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Goldie eyeing Sunday Series bonus for Musselburgh winner Tommy G

Jim Goldie has his eye on a £100,000 bonus after Tommy G just lasted home in a thrilling finish to the Sky Bet Sunday Series Apprentice Training Series Handicap at Musselburgh.

Tommy G staked his claim when hanging on by a head from Six Strings. Claimer Gianluca Sanna set sail for home some way out on the eight-year-old who soon set up a handy lead.

Six Strings came out of the pack and put down a strong challenge, but Tommy G (13-2) held firm to cross the line a head to the good to win for the first time over a trip as far as nine furlongs.

“He’s versatile to say the least. It looked as though he might be caught and then he stuck his head out again. He was always doing enough,” said Goldie.

“It’s brilliant. The Johnnie Delta Racing Club has been going for a while. It’s a big winner for them. It’s all good.”

The bonus will go to the owners of any horse that wins a race at each of the three venues in the £600,000 Sky Bet Sunday Series. Round two is at Haydock on August 8, with the final leg at Sandown two weeks later. The prize will be split if there is more than one winner.

Tommy G looks like bypassing the Unibet Stewards’ Cup at Goodwood in favour of waiting for Haydock in two weeks’ time.

“I think we’ll miss Goodwood and think about the 100 grand bonus for winning three races across the Series,” said the Glasgow-based handler.

“There will be a race somewhere for him at Haydock next hopefully. If he can do that again, you never know – not many horses get the chance to win a bonus like that. He has to be one of the contenders.”

Marco Botti was another to praise the initiative after Rising Star (5-6 favourite) landed the Sky Bet Sunday Series Fillies’ Handicap in fine style for Ben Curtis.

The daughter of Fast Company was a dual winner as a juvenile last term and after two placed efforts this season, she came good with a length-and-a-half verdict over Gometra Ginty in this mile heat.

Botti said: “She did it well. Obviously we have targeted this race since she finished second at Newmarket earlier in the month as it looked a good opportunity for her with some nice prize money.

“The good ground is the key for her I think. She ran in a Group Two in Italy last year but the ground was heavy and she really didn’t handle it at all.”

Botti would like to try for a slice of the £100,000 bonus for multiple winners, but fears Rising Star will now be rated too highly to line up at Haydock.

He said: “The bonus is there and there is a race for her at Haydock, but I think she might get put up 3lb or 4lb, which would just push her out of a class four race as she won there off 85.

“There is a race at York’s Ebor meeting for fillies over seven furlongs and we might have a look at that.”

Of the Series, Botti added: “I think it’s a great initiative and there is some good money on offer. It was a good opportunity, we don’t tend to have many runners in the north but it was worth making the trip.

“It’s great for the owners. A couple of them didn’t know about it but when I said it was a class four race worth nearly £16,000 to the winner, they said ‘wow, we have to take our chance’.”

Curtis completed a double on Glasses Up (15-2) in the concluding Sky Bet Sunday Series Stayers Handicap.

Mytilda sprang a 25-1 surprise to open her account at the sixth attempt in the Sky Bet Sunday Series Nursery Handicap.

Trainer Phillip Makin had thought enough of the filly to run her in the Weatherbys Super Sprint eight days ago but she lost all chance at the start.

It was a different story this time as she travelled strongly throughout the five-furlong dash for Rowan Scott and swept clear to score by two lengths from Hi Meh Darling.

Modular Magic (6-1 favourite) overcame a low draw in style to make most of the running in the Sky Bet Sunday Series Sprint Handicap for jockey Connor Beasley and trainer David Barron.

Edward Cornelius (13-2) looked a promising youngster when comfortably coming out on top in the Sky Bet Sunday Series EBF Newcomers’ Maiden Stakes, while Lion Tower (4-1 favourite) obliged his supporters in the Sky Bet Sunday Series Handicap.

Nicholas T seeks unique double in John Smith’s Cup

Nicholas T bids to complete a unique double when he lines up for the John Smith’s Cup at York.

Jim Goldie’s versatile nine-year-old came from last to first to win the Northumberland Plate over two miles at Newcastle two weeks ago.

He has to carry a double penalty of 8lb on Saturday, because he had been successful over a mile and a half at York on his previous start.

That was Goldie’s plan to ensure Nicholas T had enough weight to make the cut for the maximum 22-runner field for this prestigious handicap over an extended 10 furlongs.

