – Trained by Richard Hannon (2 of last 5 winners)
2/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/1

3.15 - Betway Handicap Cl2 6f ITV

16/16 – Had won between 1-3 times before
13/16 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
13/16 – Had won over 6f before
13/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
12/16 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Finished 1st, 2nd or 3rd last time out
10/16 – Carried 8-12 or more
10/16 – Favourites placed in the top 4
9/16 – Rated between 91-96
9/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/16 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
6/16 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Won by a mare/filly
3/16 – Won by the Kremlin House (Varian) stable
2/16 – Trained by Richard Fahey
9 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 1-8
8 of the last 11 winners came between stalls 3-7
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1

 

 

 

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Newmarket TV Trends: Sun 5th May 2019

It's DAY TWO of Guineas Weekend at Newmarket this Sunday, with four more LIVE ITV races that include the second English Classic of the season - the 1,000 Guineas.

Did you know? 15 of the last 17 1,000 Guineas winners were placed in the top three last time out, while 11 of the last 17 won their most-recent outing

As always here at GeeGeez we've got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle - use the key trends to help whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

Enjoy!

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.50 – Qatar Racing Handicap (Handicap) Cl2 1m4f ITV

14/15 – Had won at least twice before
14/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/15 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
12/15 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Finished in the top 5 in their last race
11/15 – Winning distance 1 ½ lengths or less
11/15 – Had won between 2-4 times before
10/15 – Had won over 1m4f before
10/15 - Had had a recent run that season
7/15 – Had run at Newmarket before (Rowley)
5/15 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/15 – Ridden by William Buick
3/15 – Winning favourites (1 co)
1/15 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/1

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2.20 – Charm Spirit Dahlia Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m1f ITV

15/15 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
14/15 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
14/15 – Had won over 1m (or further) before
13/15 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
11/15 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
11/15 – Aged 4 years-old
8/15 – Had run at the course before
8/15 – Won this on first run of the season
7/15 – Ran at either Kempton (4) or Newmarket (3) last time out
7/15 – Won last time out
6/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
6/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
6/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 – Ran at Kempton last time out
3/15 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/15 – Ridden by William Buick
2/15 – French-trained winners (2 of the last 5)
9 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 1-4 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/3


2.55 – Longholes Handicap Cl2 6f ITV

14/15 – Had won between 2-5 times before
13/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/15 – Had won over 6f before
13/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
12/15 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
10/15 – Carried 9-1 or less
9/15 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
7/15 – Returned between 10/1-12/1 in the betting
7/15 – Irish bred
6/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
2/15 – Trained by Richard Fahey
1/15 – Winning favourites
Just 1 placed horse from stall 2 in the last 11 runnings
8 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 9 or higher
Gifted Master won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 12/1


3.35 – Qipco 1,000 Guineas Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies) Cl1 1m ITV

15/17 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
13/17 – Had won between 2-3 times before
12/17 – Had won a Group race before
12/17 - Drawn between 2-13 (inc)
11/17 – Won their previous race
11/17 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
10/17 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
10/17 – Yet to win a race over a mile (or further)
9/17 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
8/17 – Returned a double-figure price
8/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
7/17 – Favourites unplaced
7/17 – Won on their seasonal reappearance
7/17 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
6/17 – Irish-trained winners
6/17 - Drawn in stalls 7 or 8
5/17 – Previous Group One winners
5/17 – Went onto win the Coronation Stakes at Royal Ascot
4/17 – Won by a US bred horse
4/17 – Won by the favourite
3/17 – French-trained winners
3/17 – Went onto finish fourth in the Epsom Oaks
3/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/17 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/17 – Went onto win the Epsom Oaks (Kazzia 2002, Minding 2016)
Just one horse placed from stall 1 in the last 11 runnings
8 of the last 11 winners came between stalls 2-8 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 13/1

1,000 Guineas Facts

Owner Hamdam Al Maktoum has won the race 5 times (1990, 1991, 1995, 2000 & 2009)
Frankie Dettori has ridden the ridden the winner 3 times (1998, 2002 & 2011)
Ryan Moore has ridden the winner 3 times (2012, 2015, 2016)
Godolphin have won the race 3 times (1998, 2002 & 2011)
Aidan O’Brien has trained four winners, Virginia Waters (1995), Homecoming Queen (2012), Minding (2016) & Winter (2017)

 

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Sat TV Trends: 4th May 2019

It’s day one of Guineas Weekend at Newmarket this Saturday, with the first English Classic of the season - the 2,000 Guineas - the feature race, while the ITV cameras are also taking in two races at Goodwood.

So, as always here at GeeGeez we've got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle - use the key trends to help whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

Enjoy!

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.50 – Spring Lodge Stakes (Handicap) (Formerly The Suffolk Stakes) Cl2 1m1f ITV

14/14 – Had won at least twice before
14/14 – Had won over at least a mile before
12/14 – Priced 12/1 or shorter
12/14 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
12/14 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
11/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/14 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/14 – Returned between 9/1 and 12/1 in the betting
9/14 – Rated between 90 and 96
8/14 – Aged 4 years-old
6/14 – Having their first run of the season
6/14 – Won last time out
5/14 – Irish bred
2/14 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/14 - Winning favourites
Trainer Charlie Appleby won the race in 2018
Just 1 winner from stalls 1 or 2 in the last 11 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1

2.20 - Zoustar Palace House Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 5f ITV

15/16 – Had won over 5f before
14/16 – Won 3 or more times before
13/16 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
13/16 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
13/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
12/16 – Had run at Newmarket before
12/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
11/16 – Placed favourites
11/16 – Aged 5 or younger
10/16 – Rated between 108 and 114
10/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/16 – Won last time out
6/16 – Winning favourites
5/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/16 – Trained by Bryan Smart
Mabs Cross (9/2) won the race in 2018
Just one placed horse from stall 1 in the last 12 runnings
7 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 2-7 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2

2.55 – Roaring Lion Jockey Club Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m4f ITV

16/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/16 – Had won between 3-5 times in their career
13/16 – Won over 1m4f+ before
13/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/16 – Winning distance – 1 ½ lengths or more
12/16 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
10/16 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Aged 4 years-old
9/16 – Rated 112 or higher
9/16 – Winning favourites
8/16 – Had won a Group race before
7/16 – Won last time out
7/16 – Having their first run of the season
6/16 – Aged 5 years-old
5/16 – Ran at Newbury last time out
4/16 – Returned 7/4 in the bettingc
3/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/16 – Won by trainer Mark Johnston
2/16 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute
2/16 – Trained by Andre Fabre
Defoe (1/2 fav) won this race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

