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Racehorse Lotto offering chance win two-year-old filly for 2021

One lucky racing fan is set to receive the perfect gift on Christmas Day following the launch of the Racehorse Lotto Christmas Raffle.

The successful entrant will win an exciting two-year-old filly for the 2021 Flat racing season – to be ridden by Hayley Turner and trained by James Ferguson.

The daughter of Territories, out of Newbury Super Sprint runner-up Satsuma, is being raffled off at £10 a ticket with 20 per cent of sales going to Racing Welfare.

The winner will be able to visit the horse on a regular basis at Ferguson’s Newmarket yard, while Turner – the first female jockey to ride 100 Flat winners in a calendar year one of only three female jockeys to have ridden a Group One winner in Britain – will be involved in riding the horse in her work and on the track.

Naming rights are also included in the prize and the winner will also be able to design and select their own racing silks. All training fees are covered by Racehorse Lotto.

Turner said: “This is exactly the kind of thing that racing and the wider public need at the moment. It gets people excited, optimistic and involved in the sport, while importantly raising money for Racing Welfare who do such fabulous work for the industry.

“She looks a beautiful filly and I can’t wait to start riding her out over the winter. James is a brilliant young trainer and I think the winner can expect to have some fun times with this filly.”

The filly is a half-sister to Cornwallis Stakes winner Good Vibes, who reached a rating of 103 last summer and returned over £100,000 in prize-money for connections.

Ferguson said: “While this is not just a fantastic opportunity for somebody to get involved in racing, it’s also a brilliant chance for me as this filly could be a star.

“She’s speedily bred and, all being well, will be forward enough to tackle some of the hot maidens in the spring and early summer.”

Entries opened on Monday and close at 3pm on December 25, with the winner set to be called on Christmas Day to receive the good news.

Onassis added to Sprint field as connections target Group One farewell

Onassis and Jouska have been supplemented for Saturday’s Qipco British Champions Sprint Stakes at Ascot.

Both fillies won at the weekend, with Henry Candy’s Jouska successful in Saturday’s Boadicea Stakes at Newmarket, while the Charlie Fellowes-trained Onassis landed Sunday’s October Fillies’ Stakes at Goodwood.

Hayley Turner, who has also won the Sandringham at Royal Ascot and a Listed race in France on Onassis this season, had feared that would be her last outing aboard the filly, but she will have another start before likely bowing out.

Fellowes said: “It’s a brave call, but she’s going to be retired and it will probably be her last ever run.

“I think she has loads of ticks in her favour – she’ll love the ground, she loves Ascot and if she can finish in the first four, it would do her pedigree an enormous amount.

“Her owners are very excited about having a crack at it, it will be her swansong and Hayley can ride. There are few options elsewhere, so we thought given she’d won £21,000 the other day, let’s have a crack.

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“She’s got a phenomenal pedigree and is already worth a lot of money, but if she gets placed, she will take it to another level.”

The two supplementary entries mean there are 19 possibles in the Sprint, including Dream Of Dreams and Glen Shiel, the first two home in the Sprint Cup at Haydock.

The latter will be ridden by Hollie Doyle, who is seeking a first Group One win in what has already been a stellar year.

His trainer Archie Watson said: “I’ve been delighted with Glen Shiel since Haydock. His work into Ascot has been very good and I hope he can run another huge race.”

Dream Of Dreams (white face) just holds on from Glen Shiel (left) at Haydock
Dream Of Dreams (white face) just holds on from Glen Shiel (left) at Haydock (David Davies/PA)

He is owned by Hambleton Racing and their racing manager Simon Turner said: “Glen Shiel’s excellent run at Haydock didn’t surprise us at all and fully justified the decision to pitch him in against the best.

“His owners lived every moment of that run and are counting down the days to Saturday.”

Silvestre de Sousa is jocked up on Andrew Balding’s Happy Power meaning the ride on Tim Easterby’s Art Power, in the same ownership, could be available if both run.

One Master, Oxted, Sonaiyla and the unbeaten Starman are others of note.

Stradivarius could tackle the Long Distance Cup
Stradivarius could tackle the Long Distance Cup (Dan Abraham/PA)

Stradivarius is among 15 in the Long Distance Cup after his effort in the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe.

Aidan O’Brien has left in Broome, Dawn Patrol and Sovereign, while Dermot Weld’s dual Irish St Leger winner Search For A Song would be a new rival for Stradivarius.

Magical has been left in the Qipco British Champions Fillies & Mares Stakes, but she also has the option of the Champion Stakes which she won last year.

There are 13 others in the Fillies & Mares including Laburnum and Passion, stablemates of Magical.

Even So won the Irish Oaks for Ger Lyons
Even So won the Irish Oaks for Ger Lyons (PA)

Ger Lyons’ Irish Oaks winner Even So, the Ralph Beckett pair of Antonia De Vega and Manuela De Vega and Ed Vaughan’s Dame Malliot are in the mix.

William Haggas’ Montatham heads the weights for the Balmoral Handicap.

Last year’s winner Escobar is also among the 43 left in.

Onassis strikes Listed gold for Fellowes and Turner

Royal Ascot heroine Onassis got back on the winning trail with victory in the tote/British EBF October Fillies’ Stakes at Goodwood.

The Charlie Fellowes-trained three-year-old landed the Sandringham Stakes at the summer showpiece meeting in June, before going on to bag a Listed prize in France the following month.

Returning to Listed class following a fourth-placed finish in the Group Three Sceptre Stakes at Doncaster, Onassis was a 9-2 chance in the hands of regular partner Hayley Turner and came home to good effect to beat 7-2 favourite With Thanks by half a length.

Helvezia was best of the rest in third.

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Fellowes said: “I’m delighted with her. She’s so tough and very talented.