“He’s won over the course. He is up the handicap a bit – but according to the handicapper, we are 1lb well in. He’s well enough, he’s still in good form and has come out of the race well,” said the Glasgow trainer.

“Two miles down to a mile and two (furlongs) won’t be a bother. He was a mile-two horse before that.

“Being drawn 16, we’ll just drop him in like we did at Newcastle and hopefully he’ll close at the finish and he’ll be in front of them all.

“It was the plan to get two penalties to get him in this race. He has got in, so you never know. Sometimes a plan does come together.”

Jim Goldie has had the John Smith's Cup as a long-term plan for Nicholas T
Jim Goldie has had the John Smith’s Cup as a long-term plan for Nicholas T (Mike Egerton/PA)

“We’d prefer slightly faster ground. If it’s good ground I’ll be delighted and be a player. If it’s soft it will compromise him.”

Connections of Astro King are hoping for better luck than the four-year-old had in the Hunt Cup at Royal Ascot.

The Sir Michael Stoute-trained colt led home the near side group but had to settle for second place behind Real World, who had scooted clear on the far side of the track.

“He was second in the Hunt Cup. He came up the stands side, and the horse that beat him was on the far side,” said Bruce Raymond, racing manager to owner Saeed Suhail.

“That was bad luck, because most winners were coming up the stands side. He’s going well, and we’re very hopeful.

“I’d prefer if he was drawn a bit lower (14), but he’s got a chance. He’s working well, and we’re happy with him.”

Astro King (second left) is said to be in good form ahead of the York feature
Astro King (second left) is said to be in good form for the York feature (Tim Goode/PA)

Joe Tuite has had this race in mind for Surrey Pride since he struck over the course and distance on his seasonal debut eight weeks ago.

“We’ve aimed him at this race since he won at York in May,” said the Lambourn trainer.

“We took a chance in not running him, because he could have missed the cut, but it became clear on Monday he had made it.

“His form has worked out – we’re looking forward to running him, and everything looks in place.”

Surrey Pride (left) was a winner at York in May
Surrey Pride (left) was a winner at York in May (Alan Crowhurst/PA)

Saeed bin Suroor has never won the race before – but his Bright Start would not be a shock winner, given his level of consistency.

While he has won just once in nine races to date, he never finished outside the first four and was beaten just a short head by the highly-rated Montather last time out.

“He’s doing well. He’s in good form – I’m happy with him, and he’s working well,” said the Godolphin trainer.

“The trip will suit him, and it looks the right race for him. He’s very consistent – the ground will be fine, but he has form on all ground anyway.

“It will be tough to win. But he’s working well, seems in condition, so I’m looking to see a good run from him.”

Champion Stakes option open for Euchen Glen

Euchen Glen could make an appearance in the Qipco Champion Stakes at Ascot after his impressive performance at Sandown on Friday.

The popular eight-year-old was a three-and-a-quarter-length winner of the Listed Gala Stakes, a race that featured the return of the well-regarded John Leeper, who went off the 5-4 favourite but had to settle for third behind the 11-4 winner.

The victory follows the gelding’s convincing win at odds of 20-1 in the Brigadier Gerard Stakes, a Group Three event in which he came home four and a quarter lengths ahead of his nearest rival.

“He’s just an amazing horse,” Goldie said.

“The people that follow him think he’s wonderful because he always comes in at a big price as people assume there’s some young gun that will come and beat him, but it hasn’t really happened yet.”

Goldie had previously considered the horse to be most effective on soft ground, but his Sandown performance came on good going and the trainer is now open-minded as to his next step.

The Champion Stakes in October is under consideration, but the likelihood of soft autumn going inspired that idea and Euchen Glen’s triumph on better conditions may now open more doors.

Euchen Glen rolled back the years at Sandown
Euchen Glen rolled back the years at Sandown (Alan Crowhurst/PA)

“He’s nearly as good as you get on soft or heavy ground, and that’s (Ascot) when we’re liable to get it,” he said.

“But he’s not too bad with soft in the title and he’s not too bad even if there’s good in the title – he’s not doing too much wrong either way.

“We may go there (Ascot), but if it’s wet somewhere we might turn up somewhere else, we’ll just make a judgement.

“He’s in good order and he obviously had a good back end of last year, so hopefully he can keep his form to the end of the season.”

Evergreen Euchen Glen sparks Gala celebrations

Euchen Glen bagged his second major prize of the season at Sandown with a clear-cut victory in the Davies Insurance Services Gala Stakes.