3.35 – Qipco 2000 Guineas Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 1m ITV

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17/17 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
15/17 – Had won over at least 7f before
15/17 – Had won a Group race before
15/17 – Had won between 2-5 times before
15/17 – Drawn in stall 12 or lower
13/17 – Won last time out
13/17 – Winning distance – less than 2 lengths
12/17 – Having their first run of the season
11/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/17 – Placed favourites
10/17 – Had won just 2 or 3 times in their career before
10/17 – Won by an Irish-based yard
9/17 – Irish bred
8/17 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (9 wins)
7/17 – Drawn in stalls 1 or 3
6/17 – Winning favourites
6/17 – Had won over a mile before
5/17 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley) before
4/17 – Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (2 winners)
4/17 – Won the Dewhurst Stakes the previous season
3/17 – Ran at the Curragh last time out
6 of the last 9 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 10/1

 

Other 2,000 Guineas Facts

- Aidan O’Brien has won the race in 1998, 2002, 2005, 2006, 2008, 2012, 2015, 2017 & 2018
- Frankie Dettori rode the winner in 1996, 1999 & 2016

 

Goodwood Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.05 – British Stallion EBF Daisy Warwick Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f ITV

8 previous runnings
8/8 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
6/8 – Came between stalls 1-5 (inc)
6/8 – Didn’t win last time out
6/8 – Aged 4 years-old
5/8 – Had won over 1m4f before
5/8 – Had won between 2-3 times before
5/8 – Unplaced favourites
2/8 – Winners from stall 2
2/8 – Had raced at Goodwood before
2/8 – Raced at Ascot last time out
1/8 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 11/2

2.40 – Goodwood May Food Festival Handicap Cl2 7f ITV

Just 6 previous runnings
6/6 – Carried between 8-7 and 8-12
6/6 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
6/6 – Had won between 2-4 races before
4/6 – Winners that came between stalls 5-9 (inc)
4/6 – Ran at Kempton last time out
2/6 – Aged 4 years-old
2/6 – Finished second last time out
2/6 – Ridden by Shane Kelly
2/6 – Winners from stall 5
1/6 – Winning favourites
Taurean Star (12/1) won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 12/1

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 27th April 2019

We've LIVE racing for  Bet365 Gold Cup day at Sandown Park this Saturday as the curtain comes down on another jumps season, while the ITV cameras are also heading to Leicester & Haydock for a couple more races

So, as always here at GeeGeez we've got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle - use the key trends to help whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

Enjoy!

SANDOWN HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RUK)

1.50 - bet365 Novices’ Championship Final Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 2m110y ITV

One previous running
Ballymoy (Nigel Twiston-Davies) 13/2 jfav won the race in 2018
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 29% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Fergal O’Brien has a 29% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Alan King has a 23% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Dan Skelton is 0 from 35 with his hurdlers at the track

2.25 - bet365 Oaksey Chase (Grade Two) (for The Menorah Challenge Trophy) Cl1 2m6f ITV

Just 5 previous running
Menorah (Owned by Diana Whateley) won the race in 2014, 2015, 2016 & 2017
5/5 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
5/5 – Officially rated 161-169 (inc)
4/5 – Irish bred
4/5 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
4/5 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
3/5 – Ran at Aintree last time out
Top Notch (4/5 fav) won the race in 2018
The average SP in the last 5 runnings is 11/4
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 24% record with his chasers at the track

3.00 - bet365 Celebration Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV

16/16 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
16/16 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
14/16 – Aged 9 or younger
14/16 – Had won at least 3 times over fences before
13/16 – Came from the top three in the betting
13/16 – Placed favourites
12/16 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
12/16 – Had raced at Sandown (fences) before
11/16 – Rated 160 or higher
9/16 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
6/16 – Irish bred
6/16 – Won last time out
6/16 – Winning favourite
4/16 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable (won it 5 times in all)
4/16 – Ran at Aintree last time out
4/16 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable
3/16 – Won by the Pipe stable
3/16 – Ridden by Nico de Boinville
2/16 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/16 – Ridden by Jamie Moore
1/16 – Irish-trained winners
Altior won the race in 2017 & 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 3/1
Jockey Daryl Jacob has a 31% record riding over fences at the track

3.35 - bet365 Gold Cup Chase (Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m5f110y ITV

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16/16 – Had raced in the last 56 days
15/16 – Carried 11-5 or less in weight
13/16 – Carried 11-0 or less
13/16 – Had won over 3m or further before
12/16 – Aged 9 or younger
11/16 - Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Had raced in the last 25 days
9/16 – Officially rated 140 or higher
9/16 – Came from the top 7 in the betting market
8/16 – Finished 4th or worse last time out
3/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Ran in the Aintree Grand National last time out
2/16 – Ran in the Scottish Grand National last time out
2/16 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
2/16 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/16 – Ridden by Sean Bowen
0/16 – Winning favourites
Step Back (7/1) won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 14/1

Other Key Bet365 Gold Cup Facts

The last winning favourite was Beau in 2000
Just one 6 year-old winner since 1959
23 of the last 28 (82%) winners carried less than 11st
8 year-olds have won 6 of the last 15 runnings (40%)
12 of the last 16 (75%) winners were aged 7, 8 or 9 years-old
Trainer Paul Nicholls has won the race 4 times


HAYDOCK HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RacingTV)

2.05 – Old Boston Handicap Cl2 7f ITV

6 previous runnings
6/6 – Aged 5 or younger
5/6 – Carried between 8-7 and 9-5 in weight
5/6 – Came from stalls 1-5 (inc)
5/6 – Won over 7f in the past
5/6 – Didn’t win last time out
4/6 – Irish bred
3/6 – Rated between 96-100 (inc)
3/6 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/6 – Winning favourites
Safe Voyage (14/1) win the race in 2018
Trainer William Haggas has won race in 2016 and 2017
Trainer Richard Hannon won the race in 2015
Trainer Roger Fell has a 22% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track

LEICESTER HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RUK)

2.45 – EBF Stallions King Richard III Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 7f ITV

10/10 – Favourites placed in the top 3
9/10 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Winners from stalls 2-5 (inc)
8/10 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/10 – Won at least twice in the past
8/10 – Had won over 7f in the past
8/10 – Irish bred winners
7/10 – Last ran 2+ months ago
7/10 – Officially rated 107 or higher
7/10 – Didn’t win last time out
6/10 – Unplaced last time out
3/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Trained by Hugo Palmer
2/10 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
0/10 – Winners from stall 1
Emmaus (9/4 fav) won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 3/1
Jockey Silvestre De Sousa has a 31% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track

 

 

 

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Sandown TV Trends: Fri 26th April 2019

Plenty to look forward to this Friday as the ITV cameras head to Sandown Park for their opening day of their two-day mixed flat and jumps meeting. We get going on Friday (26th April) with four LIVE flat races on the card that include the Bet365 Mile, Classic Trial, Gordon Richard Stakes and the Esher Cup.