“I thought she was unlucky at Doncaster last time as she was on the wrong side of the track and had to do a lot of work on her own without having anything to take her into the race.

“The race has worked out well, with Cloak Of Spirits (fifth) coming out and finishing third in a Group One (Sun Chariot), so we were confident of a big run today, although you never know how they’re going to handle this sort of ground.

Onassis and Hayley Turner after winning at Royal Ascot
Onassis and Hayley Turner after winning at Royal Ascot (Edward Whitaker/PA)

“I know she won on soft ground at Ascot, but it was a different kettle of fish today.

“She’s off to the breeding shed next year, so we’ll look at what options we have between now and then. Now she’s shown she goes on heavy ground, that opens a few more doors.

“She’s worth quite a lot money now and I’m delighted for her owners. I’m incredibly grateful that they sent her to me and thankfully she has repaid them – she doesn’t owe us anything.”

Fellowes made it a quick double as Amarillo Star (16-1) came home well clear of his rivals in the tote.co.uk Home Of The Placepot Handicap under Stevie Donohoe.

Goshen was beaten again at Goodwood
Goshen was beaten again at Goodwood (Bradley Collyer/PA)

Leading Champion Hurdle hope Goshen suffered his second successive defeat on the Flat in the Join tote.co.uk With £10 Risk Free Handicap.

Gary Moore’s stable star finished last of six runners at Haydock last month on what was his first appearance since his heartbreaking final-flight exit when seemingly set for a wide-margin win in the Triumph Hurdle at Cheltenham in March.

With that run under his belt, he was the even-money favourite for his latest assignment under Hector Crouch, but after making much of the running, he weakened into third place behind the Queen’s Natural History (100-30), trained by Andrew Balding and ridden by Oisin Murphy.

Stat of the Day, 13th August 2020

Wednesday's pick was...

2.10 Beverley : Rousayan @ 12/1 BOG 5th at 9/1 (Switched right start, held up in rear, kept on final furlong, never going pace to reach leaders) 

Thursday's pick runs in the...

4.25 Bath :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Normally, I'll identify and share the selection between 8.00am and 8.30am and I then add a more detailed write-up later within an hour or so of going "live".

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Tell William @ 11/4 or 5/2 BOG

...in an 7-runner, Class 4,  Flat Handicap for 4yo+ over 1, on Firm ground worth £4,690 to the winner... 

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Why?...

As ever, the racecard is a mine of information (ignore the odds, we don't carry enough firms' prices for that to be totally accurate)...

...and the above data is what I'm hanging today's bet on with a 4yr old gelding who won over a mile at Newbury LTO 26 days ago and whose form includes finishes of...

  • 124421 in his last 6 starts
  • 12441 in blinkers
  • 39121 in July/August
  • 1221 over a mile
  • 1242 going left handed
  • 312 in fields of 7 or fewer runners
  • 122 here at Bath
  • 122 over course and distance

The reports above are a great way into analysing the stats available to help you form a bet and they are good enough to carry your selection(s), but I'm going to try and add a little meat to the bare bones of those numbers, as follows...

Jockey Hayley Turner's 5 yr record at Bath of 6/28 is actually 6 from 26 (23.1% SR) for 25.53pts (+98.2% ROI) over the last two seasons, including...

  • 5/16 (31.25%) for 10.24pts (+64%) in fields of 5-10 runners
  • 5/10 (50%) for 16.24pts (+162.4%) at odds of 7/1 and shorter
  • 4/13 (30.8%) for 8.74pts (+67.2%) on Firm ground
  • and 2/3 (66.6%) for 6.19pts (+206.4%) on horses trained by Marcus Tregoning...

...whilst she is 4 from 7 (57.1% SR) for 14.74pts (+210.5% ROI) at 7/1 and shorter in fields of 5-10 runners on Firm ground, including that 2 from 3 as above for Marcus Tregoning...

...who, as indicated by the 30 on the racecard and the corresponding 30-day report, is in decent form of late and it's also worth knowing (IMO) that since racing came out of enforced hibernation, his milers are 5 from 11 (45.5% SR) for 11.33pts (+13% ROI) with those sent off shorter than 4/1 winning 4 of 5.

Marcus is, as you've seen above, 12 from 42 at Bath over 5 years, indicated by the C5 and the subsequent report, but it doesn't tell you that more recently, he was 6/17 (35.3% SR) for 15pts (+88.2% ROI) at this venue last season, including 5 from 11 (45.5%) for 14.87pts (+135.2%) in fields of 5-8 runners.

And the last of the reports above is the LTO winner snippet. Closer inspection shows Marcus' LTO winners are 20 from 65 (30.8) for 57.93pts (+89.1% ROI) since the start of 2017 with those returning from a break of 11 to 45 days winning 18 of 45 (40%) for huge profits of 69.07pts (+153.5%).

The final piece of the racecard jigsaw from above is the top ranking of the Geegeez Speed Ratings (speed rating is a bit of a misnomer really, as it's more a neural rating than pure speed) and our runner's position at the head of those ratings is pretty self explanatory.

All the above suggest we should be there or thereabouts today. I had a look at the pace/draw and you want to be drawn low (we're in stall 2) and you preferably need to get on with it. Our runner seems to have two styles, held back (pace score 1) or running prominently (pace 3).

Pace score 3 is what we'd like to see today and the pace tab suggests that one horse might be a lone front runner. If that's the case, that could help us as the pace looks like it's coming from stall 1 and we could get a decent tow from the leader. Should that all pan out for us...

...we'll be well placed with... a 1pt win bet on Tell William @ 11/4 or 5/2 BOG as was available at 8.00am Thursday, but as always please check your own BOG status (*some firms are not BOG until later in the morning)To see a small sample of odds offered on this race...

...click here for the betting on the 4.25 Bath

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!