A surprise winner of the Group Three Brigadier Gerard Stakes over the course and distance in May, Jim Goldie’s charge had since finished a close-up fifth in the Wolferton Stakes at Royal Ascot.

Conceding 12lb to Ed Dunlop’s promising three-year-old John Leeper, who was last seen finishing ninth in the Derby at Epsom, Euchen Glen (11-4) looked to have his work cut out under Paul Mulrennan, but ultimately got the job done in fine style.

The eight-year-old was settled at the rear of the five-strong field for much of the 10-furlong contest, with the free-going Father Of Jazz setting a furious pace and soon building up a substantial lead.

The latter was still clear rounding the home turn, but predictably faltered halfway up the straight and Euchen Glen powered down the centre of the track to win comfortably by three and a quarter lengths.

Fox Tal filled the runner-up spot, with 5-4 favourite John Leeper ultimately a shade disappointing in third.

Mulrennan said: “He’s just a legend of an old horse, it doesn’t matter what trip. He ran a hell of a race at Royal Ascot.

“I was happy all the way today but I won’t lie, two and a half from home I looked up and he (Father Of Jazz) did look a long way in front

“I was a long way back from a bad draw there otherwise he would have been a lot closer.

“The race fell in his lap today. Jim’s horses this season are flying and I seem to have struck up quite a good rapport with him.

“Jim isn’t afraid to run his horses over 10 furlongs, a mile and a half, two miles and he gives you confidence when you ride for him.

“It’s something they do in Australia quite a bit, but no so much here. I’ve ridden horses here over 10 furlongs that have gone to Australia and won over five furlongs and those that win over seven here can win over two miles over there

“Horses aren’t human, you just need to work out what suits them best and get inside their heads – Jim seems to be doing that at the minute.

“I was happy all the way today but I won’t lie, two-and-a-half from home I looked up and he did look a long way in front. But as soon as I gave him a squeeze I knew he’d pick them up.”

Richard Johnstone, son of owner William Johnstone, said: “He just keeps doing it and we’re delighted.

“On the form, I thought the only danger was John Leeper but the one who made the running did us a favour.

“He can go from the front so we debated that, but the first two or three races Jim spoke to me and said there’s more juice in the ground than people expect and the front-runners weren’t getting there. It was a last-minute decision for us to change tactics.

“With two and a half furlongs to go, I was celebrating. I know the horse and once I saw him progressing, I thought ‘this is it’.

“My father bred him and bred Nicholas T and Sir Chauvelin. He’s had a fantastic time with him and he loves bringing them on as foals.

“His problem in the past has ruled him out of the Melbourne Cup with the new protocols. Jim is hoping to target the Champion Stakes, the 10 furlongs there – Paul says he likes Ascot and hopefully he’ll get some cut in the ground. The next target will be the 12-furlong Group Three (Queen’s Plate) at Glorious Goodwood on the Friday.”

Nicholas T swoops late for Northumberland Plate prize

Nicholas T sprang a 33-1 surprise when getting up close home to land the William Hill Northumberland Plate at Newcastle.

Jim Goldie’s nine-year-old, wearing a hood for the first time, was produced on the far side of the all-weather course to lead inside the final furlong and deny long-time leader Hochfeld, giving jockey Ben Robinson his biggest success in the saddle in the process.

Hochfeld had been prominent throughout the extended two-mile test with Australis, Rajinsky, Reshoun and the 5-2 favourite Trueshan among those up with the pace.

There was all to play for when the 20 runners turned for home in the prestigious staying handicap.

Hochfeld (28-1) was proving hard to pass but Nicholas T, carrying a 5lb penalty for a victory at York two weeks ago, wore down Mark Johnston’s charge to take the £81,000 first prize by half a length.

Rajinsky (16-1), who crossed the line in fourth place, was promoted to third following a stewards’ inquiry with Island Brave (16-1) demoted to fourth.

Robinson said: “I’m lost for words. My only doubt was staying the two miles as he can be a keen-travelling horse. I switched him off out the back and he got a lovely run up. He put it to bed really well.

“It’s unbeatable. It’s a race that Brian Ellison, my boss, has wanted to win all his career and for me to win it, for someone else, is really good.

“Jim is a very, very good trainer and he always manages to get one or two decent animals. This horse has never put a foot wrong.”

Goldie admitted victory in the historic contest had long been an ambition of his.