As always, here at GeeGeez.co.uk we’ve got it all covered with the key trends, plus our tips on each of the LIVE races.

 

 

SANDOWN HORSE RACING TRENDS (RacingTV/ITV)

 

1.50 - bet365 Esher Cup (Handicap) Cl2 1m14y ITV4

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16/16 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
16/16 – Had won no more than twice before
14/16 – Never raced at Sandown before
13/16 – Had won just once before
12/16 – Had between 2-4 runs before
12/16 – Drawn in stall 4 or higher
12/16 – Priced 17/2 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Carried 8-12 or less in weight
10/16 – Had won over at least 1 mile before
9/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/16 – Unplaced favourites
7/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Raced at Kempton last time out
3/16 – Ridden by Silvestre De Sousa
2/16 – Trained by John Gosden
2/16 – Trained by the Hannon stable
2/16 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/2

 

2.25 - bet365 Gordon Richards Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f7y ITV4

15/16 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
15/16 – Officially rated 110 or higher
14/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
14/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/16 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Had won a Group race before
13/16 – Had won at least twice (UK) before
11/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/16 – Placed favourites
10/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/16 – Drawn in stall 4 or higher
7/16 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
7/16 – Irish bred
5/16 – Had run at Sandown before
5/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
4/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/16 – Trained by John Gosden
3/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Ridden by James Doyle
Crystal Ocean (Evs) won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/2

 

3.00 - bet365 Classic Trial (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f7y ITV4

13/15 – Won between 1-3 times before
13/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Never raced at Sandown before
11/15 – Had won over at least 1m before
10/15 – Placed in the top 2 last time out
9/15 – Irish bred winners
8/15 – Raced at Leopardstown (2), Curragh (2) or Newbury (4) last time out
7/15 – Horses drawn in stall 4 that finished in the first 3
7/15 – Won last time out
5/15 – Winning favourites
5/15 – Trained by John Gosden
3/15 – Winners from stall 4
3/15 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
2/15 – Ridden by William Buick
2/15 – Winners from stall 3
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

3.35 - bet365 Mile (Group 2) Cl1 1m14y ITV4

14/15 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting
13/15 – Had won a Group race before
12/15 – Had won over a mile before
11/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/15 – Had won 5 or more times before
11/15 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
9/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/15 – Placed favourites
8/15 – Aged 4 years-old
8/15 – Trained by the Hannon stable
7/15 – Winning favourites
6/15 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/15 – Horses drawn in stall 3 that finished second
5/15 – Had run at Sandown before
4/15 – Previous Group One winners
3/15 – Won last time out
2/15 – Trained by David O’Meara
2/15 – Won by Sir Michael Stoute
2/15 – Won by a previous winner of the race
3 of last 8 winners have come from stall 1
Addeybb (6/4 fav) the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 3/1

 

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Sat TV Trends: 16th March 2019

It's always a bit quiet this weekend with the Cheltenham hangovers, but there is still ITV Racing to take in with the cameras heading to Uttoxeter, with the Midlands National the feature, while they are also at Kempton Park.

As always, we are  on hand with all the key trends and stats for the LIVE ITV races. Use these to whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

Uttoxeter Horse Racing Trends

2.25 - Brit Plant Direct Novices' Handicap Chase Cl2 3m ITV

12/15 – Aged 8 or younger
12/15 – Carried 10-9 or more
11/15 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
10/15 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences before
10/15 – Had won over at least 3m (chases) before
10/15 – Placed last time out
10/15 – Never raced at Uttoxeter before
10/15 – Returned 7/1 or less
8/15 – Unplaced favourites
9/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/15 – Aged 7 years-old
5/15 – Won last time out
2/15 – Trained by Alan King
2/15 – Trained by Harry Fry (last two runnings)
2/15 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
2/15 – Winning favourites

 

3.00 - Marston's Pedigree Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m4f ITV

Only 7 Previous Runnings
7/7 – Carried 10-13 or more in weight
6/7 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
3/
7 – Winning favourites
3/7 – Aged 8 years-old
Clyne (10/1) won the race in 2018

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3.35
- Marston's 61 Deep Midlands Grand National Chase Handicap (Listed Race) Cl1 4m1f110y ITV

14/15 – Aged 9 or younger
13/15 – Had won between 1-4 times over fences before
13/15 – Carried 10-12 or less
13/15 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
12/15 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
11/15 – Won by an Irish bred horse
11/15 – Had never run at Uttoxeter before
11/15 – Unplaced favourites
10/15 – Officially rated 133 or less
10/15 – Carried 10-9 or less
10/15 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
8/15 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
8/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/15 – Returned a double-figure-price in the betting
5/15 – Won last time out
4/15 – Trained by David Pipe
3/15 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
2/15 – Winning favourites

Kempton Park Horse Racing Trends

2.05 – Get Switched On With Matchbook Chase (A Novices’ Limited Handicap) Cl3 2m ITV

11/12 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
8/12 – Carried 11-0 or less
8/12 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
8/12 – Won at least once over fences before
7/12 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
5/12 – Unplaced last time out
5/12 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
5/12 – Won last time out
5/12 – Won 3 or more times before over fences
4/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Trained by Tom George (2 of last 6)

2.40 – Matchbook VIP Silver Plate Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m5f ITV

Only 5 previous runnings
Nicky Henderson has won 2 of the last 4 runnings
No winning favourite yet from the last 5 runnings
All 5 previous winners carried 11-12 or more
Kildisart (5/1) won the race in 2018 (Ben Pauling)

 

3.15 – Matchbook Silver Bowl (A Handicap Chase) Cl2 2m4f110y ITV

Only 5 previous running
1 winning favourite (co) from the last 5 runnings
4 of the last 5 winners carried 11-2 or more
Trainers Venetia William, Tom George, Ian Williams, Paul Nicholls, Tom George and Jonjo O’Neill have won the race so far
Cepage (14/1) won the race in 2018

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 9th March 2019

It's the weekend before Cheltenham so the quality of racing always takes a bit of a backseat. This weekend the ITV cameras head to Sandown with the Imperial Cup their feature, and don't forget the winner of the race will be up for a £100k bonus if they go onto land any Cheltenham Festival race next week. We've also got two LIVE races on the AW from Wolverhampton, with their Lincoln Trial the main event.

As always, we are  on hand with all the key trends and stats for the LIVE ITV races. Use these to whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Sandown Horse Racing Trends

1.50 – European Breeders´ Fund Matchbook VIP "National Hunt" Novices´ Handicap Hurdle Final (Grade 3) Cl1 2m3f173y ITV

16/16 – Had won no more than twice over hurdles before
15/16 – Aged 6 or younger
15/16 – Carried 10-11 or more
13/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
13/16 – Rated 129 or less
13/16 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
12/16 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
11/16 – Irish bred
11/16 – Returned 8/1 or less in the betting
12/16 – Unplaced favourites
10/16 – Aged 6 years-old
8/16 – Had won over this trip before
5/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Won by trainer Nicky Henderson
2/16 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls
2/16 – Won by the Pipe yard
1/16 – Winning favourites
1/16 – Winners that went onto run at Cheltenham (3rd Martin Pipe)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1

 

2.25 – Matchbook Imperial Cup Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 2m110y ITV

16/16 – Had won no more than twice over hurdles before
15/16 – Had won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
15/16 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
14/16 – Carried 10-13 or less
13/16 – Rated 124 or higher
12/16 – Aged 6 or younger
11/16 – Carried 10-7 or less
10/16 – Winners that went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival (1 winner, Gaspara - Fred Winter)
10/16 – Had won over at least 2m1f (hurdles) before
10/16 – Finished in the top two last time out
9/16 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or more
8/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
7/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
6/16 – Raced at either Cheltenham (2), Sandown (2) or Ascot (2) last time out
6/16 – Won last time out
5/16 – Winning favourites
5/16 – French bred
5/16 – Had raced at Sandown (hurdles) before – 2 had won there before
5/16 – Won by the Pipe stable (have won it 9 times in all)
2/16 - Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies (2 of last 3)
1/16 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
Trainer Paul Nicholls has NEVER won the race
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 11/1

 

3.00 – EBF Stallions/TBA Mares´ Standard Open National Hunt Flat Race (Listed) Cl1 2m110y ITV

Your first 30 days for just £1

15/15 – Had won at least one NH Flat race before
14/15 – 1ST or 2ND last time out
13/15 – Returned 17/2 or shorter in the betting
11/15– Won last time out
10/15 – Had won just once before (NH Flat race)
9/15 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
8/15 – Aged 5 years-old
1/15 – Winning favourites
9 of the last 12 winners were aged 5 or 6 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/2

 

3.35 – Matchbook Racing Is Commission Free Handicap Chase Cl3 3m37y ITV

14/16 – Had won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
14/16 – Carried 11-1 or more
14/16 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 -  Rated between 125-134
13/16 – Aged 8 or older
12/16 – Had won between 1-4 times over fences
12/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/16 – Placed favourites
10/16 – Unplaced last time out
10/16 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
10/16 – Irish bred
8/16 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
4/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/16 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
3/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Trained by Oliver Sherwood
Pete The Feat (9/1) won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

 

Wolverhampton Horse Racing Trends

2.05 – Sunracing.co.uk Lincoln Trial Handicap Cl2 1m141y ITV

15/16 – Aged 6 or younger
14/16 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
14/16 – Won over a mile (or further) before
13/16– Won at least three times before
13/16 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Placed favourites
9/16 – Ran at Lingfield last time out
9/16 – Came from stall 8 or higher
8/16 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
7/16 – Aged 5 years-old
7/16 – Had won at Wolverhampton before
5/16 – Won last time out
5/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
2/16 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
Big Country (8/1) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1

 

3.15 – Sunracing.co.uk Lady Wulfruna Stakes (AW Championship Fast-Track Qualifier) (Listed Race) Cl1 7f32y ITV

11/12 – Had won over 7f before
10/12 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – Had won at least 4 times before
10/12 – Placed favourites
9/12 – Had raced within the last 3 weeks
9/12 – Rated 104 or higher
7/12 – Raced at Lingfield last time out
7/12 – Drawn in stall 7 or higher
6/12 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
6/12 – Unplaced last time out
6/12 – Had won at Wolverhampton before
4/12 – Winning favourite
2/12 – Trained by Marco Botti
Second Thought (8/11) won the race in 2018

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 2nd March 2019

We’ve had better LIVE Saturday ITV race days, but with the Cheltenham Festival on the horizon then it’s no surprise the quality is slightly down – Newbury, Kelso and Doncaster provide the LIVE ITV action this week, and, as always, we’ve got all the races covered from a trends and stats angle.

 

NEWBURY HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV4/RUK)

2.05 – William Hill Supporting Greatwood Veterans´ Handicap Chase (Qualifier) (Leg 3 of Veterans´ Chase Series) Cl2 3m2f110y ITV4

8/9 – Returned 9/1 or shorter
8/9 – Aged 10 years-old
7/9 – Won over at least 3m (chase)
5/9 – Favourites unplaced
5/9 – Carried 11-4 or more in weight
4/9 – Finished in the top 3 in their last race
2/9 – Won their last race
1/9 – Winning favourites
Trainer David Pipe won the race in 2015 and 2016
Trainer Paul Nicholls won the race in 2013 and 2017
The average winning SP in the last 6 renewals is 6/1

 

2.40 – William Hill Supporting Greatwood Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 2m4f ITV4

14/15 – Carried 11-5 or less in weight
13/15 – Won by a horse aged 8 or younger
13/15 – Had run within the last 5 weeks
13/15 – Had won between 1-4 times over fences previously
12/15 – Raced at Newbury (hurdles or fences) previously
12/15 – Won over this trip previously
11/15 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
10/15 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
10/15 – Officially rated 139 or higher
9/15 – Favourites placed
8/15 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable
8/15 – Winners that came from the top 3 in the market
7/15 – Won by a French-bred horse
6/15 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
6/15 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
5/15 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
5/15 – Favourites  to win (1 joint)
2/15 – Won by the Pipe yard
2/15 – Ridden by Nick Scholfield
2/15 - Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
1/15– Won their last race
Thomas Crapper won the race 12 months ago
Sametegal won the race in 2016
Note: The 2006 renewal was a dead-heat