He said: “It’s one of those races that was kind of on my bucket list.

“It’s a great race and a traditional race. Sir Chauvelin has been placed in the race before, but it’s a hard race to win.

“Nicholas T won over a mile and a half here (in November) by almost five lengths. Phil Dennis (jockey) said he couldn’t believe he picked up like that as stayers don’t. You saw that again today – from last to first.

Ben Robinson after winning the Northumberland Plate on Nicholas T
Ben Robinson after winning the Northumberland Plate on Nicholas T (Tim Goode/PA)

“He had to go to York for a ladies race, which got him the penalty to get into this.”

Asked where the victory ranked in his career highlights, he said: “On the day it’s always very good.

“To be honest, when I won the Grand Sefton over the Grand National fences (with Lampion Du Bost in 2007), that was huge, and then I went and did it the next year with Endless Power.

“To win this race is great.”

Conditions key to Euchen Glen agenda

Jim Goldie’s plans for Euchen Glen will revolve around soft ground after the talented and versatile performer sprang a 20-1 surprise at Sandown.

The eight-year-old came from last to first on Thursday evening to land the mile-and-a-quarter Brigadier Gerard Stakes by a convincing four and a quarter lengths from Sangarius and take his Group Three tally to three.

Goldie has not given Euchen Glen any entries at Royal Ascot next month, but would consider supplementing him for the Hardwicke Stakes over a mile and a half if conditions were suitable.

The Glasgow trainer is thinking the same about the Coral-Eclipse back over Sandown’s 10 furlongs on July 3 – if the heavens opened.

“We didn’t put him in at Ascot,” he said.

“He has won on good to firm, but he is very good on soft. We might supplement him for the Hardwicke Stakes if it came up soft, but that’s unlikely.

“We’ll see. It would be the same for the Eclipse. We might supplement him for that if it was soft.

“Long-term, we might be looking at Ascot for the Champion Stakes (in October).”

Goldie rates the Brigadier Gerard victory as arguably Euchen Glen’s best performance.

“You could say that was a career best last night,” he added.

“If you take the form as literal, the second is rated 114, and we gave him 3lb and a four-length beating. We’ll see what the handicapper does.

“If he put Euchen Glen up to 110 (from 106), then the Ebor could be interesting. It’s a quandary for the handicapper.

“You’d think the horse as an eight-year-old wouldn’t be better than he was last year. He had him at 110 last year.

“It was one of those special moments, especially when no-one expected it, yet he’s a soft-ground horse that went off at 20-1.

“He’s a talented horse. That was his third Group Three, and he carried a penalty as well – which takes some doing.”

Euchen Glen rolls back the years to record career-best in Brigadier Gerard

Euchen Glen bounced right back to his very best to take the Coral Brigadier Gerard Stakes at Sandown.

After returning from nearly two years on the sidelines to win three times in 2020, the Jim Goldie-trained eight-year-old had been below par in two runs so far this season – but put those efforts well behind him to record a career-best Group Two triumph, one achieved with a 3lb penalty.

Ridden at the back of the four-runner field as Sangarius bowled along in front closely attended by Extra Elusive, it looked like Jim Goldie’s mount had plenty on his plate with Ryan Moore on the even-money favourite seemingly going great guns aboard the even-money favourite.

But Sangarius could not put his rivals away, and as he started to tread water Euchen Glen (20-1) really picked up for Paul Mulrennan and swept to the front, streaking clear to win by four and a quarter lengths, in a race run this year in memory of Brigadier Gerard’s rider Joe Mercer.

Mulrennan said: “Coming back in trip suited him, he’s been slightly over-racing so we thought if we came back in trip and rode him quiet like when I won on him at Haydock (it might work).

“Jim’s horses have just been coming into form the last couple of weeks and turned a corner, the ground was perfect, it’s a stiff track and there was always going to be a stiff pace to aim at.

“I almost got there too soon and had to take a pull, but that’s the first time this year he’s been relaxed in my hands and he was able to finish off. They stopped in front and he had nothing else to race with.

“It’s credit to Jim Goldie, he had that serious injury after winning the John Smith’s Cup (in 2018), and that was over a mile and a quarter. To get him back to this sort of level is a credit to Jim.”

He added: “I’d say that was his career-best, giving 3lb away. He wasn’t doing a great deal in front and he tends to get better as the year goes on.

“It took him a few runs to get his confidence back after his injury, but then he had a really good run at the end of last season winning some good races.