 

DONCASTER HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV4/RUK)

1.50 – 888Sport Handicap Hurdle Cl2 3m96y ITV4

Only 6 previous runnings
6/6 – Aged 9 or younger
6/6 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
5/6 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
5/6 – Priced 9/2 or shorter in the betting
5/6 – Finished 4th or better last time out
5/6 – Carried 10-13 or more in weight
5/6 – Irish bred
4/6 – Favourites place in the top two
4/6 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
4/6 – Ran at Doncaster (2) or Ascot (2) last time out
2/6 – Aged 9 years-old
2/6 – Favourites
2/6 – Won last time out
Brydon Boy won the race in 2017

Your first 30 days for just £1

 

2.25 – 888Sport Bet £10 Get £30 Handicap Chase Cl2 2m90y ITV4

7 previous runnings
7/7 – Priced 15/2 or shorter
6/7 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
4/7 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
4/7 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
3/7 – Raced at Musselburgh last time out
2/7 – Trained by Brian Ellison
2/7 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 4/1

 

3.00 – 888Sport Take ‘Em On Mares´ Novices´ Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 3m96y ITV4

5 previous running
5/5 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
5/5– Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
4/5 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
4/5 – Favourites placed in the top 2
4/5 – Ran in the last 7 weeks
3/5 - Won by the favourite (1 co-fav)
3/5 – Irish bred
The average winning SP in the last 5 years is 9/4

 

3.35 – 888Sport Grimthorpe Chase (A Handicap Chase) Cl2 3m2f ITV4

14/14 – Aged 8 or older
13/14 – Won over at least 3m (fences) before
12/14 – Won no more than 4 times over fences
11/14 – Ran within the last 7 weeks
10/14 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
10/14 – Aged 9 or older
10/14 – From the top 3 in the betting
10/14 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting
9/14 – Rated 131 or less
8/14 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/14 – Raced over fences at Doncaster before (3 winners)
6/14 – Won their last race
6/14 – Irish bred
4/14 – Went onto run in that season’s Grand National (no winners)
2/14 – Favourites
8 year-olds have won 3 of the last 4 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2


KELSO HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RUK)

3.15 – Edinburgh Gin Premier Kelso Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 (4 yo+) 2m2f ITV4

10/10 – Aged 7 or younger
9/10 – Favourites placed in the top three
9/10 – Raced in the last 7 weeks
8/10 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
7/10 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Had won at least twice over hurdles before
7/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
5/10 – Won last time out
5/10 – Irish bred
5/10 – Had raced at Kelso before
3/10 – Winning favourite
3/10 – Ran at Musselburgh last time out
2/10 – Trained by Lucinda Russell
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 16th Feb 2019

With the equine flu situation now over, racing is back and it's back with a bang!

With the ITV cameras covering some of last week's lost races we've now 10 contests to take in from Ascot, Haydock, Wincanton and even  heading over to Ireland for the Red Mills Chase at Gowran Park.

So, to help narrow down the fields, and point you in the direction of a few winners, then we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle – we hope they help!

 

ASCOT HORSE RACING TRENDS (ATR/ITV)

1.35 - Sodexo Reynoldstown Novices´ Chase (An Ascot Appearance Money Scheme Race) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m7f180y ITV4

16/16 – Priced 17/2 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
14/16 – Had run within the last 7 weeks
13/16 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences previously
13/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/16 – Won last time out
10/16 – Irish bred
9/16 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
9/16 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s RSA Chase (2 winners)
8/16 – Placed favourites
8/16 – Winners that went onto finish 5th or better in the RSA Chase
7/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/16 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
3/16 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
3/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/16 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill

Note: The 2005 & 2006 - Run at Lingfield Park

 

2.10 – Keltbray Swinley Chase (A Limited Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m7f180y ITV4

Only 8 previous runnings
8/8 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
7/8 – Won 1 or 2 chase races previously
7/8 – Finished 5th or better last time out
7/8 – Aged 8 or older
7/8 – Raced at either Ascot (3) or Cheltenham (4) last time out
6/8 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
5/8 – Had raced at Ascot (fences) before
5/8 – Aged in double-figures
4/8 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
4/8 – Irish bred
3/8 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
3/8 – Winning distance head or shorter
2/8 – Won last time out
2/8 – Winning Favourites
5 of the last 6 winners carried 11-0 or more
Regal Encore won this race in 2018

2.45 - Betfair Denman Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m ITV4

13/15 – Had won at least 4 times over fences (UK) before
13/15 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
12/15 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
12/15 – Rated 150+
11/15 – Placed favourites
11/15 – Aged 8 or younger
11/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/15 – Winners that went onto race in that season’s Gold Cup (4 winners)
9/15 – Raced at either Cheltenham (4) or Kempton (4) last time out
9/15 – Had won over fences at Newbury before
6/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
6/15 – Won last time out
6/15 – Winning favourites
6/15 – Irish bred
5/15 – Winning distance – ¾ length or less
5/15 – French bred
4/15 – Winners that went onto win the Gold Cup (Coneygree, Denman, Kauto Star & Native River)
3/15 – Returned a double-figure price
3/15 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
3/15 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
2/15 – Won by the Pipe stable
6 of the last 12 winners were aged 7 years-old
The average SP in the last 12 runnings is 10/3

3.20 - Betfair Hurdle (Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m110y ITV4

Your first 30 days for just £1

16/16 – Carried 11-7 or less in weight
15/16 – Aged 7 or younger
14/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
14/16 – Rated 130 or higher
13/16 – Won between 2-4 times over hurdles in the UK/IRE before
13/16 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
13/16 – Came from the first 7 in the betting
13/16 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
13/16 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
12/16 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or less
11/16 – Placed favourites
10/16 – Carried 10-9 or less in weight
8/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/16 – Irish bred
8/16 – Came from the top 5 in the betting
7/16 – Won last time out
7/16 – Aged 5 years-old (including 7 of last 10)
6/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (has won the race 5 times in all)
3/16 – Trained by Gary Moore
2/16 - Raced at Leopardstown last time out
2/16 – Owned by JP McManus
1/16 – Went onto win the County Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival that season (Spirit Leader 2003)
21 of the last 22 winners have been aged 7 or younger
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 14/1

 

3.55 - Betfair Ascot Chase Grade 1 Cl1 2m5f110y ITV4

16/16 – Won over at least 2m4f (fences) previously
15/16 – Priced at 15/2 or shorter in the market
14/16 – Winners that didn’t win their next start
14/16 – Winners from the top 3 in the market
13/16 – Ran within the last 7 weeks
12/16 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
12/16 – Favourites placed
12/16 – Officially rated 157 or higher
11/16 – Priced 2/1 or shorter in the market
11/16 – Favourites that won
7/16 – Won between 1-4 times over fences previously
7/16 – Unplaced in their latest race
7/16 – Raced at Kempton (King George) last time out
5/16 – Winners that ran in that season’s Ryanair Chase (1 winner, Cue Card) later that year
5/16 – Won over fences at Ascot previously
5/16 – Won their last race
3/16 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/16 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2/16 – Trained by Alan King
2/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
10 of the last 12 winners returned 2/1 or shorter in the betting
Waiting Patiently won this race in 2018
Note: The 2005 & 2006 - Run at Lingfield Park

 

HAYDOCK HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV4)

2.25 – William Hill Rendlesham Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m6f177y ITV4

15/16 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
13/16 – Had won over at least 3m (hurdles) previously
11/16 – Rated 145 or higher
11/16 – Placed favourites
10/16 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or more
10/16 – Had won at least 4 times over hurdles before
10/16 – Aged 8 or younger
9/16 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
9/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/16 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
8/16 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s World Hurdle (no winners)
7/16 – Had run at Haydock before
6/16 – French-bred
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/16 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
1/16 – Winning favourites
1/16 – Winners that went onto win the Coral Cup at the Cheltenham Festival

Note: The 2003, 2004, 2005 - Run at Kempton Park

 

3.35 – William Hill Grand National Trial (Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m5f ITV4

16/16 – UK-based trained winners
16/16 – Had won between 2-4 times over fences (rules) before
14/16 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
13/16 – Finished in the top three last time out
13/16 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences (rules) before
13/16 – Aged 10 or younger
12/16 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
12/16 – Aged 9 or younger
12/16 – Rated 135 or higher
11/16 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
11/16 – Finished in the top two last time out
10/16 – Carried 11-0 or less
9/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/16 – Won last time out
7/16 – Unplaced favourites
7/16 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Grand National (all unplaced)
6/16 – Irish-bred winners
4/16 – Winners that won by exactly 15 lengths
4/16 – Ran in the Welsh Grand National last time out
3/16 – Won with 11-12 in weight
3/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd in the Welsh Grand National last time out
3/16 – Trained by Lucinda Russell
2/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Trained by Venetia Williams
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 10/1

 

WINCANTON HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV4)

1.45 Betway Heedyourhunch Handicap Chase 2m ITV4

Only 4 previous runnings
4/4 – Winners returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
3/4 – Carried 10-5 or less in weight
3/4 – Aged 8 or younger
2/4 – Winning favourites
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 27% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Trainer Gary Moore is just 1 from 14 with his chasers at the track

3.00 - Betway Kingwell Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 1m7f65y ITV4

15/15 – Raced within the last 8 weeks
14/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/15 – Priced 10/3 or shorter in the betting
13/15 – Favourites to finish in the top 3
13/15 – Had won at least 3 times over hurdles before
12/15 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Champion Hurdle (1 winner Katchit)
11/15 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
9/15 – Rated 155 or higher
9/15 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
8/15 – Winning favourites
8/15 – Won last time out
5/15 – Raced at Sandown last time out
4/15 – Trained by Alan King
1/15 – Winners that went onto win the World Hurdle (Inglis Drever)

 

GOWRAN PARK TRENDS (ITV4)

2.30 – Red Mills Chase (Grade 2) 2m4f ITV4

10/10 – Had won over at least 2m4f (Chase) before
10/10 – Had won between 2-5 times over fences before
9/10 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
8/10 – Irish bred
7/10 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Aged 8 or younger
7/10 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
6/10 – Rated 150 or lower
6/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Raced at Thurles last time out
3/10 – Trained by Willie Mullins
2/10 – Ridden by Paul Townend

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 2nd Feb 2019

Sandown, Musselburgh and Wetherby provide the LIVE ITV action this Saturday with seven races spread across the three venues.

As always, we got it all covered with all the key trends – use these stats to help find the best past winning profiles to help whittle down the runners and hopefully pin-point a few winners.

 

Sandown Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.15 – 888Sport Bet £10 Get £30 Handicap Chase Cl2 1m7f119y

12/12 – Priced 10/1 or shorter
12/12 – Raced within the last 8 weeks
11/12 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
10/12 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
9/12 – Had won between 1-4 times over fences before
9/12 – Aged 9 or younger
9/12 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
7/12 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
6/12 – Had run over fences at Sandown before (3 won)
6/12 – Winners that went to race in that season’s Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Chase
5/12 – Carried 10-10 or less
5/12 – Raced at Sandown last time out
5/12 – Came from outside the top 4 in the betting
4/12 – Aged 7 years-old
4/12 – French bred
4/12 – Had an official rating of exactly 125
3/12 – Won last time out
3/12 – Trained by Venetia Williams
3/12 – Ridden by Aidan Coleman
3/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 9/2

1.50 – 888Sport Contenders Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m ITV4

8/8 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/8 – Had run in the last 6 weeks
8/8 – Had won over 2m (hurdles) before
7/8 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
6/8 – Won between 2-5 times (hurdles)
7/8 – French bred
5/8 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
5/8 – Winning favourites
5/8 – Rated 161 or higher
5/8 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/8 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/8 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/8 – Won last time out
Buveur D’Air won the race in 2017 and 2018

2.25 – 888Sport Scilly Isles Novices´ Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m4f110y ITV

15/15 – Priced 9/2 or shorter in the betting
15/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/15 – Won no more than 3 times over fences before
15/15 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
14/15 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
14/15 – Finished in the top 2 last time out
13/15 – Aged 7 or younger
13/15 – Won between 1-3 times over fences before
11/15 – Placed favourites
11/15 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
10/15 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
10/15 – Winning favourites
9/15 – French bred
6/15 – Aged 7 years-old
5/15 – Irish bred
5/15 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
5/15 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
4/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/15 – Had run over fences at Sandown before
4/15 – Winners that went onto finish in the top 5 in the RSA Chase
4/15 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob (last 4 winners)
3/15 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2/15 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
The average winning  SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/4