“I know the Melbourne Cup was a bit of a target, but that has probably gone now. The Ebor is probably the race for him, with good prize-money.

“It was worth the trip down at least, I actually led my first ever horse up here about 20-odd years ago when I started at Brian Meehan’s.”

Goldie sweet on Euchen Glen’s November Handicap claims

Jim Goldie believes Euchen Glen has plenty in his favour as he bids to end a successful season on a high in the Betfair November Handicap at Doncaster on Saturday.

The seven-year-old has taken a brace of Group Three races – the Cumberland Lodge and the St Simon Stakes this autumn – but won a handicap as recently as September.

That success came in the Old Borough Cup at Haydock, and he has gone up 8lb in the ratings since then to 109.

“It’s a proper old-fashioned handicap with top-weight of 9st 10lb down to 8st, you don’t usually get those these days,” said Glasgow-based Goldie.

“It’s back to the days of old when horses on 8st used to get in these races.

“He’s going to have a lump a lot of weight again, but he is a Group horse in a handicap and is rated accordingly.

“He’s in good order. He should like the ground, he’s won over the course and distance so it should all be fine.

“He won’t know he’s got the weight on. Win, lose or draw, he’s had a great season. It will take a decent horse to beat him.”

Tim Easterby’s three-strong team is headed by Ebor runner-up Glencadam Glory as he bids for a first win in the big race on the card that brings the curtain down on the turf season.

“He’s a very good horse. He’s in good form and he goes on the ground,” said the Great Habton handler.

“We’re claiming 7lb off him (with Ella McCain) which will be a big plus. He should run well.”

Easterby has booked dual champion jockey Paul Hanagan for Aasheq, who makes a quick reappearance after finishing second at Redcar on Tuesday.

Paul Hanagan has been snapped up by Tim Easterby for Aasheq
Paul Hanagan has been snapped up by Tim Easterby for Aasheq (Tim Goode/PA)

“He was a little unlucky the other day,” said Easterby.

“He just got shut in a little bit and he didn’t get a run, but he gets the trip and he should have a good chance.”

Bollin Joan, the mount of Duran Fentiman, completes Easterby’s trio. The five-year-old mare steps up in class after winning for the third time this season at Catterick last month.

“She is a few pounds out of the handicap, but she goes on the ground, gets the trip and has a small weight so she could have a chance,” he said.

Joe Tuite landed this prize with Litigant in 2015 and expects Surrey Pride to put up a good show.

“He seems good. I think the ground was too soft at Newbury last time, he didn’t seem to handle it. He couldn’t get his feet out of the ground,” said Tuite.

“We’re hoping for a better performance this Saturday.

“It’ll be his last run of the season, so let’s hope he can run a nice race.”

He added: “Litigant was different class, a legend of a horse. They are hard to follow, but this is a good horse and he’s one for next year.

“I’m not worried about the trip at all. We’re hopeful.”

Ian Williams reports Kingbrook to be in prime condition as the three-year-old bids to follow up last month’s Newmarket success.

“He’s in good shape, His preparation has gone well and we couldn’t be happier with him,” the Alvechurch trainer told Sky Sports Racing.

Kingbrook is one of two November Handicap runners for Ian Williams
Kingbrook is one of two November Handicap runners for Ian Williams

“I was worried about him during the race as he looked to be running a bit too free, but Richard (Kingscote) gave him a great ride. He managed to hang on to enough and he finished very strongly. It was a nice step up in trip and one that suited well.”

William also saddles Everything For You, whose last race came over hurdles on this course in January.

“We were getting him ready for the race last year and it was abandoned due to the flooding at Doncaster,” he said.

“He went hurdling and we were unlucky not to get a prep run into him at Doncaster recently. He takes his chance and he finished ninth in the race in 2018, so we’d be hopeful of a nice run from him.”

Euchen Glen better than ever at Newbury

Euchen Glen is proving to be better than ever as a seven-year-old – and confirmed that impression with victory in the Pravha Stakes at Newbury.

Jim Goldie’s stable star won the John Smith’s Cup at York in 2018, but injury then kept him off the track for more than 700 days before he returned this season and went on to claim victory in a valuable contest at Haydock in September.

He had last been seen causing a surprise in the Cumberland Lodge Stakes on the Knavesmire – a race in which Logician was the hot favourite – and he was sent off at 9-2 to defy his Group Three penalty in a race better known as the St Simon Stakes.

Moving into third place rounding the bend, Paul Mulrennan sat motionless for much of the journey up the straight – before getting the perfect response when he asked his mount for an effort.

A cosy length and three-quarters was the margin of victory over Natural History, and Goldie – who decided against running at Ascot’s Champions Day meeting to wait for this event – said: “He’d surely have gone close to winning at Ascot, looking at that!

“We needed £20,000 to supplement (at Ascot), though, and waiting for this gave him an extra week. He’s certainly an improving seven-year-old.

“Whether he runs again (this season) will depend on the handicapper – in the old days, you’d have gone for the November Handicap with him.

“He’s won that with a penalty, so it just depends how much he goes up – (but) the temptation is to strike while the iron is hot.”

Without the travel restrictions in place because of the coronavirus pandemic, Euchen Glen might have been in a different hemisphere – rather than merely a few hundred miles south from Goldie’s Scottish base.

“I know he goes through bad ground, but he did win a John Smith’s Cup on good to firm,” added the Renfrewshire trainer.

“We were originally thinking the Melbourne Cup this year – he should be in quarantine now, but because of covid we abandoned it.

“Maybe we should train him for next year’s race – he’d get in now – but should we aim him at the Cup races here?

“I don’t know – we’ve a thousand dreams at the minute for next year.”

Mujbar (5-1) ploughed through the heavy ground to take the Molson Coors Beverage Company Stakes, more familiar in its guise as the Horris Hill.

Fourth last time out in the Champagne Stakes at Doncaster, the Charlie Hills-trained youngster got into it from two out and really stuck his neck out for Dane O’Neill to score by a length from the gallant Percy’s Lad – who had been in the firing line throughout.

Love Is You continued her progression with victory in the Racing TV Stakes, registered as The Radley Stakes.

Successful over six furlongs on her debut at Ascot in September, the Roger Charlton-trained filly took the step up to seven and Listed company in her stride.

Briefly engaged in a tussle with Gift List, the Kingman filly asserted more than a furlong out under Jason Watson, and was well on top at the line for a three-and-a-half-length victory as the 9-4 favourite.

Newbury next for Euchen Glen

Euchen Glen is heading for more Group Three glory in the St Simon Stakes at Newbury following his surprise victory at York.

Jim Goldie’s versatile seven-year-old left last year’s St Leger winner Logician trailing home last of four as he lifted the Cumberland Lodge Stakes, which had been rearranged from Ascot’s abandoned meeting at the start of this month.

In beating Desert Encounter by half a length, with Highland Chief another nine lengths back in third, he defeated good yardsticks as he opened his Pattern-race account.

Goldie said: “It was good. You can only beat what comes up – and he certainly beat them.

“We rode him positively and won the race. It’s gone below the radar. The handicapper wasn’t impressed – he’s put him at 109.

“We’ll probably head to Newbury for the St Simon Stakes (next weekend). He’ll have a Group Three penalty of 3lb.

“He’s been fine since York. He’s a good horse.”

The dream for connections has been to run in the Melbourne Cup one day, but Goldie is trying not to think too far ahead.

“We’ll get this year out of the way before we think of the Melbourne Cup,” said the Glasgow trainer.

“With Covid, we didn’t fancy it this year. It might still be a nightmare next year, but we’ll be a bit wiser.”

Stat of the Day, 1st June 2020

Tuesday March 24th's pick was...

5.00 Clonmel : Frontal Assault @ 11/4 BOG 5th at 9/4 (Tracked leaders, pushed along briefly 7f out, improved to dispute lead 3f out, ridden entering straight, headed 2f out, dropped to moderate 5th 1f out, no impression) Thankfully, I don't need to rely on Irish racing any longer : definitely a failed experiment.

Monday's pick runs in the...

4.30 Newcastle :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Currently, I'll identify and share the selection between 8.00am and 8.30am and I then add a more detailed write-up later within an hour or so of going "live".

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Be Proud @ 4/1 BOG

...in a 12-runner, Class 5 A/W handicap for 4yo+ over 5f on Standard to Slow Tapeta worth £3,493 to the winner...

Why?...

Here we have a 4 yr old gelding whose modest career record to date of just 2 wins and 7 places from 24 starts might not make him an obvious candidate, but I'm happy to discard his failure to win any of his 13 attempts on turf to focus on an All-Weather record at 2 wins and 3 places from 11 starts that is further inmproved to 2 wins, 3 further places from 8 here at Newcastle.