3.00 – 888Sport Heroes Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 2m7f98y ITV

Your first 30 days for just £1

13/13 – Had run in the last 8 weeks
13/13 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
12/13 – Won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) previously
11/13 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
10/13 – Officially rated 135 or lower
10/13 – Won between 2-3 times over hurdles previously
10/13 – Winners that went to race at the Cheltenham Festival that season
10/13 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or shorter
9/13 – Winners that came from the top 3 in the market
9/13 – Priced 13/2 or less
8/13 – Won by a horse aged 7 or younger
8/13 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
7/13 – Favourites placed
4/13 – Raced over hurdles at Sandown previously (3 won)
4/13 – Won their last race
5/13 – Favourites that won
4/13 – Won by a French-bred horse
4/13 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
4/13 – Won by the Paul Nicholls yard
2/13 – Won by the Philip Hobbs yard
2/13 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
1/13 – Winners that went onto win at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (Ryanair Chase, 2007 Taranis)

3.35 – 888Sport Masters Handicap Chase Cl2 3m110y ITV

14/15 – Carried 11-5 or less
13/15 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
13/15 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
12/15 – Aged 9 or younger
11/15 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences (UK) before
10/15 – Rated 136 or lower
9/15 – Favourites placed in the top 4
8/15 – Had raced at Sandown before (4 won)
8/15 – Placed last time out
8/15 – Irish-bred
7/15 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
6/15 – Raced at either Sandown (3) or Haydock (3) last time out
6/15 – Winning favourites
5/15 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
5/15 – French-bred
3/15 – Winners that went onto finish unplaced in that season’s Grand National
2/15 – Trained by Lucy Wadham (2 of last 5)
2/15 – Trained by Venetia Williams (2 of last 5)

 

Wetherby Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.40 – William Hill Towton Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m1f ITV

13/14 – Aged 8 or younger
12/14 – Had never raced over fences at Wetherby before
11/14 – Priced 3/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/14 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
11/14 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
10/14 – Won between 1-2 times over fences before
9/14 – Aged 7 years-old
9/14 – Raced at either Cheltenham (6) or Warwick (3) last time out
9/14 – Placed favourites
9/14 – Irish bred
7/14 – Won last time out
7/14 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
6/14 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s RSA Chase (1 winner, Blaklion 2016, plus all finished 6th or better)
2/14 – Trained by Ian Williams

 

Musselburgh Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.05 - bet365 Scottish County Hurdle (A Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m7f124y

11/12 – Returned 15/2 or less in the betting
10/12 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
11/12 – Had won over this trip before (hurdles)
9/12 – Aged 6 years-old
8/12 – Former flat horses
8/12 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/12 – Carried 11-0 or less
7/12 – Rated between 120-130
7/12 – Favourites placed in the top 4
2/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Won last time out

 

3.15 – bet365 Edinburgh National Handicap Chase Cl2 4m176y

Only two previous runnings
2/2 – Carried 10-9 or less in weight
2/2 – Priced between 6/1 and 10/1 in the betting
0/2 – Winning favourites
Trainer Sandy Thompson won the race 12 months ago
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 60% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Trainer Tim Vaughan has a 27% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Trainer Sandy Thompson has a 26% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Full Jack won the race in 2018
Dancing Shadow (6/1) won the race in 2017

 

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Sat TV Trends: 19th Jan 2019

It’s off to Haydock and Ascot this Saturday for the LIVE ITV action with the Clarence House Chase and Peter Marsh Chase the two big highlights – like all big race days we've got all the big races covered from a trends and stats angle…….use these to help whittle down the final runners and find the best winning profiles of past winners.

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

1.50 - OLBG.com Mares´ Hurdle (Registered As The Warfield Mares´ Hurdle Race) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m ITV4

9 previous runnings
9/9 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
8/9 – Officially Rated 133 or higher
8/9 – From the top 4 in the betting
8/9 – Later ran in that season’s OLBG Mares’ Only Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival
8/9 – Won over at least 2m5f (hurdles) previously
7/9 – Won at least twice over hurdles in the UK before
6/9 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
6/9 – Ran at either Haydock (3) or Newbury (2) in their last race
6/9 – Favourites placed
5/9 – Won their last race
5/9 – Winning Favourites
4/9 – French bred
3/9 – Raced at Ascot previously
3/9 – Aged 6 years-old
2/9 – Trained by Harry Fry
2/9 - Later finished second in the OLBG Mares’ Only Hurdle (Cheltenham Festival)
1/9 – Won the OLBG Mares’ Only Hurdle (Cheltenham Festival) – Vroum Vroum Mag (2016)
Trainer Harry Fry won 2 of the last 4 runnings

2.25 – Matchbook Holloway´s Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 2m3f58y ITV4

9/11 – Priced 5/1 or bigger in the betting
9/11 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
9/11 – Aged 7 or younger
8/11 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
8/11 – Officially rated 139 or higher
8/11 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
7/11 – Ran within in the last 4 weeks
6/11 – French bred
6/11 – Winners from outside the top 3 in the betting
6/11 – Went onto race in that season’s Coral Cup (best finish 3rd)
5/11 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles in the UK previously
5/11 – Had raced at Ascot previously
5/11 – Won their last race
5/11 – Aged 6 years-old
3/11 – Trained by David Pipe
3/11 – Raced at Cheltenham in their last race
2/11 – Later raced in that season’s World Hurdle (best finish 3rd)
2/11 – Ridden by Tom Scudamore
2/11 – Favourites (1 co)
Note:
2006 – Renewal at Lingfield
2005 – Renewal at Haydock

3.00 – bet365.com Handicap Chase Cl2 2m5f110y ITV4

12/12 – Won between 1-3 times over fences in the UK previously
11/12 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
10/12 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
10/12 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
10/12 – Either French (3) or Irish (7) bred
9/12 – Won over at least 2m4f (fences) previously
9/12 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
9/12 – Officially Rated 130 or higher
8/12 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
8/12 – Aged 8 or younger
6/12 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
6/12 – From the top 3 in the betting
5/12 – Winning distance  - 6 lengths or further
5/12 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
4/12 – Raced at either Cheltenham (2) or Chepstow (2) last time out
2/12 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of last 4 runnings)
2/12 – Trained by Richard Rowe
2/12 – Won their last race
2/12 – Winning Favourites