A 62.5% overall place strike rate including a 25% win record on one track is certainly of more appeal and all 8 runs were in handicaps for trainer Jim Goldie and they also include of relevance today...

  • 2 wins and 2 further places from 6 over course and distance
  • 2 wins and another place from 5 when sent off as favourite, as seems likely today
  • 2 wins from 3 starts in 12-runner contests
  • and one win from two when ridden by today's jockey, Daniel Tudhope...

...who himself had a brilliant time of it here last year winning 19 of 78 (24.4% SR) races, generating level stakes profits of 23.9pts at Betfair SP, the equivalent of a 30.7% return on stakes invested, from which he was...

  • 13 from 56 (23.2%) for 20.2pts (+36%) in handicaps
  • 3 from 10 (30%) for 2.22pts (+22.2%) over this 5f course and distance
  • and 3 from 6 (50%) for 23.3pts (+388.6%) for trainer Jim Goldie.

That performance for today's trainer was no short term flash in the pan either as today the Goldie/Tudhope combo has 7 winners from 16 her at Newcastle since the start of 2017 with the resultant 43.75% strike rate generating 28.5pts profit at an ROI of 177.9% and this includes..

  • 6/15 (40%) for 16.1pts (+107.1%) in handicaps
  • and 3/6 (50%) for 4.2pts (+70%) over this 5f course and distance (all in handicaps)...

...all of which points to...a 1pt win bet on Be Proud @ 4/1 BOG as was quite widely available at 8.00am Monday, but as always please check your BOG status. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting...

...click here for the betting on the 4.30 Newcastle

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

Stat of the Day, 1st June 2020

Tuesday March 24th's pick was...

5.00 Clonmel : Frontal Assault @ 11/4 BOG 5th at 9/4 (Tracked leaders, pushed along briefly 7f out, improved to dispute lead 3f out, ridden entering straight, headed 2f out, dropped to moderate 5th 1f out, no impression) Thankfully, I don't need to rely on Irish racing any longer : definitely a failed experiment.

Monday's pick runs in the...

4.30 Newcastle :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Currently, I'll identify and share the selection between 8.00am and 8.30am and I then add a more detailed write-up later within an hour or so of going "live".

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Be Proud @ 4/1 BOG

...in a 12-runner, Class 5 A/W handicap for 4yo+ over 5f on Standard to Slow Tapeta worth £3,493 to the winner...

Why?...

Here we have a 4 yr old gelding whose modest career record to date of just 2 wins and 7 places from 24 starts might not make him an obvious candidate, but I'm happy to discard his failure to win any of his 13 attempts on turf to focus on an All-Weather record at 2 wins and 3 places from 11 starts that is further inmproved to 2 wins, 3 further places from 8 here at Newcastle.

A 62.5% overall place strike rate including a 25% win record on one track is certainly of more appeal and all 8 runs were in handicaps for trainer Jim Goldie and they also include of relevance today...

  • 2 wins and 2 further places from 6 over course and distance
  • 2 wins and another place from 5 when sent off as favourite, as seems likely today
  • 2 wins from 3 starts in 12-runner contests
  • and one win from two when ridden by today's jockey, Daniel Tudhope...

...who himself had a brilliant time of it here last year winning 19 of 78 (24.4% SR) races, generating level stakes profits of 23.9pts at Betfair SP, the equivalent of a 30.7% return on stakes invested, from which he was...

  • 13 from 56 (23.2%) for 20.2pts (+36%) in handicaps
  • 3 from 10 (30%) for 2.22pts (+22.2%) over this 5f course and distance
  • and 3 from 6 (50%) for 23.3pts (+388.6%) for trainer Jim Goldie.

That performance for today's trainer was no short term flash in the pan either as today the Goldie/Tudhope combo has 7 winners from 16 her at Newcastle since the start of 2017 with the resultant 43.75% strike rate generating 28.5pts profit at an ROI of 177.9% and this includes..

  • 6/15 (40%) for 16.1pts (+107.1%) in handicaps
  • and 3/6 (50%) for 4.2pts (+70%) over this 5f course and distance (all in handicaps)...

...all of which points to...a 1pt win bet on Be Proud @ 4/1 BOG as was quite widely available at 8.00am Monday, but as always please check your BOG status. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting...

...click here for the betting on the 4.30 Newcastle

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!