Note:
2006 – Renewal at Lingfield
2005 – Renewal at Uttoxeter

3.35 – Matchbook Clarence House Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m1f ITV

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16/16 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
16/16 – Won at least 3 times (fences) previously
15/16 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
15/16 – Won a race over fences at 2m1f or further
14/16 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting market
14/16 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
14/16 – Favourites placed
12/16 – Won by a French-bred horse
11/16 – Won their last race
10/16 – Went onto run in that season’s Champion Chase (4 winners)
10/16 – Raced at Sandown (6) or Wetherby (3) last time out
9/16 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
9/16 – Favourites that won
8/16 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
7/16 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
4/16 – Went onto win the Champion Chase that season (2009 - Master Minded, Sprinter Sacre 2013, 2014 Sire de Grugy, 2015 Dodging Bullets)
4/16 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable (won the race 5 times in all)
4/16 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
4/16 – Had won the Tingle Creek Chase (Sandown) last time out
3/16 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable (won the race 4 times in all)
2/16 – Won by the Pipe stable
Since 1989 there have only been 3 winners aged in double-figures
Since 1989 (28 runnings) there have been 12 winners aged 8 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 14 runnings is 3/1
Note:
2006 – Renewal at Sandown
2005 & 2017 – Renewals at Cheltenham

 

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

2.05 – Sky Bet Supreme Trial Rossington Main Novices´ Hurdle (Registered As The Rossington Main Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV

12/12 – Aged 7 or younger
12/12 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles previously
11/12 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
11/12 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
8/12 – Won their last race
6/12 – Aged 5 years-old
6/12 – Had raced at Haydock previously
6/12 – Winning Favourites
4/12 -  Ran at Haydock last time out
3/12 – French bred
2/12 – Went onto win the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle
2/12 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/12 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/12 – Trained by Venetia Williams
2/12 – Trained by Donald McCain Jnr
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 11/4
Note: 2004 Renewal was staged at Wetherby

2.40 – The New One Unibet (Registered as the Champion Hurdle Trial) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV4

13/13 – Won at least twice over hurdles in the UK before
13/13 – Favourites placed in the top 3
11/13 – Finished in the top three in their last race
11/13 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
10/13 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Champion Hurdle
11/13 -  From the top 3 in the betting
11/13 – Priced 9/4 or shorter
10/13 – Won at least 3 times over hurdles previously
10/13 – Officially Rated 152 or higher
10/13 – Either French (3) or Irish (7) bred
9/13 – Ran at either Cheltenham (4) or Kempton (5) last time out
7/13 – Aged 7 or younger
8/13 – Winning Favourites
4/13 – Placed in the top 4 in that season’s Champion Hurdle (no winners)
3/13 – Won their last race
1/13 – Went onto win that season’s World Hurdle
The average SP in the last 8 runnings is 2/1

3.15 - Peter Marsh Chase (A Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m1f ITV

15/15 – Won on ground described as soft or worse previously
14/15 – Aged 8 or older
14/15 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
14/15 – Carried 11-3 or less in weight
13/15 – Had run within the last 36 days
11/15 – Won at least 3 times over fences previously
10/15 – Officially Rated 139 or higher
10/15 – Won at Haydock previously
10/15 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
9/15 – Favourites unplaced
9/15 – Won between 3-5 times over fences before
8/15 – From outside the top 3 in the betting
9/15 – Aged either 8 or 9 years-old
8/15 – Won before (fences) over at least 3m
8/15 – Finished in the top 3 in their last race
8/15 – Irish bred
7/15 – Went onto finish unplaced in that season’s Grand National
7/15 – Won over fences at Haydock before
6/15 – Ran at Wetherby last time out
5/15 – Raced in the Roland Meyrick (Wetherby) last time out
5/15 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
3/15 – Trained by Sue Smith
2/15 – Trained by the McCain stable
2/15 – Won their last race
2/15 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 15 runnings is 10/1

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 29th Dec 2018

The National Hunt action continues this Saturday 30th December – with the ITV cameras at Newbury for a decent card that includes four LIVE races and the Grade One Challow Hurdle.

We’ve got all the key trends and stats for all the LIVE races to help you whittle down the fields.

 

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

1.50 - Betway Heed Your Hunch Handicap Hurdle (Class 2) (4yo+) 2m4½f ITV4

6/6 – French (2) or Irish (4) bred
5/6 – Favourites placed
5/6 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
5/6 – Had won over the trip (2m4f) before
5/6 – Aged 5 years-old
5/6 – Had won 2 or more times before (hurdles)
5/6 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
3/6 – Had raced at the track before
2/6 – Ran at Newbury last time out
2/6 – Winning favourites
2/6 - Trained by Nicky Henderson
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 9/2
Brave Eagle (11/4) won the race in 2017

 

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2.25 - Betway Mandarin Handicap Chase (Class 3) (4yo+ 0-135) 3m2f ITV4

7/7 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
7/7 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
7/7 – Had won over 3m (fences) before
6/7 – Aged between 6-9 years-old
6/7 – Had won between 1-2 times before (fences)
6/7 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
6/7 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
5/7 – Irish bred
5/7 – Unplaced favourites
3/7 – Had raced at the track before
2/7 – Winning favourites
2/7 – Ran at Fontwell last time out
2/7 – Trained by Charlie Longsdon
Daklondike (6/1) won the race in 2017

 

3.00 - Betway Challow Novices' Hurdle (Grade 1) (Class 1) (4yo+) 2m4½f ITV4

12/12 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/12 – Had raced in the last 8 weeks
12/12 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
12/12 – Had won no more than 3 times over hurdles before
11/12 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
9/12 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
9/12 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival (1 winner, Wichita Lineman, 2006)
8/12 – Won between 2-3 times over hurdles before
8/12 – Had won over 2m4f or further (hurdles) before
8/12 – Won last time out
8/12 – Had won a Grade 2 Hurdle race before
6/12 – Aged 5 years-old
6/12 – Irish bred
5/12 – Winning favourites
3/12 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/12 – Trained by Nick Williams
2/12 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 3/1

 

3.35 - Betway Novices' Handicap Chase (Class 3) (4yo+) 2m6½f ITV4

10/10 – Won between 0-1 times over fences
9/10 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Didn’t win last time out
9/10 – Carried 10-10 or more in weight
8/10 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
8/10 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
7/10 – Irish bred
4/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Trained by Venetia Williams
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 7/1

 

 

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